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Dynamic Multi-Graph Spatio-Temporal Graph Traffic Flow Prediction in Bangkok:An Application of a Continuous Convolutional Neural Network
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作者 Pongsakon Promsawat Weerapan Sae-dan +2 位作者 Marisa Kaewsuwan Weerawat Sudsutad Aphirak Aphithana 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2025年第1期579-607,共29页
The ability to accurately predict urban traffic flows is crucial for optimising city operations.Consequently,various methods for forecasting urban traffic have been developed,focusing on analysing historical data to u... The ability to accurately predict urban traffic flows is crucial for optimising city operations.Consequently,various methods for forecasting urban traffic have been developed,focusing on analysing historical data to understand complex mobility patterns.Deep learning techniques,such as graph neural networks(GNNs),are popular for their ability to capture spatio-temporal dependencies.However,these models often become overly complex due to the large number of hyper-parameters involved.In this study,we introduce Dynamic Multi-Graph Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Ordinary Differential Equation Networks(DMST-GNODE),a framework based on ordinary differential equations(ODEs)that autonomously discovers effective spatial-temporal graph neural network(STGNN)architectures for traffic prediction tasks.The comparative analysis of DMST-GNODE and baseline models indicates that DMST-GNODE model demonstrates superior performance across multiple datasets,consistently achieving the lowest Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)and Mean Absolute Error(MAE)values,alongside the highest accuracy.On the BKK(Bangkok)dataset,it outperformed other models with an RMSE of 3.3165 and an accuracy of 0.9367 for a 20-min interval,maintaining this trend across 40 and 60 min.Similarly,on the PeMS08 dataset,DMST-GNODE achieved the best performance with an RMSE of 19.4863 and an accuracy of 0.9377 at 20 min,demonstrating its effectiveness over longer periods.The Los_Loop dataset results further emphasise this model’s advantage,with an RMSE of 3.3422 and an accuracy of 0.7643 at 20 min,consistently maintaining superiority across all time intervals.These numerical highlights indicate that DMST-GNODE not only outperforms baseline models but also achieves higher accuracy and lower errors across different time intervals and datasets. 展开更多
关键词 graph neural networks convolutional neural network deep learning dynamic multi-graph spatio-temporal
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An Arrhythmia Intelligent Recognition Method Based on a Multimodal Information and Spatio-Temporal Hybrid Neural Network Model
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作者 Xinchao Han Aojun Zhang +6 位作者 Runchuan Li Shengya Shen Di Zhang Bo Jin Longfei Mao Linqi Yang Shuqin Zhang 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2025年第2期3443-3465,共23页
Electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis is critical for detecting arrhythmias, but traditional methods struggle with large-scale Electrocardiogram data and rare arrhythmia events in imbalanced datasets. These methods fail to... Electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis is critical for detecting arrhythmias, but traditional methods struggle with large-scale Electrocardiogram data and rare arrhythmia events in imbalanced datasets. These methods fail to perform multi-perspective learning of temporal signals and Electrocardiogram images, nor can they fully extract the latent information within the data, falling short of the accuracy required by clinicians. Therefore, this paper proposes an innovative hybrid multimodal spatiotemporal neural network to address these challenges. The model employs a multimodal data augmentation framework integrating visual and signal-based features to enhance the classification performance of rare arrhythmias in imbalanced datasets. Additionally, the spatiotemporal fusion module incorporates a spatiotemporal graph convolutional network to jointly model temporal and spatial features, uncovering complex dependencies within the Electrocardiogram data and improving the model’s ability to represent complex patterns. In experiments conducted on the MIT-BIH arrhythmia dataset, the model achieved 99.95% accuracy, 99.80% recall, and a 99.78% F1 score. The model was further validated for generalization using the clinical INCART arrhythmia dataset, and the results demonstrated its effectiveness in terms of both generalization and robustness. 展开更多
关键词 Multimodal learning spatio-temporal hybrid graph convolutional network data imbalance ECG classification
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Research on traffic flow prediction method based on adaptive multichannel graph convolutional neural networks
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作者 Zhengzheng Xu Junhua Gu 《Advances in Engineering Innovation》 2024年第2期41-47,共7页
In order to address the issues of predefined adjacency matrices inadequately representing information in road networks,insufficiently capturing spatial dependencies of traffic networks,and the potential problem of exc... In order to address the issues of predefined adjacency matrices inadequately representing information in road networks,insufficiently capturing spatial dependencies of traffic networks,and the potential problem of excessive smoothing or neglecting initial node information as the layers of graph convolutional neural networks increase,thus affecting traffic prediction performance,this paper proposes a prediction model based on Adaptive Multi-channel Graph Convolutional Neural Networks(AMGCN).The model utilizes an adaptive adjacency matrix to automatically learn implicit graph structures from data,introduces a mixed skip propagation graph convolutional neural network model,which retains the original node states and selectively acquires outputs of convolutional layers,thus avoiding the loss of node initial states and comprehensively capturing spatial correlations of traffic flow.Finally,the output is fed into Long Short-Term Memory networks to capture temporal correlations.Comparative experiments on two real datasets validate the effectiveness of the proposed model. 展开更多
关键词 traffic flow prediction spatio-temporal correlations graph convolutional neural network adaptive adjacency matrix
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机理-数据混合驱动的直驱风电场分群等值方法
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作者 张英敏 李媛 +4 位作者 高仕林 李东晟 周旭 蒋奇良 王渝红 《高电压技术》 北大核心 2025年第9期4762-4773,共12页
为了提升风电并网系统的暂态仿真分析效率,需要建立风电场等值模型。现有直驱风电场等值模型存在难以适用于预想故障分析和计算效率低问题。针对该问题,提出一种机理-数据混合驱动的直驱风电场分群等值方法。首先,分析了直驱风机的故障... 为了提升风电并网系统的暂态仿真分析效率,需要建立风电场等值模型。现有直驱风电场等值模型存在难以适用于预想故障分析和计算效率低问题。针对该问题,提出一种机理-数据混合驱动的直驱风电场分群等值方法。首先,分析了直驱风机的故障后暂态响应特性,并推导了基于风机初始风速及机端故障稳态电压的风电机组分群方法。其次,提出了一种基于多层图卷积神经网络的机端故障稳态电压高效预测方法,该预测模型能够适应不同的风电场和电网拓扑。进一步,构建了风电场的三机等值模型。最后,仿真验证了所提出的分群等值方法的正确性。 展开更多
关键词 永磁直驱风机 预想故障 机理-数据混合 风电场分群 风电场等值 图卷积神经网络
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基于改进图卷积的多站点海浪高度预测方法
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作者 卢鹏 王慧 +1 位作者 王振华 郑宗生 《海洋测绘》 北大核心 2025年第4期37-42,共6页
海浪高度的变化不仅随时间变化,还受周围海域的影响。针对现有方法仅关注单一站点的时序特征,缺乏对同一区域内不同站点间海浪高度的时空信息提取问题,提出一种改进图卷积的多站点海浪高度预测模型SD-STSGCN。首先采用基于密度的K-mean... 海浪高度的变化不仅随时间变化,还受周围海域的影响。针对现有方法仅关注单一站点的时序特征,缺乏对同一区域内不同站点间海浪高度的时空信息提取问题,提出一种改进图卷积的多站点海浪高度预测模型SD-STSGCN。首先采用基于密度的K-means聚类对站点分组;其次提出缩放距离因子构建邻接矩阵以动态调整权重;最后结合扩张卷积的时空同步图卷积模块捕捉时空特征,非线性映射输出各组站点未来时段的海浪高度预测结果。在覆盖多维度场景的44个站点上进行大区域实验,结果表明,相比于LSTM和TCN等模型,SD-STSGCN的预测效果最好,该方法有效挖掘了多站点时空相关性,为海浪高度预测提供了有效的补充方案。 展开更多
关键词 海浪高度预测 多站点预测 时空同步图卷积 时空相关性 邻接矩阵
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计及动态时空相关性的多风电场短期功率预测
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作者 李丹 黄烽云 +3 位作者 杨帆 唐建 罗娇娇 方泽仁 《电力系统及其自动化学报》 北大核心 2025年第2期1-9,共9页
针对同一区域内多风电场出力间复杂且动态的时空相关性,提出一种基于注意力时空同步图卷积网络的多风电场短期功率预测模型。首先引入注意力机制量化天气特征对风功率的影响,构建相邻3个时间步的风功率局部时空图,卷积提取局部时空特征... 针对同一区域内多风电场出力间复杂且动态的时空相关性,提出一种基于注意力时空同步图卷积网络的多风电场短期功率预测模型。首先引入注意力机制量化天气特征对风功率的影响,构建相邻3个时间步的风功率局部时空图,卷积提取局部时空特征;然后用时空同步图卷积层聚合输入时窗的整体时空特征;最后非线性映射输出多风电场未来时段的功率预测结果。实际算例结果表明,所提模型通过学习不同天气条件下风功率的时空动态演变规律,可将多风电场日前功率预测精度提高2.10%~13.94%。 展开更多
关键词 深度学习 风电功率 相关性 时空同步图卷积网络 功率预测
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融合同步知识和时空信息的电力系统暂态稳定评估框架 被引量:1
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作者 刘雨晴 刘曌 +4 位作者 王小君 刘畅宇 裴玮 郄朝辉 窦嘉铭 《电网技术》 北大核心 2025年第6期2334-2346,共13页
新型电力系统复杂耦合特性和时变因素骤增,对暂态稳定评估(transientstabilityassessment,TSA)的准确性和快速性提出更高要求。深度学习算法的引入为TSA问题提供新的解决思路,但模型的结果可靠性问题制约其实际应用。因此提出一种融合... 新型电力系统复杂耦合特性和时变因素骤增,对暂态稳定评估(transientstabilityassessment,TSA)的准确性和快速性提出更高要求。深度学习算法的引入为TSA问题提供新的解决思路,但模型的结果可靠性问题制约其实际应用。因此提出一种融合同步知识和时空信息的评估框架,从电气特征选择、融入领域知识和模型内嵌可解释性方面提升评估性能与结果可信度。首先分析电气特征量与暂态稳定间的理论映射关系,引导模型特征选择;其次分析基于Kuramoto耦合振子模型的同步现象,将同步关键参数(节点耦合强度)引入图卷积神经网络(graph convolution network,GCN)的空间拓扑表示;在此基础上,结合内嵌可解释的Informer模型,提出Infor-GCN模型提取暂态过程特征时空耦合信息并进行特征增强;然后针对不同特征的稳定判别结果设计综合输出策略,提高模型结果可靠性。最后在IEEE-68节点系统的仿真算例表明所提方法在评估准确度和分析效率上具有优越性,并且在新样本下具备较强的泛化能力。 展开更多
关键词 暂态稳定评估 深度学习 图卷积神经网络 同步知识 时空特征
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Spatio-temporal orediction of terrorist attacks based on GCN-LSTM
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作者 Yingjie Du Ning Ding Hongyu Lv 《Journal of Safety Science and Resilience》 2025年第2期186-195,共10页
Terrorist attacks represent a significant threat to national order,social stability,and economic security.Accurate prediction of such attacks is a critical task for casualty reduction,enhanced decision-making,and opti... Terrorist attacks represent a significant threat to national order,social stability,and economic security.Accurate prediction of such attacks is a critical task for casualty reduction,enhanced decision-making,and optimal resource distribution in counter-terrorism efforts.This paper introduces an innovative spatio-temporal fusion framework that combines graph convolutional network(GCN)with long short-term memory(LSTM)models.By capturing and merging spatio-temporal features from relevant events,the proposed GCN-LSTM model achieves remarkable accuracy in predicting terrorist attacks.The experimental results demonstrate outstanding perfor-mance,with the model attaining minimal RMSE and MAE values of 0.037 and 0.031,respectively,surpassing all baseline models(LSTM,GCN,and CNN-LSTM-Transformer).Through its effective interpretation of complex spatio-temporal patterns underlying terrorist attacks,our model substantially enhances the predictive accuracy across diverse time horizons.These findings carry crucial implications for enhancing counter-terrorism strategies. 展开更多
关键词 Terrorist attacks spatio-temporal prediction graph convolutional networks Long short-termmemory COUNTER-TERRORISM
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Detection and Classification of Transmission Line Transient Faults Based on Graph Convolutional Neural Network 被引量:6
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作者 Houjie Tong Robert C.Qiu +3 位作者 Dongxia Zhang Haosen Yang Qi Ding Xin Shi 《CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems》 SCIE CSCD 2021年第3期456-471,共16页
We present a novel transient fault detection and classification approach in power transmission lines based on graph convolutional neural network.Compared with the existing techniques,the proposed approach considers ex... We present a novel transient fault detection and classification approach in power transmission lines based on graph convolutional neural network.Compared with the existing techniques,the proposed approach considers explicit spatial information in sampling sequences as prior knowledge and it has stronger feature extraction ability.On this basis,a framework for transient fault detection and classification is created.Graph structure is generated to provide topology information to the task.Our approach takes the adjacency matrix of topology graph and the bus voltage signals during a sampling period after transient faults as inputs,and outputs the predicted classification results rapidly.Furthermore,the proposed approach is tested in various situations and its generalization ability is verified by experimental results.The results show that the proposed approach can detect and classify transient faults more effectively than the existing techniques,and it is practical for online transmission line protection for its rapidness,high robustness and generalization ability. 展开更多
关键词 graph convolutional network(GCN) power transmission line fault detection and classification spatio-temporal data topology information
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GCN-LSTM spatiotemporal-network-based method for post-disturbance frequency prediction of power systems 被引量:4
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作者 Dengyi Huang Hao Liu +1 位作者 Tianshu Bi Qixun Yang 《Global Energy Interconnection》 EI CAS CSCD 2022年第1期96-107,共12页
Owing to the expansion of the grid interconnection scale,the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of the frequency response of power systems after the occurrence of disturbances have become increasingly importa... Owing to the expansion of the grid interconnection scale,the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of the frequency response of power systems after the occurrence of disturbances have become increasingly important.These characteristics can provide effective support in coordinated security control.However,traditional model-based frequencyprediction methods cannot satisfactorily meet the requirements of online applications owing to the long calculation time and accurate power-system models.Therefore,this study presents a rolling frequency-prediction model based on a graph convolutional network(GCN)and a long short-term memory(LSTM)spatiotemporal network and named as STGCN-LSTM.In the proposed method,the measurement data from phasor measurement units after the occurrence of disturbances are used to construct the spatiotemporal input.An improved GCN embedded with topology information is used to extract the spatial features,while the LSTM network is used to extract the temporal features.The spatiotemporal-network-regression model is further trained,and asynchronous-frequency-sequence prediction is realized by utilizing the rolling update of measurement information.The proposed spatiotemporal-network-based prediction model can achieve accurate frequency prediction by considering the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of the frequency response.The noise immunity and robustness of the proposed method are verified on the IEEE 39-bus and IEEE 118-bus systems. 展开更多
关键词 synchronous phasor measurement Frequency-response prediction Spatiotemporal distribution characteristics Improved graph convolutional network Long short-term memory network Spatiotemporal-network structure
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Deep Bi-Directional Adaptive Gating Graph Convolutional Networks for Spatio-Temporal Traffic Forecasting
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作者 Xin Wang Jianhui Lv +5 位作者 Madini O.Alassafi Fawaz E.Alsaadi B.D.Parameshachari Longhao Zou Gang Feng Zhonghua Liu 《Tsinghua Science and Technology》 2025年第5期2060-2080,共21页
With the advent of deep learning,various deep neural network architectures have been proposed to capture the complex spatio-temporal dependencies in traffic data.This paper introduces a novel Deep Bi-directional Adapt... With the advent of deep learning,various deep neural network architectures have been proposed to capture the complex spatio-temporal dependencies in traffic data.This paper introduces a novel Deep Bi-directional Adaptive Gating Graph Convolutional Network(DBAG-GCN)model for spatio-temporal traffic forecasting.The proposed model leverages the power of graph convolutional networks to capture the spatial dependencies in the road network topology and incorporates bi-directional gating mechanisms to control the information flow adaptively.Furthermore,we introduce a multi-scale temporal convolution module to capture multi-scale temporal dynamics and a contextual attention mechanism to integrate external factors such as weather conditions and event information.Extensive experiments on real-world traffic datasets demonstrate the superior performance of DBAG-GCN compared to state-of-the-art baselines,achieving significant improvements in prediction accuracy and computational efficiency.The DBAG-GCN model provides a powerful and flexible framework for spatio-temporal traffic forecasting,paving the way for intelligent transportation management and urban planning. 展开更多
关键词 traffic forecasting spatio-temporal modeling graph convolutional networks(GCNs) adaptive gating
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基于多通道信号二维递归融合和ECA-ConvNeXt的永磁同步电机高阻接触故障诊断 被引量:6
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作者 丁伟 宋俊材 +1 位作者 陆思良 王骁贤 《电工技术学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2024年第20期6397-6408,共12页
该文提出一种基于多通道信号二维递归融合和高效通道注意力机制新一代卷积神经网络(ECA-ConvNeXt)相结合的方法,以解决永磁同步电机高阻接触故障精细定量化诊断识别的问题。首先,建立永磁同步电机仿真模型获取三相电流信号作为有效故障... 该文提出一种基于多通道信号二维递归融合和高效通道注意力机制新一代卷积神经网络(ECA-ConvNeXt)相结合的方法,以解决永磁同步电机高阻接触故障精细定量化诊断识别的问题。首先,建立永磁同步电机仿真模型获取三相电流信号作为有效故障信号;其次,引入递归图,将三相电流信号分别映射为二维图像并进行多通道融合,以提高故障特征信息的丰富性并消除人工特征提取的影响,实现故障特征的增强显示;然后,通过在ConvNeXt中引入高效通道注意力模块,提升了网络在通道维度上的适应性,得到ECA-ConvNeXt以实现永磁同步电机故障位置类型和严重程度的精确诊断分类,分类精度达到99.18%,并通过带噪声数据验证了该方法的鲁棒性;最后,搭建了样机实验平台,验证所提方法识别精度高达97.35%,能够准确识别永磁同步电机高阻接触故障位置和严重程度。 展开更多
关键词 永磁同步电机 高阻接触故障 递归图 卷积神经网络 注意力机制
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时空注意力图卷积神经网络水下节点时钟同步算法
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作者 李华 邓金燕 《凯里学院学报》 2024年第3期71-80,共10页
时钟同步是水下无线传感器网络工作的核心机制.实时、准确的节点移动速度是构建高精度时钟同步算法的重要保障,针对同步过程由于节点移动速度难以估算导致同步精度低和能耗高等问题,提出一种基于注意力机制和图卷积神经网络相结合的时... 时钟同步是水下无线传感器网络工作的核心机制.实时、准确的节点移动速度是构建高精度时钟同步算法的重要保障,针对同步过程由于节点移动速度难以估算导致同步精度低和能耗高等问题,提出一种基于注意力机制和图卷积神经网络相结合的时钟同步算法.首先,利用深海拉格朗日洋流模型模拟节点的运动轨迹,由洋流模型粗略估计出节点的速度;对节点速度、水下环境信息集和时间占比进行融合处理,来作为图神经网络输入特征;其次使用注意力机制结合输入特征构建时空注意力权重矩阵,并根据特征数据自适应地调整权重矩阵;再联合图卷积神经网络捕捉节点速度之间、位移之间的空间性特征;在此基础上再堆叠标准卷积层进一步合并相邻时间的节点信息以获取时间相关性,然后构造节点移动模型进而实时有效地预测出节点移动速度,最后快速计算出节点动态的传播时延完成时钟同步.实验结果表明,本文算法在精度上分别比TSHL算法、D-sync算法、K-sync算法提升了26%、20%和11%,在能耗上也优于现有的时钟同步算法. 展开更多
关键词 时钟同步 洋流模型 注意力机制 图卷积神经网络
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图神经网络驱动的交通预测技术:探索与挑战 被引量:7
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作者 周毅 胡姝婷 +3 位作者 李伟 承楠 路宁 沈学民 《物联网学报》 2021年第4期1-16,共16页
随着物联网及人工智能技术的快速发展,对交通数据进行精准的分析和预测成为智慧交通的首要环节。近年来,交通预测方法逐渐从经典的模型驱动转变为数据驱动,然而,如何通过大数据有效分析路网的时空特性是预测过程中面临的关键难题之一。... 随着物联网及人工智能技术的快速发展,对交通数据进行精准的分析和预测成为智慧交通的首要环节。近年来,交通预测方法逐渐从经典的模型驱动转变为数据驱动,然而,如何通过大数据有效分析路网的时空特性是预测过程中面临的关键难题之一。时空大数据分析是交通预测的利器,将交通路网建模为图网络,将深度学习方法在图网络上进行扩展,通过图神经网络建立时空预测模型,采用图卷积的方式有效地获取路网传感器节点之间的时空相关性,可以显著提高交通预测模型的精度。针对图神经网络驱动的交通预测技术进行了探索,基于深度时空特性分析提炼了两大类交通预测模型,并通过实例进行分析和验证,探讨了图神经网络在交通预测领域的技术优势和主要挑战,挖掘了图神经网络预测机制的潜在研究方向。 展开更多
关键词 交通预测 图神经网络 时空相关性 同步卷积 图注意力网络
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基于时空卷积动态知识图谱的新能源消纳评估方法 被引量:9
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作者 陈宗源 余涛 +3 位作者 丁茂生 潘振宁 陈俊斌 刘希喆 《电力系统自动化》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2023年第15期46-54,共9页
为构建新能源消纳知识图谱,首先,将电网积累的海量调度运行数据以动态四元组的形式,显式地表达调度运行数据的时空关联关系。通过滑动时间窗口快速搜索、提取局部时空图,构建子图数据集。然后,时空同步图卷积网络对局部时空图进行高维... 为构建新能源消纳知识图谱,首先,将电网积累的海量调度运行数据以动态四元组的形式,显式地表达调度运行数据的时空关联关系。通过滑动时间窗口快速搜索、提取局部时空图,构建子图数据集。然后,时空同步图卷积网络对局部时空图进行高维特征提取,充分挖掘历史数据的时空关联关系,利用新能源消纳知识图谱中存储的机理知识对模型进行引导,并通过多子图并行训练提升模型的学习效率。最后,基于中国西北某省级电网算例进行仿真和实验验证。结果表明,所提方法可以有效避免复杂的数学建模以及模型求解,相比于传统方法具有更高的评估精度与速度。 展开更多
关键词 新能源消纳评估 知识图谱 时空同步图卷积网络 时空图 机理知识 人工智能
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基于图卷积神经网络与K-means聚类的居民用户集群短期负荷预测 被引量:40
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作者 董雷 陈振平 +2 位作者 韩富佳 王晓辉 蒲天骄 《电网技术》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2023年第10期4291-4301,共11页
随着智能电表等高级量测装置在用户侧的广泛部署与使用,海量多源异构的居民用户数据得以采集与存储,为用户级负荷预测提供良好的数据基础。精准的居民用户集群负荷预测是促进智能配电网需求侧管理、辅助电网公司实现削峰填谷的重要基础... 随着智能电表等高级量测装置在用户侧的广泛部署与使用,海量多源异构的居民用户数据得以采集与存储,为用户级负荷预测提供良好的数据基础。精准的居民用户集群负荷预测是促进智能配电网需求侧管理、辅助电网公司实现削峰填谷的重要基础。然而,现有的用户级负荷预测方法大多利用历史负荷序列的时间相关性构建数据驱动模型,却忽视相邻用户用电行为之间存在的潜在空间相关性。因此,提出一种基于K-means聚类和自适应时空同步图卷积神经网络的居民用户集群负荷预测方法。首先,采用K-means聚类将居民用户集群按照用电行为相似性划分成不同组;然后,基于居民用户集群的分组数量、各组居民用户的历史负荷数据以及各组居民用户负荷序列之间的相关性,构建面向居民用户集群负荷预测的时空图数据;最后,使用自适应时空同步图卷积神经网络实现居民用户集群短期负荷预测。文章通过真实的爱尔兰居民用户负荷公开数据集测试并验证所提方法的准确性和有效性,实验结果表明,相较于各个基准预测方法,所提方法能够充分挖掘并利用不同居民用户用电负荷之间的时空相关性,进而提高居民用户集群负荷预测精度。 展开更多
关键词 智能配电网 用户级负荷预测 居民用户集群 图数据 时空同步图卷积神经网络
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