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中国四大河月径流随机变化特性的探讨 被引量:3
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作者 丁晶 邓育仁 金菊良 《四川水力发电》 1993年第4期36-43,共8页
本文依据中国四大河(长江、黄河、松花江、西江)观测资料,用随机水文学的方法探索了四大河月径流时序变化特性和空间变化特性并在此基础上研究了表征月径流变化特性的模型。结果表明简单的季节性一阶自回归模型加上随机项的偏态变换可... 本文依据中国四大河(长江、黄河、松花江、西江)观测资料,用随机水文学的方法探索了四大河月径流时序变化特性和空间变化特性并在此基础上研究了表征月径流变化特性的模型。结果表明简单的季节性一阶自回归模型加上随机项的偏态变换可用来表征月径流的时序变化,主站模型可用来表征月径流的空间变化。结果还表明:长江和黄河月径流量的变化基本上是同步的,长江和松花江的月径流量变化表现出异步的趋势。 展开更多
关键词 月径流 随机模型 随机模拟
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The Heritability Theory of Heterosis and Its Meaning for Global Agriculture 被引量:15
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作者 WU Zhong-Xian 《Acta Genetica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 北大核心 2003年第3期193-200,共8页
This paper begins with the overthrow of the concept of combining ability in crossbreeding by the concept of heritability.The reason is that general combining ability changes with the number and kind of pure strains in... This paper begins with the overthrow of the concept of combining ability in crossbreeding by the concept of heritability.The reason is that general combining ability changes with the number and kind of pure strains in the foundation stock and hence special combining ability changes also,so that work with different kinds of pure strains in the foundation stock cannot be compared.Hence combining ability is useless as a parameter to predict the amount of heterosis expected in the next generation.On the other hand,since each cross has a separate heritability,it can be applied to a cross population just as successfully as in purebreeding.Since the same concept holds in both cases,resort to any other concept would be superfluous.That's why combining ability must be rejected.Another reason(not given in the full text)is,an infinite number of pure strains would be required in the foundation stock for its results to be comparable with those of the heritability theory,which disposes of its utility altogether.The main content of the thesis is then the centennial enigma of heterosis can be resolved by Descarte's theoretic method of deduction.Accordingly we start from the definition of heterosis.H=F¡-MP,where H is heterosis,F,is the first generation offspring,MP is the mean of the parents or midparent,and from the use of a binomial random variable and its extention to the multinomial case derive the basic relations of heterosis with its components.Starting with second degree statistics,we obtain Vn=Vr,-2cov(F,,MP)+Vup,where V and cov stand for variance and covariance.The equations of heterosis are v„=(1/2)Na²+(1/4)Nd’+Vr(F,)=additive dominance F,epistasis Vup=(1/2)Na’+(1/2)V1,additive parental epistasis V„=(1/4)Nd’+V(F)+(1/2)V1,dominance F,epistasis parental epistasis.where N is number of genes controlling a trait,a=(P1-P,)12,d is deviation from midparent,while the variance components are all indicated by their names under the repective terms.It turns out that all these can be easily computed from the data so that the problem becomes a simple one which any college student may solve.In other words,the right answers are found when the right questions are asked.Who had ever shown that the heritability principle is inapplicable in crossbreeding,e.g.,in a crossing of two pure strains?From this cue arose the realization that the F,of a cross of two pure strains must also be a Mendelian population,with p and q both equal to 1/2 which simplifies the algebra outright.This Heritability Theory of Heterosis,or HTH in capital letters,re-sts on 2 initial anguments:1)Since 0.5+0.5=1,crossing two pure strains gives a population which is only a special case of pure-breeding,thereforea heritability coefficient must exist for the F1;2)Our problem reduces to that of finding that coefficient;the an-swer is given by the additive component divided by Ve.,i.e.,(1/2)No'1 Vp..which is readily found from the solution of the het-erosis equations.Thus the elemnal enigma of heterosis is resolved!This happened at the end of the 20th century.We now come to the second point of the discovery,the new genetic parameter crossheritability which will rise in size with the increase of the number of times it's used and form the link between breeding and evolution.The advent of the Age of Evolution Engineering in the 21st century marks a totally new era,showing that artificial will ultimately supercede natural selection,with the long span of time element eliminated.For agriculture at least,it means there is no limit to the increase of food supply by the new method,with the concentra-tion of desirable genes by hybridization in place of the old theory of their fixation.Genetic gain is achieved through artificial selec-tion,with an 80%saving of time,labor and cost by adoption of the new method.Applied to a further increase in all kinds of agri-cultural products including hybrd rice,it means that a huge eacalation,in fact a New Green Revolution,on a much langer scale than that of any such before,is in view,provided it is adopted in our research and educational institutions as early as possible,ere its spread elsewhere.The possibilities from the evolution point of view can only be pictured by science fiction. 展开更多
关键词 heritability means amount in%c of a trait inherited to the next generation heterosis superiority of F offspring over ei-ther or both of their parents crossheritability heritability of a trait applied to a cross-population i.e a population obtained from a cross between two pure strains/breeds narrow heritability equivalent to heritability meaning the ad-ditive portion of all genetic components broad heritability all genetic components heteroticpower heterosis divided by the common denominator V(F ) variance of F individuals rundom variable a variable with a statistical distribu-tion binomial distribution a distribution with only two choices polynomial distribution a distribution in which the choices are more than two
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面向地理国情监测的CRF遥感影像分类
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作者 张春森 冯晨轶 +2 位作者 崔卫红 郑艺惟 孙志伟 《应用科学学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2016年第4期397-404,共8页
针对地理国情监测中地表覆盖信息的提取,提出了一种基于条件随机场的高分辨率遥感影像自动分类方法.与面向对象的传统分类方法不同,该方法基于概率图模型分别计算像素级和对象级的势函数,以及像素与它所属对象之间的层间势函数,将所得... 针对地理国情监测中地表覆盖信息的提取,提出了一种基于条件随机场的高分辨率遥感影像自动分类方法.与面向对象的传统分类方法不同,该方法基于概率图模型分别计算像素级和对象级的势函数,以及像素与它所属对象之间的层间势函数,将所得势函数统一到一个CRF模型中进行图割求解.该方法较充分地表达了像素与对象之间的关系,从而降低了对象分割误差传递对影像分类结果的影响.以"高分1号"遥感影像为实验数据,借鉴地理国情普查中地表覆盖分类体系进行实验验证.分类总体精度和平均精度分别达到91.08%和86.95%,远高于基于面向对象的分类结果. 展开更多
关键词 地理国情监测 地表覆盖信息提取 影像分类 条件随机场
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关于随机事件独立性的若干性质 被引量:1
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作者 吴俊 《安徽广播电视大学学报》 2000年第2期86-88,共3页
利用随机变量独立性来等价地刻化随机事件独立性 。
关键词 随机事件 示性函数 随机变量 独立性 概率
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