Tail risk is a classic topic in stressed portfolio optimization to treat unprecedented risks,while the traditional mean–variance approach may fail to perform well.This study proposes an innovative semiparametric meth...Tail risk is a classic topic in stressed portfolio optimization to treat unprecedented risks,while the traditional mean–variance approach may fail to perform well.This study proposes an innovative semiparametric method consisting of two modeling components:the nonparametric estimation and copula method for each marginal distribution of the portfolio and their joint distribution,respectively.We then focus on the optimal weights of the stressed portfolio and its optimal scale beyond the Gaussian restriction.Empirical studies include statistical estimation for the semiparametric method,risk measure minimization for optimal weights,and value measure maximization for the optimal scale to enlarge the investment.From the outputs of short-term and long-term data analysis,optimal stressed portfolios demonstrate the advantages of model flexibility to account for tail risk over the traditional mean–variance method.展开更多
This paper is concerned with ultrahigh dimensional data analysis,which has become increasingly important in diverse scientific fields.We develop a sure independence screening procedure via the measure of conditional m...This paper is concerned with ultrahigh dimensional data analysis,which has become increasingly important in diverse scientific fields.We develop a sure independence screening procedure via the measure of conditional mean dependence based on Copula(CC-SIS,for short).The CC-SIS can be implemented as easily as the sure independence screening procedures which respectively based on the Pearson correlation,conditional mean and distance correlation(SIS,SIRS and DC-SIS,for short)and can significantly improve the performance of feature screening.We establish the sure screening property for the CC-SIS,and conduct simulations to examine its finite sample performance.Numerical comparison indicates that the CC-SIS performs better than the other two methods in various models.At last,we also illustrate the CC-SIS through a real data example.展开更多
文摘Tail risk is a classic topic in stressed portfolio optimization to treat unprecedented risks,while the traditional mean–variance approach may fail to perform well.This study proposes an innovative semiparametric method consisting of two modeling components:the nonparametric estimation and copula method for each marginal distribution of the portfolio and their joint distribution,respectively.We then focus on the optimal weights of the stressed portfolio and its optimal scale beyond the Gaussian restriction.Empirical studies include statistical estimation for the semiparametric method,risk measure minimization for optimal weights,and value measure maximization for the optimal scale to enlarge the investment.From the outputs of short-term and long-term data analysis,optimal stressed portfolios demonstrate the advantages of model flexibility to account for tail risk over the traditional mean–variance method.
基金Supported by Natural Science Foundation of Henan(Grant No.202300410066)Program for Science and Technology Development of Henan Province(Grant No.242102310350).
文摘This paper is concerned with ultrahigh dimensional data analysis,which has become increasingly important in diverse scientific fields.We develop a sure independence screening procedure via the measure of conditional mean dependence based on Copula(CC-SIS,for short).The CC-SIS can be implemented as easily as the sure independence screening procedures which respectively based on the Pearson correlation,conditional mean and distance correlation(SIS,SIRS and DC-SIS,for short)and can significantly improve the performance of feature screening.We establish the sure screening property for the CC-SIS,and conduct simulations to examine its finite sample performance.Numerical comparison indicates that the CC-SIS performs better than the other two methods in various models.At last,we also illustrate the CC-SIS through a real data example.
