Owing to intensified globalization and informatization,the structures of the urban scale hierarchy and urban networks between cities have become increasingly intertwined,resulting in different spatial effects.Therefor...Owing to intensified globalization and informatization,the structures of the urban scale hierarchy and urban networks between cities have become increasingly intertwined,resulting in different spatial effects.Therefore,this paper analyzes the spatial interaction between urban scale hierarchy and urban networks in China from 2019 to 2023,drawing on Baidu migration data and employing a spatial simultaneous equation model.The results reveal a significant positive spatial correlation between cities with higher hierarchy and those with greater network centrality.Within a static framework,we identify a positive interaction between urban scale hierarchy and urban network centrality,while their spatial cross-effects manifest as negative neighborhood interactions based on geographical distance and positive cross-scale interactions shaped by network connections.Within a dynamic framework,changes in urban scale hierarchy and urban networks are mutually reinforcing,thereby widening disparities within the urban hierarchy.Furthermore,an increase in a city’s network centrality had a dampening effect on the population growth of neighboring cities and network-connected cities.This study enhances understanding of the spatial organisation of urban systems and offers insights for coordinated regional development.展开更多
Excessive blasting-induced vibration during drilling-and-blasting excavation of deep tunnels can trigger geological hazards and compromise the stability of both the rock mass and support structures.This study focused ...Excessive blasting-induced vibration during drilling-and-blasting excavation of deep tunnels can trigger geological hazards and compromise the stability of both the rock mass and support structures.This study focused on the deep double-line Sejila Mountain tunnel to systematically analyze the spatial response of blasting-induced vibration and to develop a prediction model through field tests and numerical simulations.The results revealed that the presence of a cross passage significantly altered propagation paths and the spatial distribution of blasting-induced vibration velocity.The peak particle velocity(PPV)at the cross-passage corner was amplified by approximately 1.92 times due to wave reflection and geometric focusing.Blasting-induced vibration waves attenuated non-uniformly across the tunnel cross-section,where PPV on the blast-face side was 1.54–6.56 times higher than that on the opposite side.We propose an improved PPV attenuation model that accounts for the propagation path effect.This model significantly improved fitting accuracy and resolved anomalous parameter(k and a)estimates in traditional equations,thereby improving prediction reliability.Furthermore,based on the observed spatial distribution of blasting-induced vibration,optimal monitoring point placement and targeted vibration control measures for tunnel blasting were discussed.These findings provide a scientific basis for designing blasting schemes and vibration mitigation strategies in deep tunnels.展开更多
Establishing a Regional Marine Innovation Ecosystem(RMIE)is crucial for advancing China’s maritime power strategy.Concurrently,developing a competitive RMIE serves as a strategic lever to enhance the global competiti...Establishing a Regional Marine Innovation Ecosystem(RMIE)is crucial for advancing China’s maritime power strategy.Concurrently,developing a competitive RMIE serves as a strategic lever to enhance the global competitiveness of China’s marine science sector.However,research on the competitiveness of RMIE is limited.To this end,this study constructs an evaluation index system based on ecological niche theory to assess the competitiveness of RMIE in China from 2008 to 2020.The findings indicate generally fluctuating upward trends in RMIE’s competitiveness,with Shandong,Jiangsu,and Guangdong showing relatively strong positions.Notably,there are significant intra-regional imbalances and inter-regional asynchrony in RMIE’s competitiveness across China’s three major marine economic circles.Recognizing that forecasting RMIE competitiveness can inform policy formulation,this paper proposes a systematic multivariate grey interval prediction model that incorporates spatial proximity effects.This model effectively captures the interval and uncertainty characteristics of RMIE’s competitiveness while considering spatial relationships among regions.Results from comparative analysis,robustness tests,and sensitivity analysis demonstrate its superior applicability and forecasting accuracy.Additionally,interval forecasts and scenario analyses suggest that RMIE competitiveness will maintain stable growth,although unbalanced and unsynchronized development is likely to persist.Overall,the approach developed for evaluating and forecasting RMIE competitiveness offers valuable insights for effective policy formulation.展开更多
The northern segment of the North-South Seismic Belt is characterized by intense crustal deformation,well-developed active tectonics,and frequent occurrences of strong earthquakes.Therefore,conducting a Probabilistic ...The northern segment of the North-South Seismic Belt is characterized by intense crustal deformation,well-developed active tectonics,and frequent occurrences of strong earthquakes.Therefore,conducting a Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis(PSHA)for this region is of significant importance for supporting seismic fortification in major engineering projects and formulating disaster prevention and mitigation policies.In this study,a composite seismic source model was constructed by integrating data on historical earthquakes,active faults,and paleoseismicity.Furthermore,a logic tree framework was employed to quantify epistemic uncertainties,enabling a systematic seismic hazard assessment of the region.To more accurately characterize the spatial heterogeneity of seismic activity,improvements were made to both the Circular Spatial Smoothing Model(CSSM)with a fixed radius and the Adaptive Spatial Smoothing Model(ASSM),with full consideration given to the spatiotemporal completeness of historical earthquake magnitudes.Regarding the CSSM,for scenarios involving small sample sizes in earthquake catalogs,the cross-validation method proposed in this study demonstrated higher robustness than the maximum likelihood method in determining the optimal correlation distance.Performance evaluation results indicate that while both models effectively characterize seismic activity,the ASSM exhibits superior overall predictive performance compared to the CSSM,owing to its ability to adaptively adjust the smoothing radius according to seismic density.Significant discrepancies were observed in the Peak Ground Acceleration(PGA)results calculated with a 10%probability of exceedance in 50 years across different combinations of seismic source models.The single spatially smoothed point-source model yielded a maximum PGA of approximately 0.52 g,with high-value areas concentrated near historical epicenters,thereby significantly underestimating the hazard associated with major fault zones.When combined with the simple fault-source model,the maximum PGA increased to 0.8 g,with high-value zones exhibiting a zonal distribution along faults;however,the risk remained underestimated for faults with low slip rates that are nevertheless approaching their recurrence cycles.Following the introduction of the time-dependent characteristic fault-source model,local PGA values for faults in the middle-to-late stages of their recurrence cycles increased by a factor of 2 to 7 compared to the single model.These results demonstrate that the characteristic fault-source model reasonably delineates the time-dependence of large earthquake recurrence,thereby providing a more accurate assessment of imminent seismic risks.By comprehensively applying the improved spatially smoothed pointsource model,the simple fault-source model,and the characteristic fault-source model,the following faults within the region were identified as having high seismic hazard:the Huangxianggou,Zhangxian,and Tianshui segments of the Xiqinling northern edge fault;the Maqin-Maqu segment of the Dongkunlun fault;the Longriqu fault;the Maoergai fault;the Elashan fault;the Riyueshan fault;the eastern segment of the Lenglongling fault;the Maxianshan segment of the Maxianshan northern Margin fault;and the Maomaoshan-Jinqianghe segment of the Laohushan-Maomaoshan fault.As these faults are located within seismic gaps or are approaching the recurrence periods of large earthquakes,they should be prioritized for current and future seismic monitoring as well as disaster prevention and mitigation efforts.展开更多
To ensure the safety of buildings surrounding foundation pits, a study was made on a settlement monitoring and trend prediction method. A statistical testing method for analyzing the stability of a settlement monitori...To ensure the safety of buildings surrounding foundation pits, a study was made on a settlement monitoring and trend prediction method. A statistical testing method for analyzing the stability of a settlement monitoring datum has been discussed. According to a comprehensive survey, data of 16 stages at operating control point, were verified by a standard t test to determine the stability of the operating control point. A stationary auto-regression model, AR(p), used for the observation point settlement prediction has been investigated. Given the 16 stages of the settlement data at an observation point, the applicability of this model was analyzed. Settlement of last four stages was predicted using the stationary auto-regression model AR (1); the maximum difference between predicted and measured values was 0.6 mm, indicating good prediction results of the model. Hence, this model can be applied to settlement predictions for buildings surrounding foundation pits.展开更多
The study aims to investigate county-level variations of the COVID-19 disease and vaccination rate. The COVID-19 data was acquired from usafact.org, and the vaccination records were acquired from the Ohio vaccination ...The study aims to investigate county-level variations of the COVID-19 disease and vaccination rate. The COVID-19 data was acquired from usafact.org, and the vaccination records were acquired from the Ohio vaccination tracker dashboard. GIS-based exploratory analysis was conducted to select four variables (poverty, black race, population density, and vaccination) to explain COVID-19 occurrence during the study period. Consequently, spatial statistical techniques such as Moran’s I, Hot Spot Analysis, Spatial Lag Model (SLM), and Spatial Error Model (SEM) were used to explain the COVID-19 occurrence and vaccination rate across the 88 counties in Ohio. The result of the Local Moran’s I analysis reveals that the epicenters of COVID-19 and vaccination followed the same patterns. Indeed, counties like Summit, Franklin, Fairfield, Hamilton, and Medina were categorized as epicenters for both COVID-19 occurrence and vaccination rate. The SEM seems to be the best model for both COVID-19 and vaccination rates, with R2 values of 0.68 and 0.70, respectively. The GWR analysis proves to be better than Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), and the distribution of R2 in the GWR is uneven throughout the study area for both COVID-19 cases and vaccinations. Some counties have a high R2 of up to 0.70 for both COVID-19 cases and vaccinations. The outcomes of the regression analyses show that the SEM models can explain 68% - 70% of COVID-19 cases and vaccination across the entire counties within the study period. COVID-19 cases and vaccination rates exhibited significant positive associations with black race and poverty throughout the study area.展开更多
Pricing dynamics and volatility are accelerating the adoption of global cryptocurrency.Despite challenges,cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin are gaining widespread acceptance,particularly in countries with unbanked popu...Pricing dynamics and volatility are accelerating the adoption of global cryptocurrency.Despite challenges,cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin are gaining widespread acceptance,particularly in countries with unbanked populations,the lack of bank controls,and inflation.This study investigates the global patterns of cryptocurrency adoption using Generalized Linear Models and Spatial Autoregressive Models.This research introduces a novel perspective on global cryptocurrency adoption using spatial models.Our findings reveal that cryptocurrency adoption is significantly influenced by economic instability,infrastructure availability,and spatial dynamics,with higher adoption rates in countries with limited access to traditional financial systems.展开更多
Green innovation is an important driving force for high-quality development and an important guarantee for the revitalization of the old industrial base in Northeast China.However,research on green innovation is still...Green innovation is an important driving force for high-quality development and an important guarantee for the revitalization of the old industrial base in Northeast China.However,research on green innovation is still insufficient.Using the super-efficiency epsilon-based measure Malmquist model,kernel density estimation,and spatial econometric model,this study investigated the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of green innovation efficiency(GIE)in Northeast China from 2005 to 2020.The results reveal that:1)The GIE in Northeast China has obvious phased characteristics,where 2005-2011 was a period of fluctuating decline while 2012-2020 was a period of fluctuating increase,reflecting the severe resource and environmental constraints faced by the green innovation process.2)The GIE in the Northeast China has a significant spatial dependence,which has not formed a relatively stable spatial club feature.The process for improving the GIE in the Northeast China in the future is still arduous and far off.3)The interweaving and mutual influence of nonequilibrium factors have led to the diversity and complexity of the spatiotemporal pattern evolution of GIE.Overall,the level of economic development and industrial structure has a positive effect,while foreign investment and industrial agglomeration have a negative effect.The direct effects of government regulation,resource endowment,science and technology,environmental regulation,and urbanization are not significant.The research conclusion of this article can provide important reference for the revitalization of Northeast China.展开更多
In this paper,we consider the following spatial Solow-Swan model with density-dependent motion■whereσ>0,α∈(0,1)andΩ⊂ℝn(n≥1)is a bounded domain with smooth boundary andϕ∈C3([0,∞)),ϕ(s)>0 for all s≥0.We p...In this paper,we consider the following spatial Solow-Swan model with density-dependent motion■whereσ>0,α∈(0,1)andΩ⊂ℝn(n≥1)is a bounded domain with smooth boundary andϕ∈C3([0,∞)),ϕ(s)>0 for all s≥0.We prove that if■then there exists a unique time-globally classical solution(u,v)for all n≥1,such a solution is bounded and satisfies u≥0,v>0.Moreover,we show that the above solution will convergence to the steady state(1,1)exponentially in L^(∞)as t→∞.展开更多
Antarctic krill(Euphausia superba),widely distributes around Antarctica,is a key species supporting the biodiversity of the Southern Ocean ecosystem.The Commission for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resou...Antarctic krill(Euphausia superba),widely distributes around Antarctica,is a key species supporting the biodiversity of the Southern Ocean ecosystem.The Commission for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources(CCAMLR)has thus managed the krill fishery according to a precautionary way.Currently,CCAMLR is making effort to develop a refined krill fishery management approach based on more solid science,which requires accurate predictions of krill distribution.To address this need,this study investigated the effects of algorithm and spatial resolution on the performance of Antarctic krill distribution modelling.We integrated acoustic data from 4 surveys conducted in the waters adjacent to the Antarctic Peninsula with 11 environmental variables characterizing krill prey conditions,water mass properties,and seafloor topography.These data were processed at 4 spatial resolutions(5,10,15,and 20 km)to fit distribution models using 4 algorithms:Random Forests(RF),Generalized Additive Models(GAM),Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost),and Artificial Neural Networks(ANN).Model performance was assessed and compared in terms of goodness-of-fit and predictive accuracy.The results showed that RF achieved the highest predictive performance at most resolutions,whereas GAM performed best at the coarsest resolution(20 km).XGBoost closely following RF in accuracy and demonstrated robustness as evidenced by the highly consistent partial dependence curves across resolutions.In contrast,ANN exhibited limitations with smaller sample sizes,resulting in comparatively poorer predictive performance.The analysis revealed a trade-off whereby reducing spatial resolution improved model fit and mitigated zero-inflation at the expense of fine-scale information and overall predictive accuracy.Ensemble models,integrating RF,GAM,and XGBoost,are proposed as potential balanced solutions to improve predictive stability,offering a more robust scientific basis for the refinement of krill management.展开更多
The increasing frequency of extreme weather events raises the likelihood of forest wildfires.Therefore,establishing an effective fire prediction model is vital for protecting human life and property,and the environmen...The increasing frequency of extreme weather events raises the likelihood of forest wildfires.Therefore,establishing an effective fire prediction model is vital for protecting human life and property,and the environment.This study aims to build a prediction model to understand the spatial characteristics and piecewise effects of forest fire drivers.Using monthly grid data from 2006 to 2020,a modeling study analyzed fire occurrences during the September to April fire season in Fujian Province,China.We compared the fitting performance of the logistic regression model(LRM),the generalized additive logistic model(GALM),and the spatial generalized additive logistic model(SGALM).The results indicate that SGALMs had the best fitting results and the highest prediction accuracy.Meteorological factors significantly impacted forest fires in Fujian Province.Areas with high fire incidence were mainly concentrated in the northwest and southeast.SGALMs improved the fitting effect of fire prediction models by considering spatial effects and the flexible fitting ability of nonlinear interpretation.This model provides piecewise interpretations of forest wildfire occurrences,which can be valuable for relevant departments and will assist forest managers in refining prevention measures based on temporal and spatial differences.展开更多
Understanding spatial heterogeneity in groundwater responses to multiple factors is critical for water resource management in coastal cities.Daily groundwater depth(GWD)data from 43 wells(2018-2022)were collected in t...Understanding spatial heterogeneity in groundwater responses to multiple factors is critical for water resource management in coastal cities.Daily groundwater depth(GWD)data from 43 wells(2018-2022)were collected in three coastal cities in Jiangsu Province,China.Seasonal and Trend decomposition using Loess(STL)together with wavelet analysis and empirical mode decomposition were applied to identify tide-influenced wells while remaining wells were grouped by hierarchical clustering analysis(HCA).Machine learning models were developed to predict GWD,then their response to natural conditions and human activities was assessed by the Shapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)method.Results showed that eXtreme Gradient Boosting(XGB)was superior to other models in terms of prediction performance and computational efficiency(R^(2)>0.95).GWD in Yancheng and southern Lianyungang were greater than those in Nantong,exhibiting larger fluctuations.Groundwater within 5 km of the coastline was affected by tides,with more pronounced effects in agricultural areas compared to urban areas.Shallow groundwater(3-7 m depth)responded immediately(0-1 day)to rainfall,primarily influenced by farmland and topography(slope and distance from rivers).Rainfall recharge to groundwater peaked at 50%farmland coverage,but this effect was suppressed by high temperatures(>30℃)which intensified as distance from rivers increased,especially in forest and grassland.Deep groundwater(>10 m)showed delayed responses to rainfall(1-4 days)and temperature(10-15 days),with GDP as the primary influence,followed by agricultural irrigation and population density.Farmland helped to maintain stable GWD in low population density regions,while excessive farmland coverage(>90%)led to overexploitation.In the early stages of GDP development,increased industrial and agricultural water demand led to GWD decline,but as GDP levels significantly improved,groundwater consumption pressure gradually eased.This methodological framework is applicable not only to coastal cities in China but also could be extended to coastal regions worldwide.展开更多
Challenges in stratigraphic modeling arise from underground uncertainty.While borehole exploration is reliable,it remains sparse due to economic and site constraints.Electrical resistivity tomography(ERT)as a cost-eff...Challenges in stratigraphic modeling arise from underground uncertainty.While borehole exploration is reliable,it remains sparse due to economic and site constraints.Electrical resistivity tomography(ERT)as a cost-effective geophysical technique can acquire high-density data;however,uncertainty and nonuniqueness inherent in ERT impede its usage for stratigraphy identification.This paper integrates ERT and onsite observations for the first time to propose a novel method for characterizing stratigraphic profiles.The method consists of two steps:(1)ERT for prior knowledge:ERT data are processed by soft clustering using the Gaussian mixture model,followed by probability smoothing to quantify its depthdependent uncertainty;and(2)Observations for calibration:a spatial sequential Bayesian updating(SSBU)algorithm is developed to update the prior knowledge based on likelihoods derived from onsite observations,namely topsoil and boreholes.The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated through its application to a real slope site in Foshan,China.Comparative analysis with advanced borehole-driven methods highlights the superiority of incorporating ERT data in stratigraphic modeling,in terms of prediction accuracy at borehole locations and sensitivity to borehole data.Informed by ERT,reduced sensitivity to boreholes provides a fundamental solution to the longstanding challenge of sparse measurements.The paper further discusses the impact of ERT uncertainty on the proposed model using time-lapse measurements,the impact of model resolution,and applicability in engineering projects.This study,as a breakthrough in stratigraphic modeling,bridges gaps in combining geophysical and geotechnical data to address measurement sparsity and paves the way for more economical geotechnical exploration.展开更多
The field of artificial intelligence has advanced significantly in recent years,but achieving a human-like or Artificial General Intelligence(AGI)remains a theoretical challenge.One hypothesis suggests that a key issu...The field of artificial intelligence has advanced significantly in recent years,but achieving a human-like or Artificial General Intelligence(AGI)remains a theoretical challenge.One hypothesis suggests that a key issue is the formalisation of extracting meaning from information.Meaning emerges through a three-stage interpretative process,where the spectrum of possible interpretations is collapsed into a singular outcome by a particular context.However,this approach currently lacks practical grounding.In this research,we developed a model based on contexts,which applies interpretation principles to the visual information to address this gap.The field of computer vision and object recognition has progressed essentially with artificial neural networks,but these models struggle with geometrically transformed images,such as those that are rotated or shifted,limiting their robustness in real-world applications.Various approaches have been proposed to address this problem.Some of them(Hu moments,spatial transformers,capsule networks,attention and memory mechanisms)share a conceptual connection with the contextual model(CM)discussed in this study.This paper investigates whether CM principles are applicable for interpreting rotated images from the MNIST and Fashion MNIST datasets.The model was implemented in the Rust programming language.It consists of a contextual module and a convolutional neural network(CNN).The CMwas trained on the rotated Mono Icons dataset,which is significantly different from the testing datasets.The CNN module was trained on the original MNIST and Fashion MNIST datasets for interpretation recognition.As a result,the CM was able to recognise the original datasets but encountered rotated images only during testing.The findings show that the model effectively interpreted transformed images by considering them in all available contexts and restoring their original form.This provides a practical foundation for further development of the contextual hypothesis and its relation to theAGI domain.展开更多
Hue-Saturation-Intensity （HSI） color model, a psychologically appealing color model, was employed to visualize uncertainty represented by relative prediction error based on the case of spatial prediction of pH of to...Hue-Saturation-Intensity （HSI） color model, a psychologically appealing color model, was employed to visualize uncertainty represented by relative prediction error based on the case of spatial prediction of pH of topsoil in the peri-urban Beijing. A two-dimensional legend was designed to accompany the visualization-vertical axis （hues） for visualizing the predicted values and horizontal axis （whiteness） for visualizing the prediction error. Moreover, different ways of visualizing uncertainty were briefly reviewed in this paper. This case study indicated that visualization of both predictions and prediction uncertainty offered a possibility to enhance visual exploration of the data uncertainty and to compare different prediction methods or predictions of totally different variables. The whitish region of the visualization map can be simply interpreted as unsatisfactory prediction results, where may need additional samples or more suitable prediction models for a better prediction results.展开更多
To improve the performance of the traditional map matching algorithms in freeway traffic state monitoring systems using the low logging frequency GPS （global positioning system） probe data, a map matching algorithm ...To improve the performance of the traditional map matching algorithms in freeway traffic state monitoring systems using the low logging frequency GPS （global positioning system） probe data, a map matching algorithm based on the Oracle spatial data model is proposed. The algorithm uses the Oracle road network data model to analyze the spatial relationships between massive GPS positioning points and freeway networks, builds an N-shortest path algorithm to find reasonable candidate routes between GPS positioning points efficiently, and uses the fuzzy logic inference system to determine the final matched traveling route. According to the implementation with field data from Los Angeles, the computation speed of the algorithm is about 135 GPS positioning points per second and the accuracy is 98.9%. The results demonstrate the effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed algorithm for mapping massive GPS positioning data onto freeway networks with complex geometric characteristics.展开更多
Global warming has been one of the major concerns behind the world＇s high-speed economic growth. How to implement the coordinated development of the carbon footprint and the economy will be the core issue of the worl...Global warming has been one of the major concerns behind the world＇s high-speed economic growth. How to implement the coordinated development of the carbon footprint and the economy will be the core issue of the world＇s economic and social development, as well as the heated debate of the research at home and abroad in recent years. Based on the energy consumption, integrated with the ＂Top-Down＂ life cycle approach and geographically weighted regression （GWR） model, this paper analyzed the spatial differences and multi-mechanism of carbon footprint in provincial China in 2010. Firstly, this study calculated the amount of carbon footprint of each province using ＂Top-Down＂ life cycle approach and found that there were significant differences of carbon footprint and per capita carbon footprint in provincial China. The provinces with higher carbon footprint, mainly located in northern China, have large economic scales; the provinces with higher per capita carbon footprint are mainly distributed in central cities such as Beijing, Shanghai and energy-rich regions and heavy chemical bases. Secondly, with the aid of GIS and spatial analysis model （GWR model）, this paper had unfolded that the expansion of economic scale is the main driver of the rapid growth of carbon footprint. The growth of population and urbanization also acted as promoting factors for the increase of the carbon footprint. Energy structure had no considerable promoting effect for the increase of the carbon footprint. Improving energy efficiency is the most important factor to inhibit the growing carbon footprint. Thirdly, developing low-carbon economies and low-carbon industries, as well as advocating low-carbon city construction and improving carbon efficiency would be the primary approaches to inhibit the rapid growth of carbon footprint. Moderately controlling the economic scale and population size would also be required to alleviate carbon footprint. Meanwhile, environmental protection and construction of low-carbon cities would evoke extensive attention in the process of urbanization.展开更多
Understanding crop patterns and their changes on regional scale is a critical re- quirement for projecting agro-ecosystem dynamics. However, tools and methods for mapping the distribution of crop area and yield are st...Understanding crop patterns and their changes on regional scale is a critical re- quirement for projecting agro-ecosystem dynamics. However, tools and methods for mapping the distribution of crop area and yield are still lacking. Based on the cross-entropy theory, a spatial production allocation model （SPAM） has been developed for presenting spa- tio-temporal dynamics of maize cropping system in Northeast China during 1980-2010. The simulated results indicated that （1） maize sown area expanded northwards to 48~N before 2000, after that the increased sown area mainly occurred in the central and southern parts of Northeast China. Meanwhile, maize also expanded eastwards to 127°E and lower elevation （less than 100 m） as well as higher elevation （mainly distributed between 200 m and 350 m）; （2） maize yield has been greatly promoted for most planted area of Northeast China, espe- cially in the planted zone between 42°N and 48°N, while the yield increase was relatively homogeneous without obvious longitudinal variations for whole region; （3） maize planting density increased gradually to a moderately high level over the investigated period, which reflected the trend of aggregation of maize cultivation driven by market demand.展开更多
This paper discusses the enrichment and depletion regularities for porphyry coppermolybdenum ore deposits in different regions and varied deposit genetic types in the same area, taking three porphyry copper-molybdenum...This paper discusses the enrichment and depletion regularities for porphyry coppermolybdenum ore deposits in different regions and varied deposit genetic types in the same area, taking three porphyry copper-molybdenum ore deposits （i.e., the Chengmenshan in Jiangxi, Wunugetushan in Inner Mongolia, Baishantang in Gansu） and two copper deposits in Gansu Province （the Huitongshan skarn deposit and Gongpoquan composite deposit） as case studies. The results show that porphyry Cu-Mo deposits or skarn copper deposits include both enrichment of the ore-forming elements and associated elements, and depletion of some lithophile dispersed elements, rare earth elements （REE） and some major elements. And the depleted elements vary with deposits, having generality and their own features. On a deposit scale, the positive anomalies of enriched elements and negative anomalies of depleted elements follow in a sequence to comprise regular anomaly models of spatial structures. The exploration in the Tongchang deposit in Jiangxi and Huitongshan deposit in Gansu suggests that anomaly models play a key role in the identification of mineral occurrences and deposits compared to one single enriched element anomaly. And the anomaly models exert a critical effect on the optimization of prospecting targets and their potential evaluation.展开更多
基金Under the auspices of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42371222,41971167)Fundamental Scientific Research Funds of Central China Normal University(No.CCNU24ZZ120)。
文摘Owing to intensified globalization and informatization,the structures of the urban scale hierarchy and urban networks between cities have become increasingly intertwined,resulting in different spatial effects.Therefore,this paper analyzes the spatial interaction between urban scale hierarchy and urban networks in China from 2019 to 2023,drawing on Baidu migration data and employing a spatial simultaneous equation model.The results reveal a significant positive spatial correlation between cities with higher hierarchy and those with greater network centrality.Within a static framework,we identify a positive interaction between urban scale hierarchy and urban network centrality,while their spatial cross-effects manifest as negative neighborhood interactions based on geographical distance and positive cross-scale interactions shaped by network connections.Within a dynamic framework,changes in urban scale hierarchy and urban networks are mutually reinforcing,thereby widening disparities within the urban hierarchy.Furthermore,an increase in a city’s network centrality had a dampening effect on the population growth of neighboring cities and network-connected cities.This study enhances understanding of the spatial organisation of urban systems and offers insights for coordinated regional development.
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.42577209 and U22A20239)the Key R&D Program of Hunan Province(No.2024WK2004)the Key Technologies for Accurate Diagnosis and Intelligent Prevention and Control of Slope Hazards in Open pit Mines,181 Major R&D projects of Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd。
文摘Excessive blasting-induced vibration during drilling-and-blasting excavation of deep tunnels can trigger geological hazards and compromise the stability of both the rock mass and support structures.This study focused on the deep double-line Sejila Mountain tunnel to systematically analyze the spatial response of blasting-induced vibration and to develop a prediction model through field tests and numerical simulations.The results revealed that the presence of a cross passage significantly altered propagation paths and the spatial distribution of blasting-induced vibration velocity.The peak particle velocity(PPV)at the cross-passage corner was amplified by approximately 1.92 times due to wave reflection and geometric focusing.Blasting-induced vibration waves attenuated non-uniformly across the tunnel cross-section,where PPV on the blast-face side was 1.54–6.56 times higher than that on the opposite side.We propose an improved PPV attenuation model that accounts for the propagation path effect.This model significantly improved fitting accuracy and resolved anomalous parameter(k and a)estimates in traditional equations,thereby improving prediction reliability.Furthermore,based on the observed spatial distribution of blasting-induced vibration,optimal monitoring point placement and targeted vibration control measures for tunnel blasting were discussed.These findings provide a scientific basis for designing blasting schemes and vibration mitigation strategies in deep tunnels.
基金National Social Science Fund of China,No.24BTJ037Significant Project of the National Social Science Foundation of China,No.23&ZD102+1 种基金The Key Research Base for Philosophy and Social Sciences in Hangzhou:ESG and Sustainable Development Research Center,No.25JD053Zhejiang Provincial Statistical Scientific Research Project,No.25TJZZ12。
文摘Establishing a Regional Marine Innovation Ecosystem(RMIE)is crucial for advancing China’s maritime power strategy.Concurrently,developing a competitive RMIE serves as a strategic lever to enhance the global competitiveness of China’s marine science sector.However,research on the competitiveness of RMIE is limited.To this end,this study constructs an evaluation index system based on ecological niche theory to assess the competitiveness of RMIE in China from 2008 to 2020.The findings indicate generally fluctuating upward trends in RMIE’s competitiveness,with Shandong,Jiangsu,and Guangdong showing relatively strong positions.Notably,there are significant intra-regional imbalances and inter-regional asynchrony in RMIE’s competitiveness across China’s three major marine economic circles.Recognizing that forecasting RMIE competitiveness can inform policy formulation,this paper proposes a systematic multivariate grey interval prediction model that incorporates spatial proximity effects.This model effectively captures the interval and uncertainty characteristics of RMIE’s competitiveness while considering spatial relationships among regions.Results from comparative analysis,robustness tests,and sensitivity analysis demonstrate its superior applicability and forecasting accuracy.Additionally,interval forecasts and scenario analyses suggest that RMIE competitiveness will maintain stable growth,although unbalanced and unsynchronized development is likely to persist.Overall,the approach developed for evaluating and forecasting RMIE competitiveness offers valuable insights for effective policy formulation.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2022YFC3003502).
文摘The northern segment of the North-South Seismic Belt is characterized by intense crustal deformation,well-developed active tectonics,and frequent occurrences of strong earthquakes.Therefore,conducting a Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis(PSHA)for this region is of significant importance for supporting seismic fortification in major engineering projects and formulating disaster prevention and mitigation policies.In this study,a composite seismic source model was constructed by integrating data on historical earthquakes,active faults,and paleoseismicity.Furthermore,a logic tree framework was employed to quantify epistemic uncertainties,enabling a systematic seismic hazard assessment of the region.To more accurately characterize the spatial heterogeneity of seismic activity,improvements were made to both the Circular Spatial Smoothing Model(CSSM)with a fixed radius and the Adaptive Spatial Smoothing Model(ASSM),with full consideration given to the spatiotemporal completeness of historical earthquake magnitudes.Regarding the CSSM,for scenarios involving small sample sizes in earthquake catalogs,the cross-validation method proposed in this study demonstrated higher robustness than the maximum likelihood method in determining the optimal correlation distance.Performance evaluation results indicate that while both models effectively characterize seismic activity,the ASSM exhibits superior overall predictive performance compared to the CSSM,owing to its ability to adaptively adjust the smoothing radius according to seismic density.Significant discrepancies were observed in the Peak Ground Acceleration(PGA)results calculated with a 10%probability of exceedance in 50 years across different combinations of seismic source models.The single spatially smoothed point-source model yielded a maximum PGA of approximately 0.52 g,with high-value areas concentrated near historical epicenters,thereby significantly underestimating the hazard associated with major fault zones.When combined with the simple fault-source model,the maximum PGA increased to 0.8 g,with high-value zones exhibiting a zonal distribution along faults;however,the risk remained underestimated for faults with low slip rates that are nevertheless approaching their recurrence cycles.Following the introduction of the time-dependent characteristic fault-source model,local PGA values for faults in the middle-to-late stages of their recurrence cycles increased by a factor of 2 to 7 compared to the single model.These results demonstrate that the characteristic fault-source model reasonably delineates the time-dependence of large earthquake recurrence,thereby providing a more accurate assessment of imminent seismic risks.By comprehensively applying the improved spatially smoothed pointsource model,the simple fault-source model,and the characteristic fault-source model,the following faults within the region were identified as having high seismic hazard:the Huangxianggou,Zhangxian,and Tianshui segments of the Xiqinling northern edge fault;the Maqin-Maqu segment of the Dongkunlun fault;the Longriqu fault;the Maoergai fault;the Elashan fault;the Riyueshan fault;the eastern segment of the Lenglongling fault;the Maxianshan segment of the Maxianshan northern Margin fault;and the Maomaoshan-Jinqianghe segment of the Laohushan-Maomaoshan fault.As these faults are located within seismic gaps or are approaching the recurrence periods of large earthquakes,they should be prioritized for current and future seismic monitoring as well as disaster prevention and mitigation efforts.
基金Project 50279005 supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘To ensure the safety of buildings surrounding foundation pits, a study was made on a settlement monitoring and trend prediction method. A statistical testing method for analyzing the stability of a settlement monitoring datum has been discussed. According to a comprehensive survey, data of 16 stages at operating control point, were verified by a standard t test to determine the stability of the operating control point. A stationary auto-regression model, AR(p), used for the observation point settlement prediction has been investigated. Given the 16 stages of the settlement data at an observation point, the applicability of this model was analyzed. Settlement of last four stages was predicted using the stationary auto-regression model AR (1); the maximum difference between predicted and measured values was 0.6 mm, indicating good prediction results of the model. Hence, this model can be applied to settlement predictions for buildings surrounding foundation pits.
文摘The study aims to investigate county-level variations of the COVID-19 disease and vaccination rate. The COVID-19 data was acquired from usafact.org, and the vaccination records were acquired from the Ohio vaccination tracker dashboard. GIS-based exploratory analysis was conducted to select four variables (poverty, black race, population density, and vaccination) to explain COVID-19 occurrence during the study period. Consequently, spatial statistical techniques such as Moran’s I, Hot Spot Analysis, Spatial Lag Model (SLM), and Spatial Error Model (SEM) were used to explain the COVID-19 occurrence and vaccination rate across the 88 counties in Ohio. The result of the Local Moran’s I analysis reveals that the epicenters of COVID-19 and vaccination followed the same patterns. Indeed, counties like Summit, Franklin, Fairfield, Hamilton, and Medina were categorized as epicenters for both COVID-19 occurrence and vaccination rate. The SEM seems to be the best model for both COVID-19 and vaccination rates, with R2 values of 0.68 and 0.70, respectively. The GWR analysis proves to be better than Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), and the distribution of R2 in the GWR is uneven throughout the study area for both COVID-19 cases and vaccinations. Some counties have a high R2 of up to 0.70 for both COVID-19 cases and vaccinations. The outcomes of the regression analyses show that the SEM models can explain 68% - 70% of COVID-19 cases and vaccination across the entire counties within the study period. COVID-19 cases and vaccination rates exhibited significant positive associations with black race and poverty throughout the study area.
文摘Pricing dynamics and volatility are accelerating the adoption of global cryptocurrency.Despite challenges,cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin are gaining widespread acceptance,particularly in countries with unbanked populations,the lack of bank controls,and inflation.This study investigates the global patterns of cryptocurrency adoption using Generalized Linear Models and Spatial Autoregressive Models.This research introduces a novel perspective on global cryptocurrency adoption using spatial models.Our findings reveal that cryptocurrency adoption is significantly influenced by economic instability,infrastructure availability,and spatial dynamics,with higher adoption rates in countries with limited access to traditional financial systems.
基金Under the auspices of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42571228,42401212)National Natural Science Foundation of Shandong(No.ZR2024MD022)。
文摘Green innovation is an important driving force for high-quality development and an important guarantee for the revitalization of the old industrial base in Northeast China.However,research on green innovation is still insufficient.Using the super-efficiency epsilon-based measure Malmquist model,kernel density estimation,and spatial econometric model,this study investigated the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and influencing factors of green innovation efficiency(GIE)in Northeast China from 2005 to 2020.The results reveal that:1)The GIE in Northeast China has obvious phased characteristics,where 2005-2011 was a period of fluctuating decline while 2012-2020 was a period of fluctuating increase,reflecting the severe resource and environmental constraints faced by the green innovation process.2)The GIE in the Northeast China has a significant spatial dependence,which has not formed a relatively stable spatial club feature.The process for improving the GIE in the Northeast China in the future is still arduous and far off.3)The interweaving and mutual influence of nonequilibrium factors have led to the diversity and complexity of the spatiotemporal pattern evolution of GIE.Overall,the level of economic development and industrial structure has a positive effect,while foreign investment and industrial agglomeration have a negative effect.The direct effects of government regulation,resource endowment,science and technology,environmental regulation,and urbanization are not significant.The research conclusion of this article can provide important reference for the revitalization of Northeast China.
基金supported by the Jilin Scientific and Technological Development Program(20210101466JC).
文摘In this paper,we consider the following spatial Solow-Swan model with density-dependent motion■whereσ>0,α∈(0,1)andΩ⊂ℝn(n≥1)is a bounded domain with smooth boundary andϕ∈C3([0,∞)),ϕ(s)>0 for all s≥0.We prove that if■then there exists a unique time-globally classical solution(u,v)for all n≥1,such a solution is bounded and satisfies u≥0,v>0.Moreover,we show that the above solution will convergence to the steady state(1,1)exponentially in L^(∞)as t→∞.
基金funded by the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant no.2022YFC2807504)the Marine S&T Fund of Shandong Province for Qingdao Marine Science and Technology Center(Grant no.2022QNLM030002-1)the Central Public-interest Scientific Institution Basal Research(Grant no.2023TD02).
文摘Antarctic krill(Euphausia superba),widely distributes around Antarctica,is a key species supporting the biodiversity of the Southern Ocean ecosystem.The Commission for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources(CCAMLR)has thus managed the krill fishery according to a precautionary way.Currently,CCAMLR is making effort to develop a refined krill fishery management approach based on more solid science,which requires accurate predictions of krill distribution.To address this need,this study investigated the effects of algorithm and spatial resolution on the performance of Antarctic krill distribution modelling.We integrated acoustic data from 4 surveys conducted in the waters adjacent to the Antarctic Peninsula with 11 environmental variables characterizing krill prey conditions,water mass properties,and seafloor topography.These data were processed at 4 spatial resolutions(5,10,15,and 20 km)to fit distribution models using 4 algorithms:Random Forests(RF),Generalized Additive Models(GAM),Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost),and Artificial Neural Networks(ANN).Model performance was assessed and compared in terms of goodness-of-fit and predictive accuracy.The results showed that RF achieved the highest predictive performance at most resolutions,whereas GAM performed best at the coarsest resolution(20 km).XGBoost closely following RF in accuracy and demonstrated robustness as evidenced by the highly consistent partial dependence curves across resolutions.In contrast,ANN exhibited limitations with smaller sample sizes,resulting in comparatively poorer predictive performance.The analysis revealed a trade-off whereby reducing spatial resolution improved model fit and mitigated zero-inflation at the expense of fine-scale information and overall predictive accuracy.Ensemble models,integrating RF,GAM,and XGBoost,are proposed as potential balanced solutions to improve predictive stability,offering a more robust scientific basis for the refinement of krill management.
基金supported by the Fujian Provincial Science and Technology Program“University-Industry Cooperation Project”(2024Y4015)National Key R&D Plan of Strategic International Scientific and Technological Innovation Cooperation Project(2018YFE0207800).
文摘The increasing frequency of extreme weather events raises the likelihood of forest wildfires.Therefore,establishing an effective fire prediction model is vital for protecting human life and property,and the environment.This study aims to build a prediction model to understand the spatial characteristics and piecewise effects of forest fire drivers.Using monthly grid data from 2006 to 2020,a modeling study analyzed fire occurrences during the September to April fire season in Fujian Province,China.We compared the fitting performance of the logistic regression model(LRM),the generalized additive logistic model(GALM),and the spatial generalized additive logistic model(SGALM).The results indicate that SGALMs had the best fitting results and the highest prediction accuracy.Meteorological factors significantly impacted forest fires in Fujian Province.Areas with high fire incidence were mainly concentrated in the northwest and southeast.SGALMs improved the fitting effect of fire prediction models by considering spatial effects and the flexible fitting ability of nonlinear interpretation.This model provides piecewise interpretations of forest wildfire occurrences,which can be valuable for relevant departments and will assist forest managers in refining prevention measures based on temporal and spatial differences.
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu province,China(BK20240937)the Belt and Road Special Foundation of the National Key Laboratory of Water Disaster Prevention(2022491411,2021491811)the Basal Research Fund of Central Public Welfare Scientific Institution of Nanjing Hydraulic Research Institute(Y223006).
文摘Understanding spatial heterogeneity in groundwater responses to multiple factors is critical for water resource management in coastal cities.Daily groundwater depth(GWD)data from 43 wells(2018-2022)were collected in three coastal cities in Jiangsu Province,China.Seasonal and Trend decomposition using Loess(STL)together with wavelet analysis and empirical mode decomposition were applied to identify tide-influenced wells while remaining wells were grouped by hierarchical clustering analysis(HCA).Machine learning models were developed to predict GWD,then their response to natural conditions and human activities was assessed by the Shapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)method.Results showed that eXtreme Gradient Boosting(XGB)was superior to other models in terms of prediction performance and computational efficiency(R^(2)>0.95).GWD in Yancheng and southern Lianyungang were greater than those in Nantong,exhibiting larger fluctuations.Groundwater within 5 km of the coastline was affected by tides,with more pronounced effects in agricultural areas compared to urban areas.Shallow groundwater(3-7 m depth)responded immediately(0-1 day)to rainfall,primarily influenced by farmland and topography(slope and distance from rivers).Rainfall recharge to groundwater peaked at 50%farmland coverage,but this effect was suppressed by high temperatures(>30℃)which intensified as distance from rivers increased,especially in forest and grassland.Deep groundwater(>10 m)showed delayed responses to rainfall(1-4 days)and temperature(10-15 days),with GDP as the primary influence,followed by agricultural irrigation and population density.Farmland helped to maintain stable GWD in low population density regions,while excessive farmland coverage(>90%)led to overexploitation.In the early stages of GDP development,increased industrial and agricultural water demand led to GWD decline,but as GDP levels significantly improved,groundwater consumption pressure gradually eased.This methodological framework is applicable not only to coastal cities in China but also could be extended to coastal regions worldwide.
基金the financial support from the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2021YFC3001003)Science and Technology Development Fund,Macao SAR(File No.0056/2023/RIB2)Guangdong Provincial Department of Science and Technology(Grant No.2022A0505030019).
文摘Challenges in stratigraphic modeling arise from underground uncertainty.While borehole exploration is reliable,it remains sparse due to economic and site constraints.Electrical resistivity tomography(ERT)as a cost-effective geophysical technique can acquire high-density data;however,uncertainty and nonuniqueness inherent in ERT impede its usage for stratigraphy identification.This paper integrates ERT and onsite observations for the first time to propose a novel method for characterizing stratigraphic profiles.The method consists of two steps:(1)ERT for prior knowledge:ERT data are processed by soft clustering using the Gaussian mixture model,followed by probability smoothing to quantify its depthdependent uncertainty;and(2)Observations for calibration:a spatial sequential Bayesian updating(SSBU)algorithm is developed to update the prior knowledge based on likelihoods derived from onsite observations,namely topsoil and boreholes.The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated through its application to a real slope site in Foshan,China.Comparative analysis with advanced borehole-driven methods highlights the superiority of incorporating ERT data in stratigraphic modeling,in terms of prediction accuracy at borehole locations and sensitivity to borehole data.Informed by ERT,reduced sensitivity to boreholes provides a fundamental solution to the longstanding challenge of sparse measurements.The paper further discusses the impact of ERT uncertainty on the proposed model using time-lapse measurements,the impact of model resolution,and applicability in engineering projects.This study,as a breakthrough in stratigraphic modeling,bridges gaps in combining geophysical and geotechnical data to address measurement sparsity and paves the way for more economical geotechnical exploration.
文摘The field of artificial intelligence has advanced significantly in recent years,but achieving a human-like or Artificial General Intelligence(AGI)remains a theoretical challenge.One hypothesis suggests that a key issue is the formalisation of extracting meaning from information.Meaning emerges through a three-stage interpretative process,where the spectrum of possible interpretations is collapsed into a singular outcome by a particular context.However,this approach currently lacks practical grounding.In this research,we developed a model based on contexts,which applies interpretation principles to the visual information to address this gap.The field of computer vision and object recognition has progressed essentially with artificial neural networks,but these models struggle with geometrically transformed images,such as those that are rotated or shifted,limiting their robustness in real-world applications.Various approaches have been proposed to address this problem.Some of them(Hu moments,spatial transformers,capsule networks,attention and memory mechanisms)share a conceptual connection with the contextual model(CM)discussed in this study.This paper investigates whether CM principles are applicable for interpreting rotated images from the MNIST and Fashion MNIST datasets.The model was implemented in the Rust programming language.It consists of a contextual module and a convolutional neural network(CNN).The CMwas trained on the rotated Mono Icons dataset,which is significantly different from the testing datasets.The CNN module was trained on the original MNIST and Fashion MNIST datasets for interpretation recognition.As a result,the CM was able to recognise the original datasets but encountered rotated images only during testing.The findings show that the model effectively interpreted transformed images by considering them in all available contexts and restoring their original form.This provides a practical foundation for further development of the contextual hypothesis and its relation to theAGI domain.
基金Under the auspices of Knowledge Innovation Frontier Project of Institute of Soil Science,Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.ISSASIP0716 )the National Nature Science Foundation of China ( No.40701070,40571065)
文摘Hue-Saturation-Intensity （HSI） color model, a psychologically appealing color model, was employed to visualize uncertainty represented by relative prediction error based on the case of spatial prediction of pH of topsoil in the peri-urban Beijing. A two-dimensional legend was designed to accompany the visualization-vertical axis （hues） for visualizing the predicted values and horizontal axis （whiteness） for visualizing the prediction error. Moreover, different ways of visualizing uncertainty were briefly reviewed in this paper. This case study indicated that visualization of both predictions and prediction uncertainty offered a possibility to enhance visual exploration of the data uncertainty and to compare different prediction methods or predictions of totally different variables. The whitish region of the visualization map can be simply interpreted as unsatisfactory prediction results, where may need additional samples or more suitable prediction models for a better prediction results.
文摘To improve the performance of the traditional map matching algorithms in freeway traffic state monitoring systems using the low logging frequency GPS （global positioning system） probe data, a map matching algorithm based on the Oracle spatial data model is proposed. The algorithm uses the Oracle road network data model to analyze the spatial relationships between massive GPS positioning points and freeway networks, builds an N-shortest path algorithm to find reasonable candidate routes between GPS positioning points efficiently, and uses the fuzzy logic inference system to determine the final matched traveling route. According to the implementation with field data from Los Angeles, the computation speed of the algorithm is about 135 GPS positioning points per second and the accuracy is 98.9%. The results demonstrate the effectiveness and accuracy of the proposed algorithm for mapping massive GPS positioning data onto freeway networks with complex geometric characteristics.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.41371177 Major Program of National Social Science Foundation of China, No. 13＆ZD027
文摘Global warming has been one of the major concerns behind the world＇s high-speed economic growth. How to implement the coordinated development of the carbon footprint and the economy will be the core issue of the world＇s economic and social development, as well as the heated debate of the research at home and abroad in recent years. Based on the energy consumption, integrated with the ＂Top-Down＂ life cycle approach and geographically weighted regression （GWR） model, this paper analyzed the spatial differences and multi-mechanism of carbon footprint in provincial China in 2010. Firstly, this study calculated the amount of carbon footprint of each province using ＂Top-Down＂ life cycle approach and found that there were significant differences of carbon footprint and per capita carbon footprint in provincial China. The provinces with higher carbon footprint, mainly located in northern China, have large economic scales; the provinces with higher per capita carbon footprint are mainly distributed in central cities such as Beijing, Shanghai and energy-rich regions and heavy chemical bases. Secondly, with the aid of GIS and spatial analysis model （GWR model）, this paper had unfolded that the expansion of economic scale is the main driver of the rapid growth of carbon footprint. The growth of population and urbanization also acted as promoting factors for the increase of the carbon footprint. Energy structure had no considerable promoting effect for the increase of the carbon footprint. Improving energy efficiency is the most important factor to inhibit the growing carbon footprint. Thirdly, developing low-carbon economies and low-carbon industries, as well as advocating low-carbon city construction and improving carbon efficiency would be the primary approaches to inhibit the rapid growth of carbon footprint. Moderately controlling the economic scale and population size would also be required to alleviate carbon footprint. Meanwhile, environmental protection and construction of low-carbon cities would evoke extensive attention in the process of urbanization.
基金Foundation： National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.41171328, No.41201184, No.41101537 National Basic Program of China, No.2010CB951502
文摘Understanding crop patterns and their changes on regional scale is a critical re- quirement for projecting agro-ecosystem dynamics. However, tools and methods for mapping the distribution of crop area and yield are still lacking. Based on the cross-entropy theory, a spatial production allocation model （SPAM） has been developed for presenting spa- tio-temporal dynamics of maize cropping system in Northeast China during 1980-2010. The simulated results indicated that （1） maize sown area expanded northwards to 48~N before 2000, after that the increased sown area mainly occurred in the central and southern parts of Northeast China. Meanwhile, maize also expanded eastwards to 127°E and lower elevation （less than 100 m） as well as higher elevation （mainly distributed between 200 m and 350 m）; （2） maize yield has been greatly promoted for most planted area of Northeast China, espe- cially in the planted zone between 42°N and 48°N, while the yield increase was relatively homogeneous without obvious longitudinal variations for whole region; （3） maize planting density increased gradually to a moderately high level over the investigated period, which reflected the trend of aggregation of maize cultivation driven by market demand.
基金financially supported by the research special fund of public service sector from the Ministry of Land and Resources (No. 201111008)
文摘This paper discusses the enrichment and depletion regularities for porphyry coppermolybdenum ore deposits in different regions and varied deposit genetic types in the same area, taking three porphyry copper-molybdenum ore deposits （i.e., the Chengmenshan in Jiangxi, Wunugetushan in Inner Mongolia, Baishantang in Gansu） and two copper deposits in Gansu Province （the Huitongshan skarn deposit and Gongpoquan composite deposit） as case studies. The results show that porphyry Cu-Mo deposits or skarn copper deposits include both enrichment of the ore-forming elements and associated elements, and depletion of some lithophile dispersed elements, rare earth elements （REE） and some major elements. And the depleted elements vary with deposits, having generality and their own features. On a deposit scale, the positive anomalies of enriched elements and negative anomalies of depleted elements follow in a sequence to comprise regular anomaly models of spatial structures. The exploration in the Tongchang deposit in Jiangxi and Huitongshan deposit in Gansu suggests that anomaly models play a key role in the identification of mineral occurrences and deposits compared to one single enriched element anomaly. And the anomaly models exert a critical effect on the optimization of prospecting targets and their potential evaluation.
