Ecotones have received great attention due to its critical function in energy flux, species harbor, global carbon sequestration, and land-atmosphere interaction. This study investigated land use pattern and spatial he...Ecotones have received great attention due to its critical function in energy flux, species harbor, global carbon sequestration, and land-atmosphere interaction. This study investigated land use pattern and spatial heterogeneity of the ecotones among agricultural land, forest land, and grassland of the southeastern Da Hinggan Mountains in the northeastern China. The change of these delineated ecotones under different slopes and aridity conditions was analyzed by two landscape indices, edge density(ED) and core area percentage of landscape(CPL), to explore the inter-linkage between spatial structure of ecotones and socioeconomic development and land management. Specifically, the ecotones such as agriculture-forest(AF) ecotone, forest-grassland(FG) ecotone, and agriculture-forestgrassland(AFG) ecotone moved from the arid southeast to the humid northwest. The flat area with small slope is more edge-fragmented than the steep area since the ED decreases as the slope increases. The AF ecotone mostly found in the humid region is moving to more humid areas while the agriculture-grassland(AG) ecotone mostly found in the dry region is moving towards the drier region.展开更多
利用TIGGE资料中欧洲中期天气预报中心（ECMWF,the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts）、日本气象厅（JMA,the Japan Meteorological Agency）、美国国家环境预报中心（NCEP,the National Centers for Environmental...利用TIGGE资料中欧洲中期天气预报中心（ECMWF,the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts）、日本气象厅（JMA,the Japan Meteorological Agency）、美国国家环境预报中心（NCEP,the National Centers for Environmental Prediction）以及英国气象局（UKMO,the UK Met Office）4个中心1~7 d预报的日降水量集合预报资料,并以中国降水融合产品作为＂观测值＂,对我国地面降水量预报进行统计降尺度处理。采用空间滑动窗口增加中雨和大雨雨量样本,建立分级雨量的回归方程,并与未分级雨量的统计降尺度预报进行对比。结果表明,对于不同模式、不同预报时效以及不同降水量级,统计降尺度的预报技巧改进程度不尽相同。统计降尺度的预报技巧依赖于模式本身的预报效果。相比雨量未分级回归,雨量分级回归的统计降尺度预报与观测值的距平相关系数更高,均方根误差更小,不同量级降水的ETS评分明显提高。对雨量分级回归统计降尺度预报结果进行二次订正,可大大减少小雨的空报。展开更多
基金This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China （No. 60672059）, the National High Technology Research and Development Program of China （No. 2006AA01Z233）, the Natural Science Foundation of Hubei, China （No. 2006ABA077） and the Postdoctoral Science Foundation of China （No. 2005038543）.
基金Under the auspices of'Strategic Priority Research Program-Climate Change:Carbon Budget and Relevant Issues'of Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.XDA05090310)
文摘Ecotones have received great attention due to its critical function in energy flux, species harbor, global carbon sequestration, and land-atmosphere interaction. This study investigated land use pattern and spatial heterogeneity of the ecotones among agricultural land, forest land, and grassland of the southeastern Da Hinggan Mountains in the northeastern China. The change of these delineated ecotones under different slopes and aridity conditions was analyzed by two landscape indices, edge density(ED) and core area percentage of landscape(CPL), to explore the inter-linkage between spatial structure of ecotones and socioeconomic development and land management. Specifically, the ecotones such as agriculture-forest(AF) ecotone, forest-grassland(FG) ecotone, and agriculture-forestgrassland(AFG) ecotone moved from the arid southeast to the humid northwest. The flat area with small slope is more edge-fragmented than the steep area since the ED decreases as the slope increases. The AF ecotone mostly found in the humid region is moving to more humid areas while the agriculture-grassland(AG) ecotone mostly found in the dry region is moving towards the drier region.
文摘利用TIGGE资料中欧洲中期天气预报中心（ECMWF,the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts）、日本气象厅（JMA,the Japan Meteorological Agency）、美国国家环境预报中心（NCEP,the National Centers for Environmental Prediction）以及英国气象局（UKMO,the UK Met Office）4个中心1~7 d预报的日降水量集合预报资料,并以中国降水融合产品作为＂观测值＂,对我国地面降水量预报进行统计降尺度处理。采用空间滑动窗口增加中雨和大雨雨量样本,建立分级雨量的回归方程,并与未分级雨量的统计降尺度预报进行对比。结果表明,对于不同模式、不同预报时效以及不同降水量级,统计降尺度的预报技巧改进程度不尽相同。统计降尺度的预报技巧依赖于模式本身的预报效果。相比雨量未分级回归,雨量分级回归的统计降尺度预报与观测值的距平相关系数更高,均方根误差更小,不同量级降水的ETS评分明显提高。对雨量分级回归统计降尺度预报结果进行二次订正,可大大减少小雨的空报。
