An accurate simulation of air temperature at local scales is crucial for the vast majority of weather and climate applications.In this work,a hybrid statistical–dynamical downscaling method and a high-resolution dyna...An accurate simulation of air temperature at local scales is crucial for the vast majority of weather and climate applications.In this work,a hybrid statistical–dynamical downscaling method and a high-resolution dynamical-only downscaling method are applied to daily mean,minimum and maximum air temperatures to investigate the quality of localscale estimates produced by downscaling.These two downscaling approaches are evaluated using station observation data obtained from the Finnish Meteorological Institute over a near-coastal region of western Finland.The dynamical downscaling is performed with the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model,and the statistical downscaling method implemented is the Cumulative Distribution Function-transform(CDF-t).The CDF-t is trained using 20 years of WRF-downscaled Climate Forecast System Reanalysis data over the region at a 3-km spatial resolution for the central month of each season.The performance of the two methods is assessed qualitatively,by inspection of quantile-quantile plots,and quantitatively,through the Cramer-von Mises,mean absolute error,and root-mean-square error diagnostics.The hybrid approach is found to provide significantly more skillful forecasts of the observed daily mean and maximum air temperatures than those of the dynamical-only downscaling(for all seasons).The hybrid method proves to be less computationally expensive,and also to give more skillful temperature forecasts(at least for the Finnish near-coastal region).展开更多
Dynamic melt modification of polyethylene via the direct grafting of peroxide fragments shows promise for the development of processable functionalized materials.In this study,four linear low-density polyethylenes(LLD...Dynamic melt modification of polyethylene via the direct grafting of peroxide fragments shows promise for the development of processable functionalized materials.In this study,four linear low-density polyethylenes(LLDPEs)with comparable molecular weights but different short-chain branch(SCB)contents(ranging of 5-66 per 1000 carbon atoms)were modified via dynamic melt mixing using 2 wt% benzoyl peroxide at 145℃ and 50 r/min for 30 min.The influence of SCB content on the processability and structure of the resulting products was systematically investigated.All modified products exhibited good melt processability with melt flow rates(MFR)ranging from 0.46 g/10min to 1.07 g/10min.Products derived from low-SCB LLDPEs showed a lower MFR,higher cross-linking content,a larger number of long-chain branches,and a higher degree of benzoyl grafting.In contrast,those produced from high-SCB LLDPEs exhibited improved processability,reduced cross-linking,fewer long-chain branches,and lower benzoyl grafting levels.A detailed structural investigation of the soluble and insoluble fractions,which were separated using trichlorobenzene fractionation,was conducted to analyze the structural features of various modified products and demonstrate that the SCB content(i.e.,tertiary carbon density)significantly influences radical coupling during dynamic modification.Elevated tertiary carbon density,by introducing greater steric hindrance,suppresses radical coupling during dynamic modification,thereby reducing the efficiency of both crosslinking and peroxide fragment grafting.These findings provide new insights into the structure-reactivity relationships in peroxide-induced polyethylene modification and lay the foundation for tailoring material properties via dynamic processing.展开更多
To investigate the damage evolution caused by stress-driven and sub-critical crack propagation within the Beishan granite under multi-creep triaxial compressive conditions,the distributed optical fiber sensing and X-r...To investigate the damage evolution caused by stress-driven and sub-critical crack propagation within the Beishan granite under multi-creep triaxial compressive conditions,the distributed optical fiber sensing and X-ray computed tomography were combined to obtain the strain distribution over the sample surface and internal fractures of the samples.The Gini and skewness(G-S)coefficients were used to quantify strain localization during tests,where the Gini coefficient reflects the degree of clustering of elements with high strain values,i.e.,strain localization/delocalization.The strain localization-induced asymmetry of data distribution is quantified by the skewness coefficient.A precursor to granite failure is defined by the rapid and simultaneous increase of the G-S coefficients,which are calculated from strain increment,giving an earlier warning of failure by about 8%peak stress than those from absolute strain values.Moreover,the process of damage accumulation due to stress-driven crack propagation in Beishan granite is different at various confining pressures as the stress exceeds the crack initiation stress.Concretely,strain localization is continuous until brittle failure at higher confining pressure,while both strain localization and delocalization occur at lower confining pressure.Despite the different stress conditions,a similar statistical characteristic of strain localization during the creep stage is observed.The Gini coefficient increases,and the skewness coefficient decreases slightly as the creep stress is below 95%peak stress.When the accelerated strain localization begins,the Gini and skewness coefficients increase rapidly and simultaneously.展开更多
Precise forecasts of wildfire danger are crucial for proactive fuel management and emergency responses,yet they pose a challenge at the subseasonal scale due to limitations in prediction capabilities and a gap between...Precise forecasts of wildfire danger are crucial for proactive fuel management and emergency responses,yet they pose a challenge at the subseasonal scale due to limitations in prediction capabilities and a gap between forecast outputs and the needs of decision-makers.This study introduces an innovative hybrid modeling framework that integrates artificial intelligence(AI)with climate dynamic prediction systems to accurately forecast High Fire-Danger Days(HFDDs)for the following month.These HFDDs are derived from historical satellite fire data and the optimum fire danger index,with a particular focus on Southwest China as a case study.The AI module,based on the ResNet-18 neural network model,integrates observational and physically constrained analysis to establish links between HFDDs and optimal predictors of atmospheric circulation from both the concurrent and preceding months.Leveraging climate dynamical forecasting,this hybrid model provides more reliable deterministic predictions for monthly HFDDs than conventional methods that rely solely on terrestrial variables such as precipitation.More importantly,the integration of dynamical ensemble prediction enhances the model’s capability for skillful probabilistic predictions of HFDDs,facilitating the creation of customized fire danger outlooks and emergency action maps tailored to stakeholders’needs.The model’s added economic value was also evaluated,demonstrating its potential to improve decision-making in disaster management and bridge the“last-mile gap”in climate service delivery.This work contributes to the Seamless Prediction and Services for Sustainable Natural and Built Environment(SEPRESS)Program(2025–32),under the United Nations Educational Scientific and Cultural Organization(UNESCO)International Decade of Sciences for Sustainable Development(2024–33).展开更多
In multi-orbital systems,the correlation strength is typically attributed to Coulomb interactions and Hund's couplings.However,this study demonstrates that on-site inter-orbital hybridization can also significant ...In multi-orbital systems,the correlation strength is typically attributed to Coulomb interactions and Hund's couplings.However,this study demonstrates that on-site inter-orbital hybridization can also significant influence the correlation strength of the system.We investigate the impact of on-site inter-orbital hybridization on the correlation strength of a two-orbital Hubbard model on a square lattice using the dynamical mean-field theory combined with Lanczos exact diagonalization.Our findings reveal a distinct Janus effect:on-site inter-orbital hybridization enhances correlation strength in the non-half-filled regime while suppresses it at half-filling.This dual role of on-site inter-orbital hybridization provides a fundamental mechanism for tuning the strength of correlations in multi-orbital systems.展开更多
Epoxy resins are widely employed in wind turbine blades,drone rotors,and automotive interiors due to their excel-lent mechani-cal proper-ties and long service life.However,their insoluble and infusible cross-linked ne...Epoxy resins are widely employed in wind turbine blades,drone rotors,and automotive interiors due to their excel-lent mechani-cal proper-ties and long service life.However,their insoluble and infusible cross-linked networks pose a significant re-cycling challenge,particularly with the impending retirement of the first generation of wind turbine blades.In this work,we reported a fully bio-based epoxy Vitrimer(FEP)incorporat-ing a dual-dynamic covalent network design and systematically investigated the influence of the 1,5,7-triazabicyclo[4.4.0]dec-5-ene(TBD)catalyst on its curing kinetics,thermal/mechan-ical properties,dynamic exchange behavior,and degradation performance in a mild alkaline solution.Compared to conventional epoxy resins,FEP exhibited superior tensile strength and elongation at break at an optimal TBD concentration(2 wt%),achieving an excellent strength-toughness balance.The presence of TBD accelerated the exchange rates of both disulfide and ester bonds,endowing FEP with notable stress relaxation at elevated tempera-tures.Moreover,FEP demonstrated complete dissolution in 1 mol/L NaOH within 6 h at 25℃.These results underscored the exceptional strength,toughness,and recyclability of FEP,positioning it as a promising,environmentally friendly matrix resin for next-generation appli-cations in the new energy sector.展开更多
The outbreak of infectious diseases is the result of a combination of various factors,including season,the movement of individuals,non-pharmaceutical interventions(NPIs)and the effectiveness and availability of vaccin...The outbreak of infectious diseases is the result of a combination of various factors,including season,the movement of individuals,non-pharmaceutical interventions(NPIs)and the effectiveness and availability of vaccines.Taking these key elements into consideration,an almost periodic SVEIR warning model in the patch environment is here proposed.First,in terms of reproduction numbers,our results imply that if the effective reproduction numbers are R_(e)<1,then the disease dies out;if R_(e)>1,then the disease spreads and leads to local outbreaks.Second,the relationships between R_(e)and C_(s1),C_(a1)(see Section 2)are given by numerical simulations.The numerical results show that even if all people are vaccinated,NPIs are still needed because of the potentially low efficacy of vaccines.Furthermore,the numerical results suggest that NPIs and the strengthening of the effective rate of vaccination are essential in order to achieve herd immunity.Theories involving this model effectively explain the transmission mechanism of most infectious diseases,and provide a valuable theoretical basis for analyzing new infectious diseases in the future.Moreover,this model is helpful for the prevention and control of infectious diseases and the formulation of public health safety policies.展开更多
Vaginal delivery is a fascinating physiological process,but also a high-risk process.Up to 85%–90%of vaginal deliveries lead to perineal trauma,with nearly 11%of severe perineal tearing.It is a common occurrence,espe...Vaginal delivery is a fascinating physiological process,but also a high-risk process.Up to 85%–90%of vaginal deliveries lead to perineal trauma,with nearly 11%of severe perineal tearing.It is a common occurrence,especially for first-time mothers.Computational childbirth plays an essential role in the prediction and prevention of these traumas,but fast personalization of the pelvis and floor muscles is challenging due to their anatomical complexity.This study introduces a novel shape-prediction-based personalization of the pelvis and floor muscles for perineal tearing management and childbirth simulation.300 subjects were selected from public Computed Tomography(CT)databases.The pelvic bone nmjmeshes were generated using a coarse-to-fine non-rigid mesh alignment procedure.The floor muscle meshes were personalized using the bone mesh deformation information.A feature-to-pelvic structure reconstruction pipeline was proposed,incorporating various strategies.Ten-fold cross-validation helped determine the optimal reconstruction strategy,regression method,and feature sizes.The mesh-to-mesh distance metric was employed for evaluating.The statistical shape relation-based strategy,coupled with multi-output ridge regression,was the optimal approach for pelvic structure reconstruction.With a feature set ranging from 3 to 38,the mean errors were 2.672 to 1.613 mm,and 3.237 to 1.415 mm in muscle attachment regions.The best-and worst-case predictions had errors of 1.227±0.959 mm and 2.900±2.309 mm,respectively.This study provides a novel approach to achieving fast personalized childbirth modeling and simulation for perineal tearing management.展开更多
In this manuscript,we consider a non-autonomous dynamical system.Using the Carathéodory structure,we define a BS dimension on an arbitrary subset and obtain a Bowen’s equation that illustrates the relation of th...In this manuscript,we consider a non-autonomous dynamical system.Using the Carathéodory structure,we define a BS dimension on an arbitrary subset and obtain a Bowen’s equation that illustrates the relation of the BS dimension to the Pesin-Pitskel topological pressure given by Nazarian[24].Moreover,we establish a variational principle and an inverse variational principle for the BS dimension of non-autonomous dynamical systems.Finally,we also get an analogue of Billingsley’s theorem for the BS dimension of non-autonomous dynamical systems.展开更多
We incorporate a non-Markovian feedback mechanism into the simulated bifurcation method for dynamical solvers addressing combinatorial optimization problems.By reinjecting a portion of dissipated kinetic energy into e...We incorporate a non-Markovian feedback mechanism into the simulated bifurcation method for dynamical solvers addressing combinatorial optimization problems.By reinjecting a portion of dissipated kinetic energy into each spin in a history-dependent and trajectory-informed manner,the method effectively suppresses early freezing induced by inelastic boundaries and enhances the system's ability to explore complex energy landscapes.Numerical results on the maximum cut(MAX-CUT)instances of fully connected Sherrington–Kirkpatrick(SK)spin glass models,including the 2000-spin K_(2000)benchmark,demonstrate that the non-Markovian algorithm significantly improves both solution quality and convergence speed.Tests on randomly generated SK instances with 100 to 1000 spins further indicate favorable scalability and substantial gains in computational efficiency.Moreover,the proposed scheme is well suited for massively parallel hardware implementations,such as field-programmable gate arrays,providing a practical and scalable approach for solving large-scale combinatorial optimization problems.展开更多
Traditional dynamic analysis of mechanical structures,often limited to individual beams or plates,fails to fully capture their dynamic behaviors.In systems where space and mass are constrained,such as the battery supp...Traditional dynamic analysis of mechanical structures,often limited to individual beams or plates,fails to fully capture their dynamic behaviors.In systems where space and mass are constrained,such as the battery support structures in electric aircraft,conventional absorbers and isolators are insufficient for effective vibration control.This study simplifies the battery support structure of electric aircraft as an integrated composite beam consisting of three interconnected beams,and investigated its structural dynamics properties and nonlinear vibration control under thermal conditions caused by battery heat.The nonlinear vibration control is performed using the Nitinol steel wire ropes(Ni Ti-ST),with nonlinear damping properties.The natural frequencies of system are determined using the Rayleigh-Ritz technique.Theoretical results are validated through both Finite Element Method(FEM)and hammer tests.Moreover,the dynamic equations are derived using the Lagrange method and discretized via the Galerkin Truncation Method(GTM).The Harmonic Balance Method(HBM)is used to evaluate the vibration responses of the integrated model,with further verification through the Runge-Kutta Method(RKM).The experiments are conducted to corroborate the theoretical analysis.The results show that the system frequency changes in stages with the increase of the stiffness of the integrated composite beam connection.Especially in the case of varying environments,as the temperature increases,the frequency of system will first increase to a certain maximum value and then gradually decrease.Furthermore,the NiTi-ST effectively reduces vibration in the integrated composite beam,particularly under varying temperatures and external excitations.展开更多
To realize dynamic statistical publishing and protection of location-based data privacy,this paper proposes a differential privacy publishing algorithm based on adaptive sampling and grid clustering and adjustment.The...To realize dynamic statistical publishing and protection of location-based data privacy,this paper proposes a differential privacy publishing algorithm based on adaptive sampling and grid clustering and adjustment.The PID control strategy is combined with the difference in data variation to realize the dynamic adjustment of the data publishing intervals.The spatial-temporal correlations of the adjacent snapshots are utilized to design the grid clustering and adjustment algorithm,which facilitates saving the execution time of the publishing process.The budget distribution and budget absorption strategies are improved to form the sliding window-based differential privacy statistical publishing algorithm,which realizes continuous statistical publishing and privacy protection and improves the accuracy of published data.Experiments and analysis on large datasets of actual locations show that the privacy protection algorithm proposed in this paper is superior to other existing algorithms in terms of the accuracy of adaptive sampling time,the availability of published data,and the execution efficiency of data publishing methods.展开更多
With the in-depth implementation of sustainable development strategies,hydrogen energy as a clean energy source is receiving increasing attention[1,2].Among the various methods of hydrogen production,the electrocataly...With the in-depth implementation of sustainable development strategies,hydrogen energy as a clean energy source is receiving increasing attention[1,2].Among the various methods of hydrogen production,the electrocatalytic decomposition of abundant seawater into hydrogen utilizing renewable energy has emerged as a green and promising approach.However,natural seawater contains complex components,such as halide ions,which lead to the corrosion of catalysts or the occurrence of competitive side reactions during the electrolysis process[3].展开更多
Multi-angle statistical analysis of tropical cyclones(TCs)and their distant thermodynamic disturbances over Northwest Pacific from July to September during 2001-2020 was conducted.The results show that TCs could trigg...Multi-angle statistical analysis of tropical cyclones(TCs)and their distant thermodynamic disturbances over Northwest Pacific from July to September during 2001-2020 was conducted.The results show that TCs could trigger distant thermodynamic disturbances,which mainly caused an increase in air pressure and a rise in temperature in northern China.The distant thermodynamic disturbances triggered by TCs differed in spatial distribution and intensity in different months.In the same month,the spatial distribution of such disturbances triggered by high-intensity TCs was consistent with the overall pattern,and there was a significant increase in intensity and area.From the probability of TC activities and the significance test of variance of analysis under different levels of P-J index,it is found that TC activities could stimulate the increase of P-J teleconnection index.There was a significant positive correlation between them,which was accompanied by a step effect.展开更多
Gyro's fault diagnosis plays a critical role in inertia navigation systems for higher reliability and precision. A new fault diagnosis strategy based on the statistical parameter analysis (SPA) and support vector ...Gyro's fault diagnosis plays a critical role in inertia navigation systems for higher reliability and precision. A new fault diagnosis strategy based on the statistical parameter analysis (SPA) and support vector machine (SVM) classification model was proposed for dynamically tuned gyroscopes (DTG). The SPA, a kind of time domain analysis approach, was introduced to compute a set of statistical parameters of vibration signal as the state features of DTG, with which the SVM model, a novel learning machine based on statistical learning theory (SLT), was applied and constructed to train and identify the working state of DTG. The experimental results verify that the proposed diagnostic strategy can simply and effectively extract the state features of DTG, and it outperforms the radial-basis function (RBF) neural network based diagnostic method and can more reliably and accurately diagnose the working state of DTG.展开更多
The purpose of this study was to design and test a statistical-dynamical scheme for the extraseasonal（one season in advance） prediction of summer rainfall at 160 observation stations across China.The scheme combined...The purpose of this study was to design and test a statistical-dynamical scheme for the extraseasonal（one season in advance） prediction of summer rainfall at 160 observation stations across China.The scheme combined both valuable information from the preceding observations and dynamical information from synchronous numerical predictions of atmospheric circulation factors produced by an atmospheric general circulation model.First,the key preceding climatic signals and synchronous atmospheric circulation factors that were not only closely related to summer rainfall but also numerically predictable were identified as the potential predictors.Second,the extraseasonal prediction models of summer rainfall were constructed using a multivariate linear regression analysis for 15 subregions and then 160 stations across China.Cross-validation analyses performed for the period 1983-2008 revealed that the performance of the prediction models was not only high in terms of interannual variation,trend,and sign but also was stable during the whole period.Furthermore,the performance of the scheme was confirmed by the accuracy of the real-time prediction of summer rainfall during 2009 and 2010.展开更多
In the first paper in this series, a variational data assimilation of ideal tropical cyclone （TC） tracks was performed for the statistical-dynamical prediction model SD-90 by the adjoint method, and a prediction of ...In the first paper in this series, a variational data assimilation of ideal tropical cyclone （TC） tracks was performed for the statistical-dynamical prediction model SD-90 by the adjoint method, and a prediction of TC tracks was made with good accuracy for tracks containing no sharp turns. In the present paper, the cases of real TC tracks are studied. Due to the complexity of TC motion, attention is paid to the diagnostic research of TC motion. First, five TC tracks are studied. Using the data of each entire TC track, by the adjoint method, five TC tracks are fitted well, and the forces acting on the TCs are retrieved. For a given TC, the distribution of the resultant of the retrieved force and Coriolis force well matches the corresponding TC track, i.e., when a TC turns, the resultant of the retrieved force and Coriolis force acts as a centripetal force, which means that the TC indeed moves like a particle; in particular, for TC 9911, the clockwise looping motion is also fitted well. And the distribution of the resultant appears to be periodic in some cases. Then, the present method is carried out for a portion of the track data for TC 9804, which indicates that when the amount of data for a TC track is sufficient, the algorithm is stable. And finally, the same algorithm is implemented for TCs with a double-eyewall structure, namely Bilis （2000） and Winnie （1997）, and the results prove the applicability of the algorithm to TCs with complicated mesoscale structures if the TC track data are obtained every three hours.展开更多
The cold vortex is a major high impact weather system in northeast China during the warm season, its frequent activities also affect the short-term climate throughout eastern China. How to objectively and quantitative...The cold vortex is a major high impact weather system in northeast China during the warm season, its frequent activities also affect the short-term climate throughout eastern China. How to objectively and quantitatively predict the intensity trend of the cold vortex is an urgent and difficult problem for current short-term climate prediction. Based on the dynamical-statistical combining principle, the predicted results of the Beijing Climate Center＇s global atmosphereocean coupled model and rich historical data are used for dynamic-statistical extra-seasonal prediction testing and actual prediction of the summer 500-hPa geopotential height over the cold vortex activity area. The results show that this method can significantly reduce the model＇s prediction error over the cold vortex activity area, and improve the prediction skills. Furthermore, the results of the sensitivity test reveal that the predicted results are highly dependent on the quantity of similar factors and the number of similar years.展开更多
Following Tsai & Ma[1] and Tsai & Liu[2], a statistical and dynamical near-wall turbulent coherent structural model with separate consideration of two different portions:locally generated and upstream-transpo...Following Tsai & Ma[1] and Tsai & Liu[2], a statistical and dynamical near-wall turbulent coherent structural model with separate consideration of two different portions:locally generated and upstream-transported large eddies has been established.With this model, heat transfer in a fully developed open channel in the absence of pressure gradient is numerically simulated. Database of fluctuations of velocity and temperature has also been set. Numerical analysis shows the existence of high-low temperature streak caused by near-wall coherent structure and its swing in the lateral direction.Numerical results are in accordance with the computations and experimental results of other researchers.展开更多
The cause-effect relationship is not always possible to trace in GCMs because of the simultaneous inclusion of several highly complex physical processes. Furthermore, the inter-GCM differences are large and there is n...The cause-effect relationship is not always possible to trace in GCMs because of the simultaneous inclusion of several highly complex physical processes. Furthermore, the inter-GCM differences are large and there is no simple way to reconcile them. So, simple climate models, like statistical-dynamical models (SDMs), appear to be useful in this context. This kind of models is essentially mechanistic, being directed towards understanding the dependence of a particular mechanism on the other parameters of the problem. In this paper, the utility of SDMs for studies of climate change is discussed in some detail. We show that these models are an indispensable part of hierarchy of climate models.展开更多
基金Botnia-Atlantica, an EU-programme financing cross border cooperation projects in Sweden, Finland and Norway, for their support of this work through the WindCoE project
文摘An accurate simulation of air temperature at local scales is crucial for the vast majority of weather and climate applications.In this work,a hybrid statistical–dynamical downscaling method and a high-resolution dynamical-only downscaling method are applied to daily mean,minimum and maximum air temperatures to investigate the quality of localscale estimates produced by downscaling.These two downscaling approaches are evaluated using station observation data obtained from the Finnish Meteorological Institute over a near-coastal region of western Finland.The dynamical downscaling is performed with the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model,and the statistical downscaling method implemented is the Cumulative Distribution Function-transform(CDF-t).The CDF-t is trained using 20 years of WRF-downscaled Climate Forecast System Reanalysis data over the region at a 3-km spatial resolution for the central month of each season.The performance of the two methods is assessed qualitatively,by inspection of quantile-quantile plots,and quantitatively,through the Cramer-von Mises,mean absolute error,and root-mean-square error diagnostics.The hybrid approach is found to provide significantly more skillful forecasts of the observed daily mean and maximum air temperatures than those of the dynamical-only downscaling(for all seasons).The hybrid method proves to be less computationally expensive,and also to give more skillful temperature forecasts(at least for the Finnish near-coastal region).
基金financially supported by the Science and Technology Project of PetroChina Company Limited,China(No.2022DJ6314)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52173056)。
文摘Dynamic melt modification of polyethylene via the direct grafting of peroxide fragments shows promise for the development of processable functionalized materials.In this study,four linear low-density polyethylenes(LLDPEs)with comparable molecular weights but different short-chain branch(SCB)contents(ranging of 5-66 per 1000 carbon atoms)were modified via dynamic melt mixing using 2 wt% benzoyl peroxide at 145℃ and 50 r/min for 30 min.The influence of SCB content on the processability and structure of the resulting products was systematically investigated.All modified products exhibited good melt processability with melt flow rates(MFR)ranging from 0.46 g/10min to 1.07 g/10min.Products derived from low-SCB LLDPEs showed a lower MFR,higher cross-linking content,a larger number of long-chain branches,and a higher degree of benzoyl grafting.In contrast,those produced from high-SCB LLDPEs exhibited improved processability,reduced cross-linking,fewer long-chain branches,and lower benzoyl grafting levels.A detailed structural investigation of the soluble and insoluble fractions,which were separated using trichlorobenzene fractionation,was conducted to analyze the structural features of various modified products and demonstrate that the SCB content(i.e.,tertiary carbon density)significantly influences radical coupling during dynamic modification.Elevated tertiary carbon density,by introducing greater steric hindrance,suppresses radical coupling during dynamic modification,thereby reducing the efficiency of both crosslinking and peroxide fragment grafting.These findings provide new insights into the structure-reactivity relationships in peroxide-induced polyethylene modification and lay the foundation for tailoring material properties via dynamic processing.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.52339001).
文摘To investigate the damage evolution caused by stress-driven and sub-critical crack propagation within the Beishan granite under multi-creep triaxial compressive conditions,the distributed optical fiber sensing and X-ray computed tomography were combined to obtain the strain distribution over the sample surface and internal fractures of the samples.The Gini and skewness(G-S)coefficients were used to quantify strain localization during tests,where the Gini coefficient reflects the degree of clustering of elements with high strain values,i.e.,strain localization/delocalization.The strain localization-induced asymmetry of data distribution is quantified by the skewness coefficient.A precursor to granite failure is defined by the rapid and simultaneous increase of the G-S coefficients,which are calculated from strain increment,giving an earlier warning of failure by about 8%peak stress than those from absolute strain values.Moreover,the process of damage accumulation due to stress-driven crack propagation in Beishan granite is different at various confining pressures as the stress exceeds the crack initiation stress.Concretely,strain localization is continuous until brittle failure at higher confining pressure,while both strain localization and delocalization occur at lower confining pressure.Despite the different stress conditions,a similar statistical characteristic of strain localization during the creep stage is observed.The Gini coefficient increases,and the skewness coefficient decreases slightly as the creep stress is below 95%peak stress.When the accelerated strain localization begins,the Gini and skewness coefficients increase rapidly and simultaneously.
基金J.YANG was supported by funding from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42475022,42261144671)the National Key R&D Program of China(Project No.2024YFC3013100)+2 种基金the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central UniversitiesM.LU was supported by the Otto Poon Centre of Climate Resilience and Sustainability at HKUST and the Hong Kong Research Grant Committee(Project No.16300424)Data processing and storage were supported by the National Key Scientific and Technological Infrastructure project“Earth System Numerical Simulation Facility”(EarthLab).
文摘Precise forecasts of wildfire danger are crucial for proactive fuel management and emergency responses,yet they pose a challenge at the subseasonal scale due to limitations in prediction capabilities and a gap between forecast outputs and the needs of decision-makers.This study introduces an innovative hybrid modeling framework that integrates artificial intelligence(AI)with climate dynamic prediction systems to accurately forecast High Fire-Danger Days(HFDDs)for the following month.These HFDDs are derived from historical satellite fire data and the optimum fire danger index,with a particular focus on Southwest China as a case study.The AI module,based on the ResNet-18 neural network model,integrates observational and physically constrained analysis to establish links between HFDDs and optimal predictors of atmospheric circulation from both the concurrent and preceding months.Leveraging climate dynamical forecasting,this hybrid model provides more reliable deterministic predictions for monthly HFDDs than conventional methods that rely solely on terrestrial variables such as precipitation.More importantly,the integration of dynamical ensemble prediction enhances the model’s capability for skillful probabilistic predictions of HFDDs,facilitating the creation of customized fire danger outlooks and emergency action maps tailored to stakeholders’needs.The model’s added economic value was also evaluated,demonstrating its potential to improve decision-making in disaster management and bridge the“last-mile gap”in climate service delivery.This work contributes to the Seamless Prediction and Services for Sustainable Natural and Built Environment(SEPRESS)Program(2025–32),under the United Nations Educational Scientific and Cultural Organization(UNESCO)International Decade of Sciences for Sustainable Development(2024–33).
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.12174327)the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province,China(Grant No.ZR2023ZD09)。
文摘In multi-orbital systems,the correlation strength is typically attributed to Coulomb interactions and Hund's couplings.However,this study demonstrates that on-site inter-orbital hybridization can also significant influence the correlation strength of the system.We investigate the impact of on-site inter-orbital hybridization on the correlation strength of a two-orbital Hubbard model on a square lattice using the dynamical mean-field theory combined with Lanczos exact diagonalization.Our findings reveal a distinct Janus effect:on-site inter-orbital hybridization enhances correlation strength in the non-half-filled regime while suppresses it at half-filling.This dual role of on-site inter-orbital hybridization provides a fundamental mechanism for tuning the strength of correlations in multi-orbital systems.
基金support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.22293011,T2341001)the Major Science and Technology Project of Anhui Province(202203a06020010).
文摘Epoxy resins are widely employed in wind turbine blades,drone rotors,and automotive interiors due to their excel-lent mechani-cal proper-ties and long service life.However,their insoluble and infusible cross-linked networks pose a significant re-cycling challenge,particularly with the impending retirement of the first generation of wind turbine blades.In this work,we reported a fully bio-based epoxy Vitrimer(FEP)incorporat-ing a dual-dynamic covalent network design and systematically investigated the influence of the 1,5,7-triazabicyclo[4.4.0]dec-5-ene(TBD)catalyst on its curing kinetics,thermal/mechan-ical properties,dynamic exchange behavior,and degradation performance in a mild alkaline solution.Compared to conventional epoxy resins,FEP exhibited superior tensile strength and elongation at break at an optimal TBD concentration(2 wt%),achieving an excellent strength-toughness balance.The presence of TBD accelerated the exchange rates of both disulfide and ester bonds,endowing FEP with notable stress relaxation at elevated tempera-tures.Moreover,FEP demonstrated complete dissolution in 1 mol/L NaOH within 6 h at 25℃.These results underscored the exceptional strength,toughness,and recyclability of FEP,positioning it as a promising,environmentally friendly matrix resin for next-generation appli-cations in the new energy sector.
基金supported by the NSFC(11501269)and the Natural Science Foundation of Gansu Province(23JRRA1041).
文摘The outbreak of infectious diseases is the result of a combination of various factors,including season,the movement of individuals,non-pharmaceutical interventions(NPIs)and the effectiveness and availability of vaccines.Taking these key elements into consideration,an almost periodic SVEIR warning model in the patch environment is here proposed.First,in terms of reproduction numbers,our results imply that if the effective reproduction numbers are R_(e)<1,then the disease dies out;if R_(e)>1,then the disease spreads and leads to local outbreaks.Second,the relationships between R_(e)and C_(s1),C_(a1)(see Section 2)are given by numerical simulations.The numerical results show that even if all people are vaccinated,NPIs are still needed because of the potentially low efficacy of vaccines.Furthermore,the numerical results suggest that NPIs and the strengthening of the effective rate of vaccination are essential in order to achieve herd immunity.Theories involving this model effectively explain the transmission mechanism of most infectious diseases,and provide a valuable theoretical basis for analyzing new infectious diseases in the future.Moreover,this model is helpful for the prevention and control of infectious diseases and the formulation of public health safety policies.
基金funded by Vietnam National University Ho Chi Minh City(VNU-HCM)under grant number DS.C2025-28-06.
文摘Vaginal delivery is a fascinating physiological process,but also a high-risk process.Up to 85%–90%of vaginal deliveries lead to perineal trauma,with nearly 11%of severe perineal tearing.It is a common occurrence,especially for first-time mothers.Computational childbirth plays an essential role in the prediction and prevention of these traumas,but fast personalization of the pelvis and floor muscles is challenging due to their anatomical complexity.This study introduces a novel shape-prediction-based personalization of the pelvis and floor muscles for perineal tearing management and childbirth simulation.300 subjects were selected from public Computed Tomography(CT)databases.The pelvic bone nmjmeshes were generated using a coarse-to-fine non-rigid mesh alignment procedure.The floor muscle meshes were personalized using the bone mesh deformation information.A feature-to-pelvic structure reconstruction pipeline was proposed,incorporating various strategies.Ten-fold cross-validation helped determine the optimal reconstruction strategy,regression method,and feature sizes.The mesh-to-mesh distance metric was employed for evaluating.The statistical shape relation-based strategy,coupled with multi-output ridge regression,was the optimal approach for pelvic structure reconstruction.With a feature set ranging from 3 to 38,the mean errors were 2.672 to 1.613 mm,and 3.237 to 1.415 mm in muscle attachment regions.The best-and worst-case predictions had errors of 1.227±0.959 mm and 2.900±2.309 mm,respectively.This study provides a novel approach to achieving fast personalized childbirth modeling and simulation for perineal tearing management.
基金supported by the NSFC(12461012)and the NSF of Chongqing(CSTB2024NSCQ-MSX1246).
文摘In this manuscript,we consider a non-autonomous dynamical system.Using the Carathéodory structure,we define a BS dimension on an arbitrary subset and obtain a Bowen’s equation that illustrates the relation of the BS dimension to the Pesin-Pitskel topological pressure given by Nazarian[24].Moreover,we establish a variational principle and an inverse variational principle for the BS dimension of non-autonomous dynamical systems.Finally,we also get an analogue of Billingsley’s theorem for the BS dimension of non-autonomous dynamical systems.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2024YFA1408500)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.12174028 and 12574115)the Open Fund of the State Key Laboratory of Spintronics Devices and Technologies(Grant No.SPL-2408)。
文摘We incorporate a non-Markovian feedback mechanism into the simulated bifurcation method for dynamical solvers addressing combinatorial optimization problems.By reinjecting a portion of dissipated kinetic energy into each spin in a history-dependent and trajectory-informed manner,the method effectively suppresses early freezing induced by inelastic boundaries and enhances the system's ability to explore complex energy landscapes.Numerical results on the maximum cut(MAX-CUT)instances of fully connected Sherrington–Kirkpatrick(SK)spin glass models,including the 2000-spin K_(2000)benchmark,demonstrate that the non-Markovian algorithm significantly improves both solution quality and convergence speed.Tests on randomly generated SK instances with 100 to 1000 spins further indicate favorable scalability and substantial gains in computational efficiency.Moreover,the proposed scheme is well suited for massively parallel hardware implementations,such as field-programmable gate arrays,providing a practical and scalable approach for solving large-scale combinatorial optimization problems.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.12272240)the Liaoning Revitalization Talents Program,China(No.XLYC2203197)。
文摘Traditional dynamic analysis of mechanical structures,often limited to individual beams or plates,fails to fully capture their dynamic behaviors.In systems where space and mass are constrained,such as the battery support structures in electric aircraft,conventional absorbers and isolators are insufficient for effective vibration control.This study simplifies the battery support structure of electric aircraft as an integrated composite beam consisting of three interconnected beams,and investigated its structural dynamics properties and nonlinear vibration control under thermal conditions caused by battery heat.The nonlinear vibration control is performed using the Nitinol steel wire ropes(Ni Ti-ST),with nonlinear damping properties.The natural frequencies of system are determined using the Rayleigh-Ritz technique.Theoretical results are validated through both Finite Element Method(FEM)and hammer tests.Moreover,the dynamic equations are derived using the Lagrange method and discretized via the Galerkin Truncation Method(GTM).The Harmonic Balance Method(HBM)is used to evaluate the vibration responses of the integrated model,with further verification through the Runge-Kutta Method(RKM).The experiments are conducted to corroborate the theoretical analysis.The results show that the system frequency changes in stages with the increase of the stiffness of the integrated composite beam connection.Especially in the case of varying environments,as the temperature increases,the frequency of system will first increase to a certain maximum value and then gradually decrease.Furthermore,the NiTi-ST effectively reduces vibration in the integrated composite beam,particularly under varying temperatures and external excitations.
基金supported by National Nature Science Foundation of China(No.62361036)Nature Science Foundation of Gansu Province(No.22JR5RA279).
文摘To realize dynamic statistical publishing and protection of location-based data privacy,this paper proposes a differential privacy publishing algorithm based on adaptive sampling and grid clustering and adjustment.The PID control strategy is combined with the difference in data variation to realize the dynamic adjustment of the data publishing intervals.The spatial-temporal correlations of the adjacent snapshots are utilized to design the grid clustering and adjustment algorithm,which facilitates saving the execution time of the publishing process.The budget distribution and budget absorption strategies are improved to form the sliding window-based differential privacy statistical publishing algorithm,which realizes continuous statistical publishing and privacy protection and improves the accuracy of published data.Experiments and analysis on large datasets of actual locations show that the privacy protection algorithm proposed in this paper is superior to other existing algorithms in terms of the accuracy of adaptive sampling time,the availability of published data,and the execution efficiency of data publishing methods.
基金financially supported by the Natural Science Research Start-up Foundation of Recruiting Talents of Nanjing University of Posts and Telecommunications(No.NY223016)Qinglan Project of Jiangsu Province of China2024 Nanjing Science and Technology Innovation Program(No.NJKCZYZZ2024-06)。
文摘With the in-depth implementation of sustainable development strategies,hydrogen energy as a clean energy source is receiving increasing attention[1,2].Among the various methods of hydrogen production,the electrocatalytic decomposition of abundant seawater into hydrogen utilizing renewable energy has emerged as a green and promising approach.However,natural seawater contains complex components,such as halide ions,which lead to the corrosion of catalysts or the occurrence of competitive side reactions during the electrolysis process[3].
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(42305011).
文摘Multi-angle statistical analysis of tropical cyclones(TCs)and their distant thermodynamic disturbances over Northwest Pacific from July to September during 2001-2020 was conducted.The results show that TCs could trigger distant thermodynamic disturbances,which mainly caused an increase in air pressure and a rise in temperature in northern China.The distant thermodynamic disturbances triggered by TCs differed in spatial distribution and intensity in different months.In the same month,the spatial distribution of such disturbances triggered by high-intensity TCs was consistent with the overall pattern,and there was a significant increase in intensity and area.From the probability of TC activities and the significance test of variance of analysis under different levels of P-J index,it is found that TC activities could stimulate the increase of P-J teleconnection index.There was a significant positive correlation between them,which was accompanied by a step effect.
文摘Gyro's fault diagnosis plays a critical role in inertia navigation systems for higher reliability and precision. A new fault diagnosis strategy based on the statistical parameter analysis (SPA) and support vector machine (SVM) classification model was proposed for dynamically tuned gyroscopes (DTG). The SPA, a kind of time domain analysis approach, was introduced to compute a set of statistical parameters of vibration signal as the state features of DTG, with which the SVM model, a novel learning machine based on statistical learning theory (SLT), was applied and constructed to train and identify the working state of DTG. The experimental results verify that the proposed diagnostic strategy can simply and effectively extract the state features of DTG, and it outperforms the radial-basis function (RBF) neural network based diagnostic method and can more reliably and accurately diagnose the working state of DTG.
基金provided by the Special Scientific Research Fund of Meteorological Public Welfare Profession of China(Grant No. GYHY200906018)the National Basic Research Program of China (Grant Nos. 2009CB421406 and 2010CB950304)the Knowledge Innovation Project of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. KZCX2-YW-Q03-3)
文摘The purpose of this study was to design and test a statistical-dynamical scheme for the extraseasonal（one season in advance） prediction of summer rainfall at 160 observation stations across China.The scheme combined both valuable information from the preceding observations and dynamical information from synchronous numerical predictions of atmospheric circulation factors produced by an atmospheric general circulation model.First,the key preceding climatic signals and synchronous atmospheric circulation factors that were not only closely related to summer rainfall but also numerically predictable were identified as the potential predictors.Second,the extraseasonal prediction models of summer rainfall were constructed using a multivariate linear regression analysis for 15 subregions and then 160 stations across China.Cross-validation analyses performed for the period 1983-2008 revealed that the performance of the prediction models was not only high in terms of interannual variation,trend,and sign but also was stable during the whole period.Furthermore,the performance of the scheme was confirmed by the accuracy of the real-time prediction of summer rainfall during 2009 and 2010.
基金This work was supported jointly by the Typhoon Foundation of Shanghaiby LASC of the Institute of Atmospheric Physics of the Chinese Academy of Sciencesby the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No. 40633030.
文摘In the first paper in this series, a variational data assimilation of ideal tropical cyclone （TC） tracks was performed for the statistical-dynamical prediction model SD-90 by the adjoint method, and a prediction of TC tracks was made with good accuracy for tracks containing no sharp turns. In the present paper, the cases of real TC tracks are studied. Due to the complexity of TC motion, attention is paid to the diagnostic research of TC motion. First, five TC tracks are studied. Using the data of each entire TC track, by the adjoint method, five TC tracks are fitted well, and the forces acting on the TCs are retrieved. For a given TC, the distribution of the resultant of the retrieved force and Coriolis force well matches the corresponding TC track, i.e., when a TC turns, the resultant of the retrieved force and Coriolis force acts as a centripetal force, which means that the TC indeed moves like a particle; in particular, for TC 9911, the clockwise looping motion is also fitted well. And the distribution of the resultant appears to be periodic in some cases. Then, the present method is carried out for a portion of the track data for TC 9804, which indicates that when the amount of data for a TC track is sufficient, the algorithm is stable. And finally, the same algorithm is implemented for TCs with a double-eyewall structure, namely Bilis （2000） and Winnie （1997）, and the results prove the applicability of the algorithm to TCs with complicated mesoscale structures if the TC track data are obtained every three hours.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41375078)the National Basic Research Program of China(Grant Nos.2012CB955902 and 2013CB430204)the Special Scientific Research Fund of Public Welfare Profession of China(Grant No.GYHY201306021)
文摘The cold vortex is a major high impact weather system in northeast China during the warm season, its frequent activities also affect the short-term climate throughout eastern China. How to objectively and quantitatively predict the intensity trend of the cold vortex is an urgent and difficult problem for current short-term climate prediction. Based on the dynamical-statistical combining principle, the predicted results of the Beijing Climate Center＇s global atmosphereocean coupled model and rich historical data are used for dynamic-statistical extra-seasonal prediction testing and actual prediction of the summer 500-hPa geopotential height over the cold vortex activity area. The results show that this method can significantly reduce the model＇s prediction error over the cold vortex activity area, and improve the prediction skills. Furthermore, the results of the sensitivity test reveal that the predicted results are highly dependent on the quantity of similar factors and the number of similar years.
文摘Following Tsai & Ma[1] and Tsai & Liu[2], a statistical and dynamical near-wall turbulent coherent structural model with separate consideration of two different portions:locally generated and upstream-transported large eddies has been established.With this model, heat transfer in a fully developed open channel in the absence of pressure gradient is numerically simulated. Database of fluctuations of velocity and temperature has also been set. Numerical analysis shows the existence of high-low temperature streak caused by near-wall coherent structure and its swing in the lateral direction.Numerical results are in accordance with the computations and experimental results of other researchers.
文摘The cause-effect relationship is not always possible to trace in GCMs because of the simultaneous inclusion of several highly complex physical processes. Furthermore, the inter-GCM differences are large and there is no simple way to reconcile them. So, simple climate models, like statistical-dynamical models (SDMs), appear to be useful in this context. This kind of models is essentially mechanistic, being directed towards understanding the dependence of a particular mechanism on the other parameters of the problem. In this paper, the utility of SDMs for studies of climate change is discussed in some detail. We show that these models are an indispensable part of hierarchy of climate models.
