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Surface runoff processes and sustainable utilization of water resources in Manas River Basin, Xinjiang, China 被引量:19
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作者 HongBo LING HaiLiang XU +1 位作者 JinYi FU XinHua LIU 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE 2012年第3期271-280,共10页
Water is the important resource to guarantee the existence and development of oases in arid areas. To improve the utilization efficiency of water resources in Manas River Basin, this paper investigated the trends and ... Water is the important resource to guarantee the existence and development of oases in arid areas. To improve the utilization efficiency of water resources in Manas River Basin, this paper investigated the trends and periods of runoff based on the runoff and climate data for the past 50 years. Subsequently, with the socioeconomic and water resources data, we studied a comprehensive evaluation on the water security in this area. The results indicated that the stream flows in the three hydrological stations of Hongshanzui, Kensiwat and Bajiahu have sig- nificantly increased and undergone abrupt changes, with periods of 18 and 20 years. According to assessment, water security in the Manas River Basin was at an unsafe level in 2008. In criterion layer, the ecological security index and the index of supply-demand situation are both at the relatively secure level; the quantity index and so- cioeconomic index of water resources are at the unsafe level and basic security level, respectively. Therefore, in order to achieve sustainable economic and social development within the Manas River Basin, it is vital to take a series of effective measures to improve the status of water security. 展开更多
关键词 surface runoff processes period and trend sustainable utilization water resources the Manas River Basin fuzzycomprehensive evaluation
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Glacier meltwater runoff process analysis using δD and δ^(18)O isotope and chemistry at the remote Laohugou glacier basin in western Qilian Mountains, China 被引量:2
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作者 王彩霞 董志文 +3 位作者 秦翔 张杰 杜文涛 吴锦奎 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第6期722-734,共13页
Stable hydrogen and oxygen isotope has important implication on water and mois- ture transportation tracing research. Based on stable hydrogen (6D) and oxygen (6180) isotope using a Picarro Ll102-i and water chemi... Stable hydrogen and oxygen isotope has important implication on water and mois- ture transportation tracing research. Based on stable hydrogen (6D) and oxygen (6180) isotope using a Picarro Ll102-i and water chemistry (e.g. major ions, pH, EC and TDS) meas- urement, this study discussed the temporal variation and characteristics of stable hydrogen and oxygen isotope, chemistry (e.g. TDS, pH, EC, Ca^2^, Mg2+, Na^+ and CI) in various water bodies including glacier meltwater runoff, ice and snow, and precipitation at the Laohugou g^acier basin during June 2012 to September 2013. Results showed that 6D and δ18O in the meltwater runoff varied obviously with the temporal change from June to September, showing firstly increasing trend and then decreasing trend, with the highest values in July with high air temperature and strong glacier melting, which could indicate the temporal change of glacier melting process and extent. Variations of 6D and δ18O in the runoff were similar with that of snow and ice on the glacier, and the values were also above the GMWL, which probably im- plied that the glacier runoff was mainly originated from glacier melting and precipitation supply The glacier meltwater chemical type at the Laohugou glacier basin were mainly composed by Ca-Na-HCO3-SO4 and Ca-Mg-HCO3-SO4, which also varied evidently with the glacier melting process in summer. By analyzing the temporal change of stable hydrogen and oxygen isotope and chemistry in the melting period, we find it is easy to separate the components of the snow and ice, atmospheric precipitation and melt-runoff in the river, which could reflect the change process of glacier melting during the melting period, and thus this work can contribute to the glacier runoff change study of large-scale region by stable isotope and geochemical method in future. 展开更多
关键词 meltwater runoff stable hydrogen and oxygen isotope CHEMISTRY runoff process
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The complex nonlinear systems with fractal as well as chaotic dynamics of annual runoff processes in the three headwaters of the Tarim River 被引量:1
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作者 徐建华 陈亚宁 +2 位作者 李卫红 季民河 董山 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2009年第1期25-35,共11页
This paper attempted to identify fractal and chaotic characteristics of the annual runoff processes in headwaters of the Tarim River.Methods of fractal analyses were used to explore several aspects of the temporal cha... This paper attempted to identify fractal and chaotic characteristics of the annual runoff processes in headwaters of the Tarim River.Methods of fractal analyses were used to explore several aspects of the temporal changes from 1957 to 2002.The main findings are as follows:(1) The annual runoff processes of the three headwaters of the Tarim River are com-plex nonlinear systems with fractal as well as chaotic dynamics.(2) The correlation dimensions of attractor derived from the time series of the annual runoff for the Hotan,Yarkand and Aksu rivers are all greater than 3.0 and non-integral,implying that all three rivers are chaotic dynamical systems that are sensitive to initial conditions,and the dynamic modeling of their annual runoff process requires at least four independent variables.(3) The time series of annual runoff in each river presents a long-term correlation characteristic.The Hurst exponent for the period of 1989 to 2002 suggests that we may expect to see an increasing trend in the annual runoff of the Aksu and Yarkand rivers in the years after 2002,but a decreasing tendency for the Hotan River in the same period. 展开更多
关键词 annual runoff process HEADWATER Tarim River Basin correlation dimension Hurst exponent
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Prediction of Debris Flow Runoff Process Based on Hydrological Model: a Case Study at Shenxi Gully,Regarding a Long-Term Impact by Wenchuan Earthquake
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作者 王钧 潘华利 +2 位作者 欧国强 宫清华 魏新峰 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2017年第3期398-404,共7页
Debris flow runoff process is one of key parameters for the design of emergency measures and control engineering. The Shenxi gully in Dujiangyan region,located in the meizoseismal areas of Wenchuan earthquake,was sele... Debris flow runoff process is one of key parameters for the design of emergency measures and control engineering. The Shenxi gully in Dujiangyan region,located in the meizoseismal areas of Wenchuan earthquake,was selected as the study area. Based on the research of hazard inducing environment,a soil conservation service( SCS) hydrological model was used to simulate the process of water flow,and then the debris flow runoff process was calculated using the empirical formula combining the results from the SCS hydrological model. Taking the debris flow event occurred on July 9th,2013 as an example,the peak discharges of water flow and debris flow were calculated as 162. 12 and 689. 22 m3/s,with error of 6. 03% compared to the measured values. The debris flow confluence process lasted 1. 8h, which was similar with the actual result. The proposed methodology can be applied to predict the debris flow runoff process in quake-hit areas of the Wenchuan earthquake and is of great importance for debris flow mitigation. 展开更多
关键词 debris mitigation runoff quake emergency hazard triggered rainfall watershed disaster
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Unraveling Responses of Rainfall-runoff Event Characteristics and Runoff Processes to Land Use Change:A Case Study of Jingle Water-shed,Upper Fenhe River in China
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作者 RAN Guang WU Qiang +1 位作者 HU Caihong XU Xiangzhou 《Chinese Geographical Science》 2026年第4期671-684,共14页
Land use change profoundly influences the hydrological processes,especially in semi-arid and semi-humid regions,subsequently altering the runoff characteristics.However,the quantitative relationship between land use a... Land use change profoundly influences the hydrological processes,especially in semi-arid and semi-humid regions,subsequently altering the runoff characteristics.However,the quantitative relationship between land use and runoff processes remains unclear.This study investigated temporal variations in rainfall-runoff characteristics at the event scale by analyzing 85 flood events in the Jingle watershed of the upper Fenhe River,China.The spatial variation in the dominant runoff processes across different land use was quantified using a Geographic Information System(GIS).The results indicated a significant shift in rainfall-runoff event characteristics after 1996.Compared with the period 1971-1996,precipitation decreased slightly after 1996,whereas runoff depth,runoff peak,and hydrograph shape index declined by 24.9%,30.6%,and 20.5%,respectively.Concurrently,the correlation between precipitation and runoff weakened,and the outflow process became increasingly important for runoff.Furthermore,cropland exhibited the most significant decline,decreasing from 758.0 km^(2) in 1980 to 560.4 km^(2) in 2017,with the converted area primarily transitioning to forest,shrubland,and grassland.This conversion of cropland to shrubland and grassland shifted the runoff process from Hortonian overland flow(HOF)to saturation overland flow(SOF).Consequently,the percentage of the area dominated by HOF decreased by 16.9%from 1980 to 2017.Meanwhile,grassland restoration in the southern part of the basin increased the proportion of SOF by 12.1%.Under comparable rainfall conditions,rainfall-runoff characteristics within the same region exhibited substantial variability in response to shifts in runoff processes.These findings provide insights into hydrological modeling and water resources management in semi-arid basins. 展开更多
关键词 land use change rainfall-runoff characteristics event scale runoff process upper Fenhe River China
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Effect of Planting Eucalyptus Trees on Runoff Depth and Its Processes of Forestland Natural Watersheds
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作者 Liang Hongwen Li Xiaoqiong Guo Jinchuan 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 CAS 2018年第1期49-52,56,共5页
The runoff and runoff process of Eucalyptus plantations natural watershed were studied to provide guidance for scientific evaluation of water conservation capacities of Eucalyptus plantations,compared with the Pinus m... The runoff and runoff process of Eucalyptus plantations natural watershed were studied to provide guidance for scientific evaluation of water conservation capacities of Eucalyptus plantations,compared with the Pinus massoniana forest natural watershed. The runoff volumes of Eucalyptus plantations and P. massoniana forest natural watersheds were continuously monitored using the small watershed runoff monitoring method and the automatic data collection devices from August,2013 to December,2016,and effects of heavy rainfall and continuous rainfall on the runoff process were studied. Results showed that the annual runoff coefficient of Eucalyptus plantations natural watershed was 0. 050,and 55. 4% lower than P. massoniana forest( 0. 112),with the difference being significant( P 〈 0. 01). Total runoff duration,time of maximum runoff lagging behind rainfall peak,and runoff duration caused by a heavy rainfall process( amounting to 147. 5 mm) between the two kinds of forest watersheds were significant different,those of Eucalyptus plantations were 35. 6 mm,0. 2 h and 13. 8 h,respectively,while those of P. massoniana forest were28. 5 mm,0. 7 h and 35. 5 h,respectively. Eucalyptus plantations natural watershed produced only 4-days runoff,and runoff depth amounted to3. 8 mm with a 7-days continuous precipitation process of rainfall with 125. 0 mm,while P. massoniana forest natural watershed produced continuously 13-days runoff,and the runoff depth was 10. 1 mm. In conclusion,water conservation capacity of Eucalyptus plantations is obviously lower than P. massoniana forest. 展开更多
关键词 Eucalyptus plantations P. massoniana forest Natural watershed runoff depth runoff processes
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Hydrological processes of glacier and snow melting and runoff in the Urumqi River source region, eastern Tianshan Mountains, China 被引量:6
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作者 SUN Meiping YAO Xiaojun +1 位作者 LI Zhongqin ZHANG Mingjun 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2015年第2期149-164,共16页
Hydrological processes were compared, with and without the influence of precipita- tion on discharge, to identify the differences between glacierized and non-glacierized catchments in the Urumqi River source region, o... Hydrological processes were compared, with and without the influence of precipita- tion on discharge, to identify the differences between glacierized and non-glacierized catchments in the Urumqi River source region, on the northern slope of the eastern Tianshan Mountains, during the melting season (May-September) in 2011. The study was based on hydrological data observed at 10-min intervals, meteorological data observed at 15-min intervals, and glacier melting and snow observations from the Empty Cirque, Zongkong, and Urumqi Glacier No.1 gauging stations. The results indicated that the discharge differed markedly among the three gauging stations. The daily discharge was more than the nightly discharge at the Glacier No.1 gauging station, which contrasted with the patterns observed at the Zongkong and Empty Cirque gauging stations. There was a clear daily variation in the discharge at the three gauging stations, with differences in the magnitude and duration of the peak discharge. When precipitation was not considered, the time-lags between the maximum discharge and the highest temperature were 1-3 h, 10-16 h, and 5-11 h at the Glacier No.l, Empty Cirque, and Zongkong gauging stations, respectively. When precipitation was taken into consideration, the corresponding time-lags were 0-1 h, 13 h, and 6-7 h, respectively. Therefore, the duration from the generation of discharge to confluence was the shortest in the glacierized catchment and the longest in the catchment where was mainly covered by snow. It was also shown that the hydrological process from the generation of discharge to confluence shortened when precipitation was considered. The factors influencing changes in the discharge among the three gauging stations were different. For Glacier No.1 station, the discharge was mainly controlled by heat conditions in the glacierized region, and the discharge displayed an accelerated growth when the temperature exceeded 5℃ in the melt season. It was found that the englacial and subglacial drainage channel of Glacier No.1 had become simpler during the past 20 years. Its weaker retardance and storage of glacier melting water resulted in rapid discharge confluence. It was also shown that the discharge curve and the time-lag between the maximum discharge and the highest temperature could be used to reveal the evolution of the drainage system and the process of glacier and snow melting at different levels of glacier coverage. 展开更多
关键词 glacier and snow melting runoff generation and confluence hydrological process Urumqi Riversource region Tianshan Mountains
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Hydrological Processes of Storm Runoff from Catchments of Different Land Uses
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作者 HONG Lin LI Minggang SONG Yuansheng 《Wuhan University Journal of Natural Sciences》 CAS 2007年第2期317-321,共5页
In this paper, a novel and efficient study on the hydrological processes of storm runoff from catchments of different land uses is conducted. The motivation is to precisely simulate the hydrological processes of storm... In this paper, a novel and efficient study on the hydrological processes of storm runoff from catchments of different land uses is conducted. The motivation is to precisely simulate the hydrological processes of storm runoff in the agricultural catchments with different patterns of land uses, i.e., forest, paddy, and upland, respectively. As it is discussed in this paper, different land use leads to different characteristics of storm runoff. In order to understand the changes in the hydrological processes of storm runoff from catchments of different land uses, the effects of rainfall intensity, initial soil moisture deficit, evapotranspiration rate, percolation rate, and retention capacity on hydrological processes of the catchments are taken into consideration. According to the principle of water balance, a general model to connect the separate hydrological processes is developed; then, the individual hydrological process is studied in detail: Firstly, the daily evaporation is calculated according to the relation between the actual evapotranspiration and the potential evapotranspiration rate; Secondly, the retention of storm runoff is plotted against the total rainfall, and the maximum storage is calculated; Thirdly, the percolation rate is calculated for each catchment. 展开更多
关键词 storm runoff hydrological process CATCHMENTS different land use
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Simulation Experimental Study on Hydrodynamics Process of Erosion and Sediment by Runoff in Grassland
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作者 XING En-de CUI Wei +1 位作者 LIU Yan-ping LI Jin-rong 《Meteorological and Environmental Research》 2012年第9期66-68,共3页
[Objective]The aim was to study the simulation test of hydrodynamics process of erosion.[Method]Through the runoff scouring experiment,the property of soil erosion in Damaoqi grassland in Inner Mongolia was studied.Th... [Objective]The aim was to study the simulation test of hydrodynamics process of erosion.[Method]Through the runoff scouring experiment,the property of soil erosion in Damaoqi grassland in Inner Mongolia was studied.The process and mechanism of soil erosion were studied.[Result]The results of runoff scouring experiment on inner Damaoqi steppe showed that the mean flow velocity of change slope increased with the discharge of flow and slope gradient.The mean silt content rate,the mean sediment transport rate and the mean sheer stress all increased when the discharge of flow increased,which changed in parabolic form with the increase of slope gradient and the critical gradient is 25°.The relationship between the mean sediment transport rate and the mean sheer stress was linear.[Conclusion]The study provided theoretic basis for the report of soil erosion in grassland in China. 展开更多
关键词 runoff scouring Grassland steppe Sand process Simulation experiment China
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伊洛河胡沟小流域雨强和坡度对产流影响的试验研究
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作者 白乐 闫俊飞 +1 位作者 苏晓慧 程存真 《人民黄河》 北大核心 2026年第1期41-45,共5页
研究不同降雨强度和坡度对伊洛河胡沟小流域产流过程的影响,为胡沟小流域水资源高效利用与生态环境保护提供依据。基于野外长期监测数据,探讨不同降雨强度和坡度组合条件下坡面产流量和产流速率变化特征,构建雨强和坡度与产流量驱动响... 研究不同降雨强度和坡度对伊洛河胡沟小流域产流过程的影响,为胡沟小流域水资源高效利用与生态环境保护提供依据。基于野外长期监测数据,探讨不同降雨强度和坡度组合条件下坡面产流量和产流速率变化特征,构建雨强和坡度与产流量驱动响应模型。结果表明:初始产流时间与雨强负相关,小雨强下坡度越大初始产流时间越短,随着雨强增大坡度效应减弱;产流历时在小雨强下呈现坡度越大历时越长的变化趋势;产流速率表现为初期快速上升、峰值后波动衰减的特征,其中小雨强下产流速率波动频繁,中雨强下相对平缓暂稳,大雨强下波动最为剧烈;雨强是影响产流动态稳定的核心因子,坡度影响产流响应节奏,雨强与坡度形成耦合驱动机制。 展开更多
关键词 降雨强度 产流过程 坡度 坡面 伊洛河胡沟流域
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结合注意力机制的ConvLSTM与新安江模型相融合的混合水文模型
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作者 张珂 刘杰 +2 位作者 王宇昊 申笑萱 齐千嘉 《水资源保护》 北大核心 2026年第1期137-143,151,共8页
为提高新安江模型(XAJ)在中小流域汇流计算中的精度,构建了结合注意力机制的卷积长短期记忆神经网络(ConvLSTM),用于替代XAJ中的汇流模块,从而建立了结合物理机制与机器学习技术的混合水文模型XAJ-ACL,基于呈村流域实测数据,探究了XAJ-... 为提高新安江模型(XAJ)在中小流域汇流计算中的精度,构建了结合注意力机制的卷积长短期记忆神经网络(ConvLSTM),用于替代XAJ中的汇流模块,从而建立了结合物理机制与机器学习技术的混合水文模型XAJ-ACL,基于呈村流域实测数据,探究了XAJ-ACL在中小流域有限样本容量条件下的性能,并分别采用ConvLSTM和传统LSTM替代XAJ汇流模块,构建了混合水文模型XAJ-CL和XAJ-LSTM进行对比分析。结果表明:在呈村流域径流模拟中,XAJ-ACL的模拟精度优于XAJ,测试期XAJ-ACL的纳什效率系数为0.85,相关系数为0.93,均高于XAJ;在3组小容量样本训练中,测试期XAJ-ACL的平均纳什效率系数分别为0.847、0.832和0.808,均高于XAJ-CL和XAJ-LSTM,且模拟结果表现出更好的稳定性;与XAJ相比,XAJ-ACL显著提升了有限资料条件下对中小流域汇流过程非线性规律的模拟能力。 展开更多
关键词 新安江模型 注意力机制 卷积长短期记忆神经网络 混合水文模型 汇流过程 径流模拟 呈村流域
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基于VIC模型的黄河上游冻土水热状态时空演变特征分析
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作者 高永亮 凌牧午 +5 位作者 任玉玲 白央 连炎清 管亚硕 冯夏婷 胡欢 《河海大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2026年第2期53-62,共10页
为探究黄河上游高原区冻土水文要素对气候变暖的响应特征,通过建立VIC模型模拟2006—2018年的黄河上游高原区流域水文过程,分析了研究区域内径流过程、活动层厚度(ALT)、土壤含水(冰)量、土壤温度等要素的变化特征。结果表明:多年冻土... 为探究黄河上游高原区冻土水文要素对气候变暖的响应特征,通过建立VIC模型模拟2006—2018年的黄河上游高原区流域水文过程,分析了研究区域内径流过程、活动层厚度(ALT)、土壤含水(冰)量、土壤温度等要素的变化特征。结果表明:多年冻土可依据年均地温划分为高温和低温两种类型,高温多年冻土分布较广,约占70%,低温多年冻土主要分布于海拔4000 m以上的山地地区,低温多年冻土ALT增厚速率更高,对气候变化的响应也更为敏感;上层(0~10 cm)、下层(10~30 cm)、深层土壤(30~100 cm)的年平均未冻水含量和土壤含冰量呈减少趋势,其中上层土壤变幅最小,鄂陵湖、扎陵湖附近下层土壤的未冻水含量和土壤含冰量减少明显;土壤深处节点的年内增温趋势相对稳定,升温速率约为0.02℃/a,秋冬季节增温趋势更为迅速且显著,该时段升温速率可达0.03℃/a。 展开更多
关键词 多年冻土 径流过程 土壤温度 土壤含水量 VIC模型 黄河上游
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基于景观格局与过程的地表水文联系指数构建
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作者 雷少刚 胡春辉 +2 位作者 孙浩宇 蒋立翔 张建莹 《煤炭学报》 北大核心 2026年第2期1570-1576,共7页
在资源开发、土地利用等人类活动高强度影响下,景观格局与地形地貌将发生显著变化,进而影响各生态单元之间的地表水文联系与过程。为空间定量表达景观格局变化对其所在流域内各生态单元土壤水地表径流补给能力的影响,描述各生态单元之... 在资源开发、土地利用等人类活动高强度影响下,景观格局与地形地貌将发生显著变化,进而影响各生态单元之间的地表水文联系与过程。为空间定量表达景观格局变化对其所在流域内各生态单元土壤水地表径流补给能力的影响,描述各生态单元之间的生态关系,基于景观生态学和地表径流过程原理,借鉴重力模型创新性构建了地表水文联系指数。该指数主要由反映地表径流汇集和土壤持水潜力的土壤地形指数作为联系项,以及反映不同生态单元之间地表径流路径上阻抗强度的阻力项2部分组成,联系项与阻力项呈比值关系。该指数对于景观格局改变引起的地表水文过程变化具有较好的指示意义,其与斑块密度、聚合度指数等常见景观指数相比具有明显的物理过程机制,以及空间分布式表达的优势。以某半干旱地区大型露天煤矿为例,分析了露天开采前后矿区地表水文联系指数变化的空间异质特征,结果发现开采导致矿区地表水文联系指数的空间异质性增强,排土场等区域地表水文联系明显减弱,采场区域地表水文联系显著增强。露天矿区挖损压占活动对周边区域地表水文联系的影响主要受地势径流路径主控,而并非随采坑或排土场远近呈等半径弧形均质扩散影响。该指数在用于空间分析景观格局与地形地貌变化条件下,对流域或景观尺度下地表土壤水再分布及其生态效应具有重要价值。 展开更多
关键词 景观生态 水文过程 地形湿度指数 生态关系 地表径流 生态影响
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暴雨条件下横垄坡面产汇流特征及其对微地形变化的响应
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作者 柯贤泽 杨艳 +1 位作者 郑子成 王娜娜 《水土保持研究》 北大核心 2026年第1期29-38,45,共11页
[目的]地表微地形变化势必会影响坡面产汇流特征,弄清横坡垄作坡面产汇流特征及其与微地形变化间关系,为区域水土流失有效防控提供支撑。[方法]采用室内人工模拟降雨方法,立足于微地形角度,开展降雨条件下不同垄高(5,10,15 cm)、垄距(50... [目的]地表微地形变化势必会影响坡面产汇流特征,弄清横坡垄作坡面产汇流特征及其与微地形变化间关系,为区域水土流失有效防控提供支撑。[方法]采用室内人工模拟降雨方法,立足于微地形角度,开展降雨条件下不同垄高(5,10,15 cm)、垄距(50,70,90 cm)的横垄坡面微地形变化与产汇流特征研究,明晰不同坡面产汇流对微地形变化的响应。[结果](1)各横垄坡面地表糙度总体随垄高(H)和垄距(L)的增加而增加,且受垄高(r=0.92,p<0.01)的影响远大于垄距(r=0.14);(2)结构水文连通性随距高比(L/H)减小而减小,功能水文连通性则在L/H为4.7~5.0区间的横垄坡面较低,水文连通面积比率较均值减少37.95%;(3)初始产流时间随L/H先增大后减小,中密垄(5.0 L/H)坡面初始产流时间最长(40 min);各坡面汇流型态以平行状为主,汇流网络均具有明显单分形特征,其复杂性和自相似性与L/H呈显著正相关;(4)地表微地形对汇流和产流特征的直接效应值分别为0.871(p<0.01)和-0.711(p>0.05),通过直接影响汇流过程进而间接影响坡面产流。[结论]研究区L/H在4.7~5.0区间的横垄坡面调控坡面产汇流效应最佳,研究结果有助于坡面横垄合理布设与区域水土流失有效防控。 展开更多
关键词 横垄坡面 微地形变化 产流过程 水文连通性 汇流网络
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气候变化对地下水补给与径流过程的影响研究
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作者 徐媛媛 栾娈 《地下水》 2026年第1期108-110,140,共4页
气候变化对水文过程和水资源分布的影响愈加显著,尤其在地下水补给与径流过程中。本文以烟台市为研究区,结合CMIP6气候模型和SWAT水文模型,定量分析了不同气候情景(低碳、中碳、高碳情景)下气候变化对地下水补给与径流量的影响。研究表... 气候变化对水文过程和水资源分布的影响愈加显著,尤其在地下水补给与径流过程中。本文以烟台市为研究区,结合CMIP6气候模型和SWAT水文模型,定量分析了不同气候情景(低碳、中碳、高碳情景)下气候变化对地下水补给与径流量的影响。研究表明,气候变化对水资源的时空分布影响较大,需加强水资源管理与适应性措施。其中,未来降水量将在各情景下显著增加,尤其在高碳情景下,2095-2104年年降水量预计增长24.60%。蒸发量也逐年增加,高碳情景下增幅为6%~8%。径流量在低碳情景下略有减少,高碳情景下增幅可达25.3%。地下水补给量在低碳情景下预计增长41%,而在高碳情景下则减少34%。不确定性分析显示,模型参数、气候模型选择及数据误差对结果有重要影响。本文为烟台市水资源管理和地下水保护提供了科学依据,并为未来水资源调度提供了理论支持。 展开更多
关键词 气候变化 地下水补给 降水量 径流过程
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基于GAMLSS模型的资水流域最大日径流研究
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作者 夏琳蓉 唐颖 +2 位作者 隆院男 宋昕熠 黄春福 《水利水电技术(中英文)》 北大核心 2026年第1期183-191,共9页
【目的】受全球气候变化和人类活动共同影响,资水流域极端气象水文事件日益增加,导致水文过程的一致性受到破坏,从而使得传统水文频率计算方法得到的计算结果存在不确定性。【方法】因此,基于资水流域桃江站1963—2022年水文气象资料,采... 【目的】受全球气候变化和人类活动共同影响,资水流域极端气象水文事件日益增加,导致水文过程的一致性受到破坏,从而使得传统水文频率计算方法得到的计算结果存在不确定性。【方法】因此,基于资水流域桃江站1963—2022年水文气象资料,采用GAMLSS模型构建多协变量组合不同分布的非一致模型,综合比较各模型的拟合优度,选择最优模型计算不同设计频率下的年最大日径流设计值。【结果】结果表明,降水对径流变化的贡献率为66.52%,是导致资水流域年最大日径流序列上升的主要原因。此外,以降水、气温以及水库指数为协变量的GA分布模型拟合效果最优,可有效阐述降水变化和人类活动影响下资水流域年最大日径流的动态变化特征。【结论】随着城市发展资水流域的年最大日径流受到降水显著影响,洪涝威胁日趋增大,研究结果可为变化环境下资水流域水资源管理和水安全维护提供一定参考。 展开更多
关键词 GAMLSS模型 协变量 年最大日径流 气候变化 人类活动 降水 水文过程 极端降雨
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Hillslope soil erosion and runoff model for natural rainfall events 被引量:3
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作者 Zhanyu Zhang Guohua Zhang +1 位作者 Changqing Zuo Xiaoyu Pi 《Acta Mechanica Sinica》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2008年第3期277-283,共7页
By using the momentum theorem and waterbalance principle, basic equations of slope runoff were derived, soil erosion by raindrop splash and runoff were discussed and a model was established for decribing hillslope soi... By using the momentum theorem and waterbalance principle, basic equations of slope runoff were derived, soil erosion by raindrop splash and runoff were discussed and a model was established for decribing hillslope soil erosion processes. The numerical solution of the model was obtained by adopting the Preissmann format and considering the common solution-determining conditions, from which not only the runoff and soil erosion but also their processes can be described. The model was validated by ten groups of observation data of Soil Conservation Ecological Science and Technology Demonstration Park of Jiangxi Province. Comparisons show that the maximum relative error between simulation and experimental data is about 10.98% for total runoff and 15 % for total erosion, 5.2% for runoffprocess and 6.1% for erosion process, indicating that the model is conceptually realistic and reliable and offers a feasible approach for further studies on the soil erosion process. 展开更多
关键词 Overland flow Raindrop splash runoff Erosion process Numerical simulation
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Simulation of hydrological processes of mountainous watersheds in inland river basins: taking the Heihe Mainstream River as an example 被引量:7
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作者 ZhenLiang YIN HongLang XIAO +4 位作者 SongBing ZOU Rui ZHU ZhiXiang LU YongChao LAN YongPing SHEN 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2014年第1期16-26,共11页
The hydrological processes of mountainous watersheds in inland river basins are complicated.It is absolutely significant to quantify mountainous runoff for social,economic and ecological purposes.This paper takes the ... The hydrological processes of mountainous watersheds in inland river basins are complicated.It is absolutely significant to quantify mountainous runoff for social,economic and ecological purposes.This paper takes the mountainous watershed of the Heihe Mainstream River as a study area to simulate the hydrological processes of mountainous watersheds in inland river basins by using the soil and water assessment tool(SWAT)model.SWAT simulation results show that both the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency and the determination coefficient values of the calibration period(January 1995 to December 2002)and validation period(January 2002 to December 2009)are higher than 0.90,and the percent bias is controlled within±5%,indicating that the simulation results are satisfactory.According to the SWAT performance,we discussed the yearly and monthly variation trends of the mountainous runoff and the runoff components.The results show that from 1996 to 2009,an indistinctive rising trend was observed for the yearly mountainous runoff,which is mainly recharged by lateral flow,and followed by shallow groundwater runoff and surface runoff.The monthly variation demonstrates that the mountainous runoff decreases slightly from May to July,contrary to other months.The mountainous runoff is mainly recharged by shallow groundwater runoff in January,February,and from October to December,by surface runoff in March and April,and by lateral flow from May to September. 展开更多
关键词 hydrological process mountainous runoff inland river basin soil and water assessment tool the Heihe Mainstream River
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Slope runoff study in situ using rainfall simulator in mountainous area of North China
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作者 于静洁 杨聪 +4 位作者 刘昌明 宋献方 胡珊珊 李发东 唐常源 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2009年第4期461-470,共10页
Simulated rainfall is a valid tool to examine the runoff generation on the slope.13 simulated rainfall experiments with different rainfall intensities and durations are completed in a 5 m ×10 m experimental plot ... Simulated rainfall is a valid tool to examine the runoff generation on the slope.13 simulated rainfall experiments with different rainfall intensities and durations are completed in a 5 m ×10 m experimental plot in mountainous area of North China.Simultaneously,rainfall,surface runoff,soil-layer flow,mantel-layer flow and soil moisture are monitored respectively.From the results,it is found that the hydrographs in all layers have the characteristics of rapid rise and fall.The recessions of surface flow and soil-layer flow are much faster than that of mantel-layer flow.Surface flow,the main contributor,makes up more than 60% of the total runoff in the study area.It even exceeds 90% in the cases of high intensity rainfall events.Runoff coefficient(ratio of total runoff to rainfall amount) is mainly influenced by rainfall amount,rainfall intensity and antecedent soil moisture,and the relationship can be well expressed by a multiple linear regression function α = 0.002P + 0.182i + 4.88Wa-0.821.The relation between the rainfall intensity and the lag time of three flows(surface runoff,soil-layer flow and mantel-layer flow) is shown to be exponential.Then,the result also shows that the recession constant is 0.75 for surface runoff,is 0.94 for soil-layer and mantel-layer flow in this area.In this study area,the dominant infiltration excess runoff is simulated by Horton model.About 0.10 mm/min percolation is observed under the condition of different rainfall intensities,therefore the value is regarded as the steady infiltration rate of the study area. 展开更多
关键词 simulated rainfall slope plot runoff generation process mountainous area of North China
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Effects of urban grass coverage on rainfall-induced runoff in Xi'an loess region in China
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作者 Jing Li, Zhan-bin Li +2 位作者 Meng-jing Guo Peng Li Sheng-dong Cheng 《Water Science and Engineering》 EI CAS CSCD 2017年第4期320-325,共6页
In this study, laboratory rainfall simulation experiments were conducted to investigate the regulatory effects of grass coverage on rainfallrunoff processes. A total of 80 grass blocks planted with well-grown manilagr... In this study, laboratory rainfall simulation experiments were conducted to investigate the regulatory effects of grass coverage on rainfallrunoff processes. A total of 80 grass blocks planted with well-grown manilagrass, together with their root systems, were sampled from an eastern suburban area of Xi'an City in the northwest arid area of China and sent to a laboratory for rainfall simulation experiments. The runoff and infiltration processes of a slope with different grass coverage ratios and vegetation patterns were analyzed. The results show that the runoff coefficient decreases with the increase of the grass coverage ratio, and the influence of grass coverage on the reduction of runoff shows a high degree of spatial variation. At a constant grass coverage ratio, as the area of grass coverage moves downward, the runoff coefficient, total runoff,and flood peak discharge gradually decrease, and the flood peak occurs later. With the increase of the grass coverage ratio, the flood peak discharge gradually decreases, and the flood peak occurs later as well. In conclusion, a high grass coverage ratio with the area of grass coverage located at the lower part of the slope will lead to satisfactory regulatory effects on rainfall-induced runoff. 展开更多
关键词 Rainfall simulation URBAN vegetation in arid area RAINFALL-runoff process Regulatory effect Xi'an LOESS REGION
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