In the new era,the impact of emerging productive forces has permeated every sector of industry.As the core production factor of these forces,data plays a pivotal role in industrial transformation and social developmen...In the new era,the impact of emerging productive forces has permeated every sector of industry.As the core production factor of these forces,data plays a pivotal role in industrial transformation and social development.Consequently,many domestic universities have introduced majors or courses related to big data.Among these,the Big Data Management and Applications major stands out for its interdisciplinary approach and emphasis on practical skills.However,as an emerging field,it has not yet accumulated a robust foundation in teaching theory and practice.Current instructional practices face issues such as unclear training objectives,inconsistent teaching methods and course content,insufficient integration of practical components,and a shortage of qualified faculty-factors that hinder both the development of the major and the overall quality of education.Taking the statistics course within the Big Data Management and Applications major as an example,this paper examines the challenges faced by statistics education in the context of emerging productive forces and proposes corresponding improvement measures.By introducing innovative teaching concepts and strategies,the teaching system for professional courses is optimized,and authentic classroom scenarios are recreated through illustrative examples.Questionnaire surveys and statistical analyses of data collected before and after the teaching reforms indicate that the curriculum changes effectively enhance instructional outcomes,promote the development of the major,and improve the quality of talent cultivation.展开更多
This paper focuses on the ideological and political construction of the course“Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics.”Aiming at the current situation in teaching where emphasis is placed on knowledge impart...This paper focuses on the ideological and political construction of the course“Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics.”Aiming at the current situation in teaching where emphasis is placed on knowledge imparting while value guidance is neglected,and combined with the requirements of ideological and political education policies in the new era,this paper explores the integration path between professional courses and ideological and political education.Through literature analysis,case comparison,and empirical research,the study proposes a systematic implementation plan covering the design of teaching objectives,the reconstruction of teaching content,and the optimization of the evaluation system.The purpose is to cultivate students’sense of social responsibility and innovative awareness by excavating the ideological and political elements in mathematics.The research results provide practical reference for colleges and universities to deepen the reform of ideological and political education in courses,and promote the implementation of the fundamental task of fostering virtue through education in STEM education.展开更多
Objective: To explore the application effect of CBL combined with rain classroom teaching method in medical statistics courses. Methods: The undergraduate students of medical imaging technology in 2019 and 2020 in a u...Objective: To explore the application effect of CBL combined with rain classroom teaching method in medical statistics courses. Methods: The undergraduate students of medical imaging technology in 2019 and 2020 in a university were selected as the research objects. A cluster sampling method was used to select 79 undergraduate students from 2019 in the control group and 75 undergraduate students from 2020 in the experimental group. Traditional teaching method and CBL combined with rain classroom teaching method was used in the control group and experimental group respectively. The final examination scores of the two groups were compared. In experimental group, the correlation between the average score in the rain classroom and the final examination score was tested, and the teaching effect was evaluated. Results: The average score of final examination in experimental group and control group was 79.13 ± 10.32 points and 71.54 ± 14.752 points, respectively, which had a statistically significant difference (Z = 2.586, P = 0.012);the final examination scores of the students in the experimental group were positively correlated with the average scores of the rain classroom (r = 0.372, P = 0.001), and the proportion of satisfaction in the experimental group was 94.7%. Conclusion: The CBL combined with rain classroom teaching method can improve the teaching effectiveness of medical statistics courses.展开更多
The lottery has long captivated the imagination of players worldwide, offering the tantalizing possibility of life-changing wins. While winning the lottery is largely a matter of chance, as lottery drawings are typica...The lottery has long captivated the imagination of players worldwide, offering the tantalizing possibility of life-changing wins. While winning the lottery is largely a matter of chance, as lottery drawings are typically random and unpredictable. Some people use the lottery terminal randomly generates numbers for them, some players choose numbers that hold personal significance to them, such as birthdays, anniversaries, or other important dates, some enthusiasts have turned to statistical analysis as a means to analyze past winning numbers identify patterns or frequencies. In this paper, we use order statistics to estimate the probability of specific order of numbers or number combinations being drawn in future drawings.展开更多
In today's world where everything is interconnected, air-space-ground integrated networks have become a current research hotspot due to their characteristics of high, long and wide area coverage. Given the constan...In today's world where everything is interconnected, air-space-ground integrated networks have become a current research hotspot due to their characteristics of high, long and wide area coverage. Given the constantly changing and dynamic characteristics of air and space networks, along with the sheer number and complexity of access nodes involved, the process of rapid networking presents substantial challenges. In order to achieve rapid and dynamic networking of air-space-ground integrated networks, this paper focuses on the study of methods for large-scale nodes to randomly access satellites. This paper utilizes a cross-layer design methodology to enhance the access success probability by jointly optimizing the physical layer and medium access control(MAC) layer aspects. Load statistics priority random access(LSPRA) technology is proposed.Experiments show that when the number of nodes is greater than 1 000, this method can also ensure stable access performance, providing ideas for the design of air-space-ground integrated network access systems.展开更多
The Bureau of Statistics has demonstrated a forward-looking strategic approach in its economic census.By leveraging dual innovations in technology and management,and incorporating modern technologies such as big data,...The Bureau of Statistics has demonstrated a forward-looking strategic approach in its economic census.By leveraging dual innovations in technology and management,and incorporating modern technologies such as big data,cloud computing,and the Internet of Things,it has deepened the reform of the census methodology.Additionally,the Bureau has built a multi-dimensional collaborative network that enhances international cooperation,departmental coordination,and public participation.This approach not only addresses the limitations of traditional statistical methods in a complex economic environment but also improves data quality and census efficiency,providing an accurate and reliable foundation for national economic decision-making.展开更多
To cultivate talents with an exploratory spirit and practical skills in the era of information technology,it is imperative to reform teaching methods and approaches.In the teaching process of the Probability and Stati...To cultivate talents with an exploratory spirit and practical skills in the era of information technology,it is imperative to reform teaching methods and approaches.In the teaching process of the Probability and Statistics course,an application-oriented blended teaching model combining problem-based learning and small private online course was explored.By organizing and implementing online and offline teaching activities based on problem-based learning,a multidimensional process-oriented learning assessment system was established.Practice has shown that this model can effectively enhance classroom teaching effectiveness,benefiting the improvement of students’overall skills and mathematical literacy.展开更多
With the rapid development of higher education in China,colleges and universities are facing new challenges and impacts in talent training.Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics is one of the important courses...With the rapid development of higher education in China,colleges and universities are facing new challenges and impacts in talent training.Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics is one of the important courses in higher education for science and engineering majors and economics and management majors.Its critical role in cultivating students’thinking skills and improving their problem-solving skills is self-evident.Course ideological and political education construction is an important link in college talent training work.Combining ideological and political education with course teaching can help students establish correct value concepts and play a certain role in improving their comprehensive ability and quality.At present,the construction of ideological and political education in the Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics course still faces some problems,mainly manifested in the lack of attention paid by teachers to course ideological and political education,insufficient exploitation of ideological and political elements,and the simplification of ideological and political education implementation methods.In order to comprehensively deepen the construction of course ideological and political education in line with the actual needs of Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics course teaching,we should strengthen the construction of teacher teams,improve teachers’ability to carry out course ideological and political education,integrate educational resources,develop educational resources for ideological and political education,and innovate teaching methods to improve the overall effect of ideological and political education integration.展开更多
Artificial intelligence(AI)is rapidly transforming healthcare and medical education.Strong statistical thinking skills are vital for evaluating and applying AI tools.However,traditional medical statistics education ha...Artificial intelligence(AI)is rapidly transforming healthcare and medical education.Strong statistical thinking skills are vital for evaluating and applying AI tools.However,traditional medical statistics education has not adapted to this demand.This paper first analyzes the connotation and importance of statistical thinking,points out the significant challenges currently faced by medical statistics education,and then proposes strategies such as innovative teaching methods combined with evidence-based medicine,utilizing AI platforms for supplemental teaching,multidisciplinary integration,and strengthening the understanding of the statistical foundations of AI to enhance the statistical thinking abilities of medical professionals.This study emphasizes the importance of cultivating medical statistical thinking in the era of AI to improve the quality of medical education and ensure the safety and effectiveness of future medical services.展开更多
This paper is a statistical survey of Southern Hemisphere cold and hot polar cap patches,in relation to the interplanetary magnetic field(IMF)and ionospheric convection geometry.A total of 11,946 patch events were ide...This paper is a statistical survey of Southern Hemisphere cold and hot polar cap patches,in relation to the interplanetary magnetic field(IMF)and ionospheric convection geometry.A total of 11,946 patch events were identified by Defense Meteorological Satellite Program(DMSP)F16 during the years 2011 to 2022.A temperature ratio of ion/electron temperature(T_(i)/T_(e))<0.68 is recommended to define a hot patch in the Southern Hemisphere,otherwise it is defined as a cold patch.The cold and hot patches have different dependencies on IMF clock angle,while their dependencies on IMF cone angle are similar.Both cold and hot patches appear most often on the duskside,and the distribution of cold patches gradually decreases from the dayside to the nightside,while hot patches have a higher occurrence rate near 14 and 21 magnetic local time(MLT).Moreover,we compared the key plasma characteristics of polar cap cold and hot patches in the Southern and Northern Hemispheres.The intensity of the duskside upward field-aligned current of patches in the Southern Hemisphere(SH)is stronger than that in the Northern Hemisphere(SH),which may be due to the discrepancy in conductivities between the two hemispheres,caused by the tilted dipole.In both hemispheres,the downward soft-electron energy flux of the dawnside patches is significantly greater than that of the duskside patches.展开更多
Web data extraction has become a key technology for extracting valuable data from websites.At present,most extraction methods based on rule learning,visual pattern or tree matching have limited performance on complex ...Web data extraction has become a key technology for extracting valuable data from websites.At present,most extraction methods based on rule learning,visual pattern or tree matching have limited performance on complex web pages.Through ana-lyzing various statistical characteristics of HTML el-ements in web documents,this paper proposes,based on statistical features,an unsupervised web data ex-traction method—traversing the HTML DOM parse tree at first,calculating and generating the statistical matrix of the elements,and then locating data records by clustering method and heuristic rules that reveal in-herent links between the visual characteristics of the data recording areas and the statistical characteristics of the HTML nodes—which is both suitable for data records extraction of single-page and multi-pages,and it has strong generality and needs no training.The ex-periments show that the accuracy and efficiency of this method are equally better than the current data extrac-tion method.展开更多
Multi-angle statistical analysis of tropical cyclones(TCs)and their distant thermodynamic disturbances over Northwest Pacific from July to September during 2001-2020 was conducted.The results show that TCs could trigg...Multi-angle statistical analysis of tropical cyclones(TCs)and their distant thermodynamic disturbances over Northwest Pacific from July to September during 2001-2020 was conducted.The results show that TCs could trigger distant thermodynamic disturbances,which mainly caused an increase in air pressure and a rise in temperature in northern China.The distant thermodynamic disturbances triggered by TCs differed in spatial distribution and intensity in different months.In the same month,the spatial distribution of such disturbances triggered by high-intensity TCs was consistent with the overall pattern,and there was a significant increase in intensity and area.From the probability of TC activities and the significance test of variance of analysis under different levels of P-J index,it is found that TC activities could stimulate the increase of P-J teleconnection index.There was a significant positive correlation between them,which was accompanied by a step effect.展开更多
In this study,the gradients of Total Electron Content(TEC)for a midlatitude region are estimated and grouped with respect to the distance between neighboring stations,time periods within a day,and satellite directions...In this study,the gradients of Total Electron Content(TEC)for a midlatitude region are estimated and grouped with respect to the distance between neighboring stations,time periods within a day,and satellite directions.Annual medians of these gradients for quiet days are computed as templates.The metric distances(L2N)and Symmetric Kullback-Leibler Distances(SKLD)are obtained between the templates and the daily gradient series.The grouped histograms are fitted to the prospective Probability Density Functions(PDF).The method is applied to the Slant Total Electron Content(STEC)estimates from the Turkish National Permanent GPS Network(TNPGN-Active)for 2015.The highest gradients are observed in the east-west axis with a maximum of 25 mm/km during a geomagnetic storm.The maximum differences from the gradient templates occur for neighboring stations within100-130 km distance away from each other,during night hours,and for regions bordering the Black Sea and the Mediterranean in the northeast and southeast of Turkey.The empirical PDFs of the stationpair gradients are predominantly Weibull-distributed.The mean values of Weibull PDFs in all station groups are between 1.2 and 1.8 mm/km,with an increase during noon and afternoon hours.The standard deviations of the gradient PDFs generally increase during night hours.The algorithm will form a basis for quantifying the stochastic variations of the spatial rate of change of TEC trends in midlatitude regions,thus supplementing reliable and accurate regional monitoring of ionospheric variability.展开更多
Extratropical transition(ET)is one of the last phases of tropical cyclones(TCs)and corresponds to the structural change from a tropical system to an extratropical system characterized by pronounced asymmetric distribu...Extratropical transition(ET)is one of the last phases of tropical cyclones(TCs)and corresponds to the structural change from a tropical system to an extratropical system characterized by pronounced asymmetric distributions of heavy rainfall and strong wind.This study analyzes the statistical characteristics of ET events involving TCs over the western North Pacific(WNP)during 1981–2022.The analysis employs the Cyclone Phase Space(CPS)method to evaluate the accuracy of the fifth-generation reanalysis from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts(ERA5)in identifying ET based on different TC center definitions.Results show that defining the TC center by the minimum sea level pressure yields the most accurate ET identification.Subsequently,the study investigates several characteristics of ET events in the WNP.It is found that TCs undergoing ET(ETTCs)primarily form in the region of 125°–155°E,10°–25°N,with ET typically initiating between 30°–40°N and completing between 35°–50°N.These ETTCs predominantly occur from April to December,with peak activity observed from August to October.Additionally,the average duration of the ET process is 18.5 h,with longer durations observed from August to October,displaying a roughly 6-year cycle.Spatially,ET events with longer durations tend to occur at lower latitudes.Correspondingly,TCs initiating their ET phase at lower latitudes are typically stronger and larger,and they also experience longer ET durations.展开更多
This study presents the results of a Monte Carlo simulation to compare the statistical power of Siegel-Tukey and Savage tests.The main purpose of the study is to evaluate the statistical power of both tests in scenari...This study presents the results of a Monte Carlo simulation to compare the statistical power of Siegel-Tukey and Savage tests.The main purpose of the study is to evaluate the statistical power of both tests in scenarios involving Normal,Platykurtic and Skewed distributions over different sample sizes and standard deviation values.In the study,standard deviation ratios were set as 2,3,4,1/2,1/3 and 1/4 and power comparisons were made between small and large sample sizes.For equal sample sizes,small sample sizes of 5,8,10,12,16 and 20 and large sample sizes of 25,50,75 and 100 were used.For different sample sizes,the combinations of(4,16),(8,16),(10,20),(16,4),(16,8)and(20,10)small sample sizes and(10,30),(30,10),(50,75),(50,100),(75,50),(75,100),(100,50)and(100,75)large sample sizes were examined in detail.According to the findings,the power analysis under variance heterogeneity conditions shows that the Siegel-Tukey test has a higher statistical power than the other nonparametric Savage test at small and large sample sizes.In particular,the Siegel-Tukey test was reported to offer higher precision and power under variance heterogeneity,regardless of having equal or different sample sizes.展开更多
Reconfigurable intelligent surface(RIS)is a promising candidate technology of the upcoming Sixth Generation(6G)communication system for its ability to provide unprecedented spectral and energy efficiency increment thr...Reconfigurable intelligent surface(RIS)is a promising candidate technology of the upcoming Sixth Generation(6G)communication system for its ability to provide unprecedented spectral and energy efficiency increment through passive beamforming.However,it is challenging to obtain instantaneous channel state information(I-CSI)for RIS,which obliges us to use statistical channel state information(S-CSI)to achieve passive beamforming.In this paper,RIS-aided multiple-input single-output(MISO)multi-user downlink communication system with correlated channels is investigated.Then,we formulate the problem of joint beamforming design at the AP and RIS to maximize the sum ergodic spectral efficiency(ESE)of all users to improve the network capacity.Since it is too hard to compute sum ESE,an ESE approximation is adopted to reformulate the problem into a more tractable form.Then,we present two joint beamforming algorithms,namely the singular value decomposition-gradient descent(SVD-GD)algorithm and the fractional programming-gradient descent(FP-GD)algorithm.Simulation results show the effectiveness of our proposed algorithms and validate that 2-bits quantizer is enough for RIS phase shifts implementation.展开更多
Background Cotton is one of the most important commercial crops after food crops,especially in countries like India,where it’s grown extensively under rainfed conditions.Because of its usage in multiple industries,su...Background Cotton is one of the most important commercial crops after food crops,especially in countries like India,where it’s grown extensively under rainfed conditions.Because of its usage in multiple industries,such as textile,medicine,and automobile industries,it has greater commercial importance.The crop’s performance is greatly influenced by prevailing weather dynamics.As climate changes,assessing how weather changes affect crop performance is essential.Among various techniques that are available,crop models are the most effective and widely used tools for predicting yields.Results This study compares statistical and machine learning models to assess their ability to predict cotton yield across major producing districts of Karnataka,India,utilizing a long-term dataset spanning from 1990 to 2023 that includes yield and weather factors.The artificial neural networks(ANNs)performed superiorly with acceptable yield deviations ranging within±10%during both vegetative stage(F1)and mid stage(F2)for cotton.The model evaluation metrics such as root mean square error(RMSE),normalized root mean square error(nRMSE),and modelling efficiency(EF)were also within the acceptance limits in most districts.Furthermore,the tested ANN model was used to assess the importance of the dominant weather factors influencing crop yield in each district.Specifically,the use of morning relative humidity as an individual parameter and its interaction with maximum and minimum tempera-ture had a major influence on cotton yield in most of the yield predicted districts.These differences highlighted the differential interactions of weather factors in each district for cotton yield formation,highlighting individual response of each weather factor under different soils and management conditions over the major cotton growing districts of Karnataka.Conclusions Compared with statistical models,machine learning models such as ANNs proved higher efficiency in forecasting the cotton yield due to their ability to consider the interactive effects of weather factors on yield forma-tion at different growth stages.This highlights the best suitability of ANNs for yield forecasting in rainfed conditions and for the study on relative impacts of weather factors on yield.Thus,the study aims to provide valuable insights to support stakeholders in planning effective crop management strategies and formulating relevant policies.展开更多
Traditional meteorological downscaling methods face limitations due to the complex distribution of meteorological variables,which can lead to unstable forecasting results,especially in extreme scenarios.To overcome th...Traditional meteorological downscaling methods face limitations due to the complex distribution of meteorological variables,which can lead to unstable forecasting results,especially in extreme scenarios.To overcome this issue,we propose a convolutional graph neural network(CGNN)model,which we enhance with multilayer feature fusion and a squeeze-and-excitation block.Additionally,we introduce a spatially balanced mean squared error(SBMSE)loss function to address the imbalanced distribution and spatial variability of meteorological variables.The CGNN is capable of extracting essential spatial features and aggregating them from a global perspective,thereby improving the accuracy of prediction and enhancing the model's generalization ability.Based on the experimental results,CGNN has certain advantages in terms of bias distribution,exhibiting a smaller variance.When it comes to precipitation,both UNet and AE also demonstrate relatively small biases.As for temperature,AE and CNNdense perform outstandingly during the winter.The time correlation coefficients show an improvement of at least 10%at daily and monthly scales for both temperature and precipitation.Furthermore,the SBMSE loss function displays an advantage over existing loss functions in predicting the98th percentile and identifying areas where extreme events occur.However,the SBMSE tends to overestimate the distribution of extreme precipitation,which may be due to the theoretical assumptions about the posterior distribution of data that partially limit the effectiveness of the loss function.In future work,we will further optimize the SBMSE to improve prediction accuracy.展开更多
To realize dynamic statistical publishing and protection of location-based data privacy,this paper proposes a differential privacy publishing algorithm based on adaptive sampling and grid clustering and adjustment.The...To realize dynamic statistical publishing and protection of location-based data privacy,this paper proposes a differential privacy publishing algorithm based on adaptive sampling and grid clustering and adjustment.The PID control strategy is combined with the difference in data variation to realize the dynamic adjustment of the data publishing intervals.The spatial-temporal correlations of the adjacent snapshots are utilized to design the grid clustering and adjustment algorithm,which facilitates saving the execution time of the publishing process.The budget distribution and budget absorption strategies are improved to form the sliding window-based differential privacy statistical publishing algorithm,which realizes continuous statistical publishing and privacy protection and improves the accuracy of published data.Experiments and analysis on large datasets of actual locations show that the privacy protection algorithm proposed in this paper is superior to other existing algorithms in terms of the accuracy of adaptive sampling time,the availability of published data,and the execution efficiency of data publishing methods.展开更多
We perform a time-resolved statistical study of GRB 221009A’s X-ray emission using Swift XRT Photon Counting and Windowed Timing data.After standard reduction(barycentric correction,pile-up,background subtraction via...We perform a time-resolved statistical study of GRB 221009A’s X-ray emission using Swift XRT Photon Counting and Windowed Timing data.After standard reduction(barycentric correction,pile-up,background subtraction via HEASOFT),we extracted light curves for each observational ID and for their aggregation.Countrate histograms were fitted using various statistical distributions;fit quality was assessed by chi-squared and the Bayesian Information Criterion.The first observational segment is best described by a Gaussian distribution(χ^(2)=68.4;BIC=7651.2),and the second by a Poisson distribution(χ^(2)=33.5;BIC=4413.3).When all segments are combined,the lognormal model provides the superior fit(χ^(2)=541.9;BIC=34365.5),indicating that the full data set’s count rates exhibit the skewness expected from a multiplicative process.These findings demonstrate that while individual time intervals conform to discrete or symmetric statistics,the collective emission profile across multiple observations is better captured by a lognormal distribution,consistent with complex,compounded variability in GRB afterglows.展开更多
文摘In the new era,the impact of emerging productive forces has permeated every sector of industry.As the core production factor of these forces,data plays a pivotal role in industrial transformation and social development.Consequently,many domestic universities have introduced majors or courses related to big data.Among these,the Big Data Management and Applications major stands out for its interdisciplinary approach and emphasis on practical skills.However,as an emerging field,it has not yet accumulated a robust foundation in teaching theory and practice.Current instructional practices face issues such as unclear training objectives,inconsistent teaching methods and course content,insufficient integration of practical components,and a shortage of qualified faculty-factors that hinder both the development of the major and the overall quality of education.Taking the statistics course within the Big Data Management and Applications major as an example,this paper examines the challenges faced by statistics education in the context of emerging productive forces and proposes corresponding improvement measures.By introducing innovative teaching concepts and strategies,the teaching system for professional courses is optimized,and authentic classroom scenarios are recreated through illustrative examples.Questionnaire surveys and statistical analyses of data collected before and after the teaching reforms indicate that the curriculum changes effectively enhance instructional outcomes,promote the development of the major,and improve the quality of talent cultivation.
基金Shaanxi Provincial 14th Five-Year Plan for Educational Science Research(SGH24Q481)。
文摘This paper focuses on the ideological and political construction of the course“Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics.”Aiming at the current situation in teaching where emphasis is placed on knowledge imparting while value guidance is neglected,and combined with the requirements of ideological and political education policies in the new era,this paper explores the integration path between professional courses and ideological and political education.Through literature analysis,case comparison,and empirical research,the study proposes a systematic implementation plan covering the design of teaching objectives,the reconstruction of teaching content,and the optimization of the evaluation system.The purpose is to cultivate students’sense of social responsibility and innovative awareness by excavating the ideological and political elements in mathematics.The research results provide practical reference for colleges and universities to deepen the reform of ideological and political education in courses,and promote the implementation of the fundamental task of fostering virtue through education in STEM education.
文摘Objective: To explore the application effect of CBL combined with rain classroom teaching method in medical statistics courses. Methods: The undergraduate students of medical imaging technology in 2019 and 2020 in a university were selected as the research objects. A cluster sampling method was used to select 79 undergraduate students from 2019 in the control group and 75 undergraduate students from 2020 in the experimental group. Traditional teaching method and CBL combined with rain classroom teaching method was used in the control group and experimental group respectively. The final examination scores of the two groups were compared. In experimental group, the correlation between the average score in the rain classroom and the final examination score was tested, and the teaching effect was evaluated. Results: The average score of final examination in experimental group and control group was 79.13 ± 10.32 points and 71.54 ± 14.752 points, respectively, which had a statistically significant difference (Z = 2.586, P = 0.012);the final examination scores of the students in the experimental group were positively correlated with the average scores of the rain classroom (r = 0.372, P = 0.001), and the proportion of satisfaction in the experimental group was 94.7%. Conclusion: The CBL combined with rain classroom teaching method can improve the teaching effectiveness of medical statistics courses.
文摘The lottery has long captivated the imagination of players worldwide, offering the tantalizing possibility of life-changing wins. While winning the lottery is largely a matter of chance, as lottery drawings are typically random and unpredictable. Some people use the lottery terminal randomly generates numbers for them, some players choose numbers that hold personal significance to them, such as birthdays, anniversaries, or other important dates, some enthusiasts have turned to statistical analysis as a means to analyze past winning numbers identify patterns or frequencies. In this paper, we use order statistics to estimate the probability of specific order of numbers or number combinations being drawn in future drawings.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 62027801)。
文摘In today's world where everything is interconnected, air-space-ground integrated networks have become a current research hotspot due to their characteristics of high, long and wide area coverage. Given the constantly changing and dynamic characteristics of air and space networks, along with the sheer number and complexity of access nodes involved, the process of rapid networking presents substantial challenges. In order to achieve rapid and dynamic networking of air-space-ground integrated networks, this paper focuses on the study of methods for large-scale nodes to randomly access satellites. This paper utilizes a cross-layer design methodology to enhance the access success probability by jointly optimizing the physical layer and medium access control(MAC) layer aspects. Load statistics priority random access(LSPRA) technology is proposed.Experiments show that when the number of nodes is greater than 1 000, this method can also ensure stable access performance, providing ideas for the design of air-space-ground integrated network access systems.
文摘The Bureau of Statistics has demonstrated a forward-looking strategic approach in its economic census.By leveraging dual innovations in technology and management,and incorporating modern technologies such as big data,cloud computing,and the Internet of Things,it has deepened the reform of the census methodology.Additionally,the Bureau has built a multi-dimensional collaborative network that enhances international cooperation,departmental coordination,and public participation.This approach not only addresses the limitations of traditional statistical methods in a complex economic environment but also improves data quality and census efficiency,providing an accurate and reliable foundation for national economic decision-making.
基金2023 Quality Engineering Project of Guangzhou City Polytechnic“Research on Process Assessment Mode of‘Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics’Course Based on Application Ability Cultivation”(JY230140)2024 Quality Engineering Project of Guangzhou City Polytechnic“Exploration and Practice of Teaching Model Based on PBL+SPOC+Flipped Classroom in‘Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics’”(J1124030)。
文摘To cultivate talents with an exploratory spirit and practical skills in the era of information technology,it is imperative to reform teaching methods and approaches.In the teaching process of the Probability and Statistics course,an application-oriented blended teaching model combining problem-based learning and small private online course was explored.By organizing and implementing online and offline teaching activities based on problem-based learning,a multidimensional process-oriented learning assessment system was established.Practice has shown that this model can effectively enhance classroom teaching effectiveness,benefiting the improvement of students’overall skills and mathematical literacy.
基金2023 General Project of Philosophy and Social Science Research in Universities of Jiangsu Province“Exploration and Practice of Mixed Teaching Model Oriented by Curriculum Ideology and Politics in the Course of Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics”(2023SJYB1499)。
文摘With the rapid development of higher education in China,colleges and universities are facing new challenges and impacts in talent training.Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics is one of the important courses in higher education for science and engineering majors and economics and management majors.Its critical role in cultivating students’thinking skills and improving their problem-solving skills is self-evident.Course ideological and political education construction is an important link in college talent training work.Combining ideological and political education with course teaching can help students establish correct value concepts and play a certain role in improving their comprehensive ability and quality.At present,the construction of ideological and political education in the Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics course still faces some problems,mainly manifested in the lack of attention paid by teachers to course ideological and political education,insufficient exploitation of ideological and political elements,and the simplification of ideological and political education implementation methods.In order to comprehensively deepen the construction of course ideological and political education in line with the actual needs of Probability Theory and Mathematical Statistics course teaching,we should strengthen the construction of teacher teams,improve teachers’ability to carry out course ideological and political education,integrate educational resources,develop educational resources for ideological and political education,and innovate teaching methods to improve the overall effect of ideological and political education integration.
基金supported by the Doctoral Research Start-up Project of Wannan Medical College(WYRCQD2024019)the Quality Engineering Project of Anhui Provincial Department of Education-the“101 Project”(2023ylyjh046)the“Online and Offline Hybrid Course”Project(2020xsxxkc462).
文摘Artificial intelligence(AI)is rapidly transforming healthcare and medical education.Strong statistical thinking skills are vital for evaluating and applying AI tools.However,traditional medical statistics education has not adapted to this demand.This paper first analyzes the connotation and importance of statistical thinking,points out the significant challenges currently faced by medical statistics education,and then proposes strategies such as innovative teaching methods combined with evidence-based medicine,utilizing AI platforms for supplemental teaching,multidisciplinary integration,and strengthening the understanding of the statistical foundations of AI to enhance the statistical thinking abilities of medical professionals.This study emphasizes the importance of cultivating medical statistical thinking in the era of AI to improve the quality of medical education and ensure the safety and effectiveness of future medical services.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grants 42325404,42120104003,42204164,42474219 and U22A2006)the Chinese Meridian Project,the International Partnership Program of Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant 183311KYSB20200003)+7 种基金Shandong Provincial Natural Science Foundation(Grants ZR2022QD077,ZR2022MD034)the Stable-Support Scientific Project of China Research Institute of Radiowave Propagation(Grant A132312191)the foundation of the National Key Laboratory of Electromagnetic Environment(Grant 6142403180204)the Chongqing Natural Science Foundation(Grants cstc2021ycjh-bgzxm0072,CSTB2023NSCQ-LZX0082)National Program on Key Basic Research Project(Grant 2022173-SD-1)The work in Norway is supported by the Research Council of Norway Grant 326039Work at UCLA has been supported by NSF grant AGS-2055192This research was supported by the International Space Science Institute(ISSI)in Bern and Beijing,through ISSI International Team project#511(Multi-Scale Magnetosphere-Ionosphere-Thermosphere Interaction).
文摘This paper is a statistical survey of Southern Hemisphere cold and hot polar cap patches,in relation to the interplanetary magnetic field(IMF)and ionospheric convection geometry.A total of 11,946 patch events were identified by Defense Meteorological Satellite Program(DMSP)F16 during the years 2011 to 2022.A temperature ratio of ion/electron temperature(T_(i)/T_(e))<0.68 is recommended to define a hot patch in the Southern Hemisphere,otherwise it is defined as a cold patch.The cold and hot patches have different dependencies on IMF clock angle,while their dependencies on IMF cone angle are similar.Both cold and hot patches appear most often on the duskside,and the distribution of cold patches gradually decreases from the dayside to the nightside,while hot patches have a higher occurrence rate near 14 and 21 magnetic local time(MLT).Moreover,we compared the key plasma characteristics of polar cap cold and hot patches in the Southern and Northern Hemispheres.The intensity of the duskside upward field-aligned current of patches in the Southern Hemisphere(SH)is stronger than that in the Northern Hemisphere(SH),which may be due to the discrepancy in conductivities between the two hemispheres,caused by the tilted dipole.In both hemispheres,the downward soft-electron energy flux of the dawnside patches is significantly greater than that of the duskside patches.
文摘Web data extraction has become a key technology for extracting valuable data from websites.At present,most extraction methods based on rule learning,visual pattern or tree matching have limited performance on complex web pages.Through ana-lyzing various statistical characteristics of HTML el-ements in web documents,this paper proposes,based on statistical features,an unsupervised web data ex-traction method—traversing the HTML DOM parse tree at first,calculating and generating the statistical matrix of the elements,and then locating data records by clustering method and heuristic rules that reveal in-herent links between the visual characteristics of the data recording areas and the statistical characteristics of the HTML nodes—which is both suitable for data records extraction of single-page and multi-pages,and it has strong generality and needs no training.The ex-periments show that the accuracy and efficiency of this method are equally better than the current data extrac-tion method.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(42305011).
文摘Multi-angle statistical analysis of tropical cyclones(TCs)and their distant thermodynamic disturbances over Northwest Pacific from July to September during 2001-2020 was conducted.The results show that TCs could trigger distant thermodynamic disturbances,which mainly caused an increase in air pressure and a rise in temperature in northern China.The distant thermodynamic disturbances triggered by TCs differed in spatial distribution and intensity in different months.In the same month,the spatial distribution of such disturbances triggered by high-intensity TCs was consistent with the overall pattern,and there was a significant increase in intensity and area.From the probability of TC activities and the significance test of variance of analysis under different levels of P-J index,it is found that TC activities could stimulate the increase of P-J teleconnection index.There was a significant positive correlation between them,which was accompanied by a step effect.
基金supported by TUBITAK 112E568,114E092,and 115E915 projectsTNPGN-Active RINEX data set is available to the IONOLAB group for the TUBITAK 109E055 project。
文摘In this study,the gradients of Total Electron Content(TEC)for a midlatitude region are estimated and grouped with respect to the distance between neighboring stations,time periods within a day,and satellite directions.Annual medians of these gradients for quiet days are computed as templates.The metric distances(L2N)and Symmetric Kullback-Leibler Distances(SKLD)are obtained between the templates and the daily gradient series.The grouped histograms are fitted to the prospective Probability Density Functions(PDF).The method is applied to the Slant Total Electron Content(STEC)estimates from the Turkish National Permanent GPS Network(TNPGN-Active)for 2015.The highest gradients are observed in the east-west axis with a maximum of 25 mm/km during a geomagnetic storm.The maximum differences from the gradient templates occur for neighboring stations within100-130 km distance away from each other,during night hours,and for regions bordering the Black Sea and the Mediterranean in the northeast and southeast of Turkey.The empirical PDFs of the stationpair gradients are predominantly Weibull-distributed.The mean values of Weibull PDFs in all station groups are between 1.2 and 1.8 mm/km,with an increase during noon and afternoon hours.The standard deviations of the gradient PDFs generally increase during night hours.The algorithm will form a basis for quantifying the stochastic variations of the spatial rate of change of TEC trends in midlatitude regions,thus supplementing reliable and accurate regional monitoring of ionospheric variability.
基金Science and Technology Commission of Shanghai Municipality,China(23DZ1204703)。
文摘Extratropical transition(ET)is one of the last phases of tropical cyclones(TCs)and corresponds to the structural change from a tropical system to an extratropical system characterized by pronounced asymmetric distributions of heavy rainfall and strong wind.This study analyzes the statistical characteristics of ET events involving TCs over the western North Pacific(WNP)during 1981–2022.The analysis employs the Cyclone Phase Space(CPS)method to evaluate the accuracy of the fifth-generation reanalysis from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts(ERA5)in identifying ET based on different TC center definitions.Results show that defining the TC center by the minimum sea level pressure yields the most accurate ET identification.Subsequently,the study investigates several characteristics of ET events in the WNP.It is found that TCs undergoing ET(ETTCs)primarily form in the region of 125°–155°E,10°–25°N,with ET typically initiating between 30°–40°N and completing between 35°–50°N.These ETTCs predominantly occur from April to December,with peak activity observed from August to October.Additionally,the average duration of the ET process is 18.5 h,with longer durations observed from August to October,displaying a roughly 6-year cycle.Spatially,ET events with longer durations tend to occur at lower latitudes.Correspondingly,TCs initiating their ET phase at lower latitudes are typically stronger and larger,and they also experience longer ET durations.
文摘This study presents the results of a Monte Carlo simulation to compare the statistical power of Siegel-Tukey and Savage tests.The main purpose of the study is to evaluate the statistical power of both tests in scenarios involving Normal,Platykurtic and Skewed distributions over different sample sizes and standard deviation values.In the study,standard deviation ratios were set as 2,3,4,1/2,1/3 and 1/4 and power comparisons were made between small and large sample sizes.For equal sample sizes,small sample sizes of 5,8,10,12,16 and 20 and large sample sizes of 25,50,75 and 100 were used.For different sample sizes,the combinations of(4,16),(8,16),(10,20),(16,4),(16,8)and(20,10)small sample sizes and(10,30),(30,10),(50,75),(50,100),(75,50),(75,100),(100,50)and(100,75)large sample sizes were examined in detail.According to the findings,the power analysis under variance heterogeneity conditions shows that the Siegel-Tukey test has a higher statistical power than the other nonparametric Savage test at small and large sample sizes.In particular,the Siegel-Tukey test was reported to offer higher precision and power under variance heterogeneity,regardless of having equal or different sample sizes.
基金partially supported by the National Key Research and Development Project under Grant 2020YFB1806805Science and Technology on Communication Networks Laboratorysupported by China Scholarship Council.
文摘Reconfigurable intelligent surface(RIS)is a promising candidate technology of the upcoming Sixth Generation(6G)communication system for its ability to provide unprecedented spectral and energy efficiency increment through passive beamforming.However,it is challenging to obtain instantaneous channel state information(I-CSI)for RIS,which obliges us to use statistical channel state information(S-CSI)to achieve passive beamforming.In this paper,RIS-aided multiple-input single-output(MISO)multi-user downlink communication system with correlated channels is investigated.Then,we formulate the problem of joint beamforming design at the AP and RIS to maximize the sum ergodic spectral efficiency(ESE)of all users to improve the network capacity.Since it is too hard to compute sum ESE,an ESE approximation is adopted to reformulate the problem into a more tractable form.Then,we present two joint beamforming algorithms,namely the singular value decomposition-gradient descent(SVD-GD)algorithm and the fractional programming-gradient descent(FP-GD)algorithm.Simulation results show the effectiveness of our proposed algorithms and validate that 2-bits quantizer is enough for RIS phase shifts implementation.
基金funded through India Meteorological Department,New Delhi,India under the Forecasting Agricultural output using Space,Agrometeorol ogy and Land based observations(FASAL)project and fund number:No.ASC/FASAL/KT-11/01/HQ-2010.
文摘Background Cotton is one of the most important commercial crops after food crops,especially in countries like India,where it’s grown extensively under rainfed conditions.Because of its usage in multiple industries,such as textile,medicine,and automobile industries,it has greater commercial importance.The crop’s performance is greatly influenced by prevailing weather dynamics.As climate changes,assessing how weather changes affect crop performance is essential.Among various techniques that are available,crop models are the most effective and widely used tools for predicting yields.Results This study compares statistical and machine learning models to assess their ability to predict cotton yield across major producing districts of Karnataka,India,utilizing a long-term dataset spanning from 1990 to 2023 that includes yield and weather factors.The artificial neural networks(ANNs)performed superiorly with acceptable yield deviations ranging within±10%during both vegetative stage(F1)and mid stage(F2)for cotton.The model evaluation metrics such as root mean square error(RMSE),normalized root mean square error(nRMSE),and modelling efficiency(EF)were also within the acceptance limits in most districts.Furthermore,the tested ANN model was used to assess the importance of the dominant weather factors influencing crop yield in each district.Specifically,the use of morning relative humidity as an individual parameter and its interaction with maximum and minimum tempera-ture had a major influence on cotton yield in most of the yield predicted districts.These differences highlighted the differential interactions of weather factors in each district for cotton yield formation,highlighting individual response of each weather factor under different soils and management conditions over the major cotton growing districts of Karnataka.Conclusions Compared with statistical models,machine learning models such as ANNs proved higher efficiency in forecasting the cotton yield due to their ability to consider the interactive effects of weather factors on yield forma-tion at different growth stages.This highlights the best suitability of ANNs for yield forecasting in rainfed conditions and for the study on relative impacts of weather factors on yield.Thus,the study aims to provide valuable insights to support stakeholders in planning effective crop management strategies and formulating relevant policies.
基金partially funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(U2142205)the Guangdong Major Project of Basic and Applied Basic Research(2020B0301030004)+1 种基金the Special Fund for Forecasters of China Meteorological Administration(CMAYBY2020-094)the Graduate Student Research and Innovation Program of Central South University(2023ZZTS0347)。
文摘Traditional meteorological downscaling methods face limitations due to the complex distribution of meteorological variables,which can lead to unstable forecasting results,especially in extreme scenarios.To overcome this issue,we propose a convolutional graph neural network(CGNN)model,which we enhance with multilayer feature fusion and a squeeze-and-excitation block.Additionally,we introduce a spatially balanced mean squared error(SBMSE)loss function to address the imbalanced distribution and spatial variability of meteorological variables.The CGNN is capable of extracting essential spatial features and aggregating them from a global perspective,thereby improving the accuracy of prediction and enhancing the model's generalization ability.Based on the experimental results,CGNN has certain advantages in terms of bias distribution,exhibiting a smaller variance.When it comes to precipitation,both UNet and AE also demonstrate relatively small biases.As for temperature,AE and CNNdense perform outstandingly during the winter.The time correlation coefficients show an improvement of at least 10%at daily and monthly scales for both temperature and precipitation.Furthermore,the SBMSE loss function displays an advantage over existing loss functions in predicting the98th percentile and identifying areas where extreme events occur.However,the SBMSE tends to overestimate the distribution of extreme precipitation,which may be due to the theoretical assumptions about the posterior distribution of data that partially limit the effectiveness of the loss function.In future work,we will further optimize the SBMSE to improve prediction accuracy.
基金supported by National Nature Science Foundation of China(No.62361036)Nature Science Foundation of Gansu Province(No.22JR5RA279).
文摘To realize dynamic statistical publishing and protection of location-based data privacy,this paper proposes a differential privacy publishing algorithm based on adaptive sampling and grid clustering and adjustment.The PID control strategy is combined with the difference in data variation to realize the dynamic adjustment of the data publishing intervals.The spatial-temporal correlations of the adjacent snapshots are utilized to design the grid clustering and adjustment algorithm,which facilitates saving the execution time of the publishing process.The budget distribution and budget absorption strategies are improved to form the sliding window-based differential privacy statistical publishing algorithm,which realizes continuous statistical publishing and privacy protection and improves the accuracy of published data.Experiments and analysis on large datasets of actual locations show that the privacy protection algorithm proposed in this paper is superior to other existing algorithms in terms of the accuracy of adaptive sampling time,the availability of published data,and the execution efficiency of data publishing methods.
文摘We perform a time-resolved statistical study of GRB 221009A’s X-ray emission using Swift XRT Photon Counting and Windowed Timing data.After standard reduction(barycentric correction,pile-up,background subtraction via HEASOFT),we extracted light curves for each observational ID and for their aggregation.Countrate histograms were fitted using various statistical distributions;fit quality was assessed by chi-squared and the Bayesian Information Criterion.The first observational segment is best described by a Gaussian distribution(χ^(2)=68.4;BIC=7651.2),and the second by a Poisson distribution(χ^(2)=33.5;BIC=4413.3).When all segments are combined,the lognormal model provides the superior fit(χ^(2)=541.9;BIC=34365.5),indicating that the full data set’s count rates exhibit the skewness expected from a multiplicative process.These findings demonstrate that while individual time intervals conform to discrete or symmetric statistics,the collective emission profile across multiple observations is better captured by a lognormal distribution,consistent with complex,compounded variability in GRB afterglows.
