Molten salt reactors(MSRs)are a promising candidate for Generation IV reactor technologies,and the small modular molten salt reactor(SM-MSR),which utilizes low-enriched uranium and thorium fuels,is regarded as a wise ...Molten salt reactors(MSRs)are a promising candidate for Generation IV reactor technologies,and the small modular molten salt reactor(SM-MSR),which utilizes low-enriched uranium and thorium fuels,is regarded as a wise development path to accelerate deployment time.Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses of accidents guide nuclear reactor design and safety analyses.Uncertainty analysis can ascertain the safety margin,and sensitivity analysis can reveal the correlation between accident consequences and input parameters.Loss of forced cooling(LOFC)represents an accident scenario of the SM-MSR,and the study of LOFC could offer useful information to improve physical thermohydraulic and structural designs.Therefore,this study investigates the uncertainty of LOFC consequences and the sensitivity of related parameters.The uncertainty of the LOFC consequences was analyzed using the Monte Carlo method,and multiple linear regression was employed to analyze the sensitivity of the input parameters.The uncertainty and sensitivity analyses showed that the maximum reactor outlet fuel salt temperature was 725.5℃,which is lower than the acceptable criterion,and five important parameters influencing LOFC consequences were identified.展开更多
The study on multi-faCtor Sensibility analysis problem in project evaluation, [1]-I4] gave the static models respectively. In order to raise the practicality and reliability of sensibility analysis,we propoes a dyna...The study on multi-faCtor Sensibility analysis problem in project evaluation, [1]-I4] gave the static models respectively. In order to raise the practicality and reliability of sensibility analysis,we propoes a dynamic model in this paper. Comparing with the above, our model has four special features. First, it is suitable for us to optimize and control the Proceeding Project and evaluate the completed Project as well. Second, it offers quantitative measures of sensitivity formulas. Third,it can evaluate project dynamically so that it can obtain much higher precision and reliability . Fourth,it can deal with Problem which involved in cost of capital fluctuation.展开更多
Environmental pollution and emissions from greenhouse gases caused by fossil fuel use are a threat to sustainable development. With renewable energy sources, no polluting emissions are released into the atmosphere. Th...Environmental pollution and emissions from greenhouse gases caused by fossil fuel use are a threat to sustainable development. With renewable energy sources, no polluting emissions are released into the atmosphere. Therefore, using these sources on a large-scale is a key to reducing emissions and meeting the commitments established by Kyoto Protocol. Moreover, EU wants that the 20% of energy consumption is renewable in 2020. This study describes economic aspects, such as net present value and internal profitability rate, of the repowering process for the wind farms. Repowering can generate considerably more power with fewer facilities. This process was the result of a growing demand for renewable energies, facilitated by the great potential of wind energy in the north of Spain. The wind farms studied in this work were set up before 1998 and they had obsolete machinery with low power. There are strong indications that repowering is a profitable endeavour.展开更多
The main problem existing in Guangdong electric power sources is analyzed in this paper. Based on theanalysis on energy-supply features, power demand and the technical and economic performances of various powersource...The main problem existing in Guangdong electric power sources is analyzed in this paper. Based on theanalysis on energy-supply features, power demand and the technical and economic performances of various powersources in Guangdong, the power sources construction scale and its structure are studied and analyzed in detail byusing Generation Expansion Software Package (GESP). The future development of Guangdong electric power sourcesunder the new situation of "Power from West to East" is studied as well.[展开更多
This study deals with the turbulent structure in the surface layer over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau.Using gradient transfer and heat balance methods we have determined the nondimensional coefficient 1/(?)_m(?)h in the ...This study deals with the turbulent structure in the surface layer over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau.Using gradient transfer and heat balance methods we have determined the nondimensional coefficient 1/(?)_m(?)h in the expression of turbulent transfer coefficient for sensible heat (K_h).It is found that the results are in good agreement with the 1/(?)_m(?)_h obtained by Pruitt,et al.The K_h at a height of 1m under cloudy and cloudless conditions is calculated.Finally,the ratio of K_h to momentum turbulent coefficient over the plateau is compared with those over plains.展开更多
In this paper,we study general recovery functions and treatment in the dynamics of an SIS model for sexually transmitted infections with nonzero partnership length.It is shown how partnership dynamics influences the p...In this paper,we study general recovery functions and treatment in the dynamics of an SIS model for sexually transmitted infections with nonzero partnership length.It is shown how partnership dynamics influences the predicted prevalence at the steady state and the basic reproduction number.Sobol's indices are used to evaluate the contribution of model parameters to the overall variance of R 0.The recovery functions studied here take into account that society's capacity to provide treatment is limited when the number of infected individuals is large.Bifurcation analysis is used to establish a relationship between an alert level of prevalence and the minimum recovery time that guarantees the eradication of the disease.We also show that a backward bifurcation can occur when there are delays in the treatment of infected individuals.展开更多
基金supported by the Youth Innovation Promotion Association(YIPA)(No.E329290101)of the Chinese Academy of Sciences。
文摘Molten salt reactors(MSRs)are a promising candidate for Generation IV reactor technologies,and the small modular molten salt reactor(SM-MSR),which utilizes low-enriched uranium and thorium fuels,is regarded as a wise development path to accelerate deployment time.Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses of accidents guide nuclear reactor design and safety analyses.Uncertainty analysis can ascertain the safety margin,and sensitivity analysis can reveal the correlation between accident consequences and input parameters.Loss of forced cooling(LOFC)represents an accident scenario of the SM-MSR,and the study of LOFC could offer useful information to improve physical thermohydraulic and structural designs.Therefore,this study investigates the uncertainty of LOFC consequences and the sensitivity of related parameters.The uncertainty of the LOFC consequences was analyzed using the Monte Carlo method,and multiple linear regression was employed to analyze the sensitivity of the input parameters.The uncertainty and sensitivity analyses showed that the maximum reactor outlet fuel salt temperature was 725.5℃,which is lower than the acceptable criterion,and five important parameters influencing LOFC consequences were identified.
文摘The study on multi-faCtor Sensibility analysis problem in project evaluation, [1]-I4] gave the static models respectively. In order to raise the practicality and reliability of sensibility analysis,we propoes a dynamic model in this paper. Comparing with the above, our model has four special features. First, it is suitable for us to optimize and control the Proceeding Project and evaluate the completed Project as well. Second, it offers quantitative measures of sensitivity formulas. Third,it can evaluate project dynamically so that it can obtain much higher precision and reliability . Fourth,it can deal with Problem which involved in cost of capital fluctuation.
文摘Environmental pollution and emissions from greenhouse gases caused by fossil fuel use are a threat to sustainable development. With renewable energy sources, no polluting emissions are released into the atmosphere. Therefore, using these sources on a large-scale is a key to reducing emissions and meeting the commitments established by Kyoto Protocol. Moreover, EU wants that the 20% of energy consumption is renewable in 2020. This study describes economic aspects, such as net present value and internal profitability rate, of the repowering process for the wind farms. Repowering can generate considerably more power with fewer facilities. This process was the result of a growing demand for renewable energies, facilitated by the great potential of wind energy in the north of Spain. The wind farms studied in this work were set up before 1998 and they had obsolete machinery with low power. There are strong indications that repowering is a profitable endeavour.
文摘The main problem existing in Guangdong electric power sources is analyzed in this paper. Based on theanalysis on energy-supply features, power demand and the technical and economic performances of various powersources in Guangdong, the power sources construction scale and its structure are studied and analyzed in detail byusing Generation Expansion Software Package (GESP). The future development of Guangdong electric power sourcesunder the new situation of "Power from West to East" is studied as well.[
文摘This study deals with the turbulent structure in the surface layer over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau.Using gradient transfer and heat balance methods we have determined the nondimensional coefficient 1/(?)_m(?)h in the expression of turbulent transfer coefficient for sensible heat (K_h).It is found that the results are in good agreement with the 1/(?)_m(?)_h obtained by Pruitt,et al.The K_h at a height of 1m under cloudy and cloudless conditions is calculated.Finally,the ratio of K_h to momentum turbulent coefficient over the plateau is compared with those over plains.
基金FS thanks Consejo Nacional de Ciencia y Tecnología(CONACyT)for the Graduate Fellowship Grant 331194.
文摘In this paper,we study general recovery functions and treatment in the dynamics of an SIS model for sexually transmitted infections with nonzero partnership length.It is shown how partnership dynamics influences the predicted prevalence at the steady state and the basic reproduction number.Sobol's indices are used to evaluate the contribution of model parameters to the overall variance of R 0.The recovery functions studied here take into account that society's capacity to provide treatment is limited when the number of infected individuals is large.Bifurcation analysis is used to establish a relationship between an alert level of prevalence and the minimum recovery time that guarantees the eradication of the disease.We also show that a backward bifurcation can occur when there are delays in the treatment of infected individuals.
