Buiding data-driven models using machine learning methods has gradually become a common approach for studying reservoir parameters.Among these methods,deep learning methods are highly effective.From the perspective of...Buiding data-driven models using machine learning methods has gradually become a common approach for studying reservoir parameters.Among these methods,deep learning methods are highly effective.From the perspective of multi-task learning,this paper uses six types of logging data—acoustic logging(AC),gamma ray(GR),compensated neutron porosity(CNL),density(DEN),deep and shallow lateral resistivity(LLD)and shallow lateral resistivity(LLS)—that are inputs and three reservoir parameters that are outputs to build a porosity saturation permeability network(PSP-Net)that can predict porosity,saturation,and permeability values simultaneously.These logging data are obtained from 108 training wells in a medium₋low permeability oilfield block in the western district of China.PSP-Net method adopts a serial structure to realize transfer learning of reservoir-parameter characteristics.Compared with other existing methods at the stage of academic exploration to simulating industrial applications,the proposed method overcomes the disadvantages inherent in single-task learning reservoir-parameter prediction models,including easily overfitting and heavy model-training workload.Additionally,the proposed method demonstrates good anti-overfitting and generalization capabilities,integrating professional knowledge and experience.In 37 test wells,compared with the existing method,the proposed method exhibited an average error reduction of 10.44%,27.79%,and 28.83%from porosity,saturation,permeability calculation.The prediction and actual permeabilities are within one order of magnitude.The training on PSP-Net are simpler and more convenient than other single-task learning methods discussed in this paper.Furthermore,the findings of this paper can help in the re-examination of old oilfield wells and the completion of logging data.展开更多
Deep neural networks(DNNs)are effective in solving both forward and inverse problems for nonlinear partial differential equations(PDEs).However,conventional DNNs are not effective in handling problems such as delay di...Deep neural networks(DNNs)are effective in solving both forward and inverse problems for nonlinear partial differential equations(PDEs).However,conventional DNNs are not effective in handling problems such as delay differential equations(DDEs)and delay integrodifferential equations(DIDEs)with constant delays,primarily due to their low regularity at delayinduced breaking points.In this paper,a DNN method that combines multi-task learning(MTL)which is proposed to solve both the forward and inverse problems of DIDEs.The core idea of this approach is to divide the original equation into multiple tasks based on the delay,using auxiliary outputs to represent the integral terms,followed by the use of MTL to seamlessly incorporate the properties at the breaking points into the loss function.Furthermore,given the increased training dificulty associated with multiple tasks and outputs,we employ a sequential training scheme to reduce training complexity and provide reference solutions for subsequent tasks.This approach significantly enhances the approximation accuracy of solving DIDEs with DNNs,as demonstrated by comparisons with traditional DNN methods.We validate the effectiveness of this method through several numerical experiments,test various parameter sharing structures in MTL and compare the testing results of these structures.Finally,this method is implemented to solve the inverse problem of nonlinear DIDE and the results show that the unknown parameters of DIDE can be discovered with sparse or noisy data.展开更多
Cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning(MARL)is a key technology for enabling cooperation in complex multi-agent systems.It has achieved remarkable progress in areas such as gaming,autonomous driving,and multi-...Cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning(MARL)is a key technology for enabling cooperation in complex multi-agent systems.It has achieved remarkable progress in areas such as gaming,autonomous driving,and multi-robot control.Empowering cooperative MARL with multi-task decision-making capabilities is expected to further broaden its application scope.In multi-task scenarios,cooperative MARL algorithms need to address 3 types of multi-task problems:reward-related multi-task,arising from different reward functions;multi-domain multi-task,caused by differences in state and action spaces,state transition functions;and scalability-related multi-task,resulting from the dynamic variation in the number of agents.Most existing studies focus on scalability-related multitask problems.However,with the increasing integration between large language models(LLMs)and multi-agent systems,a growing number of LLM-based multi-agent systems have emerged,enabling more complex multi-task cooperation.This paper provides a comprehensive review of the latest advances in this field.By combining multi-task reinforcement learning with cooperative MARL,we categorize and analyze the 3 major types of multi-task problems under multi-agent settings,offering more fine-grained classifications and summarizing key insights for each.In addition,we summarize commonly used benchmarks and discuss future directions of research in this area,which hold promise for further enhancing the multi-task cooperation capabilities of multi-agent systems and expanding their practical applications in the real world.展开更多
The accurate prediction of drug absorption,distribution,metabolism,excretion,and toxicity(ADMET)properties represents a crucial step in early drug development for reducing failure risk.Current deep learning approaches...The accurate prediction of drug absorption,distribution,metabolism,excretion,and toxicity(ADMET)properties represents a crucial step in early drug development for reducing failure risk.Current deep learning approaches face challenges with data sparsity and information loss due to single-molecule representation limitations and isolated predictive tasks.This research proposes molecular properties prediction with parallel-view and collaborative learning(MolP-PC),a multi-view fusion and multi-task deep learning framework that integrates 1D molecular fingerprints(MFs),2D molecular graphs,and 3D geometric representations,incorporating an attention-gated fusion mechanism and multi-task adaptive learning strategy for precise ADMET property predictions.Experimental results demonstrate that MolP-PC achieves optimal performance in 27 of 54 tasks,with its multi-task learning(MTL)mechanism significantly enhancing predictive performance on small-scale datasets and surpassing single-task models in 41 of 54 tasks.Additional ablation studies and interpretability analyses confirm the significance of multi-view fusion in capturing multi-dimensional molecular information and enhancing model generalization.A case study examining the anticancer compound Oroxylin A demonstrates MolP-PC’s effective generalization in predicting key pharmacokinetic parameters such as half-life(T0.5)and clearance(CL),indicating its practical utility in drug modeling.However,the model exhibits a tendency to underestimate volume of distribution(VD),indicating potential for improvement in analyzing compounds with high tissue distribution.This study presents an efficient and interpretable approach for ADMET property prediction,establishing a novel framework for molecular optimization and risk assessment in drug development.展开更多
Tropical cyclones(TCs)are one of the most serious types of natural disasters,and accurate TC activity predictions are key to disaster prevention and mitigation.Recently,TC track predictions have made significant progr...Tropical cyclones(TCs)are one of the most serious types of natural disasters,and accurate TC activity predictions are key to disaster prevention and mitigation.Recently,TC track predictions have made significant progress,but the ability to predict their intensity is obviously lagging behind.At present,research on TC intensity prediction takes atmospheric reanalysis data as the research object and mines the relationship between TC-related environmental factors and intensity through deep learning.However,reanalysis data are non-real-time in nature,which does not meet the requirements for operational forecasting applications.Therefore,a TC intensity prediction model named TC-Rolling is proposed,which can simultaneously extract the degree of symmetry for strong TC convective cloud and convection intensity,and fuse the deviation-angle variance with satellite images to construct the correlation between TC convection structure and intensity.For TCs'complex dynamic processes,a convolutional neural network(CNN)is used to learn their temporal and spatial features.For real-time intensity estimation,multi-task learning acts as an implicit time-series enhancement.The model is designed with a rolling strategy that aims to moderate the long-term dependent decay problem and improve accuracy for short-term intensity predictions.Since multiple tasks are correlated,the loss function of 12 h and 24 h are corrected.After testing on a sample of TCs in the Northwest Pacific,with a 4.48 kt root-mean-square error(RMSE)of 6 h intensity prediction,5.78 kt for 12 h,and 13.94 kt for 24 h,TC records from official agencies are used to assess the validity of TC-Rolling.展开更多
Predicting the health status of stroke patients at different stages of the disease is a critical clinical task.The onset and development of stroke are affected by an array of factors,encompassing genetic predispositio...Predicting the health status of stroke patients at different stages of the disease is a critical clinical task.The onset and development of stroke are affected by an array of factors,encompassing genetic predisposition,environmental exposure,unhealthy lifestyle habits,and existing medical conditions.Although existing machine learning-based methods for predicting stroke patients’health status have made significant progress,limitations remain in terms of prediction accuracy,model explainability,and system optimization.This paper proposes a multi-task learning approach based on Explainable Artificial Intelligence(XAI)for predicting the health status of stroke patients.First,we design a comprehensive multi-task learning framework that utilizes the task correlation of predicting various health status indicators in patients,enabling the parallel prediction of multiple health indicators.Second,we develop a multi-task Area Under Curve(AUC)optimization algorithm based on adaptive low-rank representation,which removes irrelevant information from the model structure to enhance the performance of multi-task AUC optimization.Additionally,the model’s explainability is analyzed through the stability analysis of SHAP values.Experimental results demonstrate that our approach outperforms comparison algorithms in key prognostic metrics F1 score and Efficiency.展开更多
As the group-buying model shows significant progress in attracting new users,enhancing user engagement,and increasing platform profitability,providing personalized recommendations for group-buying users has emerged as...As the group-buying model shows significant progress in attracting new users,enhancing user engagement,and increasing platform profitability,providing personalized recommendations for group-buying users has emerged as a new challenge in the field of recommendation systems.This paper introduces a group-buying recommendation model based on multi-head attention mechanisms and multi-task learning,termed the Multi-head Attention Mechanisms and Multi-task Learning Group-Buying Recommendation(MAMGBR)model,specifically designed to optimize group-buying recommendations on e-commerce platforms.The core dataset of this study comes from the Chinese maternal and infant e-commerce platform“Beibei,”encompassing approximately 430,000 successful groupbuying actions and over 120,000 users.Themodel focuses on twomain tasks:recommending items for group organizers(Task Ⅰ)and recommending participants for a given group-buying event(Task Ⅱ).In model evaluation,MAMGBR achieves an MRR@10 of 0.7696 for Task I,marking a 20.23%improvement over baseline models.Furthermore,in Task II,where complex interaction patterns prevail,MAMGBR utilizes auxiliary loss functions to effectively model the multifaceted roles of users,items,and participants,leading to a 24.08%increase in MRR@100 under a 1:99 sample ratio.Experimental results show that compared to benchmark models,such as NGCF and EATNN,MAMGBR’s integration ofmulti-head attentionmechanisms,expert networks,and gating mechanisms enables more accurate modeling of user preferences and social associations within group-buying scenarios,significantly enhancing recommendation accuracy and platform group-buying success rates.展开更多
Aerosol optical depth(AOD)and fine particulate matter with a diameter of less than or equal to 2.5μm(PM_(2.5))play crucial roles in air quality,human health,and climate change.However,the complex correlation of AOD–...Aerosol optical depth(AOD)and fine particulate matter with a diameter of less than or equal to 2.5μm(PM_(2.5))play crucial roles in air quality,human health,and climate change.However,the complex correlation of AOD–PM_(2.5)and the limitations of existing algorithms pose a significant challenge in realizing the accurate joint retrieval of these two parameters at the same location.On this point,a multi-task learning(MTL)model,which enables the joint retrieval of PM_(2.5)concentration and AOD,is proposed and applied on the top-of-the-atmosphere reflectance data gathered by the Fengyun-4A Advanced Geosynchronous Radiation Imager(FY-4A AGRI),and compared to that of two single-task learning models—namely,Random Forest(RF)and Deep Neural Network(DNN).Specifically,MTL achieves a coefficient of determination(R^(2))of 0.88 and a root-mean-square error(RMSE)of 0.10 in AOD retrieval.In comparison to RF,the R^(2)increases by 0.04,the RMSE decreases by 0.02,and the percentage of retrieval results falling within the expected error range(Within-EE)rises by 5.55%.The R^(2)and RMSE of PM_(2.5)retrieval by MTL are 0.84 and 13.76μg m~(-3)respectively.Compared with RF,the R^(2)increases by 0.06,the RMSE decreases by 4.55μg m~(-3),and the Within-EE increases by 7.28%.Additionally,compared to DNN,MTL shows an increase of 0.01 in R^(2)and a decrease of 0.02 in RMSE in AOD retrieval,with a corresponding increase of 2.89%in Within-EE.For PM_(2.5)retrieval,MTL exhibits an increase of 0.05 in R^(2),a decrease of 1.76μg m~(-3)in RMSE,and an increase of 6.83%in Within-EE.The evaluation suggests that MTL is able to provide simultaneously improved AOD and PM_(2.5)retrievals,demonstrating a significant advantage in efficiently capturing the spatial distribution of PM_(2.5)concentration and AOD.展开更多
Accurate short-term forecast of offshore wind fields is still challenging for numerical weather prediction models.Based on three years of 48-hour forecast data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecas...Accurate short-term forecast of offshore wind fields is still challenging for numerical weather prediction models.Based on three years of 48-hour forecast data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Integrated Forecasting System global model(ECMWF-IFS)over 14 offshore weather stations along the coast of Shandong Province,this study introduces a multi-task learning(MTL)model(TabNet-MTL),which significantly improves the forecast bias of near-surface wind direction and speed simultaneously.TabNet-MTL adopts the feature engineering method,utilizes mean square error as the loss function,and employs the 5-fold cross validation method to ensure the generalization ability of the trained model.It demonstrates superior skills in wind field correction across different forecast lead times over all stations compared to its single-task version(TabNet-STL)and three other popular single-task learning models(Random Forest,LightGBM,and XGBoost).Results show that it significantly reduces root mean square error of the ECMWF-IFS wind speed forecast from 2.20 to 1.25 m s−1,and increases the forecast accuracy of wind direction from 50%to 65%.As an explainable deep learning model,the weather stations and long-term temporal statistics of near-surface wind speed are identified as the most influential variables for TabNet-MTL in constructing its feature engineering.展开更多
Staple crops are the cornerstone of the food supply but are frequently threatened by plant diseases.Effective disease management,including disease identification and severity assessment,helps to better address these c...Staple crops are the cornerstone of the food supply but are frequently threatened by plant diseases.Effective disease management,including disease identification and severity assessment,helps to better address these challenges.Currently,methods for disease severity assessment typically rely on calculating the area proportion of disease segmentation regions or using classification networks for severity assessment.However,these methods require large amounts of labeled data and fail to quantify lesion proportions when using classification networks,leading to inaccurate evaluations.To address these issues,we propose an automated framework for disease severity assessment that combines multi-task learning and knowledge-driven large-model segmentation techniques.This framework includes an image information processor,a lesion and leaf segmentation module,and a disease severity assessment module.First,the image information processor utilizes a multi-task learning strategy to analyze input images comprehensively,ensuring a deep understanding of disease characteristics.Second,the lesion and leaf segmentation module employ prompt-driven large-model technology to accurately segment diseased areas and entire leaves,providing detailed visual analysis.Finally,the disease severity assessment module objectively evaluates the severity of the disease based on professional grading standards by calculating lesion area proportions.Additionally,we have developed a comprehensive database of diseased leaf images from major crops,including several task-specific datasets.Experimental results demonstrate that our framework can accurately identify and assess the types and severity of crop diseases,even without extensive labeled data.Codes and data are available at http://dkp-ads.samlab.cn/.展开更多
This study investigated the relationship between college students’awe and depression,along with the mediating roles of future self-continuity and presence of meaning.891 Chinese college students(570 female;mean age 1...This study investigated the relationship between college students’awe and depression,along with the mediating roles of future self-continuity and presence of meaning.891 Chinese college students(570 female;mean age 18.59;SD 1.34)from one university completed four surveys:Dispositional Awe Subscale,Future self-continuity Scale,Meaning in Life Scale and Depression Scale.Using structural equation modelling and the bootstrap method,the results delineated that awe negatively related to depression,and future self-continuity and presence of meaning had a serial mediation effect,reducing depression.The study implies educational institutions should foster a positive mental health education environment,urging students to develop positive traits,enhancing well-being and resilience,and facilitating psychological development.展开更多
Satellite communication technology has emerged as a key solution to address the challenges of data transmission in remote areas.By overcoming the limitations of traditional terrestrial communication networks,it enable...Satellite communication technology has emerged as a key solution to address the challenges of data transmission in remote areas.By overcoming the limitations of traditional terrestrial communication networks,it enables long-distance data transmission anytime and anywhere,ensuring the timely and accurate delivery of water level data,which is particularly crucial for fishway water level monitoring.To enhance the effectiveness of fishway water level monitoring,this study proposes a multi-task learning model,AS-SOMTF,designed for real-time and comprehensive prediction.The model integrates auxiliary sequences with primary input sequences to capture complex relationships and dependencies,thereby improving representational capacity.In addition,a novel timeseries embedding algorithm,AS-SOM,is introduced,which combines generative inference and pooling operations to optimize prediction efficiency for long sequences.This innovation not only ensures the timely transmission of water level data but also enhances the accuracy of real-time monitoring.Compared with traditional models such as Transformer and Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM)networks,the proposed model achieves improvements of 3.8%and 1.4%in prediction accuracy,respectively.These advancements provide more precise technical support for water level forecasting and resource management in the Diqing Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture of the Lancang River,contributing to ecosystem protection and improved operational safety.展开更多
Accurate forecasting of blast furnace gas(BFG)production is an essential prerequisite for reasonable energy scheduling and management to reduce carbon emissions.Coupling forecasting between BFG generation and consumpt...Accurate forecasting of blast furnace gas(BFG)production is an essential prerequisite for reasonable energy scheduling and management to reduce carbon emissions.Coupling forecasting between BFG generation and consumption dynamics was taken as the research object.A multi-task learning(MTL)method for BFG forecasting was proposed,which integrated a coupling correlation coefficient(CCC)and an inverted transformer structure.The CCC method could enhance key information extraction by establishing relationships between multiple prediction targets and relevant factors,while MTL effectively captured the inherent correlations between BFG generation and consumption.Finally,a real-world case study was conducted to compare the proposed model with four benchmark models.Results indicated significant reductions in average mean absolute percentage error by 33.37%,achieving 1.92%,with a computational time of 76 s.The sensitivity analysis of hyperparameters such as learning rate,batch size,and units of the long short-term memory layer highlights the importance of hyperparameter tuning.展开更多
To improve the performance of the short interleaved serial concatenated convolutional code(SCCC) with low decoding iterative times, the structure of Log MAP algorithm is introduced into the conventional SOVA decoder...To improve the performance of the short interleaved serial concatenated convolutional code(SCCC) with low decoding iterative times, the structure of Log MAP algorithm is introduced into the conventional SOVA decoder to improve its performance at short interleaving delay. The combination of Log MAP and SOVA avoids updating the matrices of the maximum path, and also makes a contribution to the requirement of short delay. The simulation results of several SCCCs show that the improved decoder can obtain satisfied performance with short frame interleaver and it is suitable to the high bit rate low delay communication systems.展开更多
文摘Buiding data-driven models using machine learning methods has gradually become a common approach for studying reservoir parameters.Among these methods,deep learning methods are highly effective.From the perspective of multi-task learning,this paper uses six types of logging data—acoustic logging(AC),gamma ray(GR),compensated neutron porosity(CNL),density(DEN),deep and shallow lateral resistivity(LLD)and shallow lateral resistivity(LLS)—that are inputs and three reservoir parameters that are outputs to build a porosity saturation permeability network(PSP-Net)that can predict porosity,saturation,and permeability values simultaneously.These logging data are obtained from 108 training wells in a medium₋low permeability oilfield block in the western district of China.PSP-Net method adopts a serial structure to realize transfer learning of reservoir-parameter characteristics.Compared with other existing methods at the stage of academic exploration to simulating industrial applications,the proposed method overcomes the disadvantages inherent in single-task learning reservoir-parameter prediction models,including easily overfitting and heavy model-training workload.Additionally,the proposed method demonstrates good anti-overfitting and generalization capabilities,integrating professional knowledge and experience.In 37 test wells,compared with the existing method,the proposed method exhibited an average error reduction of 10.44%,27.79%,and 28.83%from porosity,saturation,permeability calculation.The prediction and actual permeabilities are within one order of magnitude.The training on PSP-Net are simpler and more convenient than other single-task learning methods discussed in this paper.Furthermore,the findings of this paper can help in the re-examination of old oilfield wells and the completion of logging data.
文摘Deep neural networks(DNNs)are effective in solving both forward and inverse problems for nonlinear partial differential equations(PDEs).However,conventional DNNs are not effective in handling problems such as delay differential equations(DDEs)and delay integrodifferential equations(DIDEs)with constant delays,primarily due to their low regularity at delayinduced breaking points.In this paper,a DNN method that combines multi-task learning(MTL)which is proposed to solve both the forward and inverse problems of DIDEs.The core idea of this approach is to divide the original equation into multiple tasks based on the delay,using auxiliary outputs to represent the integral terms,followed by the use of MTL to seamlessly incorporate the properties at the breaking points into the loss function.Furthermore,given the increased training dificulty associated with multiple tasks and outputs,we employ a sequential training scheme to reduce training complexity and provide reference solutions for subsequent tasks.This approach significantly enhances the approximation accuracy of solving DIDEs with DNNs,as demonstrated by comparisons with traditional DNN methods.We validate the effectiveness of this method through several numerical experiments,test various parameter sharing structures in MTL and compare the testing results of these structures.Finally,this method is implemented to solve the inverse problem of nonlinear DIDE and the results show that the unknown parameters of DIDE can be discovered with sparse or noisy data.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(62136008,62293541)The Beijing Natural Science Foundation(4232056)The Beijing Nova Program(20240484514).
文摘Cooperative multi-agent reinforcement learning(MARL)is a key technology for enabling cooperation in complex multi-agent systems.It has achieved remarkable progress in areas such as gaming,autonomous driving,and multi-robot control.Empowering cooperative MARL with multi-task decision-making capabilities is expected to further broaden its application scope.In multi-task scenarios,cooperative MARL algorithms need to address 3 types of multi-task problems:reward-related multi-task,arising from different reward functions;multi-domain multi-task,caused by differences in state and action spaces,state transition functions;and scalability-related multi-task,resulting from the dynamic variation in the number of agents.Most existing studies focus on scalability-related multitask problems.However,with the increasing integration between large language models(LLMs)and multi-agent systems,a growing number of LLM-based multi-agent systems have emerged,enabling more complex multi-task cooperation.This paper provides a comprehensive review of the latest advances in this field.By combining multi-task reinforcement learning with cooperative MARL,we categorize and analyze the 3 major types of multi-task problems under multi-agent settings,offering more fine-grained classifications and summarizing key insights for each.In addition,we summarize commonly used benchmarks and discuss future directions of research in this area,which hold promise for further enhancing the multi-task cooperation capabilities of multi-agent systems and expanding their practical applications in the real world.
基金supported by the research on key technologies for monitoring and identifying drug abuse of anesthetic drugs and psychotropic drugs,and intervention for addiction(No.2023YFC3304200)the program of a study on the diagnosis of addiction to synthetic cannabinoids and methods of assessing the risk of abuse(No.2022YFC3300905)+1 种基金the program of Ab initio design and generation of AI models for small molecule ligands based on target structures(No.2022PE0AC03)ZHIJIANG LAB.
文摘The accurate prediction of drug absorption,distribution,metabolism,excretion,and toxicity(ADMET)properties represents a crucial step in early drug development for reducing failure risk.Current deep learning approaches face challenges with data sparsity and information loss due to single-molecule representation limitations and isolated predictive tasks.This research proposes molecular properties prediction with parallel-view and collaborative learning(MolP-PC),a multi-view fusion and multi-task deep learning framework that integrates 1D molecular fingerprints(MFs),2D molecular graphs,and 3D geometric representations,incorporating an attention-gated fusion mechanism and multi-task adaptive learning strategy for precise ADMET property predictions.Experimental results demonstrate that MolP-PC achieves optimal performance in 27 of 54 tasks,with its multi-task learning(MTL)mechanism significantly enhancing predictive performance on small-scale datasets and surpassing single-task models in 41 of 54 tasks.Additional ablation studies and interpretability analyses confirm the significance of multi-view fusion in capturing multi-dimensional molecular information and enhancing model generalization.A case study examining the anticancer compound Oroxylin A demonstrates MolP-PC’s effective generalization in predicting key pharmacokinetic parameters such as half-life(T0.5)and clearance(CL),indicating its practical utility in drug modeling.However,the model exhibits a tendency to underestimate volume of distribution(VD),indicating potential for improvement in analyzing compounds with high tissue distribution.This study presents an efficient and interpretable approach for ADMET property prediction,establishing a novel framework for molecular optimization and risk assessment in drug development.
基金jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42075138 and 42375147)the Program on Key Basic Research Project of Jiangsu(Grant No.BE2023829)。
文摘Tropical cyclones(TCs)are one of the most serious types of natural disasters,and accurate TC activity predictions are key to disaster prevention and mitigation.Recently,TC track predictions have made significant progress,but the ability to predict their intensity is obviously lagging behind.At present,research on TC intensity prediction takes atmospheric reanalysis data as the research object and mines the relationship between TC-related environmental factors and intensity through deep learning.However,reanalysis data are non-real-time in nature,which does not meet the requirements for operational forecasting applications.Therefore,a TC intensity prediction model named TC-Rolling is proposed,which can simultaneously extract the degree of symmetry for strong TC convective cloud and convection intensity,and fuse the deviation-angle variance with satellite images to construct the correlation between TC convection structure and intensity.For TCs'complex dynamic processes,a convolutional neural network(CNN)is used to learn their temporal and spatial features.For real-time intensity estimation,multi-task learning acts as an implicit time-series enhancement.The model is designed with a rolling strategy that aims to moderate the long-term dependent decay problem and improve accuracy for short-term intensity predictions.Since multiple tasks are correlated,the loss function of 12 h and 24 h are corrected.After testing on a sample of TCs in the Northwest Pacific,with a 4.48 kt root-mean-square error(RMSE)of 6 h intensity prediction,5.78 kt for 12 h,and 13.94 kt for 24 h,TC records from official agencies are used to assess the validity of TC-Rolling.
基金funded by the Excellent Talent Training Funding Project in Dongcheng District,Beijing,with project number 2024-dchrcpyzz-9.
文摘Predicting the health status of stroke patients at different stages of the disease is a critical clinical task.The onset and development of stroke are affected by an array of factors,encompassing genetic predisposition,environmental exposure,unhealthy lifestyle habits,and existing medical conditions.Although existing machine learning-based methods for predicting stroke patients’health status have made significant progress,limitations remain in terms of prediction accuracy,model explainability,and system optimization.This paper proposes a multi-task learning approach based on Explainable Artificial Intelligence(XAI)for predicting the health status of stroke patients.First,we design a comprehensive multi-task learning framework that utilizes the task correlation of predicting various health status indicators in patients,enabling the parallel prediction of multiple health indicators.Second,we develop a multi-task Area Under Curve(AUC)optimization algorithm based on adaptive low-rank representation,which removes irrelevant information from the model structure to enhance the performance of multi-task AUC optimization.Additionally,the model’s explainability is analyzed through the stability analysis of SHAP values.Experimental results demonstrate that our approach outperforms comparison algorithms in key prognostic metrics F1 score and Efficiency.
基金supported by the Key Research and Development Program of Heilongjiang Province(No.2022ZX01A35).
文摘As the group-buying model shows significant progress in attracting new users,enhancing user engagement,and increasing platform profitability,providing personalized recommendations for group-buying users has emerged as a new challenge in the field of recommendation systems.This paper introduces a group-buying recommendation model based on multi-head attention mechanisms and multi-task learning,termed the Multi-head Attention Mechanisms and Multi-task Learning Group-Buying Recommendation(MAMGBR)model,specifically designed to optimize group-buying recommendations on e-commerce platforms.The core dataset of this study comes from the Chinese maternal and infant e-commerce platform“Beibei,”encompassing approximately 430,000 successful groupbuying actions and over 120,000 users.Themodel focuses on twomain tasks:recommending items for group organizers(Task Ⅰ)and recommending participants for a given group-buying event(Task Ⅱ).In model evaluation,MAMGBR achieves an MRR@10 of 0.7696 for Task I,marking a 20.23%improvement over baseline models.Furthermore,in Task II,where complex interaction patterns prevail,MAMGBR utilizes auxiliary loss functions to effectively model the multifaceted roles of users,items,and participants,leading to a 24.08%increase in MRR@100 under a 1:99 sample ratio.Experimental results show that compared to benchmark models,such as NGCF and EATNN,MAMGBR’s integration ofmulti-head attentionmechanisms,expert networks,and gating mechanisms enables more accurate modeling of user preferences and social associations within group-buying scenarios,significantly enhancing recommendation accuracy and platform group-buying success rates.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42030708,42375138,42030608,42105128,42075079)the Opening Foundation of Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Sounding,China Meteorological Administration(CMA),and the CMA Research Center on Meteorological Observation Engineering Technology(Grant No.U2021Z03),and the Opening Foundation of the Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Chemistry,CMA(Grant No.2022B02)。
文摘Aerosol optical depth(AOD)and fine particulate matter with a diameter of less than or equal to 2.5μm(PM_(2.5))play crucial roles in air quality,human health,and climate change.However,the complex correlation of AOD–PM_(2.5)and the limitations of existing algorithms pose a significant challenge in realizing the accurate joint retrieval of these two parameters at the same location.On this point,a multi-task learning(MTL)model,which enables the joint retrieval of PM_(2.5)concentration and AOD,is proposed and applied on the top-of-the-atmosphere reflectance data gathered by the Fengyun-4A Advanced Geosynchronous Radiation Imager(FY-4A AGRI),and compared to that of two single-task learning models—namely,Random Forest(RF)and Deep Neural Network(DNN).Specifically,MTL achieves a coefficient of determination(R^(2))of 0.88 and a root-mean-square error(RMSE)of 0.10 in AOD retrieval.In comparison to RF,the R^(2)increases by 0.04,the RMSE decreases by 0.02,and the percentage of retrieval results falling within the expected error range(Within-EE)rises by 5.55%.The R^(2)and RMSE of PM_(2.5)retrieval by MTL are 0.84 and 13.76μg m~(-3)respectively.Compared with RF,the R^(2)increases by 0.06,the RMSE decreases by 4.55μg m~(-3),and the Within-EE increases by 7.28%.Additionally,compared to DNN,MTL shows an increase of 0.01 in R^(2)and a decrease of 0.02 in RMSE in AOD retrieval,with a corresponding increase of 2.89%in Within-EE.For PM_(2.5)retrieval,MTL exhibits an increase of 0.05 in R^(2),a decrease of 1.76μg m~(-3)in RMSE,and an increase of 6.83%in Within-EE.The evaluation suggests that MTL is able to provide simultaneously improved AOD and PM_(2.5)retrievals,demonstrating a significant advantage in efficiently capturing the spatial distribution of PM_(2.5)concentration and AOD.
基金the National Key Research and Development Plan of China[Grant No.2023YFB3002400]the Shanghai 2021 Natural Science Foundation[Grant Nos.21ZR1420400 and 21ZR1419800]+1 种基金the Shanghai 2023 Natural Science Foundation[Grant No.23ZR1463000]the Shandong Provincial Meteorological Bureau Scientific Research Project[Grant No.2023SDBD05].
文摘Accurate short-term forecast of offshore wind fields is still challenging for numerical weather prediction models.Based on three years of 48-hour forecast data from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Integrated Forecasting System global model(ECMWF-IFS)over 14 offshore weather stations along the coast of Shandong Province,this study introduces a multi-task learning(MTL)model(TabNet-MTL),which significantly improves the forecast bias of near-surface wind direction and speed simultaneously.TabNet-MTL adopts the feature engineering method,utilizes mean square error as the loss function,and employs the 5-fold cross validation method to ensure the generalization ability of the trained model.It demonstrates superior skills in wind field correction across different forecast lead times over all stations compared to its single-task version(TabNet-STL)and three other popular single-task learning models(Random Forest,LightGBM,and XGBoost).Results show that it significantly reduces root mean square error of the ECMWF-IFS wind speed forecast from 2.20 to 1.25 m s−1,and increases the forecast accuracy of wind direction from 50%to 65%.As an explainable deep learning model,the weather stations and long-term temporal statistics of near-surface wind speed are identified as the most influential variables for TabNet-MTL in constructing its feature engineering.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (2024YFD2001100,2024YFE0214300)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (62162008)+3 种基金Guizhou Provincial Science and Technology Projects ([2024]002, CXTD[2023]027)Guizhou Province Youth Science and Technology Talent Project ([2024]317)Guiyang Guian Science and Technology Talent Training Project ([2024]2-15)the Guizhou Province Graduate Education Innovation Program Project (2024YJSKYJJ096)
文摘Staple crops are the cornerstone of the food supply but are frequently threatened by plant diseases.Effective disease management,including disease identification and severity assessment,helps to better address these challenges.Currently,methods for disease severity assessment typically rely on calculating the area proportion of disease segmentation regions or using classification networks for severity assessment.However,these methods require large amounts of labeled data and fail to quantify lesion proportions when using classification networks,leading to inaccurate evaluations.To address these issues,we propose an automated framework for disease severity assessment that combines multi-task learning and knowledge-driven large-model segmentation techniques.This framework includes an image information processor,a lesion and leaf segmentation module,and a disease severity assessment module.First,the image information processor utilizes a multi-task learning strategy to analyze input images comprehensively,ensuring a deep understanding of disease characteristics.Second,the lesion and leaf segmentation module employ prompt-driven large-model technology to accurately segment diseased areas and entire leaves,providing detailed visual analysis.Finally,the disease severity assessment module objectively evaluates the severity of the disease based on professional grading standards by calculating lesion area proportions.Additionally,we have developed a comprehensive database of diseased leaf images from major crops,including several task-specific datasets.Experimental results demonstrate that our framework can accurately identify and assess the types and severity of crop diseases,even without extensive labeled data.Codes and data are available at http://dkp-ads.samlab.cn/.
基金supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities,and the Research Funds of Civil Aviation University of China,No.3122024012.
文摘This study investigated the relationship between college students’awe and depression,along with the mediating roles of future self-continuity and presence of meaning.891 Chinese college students(570 female;mean age 18.59;SD 1.34)from one university completed four surveys:Dispositional Awe Subscale,Future self-continuity Scale,Meaning in Life Scale and Depression Scale.Using structural equation modelling and the bootstrap method,the results delineated that awe negatively related to depression,and future self-continuity and presence of meaning had a serial mediation effect,reducing depression.The study implies educational institutions should foster a positive mental health education environment,urging students to develop positive traits,enhancing well-being and resilience,and facilitating psychological development.
基金supported in part by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 62371181in part by the Changzhou Science and Technology International Cooperation Program under Grant CZ20230029The Institute of Information&Communications Technology Planning&Evaluation(IITP)grant funded by the Korea government(MSIT)(No.RS-2024-00396797,Development of core technology for intelligent O-RAN security platform).
文摘Satellite communication technology has emerged as a key solution to address the challenges of data transmission in remote areas.By overcoming the limitations of traditional terrestrial communication networks,it enables long-distance data transmission anytime and anywhere,ensuring the timely and accurate delivery of water level data,which is particularly crucial for fishway water level monitoring.To enhance the effectiveness of fishway water level monitoring,this study proposes a multi-task learning model,AS-SOMTF,designed for real-time and comprehensive prediction.The model integrates auxiliary sequences with primary input sequences to capture complex relationships and dependencies,thereby improving representational capacity.In addition,a novel timeseries embedding algorithm,AS-SOM,is introduced,which combines generative inference and pooling operations to optimize prediction efficiency for long sequences.This innovation not only ensures the timely transmission of water level data but also enhances the accuracy of real-time monitoring.Compared with traditional models such as Transformer and Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM)networks,the proposed model achieves improvements of 3.8%and 1.4%in prediction accuracy,respectively.These advancements provide more precise technical support for water level forecasting and resource management in the Diqing Tibetan Autonomous Prefecture of the Lancang River,contributing to ecosystem protection and improved operational safety.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52474435)China Baowu Low Carbon Metallurgy Innovation Foundation(BWLCF202307).
文摘Accurate forecasting of blast furnace gas(BFG)production is an essential prerequisite for reasonable energy scheduling and management to reduce carbon emissions.Coupling forecasting between BFG generation and consumption dynamics was taken as the research object.A multi-task learning(MTL)method for BFG forecasting was proposed,which integrated a coupling correlation coefficient(CCC)and an inverted transformer structure.The CCC method could enhance key information extraction by establishing relationships between multiple prediction targets and relevant factors,while MTL effectively captured the inherent correlations between BFG generation and consumption.Finally,a real-world case study was conducted to compare the proposed model with four benchmark models.Results indicated significant reductions in average mean absolute percentage error by 33.37%,achieving 1.92%,with a computational time of 76 s.The sensitivity analysis of hyperparameters such as learning rate,batch size,and units of the long short-term memory layer highlights the importance of hyperparameter tuning.
文摘To improve the performance of the short interleaved serial concatenated convolutional code(SCCC) with low decoding iterative times, the structure of Log MAP algorithm is introduced into the conventional SOVA decoder to improve its performance at short interleaving delay. The combination of Log MAP and SOVA avoids updating the matrices of the maximum path, and also makes a contribution to the requirement of short delay. The simulation results of several SCCCs show that the improved decoder can obtain satisfied performance with short frame interleaver and it is suitable to the high bit rate low delay communication systems.
