Studies show that different geometries of a Variable Cycle Engine(VCE)can be adjusted during the transient stage of the engine operation to improve the engine performance.However,this improvement increases the complex...Studies show that different geometries of a Variable Cycle Engine(VCE)can be adjusted during the transient stage of the engine operation to improve the engine performance.However,this improvement increases the complexity of the acceleration and deceleration control schedule.In order to resolve this problem,the Transient-state Reverse Method(TRM)is established in the present study based on the Steady-state Reverse Method(SRM)and the Virtual Power Extraction Method(VPEM).The state factors in the component-based engine performance models are replaced by variable geometry parameters to establish the TRM for a double bypass VCE.Obtained results are compared with the conventional component-based model from different aspects,including the accuracy and the convergence rate.The TRM is then employed to optimize the control schedule of a VCE.Obtained results show that the accuracy and the convergence rate of the proposed method are consistent with that of the conventional model.On the other hand,it is found that the new-model-optimized control schedules reduce the acceleration and deceleration time by 45%and 54%,respectively.Meanwhile,the surge margin of compressors,fuel–air ratio and the turbine inlet temperature maintained are within the acceptable criteria.It is concluded that the proposed TRM is a powerful method to design the acceleration and deceleration control schedule of the VCE.展开更多
The alternative working modes and flexible working states are the outstanding features of an adaptive cycle engine, with a proper control schedule design being the only way to exploit the performance of such an engine...The alternative working modes and flexible working states are the outstanding features of an adaptive cycle engine, with a proper control schedule design being the only way to exploit the performance of such an engine. However, unreasonable design in the control schedule causes not only performance deterioration but also serious aerodynamic stability problems. Thus, in this work,a hybrid optimization method that automatically chooses the working modes and identifies the optimal and smooth control schedules is proposed, by combining the differential evolution algorithm and the Latin hypercube sampling method. The control schedule architecture does not only optimize the engine steady-state performance under different working modes but also solves the control-schedule discontinuity problem, especially during mode transition. The optimal control schedules are continuous and almost monotonic, and hence are strongly suitable for a control system, and are designed for two different working conditions, i.e., supersonic and subsonic throttling,which proves that the proposed hybrid method applies to various working conditions. The evaluation demonstrates that the proposed control method optimizes the engine performance, the surge margin of the compression components, and the range of the thrust during throttling.展开更多
To making the decision of the developing blue prints,ideal point method was selected to estimate the life cycle cost with effectiveness of torpedo.At the same time,the concept of grey relational entropy of the grey sy...To making the decision of the developing blue prints,ideal point method was selected to estimate the life cycle cost with effectiveness of torpedo.At the same time,the concept of grey relational entropy of the grey system theory was adopted to compute the distance between each blue print and the ideal point(or negative ideal point).The blue print,nearest to the ideal point and farthest to the negative ideal point,is the best one.As an example,four blue prints of torpedo were estimated.The result indicates the practical value of this method.展开更多
It is a significant task to predict the solar activity for space weather and solar physics. All kinds of approaches have been used to forecast solar activities, and they have been applied to many areas such as the sol...It is a significant task to predict the solar activity for space weather and solar physics. All kinds of approaches have been used to forecast solar activities, and they have been applied to many areas such as the solar dynamo of simulation and space mission planning. In this paper, we employ the long-shortterm memory(LSTM) and neural network autoregression(NNAR) deep learning methods to predict the upcoming 25 th solar cycle using the sunspot area(SSA) data during the period of May 1874 to December2020. Our results show that the 25 th solar cycle will be 55% stronger than Solar Cycle 24 with a maximum sunspot area of 3115±401 and the cycle reaching its peak in October 2022 by using the LSTM method. It also shows that deep learning algorithms perform better than the other commonly used methods and have high application value.展开更多
The group-contribution (GC) methods suffer from a limitation concerning to the prediction of process-related indexes, e.g., thermal efficiency. Recently developed analytical models for thermal efficiency of organic Ra...The group-contribution (GC) methods suffer from a limitation concerning to the prediction of process-related indexes, e.g., thermal efficiency. Recently developed analytical models for thermal efficiency of organic Rankine cycles (ORCs) provide a possibility of overcoming the limitation of the GC methods because these models formulate thermal efficiency as functions of key thermal properties. Using these analytical relations together with GC methods, more than 60 organic fluids are screened for medium-low temperature ORCs. The results indicate that the GC methods can estimate thermal properties with acceptable accuracy (mean relative errors are 4.45%-11.50%);the precision, however, is low because the relative errors can vary from less than 0.1% to 45.0%. By contrast, the GC-based estimation of thermal efficiency has better accuracy and precision. The relative errors in thermal efficiency have an arithmetic mean of about 2.9% and fall within the range of 0-24.0%. These findings suggest that the analytical equations provide not only a direct way of estimating thermal efficiency but an accurate and precise approach to evaluating working fluids and guiding computer-aided molecular design of new fluids for ORCs using GC methods.展开更多
The cyclic stress-strain responses (CSSR), Neuber's rule (NR) and cyclic strain-life relation (CSLR) are treated as probabilistic curves in local stress and strain method of low cycle fatigue analysis. The randomn...The cyclic stress-strain responses (CSSR), Neuber's rule (NR) and cyclic strain-life relation (CSLR) are treated as probabilistic curves in local stress and strain method of low cycle fatigue analysis. The randomness of loading and the theory of fatigue damage accumulation (TOFDA) are considered. The probabilistic analysis of local stress, local strain and fatigue life are constructed based on the first-order Taylor's series expansions. Through this method proposed fatigue reliability analysis can be accomplished.展开更多
Cracking affected by wetting-drying cycles is a major cause of shallow failure of soft rock slopes.Knowledge of rock tensile properties and cracking behaviors helps better assess the stability of soft rock slopes.This...Cracking affected by wetting-drying cycles is a major cause of shallow failure of soft rock slopes.Knowledge of rock tensile properties and cracking behaviors helps better assess the stability of soft rock slopes.This study aims to examine the cracking behaviors and tensile strength of silty mudstone under wetting-drying cycles.The wetting-drying cycle and Brazilian splitting tests were performed on silty mudstone considering various cycle number and amplitude.The cracking behaviors of wetting-drying cycles were analyzed by digital image correlation,three-dimensional(3D)scanning technology,and scanning electron microscopy.The results reveal a spiral-like pattern of crack ratio escalation in silty mudstone,with a higher crack ratio observed during drying than wetting.Tensile strength and fracture energy correlate negatively with cycle number or amplitude,with cycle number exerting a more pronounced effect.The variance of the maximum principal strain reflects stages of initial deformation,linear deformation,strain localization,and stable deformation.The formation of strain localization zones reveals the physical process of crack propagation.Crack tip opening displacement progresses through stages of slow growth,exponential growth,and linear growth,delineating the process from crack initiation to stable extension.Failure modes of silty mudstone primarily involve tensile and tensile-shear failure,influenced by the geometric parameters of cracks induced by wetting-drying cycles.Fracture surface roughness and fractal dimension increase with cycle number due to mineral dissolution,physical erosion,and nondirectional crack propagation.Hydration-swelling and dehydration-shrinkage of clay minerals,along with absorption-drying cracking,initiate and merge cracks,leading to degradation of the rock mechanical properties.The findings could provide insights for mitigating shallow cracking of soft rock slopes under wetting-drying cycles.展开更多
Gas storage in abandoned mines is one way to reuse waste space resources.The surrounding rock of gas storage reservoirs in underground roadways undergoes damage and deformation under the cyclic loading of gas charging...Gas storage in abandoned mines is one way to reuse waste space resources.The surrounding rock of gas storage reservoirs in underground roadways undergoes damage and deformation under the cyclic loading of gas charging and discharging,which can pose a risk to the safety of the reservoirs.This study establishes a true triaxial numerical model of rock mass with the discrete element method(DEM)and explores the crack evolution of surrounding rock of underground gas storage during cyclic loading and unloading.Also,a damage evolution model in numerical analysis considering residual deformation is developed to explain the experimental results.As was revealed,cyclic loading and unloading resulted in fatigue damage in the specimen and caused strength deterioration of the specimen.During the loading process,the uniformly distributed force chains of the rock mass redistributed,evolving gradually to mostly transverse force chains.This contributed to the appearance of blank areas in the force chains when through cracks appear.The ratio of tensile cracks to shear cracks gradually decreases and finally stabilizes at 7:1.The damage evolution model considering residual strain can be mutually verified with the numerical simulation results.Based on the DEM model,it was found that there was a certain threshold of confining pressure.When the confining pressure exceeded 30 MPa,the deformation to ductility of sandstone samples began to accelerate,with a greater residual strength.This study provides a theoretical basis for analyzing the long-term mechanical behavior of surrounding rock of gas storage in abandoned mines.展开更多
This paper aims to establish a comparison between both geomagnetic activity classification methods on foF2 diurnal variation over solar cycle phases. It concerns first a comparison of geomagnetic activity occurrences ...This paper aims to establish a comparison between both geomagnetic activity classification methods on foF2 diurnal variation over solar cycle phases. It concerns first a comparison of geomagnetic activity occurrences according to both classification methods;and second the geomagnetic effect on foF2 diurnal variation profiles as defined for the equatorial latitudes. The occurrences of the different disturbed geomagnetic activities (recurrent activity (RA), shock activity (SA) and fluctuant activity (FA)) according to both classifications (ancient classification (AC) and new classification (NC)) have been studied at Dakar ionosonde station (Lat: 14.8°N;Long: 342.6°E). Regarding both classifications, the RA occurs more during the decreasing phase. And it’s observed that the RA occurs the most during the increasing phase for the AC and during the minimum phase for the NC. The maximum gap of occurrence (<img src="Edit_e4627ea9-9a9a-4473-9017-202d04a16377.bmp" alt="" /><span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">) between both classifications is <span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:;" "=""><span style="font-family:Verdana, Helvetica, Arial;white-space:normal;background-color:#FFFFFF;">-</span></span></span><span style="font-family:;" "=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">11.1%</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> (for the negative value which is observed during the increasing phase) and </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">+16.74%</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> (for the positive one which is observed during the decreasing phase). The occurrence of the SA in relation with both classifications is the lowest during the minimum phase and the maximum occurrence is observed during the maximum and decreasing phases, for the AC, with a value close to </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">37%</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> and for the NC at the maximum phase with a percentage of </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">54.47%</span><span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">. The maximum gap of occurrence (</span><img src="Edit_20fa141b-ecee-4e06-8024-144ba0969395.bmp" alt="" /></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">) between both classifications is <span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:;" "=""><span style="font-family:Verdana, Helvetica, Arial;white-space:normal;background-color:#FFFFFF;">-</span></span></span><span style="font-family:;" "=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">17.85%</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> (for the negative value which is observed at maximum phase) and </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">+13.53%</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> (for the positive one which is observed during the decreasing phase). For both classifications, the FA occurs the least during the minimum phase and the most during the maximum phase for the AC and at maximum and decreasing phases with percentage values of occurrence of roughly </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">37%</span><span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> for the NC. The maximum gap of occurrence (</span><img src="Edit_eecb8939-783e-4d43-b92c-80c528c1890b.bmp" alt="" /><span style="font-family:Verdana;"></span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">) between both classifications is <span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:;" "=""><span style="font-family:Verdana, Helvetica, Arial;white-space:normal;background-color:#FFFFFF;">-</span></span>10% (for the negative value which is observed during the decreasing phase) and </span><span style="font-family:;" "=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">+20.11%</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> (for the positive one which is observed during the maximum phase). foF2 diurnal profiles throughout solar cycle phases concerning the AC and the NC have been compared. The FA diurnal profiles don’t present a difference. The RA and the SA present a difference during minimum and increasing phases and the least at maximum and decreasing phases.</span></span></span>展开更多
With a three-dimensional semiclassical ensemble method, we theoretically investigated the nonsequential double ionization of Ar driven by the spatially inhomogeneous few-cycle negatively chirped laser pulses. Our resu...With a three-dimensional semiclassical ensemble method, we theoretically investigated the nonsequential double ionization of Ar driven by the spatially inhomogeneous few-cycle negatively chirped laser pulses. Our results show that the recollision time window can be precisely controlled within an isolated time interval of several hundred attoseconds, which is useful for understanding the subcycle correlated electron dynamics. More interestingly, the correlated electron momentum distribution (CEMD) exhibits a strong dependence on laser intensity. That is, at lower laser intensity, CEMD is located in the first quadrant. As the laser intensity increases,CEMD shifts almost completely to the second and fourth quadrants, and then gradually to the third quadrant.The underlying physics governing the CEMD's dependence on laser intensity is explained.展开更多
Recently,a description on a practicability of the Wöhler Curve Method for low-cycle fatigue of metals was given by the author.By the description and the low cycle fatigue test data of 16 MnR steel,it is important...Recently,a description on a practicability of the Wöhler Curve Method for low-cycle fatigue of metals was given by the author.By the description and the low cycle fatigue test data of 16 MnR steel,it is important to show that,for low cycle fatigue of metals,such a way that a stress-based intensity parameter calculated by the linear-elastic analysis is taken to be a stress intensity parameter,S,to establish a relationship between the stress intensity parameter,S,and the fatigue life,N,is practicable.In this paper,many metallic materials from the literature are given to show that the Wöhler Curve Method is well suitable for low-cycle fatigue analysis of metals.展开更多
Sensor nodes are easily compromised to malicious attackers due to an open environment. A false injected attack which takes place on application layer is elected by the compromised node. If the false report arrives in ...Sensor nodes are easily compromised to malicious attackers due to an open environment. A false injected attack which takes place on application layer is elected by the compromised node. If the false report arrives in a base station, a false alarm is occurred, and the energy of the nodes is consumed. To detect the false report, statistical en-route filtering method is proposed. In this paper, we proposed the secure path cycle selection method using fuzzy rule-based system to consume effective energy. The method makes balanced energy consumption of each node. Moreover, the lifetime of the whole network will be increased. The base station determines the path cycle using the fuzzy rule-based system. The performance of the proposed method is demonstrated using simulation studies with the three methods.展开更多
For facing the challenges brought by large-scale renewable energy having access to the system and considering the key technologies of energy Internet,it is very necessary to put forward the location method of distribu...For facing the challenges brought by large-scale renewable energy having access to the system and considering the key technologies of energy Internet,it is very necessary to put forward the location method of distribution network equipment and capacity from the perspective of life cycle cost.Compared with the traditional energy network,the equipment capacity problem of energy interconnected distribution network which involves in electricity network,thermal energy network and natural gas network is comprehensively considered in this paper.On this basis,firstly,the operation architecture of energy interconnected distribution network is designed.Secondly,taking the grid connection location and configuration capacity of key equipment in the system as the control variables and the operation cost of system comprehensive planning in the whole life cycle as the goal,the equipment location and capacity optimization model of energy interconnected distribution network is established.Finally,an IEEE 33 bus energy mutual distribution grid system is taken for example analysis,and the improved chaotic particle swarmoptimization algorithm is used to solve it.The simulation results show that the method proposed in this paper is suitable for the equipment location and capacity planning of energy interconnected distribution network,and it can effectively improve the social and economic benefits of system operation.展开更多
Based on modem financial markets becoming more and more perfect, in company stock, bonds, represented by the investment banking has permeated all aspects of life. Business valuation is the core of value management.How...Based on modem financial markets becoming more and more perfect, in company stock, bonds, represented by the investment banking has permeated all aspects of life. Business valuation is the core of value management.However, companies in different stages of development have a certain stage characteristics, and therefore from the features and characteristics of the different stages of business valuation methods and the factors that affect the value of different businesses created to start, can provide investors assess the business value of new ideas.展开更多
Objective: to explore the application effect of PDCA circulation method in ICU nursing training. Methods: 36 regular nurses were selected as the research object and divided into the observation group and the control g...Objective: to explore the application effect of PDCA circulation method in ICU nursing training. Methods: 36 regular nurses were selected as the research object and divided into the observation group and the control group. The control group used the traditional one-to-one teaching method, while the observation group used the PDCA cycle method to teach, and the two groups were evaluated by the methods of theoretical evaluation, skill operation evaluation and emergency ability evaluation. Results: the results of the three examinations of the nurses in the observation group were significantly higher than those in the control group (P < 0.05). Conclusion: PDCA in ICU nursing training can make the training nurses adapt to the working mode of ICU in a short time, improve the working ability of combining theory with practice, mobilize the learning enthusiasm, improve the professional level, and promote the improvement of teaching quality.展开更多
In this paper, an optimal V-cycle multigrid method for some conforming and nonconforming plate elements are constructed. A new method dealing with nonnested multigrid methods is presented.
建筑平面图外墙的自动识别在建筑设计和施工的过程中具有重要意义,它不仅能提高设计效率,还能辅助设计审核,降低图纸错误风险。同时,自动识别外墙等构件为三维模型的快速生成提供有效数据,推动建筑信息建模(Building Information Modeli...建筑平面图外墙的自动识别在建筑设计和施工的过程中具有重要意义,它不仅能提高设计效率,还能辅助设计审核,降低图纸错误风险。同时,自动识别外墙等构件为三维模型的快速生成提供有效数据,推动建筑信息建模(Building Information Modeling,BIM)技术的发展。目前自动识别建筑平面图外墙的方法主要是基于规则的方法,且其效果仍有一定的提升空间。针对上述问题,本文提出了一种基于Swin Transformer和LSTM的CycleGAN算法实现建筑平面图外墙的自动识别,以辅助建筑平面图的设计、建筑平面图设计的质量稽查、三维模型的快速生成等。该算法基于循环一致性生成对抗网络(CycleGAN)框架,嵌入Swin Transformer Block模块和长短期记忆(Long Short-Term Memory,LSTM)模块,增强模型特征提取能力和网络学习能力。实验结果表明,改进的CycleGAN算法实现了非成对训练样本条件下建筑平面图外墙的识别,在结构相似性指数和峰值信噪比的两个指标上分别提高了22.4%和4.223,且生成的建筑外墙图具有清晰度高、细节特征完整的特点。展开更多
A great amount of work addressed methods for predicting the battery lifetime in wireless sensor systems. In spite of these efforts, the reported experimental results demonstrate that the duty-cycle current average met...A great amount of work addressed methods for predicting the battery lifetime in wireless sensor systems. In spite of these efforts, the reported experimental results demonstrate that the duty-cycle current average method, which is widely used to this aim, fails in accurately estimating the battery life time of most of the presented wireless sensor system applications. The aim of this paper is to experimentally assess the duty-cycle current average method in order to give more effective insight on the effectiveness of the method. An electronic metering system, based on a dedicated PCB, has been designed and developed to experimentally measure node current consumption profiles and charge extracted from the battery in two selected case studies. A battery lifetime measurement (during 30 days) has been carried out. Experimental results have been assessed and compared with estimations given by using the duty-cycle current average method. Based on the measurement results, we show that the assumptions on which the method is based do not hold in real operating cases. The rationality of the duty-cycle current average method needs reconsidering.展开更多
Anthropogenic aluminum cycle in China was analyzed by the aluminum flow diagram based on the life cycle of aluminum products. The whole anthropogenic aluminum cycle consists of four stages： alumina and aluminum produ...Anthropogenic aluminum cycle in China was analyzed by the aluminum flow diagram based on the life cycle of aluminum products. The whole anthropogenic aluminum cycle consists of four stages： alumina and aluminum production, fabrication and manufacture, use and reclamation. Based on the investigation on the 2003-2007 aluminum cycles in China, a number of changes can be found. For instance, resources self-support ratio （RSR） in alumina production dropped from 95.42%to 55.50%, while RSR in the aluminum production increased from 52.45%to 79.25%. However, RSR in the Chinese aluminum industry leveled off at 50%in the period of 2003-2007. The respective use ratios of domestic and imported aluminum scrap in the aluminum industry of 2007 were 5.38% and 9.40%. In contrast, both the net imported Al-containing resources and the lost quantity of Al-containing materials in aluminum cycle increased during the same period, as well as the net increased quantity of Al-containing materials in social stock and recycled Al-scrap. Proposals for promoting aluminum cycle were put forward. The import/export policy and reducing the loss of Al-containing materials for the aluminum industry in China in the future were discussed.展开更多
This paper presents a multi-criteria evaluation methodology for nuclear fuel cycle options in terms of energy sustainability. Starting from the general sustainability concept and the public acceptance questionnaire, a...This paper presents a multi-criteria evaluation methodology for nuclear fuel cycle options in terms of energy sustainability. Starting from the general sustainability concept and the public acceptance questionnaire, a set of indicators reflecting specific criteria for the evaluation of nuclear fuel cycle options are defined. Particular attention is devoted to the resource utility efficiency, environmental effect, human health hazard and economic effect, which represent the different concerns of different stakeholders. This methodology also integrated a special mathematic processing approach, namely the Extentics Evaluation Method, which quantifies the human being subjective perception to provide the intuitionistic judgement and comparison for different options. The once-through option and reprocessing option of nuclear fuel cycle are examined by using the proposed methodology. The assessment process and result can give us some guidance in nuclear fuel cycle evaluation under the constraint of limited data.展开更多
基金supported by the Aviation Power Foundation of China(6141B09050382)。
文摘Studies show that different geometries of a Variable Cycle Engine(VCE)can be adjusted during the transient stage of the engine operation to improve the engine performance.However,this improvement increases the complexity of the acceleration and deceleration control schedule.In order to resolve this problem,the Transient-state Reverse Method(TRM)is established in the present study based on the Steady-state Reverse Method(SRM)and the Virtual Power Extraction Method(VPEM).The state factors in the component-based engine performance models are replaced by variable geometry parameters to establish the TRM for a double bypass VCE.Obtained results are compared with the conventional component-based model from different aspects,including the accuracy and the convergence rate.The TRM is then employed to optimize the control schedule of a VCE.Obtained results show that the accuracy and the convergence rate of the proposed method are consistent with that of the conventional model.On the other hand,it is found that the new-model-optimized control schedules reduce the acceleration and deceleration time by 45%and 54%,respectively.Meanwhile,the surge margin of compressors,fuel–air ratio and the turbine inlet temperature maintained are within the acceptable criteria.It is concluded that the proposed TRM is a powerful method to design the acceleration and deceleration control schedule of the VCE.
基金funded by National Nature Science Foundation of China(Nos.51776010 and 91860205)supported by the Academic Excellence Foundation of BUAA for PhD Students,China。
文摘The alternative working modes and flexible working states are the outstanding features of an adaptive cycle engine, with a proper control schedule design being the only way to exploit the performance of such an engine. However, unreasonable design in the control schedule causes not only performance deterioration but also serious aerodynamic stability problems. Thus, in this work,a hybrid optimization method that automatically chooses the working modes and identifies the optimal and smooth control schedules is proposed, by combining the differential evolution algorithm and the Latin hypercube sampling method. The control schedule architecture does not only optimize the engine steady-state performance under different working modes but also solves the control-schedule discontinuity problem, especially during mode transition. The optimal control schedules are continuous and almost monotonic, and hence are strongly suitable for a control system, and are designed for two different working conditions, i.e., supersonic and subsonic throttling,which proves that the proposed hybrid method applies to various working conditions. The evaluation demonstrates that the proposed control method optimizes the engine performance, the surge margin of the compression components, and the range of the thrust during throttling.
基金the Doctorate Foundation of Northwestern Polytechnical University (Grant No.CX200304)
文摘To making the decision of the developing blue prints,ideal point method was selected to estimate the life cycle cost with effectiveness of torpedo.At the same time,the concept of grey relational entropy of the grey system theory was adopted to compute the distance between each blue print and the ideal point(or negative ideal point).The blue print,nearest to the ideal point and farthest to the negative ideal point,is the best one.As an example,four blue prints of torpedo were estimated.The result indicates the practical value of this method.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant numbers U2031202,U1731124 and U1531247the special foundation work of the Ministry of Science and Technology of the People’s Republic of China under Grant number 2014FY120300the 13th Five-year Informatization Plan of Chinese Academy of Sciences under Grant number XXH13505-04。
文摘It is a significant task to predict the solar activity for space weather and solar physics. All kinds of approaches have been used to forecast solar activities, and they have been applied to many areas such as the solar dynamo of simulation and space mission planning. In this paper, we employ the long-shortterm memory(LSTM) and neural network autoregression(NNAR) deep learning methods to predict the upcoming 25 th solar cycle using the sunspot area(SSA) data during the period of May 1874 to December2020. Our results show that the 25 th solar cycle will be 55% stronger than Solar Cycle 24 with a maximum sunspot area of 3115±401 and the cycle reaching its peak in October 2022 by using the LSTM method. It also shows that deep learning algorithms perform better than the other commonly used methods and have high application value.
基金Project(51778626) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China
文摘The group-contribution (GC) methods suffer from a limitation concerning to the prediction of process-related indexes, e.g., thermal efficiency. Recently developed analytical models for thermal efficiency of organic Rankine cycles (ORCs) provide a possibility of overcoming the limitation of the GC methods because these models formulate thermal efficiency as functions of key thermal properties. Using these analytical relations together with GC methods, more than 60 organic fluids are screened for medium-low temperature ORCs. The results indicate that the GC methods can estimate thermal properties with acceptable accuracy (mean relative errors are 4.45%-11.50%);the precision, however, is low because the relative errors can vary from less than 0.1% to 45.0%. By contrast, the GC-based estimation of thermal efficiency has better accuracy and precision. The relative errors in thermal efficiency have an arithmetic mean of about 2.9% and fall within the range of 0-24.0%. These findings suggest that the analytical equations provide not only a direct way of estimating thermal efficiency but an accurate and precise approach to evaluating working fluids and guiding computer-aided molecular design of new fluids for ORCs using GC methods.
文摘The cyclic stress-strain responses (CSSR), Neuber's rule (NR) and cyclic strain-life relation (CSLR) are treated as probabilistic curves in local stress and strain method of low cycle fatigue analysis. The randomness of loading and the theory of fatigue damage accumulation (TOFDA) are considered. The probabilistic analysis of local stress, local strain and fatigue life are constructed based on the first-order Taylor's series expansions. Through this method proposed fatigue reliability analysis can be accomplished.
基金the financial support by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.52108397)“Xiaohe”Science and Technology Talent Special Project(Grant No.2024 TJ-X06)Water Resources Science and Technology Project of Hunan Province(Grant No.XSKJ2023059-41).
文摘Cracking affected by wetting-drying cycles is a major cause of shallow failure of soft rock slopes.Knowledge of rock tensile properties and cracking behaviors helps better assess the stability of soft rock slopes.This study aims to examine the cracking behaviors and tensile strength of silty mudstone under wetting-drying cycles.The wetting-drying cycle and Brazilian splitting tests were performed on silty mudstone considering various cycle number and amplitude.The cracking behaviors of wetting-drying cycles were analyzed by digital image correlation,three-dimensional(3D)scanning technology,and scanning electron microscopy.The results reveal a spiral-like pattern of crack ratio escalation in silty mudstone,with a higher crack ratio observed during drying than wetting.Tensile strength and fracture energy correlate negatively with cycle number or amplitude,with cycle number exerting a more pronounced effect.The variance of the maximum principal strain reflects stages of initial deformation,linear deformation,strain localization,and stable deformation.The formation of strain localization zones reveals the physical process of crack propagation.Crack tip opening displacement progresses through stages of slow growth,exponential growth,and linear growth,delineating the process from crack initiation to stable extension.Failure modes of silty mudstone primarily involve tensile and tensile-shear failure,influenced by the geometric parameters of cracks induced by wetting-drying cycles.Fracture surface roughness and fractal dimension increase with cycle number due to mineral dissolution,physical erosion,and nondirectional crack propagation.Hydration-swelling and dehydration-shrinkage of clay minerals,along with absorption-drying cracking,initiate and merge cracks,leading to degradation of the rock mechanical properties.The findings could provide insights for mitigating shallow cracking of soft rock slopes under wetting-drying cycles.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China,Grant/Award Numbers:U22A20598,52104107National Key Research and Development Program of China,Grant/Award Numbers:2023YFC2907300,2019YFE0118500,2019YFC1904304Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province,Grant/Award Number:BK20200634。
文摘Gas storage in abandoned mines is one way to reuse waste space resources.The surrounding rock of gas storage reservoirs in underground roadways undergoes damage and deformation under the cyclic loading of gas charging and discharging,which can pose a risk to the safety of the reservoirs.This study establishes a true triaxial numerical model of rock mass with the discrete element method(DEM)and explores the crack evolution of surrounding rock of underground gas storage during cyclic loading and unloading.Also,a damage evolution model in numerical analysis considering residual deformation is developed to explain the experimental results.As was revealed,cyclic loading and unloading resulted in fatigue damage in the specimen and caused strength deterioration of the specimen.During the loading process,the uniformly distributed force chains of the rock mass redistributed,evolving gradually to mostly transverse force chains.This contributed to the appearance of blank areas in the force chains when through cracks appear.The ratio of tensile cracks to shear cracks gradually decreases and finally stabilizes at 7:1.The damage evolution model considering residual strain can be mutually verified with the numerical simulation results.Based on the DEM model,it was found that there was a certain threshold of confining pressure.When the confining pressure exceeded 30 MPa,the deformation to ductility of sandstone samples began to accelerate,with a greater residual strength.This study provides a theoretical basis for analyzing the long-term mechanical behavior of surrounding rock of gas storage in abandoned mines.
文摘This paper aims to establish a comparison between both geomagnetic activity classification methods on foF2 diurnal variation over solar cycle phases. It concerns first a comparison of geomagnetic activity occurrences according to both classification methods;and second the geomagnetic effect on foF2 diurnal variation profiles as defined for the equatorial latitudes. The occurrences of the different disturbed geomagnetic activities (recurrent activity (RA), shock activity (SA) and fluctuant activity (FA)) according to both classifications (ancient classification (AC) and new classification (NC)) have been studied at Dakar ionosonde station (Lat: 14.8°N;Long: 342.6°E). Regarding both classifications, the RA occurs more during the decreasing phase. And it’s observed that the RA occurs the most during the increasing phase for the AC and during the minimum phase for the NC. The maximum gap of occurrence (<img src="Edit_e4627ea9-9a9a-4473-9017-202d04a16377.bmp" alt="" /><span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">) between both classifications is <span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:;" "=""><span style="font-family:Verdana, Helvetica, Arial;white-space:normal;background-color:#FFFFFF;">-</span></span></span><span style="font-family:;" "=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">11.1%</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> (for the negative value which is observed during the increasing phase) and </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">+16.74%</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> (for the positive one which is observed during the decreasing phase). The occurrence of the SA in relation with both classifications is the lowest during the minimum phase and the maximum occurrence is observed during the maximum and decreasing phases, for the AC, with a value close to </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">37%</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> and for the NC at the maximum phase with a percentage of </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">54.47%</span><span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">. The maximum gap of occurrence (</span><img src="Edit_20fa141b-ecee-4e06-8024-144ba0969395.bmp" alt="" /></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">) between both classifications is <span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:;" "=""><span style="font-family:Verdana, Helvetica, Arial;white-space:normal;background-color:#FFFFFF;">-</span></span></span><span style="font-family:;" "=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">17.85%</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> (for the negative value which is observed at maximum phase) and </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">+13.53%</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> (for the positive one which is observed during the decreasing phase). For both classifications, the FA occurs the least during the minimum phase and the most during the maximum phase for the AC and at maximum and decreasing phases with percentage values of occurrence of roughly </span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">37%</span><span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> for the NC. The maximum gap of occurrence (</span><img src="Edit_eecb8939-783e-4d43-b92c-80c528c1890b.bmp" alt="" /><span style="font-family:Verdana;"></span></span></span><span style="font-family:Verdana;">) between both classifications is <span style="font-size:10.0pt;font-family:;" "=""><span style="font-family:Verdana, Helvetica, Arial;white-space:normal;background-color:#FFFFFF;">-</span></span>10% (for the negative value which is observed during the decreasing phase) and </span><span style="font-family:;" "=""><span style="font-family:Verdana;">+20.11%</span><span style="font-family:Verdana;"> (for the positive one which is observed during the maximum phase). foF2 diurnal profiles throughout solar cycle phases concerning the AC and the NC have been compared. The FA diurnal profiles don’t present a difference. The RA and the SA present a difference during minimum and increasing phases and the least at maximum and decreasing phases.</span></span></span>
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 12074329)Nanhu Scholars Program for Young Scholars of Xinyang Normal University。
文摘With a three-dimensional semiclassical ensemble method, we theoretically investigated the nonsequential double ionization of Ar driven by the spatially inhomogeneous few-cycle negatively chirped laser pulses. Our results show that the recollision time window can be precisely controlled within an isolated time interval of several hundred attoseconds, which is useful for understanding the subcycle correlated electron dynamics. More interestingly, the correlated electron momentum distribution (CEMD) exhibits a strong dependence on laser intensity. That is, at lower laser intensity, CEMD is located in the first quadrant. As the laser intensity increases,CEMD shifts almost completely to the second and fourth quadrants, and then gradually to the third quadrant.The underlying physics governing the CEMD's dependence on laser intensity is explained.
文摘Recently,a description on a practicability of the Wöhler Curve Method for low-cycle fatigue of metals was given by the author.By the description and the low cycle fatigue test data of 16 MnR steel,it is important to show that,for low cycle fatigue of metals,such a way that a stress-based intensity parameter calculated by the linear-elastic analysis is taken to be a stress intensity parameter,S,to establish a relationship between the stress intensity parameter,S,and the fatigue life,N,is practicable.In this paper,many metallic materials from the literature are given to show that the Wöhler Curve Method is well suitable for low-cycle fatigue analysis of metals.
文摘Sensor nodes are easily compromised to malicious attackers due to an open environment. A false injected attack which takes place on application layer is elected by the compromised node. If the false report arrives in a base station, a false alarm is occurred, and the energy of the nodes is consumed. To detect the false report, statistical en-route filtering method is proposed. In this paper, we proposed the secure path cycle selection method using fuzzy rule-based system to consume effective energy. The method makes balanced energy consumption of each node. Moreover, the lifetime of the whole network will be increased. The base station determines the path cycle using the fuzzy rule-based system. The performance of the proposed method is demonstrated using simulation studies with the three methods.
基金The authors received specific funding for State Grid Corporation Headquarters Project Support,Key Technologies and Applications of Planning and Decision-Making Based on the Full Cost Chain of the Power Grid,Grant No.5205331800001.
文摘For facing the challenges brought by large-scale renewable energy having access to the system and considering the key technologies of energy Internet,it is very necessary to put forward the location method of distribution network equipment and capacity from the perspective of life cycle cost.Compared with the traditional energy network,the equipment capacity problem of energy interconnected distribution network which involves in electricity network,thermal energy network and natural gas network is comprehensively considered in this paper.On this basis,firstly,the operation architecture of energy interconnected distribution network is designed.Secondly,taking the grid connection location and configuration capacity of key equipment in the system as the control variables and the operation cost of system comprehensive planning in the whole life cycle as the goal,the equipment location and capacity optimization model of energy interconnected distribution network is established.Finally,an IEEE 33 bus energy mutual distribution grid system is taken for example analysis,and the improved chaotic particle swarmoptimization algorithm is used to solve it.The simulation results show that the method proposed in this paper is suitable for the equipment location and capacity planning of energy interconnected distribution network,and it can effectively improve the social and economic benefits of system operation.
文摘Based on modem financial markets becoming more and more perfect, in company stock, bonds, represented by the investment banking has permeated all aspects of life. Business valuation is the core of value management.However, companies in different stages of development have a certain stage characteristics, and therefore from the features and characteristics of the different stages of business valuation methods and the factors that affect the value of different businesses created to start, can provide investors assess the business value of new ideas.
文摘Objective: to explore the application effect of PDCA circulation method in ICU nursing training. Methods: 36 regular nurses were selected as the research object and divided into the observation group and the control group. The control group used the traditional one-to-one teaching method, while the observation group used the PDCA cycle method to teach, and the two groups were evaluated by the methods of theoretical evaluation, skill operation evaluation and emergency ability evaluation. Results: the results of the three examinations of the nurses in the observation group were significantly higher than those in the control group (P < 0.05). Conclusion: PDCA in ICU nursing training can make the training nurses adapt to the working mode of ICU in a short time, improve the working ability of combining theory with practice, mobilize the learning enthusiasm, improve the professional level, and promote the improvement of teaching quality.
基金The rescarch was supported by the Doctoral Point Foundation of chinese Universities and NSF
文摘In this paper, an optimal V-cycle multigrid method for some conforming and nonconforming plate elements are constructed. A new method dealing with nonnested multigrid methods is presented.
文摘A great amount of work addressed methods for predicting the battery lifetime in wireless sensor systems. In spite of these efforts, the reported experimental results demonstrate that the duty-cycle current average method, which is widely used to this aim, fails in accurately estimating the battery life time of most of the presented wireless sensor system applications. The aim of this paper is to experimentally assess the duty-cycle current average method in order to give more effective insight on the effectiveness of the method. An electronic metering system, based on a dedicated PCB, has been designed and developed to experimentally measure node current consumption profiles and charge extracted from the battery in two selected case studies. A battery lifetime measurement (during 30 days) has been carried out. Experimental results have been assessed and compared with estimations given by using the duty-cycle current average method. Based on the measurement results, we show that the assumptions on which the method is based do not hold in real operating cases. The rationality of the duty-cycle current average method needs reconsidering.
基金Projects (71003018,71373003) supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProjects (N110402003,N120302004) supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,ChinaProject (13YJCZH172) supported by the Ministry of Education of China of Humanities and Social Sciences
文摘Anthropogenic aluminum cycle in China was analyzed by the aluminum flow diagram based on the life cycle of aluminum products. The whole anthropogenic aluminum cycle consists of four stages： alumina and aluminum production, fabrication and manufacture, use and reclamation. Based on the investigation on the 2003-2007 aluminum cycles in China, a number of changes can be found. For instance, resources self-support ratio （RSR） in alumina production dropped from 95.42%to 55.50%, while RSR in the aluminum production increased from 52.45%to 79.25%. However, RSR in the Chinese aluminum industry leveled off at 50%in the period of 2003-2007. The respective use ratios of domestic and imported aluminum scrap in the aluminum industry of 2007 were 5.38% and 9.40%. In contrast, both the net imported Al-containing resources and the lost quantity of Al-containing materials in aluminum cycle increased during the same period, as well as the net increased quantity of Al-containing materials in social stock and recycled Al-scrap. Proposals for promoting aluminum cycle were put forward. The import/export policy and reducing the loss of Al-containing materials for the aluminum industry in China in the future were discussed.
文摘This paper presents a multi-criteria evaluation methodology for nuclear fuel cycle options in terms of energy sustainability. Starting from the general sustainability concept and the public acceptance questionnaire, a set of indicators reflecting specific criteria for the evaluation of nuclear fuel cycle options are defined. Particular attention is devoted to the resource utility efficiency, environmental effect, human health hazard and economic effect, which represent the different concerns of different stakeholders. This methodology also integrated a special mathematic processing approach, namely the Extentics Evaluation Method, which quantifies the human being subjective perception to provide the intuitionistic judgement and comparison for different options. The once-through option and reprocessing option of nuclear fuel cycle are examined by using the proposed methodology. The assessment process and result can give us some guidance in nuclear fuel cycle evaluation under the constraint of limited data.
