Ossiculoplasty remains a challenging surgical procedure,with outcomes heavily influenced by diverse anatomical and pathological factors.Over the decades,numerous scoring systems have been developed to predict the prog...Ossiculoplasty remains a challenging surgical procedure,with outcomes heavily influenced by diverse anatomical and pathological factors.Over the decades,numerous scoring systems have been developed to predict the prognosis of ossiculoplasty,each emphasizing different variables such as ossicular status,middle ear environment,and surgical history.This paper provides a comprehensive review of the evolution of prognostic scoring systems,including Austin's original ossicular classification,Bellucci's otorrhea staging,the Middle Ear Risk Index(MERI),the Ossiculoplasty Outcome Parameter Staging(OOPS),and the recently introduced Ear Environment Risk(EER)scale.While these systems have significantly contributed to preoperative assessment,each presents notable limitations in encompassing all variables affecting surgical success.Therefore,the aim of this paper is to provide a review of the ossiculoplasty prognostic scores and show the benefits,innovations and gaps associated with each.To address these gaps,a novel,modified scoring system is proposed,incorporating previously overlooked but clinically significant factors such as tympanic membrane status,type of tympanoplasty,ossicular replacement material,CT scan findings,and the presence of complicated ear conditions.By synthesizing elements from historical scores with updated clinical insights,the proposed system aims to provide a more holistic and predictive framework for preoperative evaluation.Future multicenter studies are encouraged to validate the efficacy and prognostic power of this new scoring system,with the goal of improving surgical planning and patient counseling in ossiculoplasty.展开更多
BACKGROUND The rising global prevalence of gastroesophageal reflux disease(GERD)has been closely linked to lifestyle changes driven by globalization.GERD imposes a substantial public health burden,affecting quality of...BACKGROUND The rising global prevalence of gastroesophageal reflux disease(GERD)has been closely linked to lifestyle changes driven by globalization.GERD imposes a substantial public health burden,affecting quality of life and leading to potential complications.Early intervention through lifestyle modification can prevent disease onset;however,there is a lack of effective risk prediction models that emphasize primary prevention.AIM To develop and validate a GERD Risk Scoring System(GRSS)aimed at identifying high-risk individuals and promoting primary prevention strategies.METHODS A 45-item questionnaire encompassing major lifestyle and demographic risk factors was developed and validated.It was administered to healthy controls and GERD patients.Two regression models-one using continuous variables and another using categorized variables-were used to develop a computational prediction equation and a clinically applicable scoring scale.An independent validation cohort of 355 participants was used to assess model performance in terms of discrimination(C-index),calibration,sensitivity,specificity,internal consistency(Cronbach's alpha),and test-retest reliability(intraclass correlation coefficient,Bland-Altman analysis).RESULTS Significant associations were observed between GERD and key lifestyle factors.The derived GRSS equation and scoring scale demonstrated strong discriminative ability,with high sensitivity and specificity.The scoring system exhibited excellent internal consistency(Cronbach’s alpha)and strong test-retest reliability.The C-index indicated excellent predictive accuracy in both derivation and validation cohorts.CONCLUSION GRSS offers a novel and validated approach to GERD risk prediction,combining a robust equation for digital applications and a practical scale for clinical use.Its ability to accurately identify at-risk individuals supports a paradigm shift toward primary prevention,underscoring its significance in addressing the growing burden of GERD at the population level.展开更多
BACKGROUND The degree of obstruction plays an important role in decision-making for obstructive colorectal cancer(OCRC).The existing assessment still relies on the colorectal obstruction scoring system(CROSS)which is ...BACKGROUND The degree of obstruction plays an important role in decision-making for obstructive colorectal cancer(OCRC).The existing assessment still relies on the colorectal obstruction scoring system(CROSS)which is based on a comprehensive analysis of patients’complaints and eating conditions.The data collection relies on subjective descriptions and lacks objective parameters.Therefore,a scoring system for the evaluation of computed tomography-based obstructive degree(CTOD)is urgently required for OCRC.AIM To explore the relationship between CTOD and CROSS and to determine whether CTOD could affect the short-term and long-term prognosis.METHODS Of 173 patients were enrolled.CTOD was obtained using k-means,the ratio of proximal to distal obstruction,and the proportion of nonparenchymal areas at the site of obstruction.CTOD was integrated with the CROSS to analyze the effect of emergency intervention on complications.Short-term and long-term outcomes were compared between the groups.RESULTS CTOD severe obstruction(CTOD grade 3)was an independent risk factor[odds ratio(OR)=3.390,95%confidence interval(CI):1.340-8.570,P=0.010]via multivariate analysis of short-term outcomes,while CROSS grade was not.In the CTOD-CROSS grade system,for the non-severe obstructive(CTOD 1-2 to CROSS 1-4)group,the complication rate of emergency interventions was significantly higher than that of non-emergency interventions(71.4%vs 41.8%,P=0.040).The postoperative pneumonia rate was higher in the emergency intervention group than in the non-severe obstructive group(35.7%vs 8.9%,P=0.020).However,CTOD grade was not an independent risk factor of overall survival and progression-free survival.CONCLUSION CTOD was useful in preoperative decision-making to avoid unnecessary emergency interventions and complications.展开更多
Shen et al’s retrospective study aims to compare the utility of two separate scoring systems for predicting mortality attributable to gastrointestinal(GI)injury in critically ill patients[the GI Dysfunction Score(GID...Shen et al’s retrospective study aims to compare the utility of two separate scoring systems for predicting mortality attributable to gastrointestinal(GI)injury in critically ill patients[the GI Dysfunction Score(GIDS)and the Acute Gastroin-testinal Injury(AGI)grade].The authors note that this study is the first proposal that suggests an equivalence between the ability of both scores to predict mor-tality at 28 days from intensive care unit(ICU)admission.Shen et al retrospec-tively analysed an ICU cohort of patients utilising two physicians administering both the AGI grade and GIDS score,using electronic healthcare records and ICU flowsheets.Where these physicians disagreed about the scores,the final decision as to the scores was made by an associate chief physician,or chief physician.We note that the primary reason for the development of GIDS was to create a clear score for GI dysfunction,with minimal subjectivity or inter-operator variability.The subjectivity inherent to the older AGI grading system is what ultimately led to the development of GIDS in 2021.By ensuring consensus between physicians administering the AGI,Shen et al have controlled for one of this grading systems biggest issues.We have concerns,however,that this does not represent the real-world challenges associated with applying the AGI compared to the newer GIDS,and wonder if this arbitration process had not been instituted,would the two scoring systems remain equivalent in terms of predicted mortality?展开更多
BACKGROUND Acute pancreatitis(AP)is an emergency gastrointestinal disease that requires immediate diagnosis and urgent clinical treatment.An accurate assessment and precise staging of severity are essential in initial...BACKGROUND Acute pancreatitis(AP)is an emergency gastrointestinal disease that requires immediate diagnosis and urgent clinical treatment.An accurate assessment and precise staging of severity are essential in initial intensive therapy.AIM To explore the prognostic value of inflammatory markers and several scoring systems[Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II,the bedside index of severity in AP(BISAP),Ranson’s score,the computed tomography severity index(CTSI)and sequential organ failure assessment]in severity stratification of earlyphase AP.METHODS A total of 463 patients with AP admitted to our hospital between 1 January 2021 and 30 June 2024 were retrospectively enrolled in this study.Inflammation marker and scoring system levels were calculated and compared between different severity groups.Relationships between severity and several predictors were evaluated using univariate and multivariate logistic regression models.Predictive ability was estimated using receiver operating characteristic curves.RESULTS Of the 463 patients,50(10.80%)were classified as having severe AP(SAP).The results revealed that the white cell count significantly increased,whereas the prognostic nutritional index measured within 48 hours(PNI48)and calcium(Ca^(2+))were decreased as the severity of AP increased(P<0.001).According to multivariate logistic regression,C-reactive protein measured within 48 hours(CRP_(48)),Ca^(2+)levels,and PNI48 were independent risk factors for predicting SAP.The area under the curve(AUC)values for the CRP_(48),Ca^(2+),PNI48,Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II,sequential organ failure assessment,BISAP,CTSI,and Ranson scores for the prediction of SAP were 0.802,0.736,0.871,0.799,0.783,0.895,0.931 and 0.914,respectively.The AUC for the combined CRP_(48)+Ca^(2+)+PNI48 model was 0.892.The combination of PNI48 and Ranson achieved an AUC of 0.936.CONCLUSION Independent risk factors for developing SAP include CRP_(48),Ca^(2+),and PNI48.CTSI,BISAP,and the combination of PNI48 and the Ranson score can act as reliable predictors of SAP.展开更多
In this article,we discuss the recently published article by Yang et al.This retrospective analysis,which was conducted at a large urban tertiary care center,focused on comparing Lille model scores at days 3 and 7 wit...In this article,we discuss the recently published article by Yang et al.This retrospective analysis,which was conducted at a large urban tertiary care center,focused on comparing Lille model scores at days 3 and 7 with established scoring systems and identifying critical clinical predictors,such as renal dysfunction,nutritional status,and underlying cirrhosis.Alcoholic hepatitis(AH),a severe manifestation of alcohol-related liver disease,is associated with high morbidity and mortality,necessitating accurate prognostic tools and comprehensive clinical assessments.Prognostic tools are invaluable for early risk stratification,but they must be contextualized within the multifactorial nature of AH.Acute renal dysfunction and poor nutritional status,for example,are not just complications but pivotal markers of disease severity and systemic impact.Addressing these factors requires a holistic approach that extends beyond scoring systems to include targeted interventions and comprehensive patient care.This editorial emphasizes the need for a paradigm shift in AH management,where prognostic models are complemented by a deeper understanding of patient-specific factors.Such an approach can guide clinicians in tailoring therapies and improving outcomes for this high-risk population.展开更多
BACKGROUND Functional gastrointestinal disorders(FGIDs),defined as‘Disorders of Gut-Brain Interaction’,are now considered a global health problem.There is a dearth of concepts and scales to assess the severity of th...BACKGROUND Functional gastrointestinal disorders(FGIDs),defined as‘Disorders of Gut-Brain Interaction’,are now considered a global health problem.There is a dearth of concepts and scales to assess the severity of the different symptoms encountered while dealing with the variety of FGIDs as described in the ROME IV classi-fication.We introduced a novel scoring system with the incorporation of 16 different symptoms called Bacharyya’s Questionnaire Scale and started using it while dealing with children suffering from FGIDs.AIM To verify the usefulness and applicability of this recently developed scale,this study was undertaken with the objectives to establish the validity of this scoring system in assessing the severity of symptoms associated with a specific FGID in children and to determine the scoring system's applicability in assessing the treatment response.METHODS The study included children aged 5 to 18 years diagnosed with any FGID based on ROME IV criteria.They completed the newly developed scale and a Visual Analog Scale at initial diagnosis and after a 2-month treatment period.A control group without FGID participated for comparative baseline purposes.Treatment response was defined as a less than or equal to 50%reduction in the total score,which is statistically significant.RESULTS Results from a comprehensive cohort of 190 cases and 90 controls indicated a female preponderance(57.9%)and prevalent disorders such as functional constipation(28%)and functional abdominal pain,not otherwise specified(21%).The grade of FGID(mild,moderate,severe)experienced by the patients was also derived.Post-treatment,96 children demonstrated symptom improvement.The Spearman rank correlation coefficient for pre(r=0.72,95%CI:0.65-0.77,P value<0.0001)and post(r=0.49,95%CI:0.3-0.64,P value<0.0001)treatment data showed positive results with significant P values.CONCLUSION The novel scoring system shows high comprehensibility and gives an objective view of the symptomatology of FGIDs.The use of this novel score in clinical settings will be helpful to typify the FGIDs and may significantly improve decision-making processes to initiate appropriate treatment.展开更多
BACKGROUND In recent years,endoscopic resection(ER)has been employed for the excision of submucosal tumors(SMTs).Nonetheless,ER in the duodenum is linked to ele-vated risks of both immediate and delayed hemorrhagic co...BACKGROUND In recent years,endoscopic resection(ER)has been employed for the excision of submucosal tumors(SMTs).Nonetheless,ER in the duodenum is linked to ele-vated risks of both immediate and delayed hemorrhagic complications and perforations.Satisfactory suturing is crucial for reducing the occurrence of complications.AIM To establish a clinical score model for supporting suture decision-making of duodenal SMTs.METHODS This study included 137 individuals diagnosed with duodenal SMTs who under-went ER.Participants were evenly divided into two groups:A training cohort(TC)comprising 95 cases and an internal validation cohort(VC)with 42 cases.Subsequently,a scoring system was formulated utilizing multivariate logistic regression analysis within the TC,which was then subjected to evaluation in the VC.RESULTS The clinical scoring system incorporated two key factors:Extraluminal growth,which was assigned 2 points,and endoscopic full-thickness resection,which was given 3 points.This model demonstrated strong predictive accuracy,as evidenced by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.900(95%confidence interval:0.823-0.976).Additionally,the model’s goodness-of-fit was validated by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test(P=0.404).The probability of purse-string suturing in low(score 0-2)and high(score>3)categories were 3.0%and 64.3%in the TC,and 6.1%and 88.9%in the VC,respectively.CONCLUSION This scoring system may function as a beneficial instrumentality for medical practitioners,facilitating the decision-making process concerning suture techniques in the context of duodenal SMTs.展开更多
BACKGROUND The Asia-Pacific Colorectal Screening(APCS)score was designed with the purpose of distinguishing individuals at high risk(HR)for colorectal advanced neoplasia(AN).Traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)constituti...BACKGROUND The Asia-Pacific Colorectal Screening(APCS)score was designed with the purpose of distinguishing individuals at high risk(HR)for colorectal advanced neoplasia(AN).Traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)constitution was also linked with colorectal cancer(CRC).AIM To integrate the APCS score with TCM constitution identification as a new algorithm to screen for CRC.METHODS A cross-sectional multicenter study was carried out in three hospitals,enrolling 1430 patients who were asymptomatic and undergoing screening colonoscopy from 2022 to 2023.Patients were considered to have average risk,moderate risk,or HR with their APCS score.Odd ratios assessed the relationship between TCM constitution and disease progression.A TCM constitution risk score was created.The sensitivity and specificity of the new algorithm were calculated to evaluate diagnostic performance in detecting advanced adenoma(AA),CRC,and AN.RESULTS Of the 1430 patients,370(25.9%)were categorized as average risk,755(52.8%)as moderate risk,and 305(21.3%)as HR.Using the combined APCS score and the TCM constitution(damp-heat,qi-deficiency,yang-deficiency,phlegm-dampness,and inherited special constitution as positive)algorithm,72.2%of patients with AA and 73.7%of patients with AN were detected.Compared with the APCS score alone,the new algorithm significantly improved the sensitivity for screening AA[72.2%,95%confidence interval(CI):64.4%-80.0%vs 49.2%,95%CI:40.5%-57.9%]and AN(73.7%,95%CI:66.4%-81.1%vs 51.1%,95%CI:42.7%-59.5%).CONCLUSION The combination of APCS and TCM constitution identification questionnaires was valuable in identifying Chinese individuals who were asymptomatic for colorectal screening prioritization.展开更多
BACKGROUND Severe symptoms associated with sepsis syndrome(SS)are considered a severe threat,which not only increases therapeutic difficulty but also causes a prognostic mortality rate.However,at present,few related s...BACKGROUND Severe symptoms associated with sepsis syndrome(SS)are considered a severe threat,which not only increases therapeutic difficulty but also causes a prognostic mortality rate.However,at present,few related studies focused on the application of different score scales for disease and prognosis assessment in liver cirrhosis(LC)complicated with SS.AIM To determine the correlations of the model for end-stage liver disease(MELD),sequential organ failure assessment(SOFA),and modified early warning score(MEWS)points with the prognosis of patients with LC complicated with SS.METHODS This retrospective analysis included 426 LC cases from February 2019 to April 2022.Of them,225 cases that were complicated with SS were assigned to the LC+SS group,and 201 simple LC cases were included in the LC group.Intergroup differences in MELD,SOFA,and MEWS scores were compared,as well as their diagnostic value for LC+SS.The correlations of the three scores with the progno-sis of patients with LC+SS were further analyzed,as well as the related risk factors affecting patients’outcomes,after the follow-up investigation.RESULTS MELD,SOFA,and MEWS scores were all higher in the LC+SS group vs the LC group,and their combined assessment for LC+SS revealed a diagnostic sensi-tivity and a specificity of 89.66%and 90.84%,respectively(P<0.05).The LC+SS group reported 58 deaths,with an overall mortality rate of 25.78%.Deceased pa-tients presented higher MELD,SOFA,and MEWS points than those who survived(P<0.05).MELD,SOFA,and MEWS scores were determined by COX analysis as factors independently affecting the prognosis of patients with LC+SS(P<0.05).CONCLUSION MELD,SOFA,and MEWS effectively diagnosed LC in patients complicated with SS,and they demonstrated great significance in assessing prognosis,which provides a reliable prognosis guarantee for patients with LC+SS.However,their assessment effects remain limited,which is worthy of further investigation by more in-depth and rigorous experimental analysis.展开更多
This study examines the reliability and validity of AI-generated scoring for continuation writing tasks.By comparing GPT-4 with eight experienced human raters across 21 student responses,it evaluates AI’s consistency...This study examines the reliability and validity of AI-generated scoring for continuation writing tasks.By comparing GPT-4 with eight experienced human raters across 21 student responses,it evaluates AI’s consistency,severity,and alignment with human scoring criteria.Results show that AI exhibits high self-consistency and adapts effectively to different scoring roles(e.g.,teacher vs.highstakes rater).However,AI scores were more lenient than human raters and demonstrated divergent evaluation focuses—prioritizing narrative coherence and emotional depth,while teachers emphasized linguistic accuracy and richness of detail.The findings suggest AI’s potential as a supplementary assessment tool,offering rapid,holistic feedback,but highlight the need for further calibration to align with educational standards.Implications include exploring hybrid evaluation models that leverage the strengths of both AI and human raters to achieve more equitable,efficient,and pedagogically meaningful writing assessments.展开更多
Automated essay scoring(AES)systems have gained significant importance in educational settings,offering a scalable,efficient,and objective method for evaluating student essays.However,developing AES systems for Arabic...Automated essay scoring(AES)systems have gained significant importance in educational settings,offering a scalable,efficient,and objective method for evaluating student essays.However,developing AES systems for Arabic poses distinct challenges due to the language’s complex morphology,diglossia,and the scarcity of annotated datasets.This paper presents a hybrid approach to Arabic AES by combining text-based,vector-based,and embeddingbased similarity measures to improve essay scoring accuracy while minimizing the training data required.Using a large Arabic essay dataset categorized into thematic groups,the study conducted four experiments to evaluate the impact of feature selection,data size,and model performance.Experiment 1 established a baseline using a non-machine learning approach,selecting top-N correlated features to predict essay scores.The subsequent experiments employed 5-fold cross-validation.Experiment 2 showed that combining embedding-based,text-based,and vector-based features in a Random Forest(RF)model achieved an R2 of 88.92%and an accuracy of 83.3%within a 0.5-point tolerance.Experiment 3 further refined the feature selection process,demonstrating that 19 correlated features yielded optimal results,improving R2 to 88.95%.In Experiment 4,an optimal data efficiency training approach was introduced,where training data portions increased from 5%to 50%.The study found that using just 10%of the data achieved near-peak performance,with an R2 of 85.49%,emphasizing an effective trade-off between performance and computational costs.These findings highlight the potential of the hybrid approach for developing scalable Arabic AES systems,especially in low-resource environments,addressing linguistic challenges while ensuring efficient data usage.展开更多
English Teaching in higher vocational colleges emphasizes the principle of "practical use and adequate sufficiency". English courses should not only lay a good foundation for language, but also pay more atte...English Teaching in higher vocational colleges emphasizes the principle of "practical use and adequate sufficiency". English courses should not only lay a good foundation for language, but also pay more attention to the training of practical language skills, especially the ability to use English to deal with daily and foreign business activities. Higher vocational college students who are relatively weak in their basic English writing are particularly prominent,far from the regulated requirements. Because of the poor basic learning ability of higher vocational college students, it is very important for teachers to supervise and get feedback. But the ratio of students to English teachers in some higher vocational colleges has reached 130 : 1, so it is becoming more and more important for teachers to adopt computer aided correction composition system.展开更多
In order to detect web shells that hackers inject into web servers by exploiting system vulnerabilities or web page open sources, a novel web shell detection system based on the scoring scheme is proposed, named Evil-...In order to detect web shells that hackers inject into web servers by exploiting system vulnerabilities or web page open sources, a novel web shell detection system based on the scoring scheme is proposed, named Evil-hunter. First, a large set of malicious function samples normally used in web shells are collected from various sources on the Internet and security forums. Secondly, according to the danger level and the frequency of using these malicious functions in the web shells as well as in legal web applications, an assigning score strategy for each malicious sample is devised. Then, the appropriate score threshold value for each sample is obtained from the results of a statistical analysis. Finally, based on the threshold value, a simple algorithm is presented to identify files that contain web shells in web applications. The experimental results show that compared with other approaches, Evil-hunter can identify web shells more efficiently and accurately.展开更多
AIM:To investigate the prognostic usefulness of several existing scoring systems in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis(AP).METHODS:We retrospectively analyzed the prospectively collected clinical database f...AIM:To investigate the prognostic usefulness of several existing scoring systems in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis(AP).METHODS:We retrospectively analyzed the prospectively collected clinical database from consecutive patients with AP in our institution between January 2011 and December 2012.Ranson,Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation(APACHE)-Ⅱ,and bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis(BISAP)scores,and computed tomography severity index(CTSI)of all patients were calculated.Serum C-reactive protein(CRP)levels were measured at admission(CRPi)and after 24h(CRP24).Severe AP was defined as persistent organ failure for more than 48 h.The predictive accuracy of each scoring system was measured by the area under the receiver-operating curve(AUC).RESULTS:Of 161 patients,21(13%)were classified as severe AP,and 3(1.9%)died.Statistically significant cutoff values for prediction of severe AP were Ranson≥3,BISAP≥2,APACHE-Ⅱ≥8,CTSI≥3,and CRP24≥21.4.AUCs for Ranson,BISAP,APACHE-Ⅱ,CTSI,and CRP24 in predicting severe AP were 0.69(95%CI:0.62-0.76),0.74(95%CI:0.66-0.80),0.78(95%CI:0.70-0.84),0.69(95%CI:0.61-0.76),and0.68(95%CI:0.57-0.78),respectively.APACHE-Ⅱdemonstrated the highest accuracy for prediction of severe AP,however,no statistically significant pairwise differences were observed between APACHE-Ⅱand the other scoring systems,including CRP24.CONCLUSION:Various scoring systems showed similar predictive accuracy for severity of AP.Unique models are needed in order to achieve further improvement of prognostic accuracy.展开更多
Acute pancreatitis(AP)is a potentially life-threatening inflammatory disease of the pancreas,with clinical management determined by the severity of the disease.Diagnosis,severity prediction,and prognosis assessment of...Acute pancreatitis(AP)is a potentially life-threatening inflammatory disease of the pancreas,with clinical management determined by the severity of the disease.Diagnosis,severity prediction,and prognosis assessment of AP typically involve the use of imaging technologies,such as computed tomography,magnetic resonance imaging,and ultrasound,and scoring systems,including Ranson,Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II,and Bedside Index for Severity in AP scores.Computed tomography is considered the gold standard imaging modality for AP due to its high sensitivity and specificity,while magnetic resonance imaging and ultrasound can provide additional information on biliary obstruction and vascular complications.Scoring systems utilize clinical and laboratory parameters to classify AP patients into mild,moderate,or severe categories,guiding treatment decisions,such as intensive care unit admission,early enteral feeding,and antibiotic use.Despite the central role of imaging technologies and scoring systems in AP management,these methods have limitations in terms of accuracy,reproducibility,practicality and economics.Recent advancements of artificial intelligence(AI)provide new opportunities to enhance their performance by analyzing vast amounts of clinical and imaging data.AI algorithms can analyze large amounts of clinical and imaging data,identify scoring system patterns,and predict the clinical course of disease.AI-based models have shown promising results in predicting the severity and mortality of AP,but further validation and standardization are required before widespread clinical application.In addition,understanding the correlation between these three technologies will aid in developing new methods that can accurately,sensitively,and specifically be used in the diagnosis,severity prediction,and prognosis assessment of AP through complementary advantages.展开更多
BACKGROUND:The early identification of severe acute pancreatitis is important for the management and for improving outcomes.The bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis(BISAP)has been considered as an accurate...BACKGROUND:The early identification of severe acute pancreatitis is important for the management and for improving outcomes.The bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis(BISAP)has been considered as an accurate method for risk stratification in patients with acute pancreatitis.This study aimed to evaluate the comparative usefulness of the BISAP.METHODS:We retrospectively analyzed 303 patients with acute pancreatitis diagnosed at our hospital from March 2007to December 2010.BISAP,APACHE-II,Ranson criteria,and CT severity index(CTSI)of all patients were calculated.We stratified the number of patiants with severe pancreatitis,pancreatic necrosis,and organ failure as well as the number of deaths by BISAP score.We used the area under the receiveroperating curve(AUC)to compare BISAP with other scoring systems,C-reactive protein(CRP),hematocrit,and body mass index(BMI)with regard to prediction of severe acute pancreatitis,necrosis,organ failure,and death.RESULTS:Of the 303 patiants,31(10.2%)were classified as having severe acute pancreatitis.Organ failure occurred in 23(7.6%)patients,pancreatic necrosis in 40(13.2%),and death in6(2.0%).A BISAP score of 2 was a statistically significant cutoff value for the diagnosis of severe acute pancreatitis,organ failure,and mortality.AUCs for BISAP predicting severe pancreatitis and death were 0.80 and 0.86,respectively,which were similar to those for APACHE-II(0.80,0.87)and Ranson criteria(0.74,0.74)and greater than AUCs for CTSI(0.67,0.42).The AUC for organ failure predicted by BISAP,APACHE-II,Ranson criteria,and CTSI was 0.93,0.95,0.84 and 0.57,respectively.AUCs for BISAP predicting severity,organ failure,and death were greater than those for CRP(0.69,0.80,0.72),hematocrit(0.45,0.35,0.14),and BMI(0.41,0.47,0.17).CONCLUSION:The BISAP predicts severity,death,and especially organ failure in acute pancreatitis as well as APACHE-II does and better than Ranson criteria,CTSI,CRP,hematocrit,and BMI.展开更多
BACKGROUND Acute variceal bleeding is one of the deadliest complications of cirrhosis,with a high risk of in-hospital rebleeding and mortality.Some risk scoring systems to predict clinical outcomes in patients with up...BACKGROUND Acute variceal bleeding is one of the deadliest complications of cirrhosis,with a high risk of in-hospital rebleeding and mortality.Some risk scoring systems to predict clinical outcomes in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding have been developed.However,for cirrhotic patients with variceal bleeding,data regarding the predictive value of these prognostic scores in predicting in-hospital outcomes are limited and controversial.AIM To validate and compare the overall performance of selected prognostic scoring systems for predicting in-hospital outcomes in cirrhotic patients with variceal bleeding.METHODS From March 2017 to June 2019,cirrhotic patients with acute variceal bleeding were retrospectively enrolled at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University.The clinical Rockall score(CRS),AIMS65 score(AIMS65),Glasgow-Blatchford score(GBS),modified GBS(mGBS),Canada-United Kingdom-Australia score(CANUKA),Child-Turcotte-Pugh score(CTP),model for endstage liver disease(MELD)and MELD-Na were calculated.The overall performance of these prognostic scoring systems was evaluated.RESULTS A total of 330 cirrhotic patients with variceal bleeding were enrolled;the rates of in-hospital rebleeding and mortality were 20.3%and 10.6%,respectively.For inhospital rebleeding,the discriminative ability of the CTP and CRS were clinically acceptable,with area under the receiver operating characteristic curves(AUROCs)of 0.717(0.648-0.787)and 0.716(0.638-0.793),respectively.The other tested scoring systems had poor discriminative ability(AUROCs<0.7).For inhospital mortality,the CRS,CTP,AIMS65,MELD-Na and MELD showed excellent discriminative ability(AUROCs>0.8).The AUROCs of the mGBS,CANUKA and GBS were relatively small,but clinically acceptable(AUROCs>0.7).Furthermore,the calibration of all scoring systems was good for either inhospital rebleeding or death.CONCLUSION For cirrhotic patients with variceal bleeding,in-hospital rebleeding and mortality rates remain high.The CTP and CRS can be used clinically to predict in-hospital rebleeding.The performances of the CRS,CTP,AIMS65,MELD-Na and MELD are excellent at predicting in-hospital mortality.展开更多
BACKGROUND The available prediction models for clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) do not incorporate both preoperative and intraoperative variables. AIM To construct a new risk scoring syst...BACKGROUND The available prediction models for clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) do not incorporate both preoperative and intraoperative variables. AIM To construct a new risk scoring system for CR-POPF that includes both preoperative and intraoperative factors. METHODS This was a retrospective study of patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) or pylorus-preserving PD (PPPD) between January 2011 and December 2016 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University. Patients were divided into a study (01/2011 to 12/2014) or validation (01/2015 to 12/2016) group according to the time of admission. POPF severity was classified into three grades: Biochemical leak (grade A) and CR-POPF (grades B and C). Logistic regression was used to create a predictive scoring system. RESULTS Preoperative serum albumin ≥ 35 g/L [P = 0.032, odds ratio (OR)= 0.92, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.85-0.99], hard pancreatic texture (P = 0.004, OR = 0.25, 95%CI: 0.10-0.64), pancreatic duct diameter ≥ 3 mm (P = 0.029, OR = 0.50, 95%CI: 0.27-0.93), and intraoperative blood loss ≥ 500 mL (P = 0.006, OR = 1.002, 95%CI:1.001-1.003) were independently associated with CR-POPF. We established a 10-point risk scoring system to predict CR-POPF. The area under the curve was 0.821 (95%CI: 0.736-0.905) and the cut-off value was 3.5. Including drain amylase levels improved the predictive power of the model. CONCLUSION This study established a 10-point scoring system to predict CR-POPF after PD/PPPD using preoperative and intraoperative parameters. Ultimately, this system could be used to distinguish between high- and low-risk populations in order to facilitate timely interventions after PD.展开更多
AIM: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a process with variable involvement of regional tissues or organ systems. Multifactorial scales included the Ranson, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE Ⅱ) syst...AIM: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a process with variable involvement of regional tissues or organ systems. Multifactorial scales included the Ranson, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE Ⅱ) systems and Balthazar computed tomography severity index (CTSI). The purpose of this review study was to assess the accuracy of CTSI, Ranson score, and APACHE II score in course and outcome prediction of AP. METHODS: We reviewed 121 patients who underwent helical CT within 48 h after onset of symptoms of a first episode of AP between 1999 and 2003. Fourteen inappropriate subjects were excluded; we reviewed the 107 contrastenhanced CT images to calculate the CTSI. We also reviewed their Ranson and APACHE Ⅱ score. In addition, complications, duration of hospitalization, mortality rate, and other pathology history also were our comparison parameters. RESULTS: We classified 85 patients (79%) as having mild AP (CTSI 〈5) and 22 patients (21%) as having severe AP (CTSI ≥5). In mild group, the mean APACHE II score and Ranson score was 8.6±1.9 and 2.4±1.2, and those of severe group was 10.2±2.1 and 3.1±0.8, respectively. The most common complication was pseudocyst and abscess and it presented in 21 (20%) patients and their CTSI was 5.9±1.4. A CTSI ≥5 significantly correlated with death, complication present, and prolonged length of stay. Patients with a CTSI ≥5 were 15 times to die than those CTSI 〈5, and the prolonged length of stay and complications present were 17 times and 8 times than that in CTSI 〈5, respectively. CONCLUSION: CTSI is a useful tool in assessing the severity and outcome of AP and the CTSI ≥5 is an index in our study. Although Ranson score and APACHE II score also are choices to be the predictors for complications, mortality and the length of stay of AP, the sensitivity of them are lower than CTSI.展开更多
文摘Ossiculoplasty remains a challenging surgical procedure,with outcomes heavily influenced by diverse anatomical and pathological factors.Over the decades,numerous scoring systems have been developed to predict the prognosis of ossiculoplasty,each emphasizing different variables such as ossicular status,middle ear environment,and surgical history.This paper provides a comprehensive review of the evolution of prognostic scoring systems,including Austin's original ossicular classification,Bellucci's otorrhea staging,the Middle Ear Risk Index(MERI),the Ossiculoplasty Outcome Parameter Staging(OOPS),and the recently introduced Ear Environment Risk(EER)scale.While these systems have significantly contributed to preoperative assessment,each presents notable limitations in encompassing all variables affecting surgical success.Therefore,the aim of this paper is to provide a review of the ossiculoplasty prognostic scores and show the benefits,innovations and gaps associated with each.To address these gaps,a novel,modified scoring system is proposed,incorporating previously overlooked but clinically significant factors such as tympanic membrane status,type of tympanoplasty,ossicular replacement material,CT scan findings,and the presence of complicated ear conditions.By synthesizing elements from historical scores with updated clinical insights,the proposed system aims to provide a more holistic and predictive framework for preoperative evaluation.Future multicenter studies are encouraged to validate the efficacy and prognostic power of this new scoring system,with the goal of improving surgical planning and patient counseling in ossiculoplasty.
文摘BACKGROUND The rising global prevalence of gastroesophageal reflux disease(GERD)has been closely linked to lifestyle changes driven by globalization.GERD imposes a substantial public health burden,affecting quality of life and leading to potential complications.Early intervention through lifestyle modification can prevent disease onset;however,there is a lack of effective risk prediction models that emphasize primary prevention.AIM To develop and validate a GERD Risk Scoring System(GRSS)aimed at identifying high-risk individuals and promoting primary prevention strategies.METHODS A 45-item questionnaire encompassing major lifestyle and demographic risk factors was developed and validated.It was administered to healthy controls and GERD patients.Two regression models-one using continuous variables and another using categorized variables-were used to develop a computational prediction equation and a clinically applicable scoring scale.An independent validation cohort of 355 participants was used to assess model performance in terms of discrimination(C-index),calibration,sensitivity,specificity,internal consistency(Cronbach's alpha),and test-retest reliability(intraclass correlation coefficient,Bland-Altman analysis).RESULTS Significant associations were observed between GERD and key lifestyle factors.The derived GRSS equation and scoring scale demonstrated strong discriminative ability,with high sensitivity and specificity.The scoring system exhibited excellent internal consistency(Cronbach’s alpha)and strong test-retest reliability.The C-index indicated excellent predictive accuracy in both derivation and validation cohorts.CONCLUSION GRSS offers a novel and validated approach to GERD risk prediction,combining a robust equation for digital applications and a practical scale for clinical use.Its ability to accurately identify at-risk individuals supports a paradigm shift toward primary prevention,underscoring its significance in addressing the growing burden of GERD at the population level.
基金the Youth Foundation of Fujian Provincial Health Commission,No.2021QNA014the Construction Project of Fujian Province Minimally Invasive Medical Center,No.[2021]76.
文摘BACKGROUND The degree of obstruction plays an important role in decision-making for obstructive colorectal cancer(OCRC).The existing assessment still relies on the colorectal obstruction scoring system(CROSS)which is based on a comprehensive analysis of patients’complaints and eating conditions.The data collection relies on subjective descriptions and lacks objective parameters.Therefore,a scoring system for the evaluation of computed tomography-based obstructive degree(CTOD)is urgently required for OCRC.AIM To explore the relationship between CTOD and CROSS and to determine whether CTOD could affect the short-term and long-term prognosis.METHODS Of 173 patients were enrolled.CTOD was obtained using k-means,the ratio of proximal to distal obstruction,and the proportion of nonparenchymal areas at the site of obstruction.CTOD was integrated with the CROSS to analyze the effect of emergency intervention on complications.Short-term and long-term outcomes were compared between the groups.RESULTS CTOD severe obstruction(CTOD grade 3)was an independent risk factor[odds ratio(OR)=3.390,95%confidence interval(CI):1.340-8.570,P=0.010]via multivariate analysis of short-term outcomes,while CROSS grade was not.In the CTOD-CROSS grade system,for the non-severe obstructive(CTOD 1-2 to CROSS 1-4)group,the complication rate of emergency interventions was significantly higher than that of non-emergency interventions(71.4%vs 41.8%,P=0.040).The postoperative pneumonia rate was higher in the emergency intervention group than in the non-severe obstructive group(35.7%vs 8.9%,P=0.020).However,CTOD grade was not an independent risk factor of overall survival and progression-free survival.CONCLUSION CTOD was useful in preoperative decision-making to avoid unnecessary emergency interventions and complications.
文摘Shen et al’s retrospective study aims to compare the utility of two separate scoring systems for predicting mortality attributable to gastrointestinal(GI)injury in critically ill patients[the GI Dysfunction Score(GIDS)and the Acute Gastroin-testinal Injury(AGI)grade].The authors note that this study is the first proposal that suggests an equivalence between the ability of both scores to predict mor-tality at 28 days from intensive care unit(ICU)admission.Shen et al retrospec-tively analysed an ICU cohort of patients utilising two physicians administering both the AGI grade and GIDS score,using electronic healthcare records and ICU flowsheets.Where these physicians disagreed about the scores,the final decision as to the scores was made by an associate chief physician,or chief physician.We note that the primary reason for the development of GIDS was to create a clear score for GI dysfunction,with minimal subjectivity or inter-operator variability.The subjectivity inherent to the older AGI grading system is what ultimately led to the development of GIDS in 2021.By ensuring consensus between physicians administering the AGI,Shen et al have controlled for one of this grading systems biggest issues.We have concerns,however,that this does not represent the real-world challenges associated with applying the AGI compared to the newer GIDS,and wonder if this arbitration process had not been instituted,would the two scoring systems remain equivalent in terms of predicted mortality?
文摘BACKGROUND Acute pancreatitis(AP)is an emergency gastrointestinal disease that requires immediate diagnosis and urgent clinical treatment.An accurate assessment and precise staging of severity are essential in initial intensive therapy.AIM To explore the prognostic value of inflammatory markers and several scoring systems[Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II,the bedside index of severity in AP(BISAP),Ranson’s score,the computed tomography severity index(CTSI)and sequential organ failure assessment]in severity stratification of earlyphase AP.METHODS A total of 463 patients with AP admitted to our hospital between 1 January 2021 and 30 June 2024 were retrospectively enrolled in this study.Inflammation marker and scoring system levels were calculated and compared between different severity groups.Relationships between severity and several predictors were evaluated using univariate and multivariate logistic regression models.Predictive ability was estimated using receiver operating characteristic curves.RESULTS Of the 463 patients,50(10.80%)were classified as having severe AP(SAP).The results revealed that the white cell count significantly increased,whereas the prognostic nutritional index measured within 48 hours(PNI48)and calcium(Ca^(2+))were decreased as the severity of AP increased(P<0.001).According to multivariate logistic regression,C-reactive protein measured within 48 hours(CRP_(48)),Ca^(2+)levels,and PNI48 were independent risk factors for predicting SAP.The area under the curve(AUC)values for the CRP_(48),Ca^(2+),PNI48,Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II,sequential organ failure assessment,BISAP,CTSI,and Ranson scores for the prediction of SAP were 0.802,0.736,0.871,0.799,0.783,0.895,0.931 and 0.914,respectively.The AUC for the combined CRP_(48)+Ca^(2+)+PNI48 model was 0.892.The combination of PNI48 and Ranson achieved an AUC of 0.936.CONCLUSION Independent risk factors for developing SAP include CRP_(48),Ca^(2+),and PNI48.CTSI,BISAP,and the combination of PNI48 and the Ranson score can act as reliable predictors of SAP.
文摘In this article,we discuss the recently published article by Yang et al.This retrospective analysis,which was conducted at a large urban tertiary care center,focused on comparing Lille model scores at days 3 and 7 with established scoring systems and identifying critical clinical predictors,such as renal dysfunction,nutritional status,and underlying cirrhosis.Alcoholic hepatitis(AH),a severe manifestation of alcohol-related liver disease,is associated with high morbidity and mortality,necessitating accurate prognostic tools and comprehensive clinical assessments.Prognostic tools are invaluable for early risk stratification,but they must be contextualized within the multifactorial nature of AH.Acute renal dysfunction and poor nutritional status,for example,are not just complications but pivotal markers of disease severity and systemic impact.Addressing these factors requires a holistic approach that extends beyond scoring systems to include targeted interventions and comprehensive patient care.This editorial emphasizes the need for a paradigm shift in AH management,where prognostic models are complemented by a deeper understanding of patient-specific factors.Such an approach can guide clinicians in tailoring therapies and improving outcomes for this high-risk population.
文摘BACKGROUND Functional gastrointestinal disorders(FGIDs),defined as‘Disorders of Gut-Brain Interaction’,are now considered a global health problem.There is a dearth of concepts and scales to assess the severity of the different symptoms encountered while dealing with the variety of FGIDs as described in the ROME IV classi-fication.We introduced a novel scoring system with the incorporation of 16 different symptoms called Bacharyya’s Questionnaire Scale and started using it while dealing with children suffering from FGIDs.AIM To verify the usefulness and applicability of this recently developed scale,this study was undertaken with the objectives to establish the validity of this scoring system in assessing the severity of symptoms associated with a specific FGID in children and to determine the scoring system's applicability in assessing the treatment response.METHODS The study included children aged 5 to 18 years diagnosed with any FGID based on ROME IV criteria.They completed the newly developed scale and a Visual Analog Scale at initial diagnosis and after a 2-month treatment period.A control group without FGID participated for comparative baseline purposes.Treatment response was defined as a less than or equal to 50%reduction in the total score,which is statistically significant.RESULTS Results from a comprehensive cohort of 190 cases and 90 controls indicated a female preponderance(57.9%)and prevalent disorders such as functional constipation(28%)and functional abdominal pain,not otherwise specified(21%).The grade of FGID(mild,moderate,severe)experienced by the patients was also derived.Post-treatment,96 children demonstrated symptom improvement.The Spearman rank correlation coefficient for pre(r=0.72,95%CI:0.65-0.77,P value<0.0001)and post(r=0.49,95%CI:0.3-0.64,P value<0.0001)treatment data showed positive results with significant P values.CONCLUSION The novel scoring system shows high comprehensibility and gives an objective view of the symptomatology of FGIDs.The use of this novel score in clinical settings will be helpful to typify the FGIDs and may significantly improve decision-making processes to initiate appropriate treatment.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.82170555Shanghai Academic/Technology Research Leader,No.22XD1422400+2 种基金Shanghai“Rising Stars of Medical Talent”Youth Development Program,No.20224Z0005the 74th General Support of China Postdoctoral Science Foundation,No.2023M740675Outstanding Resident Clinical Postdoctoral Program of Zhongshan Hospital Affiliated to Fudan University.
文摘BACKGROUND In recent years,endoscopic resection(ER)has been employed for the excision of submucosal tumors(SMTs).Nonetheless,ER in the duodenum is linked to ele-vated risks of both immediate and delayed hemorrhagic complications and perforations.Satisfactory suturing is crucial for reducing the occurrence of complications.AIM To establish a clinical score model for supporting suture decision-making of duodenal SMTs.METHODS This study included 137 individuals diagnosed with duodenal SMTs who under-went ER.Participants were evenly divided into two groups:A training cohort(TC)comprising 95 cases and an internal validation cohort(VC)with 42 cases.Subsequently,a scoring system was formulated utilizing multivariate logistic regression analysis within the TC,which was then subjected to evaluation in the VC.RESULTS The clinical scoring system incorporated two key factors:Extraluminal growth,which was assigned 2 points,and endoscopic full-thickness resection,which was given 3 points.This model demonstrated strong predictive accuracy,as evidenced by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.900(95%confidence interval:0.823-0.976).Additionally,the model’s goodness-of-fit was validated by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test(P=0.404).The probability of purse-string suturing in low(score 0-2)and high(score>3)categories were 3.0%and 64.3%in the TC,and 6.1%and 88.9%in the VC,respectively.CONCLUSION This scoring system may function as a beneficial instrumentality for medical practitioners,facilitating the decision-making process concerning suture techniques in the context of duodenal SMTs.
文摘BACKGROUND The Asia-Pacific Colorectal Screening(APCS)score was designed with the purpose of distinguishing individuals at high risk(HR)for colorectal advanced neoplasia(AN).Traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)constitution was also linked with colorectal cancer(CRC).AIM To integrate the APCS score with TCM constitution identification as a new algorithm to screen for CRC.METHODS A cross-sectional multicenter study was carried out in three hospitals,enrolling 1430 patients who were asymptomatic and undergoing screening colonoscopy from 2022 to 2023.Patients were considered to have average risk,moderate risk,or HR with their APCS score.Odd ratios assessed the relationship between TCM constitution and disease progression.A TCM constitution risk score was created.The sensitivity and specificity of the new algorithm were calculated to evaluate diagnostic performance in detecting advanced adenoma(AA),CRC,and AN.RESULTS Of the 1430 patients,370(25.9%)were categorized as average risk,755(52.8%)as moderate risk,and 305(21.3%)as HR.Using the combined APCS score and the TCM constitution(damp-heat,qi-deficiency,yang-deficiency,phlegm-dampness,and inherited special constitution as positive)algorithm,72.2%of patients with AA and 73.7%of patients with AN were detected.Compared with the APCS score alone,the new algorithm significantly improved the sensitivity for screening AA[72.2%,95%confidence interval(CI):64.4%-80.0%vs 49.2%,95%CI:40.5%-57.9%]and AN(73.7%,95%CI:66.4%-81.1%vs 51.1%,95%CI:42.7%-59.5%).CONCLUSION The combination of APCS and TCM constitution identification questionnaires was valuable in identifying Chinese individuals who were asymptomatic for colorectal screening prioritization.
文摘BACKGROUND Severe symptoms associated with sepsis syndrome(SS)are considered a severe threat,which not only increases therapeutic difficulty but also causes a prognostic mortality rate.However,at present,few related studies focused on the application of different score scales for disease and prognosis assessment in liver cirrhosis(LC)complicated with SS.AIM To determine the correlations of the model for end-stage liver disease(MELD),sequential organ failure assessment(SOFA),and modified early warning score(MEWS)points with the prognosis of patients with LC complicated with SS.METHODS This retrospective analysis included 426 LC cases from February 2019 to April 2022.Of them,225 cases that were complicated with SS were assigned to the LC+SS group,and 201 simple LC cases were included in the LC group.Intergroup differences in MELD,SOFA,and MEWS scores were compared,as well as their diagnostic value for LC+SS.The correlations of the three scores with the progno-sis of patients with LC+SS were further analyzed,as well as the related risk factors affecting patients’outcomes,after the follow-up investigation.RESULTS MELD,SOFA,and MEWS scores were all higher in the LC+SS group vs the LC group,and their combined assessment for LC+SS revealed a diagnostic sensi-tivity and a specificity of 89.66%and 90.84%,respectively(P<0.05).The LC+SS group reported 58 deaths,with an overall mortality rate of 25.78%.Deceased pa-tients presented higher MELD,SOFA,and MEWS points than those who survived(P<0.05).MELD,SOFA,and MEWS scores were determined by COX analysis as factors independently affecting the prognosis of patients with LC+SS(P<0.05).CONCLUSION MELD,SOFA,and MEWS effectively diagnosed LC in patients complicated with SS,and they demonstrated great significance in assessing prognosis,which provides a reliable prognosis guarantee for patients with LC+SS.However,their assessment effects remain limited,which is worthy of further investigation by more in-depth and rigorous experimental analysis.
文摘This study examines the reliability and validity of AI-generated scoring for continuation writing tasks.By comparing GPT-4 with eight experienced human raters across 21 student responses,it evaluates AI’s consistency,severity,and alignment with human scoring criteria.Results show that AI exhibits high self-consistency and adapts effectively to different scoring roles(e.g.,teacher vs.highstakes rater).However,AI scores were more lenient than human raters and demonstrated divergent evaluation focuses—prioritizing narrative coherence and emotional depth,while teachers emphasized linguistic accuracy and richness of detail.The findings suggest AI’s potential as a supplementary assessment tool,offering rapid,holistic feedback,but highlight the need for further calibration to align with educational standards.Implications include exploring hybrid evaluation models that leverage the strengths of both AI and human raters to achieve more equitable,efficient,and pedagogically meaningful writing assessments.
基金funded by Deanship of Graduate studies and Scientific Research at Jouf University under grant No.(DGSSR-2024-02-01264).
文摘Automated essay scoring(AES)systems have gained significant importance in educational settings,offering a scalable,efficient,and objective method for evaluating student essays.However,developing AES systems for Arabic poses distinct challenges due to the language’s complex morphology,diglossia,and the scarcity of annotated datasets.This paper presents a hybrid approach to Arabic AES by combining text-based,vector-based,and embeddingbased similarity measures to improve essay scoring accuracy while minimizing the training data required.Using a large Arabic essay dataset categorized into thematic groups,the study conducted four experiments to evaluate the impact of feature selection,data size,and model performance.Experiment 1 established a baseline using a non-machine learning approach,selecting top-N correlated features to predict essay scores.The subsequent experiments employed 5-fold cross-validation.Experiment 2 showed that combining embedding-based,text-based,and vector-based features in a Random Forest(RF)model achieved an R2 of 88.92%and an accuracy of 83.3%within a 0.5-point tolerance.Experiment 3 further refined the feature selection process,demonstrating that 19 correlated features yielded optimal results,improving R2 to 88.95%.In Experiment 4,an optimal data efficiency training approach was introduced,where training data portions increased from 5%to 50%.The study found that using just 10%of the data achieved near-peak performance,with an R2 of 85.49%,emphasizing an effective trade-off between performance and computational costs.These findings highlight the potential of the hybrid approach for developing scalable Arabic AES systems,especially in low-resource environments,addressing linguistic challenges while ensuring efficient data usage.
文摘English Teaching in higher vocational colleges emphasizes the principle of "practical use and adequate sufficiency". English courses should not only lay a good foundation for language, but also pay more attention to the training of practical language skills, especially the ability to use English to deal with daily and foreign business activities. Higher vocational college students who are relatively weak in their basic English writing are particularly prominent,far from the regulated requirements. Because of the poor basic learning ability of higher vocational college students, it is very important for teachers to supervise and get feedback. But the ratio of students to English teachers in some higher vocational colleges has reached 130 : 1, so it is becoming more and more important for teachers to adopt computer aided correction composition system.
基金The Science and Technology Support Program of Jiangsu Province(No.BE2011173)the Future Network Proactive Program of Jiangsu Province(No.BY2013095-5-03)the Program for Special Talent in Six Fields of Jiangsu Province(No.2011-DZ024)
文摘In order to detect web shells that hackers inject into web servers by exploiting system vulnerabilities or web page open sources, a novel web shell detection system based on the scoring scheme is proposed, named Evil-hunter. First, a large set of malicious function samples normally used in web shells are collected from various sources on the Internet and security forums. Secondly, according to the danger level and the frequency of using these malicious functions in the web shells as well as in legal web applications, an assigning score strategy for each malicious sample is devised. Then, the appropriate score threshold value for each sample is obtained from the results of a statistical analysis. Finally, based on the threshold value, a simple algorithm is presented to identify files that contain web shells in web applications. The experimental results show that compared with other approaches, Evil-hunter can identify web shells more efficiently and accurately.
文摘AIM:To investigate the prognostic usefulness of several existing scoring systems in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis(AP).METHODS:We retrospectively analyzed the prospectively collected clinical database from consecutive patients with AP in our institution between January 2011 and December 2012.Ranson,Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation(APACHE)-Ⅱ,and bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis(BISAP)scores,and computed tomography severity index(CTSI)of all patients were calculated.Serum C-reactive protein(CRP)levels were measured at admission(CRPi)and after 24h(CRP24).Severe AP was defined as persistent organ failure for more than 48 h.The predictive accuracy of each scoring system was measured by the area under the receiver-operating curve(AUC).RESULTS:Of 161 patients,21(13%)were classified as severe AP,and 3(1.9%)died.Statistically significant cutoff values for prediction of severe AP were Ranson≥3,BISAP≥2,APACHE-Ⅱ≥8,CTSI≥3,and CRP24≥21.4.AUCs for Ranson,BISAP,APACHE-Ⅱ,CTSI,and CRP24 in predicting severe AP were 0.69(95%CI:0.62-0.76),0.74(95%CI:0.66-0.80),0.78(95%CI:0.70-0.84),0.69(95%CI:0.61-0.76),and0.68(95%CI:0.57-0.78),respectively.APACHE-Ⅱdemonstrated the highest accuracy for prediction of severe AP,however,no statistically significant pairwise differences were observed between APACHE-Ⅱand the other scoring systems,including CRP24.CONCLUSION:Various scoring systems showed similar predictive accuracy for severity of AP.Unique models are needed in order to achieve further improvement of prognostic accuracy.
基金Fujian Provincial Health Technology Project,No.2020GGA079Natural Science Foundation of Fujian Province,No.2021J011380National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.62276146.
文摘Acute pancreatitis(AP)is a potentially life-threatening inflammatory disease of the pancreas,with clinical management determined by the severity of the disease.Diagnosis,severity prediction,and prognosis assessment of AP typically involve the use of imaging technologies,such as computed tomography,magnetic resonance imaging,and ultrasound,and scoring systems,including Ranson,Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II,and Bedside Index for Severity in AP scores.Computed tomography is considered the gold standard imaging modality for AP due to its high sensitivity and specificity,while magnetic resonance imaging and ultrasound can provide additional information on biliary obstruction and vascular complications.Scoring systems utilize clinical and laboratory parameters to classify AP patients into mild,moderate,or severe categories,guiding treatment decisions,such as intensive care unit admission,early enteral feeding,and antibiotic use.Despite the central role of imaging technologies and scoring systems in AP management,these methods have limitations in terms of accuracy,reproducibility,practicality and economics.Recent advancements of artificial intelligence(AI)provide new opportunities to enhance their performance by analyzing vast amounts of clinical and imaging data.AI algorithms can analyze large amounts of clinical and imaging data,identify scoring system patterns,and predict the clinical course of disease.AI-based models have shown promising results in predicting the severity and mortality of AP,but further validation and standardization are required before widespread clinical application.In addition,understanding the correlation between these three technologies will aid in developing new methods that can accurately,sensitively,and specifically be used in the diagnosis,severity prediction,and prognosis assessment of AP through complementary advantages.
基金supported by a grant from the 2007 InjeUniversity(0001200743900)
文摘BACKGROUND:The early identification of severe acute pancreatitis is important for the management and for improving outcomes.The bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis(BISAP)has been considered as an accurate method for risk stratification in patients with acute pancreatitis.This study aimed to evaluate the comparative usefulness of the BISAP.METHODS:We retrospectively analyzed 303 patients with acute pancreatitis diagnosed at our hospital from March 2007to December 2010.BISAP,APACHE-II,Ranson criteria,and CT severity index(CTSI)of all patients were calculated.We stratified the number of patiants with severe pancreatitis,pancreatic necrosis,and organ failure as well as the number of deaths by BISAP score.We used the area under the receiveroperating curve(AUC)to compare BISAP with other scoring systems,C-reactive protein(CRP),hematocrit,and body mass index(BMI)with regard to prediction of severe acute pancreatitis,necrosis,organ failure,and death.RESULTS:Of the 303 patiants,31(10.2%)were classified as having severe acute pancreatitis.Organ failure occurred in 23(7.6%)patients,pancreatic necrosis in 40(13.2%),and death in6(2.0%).A BISAP score of 2 was a statistically significant cutoff value for the diagnosis of severe acute pancreatitis,organ failure,and mortality.AUCs for BISAP predicting severe pancreatitis and death were 0.80 and 0.86,respectively,which were similar to those for APACHE-II(0.80,0.87)and Ranson criteria(0.74,0.74)and greater than AUCs for CTSI(0.67,0.42).The AUC for organ failure predicted by BISAP,APACHE-II,Ranson criteria,and CTSI was 0.93,0.95,0.84 and 0.57,respectively.AUCs for BISAP predicting severity,organ failure,and death were greater than those for CRP(0.69,0.80,0.72),hematocrit(0.45,0.35,0.14),and BMI(0.41,0.47,0.17).CONCLUSION:The BISAP predicts severity,death,and especially organ failure in acute pancreatitis as well as APACHE-II does and better than Ranson criteria,CTSI,CRP,hematocrit,and BMI.
文摘BACKGROUND Acute variceal bleeding is one of the deadliest complications of cirrhosis,with a high risk of in-hospital rebleeding and mortality.Some risk scoring systems to predict clinical outcomes in patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding have been developed.However,for cirrhotic patients with variceal bleeding,data regarding the predictive value of these prognostic scores in predicting in-hospital outcomes are limited and controversial.AIM To validate and compare the overall performance of selected prognostic scoring systems for predicting in-hospital outcomes in cirrhotic patients with variceal bleeding.METHODS From March 2017 to June 2019,cirrhotic patients with acute variceal bleeding were retrospectively enrolled at the Second Affiliated Hospital of Xi’an Jiaotong University.The clinical Rockall score(CRS),AIMS65 score(AIMS65),Glasgow-Blatchford score(GBS),modified GBS(mGBS),Canada-United Kingdom-Australia score(CANUKA),Child-Turcotte-Pugh score(CTP),model for endstage liver disease(MELD)and MELD-Na were calculated.The overall performance of these prognostic scoring systems was evaluated.RESULTS A total of 330 cirrhotic patients with variceal bleeding were enrolled;the rates of in-hospital rebleeding and mortality were 20.3%and 10.6%,respectively.For inhospital rebleeding,the discriminative ability of the CTP and CRS were clinically acceptable,with area under the receiver operating characteristic curves(AUROCs)of 0.717(0.648-0.787)and 0.716(0.638-0.793),respectively.The other tested scoring systems had poor discriminative ability(AUROCs<0.7).For inhospital mortality,the CRS,CTP,AIMS65,MELD-Na and MELD showed excellent discriminative ability(AUROCs>0.8).The AUROCs of the mGBS,CANUKA and GBS were relatively small,but clinically acceptable(AUROCs>0.7).Furthermore,the calibration of all scoring systems was good for either inhospital rebleeding or death.CONCLUSION For cirrhotic patients with variceal bleeding,in-hospital rebleeding and mortality rates remain high.The CTP and CRS can be used clinically to predict in-hospital rebleeding.The performances of the CRS,CTP,AIMS65,MELD-Na and MELD are excellent at predicting in-hospital mortality.
基金Supported by the Key Research and Development of Jiangsu Province of China,No.BE2016673the Jiangsu Province"333"Project,No.BRA2018392+2 种基金the Jiangsu Provincial Medical Youth Talent,No.QNRC2016734Six Talent Peaks Project in Jiangsu Province,No.WSW-059the Project of Suzhou People’s Livelihood Science and Technology,No.SS201632
文摘BACKGROUND The available prediction models for clinically relevant postoperative pancreatic fistula (CR-POPF) do not incorporate both preoperative and intraoperative variables. AIM To construct a new risk scoring system for CR-POPF that includes both preoperative and intraoperative factors. METHODS This was a retrospective study of patients who underwent pancreaticoduodenectomy (PD) or pylorus-preserving PD (PPPD) between January 2011 and December 2016 at the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University. Patients were divided into a study (01/2011 to 12/2014) or validation (01/2015 to 12/2016) group according to the time of admission. POPF severity was classified into three grades: Biochemical leak (grade A) and CR-POPF (grades B and C). Logistic regression was used to create a predictive scoring system. RESULTS Preoperative serum albumin ≥ 35 g/L [P = 0.032, odds ratio (OR)= 0.92, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.85-0.99], hard pancreatic texture (P = 0.004, OR = 0.25, 95%CI: 0.10-0.64), pancreatic duct diameter ≥ 3 mm (P = 0.029, OR = 0.50, 95%CI: 0.27-0.93), and intraoperative blood loss ≥ 500 mL (P = 0.006, OR = 1.002, 95%CI:1.001-1.003) were independently associated with CR-POPF. We established a 10-point risk scoring system to predict CR-POPF. The area under the curve was 0.821 (95%CI: 0.736-0.905) and the cut-off value was 3.5. Including drain amylase levels improved the predictive power of the model. CONCLUSION This study established a 10-point scoring system to predict CR-POPF after PD/PPPD using preoperative and intraoperative parameters. Ultimately, this system could be used to distinguish between high- and low-risk populations in order to facilitate timely interventions after PD.
文摘AIM: Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a process with variable involvement of regional tissues or organ systems. Multifactorial scales included the Ranson, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE Ⅱ) systems and Balthazar computed tomography severity index (CTSI). The purpose of this review study was to assess the accuracy of CTSI, Ranson score, and APACHE II score in course and outcome prediction of AP. METHODS: We reviewed 121 patients who underwent helical CT within 48 h after onset of symptoms of a first episode of AP between 1999 and 2003. Fourteen inappropriate subjects were excluded; we reviewed the 107 contrastenhanced CT images to calculate the CTSI. We also reviewed their Ranson and APACHE Ⅱ score. In addition, complications, duration of hospitalization, mortality rate, and other pathology history also were our comparison parameters. RESULTS: We classified 85 patients (79%) as having mild AP (CTSI 〈5) and 22 patients (21%) as having severe AP (CTSI ≥5). In mild group, the mean APACHE II score and Ranson score was 8.6±1.9 and 2.4±1.2, and those of severe group was 10.2±2.1 and 3.1±0.8, respectively. The most common complication was pseudocyst and abscess and it presented in 21 (20%) patients and their CTSI was 5.9±1.4. A CTSI ≥5 significantly correlated with death, complication present, and prolonged length of stay. Patients with a CTSI ≥5 were 15 times to die than those CTSI 〈5, and the prolonged length of stay and complications present were 17 times and 8 times than that in CTSI 〈5, respectively. CONCLUSION: CTSI is a useful tool in assessing the severity and outcome of AP and the CTSI ≥5 is an index in our study. Although Ranson score and APACHE II score also are choices to be the predictors for complications, mortality and the length of stay of AP, the sensitivity of them are lower than CTSI.