Spatio-temporal models are valuable tools for disease mapping and understanding the geographical distribution of diseases and temporal dynamics. Spatio-temporal models have been proven empirically to be very complex a...Spatio-temporal models are valuable tools for disease mapping and understanding the geographical distribution of diseases and temporal dynamics. Spatio-temporal models have been proven empirically to be very complex and this complexity has led many to oversimply and model the spatial and temporal dependencies independently. Unlike common practice, this study formulated a new spatio-temporal model in a Bayesian hierarchical framework that accounts for spatial and temporal dependencies jointly. The spatial and temporal dependencies were dynamically modelled via the matern exponential covariance function. The temporal aspect was captured by the parameters of the exponential with a first-order autoregressive structure. Inferences about the parameters were obtained via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques and the spatio-temporal maps were obtained by mapping stable posterior means from the specific location and time from the best model that includes the significant risk factors. The model formulated was fitted to both simulation data and Kenya meningitis incidence data from 2013 to 2019 along with two covariates;Gross County Product (GCP) and average rainfall. The study found that both average rainfall and GCP had a significant positive association with meningitis occurrence. Also, regarding geographical distribution, the spatio-temporal maps showed that meningitis is not evenly distributed across the country as some counties reported a high number of cases compared with other counties.展开更多
The development of spatio-temporal data model is introduced. According to the soil characteristic of reclamation land, we adopt the base state with amendments model of multi-layer raster to organize the spatio-tempora...The development of spatio-temporal data model is introduced. According to the soil characteristic of reclamation land, we adopt the base state with amendments model of multi-layer raster to organize the spatio-temporal data, using the combined data structure on linear quadtree and linear octree to code. The advantage of this model is that it can easily obtain the information of certain layer and integratedly analyze the data with other methods. Then, the methods of obtain and analyses are introduced. The method can provide a tool for the research of the soil characteristic change and spatial distribution in reclamation land.展开更多
Periodic marketing is a unique and imporant socio-economic feature of Chinese ruraltowns, the economic, political, social and cultural centres in rural areas. Through two detailed casestudies in the North China Plain...Periodic marketing is a unique and imporant socio-economic feature of Chinese ruraltowns, the economic, political, social and cultural centres in rural areas. Through two detailed casestudies in the North China Plain in 1990, mis paper examined the temporal and spatialcharacteristics, especially their interrelationship. of regional periodic market systems and theirrelationship with rural development in modern China. The distribution of periodic market-towns isfound to be on consumer convenience, and to have an apparent hierarchical structure and centralplace characteristics. Further, the spatial coordination system of periodic marketing has a reverserelationship of spatio-temporal synchronisation. Finally, this paper notes that periodic marketingimposes significant influence on rural development through conducting and controlling goods flow and population flow in rural economic system.展开更多
This paper presents an investigation into the spatio-temporal dynamics of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome(SARS)across the diverse health regions of Brazil from 2016 to 2024.Leveraging extensive datasets that include...This paper presents an investigation into the spatio-temporal dynamics of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome(SARS)across the diverse health regions of Brazil from 2016 to 2024.Leveraging extensive datasets that include SARS cases,climate data,hospitalization records,and COVID-19 vaccination information,our study employs a Bayesian spatio-temporal generalized linear model to capture the intricate dependencies inherent in the dataset.The analysis reveals significant variations in the incidence of SARS cases over time,particularly during and between the distinct eras of pre-COVID-19,during,and post-COVID-19.Our modeling approach accommodates explanatory variables such as humidity,temperature,and COVID-19 vaccine doses,providing a comprehensive understanding of the factors influencing SARS dynamics.Our modeling revealed unique temporal trends in SARS cases for each region,resembling neighborhood patterns.Low temperature and high humidity were linked to decreased cases,while in the COVID-19 era,temperature and vaccination coverage played significant roles.The findings contribute valuable insights into the spatial and temporal patterns of SARS in Brazil,offering a foundation for targeted public health interventions and preparedness strategies.展开更多
Electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis is critical for detecting arrhythmias, but traditional methods struggle with large-scale Electrocardiogram data and rare arrhythmia events in imbalanced datasets. These methods fail to...Electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis is critical for detecting arrhythmias, but traditional methods struggle with large-scale Electrocardiogram data and rare arrhythmia events in imbalanced datasets. These methods fail to perform multi-perspective learning of temporal signals and Electrocardiogram images, nor can they fully extract the latent information within the data, falling short of the accuracy required by clinicians. Therefore, this paper proposes an innovative hybrid multimodal spatiotemporal neural network to address these challenges. The model employs a multimodal data augmentation framework integrating visual and signal-based features to enhance the classification performance of rare arrhythmias in imbalanced datasets. Additionally, the spatiotemporal fusion module incorporates a spatiotemporal graph convolutional network to jointly model temporal and spatial features, uncovering complex dependencies within the Electrocardiogram data and improving the model’s ability to represent complex patterns. In experiments conducted on the MIT-BIH arrhythmia dataset, the model achieved 99.95% accuracy, 99.80% recall, and a 99.78% F1 score. The model was further validated for generalization using the clinical INCART arrhythmia dataset, and the results demonstrated its effectiveness in terms of both generalization and robustness.展开更多
Objective To investigate the spatiotemporal patterns and socioeconomic factors influencing the incidence of tuberculosis(TB)in the Guangdong Province between 2010 and 2019.Method Spatial and temporal variations in TB ...Objective To investigate the spatiotemporal patterns and socioeconomic factors influencing the incidence of tuberculosis(TB)in the Guangdong Province between 2010 and 2019.Method Spatial and temporal variations in TB incidence were mapped using heat maps and hierarchical clustering.Socioenvironmental influencing factors were evaluated using a Bayesian spatiotemporal conditional autoregressive(ST-CAR)model.Results Annual incidence of TB in Guangdong decreased from 91.85/100,000 in 2010 to 53.06/100,000in 2019.Spatial hotspots were found in northeastern Guangdong,particularly in Heyuan,Shanwei,and Shantou,while Shenzhen,Dongguan,and Foshan had the lowest rates in the Pearl River Delta.The STCAR model showed that the TB risk was lower with higher per capita Gross Domestic Product(GDP)[Relative Risk(RR),0.91;95%Confidence Interval(CI):0.86–0.98],more the ratio of licensed physicians and physician(RR,0.94;95%CI:0.90-0.98),and higher per capita public expenditure(RR,0.94;95%CI:0.90–0.97),with a marginal effect of population density(RR,0.86;95%CI:0.86–1.00).Conclusion The incidence of TB in Guangdong varies spatially and temporally.Areas with poor economic conditions and insufficient healthcare resources are at an increased risk of TB infection.Strategies focusing on equitable health resource distribution and economic development are the key to TB control.展开更多
Due to water conflicts and allocation in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin(LMRB),the spatio-temporal differentiation of total water resources and the natural-human influence need to be clarified.This work investigated LM...Due to water conflicts and allocation in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin(LMRB),the spatio-temporal differentiation of total water resources and the natural-human influence need to be clarified.This work investigated LMRB's terrestrial water storage anomaly(TWSA)and its spatio-temporal dynamics during 2002–2020.Considering the effects of natural factors and human activities,the respective contributions of climate variability and human activities to terrestrial water storage change(TWSC)were separated.Results showed that:(1)LMRB's TWSA decreased by 0.3158 cm/a.(2)TWSA showed a gradual increase in distribution from southwest of MRB to middle LMRB and from northeast of LRB to middle LMRB.TWSA positively changed in Myanmar while slightly changed in Laos and China.It negatively changed in Vietnam,Thailand and Cambodia.(3)TWSA components decreased in a descending order of soil moisture,groundwater and precipitation.(4)Natural factors had a substantial and spatial differentiated influence on TWSA over the LMRB.(5)Climate variability contributed 79%of TWSC in the LMRB while human activities contributed 21%with an increasing impact after 2008.The TWSC of upstream basin countries was found to be controlled by climate variability while Vietnam and Cambodia's TWSC has been controlled by human activities since 2012.展开更多
The ability to accurately predict urban traffic flows is crucial for optimising city operations.Consequently,various methods for forecasting urban traffic have been developed,focusing on analysing historical data to u...The ability to accurately predict urban traffic flows is crucial for optimising city operations.Consequently,various methods for forecasting urban traffic have been developed,focusing on analysing historical data to understand complex mobility patterns.Deep learning techniques,such as graph neural networks(GNNs),are popular for their ability to capture spatio-temporal dependencies.However,these models often become overly complex due to the large number of hyper-parameters involved.In this study,we introduce Dynamic Multi-Graph Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Ordinary Differential Equation Networks(DMST-GNODE),a framework based on ordinary differential equations(ODEs)that autonomously discovers effective spatial-temporal graph neural network(STGNN)architectures for traffic prediction tasks.The comparative analysis of DMST-GNODE and baseline models indicates that DMST-GNODE model demonstrates superior performance across multiple datasets,consistently achieving the lowest Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)and Mean Absolute Error(MAE)values,alongside the highest accuracy.On the BKK(Bangkok)dataset,it outperformed other models with an RMSE of 3.3165 and an accuracy of 0.9367 for a 20-min interval,maintaining this trend across 40 and 60 min.Similarly,on the PeMS08 dataset,DMST-GNODE achieved the best performance with an RMSE of 19.4863 and an accuracy of 0.9377 at 20 min,demonstrating its effectiveness over longer periods.The Los_Loop dataset results further emphasise this model’s advantage,with an RMSE of 3.3422 and an accuracy of 0.7643 at 20 min,consistently maintaining superiority across all time intervals.These numerical highlights indicate that DMST-GNODE not only outperforms baseline models but also achieves higher accuracy and lower errors across different time intervals and datasets.展开更多
This study examines the effects of rapid land use changes in India,with a specific focus on Sonipat District in Haryana—a region undergoing significant urban expansion.Over the past two decades,rural landscapes in So...This study examines the effects of rapid land use changes in India,with a specific focus on Sonipat District in Haryana—a region undergoing significant urban expansion.Over the past two decades,rural landscapes in Sonipat have undergone notable transformation,as open spaces and agricultural lands are increasingly converted into residential colonies,commercial hubs,and industrial zones.While such changes reflect economic development and urban growth,they also raise critical concerns about sustainability,especially in terms of food security,groundwater depletion,and environmental degradation.The study examines land use changes between 2000 and 2024 using remote sensing techniques and spatial analysis.It further incorporates secondary data and insights from community-level interactions to assess the socio-economic and ecological impacts of this transformation.The findings indicate rising land fragmentation,loss of agricultural livelihoods,pressure on civic infrastructure,and increasing pollution—factors that threaten long-term regional sustainability.The study underscores the urgent need to reconcile urban development with environmental and social sustainability.By offering a detailed case study of Sonipat,this research contributes to the broader discourse on India’s urbanisation pathways.It aims to provide policymakers,planners,and researchers with evidence-based recommendations to manage land transitions more responsibly,promoting urban growth models that ensure ecological integrity,equitable development,and long-term resilience.展开更多
As Deepfake technology continues to evolve,the distinction between real and fake content becomes increasingly blurred.Most existing Deepfake video detectionmethods rely on single-frame facial image features,which limi...As Deepfake technology continues to evolve,the distinction between real and fake content becomes increasingly blurred.Most existing Deepfake video detectionmethods rely on single-frame facial image features,which limits their ability to capture temporal differences between frames.Current methods also exhibit limited generalization capabilities,struggling to detect content generated by unknown forgery algorithms.Moreover,the diversity and complexity of forgery techniques introduced by Artificial Intelligence Generated Content(AIGC)present significant challenges for traditional detection frameworks,whichmust balance high detection accuracy with robust performance.To address these challenges,we propose a novel Deepfake detection framework that combines a two-stream convolutional network with a Vision Transformer(ViT)module to enhance spatio-temporal feature representation.The ViT model extracts spatial features from the forged video,while the 3D convolutional network captures temporal features.The 3D convolution enables cross-frame feature extraction,allowing the model to detect subtle facial changes between frames.The confidence scores from both the ViT and 3D convolution submodels are fused at the decision layer,enabling themodel to effectively handle unknown forgery techniques.Focusing on Deepfake videos and GAN-generated images,the proposed approach is evaluated on two widely used public face forgery datasets.Compared to existing state-of-theartmethods,it achieves higher detection accuracy and better generalization performance,offering a robust solution for deepfake detection in real-world scenarios.展开更多
Current spatio-temporal action detection methods lack sufficient capabilities in extracting and comprehending spatio-temporal information. This paper introduces an end-to-end Adaptive Cross-Scale Fusion Encoder-Decode...Current spatio-temporal action detection methods lack sufficient capabilities in extracting and comprehending spatio-temporal information. This paper introduces an end-to-end Adaptive Cross-Scale Fusion Encoder-Decoder (ACSF-ED) network to predict the action and locate the object efficiently. In the Adaptive Cross-Scale Fusion Spatio-Temporal Encoder (ACSF ST-Encoder), the Asymptotic Cross-scale Feature-fusion Module (ACCFM) is designed to address the issue of information degradation caused by the propagation of high-level semantic information, thereby extracting high-quality multi-scale features to provide superior features for subsequent spatio-temporal information modeling. Within the Shared-Head Decoder structure, a shared classification and regression detection head is constructed. A multi-constraint loss function composed of one-to-one, one-to-many, and contrastive denoising losses is designed to address the problem of insufficient constraint force in predicting results with traditional methods. This loss function enhances the accuracy of model classification predictions and improves the proximity of regression position predictions to ground truth objects. The proposed method model is evaluated on the popular dataset UCF101-24 and JHMDB-21. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method achieves an accuracy of 81.52% on the Frame-mAP metric, surpassing current existing methods.展开更多
To solve the problem of target damage assessment when fragments attack target under uncertain projectile and target intersection in an air defense intercept,this paper proposes a method for calculating target damage p...To solve the problem of target damage assessment when fragments attack target under uncertain projectile and target intersection in an air defense intercept,this paper proposes a method for calculating target damage probability leveraging spatio-temporal finite multilayer fragments distribution and the target damage assessment algorithm based on cloud model theory.Drawing on the spatial dispersion characteristics of fragments of projectile proximity explosion,we divide into a finite number of fragments distribution planes based on the time series in space,set up a fragment layer dispersion model grounded in the time series and intersection criterion for determining the effective penetration of each layer of fragments into the target.Building on the precondition that the multilayer fragments of the time series effectively assail the target,we also establish the damage criterion of the perforation and penetration damage and deduce the damage probability calculation model.Taking the damage probability of the fragment layer in the spatio-temporal sequence to the target as the input state variable,we introduce cloud model theory to research the target damage assessment method.Combining the equivalent simulation experiment,the scientific and rational nature of the proposed method were validated through quantitative calculations and comparative analysis.展开更多
Exploring the spatial evolution patterns of land use in creative urban tourism complexes provides theoretical and decision-making support to foster creative tourism projects.This study focuses on the Hangzhou Leisure ...Exploring the spatial evolution patterns of land use in creative urban tourism complexes provides theoretical and decision-making support to foster creative tourism projects.This study focuses on the Hangzhou Leisure Expo Garden as a case study,utilizing a land use change index model to analyze the spatial evolution characteristics and dynamic processes of creative urban tourism complexes,as well as to explore their spatial differentiation mechanisms.The analysis indicates that Hangzhou Leisure Expo Garden,initially a derelict industrial area dominated by production and residential land use,has evolved into a creative urban tourism complex with tourism comprehensive service land at its core,going through the pattern evolution processes of“constrained sprawl,”“intensive expansion,”and“random integration.”From the perspective of tourism human-land relationships,the formation of land use evolution patterns in creative urban tourism complexes results from various stakeholders(government,tourism enterprises,residents,tourists,etc.),as humanistic factors,continuously adapting to specific urban spaces,which are considered as geographical elements and have locational advantages and are oriented towards economic and social values.Based on the acquisition of stakeholder interests,the transformation of resource-disadvantaged areas into tourism advantage areas is facilitated,thereby achieving the re-creation of tourism creative space and promoting intensive spatial growth.展开更多
Strong sensitivity of satellite microwave remote sensing to the change of surface dielectric properties,as well as the insensitivity to air pollution and solar illumination effects,makes it very suitable for monitorin...Strong sensitivity of satellite microwave remote sensing to the change of surface dielectric properties,as well as the insensitivity to air pollution and solar illumination effects,makes it very suitable for monitoring freeze-thaw conditions.The freeze-thaw cycle changes in the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau have an important impact on the ecological environment and infrastructure.Based on the Scanning Multi-channel Microwave Radiometer(SMMR)and other sensors of microwave satellite,the freeze-thaw cycle data of permafrost in the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau in the past 40 years from 1981 to 2020 was obtained.The changes of soil freeze-thaw conditions in different seasons of 2020 and in the same season of 1990,2000,2010 and 2020 were compared,and the annual variation trend of soil freeze-thaw area in the four years was analyzed.Further,the linear regression analysis was carried out on the duration of soil freezing/thawing/transition and the interannual variation trend under different area conditions from 1981 to 2020.The results show that the freeze-thaw changes in different years are similar.In winter,it is mainly frozen for about 110 days.Spring and autumn are transitional periods,lasting for 170 days.In summer,it is mainly thawed for about 80 days.From 1981 to 2020,the freezing period and the average freezing area of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau decreased at a rate of 0.22 days and 1986 km^(2) per year,respectively,while the thawing period and the average thawing area increased at a rate of 0.07 days and 3187 km^(2) per year,respectively.The research results provide important theoretical support for the ecological environment and permafrost protection of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau.展开更多
False Data Injection Attacks(FDIAs)pose a critical security threat to modern power grids,corrupting state estimation and enabling malicious control actions that can lead to severe consequences,including cascading fail...False Data Injection Attacks(FDIAs)pose a critical security threat to modern power grids,corrupting state estimation and enabling malicious control actions that can lead to severe consequences,including cascading failures,large-scale blackouts,and significant economic losses.While detecting attacks is important,accurately localizing compromised nodes or measurements is even more critical,as it enables timely mitigation,targeted response,and enhanced system resilience beyond what detection alone can offer.Existing research typically models topological features using fixed structures,which can introduce irrelevant information and affect the effectiveness of feature extraction.To address this limitation,this paper proposes an FDIA localization model with adaptive neighborhood selection,which dynamically captures spatial dependencies of the power grid by adjusting node relationships based on data-driven similarities.The improved Transformer is employed to pre-fuse global spatial features of the graph,enriching the feature representation.To improve spatio-temporal correlation extraction for FDIA localization,the proposed model employs dilated causal convolution with a gating mechanism combined with graph convolution to capture and fuse long-range temporal features and adaptive topological features.This fully exploits the temporal dynamics and spatial dependencies inherent in the power grid.Finally,multi-source information is integrated to generate highly robust node embeddings,enhancing FDIA detection and localization.Experiments are conducted on IEEE 14,57,and 118-bus systems,and the results demonstrate that the proposed model substantially improves the accuracy of FDIA localization.Additional experiments are conducted to verify the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed model.展开更多
In this paper,the Taixin Integrated Economic Zone in Shanxi Province is taken as the research object,and the coupling coordination degree model and bivariate spatial autocorrelation model are used to judge the couplin...In this paper,the Taixin Integrated Economic Zone in Shanxi Province is taken as the research object,and the coupling coordination degree model and bivariate spatial autocorrelation model are used to judge the coupling coordination and spatial-temporal correlation between urbanization and ecosystem service,and the hotspot analysis is used to judge the spatial-temporal trend of urbanization and ecosystem service.The results show that:(1)The urbanization level from 2000 to 2020 continued to rise,the areas with relatively high urbanization were concentrated in the central part of the study area,and the relatively high terrain areas on both sides of the study area,the urbanization was relatively slow,and the hotspot areas with highly significant and significant urbanization level from 2000 to 2020 were distributed as bands in the central part of the study area and the area was rising,and there was no Cold spot area distribution;between 2000 and 2020,the ecosystem service value in the study area increased by 2.6800×10^(8) yuan.Over these two decades,it exhibited a development trend that first rose and then declined.The woodland and grassland agglomeration areas were located on the two sides of the study area,forming highly significant and significant hotspots.Conversely,the central and northeastern parts of the study area were characterized by concentrated man-made land surfaces and croplands,resulting in the formation of highly significant and significant cold spots.(2)In the central part of the study area where man-made land surface and cultivated land are concentrated,the coupling coordination between urbanization and ecosystem service is in the intermediate dislocation and mild dislocation interval;the woodland and grassland concentration areas on both sides of the study area are ecologically fragile,and the coupling coordination between the two is in the level of less than intermediate dislocation.(3)From 2000 to 2020,urbanization and the value of ecosystem services were both negatively correlated,although the correlation coefficient was low.In the central and northeastern parts,urbanization and ecosystem service exhibited patterns of high-low,high-high,and low-low clustering.Conversely,on both sides of the study area,most of the clusters showed a low-high pattern.展开更多
Due to the increasingly severe challenges brought by various epidemic diseases,people urgently need intelligent outbreak trend prediction.Predicting disease onset is very important to assist decision-making.Most of th...Due to the increasingly severe challenges brought by various epidemic diseases,people urgently need intelligent outbreak trend prediction.Predicting disease onset is very important to assist decision-making.Most of the exist-ing work fails to make full use of the temporal and spatial characteristics of epidemics,and also relies on multi-variate data for prediction.In this paper,we propose a Multi-Scale Location Attention Graph Neural Networks(MSLAGNN)based on a large number of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention(CDC)patient electronic medical records research sequence source data sets.In order to understand the geography and timeliness of infec-tious diseases,specific neural networks are used to extract the geography and timeliness of infectious diseases.In the model framework,the features of different periods are extracted by a multi-scale convolution module.At the same time,the propagation effects between regions are simulated by graph convolution and attention mechan-isms.We compare the proposed method with the most advanced statistical methods and deep learning models.Meanwhile,we conduct comparative experiments on data sets with different time lengths to observe the predic-tion performance of the model in the face of different degrees of data collection.We conduct extensive experi-ments on real-world epidemic-related data sets.The method has strong prediction performance and can be readily used for epidemic prediction.展开更多
In this paper, we studied the traveling wave solutions of a SIR epidemic model with spatial-temporal delay. We proved that this result is determined by the basic reproduction number R0and the minimum wave speed c*of t...In this paper, we studied the traveling wave solutions of a SIR epidemic model with spatial-temporal delay. We proved that this result is determined by the basic reproduction number R0and the minimum wave speed c*of the corresponding ordinary differential equations. The methods used in this paper are primarily the Schauder fixed point theorem and comparison principle. We have proved that when R0>1and c>c*, the model has a non-negative and non-trivial traveling wave solution. However, for R01and c≥0or R0>1and 0cc*, the model does not have a traveling wave solution.展开更多
Snowmelt runoffis an important component of water resources in the Northwest China(NWC).With global cli-mate warming and the increasing frequency of extreme events,snowmelt floods have caused significant damage.Howeve...Snowmelt runoffis an important component of water resources in the Northwest China(NWC).With global cli-mate warming and the increasing frequency of extreme events,snowmelt floods have caused significant damage.However,current studies lack comprehensive research and systematic risk assessments of snowmelt floods across the NWC.Based on the snowmelt runoffsimulated by GLDAS-NOAH model(1948-2022),the multiple indicators of snowmelt floods were retrieved by Peaks Over Threshold(POT)model in the NWC,and comprehensive risk assessment was conducted by integrating socio-economic data.The results indicated that the snowmelt runoffin the NWC shows a significant increasing trend and exhibits a spatial pattern of being more abundant in the northwest and southwest edges while less in the central and eastern regions.In Northern Xinjiang,snowmelt floods occurred relatively infrequently but with large magnitudes,while around the Qilian Mountains,snowmelt floods were more frequent but of smaller magnitudes.The longest duration of snowmelt floods was observed in the Kashgar and Yarkant River.Basins near mountainous areas are prone to snowmelt floods,especially the Tongtian and Lancang River basins,as well as the Ebinur Lake,Ili River basin,and the rivers south of the Altai Mountains,which face the highest risk of snowmelt floods.Based on comprehensive assessment of hazard,expo-sure,vulnerability and adaptability,high and very high-risk areas account for 15.5%of the NWC.It is urgent to enhance monitoring,early warning systems,and implement corresponding disaster prevention and mitigation measures in large mountainous basins.展开更多
The article presents the results of in-kind measurements and numerical modeling of the formation of water characteristics in the Kama River,which is used for technical water supply in the production of potash fertiliz...The article presents the results of in-kind measurements and numerical modeling of the formation of water characteristics in the Kama River,which is used for technical water supply in the production of potash fertilizers.In the warm season,risks arise that threaten the sustainability of the water supply.It was found that in the summer,when the studied section of the Kama River is backed up by the KamaHydroelectric Power Station,there is a significant decrease in flow rates,which leads to vertical stratification of water properties.This,in turn,significantly limits the possibilities of using water fromthe bottom zone.Under conditions of significant water discharge from the reservoir,this section has river conditions with significantly higher flow rates.Under such conditions,intense vertical mixing of water masses occurs,which improves the consumer properties of water necessary for sustainable water supply.The results of numerical modeling carried out within the framework of the three-dimensional approach confirmed this conclusion.It is shown that with an increase in the flow rate in the channel near thewater intake,the concentration of salts decreases,which is an important factor in ensuring high-quality water supply.展开更多
文摘Spatio-temporal models are valuable tools for disease mapping and understanding the geographical distribution of diseases and temporal dynamics. Spatio-temporal models have been proven empirically to be very complex and this complexity has led many to oversimply and model the spatial and temporal dependencies independently. Unlike common practice, this study formulated a new spatio-temporal model in a Bayesian hierarchical framework that accounts for spatial and temporal dependencies jointly. The spatial and temporal dependencies were dynamically modelled via the matern exponential covariance function. The temporal aspect was captured by the parameters of the exponential with a first-order autoregressive structure. Inferences about the parameters were obtained via Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques and the spatio-temporal maps were obtained by mapping stable posterior means from the specific location and time from the best model that includes the significant risk factors. The model formulated was fitted to both simulation data and Kenya meningitis incidence data from 2013 to 2019 along with two covariates;Gross County Product (GCP) and average rainfall. The study found that both average rainfall and GCP had a significant positive association with meningitis occurrence. Also, regarding geographical distribution, the spatio-temporal maps showed that meningitis is not evenly distributed across the country as some counties reported a high number of cases compared with other counties.
文摘The development of spatio-temporal data model is introduced. According to the soil characteristic of reclamation land, we adopt the base state with amendments model of multi-layer raster to organize the spatio-temporal data, using the combined data structure on linear quadtree and linear octree to code. The advantage of this model is that it can easily obtain the information of certain layer and integratedly analyze the data with other methods. Then, the methods of obtain and analyses are introduced. The method can provide a tool for the research of the soil characteristic change and spatial distribution in reclamation land.
文摘Periodic marketing is a unique and imporant socio-economic feature of Chinese ruraltowns, the economic, political, social and cultural centres in rural areas. Through two detailed casestudies in the North China Plain in 1990, mis paper examined the temporal and spatialcharacteristics, especially their interrelationship. of regional periodic market systems and theirrelationship with rural development in modern China. The distribution of periodic market-towns isfound to be on consumer convenience, and to have an apparent hierarchical structure and centralplace characteristics. Further, the spatial coordination system of periodic marketing has a reverserelationship of spatio-temporal synchronisation. Finally, this paper notes that periodic marketingimposes significant influence on rural development through conducting and controlling goods flow and population flow in rural economic system.
文摘This paper presents an investigation into the spatio-temporal dynamics of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome(SARS)across the diverse health regions of Brazil from 2016 to 2024.Leveraging extensive datasets that include SARS cases,climate data,hospitalization records,and COVID-19 vaccination information,our study employs a Bayesian spatio-temporal generalized linear model to capture the intricate dependencies inherent in the dataset.The analysis reveals significant variations in the incidence of SARS cases over time,particularly during and between the distinct eras of pre-COVID-19,during,and post-COVID-19.Our modeling approach accommodates explanatory variables such as humidity,temperature,and COVID-19 vaccine doses,providing a comprehensive understanding of the factors influencing SARS dynamics.Our modeling revealed unique temporal trends in SARS cases for each region,resembling neighborhood patterns.Low temperature and high humidity were linked to decreased cases,while in the COVID-19 era,temperature and vaccination coverage played significant roles.The findings contribute valuable insights into the spatial and temporal patterns of SARS in Brazil,offering a foundation for targeted public health interventions and preparedness strategies.
基金supported by The Henan Province Science and Technology Research Project(242102211046)the Key Scientific Research Project of Higher Education Institutions in Henan Province(25A520039)+1 种基金theNatural Science Foundation project of Zhongyuan Institute of Technology(K2025YB011)the Zhongyuan University of Technology Graduate Education and Teaching Reform Research Project(JG202424).
文摘Electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis is critical for detecting arrhythmias, but traditional methods struggle with large-scale Electrocardiogram data and rare arrhythmia events in imbalanced datasets. These methods fail to perform multi-perspective learning of temporal signals and Electrocardiogram images, nor can they fully extract the latent information within the data, falling short of the accuracy required by clinicians. Therefore, this paper proposes an innovative hybrid multimodal spatiotemporal neural network to address these challenges. The model employs a multimodal data augmentation framework integrating visual and signal-based features to enhance the classification performance of rare arrhythmias in imbalanced datasets. Additionally, the spatiotemporal fusion module incorporates a spatiotemporal graph convolutional network to jointly model temporal and spatial features, uncovering complex dependencies within the Electrocardiogram data and improving the model’s ability to represent complex patterns. In experiments conducted on the MIT-BIH arrhythmia dataset, the model achieved 99.95% accuracy, 99.80% recall, and a 99.78% F1 score. The model was further validated for generalization using the clinical INCART arrhythmia dataset, and the results demonstrated its effectiveness in terms of both generalization and robustness.
基金supported by the Guangdong Provincial Clinical Research Center for Tuberculosis(No.2020B1111170014)。
文摘Objective To investigate the spatiotemporal patterns and socioeconomic factors influencing the incidence of tuberculosis(TB)in the Guangdong Province between 2010 and 2019.Method Spatial and temporal variations in TB incidence were mapped using heat maps and hierarchical clustering.Socioenvironmental influencing factors were evaluated using a Bayesian spatiotemporal conditional autoregressive(ST-CAR)model.Results Annual incidence of TB in Guangdong decreased from 91.85/100,000 in 2010 to 53.06/100,000in 2019.Spatial hotspots were found in northeastern Guangdong,particularly in Heyuan,Shanwei,and Shantou,while Shenzhen,Dongguan,and Foshan had the lowest rates in the Pearl River Delta.The STCAR model showed that the TB risk was lower with higher per capita Gross Domestic Product(GDP)[Relative Risk(RR),0.91;95%Confidence Interval(CI):0.86–0.98],more the ratio of licensed physicians and physician(RR,0.94;95%CI:0.90-0.98),and higher per capita public expenditure(RR,0.94;95%CI:0.90–0.97),with a marginal effect of population density(RR,0.86;95%CI:0.86–1.00).Conclusion The incidence of TB in Guangdong varies spatially and temporally.Areas with poor economic conditions and insufficient healthcare resources are at an increased risk of TB infection.Strategies focusing on equitable health resource distribution and economic development are the key to TB control.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.42161006Yunnan Fundamental Research Projects No.202201AT070094,No.202301BF070001-004+1 种基金Special Project for High-level Talents of Yunnan Province for Young Top Talents,No.C6213001159European Research Council(ERC)Starting-Grant STORIES,No.101040939。
文摘Due to water conflicts and allocation in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin(LMRB),the spatio-temporal differentiation of total water resources and the natural-human influence need to be clarified.This work investigated LMRB's terrestrial water storage anomaly(TWSA)and its spatio-temporal dynamics during 2002–2020.Considering the effects of natural factors and human activities,the respective contributions of climate variability and human activities to terrestrial water storage change(TWSC)were separated.Results showed that:(1)LMRB's TWSA decreased by 0.3158 cm/a.(2)TWSA showed a gradual increase in distribution from southwest of MRB to middle LMRB and from northeast of LRB to middle LMRB.TWSA positively changed in Myanmar while slightly changed in Laos and China.It negatively changed in Vietnam,Thailand and Cambodia.(3)TWSA components decreased in a descending order of soil moisture,groundwater and precipitation.(4)Natural factors had a substantial and spatial differentiated influence on TWSA over the LMRB.(5)Climate variability contributed 79%of TWSC in the LMRB while human activities contributed 21%with an increasing impact after 2008.The TWSC of upstream basin countries was found to be controlled by climate variability while Vietnam and Cambodia's TWSC has been controlled by human activities since 2012.
文摘The ability to accurately predict urban traffic flows is crucial for optimising city operations.Consequently,various methods for forecasting urban traffic have been developed,focusing on analysing historical data to understand complex mobility patterns.Deep learning techniques,such as graph neural networks(GNNs),are popular for their ability to capture spatio-temporal dependencies.However,these models often become overly complex due to the large number of hyper-parameters involved.In this study,we introduce Dynamic Multi-Graph Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Ordinary Differential Equation Networks(DMST-GNODE),a framework based on ordinary differential equations(ODEs)that autonomously discovers effective spatial-temporal graph neural network(STGNN)architectures for traffic prediction tasks.The comparative analysis of DMST-GNODE and baseline models indicates that DMST-GNODE model demonstrates superior performance across multiple datasets,consistently achieving the lowest Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)and Mean Absolute Error(MAE)values,alongside the highest accuracy.On the BKK(Bangkok)dataset,it outperformed other models with an RMSE of 3.3165 and an accuracy of 0.9367 for a 20-min interval,maintaining this trend across 40 and 60 min.Similarly,on the PeMS08 dataset,DMST-GNODE achieved the best performance with an RMSE of 19.4863 and an accuracy of 0.9377 at 20 min,demonstrating its effectiveness over longer periods.The Los_Loop dataset results further emphasise this model’s advantage,with an RMSE of 3.3422 and an accuracy of 0.7643 at 20 min,consistently maintaining superiority across all time intervals.These numerical highlights indicate that DMST-GNODE not only outperforms baseline models but also achieves higher accuracy and lower errors across different time intervals and datasets.
文摘This study examines the effects of rapid land use changes in India,with a specific focus on Sonipat District in Haryana—a region undergoing significant urban expansion.Over the past two decades,rural landscapes in Sonipat have undergone notable transformation,as open spaces and agricultural lands are increasingly converted into residential colonies,commercial hubs,and industrial zones.While such changes reflect economic development and urban growth,they also raise critical concerns about sustainability,especially in terms of food security,groundwater depletion,and environmental degradation.The study examines land use changes between 2000 and 2024 using remote sensing techniques and spatial analysis.It further incorporates secondary data and insights from community-level interactions to assess the socio-economic and ecological impacts of this transformation.The findings indicate rising land fragmentation,loss of agricultural livelihoods,pressure on civic infrastructure,and increasing pollution—factors that threaten long-term regional sustainability.The study underscores the urgent need to reconcile urban development with environmental and social sustainability.By offering a detailed case study of Sonipat,this research contributes to the broader discourse on India’s urbanisation pathways.It aims to provide policymakers,planners,and researchers with evidence-based recommendations to manage land transitions more responsibly,promoting urban growth models that ensure ecological integrity,equitable development,and long-term resilience.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.62477026,62177029,61807020)Humanities and Social Sciences Research Program of the Ministry of Education of China(No.23YJAZH047)the Startup Foundation for Introducing Talent of Nanjing University of Posts and Communications under Grant NY222034.
文摘As Deepfake technology continues to evolve,the distinction between real and fake content becomes increasingly blurred.Most existing Deepfake video detectionmethods rely on single-frame facial image features,which limits their ability to capture temporal differences between frames.Current methods also exhibit limited generalization capabilities,struggling to detect content generated by unknown forgery algorithms.Moreover,the diversity and complexity of forgery techniques introduced by Artificial Intelligence Generated Content(AIGC)present significant challenges for traditional detection frameworks,whichmust balance high detection accuracy with robust performance.To address these challenges,we propose a novel Deepfake detection framework that combines a two-stream convolutional network with a Vision Transformer(ViT)module to enhance spatio-temporal feature representation.The ViT model extracts spatial features from the forged video,while the 3D convolutional network captures temporal features.The 3D convolution enables cross-frame feature extraction,allowing the model to detect subtle facial changes between frames.The confidence scores from both the ViT and 3D convolution submodels are fused at the decision layer,enabling themodel to effectively handle unknown forgery techniques.Focusing on Deepfake videos and GAN-generated images,the proposed approach is evaluated on two widely used public face forgery datasets.Compared to existing state-of-theartmethods,it achieves higher detection accuracy and better generalization performance,offering a robust solution for deepfake detection in real-world scenarios.
基金support for this work was supported by Key Lab of Intelligent and Green Flexographic Printing under Grant ZBKT202301.
文摘Current spatio-temporal action detection methods lack sufficient capabilities in extracting and comprehending spatio-temporal information. This paper introduces an end-to-end Adaptive Cross-Scale Fusion Encoder-Decoder (ACSF-ED) network to predict the action and locate the object efficiently. In the Adaptive Cross-Scale Fusion Spatio-Temporal Encoder (ACSF ST-Encoder), the Asymptotic Cross-scale Feature-fusion Module (ACCFM) is designed to address the issue of information degradation caused by the propagation of high-level semantic information, thereby extracting high-quality multi-scale features to provide superior features for subsequent spatio-temporal information modeling. Within the Shared-Head Decoder structure, a shared classification and regression detection head is constructed. A multi-constraint loss function composed of one-to-one, one-to-many, and contrastive denoising losses is designed to address the problem of insufficient constraint force in predicting results with traditional methods. This loss function enhances the accuracy of model classification predictions and improves the proximity of regression position predictions to ground truth objects. The proposed method model is evaluated on the popular dataset UCF101-24 and JHMDB-21. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method achieves an accuracy of 81.52% on the Frame-mAP metric, surpassing current existing methods.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.62073256)the Shaanxi Provincial Science and Technology Department(Grant No.2023-YBGY-342).
文摘To solve the problem of target damage assessment when fragments attack target under uncertain projectile and target intersection in an air defense intercept,this paper proposes a method for calculating target damage probability leveraging spatio-temporal finite multilayer fragments distribution and the target damage assessment algorithm based on cloud model theory.Drawing on the spatial dispersion characteristics of fragments of projectile proximity explosion,we divide into a finite number of fragments distribution planes based on the time series in space,set up a fragment layer dispersion model grounded in the time series and intersection criterion for determining the effective penetration of each layer of fragments into the target.Building on the precondition that the multilayer fragments of the time series effectively assail the target,we also establish the damage criterion of the perforation and penetration damage and deduce the damage probability calculation model.Taking the damage probability of the fragment layer in the spatio-temporal sequence to the target as the input state variable,we introduce cloud model theory to research the target damage assessment method.Combining the equivalent simulation experiment,the scientific and rational nature of the proposed method were validated through quantitative calculations and comparative analysis.
文摘Exploring the spatial evolution patterns of land use in creative urban tourism complexes provides theoretical and decision-making support to foster creative tourism projects.This study focuses on the Hangzhou Leisure Expo Garden as a case study,utilizing a land use change index model to analyze the spatial evolution characteristics and dynamic processes of creative urban tourism complexes,as well as to explore their spatial differentiation mechanisms.The analysis indicates that Hangzhou Leisure Expo Garden,initially a derelict industrial area dominated by production and residential land use,has evolved into a creative urban tourism complex with tourism comprehensive service land at its core,going through the pattern evolution processes of“constrained sprawl,”“intensive expansion,”and“random integration.”From the perspective of tourism human-land relationships,the formation of land use evolution patterns in creative urban tourism complexes results from various stakeholders(government,tourism enterprises,residents,tourists,etc.),as humanistic factors,continuously adapting to specific urban spaces,which are considered as geographical elements and have locational advantages and are oriented towards economic and social values.Based on the acquisition of stakeholder interests,the transformation of resource-disadvantaged areas into tourism advantage areas is facilitated,thereby achieving the re-creation of tourism creative space and promoting intensive spatial growth.
基金National Natural Science foundation of China(No.42271432)Foundation of Shanxi Vocational University of Engineering Science and Technology(No.KJ 202426).
文摘Strong sensitivity of satellite microwave remote sensing to the change of surface dielectric properties,as well as the insensitivity to air pollution and solar illumination effects,makes it very suitable for monitoring freeze-thaw conditions.The freeze-thaw cycle changes in the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau have an important impact on the ecological environment and infrastructure.Based on the Scanning Multi-channel Microwave Radiometer(SMMR)and other sensors of microwave satellite,the freeze-thaw cycle data of permafrost in the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau in the past 40 years from 1981 to 2020 was obtained.The changes of soil freeze-thaw conditions in different seasons of 2020 and in the same season of 1990,2000,2010 and 2020 were compared,and the annual variation trend of soil freeze-thaw area in the four years was analyzed.Further,the linear regression analysis was carried out on the duration of soil freezing/thawing/transition and the interannual variation trend under different area conditions from 1981 to 2020.The results show that the freeze-thaw changes in different years are similar.In winter,it is mainly frozen for about 110 days.Spring and autumn are transitional periods,lasting for 170 days.In summer,it is mainly thawed for about 80 days.From 1981 to 2020,the freezing period and the average freezing area of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau decreased at a rate of 0.22 days and 1986 km^(2) per year,respectively,while the thawing period and the average thawing area increased at a rate of 0.07 days and 3187 km^(2) per year,respectively.The research results provide important theoretical support for the ecological environment and permafrost protection of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau.
基金supported by National Key Research and Development Plan of China(No.2022YFB3103304).
文摘False Data Injection Attacks(FDIAs)pose a critical security threat to modern power grids,corrupting state estimation and enabling malicious control actions that can lead to severe consequences,including cascading failures,large-scale blackouts,and significant economic losses.While detecting attacks is important,accurately localizing compromised nodes or measurements is even more critical,as it enables timely mitigation,targeted response,and enhanced system resilience beyond what detection alone can offer.Existing research typically models topological features using fixed structures,which can introduce irrelevant information and affect the effectiveness of feature extraction.To address this limitation,this paper proposes an FDIA localization model with adaptive neighborhood selection,which dynamically captures spatial dependencies of the power grid by adjusting node relationships based on data-driven similarities.The improved Transformer is employed to pre-fuse global spatial features of the graph,enriching the feature representation.To improve spatio-temporal correlation extraction for FDIA localization,the proposed model employs dilated causal convolution with a gating mechanism combined with graph convolution to capture and fuse long-range temporal features and adaptive topological features.This fully exploits the temporal dynamics and spatial dependencies inherent in the power grid.Finally,multi-source information is integrated to generate highly robust node embeddings,enhancing FDIA detection and localization.Experiments are conducted on IEEE 14,57,and 118-bus systems,and the results demonstrate that the proposed model substantially improves the accuracy of FDIA localization.Additional experiments are conducted to verify the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed model.
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Shanxi Province(Grant No.20210302124437)the Graduate Student Research and Innovation Project of Shanxi Province(Grant No.2023KY551).
文摘In this paper,the Taixin Integrated Economic Zone in Shanxi Province is taken as the research object,and the coupling coordination degree model and bivariate spatial autocorrelation model are used to judge the coupling coordination and spatial-temporal correlation between urbanization and ecosystem service,and the hotspot analysis is used to judge the spatial-temporal trend of urbanization and ecosystem service.The results show that:(1)The urbanization level from 2000 to 2020 continued to rise,the areas with relatively high urbanization were concentrated in the central part of the study area,and the relatively high terrain areas on both sides of the study area,the urbanization was relatively slow,and the hotspot areas with highly significant and significant urbanization level from 2000 to 2020 were distributed as bands in the central part of the study area and the area was rising,and there was no Cold spot area distribution;between 2000 and 2020,the ecosystem service value in the study area increased by 2.6800×10^(8) yuan.Over these two decades,it exhibited a development trend that first rose and then declined.The woodland and grassland agglomeration areas were located on the two sides of the study area,forming highly significant and significant hotspots.Conversely,the central and northeastern parts of the study area were characterized by concentrated man-made land surfaces and croplands,resulting in the formation of highly significant and significant cold spots.(2)In the central part of the study area where man-made land surface and cultivated land are concentrated,the coupling coordination between urbanization and ecosystem service is in the intermediate dislocation and mild dislocation interval;the woodland and grassland concentration areas on both sides of the study area are ecologically fragile,and the coupling coordination between the two is in the level of less than intermediate dislocation.(3)From 2000 to 2020,urbanization and the value of ecosystem services were both negatively correlated,although the correlation coefficient was low.In the central and northeastern parts,urbanization and ecosystem service exhibited patterns of high-low,high-high,and low-low clustering.Conversely,on both sides of the study area,most of the clusters showed a low-high pattern.
文摘Due to the increasingly severe challenges brought by various epidemic diseases,people urgently need intelligent outbreak trend prediction.Predicting disease onset is very important to assist decision-making.Most of the exist-ing work fails to make full use of the temporal and spatial characteristics of epidemics,and also relies on multi-variate data for prediction.In this paper,we propose a Multi-Scale Location Attention Graph Neural Networks(MSLAGNN)based on a large number of Centers for Disease Control and Prevention(CDC)patient electronic medical records research sequence source data sets.In order to understand the geography and timeliness of infec-tious diseases,specific neural networks are used to extract the geography and timeliness of infectious diseases.In the model framework,the features of different periods are extracted by a multi-scale convolution module.At the same time,the propagation effects between regions are simulated by graph convolution and attention mechan-isms.We compare the proposed method with the most advanced statistical methods and deep learning models.Meanwhile,we conduct comparative experiments on data sets with different time lengths to observe the predic-tion performance of the model in the face of different degrees of data collection.We conduct extensive experi-ments on real-world epidemic-related data sets.The method has strong prediction performance and can be readily used for epidemic prediction.
文摘In this paper, we studied the traveling wave solutions of a SIR epidemic model with spatial-temporal delay. We proved that this result is determined by the basic reproduction number R0and the minimum wave speed c*of the corresponding ordinary differential equations. The methods used in this paper are primarily the Schauder fixed point theorem and comparison principle. We have proved that when R0>1and c>c*, the model has a non-negative and non-trivial traveling wave solution. However, for R01and c≥0or R0>1and 0cc*, the model does not have a traveling wave solution.
基金supported by China-Pakistan joint program of the Chi-nese Academy of Sciences(Grant No.046GJHZ2023069MI)National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42371145)the program of the Key Laboratory of Cryospheric Science and Frozen Soil Engineering,CAS(Grant No.CSFSE-ZZ-2402).
文摘Snowmelt runoffis an important component of water resources in the Northwest China(NWC).With global cli-mate warming and the increasing frequency of extreme events,snowmelt floods have caused significant damage.However,current studies lack comprehensive research and systematic risk assessments of snowmelt floods across the NWC.Based on the snowmelt runoffsimulated by GLDAS-NOAH model(1948-2022),the multiple indicators of snowmelt floods were retrieved by Peaks Over Threshold(POT)model in the NWC,and comprehensive risk assessment was conducted by integrating socio-economic data.The results indicated that the snowmelt runoffin the NWC shows a significant increasing trend and exhibits a spatial pattern of being more abundant in the northwest and southwest edges while less in the central and eastern regions.In Northern Xinjiang,snowmelt floods occurred relatively infrequently but with large magnitudes,while around the Qilian Mountains,snowmelt floods were more frequent but of smaller magnitudes.The longest duration of snowmelt floods was observed in the Kashgar and Yarkant River.Basins near mountainous areas are prone to snowmelt floods,especially the Tongtian and Lancang River basins,as well as the Ebinur Lake,Ili River basin,and the rivers south of the Altai Mountains,which face the highest risk of snowmelt floods.Based on comprehensive assessment of hazard,expo-sure,vulnerability and adaptability,high and very high-risk areas account for 15.5%of the NWC.It is urgent to enhance monitoring,early warning systems,and implement corresponding disaster prevention and mitigation measures in large mountainous basins.
基金the Government of the Perm Territory within the Framework of Scientific Project No.S-26/828the Ministry of Science and High Education of Russia(Theme No.121031700169-1).
文摘The article presents the results of in-kind measurements and numerical modeling of the formation of water characteristics in the Kama River,which is used for technical water supply in the production of potash fertilizers.In the warm season,risks arise that threaten the sustainability of the water supply.It was found that in the summer,when the studied section of the Kama River is backed up by the KamaHydroelectric Power Station,there is a significant decrease in flow rates,which leads to vertical stratification of water properties.This,in turn,significantly limits the possibilities of using water fromthe bottom zone.Under conditions of significant water discharge from the reservoir,this section has river conditions with significantly higher flow rates.Under such conditions,intense vertical mixing of water masses occurs,which improves the consumer properties of water necessary for sustainable water supply.The results of numerical modeling carried out within the framework of the three-dimensional approach confirmed this conclusion.It is shown that with an increase in the flow rate in the channel near thewater intake,the concentration of salts decreases,which is an important factor in ensuring high-quality water supply.