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基于LSTM Spatio-temporal Transformer的电离层TEC预测模型
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作者 尹萍 王朝钰 《空间科学学报》 北大核心 2025年第5期1243-1255,共13页
电离层总电子含量(TEC)是研究电离层时空变化的重要参数.本文提出一种结合时空Transformer(STT)与长短期记忆网络(LSTM),并引入时空注意力机制的电离层TEC组合预测模型(LSTM-STT).利用2000-2023年国际GNSS服务欧洲定轨中心(CODE)提供的... 电离层总电子含量(TEC)是研究电离层时空变化的重要参数.本文提出一种结合时空Transformer(STT)与长短期记忆网络(LSTM),并引入时空注意力机制的电离层TEC组合预测模型(LSTM-STT).利用2000-2023年国际GNSS服务欧洲定轨中心(CODE)提供的中国及其周边地区的TEC数据,时间范围覆盖8766 d,采用滑动窗口方法对数据进行处理,模型以前48 h的TEC数据以及辅助参数作为输入,用于预测后24 h的TEC数据,据此构建了8764个样本.为验证模型性能,分别在2018年(太阳活动低年)和2023年(太阳活动高年)开展实验进行预测分析.研究结果表明,模型在2018年测试集上全部样本的均方根误差(RMSE)均值为1.3981 TECU,相对精度均值为90.2524%;在2023年测试集上全部样本的RMSE均值为4.6262 TECU,相对精度均值为89.9208%,说明模型在不同太阳活动状态下均表现出良好的预测性能. 展开更多
关键词 电离层TEC 时空Transformer 长短期记忆网络 预测模型
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Natural and human-induced decline and spatio-temporal differentiation of terrestrial water storage over the Lancang-Mekong River Basin 被引量:2
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作者 CHEN Junxu WANG Yuan +5 位作者 ZHAO Zhifang FAN Yunjiang LUO Xiaochuan YI Lu FENG Siqi YANG Liang Emlyn 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 2025年第1期112-138,共27页
Due to water conflicts and allocation in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin(LMRB),the spatio-temporal differentiation of total water resources and the natural-human influence need to be clarified.This work investigated LM... Due to water conflicts and allocation in the Lancang-Mekong River Basin(LMRB),the spatio-temporal differentiation of total water resources and the natural-human influence need to be clarified.This work investigated LMRB's terrestrial water storage anomaly(TWSA)and its spatio-temporal dynamics during 2002–2020.Considering the effects of natural factors and human activities,the respective contributions of climate variability and human activities to terrestrial water storage change(TWSC)were separated.Results showed that:(1)LMRB's TWSA decreased by 0.3158 cm/a.(2)TWSA showed a gradual increase in distribution from southwest of MRB to middle LMRB and from northeast of LRB to middle LMRB.TWSA positively changed in Myanmar while slightly changed in Laos and China.It negatively changed in Vietnam,Thailand and Cambodia.(3)TWSA components decreased in a descending order of soil moisture,groundwater and precipitation.(4)Natural factors had a substantial and spatial differentiated influence on TWSA over the LMRB.(5)Climate variability contributed 79%of TWSC in the LMRB while human activities contributed 21%with an increasing impact after 2008.The TWSC of upstream basin countries was found to be controlled by climate variability while Vietnam and Cambodia's TWSC has been controlled by human activities since 2012. 展开更多
关键词 spatio-temporal variation contribution separation GRACE Empirical Orthogonal Function Lancang-Mekong River
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Dynamic Multi-Graph Spatio-Temporal Graph Traffic Flow Prediction in Bangkok:An Application of a Continuous Convolutional Neural Network
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作者 Pongsakon Promsawat Weerapan Sae-dan +2 位作者 Marisa Kaewsuwan Weerawat Sudsutad Aphirak Aphithana 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2025年第1期579-607,共29页
The ability to accurately predict urban traffic flows is crucial for optimising city operations.Consequently,various methods for forecasting urban traffic have been developed,focusing on analysing historical data to u... The ability to accurately predict urban traffic flows is crucial for optimising city operations.Consequently,various methods for forecasting urban traffic have been developed,focusing on analysing historical data to understand complex mobility patterns.Deep learning techniques,such as graph neural networks(GNNs),are popular for their ability to capture spatio-temporal dependencies.However,these models often become overly complex due to the large number of hyper-parameters involved.In this study,we introduce Dynamic Multi-Graph Spatial-Temporal Graph Neural Ordinary Differential Equation Networks(DMST-GNODE),a framework based on ordinary differential equations(ODEs)that autonomously discovers effective spatial-temporal graph neural network(STGNN)architectures for traffic prediction tasks.The comparative analysis of DMST-GNODE and baseline models indicates that DMST-GNODE model demonstrates superior performance across multiple datasets,consistently achieving the lowest Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)and Mean Absolute Error(MAE)values,alongside the highest accuracy.On the BKK(Bangkok)dataset,it outperformed other models with an RMSE of 3.3165 and an accuracy of 0.9367 for a 20-min interval,maintaining this trend across 40 and 60 min.Similarly,on the PeMS08 dataset,DMST-GNODE achieved the best performance with an RMSE of 19.4863 and an accuracy of 0.9377 at 20 min,demonstrating its effectiveness over longer periods.The Los_Loop dataset results further emphasise this model’s advantage,with an RMSE of 3.3422 and an accuracy of 0.7643 at 20 min,consistently maintaining superiority across all time intervals.These numerical highlights indicate that DMST-GNODE not only outperforms baseline models but also achieves higher accuracy and lower errors across different time intervals and datasets. 展开更多
关键词 Graph neural networks convolutional neural network deep learning dynamic multi-graph spatio-temporal
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Spatio-Temporal Pattern and Socio-economic Influencing Factors of Tuberculosis Incidence in Guangdong Province:A Bayesian Spatiotemporal Analysis
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作者 Huizhong Wu Xing Li +7 位作者 Jiawen Wang Ronghua Jian Jianxiong Hu Yijun Hu Yiting Xu Jianpeng Xiao Aiqiong Jin Liang Chen 《Biomedical and Environmental Sciences》 2025年第7期819-828,共10页
Objective To investigate the spatiotemporal patterns and socioeconomic factors influencing the incidence of tuberculosis(TB)in the Guangdong Province between 2010 and 2019.Method Spatial and temporal variations in TB ... Objective To investigate the spatiotemporal patterns and socioeconomic factors influencing the incidence of tuberculosis(TB)in the Guangdong Province between 2010 and 2019.Method Spatial and temporal variations in TB incidence were mapped using heat maps and hierarchical clustering.Socioenvironmental influencing factors were evaluated using a Bayesian spatiotemporal conditional autoregressive(ST-CAR)model.Results Annual incidence of TB in Guangdong decreased from 91.85/100,000 in 2010 to 53.06/100,000in 2019.Spatial hotspots were found in northeastern Guangdong,particularly in Heyuan,Shanwei,and Shantou,while Shenzhen,Dongguan,and Foshan had the lowest rates in the Pearl River Delta.The STCAR model showed that the TB risk was lower with higher per capita Gross Domestic Product(GDP)[Relative Risk(RR),0.91;95%Confidence Interval(CI):0.86–0.98],more the ratio of licensed physicians and physician(RR,0.94;95%CI:0.90-0.98),and higher per capita public expenditure(RR,0.94;95%CI:0.90–0.97),with a marginal effect of population density(RR,0.86;95%CI:0.86–1.00).Conclusion The incidence of TB in Guangdong varies spatially and temporally.Areas with poor economic conditions and insufficient healthcare resources are at an increased risk of TB infection.Strategies focusing on equitable health resource distribution and economic development are the key to TB control. 展开更多
关键词 TUBERCULOSIS BAYESIAN Social-economic factor spatio-temporal model
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Spatio-Temporal Assessment of Land Use Changes in Sonipat,Haryana:Socio Economic Impacts and Policy Intervention
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作者 Niraj Kumar Tejbir Singh Rana +1 位作者 Subhash Anand Nishit 《Research in Ecology》 2025年第3期309-334,共26页
This study examines the effects of rapid land use changes in India,with a specific focus on Sonipat District in Haryana—a region undergoing significant urban expansion.Over the past two decades,rural landscapes in So... This study examines the effects of rapid land use changes in India,with a specific focus on Sonipat District in Haryana—a region undergoing significant urban expansion.Over the past two decades,rural landscapes in Sonipat have undergone notable transformation,as open spaces and agricultural lands are increasingly converted into residential colonies,commercial hubs,and industrial zones.While such changes reflect economic development and urban growth,they also raise critical concerns about sustainability,especially in terms of food security,groundwater depletion,and environmental degradation.The study examines land use changes between 2000 and 2024 using remote sensing techniques and spatial analysis.It further incorporates secondary data and insights from community-level interactions to assess the socio-economic and ecological impacts of this transformation.The findings indicate rising land fragmentation,loss of agricultural livelihoods,pressure on civic infrastructure,and increasing pollution—factors that threaten long-term regional sustainability.The study underscores the urgent need to reconcile urban development with environmental and social sustainability.By offering a detailed case study of Sonipat,this research contributes to the broader discourse on India’s urbanisation pathways.It aims to provide policymakers,planners,and researchers with evidence-based recommendations to manage land transitions more responsibly,promoting urban growth models that ensure ecological integrity,equitable development,and long-term resilience. 展开更多
关键词 Land Use spatio-temporal Dynamics Socio-Economic Impacts URBANIZATION POLICY
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Deepfake Detection Method Based on Spatio-Temporal Information Fusion
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作者 Xinyi Wang Wanru Song +1 位作者 Chuanyan Hao Feng Liu 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2025年第5期3351-3368,共18页
As Deepfake technology continues to evolve,the distinction between real and fake content becomes increasingly blurred.Most existing Deepfake video detectionmethods rely on single-frame facial image features,which limi... As Deepfake technology continues to evolve,the distinction between real and fake content becomes increasingly blurred.Most existing Deepfake video detectionmethods rely on single-frame facial image features,which limits their ability to capture temporal differences between frames.Current methods also exhibit limited generalization capabilities,struggling to detect content generated by unknown forgery algorithms.Moreover,the diversity and complexity of forgery techniques introduced by Artificial Intelligence Generated Content(AIGC)present significant challenges for traditional detection frameworks,whichmust balance high detection accuracy with robust performance.To address these challenges,we propose a novel Deepfake detection framework that combines a two-stream convolutional network with a Vision Transformer(ViT)module to enhance spatio-temporal feature representation.The ViT model extracts spatial features from the forged video,while the 3D convolutional network captures temporal features.The 3D convolution enables cross-frame feature extraction,allowing the model to detect subtle facial changes between frames.The confidence scores from both the ViT and 3D convolution submodels are fused at the decision layer,enabling themodel to effectively handle unknown forgery techniques.Focusing on Deepfake videos and GAN-generated images,the proposed approach is evaluated on two widely used public face forgery datasets.Compared to existing state-of-theartmethods,it achieves higher detection accuracy and better generalization performance,offering a robust solution for deepfake detection in real-world scenarios. 展开更多
关键词 Deepfake detection vision transformer spatio-temporal information
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Spatio-temporal dynamics and influencing factors of carbon emission intensity in China's agriculture sector
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作者 YIN Junfeng YE Sijing +1 位作者 SONG Changqing GAO Peichao 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 2025年第11期2310-2334,共25页
Agriculture holds a pivotal position in the economic fabric of every nation,yet concerns about agricultural carbon emission intensity(ACI)have become a major hurdle to achieving global economic sustainability.Focusing... Agriculture holds a pivotal position in the economic fabric of every nation,yet concerns about agricultural carbon emission intensity(ACI)have become a major hurdle to achieving global economic sustainability.Focusing on 31 provincial-level regions in China,this study uses the Exploratory Spatio-temporal Data Analysis(ESTDA)and Panel Quantile Regression(PQR)model to analyze the spatio-temporal interaction characteristics and influencing factors of ACI in China from 2004 to 2023.The findings are as follows:(1)ACI showed an overall downward trend,and the spatial distribution pattern was characterized by“high in the western region and low along the southeastern coast”.Although the overall disparity tended to converge,some high-carbon-intensity regions exhibited extreme trends.ACI displayed clear spatial directionality,with the spatial center shifting steadily toward the northeast.(2)Regions in the northwest,northeast,and central-south parts exhibited strong local spatial structural dynamics,and the local spatial dependence of ACI in each region showed a nonlinear trend.Generally speaking,the spatial association pattern demonstrated a certain degree of inertia in spatial transfer,reflecting strong path dependence or spatial lock-in characteristics.(3)Optimization of industrial structure and improvement in agricultural mechanization will increase ACI,while economic development can effectively reduce it.The impact of urbanization on ACI exhibits a nonlinear pattern.The coordinated development of economic growth and urbanization significantly reduces ACI,with a stronger emission reduction observed in regions with low ACI.The optimization of industrial structure,when combined with urbanization and environmental regulation,contributes to significant emission reductions particularly in high-ACI areas.Similarly,the synergy between agricultural mechanization and urbanization effectively lowers emissions in low-ACI regions,though this effect diminishes in areas with higher ACI. 展开更多
关键词 agriculture sector carbon emission intensity spatio-temporal interaction influencing factors China
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Spatio-temporal pattern and influencing factors of sloping farmland in China
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作者 YAO Xiaowei XIE Youping +3 位作者 ZHUGE Jing ZENG Haibo ZENG Jie CHEN Wanxu 《Journal of Mountain Science》 2025年第11期4242-4257,共16页
Sloping farmland,particularly in mountainous and hilly areas,constitutes a significant component of regional farmland resources.An investigation into the spatio-temporal pattern of sloping farmland and its influencing... Sloping farmland,particularly in mountainous and hilly areas,constitutes a significant component of regional farmland resources.An investigation into the spatio-temporal pattern of sloping farmland and its influencing factors in China is imperative for the efficient utilization of farmland and the optimization of land space.We used land use transfer matrix,geographically weighted regression model and geographical detector to conduct this study.Results showed that sloping farmland in China firstly decreased and then increased from 2000 to 2020.The proportion of sloping farmland decreased radially outward from Sichuan basin to the surrounding areas.Change rates of sloping farmland with different slopes varied and the slope with 6°-15°underwent the fastest changes.The influencing factors of farmland at various slope degrees were different.For sloping farmland below 15°,land use intensity and elevation had the greatest contribution.For sloping farmland between 15°and 25°,elevation,land use intensity,and population density were the main influencing factors.Sloping farmland above 25°was mostly affected by natural factors.This study can provide scientific basis for rational development and protection of sloping farmland. 展开更多
关键词 Sloping farmland spatio-temporal differentiation Influencing factors Geographically weighted regression China
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ACSF-ED: Adaptive Cross-Scale Fusion Encoder-Decoder for Spatio-Temporal Action Detection
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作者 Wenju Wang Zehua Gu +2 位作者 Bang Tang Sen Wang Jianfei Hao 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2025年第2期2389-2414,共26页
Current spatio-temporal action detection methods lack sufficient capabilities in extracting and comprehending spatio-temporal information. This paper introduces an end-to-end Adaptive Cross-Scale Fusion Encoder-Decode... Current spatio-temporal action detection methods lack sufficient capabilities in extracting and comprehending spatio-temporal information. This paper introduces an end-to-end Adaptive Cross-Scale Fusion Encoder-Decoder (ACSF-ED) network to predict the action and locate the object efficiently. In the Adaptive Cross-Scale Fusion Spatio-Temporal Encoder (ACSF ST-Encoder), the Asymptotic Cross-scale Feature-fusion Module (ACCFM) is designed to address the issue of information degradation caused by the propagation of high-level semantic information, thereby extracting high-quality multi-scale features to provide superior features for subsequent spatio-temporal information modeling. Within the Shared-Head Decoder structure, a shared classification and regression detection head is constructed. A multi-constraint loss function composed of one-to-one, one-to-many, and contrastive denoising losses is designed to address the problem of insufficient constraint force in predicting results with traditional methods. This loss function enhances the accuracy of model classification predictions and improves the proximity of regression position predictions to ground truth objects. The proposed method model is evaluated on the popular dataset UCF101-24 and JHMDB-21. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed method achieves an accuracy of 81.52% on the Frame-mAP metric, surpassing current existing methods. 展开更多
关键词 spatio-temporal action detection encoder-decoder cross-scale fusion multi-constraint loss function
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An Arrhythmia Intelligent Recognition Method Based on a Multimodal Information and Spatio-Temporal Hybrid Neural Network Model
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作者 Xinchao Han Aojun Zhang +6 位作者 Runchuan Li Shengya Shen Di Zhang Bo Jin Longfei Mao Linqi Yang Shuqin Zhang 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2025年第2期3443-3465,共23页
Electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis is critical for detecting arrhythmias, but traditional methods struggle with large-scale Electrocardiogram data and rare arrhythmia events in imbalanced datasets. These methods fail to... Electrocardiogram (ECG) analysis is critical for detecting arrhythmias, but traditional methods struggle with large-scale Electrocardiogram data and rare arrhythmia events in imbalanced datasets. These methods fail to perform multi-perspective learning of temporal signals and Electrocardiogram images, nor can they fully extract the latent information within the data, falling short of the accuracy required by clinicians. Therefore, this paper proposes an innovative hybrid multimodal spatiotemporal neural network to address these challenges. The model employs a multimodal data augmentation framework integrating visual and signal-based features to enhance the classification performance of rare arrhythmias in imbalanced datasets. Additionally, the spatiotemporal fusion module incorporates a spatiotemporal graph convolutional network to jointly model temporal and spatial features, uncovering complex dependencies within the Electrocardiogram data and improving the model’s ability to represent complex patterns. In experiments conducted on the MIT-BIH arrhythmia dataset, the model achieved 99.95% accuracy, 99.80% recall, and a 99.78% F1 score. The model was further validated for generalization using the clinical INCART arrhythmia dataset, and the results demonstrated its effectiveness in terms of both generalization and robustness. 展开更多
关键词 Multimodal learning spatio-temporal hybrid graph convolutional network data imbalance ECG classification
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Spatio-temporal evolution process and mechanism of land use in creative urban tourism complex:A case study of Hangzhou Leisure Expo Garden
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作者 LV Jiong-yan LI Wei-wei 《Ecological Economy》 2025年第1期25-47,共23页
Exploring the spatial evolution patterns of land use in creative urban tourism complexes provides theoretical and decision-making support to foster creative tourism projects.This study focuses on the Hangzhou Leisure ... Exploring the spatial evolution patterns of land use in creative urban tourism complexes provides theoretical and decision-making support to foster creative tourism projects.This study focuses on the Hangzhou Leisure Expo Garden as a case study,utilizing a land use change index model to analyze the spatial evolution characteristics and dynamic processes of creative urban tourism complexes,as well as to explore their spatial differentiation mechanisms.The analysis indicates that Hangzhou Leisure Expo Garden,initially a derelict industrial area dominated by production and residential land use,has evolved into a creative urban tourism complex with tourism comprehensive service land at its core,going through the pattern evolution processes of“constrained sprawl,”“intensive expansion,”and“random integration.”From the perspective of tourism human-land relationships,the formation of land use evolution patterns in creative urban tourism complexes results from various stakeholders(government,tourism enterprises,residents,tourists,etc.),as humanistic factors,continuously adapting to specific urban spaces,which are considered as geographical elements and have locational advantages and are oriented towards economic and social values.Based on the acquisition of stakeholder interests,the transformation of resource-disadvantaged areas into tourism advantage areas is facilitated,thereby achieving the re-creation of tourism creative space and promoting intensive spatial growth. 展开更多
关键词 creative urban tourism complex land use spatio-temporal evolution Hangzhou Leisure Expo Garden
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Localization of False Data Injection Attacks in Power Grid Based on Adaptive Neighborhood Selection and Spatio-Temporal Feature Fusion
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作者 Zehui Qi Sixing Wu Jianbin Li 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2025年第11期3739-3766,共28页
False Data Injection Attacks(FDIAs)pose a critical security threat to modern power grids,corrupting state estimation and enabling malicious control actions that can lead to severe consequences,including cascading fail... False Data Injection Attacks(FDIAs)pose a critical security threat to modern power grids,corrupting state estimation and enabling malicious control actions that can lead to severe consequences,including cascading failures,large-scale blackouts,and significant economic losses.While detecting attacks is important,accurately localizing compromised nodes or measurements is even more critical,as it enables timely mitigation,targeted response,and enhanced system resilience beyond what detection alone can offer.Existing research typically models topological features using fixed structures,which can introduce irrelevant information and affect the effectiveness of feature extraction.To address this limitation,this paper proposes an FDIA localization model with adaptive neighborhood selection,which dynamically captures spatial dependencies of the power grid by adjusting node relationships based on data-driven similarities.The improved Transformer is employed to pre-fuse global spatial features of the graph,enriching the feature representation.To improve spatio-temporal correlation extraction for FDIA localization,the proposed model employs dilated causal convolution with a gating mechanism combined with graph convolution to capture and fuse long-range temporal features and adaptive topological features.This fully exploits the temporal dynamics and spatial dependencies inherent in the power grid.Finally,multi-source information is integrated to generate highly robust node embeddings,enhancing FDIA detection and localization.Experiments are conducted on IEEE 14,57,and 118-bus systems,and the results demonstrate that the proposed model substantially improves the accuracy of FDIA localization.Additional experiments are conducted to verify the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed model. 展开更多
关键词 Power grid security adaptive neighborhood selection spatio-temporal correlation false data injection attacks localization
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Spatio-temporal Variation of Freeze-thaw Cycles in the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau from 1981 to 2020 Based on Microwave Remote Sensing
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作者 ZHAO Shangmin ZHANG Shifang YU Bohan 《Journal of Geodesy and Geoinformation Science》 2025年第1期1-11,共11页
Strong sensitivity of satellite microwave remote sensing to the change of surface dielectric properties,as well as the insensitivity to air pollution and solar illumination effects,makes it very suitable for monitorin... Strong sensitivity of satellite microwave remote sensing to the change of surface dielectric properties,as well as the insensitivity to air pollution and solar illumination effects,makes it very suitable for monitoring freeze-thaw conditions.The freeze-thaw cycle changes in the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau have an important impact on the ecological environment and infrastructure.Based on the Scanning Multi-channel Microwave Radiometer(SMMR)and other sensors of microwave satellite,the freeze-thaw cycle data of permafrost in the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau in the past 40 years from 1981 to 2020 was obtained.The changes of soil freeze-thaw conditions in different seasons of 2020 and in the same season of 1990,2000,2010 and 2020 were compared,and the annual variation trend of soil freeze-thaw area in the four years was analyzed.Further,the linear regression analysis was carried out on the duration of soil freezing/thawing/transition and the interannual variation trend under different area conditions from 1981 to 2020.The results show that the freeze-thaw changes in different years are similar.In winter,it is mainly frozen for about 110 days.Spring and autumn are transitional periods,lasting for 170 days.In summer,it is mainly thawed for about 80 days.From 1981 to 2020,the freezing period and the average freezing area of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau decreased at a rate of 0.22 days and 1986 km^(2) per year,respectively,while the thawing period and the average thawing area increased at a rate of 0.07 days and 3187 km^(2) per year,respectively.The research results provide important theoretical support for the ecological environment and permafrost protection of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau. 展开更多
关键词 freeze-thaw cycle PERMAFROST microwave remote sensing spatio-temporal variation linear regression analysis Qinghai-Xizang Plateau
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Spatio-temporal evolution of rural industry and ecology based on perspective of symbiosis theory: Insights from Jiangxi Province, China
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作者 ZHOU Dabao XU Liting +4 位作者 LI Wenziyi XU Yu FENG Xinghua FU Yu ZHONG Yexi 《Journal of Mountain Science》 2025年第11期4223-4241,共19页
Rural industrial development and ecological civilization transformation are crucial to China's comprehensive advancement of rural revitalization. However, many regions still face the issue of a conflict between ec... Rural industrial development and ecological civilization transformation are crucial to China's comprehensive advancement of rural revitalization. However, many regions still face the issue of a conflict between economic development and ecological protection. Symbiosis theory provides a new perspective for understanding the interactive relationship of rural industry and ecology(RIE). Jiangxi Province, one of China's first national pilot zones for ecological conservation, exemplifies rural areas' typical challenges in balancing industrial development and ecological protection, and has been selected as the study area. By integrating the characteristics of RIE with symbiosis theory, a comprehensive RIE assessment framework was constructed. The comprehensive model, spatial autocorrelation method, and symbiosis theory model were employed to address the spatio-temporal evolution characteristics of RIE, reveal the symbiotic relationship(SR) and the symbiosis types of RIE, and explore the path of symbiotic development between RIE. Results indicated that:(1) Since 2015, RIE has shown an upward trend, with regional differences in ecological development levels gradually shrinking. Significant spatial correlation and agglomeration characteristics exist, but a coordinated regional development pattern has not yet emerged.(2) Overall, the symbiosis degree(SD) between RIE showed a positive trend with narrowing gaps, the symbiosis coefficient(SC) of industry to ecology converged to 0.5 under a positive asymmetric mutualism(PAM) mode, suggesting that their relationship tended to be coordinated. Specifically, rural ecology grew increasingly influential on industry in most counties.(3) Rural areas were classified into different types led by industry-dominated PAM, and various optimization paths were proposed. Future efforts should promote the equalization of the interaction forces between RIE according to local conditions. 展开更多
关键词 Rural industry and ecology Symbiosis theory Symbiotic relationship spatio-temporal evolution Rural revitalization Jiangxi Province
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CASCADE-Net:Causality-Aware Spatio-Temporal Dynamics Encoding for Prognostic Prediction in Mild Cognitive Impairment
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作者 Samuel Ocen Lawrence Muchemi Michaelina Almaz Yohannis 《Journal of Intelligent Learning Systems and Applications》 2025年第4期237-256,共20页
Predicting the progression from Mild Cognitive Impairment(MCI)to Alzheimer's Disease(AD)is a critical challenge for enabling early intervention and improving patient outcomes.While longitudinal multi-modal neuroim... Predicting the progression from Mild Cognitive Impairment(MCI)to Alzheimer's Disease(AD)is a critical challenge for enabling early intervention and improving patient outcomes.While longitudinal multi-modal neuroimaging data holds immense potential for capturing the spatio-temporal dynamics of disease progression,its effective analysis is hampered by significant challenges:temporal heterogeneity(irregularly sampled scans),multi-modal misalignment,and the propensity of deep learning models to learn spurious,noncausal correlations.We propose CASCADE-Net,a novel end-to-end pipeline for robust and interpretable MCI-to-AD progression prediction.Our architecture introduces a Dynamic Temporal Alignment Module that employs a Neural Ordinary Differential Equation(Neural ODE)to model the continuous,underlying progression of pathology from irregularly sampled scans,effectively mapping heterogeneous patient data to a unified latent timeline.This aligned,noise-reduced spatio-temporal data is then processed by a predictive model featuring a novel Causal Spatial Attention mechanism.This mechanism not only identifies the critical brain regions and their evolution predictive of conversion but also incorporates a counterfactual constraint during training.This constraint ensures the learned features are causally linked to AD pathology by encouraging invariance to non-causal,confounder-based changes.Extensive experiments on the Alzheimer’s Disease Neuroimaging Initiative(ADNI)dataset demonstrate that CASCADE-Net significantly outperforms state-of-the-art sequential models in prognostic accuracy.Furthermore,our model provides highly interpretable,causally-grounded attention maps,offering valuable insights into the disease progression process and fostering greater clinical trust. 展开更多
关键词 Alzheimer’s Disease Mild Cognitive Impairment Prognosis Neural ODE Counterfactual Learning spatio-temporal Modeling Interpretable AI
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基于改进LSTM的网络入侵检测方法 被引量:4
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作者 黄亮 陶达 +2 位作者 王秀木 刘静闻 刘也凡 《计算机测量与控制》 2025年第2期63-70,共8页
随着网络数据的增加,以及黑客技术的不断发展,网络入侵检测技术的精度以及效率需要进一步提升;针对此问题,提出一种基于逃避网络数据和改进长短时记忆网络的网络入侵检测模型;该模型将黑客入侵过程中产生的异常数据作为训练集和测试集;... 随着网络数据的增加,以及黑客技术的不断发展,网络入侵检测技术的精度以及效率需要进一步提升;针对此问题,提出一种基于逃避网络数据和改进长短时记忆网络的网络入侵检测模型;该模型将黑客入侵过程中产生的异常数据作为训练集和测试集;之后利用麻雀优化算法改进长短时记忆网络模型,并将其与卷积神经网络结合,通过强化学习进一步提升模型的检测精度;实验结果表明,基于改进长短时记忆网络的入侵检测模型的检测准确率达到了98.51%,且响应时间仅为0.84 s,漏报率和误报率分别为1.23%和0.36%;该网络入侵检测模型能够实现高效的网络入侵检测,实时保障网络安全,实现网络入侵防御,为网络安全提供可靠的技术支持;该方法在网络攻防领域具有积极意义,为相关领域研究提供了新的思路。 展开更多
关键词 逃避行为 网络入侵 检测 lstm SSA算法 CNN 强化学习
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基于时空关联规则与LSTM的机场进港延误等级预测 被引量:1
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作者 李善梅 王端阳 +3 位作者 唐锐 李艳伟 李锦辉 纪亚宏 《中国安全科学学报》 北大核心 2025年第4期59-66,共8页
为提升空中交通运行安全,提出一种基于时空关联规则挖掘和深度学习相结合的延误等级预测方法。首先,选取平均航班延误时间和延误率作为机场进港延误度量指标,并分析其时空关联特性;其次,基于模糊C均值(FCM)聚类算法划分机场进港延误等级... 为提升空中交通运行安全,提出一种基于时空关联规则挖掘和深度学习相结合的延误等级预测方法。首先,选取平均航班延误时间和延误率作为机场进港延误度量指标,并分析其时空关联特性;其次,基于模糊C均值(FCM)聚类算法划分机场进港延误等级,并在此基础上,基于频繁模式增长(FP-Growth)算法挖掘机场进港延误的时空关联规则;然后,基于规则数据以及延误指标数据构建样本数据,作为长短时记忆(LSTM)模型的输入,输出为未来时段机场进港延误等级,同时引入注意力机制,学习不同规则对预测结果的影响程度;最后,采用美国航班数据进行算例分析。结果表明:总体预测的平均准确率达到0.91,不同时段的预测准确率均在80%以上,注意力层网络的连接权重可解释预测结果。 展开更多
关键词 时空关联规则 长短时记忆(lstm) 机场进港 延误等级 延误预测 空中交通管理
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基于CNN-LSTM-Attention 组合模型的黄金周旅游客流预测——以大理州为例 被引量:1
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作者 戢晓峰 郭雅诗 +2 位作者 陈方 黄志文 李武 《干旱区资源与环境》 北大核心 2025年第3期200-208,共9页
黄金周旅游客流预测一直是区域旅游管理的重大现实需求,能够为黄金周旅游组织提供更为精准的数据支持。文中基于百度迁徙数据和百度搜索指数数据,以卷积神经网络(CNN)、长短期记忆网络(LSTM)以及注意力机制(Attention)为基准,构建了CNN-... 黄金周旅游客流预测一直是区域旅游管理的重大现实需求,能够为黄金周旅游组织提供更为精准的数据支持。文中基于百度迁徙数据和百度搜索指数数据,以卷积神经网络(CNN)、长短期记忆网络(LSTM)以及注意力机制(Attention)为基准,构建了CNN-LSTM-Attention组合模型,对大理州黄金周日度旅游客流人数进行了预测,并基于SHAP算法进行了影响因素分析。结果显示:1)CNN-LSTM-Attention组合模型的预测精度优于RF模型、SVM模型、CNN模型、LSTM模型和CNN-LSTM模型。2)引入百度搜索指数特征后,模型的均方根误差(RMSE)、平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)、决定系数(R^(2))表现最优,表明百度搜索指数的加入在一定程度上提升了模型的预测精度。文中所构模型为黄金周旅游客流预测提供了新思路。 展开更多
关键词 客流预测 黄金周 卷积神经网络(CNN) 长短期记忆网络(lstm) 注意力机制
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基于AWOA-BI-LSTM的光伏发电功率预测 被引量:1
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作者 吴仕宏 张璧臣 +1 位作者 吴佳文 武兴宇 《沈阳农业大学学报》 北大核心 2025年第2期131-143,共13页
[目的]光伏发电功率的准确预测对可再生能源整合到电网、市场和建筑能源管理系统中至关重要。为提高预测精度,本研究提出一种基于改进鲸鱼优化算法(AWOA)和双向长短期记忆网络(Bi-LSTM)的混合模型(AWOA-Bi-LSTM)。针对传统鲸鱼优化算法(... [目的]光伏发电功率的准确预测对可再生能源整合到电网、市场和建筑能源管理系统中至关重要。为提高预测精度,本研究提出一种基于改进鲸鱼优化算法(AWOA)和双向长短期记忆网络(Bi-LSTM)的混合模型(AWOA-Bi-LSTM)。针对传统鲸鱼优化算法(WOA)寻优精度低、收敛速度慢的问题,提出动态权重因子和自适应参数调整两种改进策略,以增强模型的全局搜索能力和收敛效率。[方法]利用实际光伏发电数据和实测气象数据将AWOA-Bi-LSTM和WOA-Bi-LSTM以及GRNN进行对比实验。[结果]其中AWOA-Bi-LSTM在测试集和训练集上的R^(2)值分别为0.99701和0.99843;测试集和训练集的RMSE分别为1.585和0.90063。测试集RPD为20.1604,训练集RPD为25.9357。[结论]AWOA-Bi-LSTM在拟合度、预测精度和稳定性方面均优于传统方法,能够更有效地捕捉时间序列数据中的复杂模式和趋势,显著提升预测性能。 展开更多
关键词 光伏发电 功率预测 lstm BI-lstm WOA算法
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城市内涝监测点积水深度LSTM预测模型 被引量:1
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作者 薛丰昌 杨猛 +2 位作者 陈剑飞 吕鑫 杨鋆霞 《测绘科学》 北大核心 2025年第3期159-167,共9页
针对如何利用积涝监测站观测的时序积涝监测数据和降雨数据,准确预测积涝点积水发展趋势的问题,以河南开封市城区为研究对象,收集了2020—2021年间12个积水监测站的小时积水深度数据和6个气象站的小时降水数据。通过对原始数据进行清洗... 针对如何利用积涝监测站观测的时序积涝监测数据和降雨数据,准确预测积涝点积水发展趋势的问题,以河南开封市城区为研究对象,收集了2020—2021年间12个积水监测站的小时积水深度数据和6个气象站的小时降水数据。通过对原始数据进行清洗和归一化处理,将气象站的小时降水数据与对应时间的积水深度数据作为样本,构建了基于双向长短期记忆网络(LSTM)的积水深度预测模型,该模型实现利用6h和3h的降水及积水监测数据,预测未来1h的积水深度。将2021年7月20—21日48h数据作为测试集,验证模型在极端强降雨条件下的预测能力,模型的均方根误差(RMSE)分别为2.10cm和3.94cm。研究结果表明,所建立的LSTM模型能够克服传统时序预测模型在处理非线性关系时的局限性,在积水深度预测方面具有较高的准确性和可靠性。 展开更多
关键词 城市内涝 积涝监测 lstm 预测模型
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