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MSSTGCN: Multi-Head Self-Attention and Spatial-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network for Multi-Scale Traffic Flow Prediction
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作者 Xinlu Zong Fan Yu +1 位作者 Zhen Chen Xue Xia 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2025年第2期3517-3537,共21页
Accurate traffic flow prediction has a profound impact on modern traffic management. Traffic flow has complex spatial-temporal correlations and periodicity, which poses difficulties for precise prediction. To address ... Accurate traffic flow prediction has a profound impact on modern traffic management. Traffic flow has complex spatial-temporal correlations and periodicity, which poses difficulties for precise prediction. To address this problem, a Multi-head Self-attention and Spatial-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network (MSSTGCN) for multiscale traffic flow prediction is proposed. Firstly, to capture the hidden traffic periodicity of traffic flow, traffic flow is divided into three kinds of periods, including hourly, daily, and weekly data. Secondly, a graph attention residual layer is constructed to learn the global spatial features across regions. Local spatial-temporal dependence is captured by using a T-GCN module. Thirdly, a transformer layer is introduced to learn the long-term dependence in time. A position embedding mechanism is introduced to label position information for all traffic sequences. Thus, this multi-head self-attention mechanism can recognize the sequence order and allocate weights for different time nodes. Experimental results on four real-world datasets show that the MSSTGCN performs better than the baseline methods and can be successfully adapted to traffic prediction tasks. 展开更多
关键词 graph convolutional network traffic flow prediction multi-scale traffic flow spatial-temporal model
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AFSTGCN:Prediction for multivariate time series using an adaptive fused spatial-temporal graph convolutional network
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作者 Yuteng Xiao Kaijian Xia +5 位作者 Hongsheng Yin Yu-Dong Zhang Zhenjiang Qian Zhaoyang Liu Yuehan Liang Xiaodan Li 《Digital Communications and Networks》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第2期292-303,共12页
The prediction for Multivariate Time Series(MTS)explores the interrelationships among variables at historical moments,extracts their relevant characteristics,and is widely used in finance,weather,complex industries an... The prediction for Multivariate Time Series(MTS)explores the interrelationships among variables at historical moments,extracts their relevant characteristics,and is widely used in finance,weather,complex industries and other fields.Furthermore,it is important to construct a digital twin system.However,existing methods do not take full advantage of the potential properties of variables,which results in poor predicted accuracy.In this paper,we propose the Adaptive Fused Spatial-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network(AFSTGCN).First,to address the problem of the unknown spatial-temporal structure,we construct the Adaptive Fused Spatial-Temporal Graph(AFSTG)layer.Specifically,we fuse the spatial-temporal graph based on the interrelationship of spatial graphs.Simultaneously,we construct the adaptive adjacency matrix of the spatial-temporal graph using node embedding methods.Subsequently,to overcome the insufficient extraction of disordered correlation features,we construct the Adaptive Fused Spatial-Temporal Graph Convolutional(AFSTGC)module.The module forces the reordering of disordered temporal,spatial and spatial-temporal dependencies into rule-like data.AFSTGCN dynamically and synchronously acquires potential temporal,spatial and spatial-temporal correlations,thereby fully extracting rich hierarchical feature information to enhance the predicted accuracy.Experiments on different types of MTS datasets demonstrate that the model achieves state-of-the-art single-step and multi-step performance compared with eight other deep learning models. 展开更多
关键词 Adaptive adjacency matrix Digital twin graph convolutional network Multivariate time series prediction spatial-temporal graph
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Dense Spatial-Temporal Graph Convolutional Network Based on Lightweight OpenPose for Detecting Falls 被引量:2
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作者 Xiaorui Zhang Qijian Xie +2 位作者 Wei Sun Yongjun Ren Mithun Mukherjee 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2023年第10期47-61,共15页
Fall behavior is closely related to high mortality in the elderly,so fall detection becomes an important and urgent research area.However,the existing fall detection methods are difficult to be applied in daily life d... Fall behavior is closely related to high mortality in the elderly,so fall detection becomes an important and urgent research area.However,the existing fall detection methods are difficult to be applied in daily life due to a large amount of calculation and poor detection accuracy.To solve the above problems,this paper proposes a dense spatial-temporal graph convolutional network based on lightweight OpenPose.Lightweight OpenPose uses MobileNet as a feature extraction network,and the prediction layer uses bottleneck-asymmetric structure,thus reducing the amount of the network.The bottleneck-asymmetrical structure compresses the number of input channels of feature maps by 1×1 convolution and replaces the 7×7 convolution structure with the asymmetric structure of 1×7 convolution,7×1 convolution,and 7×7 convolution in parallel.The spatial-temporal graph convolutional network divides the multi-layer convolution into dense blocks,and the convolutional layers in each dense block are connected,thus improving the feature transitivity,enhancing the network’s ability to extract features,thus improving the detection accuracy.Two representative datasets,Multiple Cameras Fall dataset(MCF),and Nanyang Technological University Red Green Blue+Depth Action Recognition dataset(NTU RGB+D),are selected for our experiments,among which NTU RGB+D has two evaluation benchmarks.The results show that the proposed model is superior to the current fall detection models.The accuracy of this network on the MCF dataset is 96.3%,and the accuracies on the two evaluation benchmarks of the NTU RGB+D dataset are 85.6%and 93.5%,respectively. 展开更多
关键词 Fall detection lightweight OpenPose spatial-temporal graph convolutional network dense blocks
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Enhancing aquaculture water quality forecasting using novel adaptive multi-channel spatial-temporal graph convolutional network
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作者 Tianqi Xiang Xiangyun Guo +2 位作者 Junjie Chi Juan Gao Luwei Zhang 《International Journal of Agricultural and Biological Engineering》 2025年第1期279-291,共13页
In recent years,aquaculture has developed rapidly,especially in coastal and open ocean areas.In practice,water quality prediction is of critical importance.However,traditional water quality prediction models face limi... In recent years,aquaculture has developed rapidly,especially in coastal and open ocean areas.In practice,water quality prediction is of critical importance.However,traditional water quality prediction models face limitations in handling complex spatiotemporal patterns.To address this challenge,a prediction model was proposed for water quality,namely an adaptive multi-channel temporal graph convolutional network(AMTGCN).The AMTGCN integrates adaptive graph construction,multi-channel spatiotemporal graph convolutional network,and fusion layers,and can comprehensively capture the spatial relationships and spatiotemporal patterns in aquaculture water quality data.Onsite aquaculture water quality data and the metrics MAE,RMSE,MAPE,and R^(2) were collected to validate the AMTGCN.The results show that the AMTGCN presents an average improvement of 34.01%,34.59%,36.05%,and 17.71%compared to LSTM,respectively;an average improvement of 64.84%,56.78%,64.82%,and 153.16%compared to the STGCN,respectively;an average improvement of 55.25%,48.67%,57.01%,and 209.00%compared to GCN-LSTM,respectively;and an average improvement of 7.05%,5.66%,7.42%,and 2.47%compared to TCN,respectively.This indicates that the AMTGCN,integrating the innovative structure of adaptive graph construction and multi-channel spatiotemporal graph convolutional network,could provide an efficient solution for water quality prediction in aquaculture. 展开更多
关键词 water quality prediction AQUACULTURE spatial-temporal graph convolutional network MULTI-CHANNEL adaptive graph construction
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Adaptive Graph Convolutional Recurrent Neural Networks for System-Level Mobile Traffic Forecasting
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作者 Yi Zhang Min Zhang +4 位作者 Yihan Gui Yu Wang Hong Zhu Wenbin Chen Danshi Wang 《China Communications》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第10期200-211,共12页
Accurate traffic pattern prediction in largescale networks is of great importance for intelligent system management and automatic resource allocation.System-level mobile traffic forecasting has significant challenges ... Accurate traffic pattern prediction in largescale networks is of great importance for intelligent system management and automatic resource allocation.System-level mobile traffic forecasting has significant challenges due to the tremendous temporal and spatial dynamics introduced by diverse Internet user behaviors and frequent traffic migration.Spatialtemporal graph modeling is an efficient approach for analyzing the spatial relations and temporal trends of mobile traffic in a large system.Previous research may not reflect the optimal dependency by ignoring inter-base station dependency or pre-determining the explicit geological distance as the interrelationship of base stations.To overcome the limitations of graph structure,this study proposes an adaptive graph convolutional network(AGCN)that captures the latent spatial dependency by developing self-adaptive dependency matrices and acquires temporal dependency using recurrent neural networks.Evaluated on two mobile network datasets,the experimental results demonstrate that this method outperforms other baselines and reduces the mean absolute error by 3.7%and 5.6%compared to time-series based approaches. 展开更多
关键词 adaptive graph convolutional network mobile traffic prediction spatial-temporal dependence
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DGL-STFA:Predicting lithium-ion battery health with dynamic graph learning and spatial-temporal fusion attention 被引量:1
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作者 Zheng Chen Quan Qian 《Energy and AI》 2025年第1期84-95,共12页
Accurately predicting the State of Health(SOH)of lithium-ion batteries is a critical challenge to ensure their reliability and safety in energy storage systems,such as electric vehicles and renewable energy grids.The ... Accurately predicting the State of Health(SOH)of lithium-ion batteries is a critical challenge to ensure their reliability and safety in energy storage systems,such as electric vehicles and renewable energy grids.The intricate battery degradation process is influenced by evolving spatial and temporal interactions among health indicators.Existing methods often fail to capture the dynamic interactions between health indicators over time,resulting in limited predictive accuracy.To address these challenges,we propose a novel framework,Dynamic Graph Learning with Spatial-Temporal Fusion Attention(DGL-STFA),which transforms health indicator series time-data into time-evolving graph representations.The framework employs multi-scale convolutional neural networks to capture diverse temporal patterns,a self-attention mechanism to construct dynamic adjacency matrices that adapt over time,and a temporal attention mechanism to identify and prioritize key moments that influence battery degradation.This combination enables DGL-STFA to effectively model both dynamic spatial relationships and long-term temporal dependencies,enhancing SOH prediction accuracy.Extensive experiments were conducted on the NASA and CALCE battery datasets,comparing this framework with traditional time-series prediction methods and other graph-based prediction methods.The results demonstrate that our framework significantly improves prediction accuracy,with a mean absolute error more than 30%lower than other methods.Further analysis demonstrated the robustness of DGL-STFA across various battery life stages,including early,mid,and end-of-life phases.These results highlight the capability of DGL-STFA to accurately predict SOH,addressing critical challenges in advancing battery health monitoring for energy storage applications. 展开更多
关键词 Lithium-ion battery State of health graph convolutional network Dynamic graph learning spatial-temporal attention
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机理-数据混合驱动的直驱风电场分群等值方法
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作者 张英敏 李媛 +4 位作者 高仕林 李东晟 周旭 蒋奇良 王渝红 《高电压技术》 北大核心 2025年第9期4762-4773,共12页
为了提升风电并网系统的暂态仿真分析效率,需要建立风电场等值模型。现有直驱风电场等值模型存在难以适用于预想故障分析和计算效率低问题。针对该问题,提出一种机理-数据混合驱动的直驱风电场分群等值方法。首先,分析了直驱风机的故障... 为了提升风电并网系统的暂态仿真分析效率,需要建立风电场等值模型。现有直驱风电场等值模型存在难以适用于预想故障分析和计算效率低问题。针对该问题,提出一种机理-数据混合驱动的直驱风电场分群等值方法。首先,分析了直驱风机的故障后暂态响应特性,并推导了基于风机初始风速及机端故障稳态电压的风电机组分群方法。其次,提出了一种基于多层图卷积神经网络的机端故障稳态电压高效预测方法,该预测模型能够适应不同的风电场和电网拓扑。进一步,构建了风电场的三机等值模型。最后,仿真验证了所提出的分群等值方法的正确性。 展开更多
关键词 永磁直驱风机 预想故障 机理-数据混合 风电场分群 风电场等值 图卷积神经网络
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基于改进图卷积的多站点海浪高度预测方法
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作者 卢鹏 王慧 +1 位作者 王振华 郑宗生 《海洋测绘》 北大核心 2025年第4期37-42,共6页
海浪高度的变化不仅随时间变化,还受周围海域的影响。针对现有方法仅关注单一站点的时序特征,缺乏对同一区域内不同站点间海浪高度的时空信息提取问题,提出一种改进图卷积的多站点海浪高度预测模型SD-STSGCN。首先采用基于密度的K-mean... 海浪高度的变化不仅随时间变化,还受周围海域的影响。针对现有方法仅关注单一站点的时序特征,缺乏对同一区域内不同站点间海浪高度的时空信息提取问题,提出一种改进图卷积的多站点海浪高度预测模型SD-STSGCN。首先采用基于密度的K-means聚类对站点分组;其次提出缩放距离因子构建邻接矩阵以动态调整权重;最后结合扩张卷积的时空同步图卷积模块捕捉时空特征,非线性映射输出各组站点未来时段的海浪高度预测结果。在覆盖多维度场景的44个站点上进行大区域实验,结果表明,相比于LSTM和TCN等模型,SD-STSGCN的预测效果最好,该方法有效挖掘了多站点时空相关性,为海浪高度预测提供了有效的补充方案。 展开更多
关键词 海浪高度预测 多站点预测 时空同步图卷积 时空相关性 邻接矩阵
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计及动态时空相关性的多风电场短期功率预测
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作者 李丹 黄烽云 +3 位作者 杨帆 唐建 罗娇娇 方泽仁 《电力系统及其自动化学报》 北大核心 2025年第2期1-9,共9页
针对同一区域内多风电场出力间复杂且动态的时空相关性,提出一种基于注意力时空同步图卷积网络的多风电场短期功率预测模型。首先引入注意力机制量化天气特征对风功率的影响,构建相邻3个时间步的风功率局部时空图,卷积提取局部时空特征... 针对同一区域内多风电场出力间复杂且动态的时空相关性,提出一种基于注意力时空同步图卷积网络的多风电场短期功率预测模型。首先引入注意力机制量化天气特征对风功率的影响,构建相邻3个时间步的风功率局部时空图,卷积提取局部时空特征;然后用时空同步图卷积层聚合输入时窗的整体时空特征;最后非线性映射输出多风电场未来时段的功率预测结果。实际算例结果表明,所提模型通过学习不同天气条件下风功率的时空动态演变规律,可将多风电场日前功率预测精度提高2.10%~13.94%。 展开更多
关键词 深度学习 风电功率 相关性 时空同步图卷积网络 功率预测
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融合同步知识和时空信息的电力系统暂态稳定评估框架 被引量:1
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作者 刘雨晴 刘曌 +4 位作者 王小君 刘畅宇 裴玮 郄朝辉 窦嘉铭 《电网技术》 北大核心 2025年第6期2334-2346,共13页
新型电力系统复杂耦合特性和时变因素骤增,对暂态稳定评估(transientstabilityassessment,TSA)的准确性和快速性提出更高要求。深度学习算法的引入为TSA问题提供新的解决思路,但模型的结果可靠性问题制约其实际应用。因此提出一种融合... 新型电力系统复杂耦合特性和时变因素骤增,对暂态稳定评估(transientstabilityassessment,TSA)的准确性和快速性提出更高要求。深度学习算法的引入为TSA问题提供新的解决思路,但模型的结果可靠性问题制约其实际应用。因此提出一种融合同步知识和时空信息的评估框架,从电气特征选择、融入领域知识和模型内嵌可解释性方面提升评估性能与结果可信度。首先分析电气特征量与暂态稳定间的理论映射关系,引导模型特征选择;其次分析基于Kuramoto耦合振子模型的同步现象,将同步关键参数(节点耦合强度)引入图卷积神经网络(graph convolution network,GCN)的空间拓扑表示;在此基础上,结合内嵌可解释的Informer模型,提出Infor-GCN模型提取暂态过程特征时空耦合信息并进行特征增强;然后针对不同特征的稳定判别结果设计综合输出策略,提高模型结果可靠性。最后在IEEE-68节点系统的仿真算例表明所提方法在评估准确度和分析效率上具有优越性,并且在新样本下具备较强的泛化能力。 展开更多
关键词 暂态稳定评估 深度学习 图卷积神经网络 同步知识 时空特征
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GCN-LSTM spatiotemporal-network-based method for post-disturbance frequency prediction of power systems 被引量:4
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作者 Dengyi Huang Hao Liu +1 位作者 Tianshu Bi Qixun Yang 《Global Energy Interconnection》 EI CAS CSCD 2022年第1期96-107,共12页
Owing to the expansion of the grid interconnection scale,the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of the frequency response of power systems after the occurrence of disturbances have become increasingly importa... Owing to the expansion of the grid interconnection scale,the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of the frequency response of power systems after the occurrence of disturbances have become increasingly important.These characteristics can provide effective support in coordinated security control.However,traditional model-based frequencyprediction methods cannot satisfactorily meet the requirements of online applications owing to the long calculation time and accurate power-system models.Therefore,this study presents a rolling frequency-prediction model based on a graph convolutional network(GCN)and a long short-term memory(LSTM)spatiotemporal network and named as STGCN-LSTM.In the proposed method,the measurement data from phasor measurement units after the occurrence of disturbances are used to construct the spatiotemporal input.An improved GCN embedded with topology information is used to extract the spatial features,while the LSTM network is used to extract the temporal features.The spatiotemporal-network-regression model is further trained,and asynchronous-frequency-sequence prediction is realized by utilizing the rolling update of measurement information.The proposed spatiotemporal-network-based prediction model can achieve accurate frequency prediction by considering the spatiotemporal distribution characteristics of the frequency response.The noise immunity and robustness of the proposed method are verified on the IEEE 39-bus and IEEE 118-bus systems. 展开更多
关键词 synchronous phasor measurement Frequency-response prediction Spatiotemporal distribution characteristics Improved graph convolutional network Long short-term memory network Spatiotemporal-network structure
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基于多通道信号二维递归融合和ECA-ConvNeXt的永磁同步电机高阻接触故障诊断 被引量:6
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作者 丁伟 宋俊材 +1 位作者 陆思良 王骁贤 《电工技术学报》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2024年第20期6397-6408,共12页
该文提出一种基于多通道信号二维递归融合和高效通道注意力机制新一代卷积神经网络(ECA-ConvNeXt)相结合的方法,以解决永磁同步电机高阻接触故障精细定量化诊断识别的问题。首先,建立永磁同步电机仿真模型获取三相电流信号作为有效故障... 该文提出一种基于多通道信号二维递归融合和高效通道注意力机制新一代卷积神经网络(ECA-ConvNeXt)相结合的方法,以解决永磁同步电机高阻接触故障精细定量化诊断识别的问题。首先,建立永磁同步电机仿真模型获取三相电流信号作为有效故障信号;其次,引入递归图,将三相电流信号分别映射为二维图像并进行多通道融合,以提高故障特征信息的丰富性并消除人工特征提取的影响,实现故障特征的增强显示;然后,通过在ConvNeXt中引入高效通道注意力模块,提升了网络在通道维度上的适应性,得到ECA-ConvNeXt以实现永磁同步电机故障位置类型和严重程度的精确诊断分类,分类精度达到99.18%,并通过带噪声数据验证了该方法的鲁棒性;最后,搭建了样机实验平台,验证所提方法识别精度高达97.35%,能够准确识别永磁同步电机高阻接触故障位置和严重程度。 展开更多
关键词 永磁同步电机 高阻接触故障 递归图 卷积神经网络 注意力机制
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A hybrid spatial-temporal deep learning prediction model of industrial methanol-to-olefins process
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作者 Jibin Zhou Xue Li +4 位作者 Duiping Liu Feng Wang Tao Zhang Mao Ye Zhongmin Liu 《Frontiers of Chemical Science and Engineering》 SCIE EI CSCD 2024年第4期73-85,共13页
Methanol-to-olefins,as a promising non-oil pathway for the synthesis of light olefins,has been successfully industrialized.The accurate prediction of process variables can yield significant benefits for advanced proce... Methanol-to-olefins,as a promising non-oil pathway for the synthesis of light olefins,has been successfully industrialized.The accurate prediction of process variables can yield significant benefits for advanced process control and optimization.The challenge of this task is underscored by the failure of traditional methods in capturing the complex characteristics of industrial processes,such as high nonlinearities,dynamics,and data distribution shift caused by diverse operating conditions.In this paper,we propose a novel hybrid spatial-temporal deep learning prediction model to address these issues.Firstly,a unique data normalization technique called reversible instance normalization is employed to solve the problem of different data distributions.Subsequently,convolutional neural network integrated with the self-attention mechanism are utilized to extract the temporal patterns.Meanwhile,a multi-graph convolutional network is leveraged to model the spatial interactions.Afterward,the extracted temporal and spatial features are fused as input into a fully connected neural network to complete the prediction.Finally,the outputs are denormalized to obtain the ultimate results.The monitoring results of the dynamic trends of process variables in an actual industrial methanol-to-olefins process demonstrate that our model not only achieves superior prediction performance but also can reveal complex spatial-temporal relationships using the learned attention matrices and adjacency matrices,making the model more interpretable.Lastly,this model is deployed onto an end-to-end Industrial Internet Platform,which achieves effective practical results. 展开更多
关键词 methanol-to-olefins process variables prediction spatial-temporal self-attention mechanism graph convolutional network
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Real-Time Safety Behavior Detection Technology of Indoors Power Personnel Based on Human Key Points
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作者 杨坚 李聪敏 +5 位作者 洪道鉴 卢东祁 林秋佳 方兴其 喻谦 张乾 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 2024年第2期309-315,共7页
Safety production is of great significance to the development of enterprises and society.Accidents often cause great losses because of the particularity environment of electric power.Therefore,it is important to impro... Safety production is of great significance to the development of enterprises and society.Accidents often cause great losses because of the particularity environment of electric power.Therefore,it is important to improve the safety supervision and protection in the electric power environment.In this paper,we simulate the actual electric power operation scenario by monitoring equipment and propose a real-time detection method of illegal actions based on human body key points to ensure safety behavior in real time.In this method,the human body key points in video frames were first extracted by the high-resolution network,and then classified in real time by spatial-temporal graph convolutional network.Experimental results show that this method can effectively detect illegal actions in the simulated scene. 展开更多
关键词 real-time behavior recognition human key points high-resolution network spatial-temporal graph convolutional network
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时空注意力图卷积神经网络水下节点时钟同步算法
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作者 李华 邓金燕 《凯里学院学报》 2024年第3期71-80,共10页
时钟同步是水下无线传感器网络工作的核心机制.实时、准确的节点移动速度是构建高精度时钟同步算法的重要保障,针对同步过程由于节点移动速度难以估算导致同步精度低和能耗高等问题,提出一种基于注意力机制和图卷积神经网络相结合的时... 时钟同步是水下无线传感器网络工作的核心机制.实时、准确的节点移动速度是构建高精度时钟同步算法的重要保障,针对同步过程由于节点移动速度难以估算导致同步精度低和能耗高等问题,提出一种基于注意力机制和图卷积神经网络相结合的时钟同步算法.首先,利用深海拉格朗日洋流模型模拟节点的运动轨迹,由洋流模型粗略估计出节点的速度;对节点速度、水下环境信息集和时间占比进行融合处理,来作为图神经网络输入特征;其次使用注意力机制结合输入特征构建时空注意力权重矩阵,并根据特征数据自适应地调整权重矩阵;再联合图卷积神经网络捕捉节点速度之间、位移之间的空间性特征;在此基础上再堆叠标准卷积层进一步合并相邻时间的节点信息以获取时间相关性,然后构造节点移动模型进而实时有效地预测出节点移动速度,最后快速计算出节点动态的传播时延完成时钟同步.实验结果表明,本文算法在精度上分别比TSHL算法、D-sync算法、K-sync算法提升了26%、20%和11%,在能耗上也优于现有的时钟同步算法. 展开更多
关键词 时钟同步 洋流模型 注意力机制 图卷积神经网络
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图神经网络驱动的交通预测技术:探索与挑战 被引量:7
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作者 周毅 胡姝婷 +3 位作者 李伟 承楠 路宁 沈学民 《物联网学报》 2021年第4期1-16,共16页
随着物联网及人工智能技术的快速发展,对交通数据进行精准的分析和预测成为智慧交通的首要环节。近年来,交通预测方法逐渐从经典的模型驱动转变为数据驱动,然而,如何通过大数据有效分析路网的时空特性是预测过程中面临的关键难题之一。... 随着物联网及人工智能技术的快速发展,对交通数据进行精准的分析和预测成为智慧交通的首要环节。近年来,交通预测方法逐渐从经典的模型驱动转变为数据驱动,然而,如何通过大数据有效分析路网的时空特性是预测过程中面临的关键难题之一。时空大数据分析是交通预测的利器,将交通路网建模为图网络,将深度学习方法在图网络上进行扩展,通过图神经网络建立时空预测模型,采用图卷积的方式有效地获取路网传感器节点之间的时空相关性,可以显著提高交通预测模型的精度。针对图神经网络驱动的交通预测技术进行了探索,基于深度时空特性分析提炼了两大类交通预测模型,并通过实例进行分析和验证,探讨了图神经网络在交通预测领域的技术优势和主要挑战,挖掘了图神经网络预测机制的潜在研究方向。 展开更多
关键词 交通预测 图神经网络 时空相关性 同步卷积 图注意力网络
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基于时空卷积动态知识图谱的新能源消纳评估方法 被引量:9
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作者 陈宗源 余涛 +3 位作者 丁茂生 潘振宁 陈俊斌 刘希喆 《电力系统自动化》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2023年第15期46-54,共9页
为构建新能源消纳知识图谱,首先,将电网积累的海量调度运行数据以动态四元组的形式,显式地表达调度运行数据的时空关联关系。通过滑动时间窗口快速搜索、提取局部时空图,构建子图数据集。然后,时空同步图卷积网络对局部时空图进行高维... 为构建新能源消纳知识图谱,首先,将电网积累的海量调度运行数据以动态四元组的形式,显式地表达调度运行数据的时空关联关系。通过滑动时间窗口快速搜索、提取局部时空图,构建子图数据集。然后,时空同步图卷积网络对局部时空图进行高维特征提取,充分挖掘历史数据的时空关联关系,利用新能源消纳知识图谱中存储的机理知识对模型进行引导,并通过多子图并行训练提升模型的学习效率。最后,基于中国西北某省级电网算例进行仿真和实验验证。结果表明,所提方法可以有效避免复杂的数学建模以及模型求解,相比于传统方法具有更高的评估精度与速度。 展开更多
关键词 新能源消纳评估 知识图谱 时空同步图卷积网络 时空图 机理知识 人工智能
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基于图卷积神经网络与K-means聚类的居民用户集群短期负荷预测 被引量:40
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作者 董雷 陈振平 +2 位作者 韩富佳 王晓辉 蒲天骄 《电网技术》 EI CSCD 北大核心 2023年第10期4291-4301,共11页
随着智能电表等高级量测装置在用户侧的广泛部署与使用,海量多源异构的居民用户数据得以采集与存储,为用户级负荷预测提供良好的数据基础。精准的居民用户集群负荷预测是促进智能配电网需求侧管理、辅助电网公司实现削峰填谷的重要基础... 随着智能电表等高级量测装置在用户侧的广泛部署与使用,海量多源异构的居民用户数据得以采集与存储,为用户级负荷预测提供良好的数据基础。精准的居民用户集群负荷预测是促进智能配电网需求侧管理、辅助电网公司实现削峰填谷的重要基础。然而,现有的用户级负荷预测方法大多利用历史负荷序列的时间相关性构建数据驱动模型,却忽视相邻用户用电行为之间存在的潜在空间相关性。因此,提出一种基于K-means聚类和自适应时空同步图卷积神经网络的居民用户集群负荷预测方法。首先,采用K-means聚类将居民用户集群按照用电行为相似性划分成不同组;然后,基于居民用户集群的分组数量、各组居民用户的历史负荷数据以及各组居民用户负荷序列之间的相关性,构建面向居民用户集群负荷预测的时空图数据;最后,使用自适应时空同步图卷积神经网络实现居民用户集群短期负荷预测。文章通过真实的爱尔兰居民用户负荷公开数据集测试并验证所提方法的准确性和有效性,实验结果表明,相较于各个基准预测方法,所提方法能够充分挖掘并利用不同居民用户用电负荷之间的时空相关性,进而提高居民用户集群负荷预测精度。 展开更多
关键词 智能配电网 用户级负荷预测 居民用户集群 图数据 时空同步图卷积神经网络
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Very Short-Term Forecasting of Distributed PV Power Using GSTANN 被引量:1
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作者 Tiechui Yao Jue Wang +4 位作者 Yangang Wang Pei Zhang Haizhou Cao Xuebin Chi Min Shi 《CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems》 SCIE EI CSCD 2024年第4期1491-1501,共11页
Photovoltaic(PV)power forecasting is essential for secure operation of a power system.Effective prediction of PV power can improve new energy consumption capacity,help power system planning,promote development of smar... Photovoltaic(PV)power forecasting is essential for secure operation of a power system.Effective prediction of PV power can improve new energy consumption capacity,help power system planning,promote development of smart grids,and ultimately support construction of smart energy cities.However,different from centralized PV power forecasts,three critical challenges are encountered in distributed PV power forecasting:1)lack of on-site meteorological observation,2)leveraging extraneous data to enhance forecasting performance,3)spatial-temporal modelling methods of meteorological information around the distributed PV stations.To address these issues,we propose a Graph Spatial-Temporal Attention Neural Network(GSTANN)to predict the very short-term power of distributed PV.First,we use satellite remote sensing data covering a specific geographical area to supplement meteorological information for all PV stations.Then,we apply the graph convolution block to model the non-Euclidean local and global spatial dependence and design an attention mechanism to simultaneously derive temporal and spatial correlations.Subsequently,we propose a data fusion module to solve the time misalignment between satellite remote sensing data and surrounding measured on-site data and design a power approximation block to map the conversion from solar irradiance to PV power.Experiments conducted with real-world case study datasets demonstrate that the prediction performance of GSTANN outperforms five state-of-the-art baselines. 展开更多
关键词 Distributed photovoltaic power forecasting graph convolutional networks satellite images spatial-temporal attention
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