Accurate purchase prediction in e-commerce critically depends on the quality of behavioral features.This paper proposes a layered and interpretable feature engineering framework that organizes user signals into three ...Accurate purchase prediction in e-commerce critically depends on the quality of behavioral features.This paper proposes a layered and interpretable feature engineering framework that organizes user signals into three layers:Basic,Conversion&Stability(efficiency and volatility across actions),and Advanced Interactions&Activity(crossbehavior synergies and intensity).Using real Taobao(Alibaba’s primary e-commerce platform)logs(57,976 records for 10,203 users;25 November–03 December 2017),we conducted a hierarchical,layer-wise evaluation that holds data splits and hyperparameters fixed while varying only the feature set to quantify each layer’s marginal contribution.Across logistic regression(LR),decision tree,random forest,XGBoost,and CatBoost models with stratified 5-fold cross-validation,the performance improvedmonotonically fromBasic to Conversion&Stability to Advanced features.With LR,F1 increased from 0.613(Basic)to 0.962(Advanced);boosted models achieved high discrimination(0.995 AUC Score)and an F1 score up to 0.983.Calibration and precision–recall analyses indicated strong ranking quality and acknowledged potential dataset and period biases given the short(9-day)window.By making feature contributions measurable and reproducible,the framework complements model-centric advances and offers a transparent blueprint for production-grade behavioralmodeling.The code and processed artifacts are publicly available,and future work will extend the validation to longer,seasonal datasets and hybrid approaches that combine automated feature learning with domain-driven design.展开更多
Background of the study:The Bangladeshi cosmetics market has witnessed significant growth in recent years,driven by changing consumer lifestyles,increased disposable incomes,and rising awareness of personal grooming.T...Background of the study:The Bangladeshi cosmetics market has witnessed significant growth in recent years,driven by changing consumer lifestyles,increased disposable incomes,and rising awareness of personal grooming.The study investigates the impact of content cues which influence on purchasing intention towards cosmetic brands in Bangladesh.Purpose:The basic purpose of this study was to evaluate the factors influencing consumers’purchasing intentions for cosmetic brands in Bangladesh.Specifically,the study explored the roles of various cosmetic-related attributes and their impact on purchasing intentions within the context of Bangladesh’s cosmetic industry.Research methods:A quantitative research approach was adopted,and data were collected through a structured survey targeting Bangladeshi consumers who frequently engage with cosmetic products.All the valid responses were analyzed using SmartPLS 4.0 to perform structural equation modeling.Research findings:The findings revealed that trust in cosmetic brands and competitive pricing significantly influence consumers’purchasing intentions,highlighting the importance of fostering trust and affordability.However,certain constructs,such as ethnocentric tendencies and concerns about ingredient safety,showed limited impact on consumers’decisions.Conclusion:This study contributes to the existing literature by offering empirical insights into the Bangladeshi context,particularly within the rapidly growing cosmetics market.The findings provide actionable recommendations for cosmetic brands aiming to strengthen their market position through trust-building initiatives,competitive pricing strategies,and educational campaigns to enhance consumer awareness.These insights are particularly relevant for marketing practitioners seeking to understand and respond to the unique dynamics of the Bangladeshi cosmetics industry.展开更多
The purpose of this study is to analyze factors affecting the purchasing behavior of low-income Vietnamese on e-commerce platforms.700 questionnaires were dispersed among universities,coffee shops,and Facebook communi...The purpose of this study is to analyze factors affecting the purchasing behavior of low-income Vietnamese on e-commerce platforms.700 questionnaires were dispersed among universities,coffee shops,and Facebook community groups in Vietnam.Respondents to the questionnaires were consumers of those places in Vietnam,which were randomly selected.Finally,SEM analysis was used on the data to test the hypotheses of the study.The study identified that“Subjective norms”and“Consumer attitudes”have no effect on shopping behavior on e-commerce platforms,while“Perceived behavioral control”is most affected and“Perceived risks”are least affected on shopping behavior.展开更多
Social media has emerged as a major global influence on consumer behavior in recent years.User-generated,interactive content is made possible by platforms like Facebook,Instagram,YouTube,and TikTok,and it has a big im...Social media has emerged as a major global influence on consumer behavior in recent years.User-generated,interactive content is made possible by platforms like Facebook,Instagram,YouTube,and TikTok,and it has a big impact on opinions and buying decisions.Therefore,the objective of this research was to examine the influence of social media(online reviews,social media influencers,eWOM,advertisements,social media usage laws,and information)on consumers’purchase decisions of electronic products.Guided by the theory of planned behavior and social influence theory,a quantitative approach was used,with data collected via a structured questionnaire from 150 respondents over four weeks.Analysis was conducted using SPSS 30.SPSS analysis demonstrated that social media usage laws and social media influencers had a strong positive correlation with consumers’purchase decisions,highlighting their pivotal role in shaping preferences and disseminating information.Reliable and accessible product information also emerged as a significant predictor of consumer choices.In contrast,online reviews,eWOM,and advertisements exhibited minimal influence within this context or might have adverse influence.This article provides guidelines for electronic products to prioritize social media strategies,invest in high-quality information dissemination,and leverage influencer partnerships to effectively engage consumers and drive sales.展开更多
In the contemporary digital landscape,the proliferation of information has led to an increasing diversity of channels through which consumers obtain information,resulting in a gradual transformation of shopping habits...In the contemporary digital landscape,the proliferation of information has led to an increasing diversity of channels through which consumers obtain information,resulting in a gradual transformation of shopping habits.Consumers now frequently rely on external sources to make well-informed purchasing decisions,leading to the emergence of live shopping as a prominent avenue for gathering product information and completing transactions.E-commerce live streaming has experienced rapid growth,leveraging its ability to generate traffic and capture consumer attention.The integration of content and live streaming not only meets users’psychological needs but also facilitates seamless communication between buyers and sellers.From the perspective of content marketing typologies,this paper examines content marketing across three key dimensions:informational content,entertainment content,and emotional content.It further explores the impact of content marketing on consumers’purchase intentions within the context of e-commerce live streaming.展开更多
This paper presents a mathematical model for components/parts unification (CPU) policy. This model considers two components/parts that are functionally interchangeable but purchased from suppliers with different price...This paper presents a mathematical model for components/parts unification (CPU) policy. This model considers two components/parts that are functionally interchangeable but purchased from suppliers with different prices and quality characteristics. Because of the buyer's quality preference and suppliers' discount rates for bulky purchases, the model assists the procurement manager to determine how best to purchase the components/parts to meet its demand while minimizing the total acquisition costs.展开更多
In order to improve the purchased goods quality management level of food processing enterprises, the causes of quality management problems were ana- lyzed, which were classified into four categories, namely, natural t...In order to improve the purchased goods quality management level of food processing enterprises, the causes of quality management problems were ana- lyzed, which were classified into four categories, namely, natural toxins in raw ma- terials, quality problems in planting and breeding, quality problems in transportation, quality problems in delivery acceptance. Then, based on the causes, eight measures to improve goods purchasing management were put forward, and graphs were used to illustrate the corresponding countermeasure to each cause. This study is of theo- retical significance for the food processing enterprises to improve the quality man- agement of purchased goods through formulating improvement measures based on their operating states.展开更多
Raising ecological awareness and health concerns create question marks about healthiness and sustainability of conventional foods in customers' minds. Due to augmented mass media coverage of environmental problems, h...Raising ecological awareness and health concerns create question marks about healthiness and sustainability of conventional foods in customers' minds. Due to augmented mass media coverage of environmental problems, health concerns related to consumption of genetically modified food and/or chemical contaminants in food, and consumers' increasing interest in healthy nutrition and environmental protection, there is a growing interest for organic foods in all over the world. Growing interest for organic foods, and increasing production and demand in organic food market has made organic food consumption a significant topic of research. Although organic food market and demand for organic foods have also been growing in Turkey, literature regarding organic food consumption is not very extensive. Therefore, this study aims to understand the underlying motives for organic food consumption in Turkey, and to explore the factors affecting Turkish consumers' attitudes towards organic foods and the behavioral intention of Turkish consumers to purchase organic food by the help of the theory of reasoned action (TRA). The results of 622 successful surveys used for this empirical research indicate that Turkish consumers' attitudes towards organic foods are determined by perception of organic foods, consumer values, and price perception, while their purchase intention is determined by health consciousness, perception of organic foods, consumer values, price perception, and environmental concerns.展开更多
Objective To study the characteristics, specific functions and policy improvement process of the Group Purchasing Organizations (GPOs) in the U.S. and to provide references for drug group purchasing practices in China...Objective To study the characteristics, specific functions and policy improvement process of the Group Purchasing Organizations (GPOs) in the U.S. and to provide references for drug group purchasing practices in China. Methods Domestic and foreign relevant literatures, websites were reviewed or searched to analyze the functions and policy improvement process of the GPOs in the U.S. so as to provide references for drug group purchasing practices in China. Results and Conclusion As a third party in the U.S. GPOs has formed a relatively integrated business process and projects service system after long-term development. Supported by corresponding policies and industrial regulations, GPOs have made a great contribution to control the growth of medical and healthcare expenses and improve the efficiency of medical institutions, and its development experience can enlighten the practices in China.展开更多
Inter-purchase time is a critical factor for predicting customer churn.Improving the prediction accuracy can exploit consumer’s preference and allow businesses to learn about product or pricing plan weak points,opera...Inter-purchase time is a critical factor for predicting customer churn.Improving the prediction accuracy can exploit consumer’s preference and allow businesses to learn about product or pricing plan weak points,operation issues,as well as customer expectations to proactively reduce reasons for churn.Although remarkable progress has been made,classic statistical models are difficult to capture behavioral characteristics in transaction data because transaction data are dependent and short-,medium-,and long-term data are likely to interfere with each other sequentially.Different from literature,this study proposed a hybrid inter-purchase time prediction model for customers of on-line retailers.Moreover,the analysis of differences in the purchase behavior of customers has been particularly highlighted.The integrated self-organizing map and Recurrent Neural Network technique is proposed to not only address the problem of purchase behavior but also improve the prediction accuracy of inter-purchase time.The permutation importance method was used to identify crucial variables in the prediction model and to interpret customer purchase behavior.The performance of the proposed method is evaluated by comparing the prediction with the results of three competing approaches on the transaction data provided by a leading e-retailer in Taiwan.This study provides a valuable reference for marketing professionals to better understand and develop strategies to attract customers to shorten their inter-purchase times.展开更多
Based on farmers'supply behavior theory and price expectations theory,this paper establishes grain farmers'supply response model of two major grain varieties(early indica rice and mixed wheat)in the major prod...Based on farmers'supply behavior theory and price expectations theory,this paper establishes grain farmers'supply response model of two major grain varieties(early indica rice and mixed wheat)in the major producing areas,to test whether the minimum grain purchase price policy can have price-oriented effect on grain production and supply in the major producing areas.Empirical analysis shows that the minimum purchase price published annually by the government has significant positive impact on farmers'grain supply in the major grain producing areas.In recent years,China steadily raises the level of minimum grain purchase price,which has played an important role in effectively protecting grain farmers'interests,mobilizing the enthusiasm of farmers'grain production,and ensuring the market supply of key grain varieties.展开更多
By comparing the related total cost before and after the formation of purchasing consortia, the impetus of formation is analyzed. Moreover, pointed to different transportation and storage policies, the formation impet...By comparing the related total cost before and after the formation of purchasing consortia, the impetus of formation is analyzed. Moreover, pointed to different transportation and storage policies, the formation impetus is studied in detail and some conclusions are arrived at. Finally the research orientation of the formation impetus of purchasing consortia is exploratory presented under more complicated conditions, and purchasing consortia in more cross-zones and multi-segment will occur in China.展开更多
In terms of the common practice of professional grading and loose-leaf purchasing technology, the advantages of these technologies were demonstrated. The problems and proposals of the professional grading leaves purch...In terms of the common practice of professional grading and loose-leaf purchasing technology, the advantages of these technologies were demonstrated. The problems and proposals of the professional grading leaves purchasing model were also summarized and analyzed, so as to provide practical experiences for fur- ther promotion of loose-leaf purchasing.展开更多
Consider a risk-averse newsvendor who has an option to purchase the units that are short at an emergency purchase price after demand is realized. We use the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) as the risk measure. The ...Consider a risk-averse newsvendor who has an option to purchase the units that are short at an emergency purchase price after demand is realized. We use the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) as the risk measure. The aim of the study is to investigate the optimal ordering decision in such a setting under CVaR only and mean-CVaR criterions. For each case, we derive the closed-form optimal solution and perform comparative statics to show the monotonicity properties and other characteristics of the optimal decisions. We also compare our results with those of risk-neutral newsvendor.展开更多
The optimization policy of the purchase price and the profit under vendor managed inventory(VMI) is studied. For a salable product, supply chain mode of VMI is established, which is based on deterministic demand, havi...The optimization policy of the purchase price and the profit under vendor managed inventory(VMI) is studied. For a salable product, supply chain mode of VMI is established, which is based on deterministic demand, having initial stock and having stock-out cost. With the further analysis of the mode, VMI is found to increase profits of the buyer in the short-term motivation. But VMI will reduce profits of the supplier under the matching condition. And in the short-term motivation, VMI will increase the purchase price to compensate the transfer cost of the supplier. As a result, the foundation of theory is provided to implement VMI in the supply chain, and have some definituded project significance.展开更多
The developments of Internet and e-commerce provide a new market place to businessman to sell their products and allow people to buy products via Internet as well as to create a new shopping media to consumers. The st...The developments of Internet and e-commerce provide a new market place to businessman to sell their products and allow people to buy products via Internet as well as to create a new shopping media to consumers. The study aims to investigate the factors affecting consumers' purchase decision via Internet and how product characteristics affect cyber shopping in Hong Kong. The study has revealed that the security of personal data,delivery time, product brand and price were the major concerns for developing cyber market. For marketing apparel products, brand loyalty becomes very important since consumers' judging confidence on the products can be increased in terms of fitting standards and quality aspects.展开更多
Based on perceived risk,the impacts of different kinds of risks on consumer's purchase intention are tested by using the investigation data of 2016,and perceived risks of consumers from different groups have diffe...Based on perceived risk,the impacts of different kinds of risks on consumer's purchase intention are tested by using the investigation data of 2016,and perceived risks of consumers from different groups have different impacts on purchase intention. Via interviews and online questionnaires,425 copies of effective samples were obtained. The structural equation modeling is used for research. Results display that product risk significantly affects purchase intention,and perceived risk among different groups has significant difference. According to research conclusion,the authors think that consumer should actively collect all kinds of information and take effective risk avoidance measures; Taobao platform should continuously perfect purchase rule,punish the behavior of leaking buyers' information,and continuously update Alipay software to prevent hacker intrusion; business should guarantee product quality,open information and make scientific marketing strategy.展开更多
The research on consumers' purchase intention for 3G handsets has important theoretical and practical value. This research puts forward four key factors which influence consumers' purchase intention based on t...The research on consumers' purchase intention for 3G handsets has important theoretical and practical value. This research puts forward four key factors which influence consumers' purchase intention based on the cue utilization theory, situational theory and social impact theory, then it establishes the study model for consumers' purchase intention of 3G handsets. Based on the result of the questionnaire survey and empirical analysis, the study shows that social influence is the most prominent factor in purchase intention. Moreover, as different from results of previous studies, the situational influence factors have no significant impact on purchase intention in the 3G handsets market. The results of the model provides a forceful evidence for operators' and handset manufacturers' decision-making of 3G handsets design and marketing strategies, and it will improve their social impact.展开更多
In Europe Health Organizations are progressively modifying their management models to rationalize expenditure in order to assure better levels of effectiveness and efficiency: many countries are going to centralize th...In Europe Health Organizations are progressively modifying their management models to rationalize expenditure in order to assure better levels of effectiveness and efficiency: many countries are going to centralize the management of goods and services supply. In this paper a specific model of centralized purchasing is proposed;it is particularly suitable in cases of severe economy suffering at regional level (e.g. Campania, Lazio, Calabria in Italy) or at national level (e.g. Greece, Ireland, Italy), that means in all those cases where the scale economies, obtainable by supply centralization, would be partly or totally compromised by the extra charges induced by the missing of contractual commitments. This work aims either to analyse such specific approach for centralized purchasing or to propose a simulation model based on Petri net, which could be useful for designing and managing similar case studies.展开更多
In this study,related models of alloy purchasing decision system in the Baoshan base of Baosteel are discussed.First,the corresponding relationship between steel grades and alloy consumption is established through met...In this study,related models of alloy purchasing decision system in the Baoshan base of Baosteel are discussed.First,the corresponding relationship between steel grades and alloy consumption is established through metallurgical-mechanism modeling and statistical analysis.Then,the alloy-demand prediction model based on alloy unit consumption and time series analysis is developed by combining sales plans and historical data.Finally,the alloy purchasing and inventory optimization model is developed to minimize the total cost of purchase and storage by combining inventory optimization theories.展开更多
基金supported by the research fund of Hanyang University(HY-202500000001616).
文摘Accurate purchase prediction in e-commerce critically depends on the quality of behavioral features.This paper proposes a layered and interpretable feature engineering framework that organizes user signals into three layers:Basic,Conversion&Stability(efficiency and volatility across actions),and Advanced Interactions&Activity(crossbehavior synergies and intensity).Using real Taobao(Alibaba’s primary e-commerce platform)logs(57,976 records for 10,203 users;25 November–03 December 2017),we conducted a hierarchical,layer-wise evaluation that holds data splits and hyperparameters fixed while varying only the feature set to quantify each layer’s marginal contribution.Across logistic regression(LR),decision tree,random forest,XGBoost,and CatBoost models with stratified 5-fold cross-validation,the performance improvedmonotonically fromBasic to Conversion&Stability to Advanced features.With LR,F1 increased from 0.613(Basic)to 0.962(Advanced);boosted models achieved high discrimination(0.995 AUC Score)and an F1 score up to 0.983.Calibration and precision–recall analyses indicated strong ranking quality and acknowledged potential dataset and period biases given the short(9-day)window.By making feature contributions measurable and reproducible,the framework complements model-centric advances and offers a transparent blueprint for production-grade behavioralmodeling.The code and processed artifacts are publicly available,and future work will extend the validation to longer,seasonal datasets and hybrid approaches that combine automated feature learning with domain-driven design.
基金Correspondence concerning this article should be addressed to Meher Neger,Comilla University,Comilla,Bangladesh.
文摘Background of the study:The Bangladeshi cosmetics market has witnessed significant growth in recent years,driven by changing consumer lifestyles,increased disposable incomes,and rising awareness of personal grooming.The study investigates the impact of content cues which influence on purchasing intention towards cosmetic brands in Bangladesh.Purpose:The basic purpose of this study was to evaluate the factors influencing consumers’purchasing intentions for cosmetic brands in Bangladesh.Specifically,the study explored the roles of various cosmetic-related attributes and their impact on purchasing intentions within the context of Bangladesh’s cosmetic industry.Research methods:A quantitative research approach was adopted,and data were collected through a structured survey targeting Bangladeshi consumers who frequently engage with cosmetic products.All the valid responses were analyzed using SmartPLS 4.0 to perform structural equation modeling.Research findings:The findings revealed that trust in cosmetic brands and competitive pricing significantly influence consumers’purchasing intentions,highlighting the importance of fostering trust and affordability.However,certain constructs,such as ethnocentric tendencies and concerns about ingredient safety,showed limited impact on consumers’decisions.Conclusion:This study contributes to the existing literature by offering empirical insights into the Bangladeshi context,particularly within the rapidly growing cosmetics market.The findings provide actionable recommendations for cosmetic brands aiming to strengthen their market position through trust-building initiatives,competitive pricing strategies,and educational campaigns to enhance consumer awareness.These insights are particularly relevant for marketing practitioners seeking to understand and respond to the unique dynamics of the Bangladeshi cosmetics industry.
文摘The purpose of this study is to analyze factors affecting the purchasing behavior of low-income Vietnamese on e-commerce platforms.700 questionnaires were dispersed among universities,coffee shops,and Facebook community groups in Vietnam.Respondents to the questionnaires were consumers of those places in Vietnam,which were randomly selected.Finally,SEM analysis was used on the data to test the hypotheses of the study.The study identified that“Subjective norms”and“Consumer attitudes”have no effect on shopping behavior on e-commerce platforms,while“Perceived behavioral control”is most affected and“Perceived risks”are least affected on shopping behavior.
文摘Social media has emerged as a major global influence on consumer behavior in recent years.User-generated,interactive content is made possible by platforms like Facebook,Instagram,YouTube,and TikTok,and it has a big impact on opinions and buying decisions.Therefore,the objective of this research was to examine the influence of social media(online reviews,social media influencers,eWOM,advertisements,social media usage laws,and information)on consumers’purchase decisions of electronic products.Guided by the theory of planned behavior and social influence theory,a quantitative approach was used,with data collected via a structured questionnaire from 150 respondents over four weeks.Analysis was conducted using SPSS 30.SPSS analysis demonstrated that social media usage laws and social media influencers had a strong positive correlation with consumers’purchase decisions,highlighting their pivotal role in shaping preferences and disseminating information.Reliable and accessible product information also emerged as a significant predictor of consumer choices.In contrast,online reviews,eWOM,and advertisements exhibited minimal influence within this context or might have adverse influence.This article provides guidelines for electronic products to prioritize social media strategies,invest in high-quality information dissemination,and leverage influencer partnerships to effectively engage consumers and drive sales.
文摘In the contemporary digital landscape,the proliferation of information has led to an increasing diversity of channels through which consumers obtain information,resulting in a gradual transformation of shopping habits.Consumers now frequently rely on external sources to make well-informed purchasing decisions,leading to the emergence of live shopping as a prominent avenue for gathering product information and completing transactions.E-commerce live streaming has experienced rapid growth,leveraging its ability to generate traffic and capture consumer attention.The integration of content and live streaming not only meets users’psychological needs but also facilitates seamless communication between buyers and sellers.From the perspective of content marketing typologies,this paper examines content marketing across three key dimensions:informational content,entertainment content,and emotional content.It further explores the impact of content marketing on consumers’purchase intentions within the context of e-commerce live streaming.
文摘This paper presents a mathematical model for components/parts unification (CPU) policy. This model considers two components/parts that are functionally interchangeable but purchased from suppliers with different prices and quality characteristics. Because of the buyer's quality preference and suppliers' discount rates for bulky purchases, the model assists the procurement manager to determine how best to purchase the components/parts to meet its demand while minimizing the total acquisition costs.
基金Supported by the Key Scientific Research Program of Beijing Municipal Commission of Education in 2013~~
文摘In order to improve the purchased goods quality management level of food processing enterprises, the causes of quality management problems were ana- lyzed, which were classified into four categories, namely, natural toxins in raw ma- terials, quality problems in planting and breeding, quality problems in transportation, quality problems in delivery acceptance. Then, based on the causes, eight measures to improve goods purchasing management were put forward, and graphs were used to illustrate the corresponding countermeasure to each cause. This study is of theo- retical significance for the food processing enterprises to improve the quality man- agement of purchased goods through formulating improvement measures based on their operating states.
文摘Raising ecological awareness and health concerns create question marks about healthiness and sustainability of conventional foods in customers' minds. Due to augmented mass media coverage of environmental problems, health concerns related to consumption of genetically modified food and/or chemical contaminants in food, and consumers' increasing interest in healthy nutrition and environmental protection, there is a growing interest for organic foods in all over the world. Growing interest for organic foods, and increasing production and demand in organic food market has made organic food consumption a significant topic of research. Although organic food market and demand for organic foods have also been growing in Turkey, literature regarding organic food consumption is not very extensive. Therefore, this study aims to understand the underlying motives for organic food consumption in Turkey, and to explore the factors affecting Turkish consumers' attitudes towards organic foods and the behavioral intention of Turkish consumers to purchase organic food by the help of the theory of reasoned action (TRA). The results of 622 successful surveys used for this empirical research indicate that Turkish consumers' attitudes towards organic foods are determined by perception of organic foods, consumer values, and price perception, while their purchase intention is determined by health consciousness, perception of organic foods, consumer values, price perception, and environmental concerns.
文摘Objective To study the characteristics, specific functions and policy improvement process of the Group Purchasing Organizations (GPOs) in the U.S. and to provide references for drug group purchasing practices in China. Methods Domestic and foreign relevant literatures, websites were reviewed or searched to analyze the functions and policy improvement process of the GPOs in the U.S. so as to provide references for drug group purchasing practices in China. Results and Conclusion As a third party in the U.S. GPOs has formed a relatively integrated business process and projects service system after long-term development. Supported by corresponding policies and industrial regulations, GPOs have made a great contribution to control the growth of medical and healthcare expenses and improve the efficiency of medical institutions, and its development experience can enlighten the practices in China.
基金gratefully acknowledge financial support of the MOST 110-2221-E-027-110.
文摘Inter-purchase time is a critical factor for predicting customer churn.Improving the prediction accuracy can exploit consumer’s preference and allow businesses to learn about product or pricing plan weak points,operation issues,as well as customer expectations to proactively reduce reasons for churn.Although remarkable progress has been made,classic statistical models are difficult to capture behavioral characteristics in transaction data because transaction data are dependent and short-,medium-,and long-term data are likely to interfere with each other sequentially.Different from literature,this study proposed a hybrid inter-purchase time prediction model for customers of on-line retailers.Moreover,the analysis of differences in the purchase behavior of customers has been particularly highlighted.The integrated self-organizing map and Recurrent Neural Network technique is proposed to not only address the problem of purchase behavior but also improve the prediction accuracy of inter-purchase time.The permutation importance method was used to identify crucial variables in the prediction model and to interpret customer purchase behavior.The performance of the proposed method is evaluated by comparing the prediction with the results of three competing approaches on the transaction data provided by a leading e-retailer in Taiwan.This study provides a valuable reference for marketing professionals to better understand and develop strategies to attract customers to shorten their inter-purchase times.
文摘Based on farmers'supply behavior theory and price expectations theory,this paper establishes grain farmers'supply response model of two major grain varieties(early indica rice and mixed wheat)in the major producing areas,to test whether the minimum grain purchase price policy can have price-oriented effect on grain production and supply in the major producing areas.Empirical analysis shows that the minimum purchase price published annually by the government has significant positive impact on farmers'grain supply in the major grain producing areas.In recent years,China steadily raises the level of minimum grain purchase price,which has played an important role in effectively protecting grain farmers'interests,mobilizing the enthusiasm of farmers'grain production,and ensuring the market supply of key grain varieties.
文摘By comparing the related total cost before and after the formation of purchasing consortia, the impetus of formation is analyzed. Moreover, pointed to different transportation and storage policies, the formation impetus is studied in detail and some conclusions are arrived at. Finally the research orientation of the formation impetus of purchasing consortia is exploratory presented under more complicated conditions, and purchasing consortia in more cross-zones and multi-segment will occur in China.
文摘In terms of the common practice of professional grading and loose-leaf purchasing technology, the advantages of these technologies were demonstrated. The problems and proposals of the professional grading leaves purchasing model were also summarized and analyzed, so as to provide practical experiences for fur- ther promotion of loose-leaf purchasing.
基金Supported by the Social Science Foundation of the Ministry of Education of China (07JA630015)
文摘Consider a risk-averse newsvendor who has an option to purchase the units that are short at an emergency purchase price after demand is realized. We use the conditional value-at-risk (CVaR) as the risk measure. The aim of the study is to investigate the optimal ordering decision in such a setting under CVaR only and mean-CVaR criterions. For each case, we derive the closed-form optimal solution and perform comparative statics to show the monotonicity properties and other characteristics of the optimal decisions. We also compare our results with those of risk-neutral newsvendor.
文摘The optimization policy of the purchase price and the profit under vendor managed inventory(VMI) is studied. For a salable product, supply chain mode of VMI is established, which is based on deterministic demand, having initial stock and having stock-out cost. With the further analysis of the mode, VMI is found to increase profits of the buyer in the short-term motivation. But VMI will reduce profits of the supplier under the matching condition. And in the short-term motivation, VMI will increase the purchase price to compensate the transfer cost of the supplier. As a result, the foundation of theory is provided to implement VMI in the supply chain, and have some definituded project significance.
文摘The developments of Internet and e-commerce provide a new market place to businessman to sell their products and allow people to buy products via Internet as well as to create a new shopping media to consumers. The study aims to investigate the factors affecting consumers' purchase decision via Internet and how product characteristics affect cyber shopping in Hong Kong. The study has revealed that the security of personal data,delivery time, product brand and price were the major concerns for developing cyber market. For marketing apparel products, brand loyalty becomes very important since consumers' judging confidence on the products can be increased in terms of fitting standards and quality aspects.
文摘Based on perceived risk,the impacts of different kinds of risks on consumer's purchase intention are tested by using the investigation data of 2016,and perceived risks of consumers from different groups have different impacts on purchase intention. Via interviews and online questionnaires,425 copies of effective samples were obtained. The structural equation modeling is used for research. Results display that product risk significantly affects purchase intention,and perceived risk among different groups has significant difference. According to research conclusion,the authors think that consumer should actively collect all kinds of information and take effective risk avoidance measures; Taobao platform should continuously perfect purchase rule,punish the behavior of leaking buyers' information,and continuously update Alipay software to prevent hacker intrusion; business should guarantee product quality,open information and make scientific marketing strategy.
基金supported by China Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities under Grant No.2011RC1006Humanities and Social Sciences Planning Fund Project, Ministry of Education of the PRC under Grant No.11YJA630081
文摘The research on consumers' purchase intention for 3G handsets has important theoretical and practical value. This research puts forward four key factors which influence consumers' purchase intention based on the cue utilization theory, situational theory and social impact theory, then it establishes the study model for consumers' purchase intention of 3G handsets. Based on the result of the questionnaire survey and empirical analysis, the study shows that social influence is the most prominent factor in purchase intention. Moreover, as different from results of previous studies, the situational influence factors have no significant impact on purchase intention in the 3G handsets market. The results of the model provides a forceful evidence for operators' and handset manufacturers' decision-making of 3G handsets design and marketing strategies, and it will improve their social impact.
文摘In Europe Health Organizations are progressively modifying their management models to rationalize expenditure in order to assure better levels of effectiveness and efficiency: many countries are going to centralize the management of goods and services supply. In this paper a specific model of centralized purchasing is proposed;it is particularly suitable in cases of severe economy suffering at regional level (e.g. Campania, Lazio, Calabria in Italy) or at national level (e.g. Greece, Ireland, Italy), that means in all those cases where the scale economies, obtainable by supply centralization, would be partly or totally compromised by the extra charges induced by the missing of contractual commitments. This work aims either to analyse such specific approach for centralized purchasing or to propose a simulation model based on Petri net, which could be useful for designing and managing similar case studies.
基金sponsored by National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2017YFB0304100)。
文摘In this study,related models of alloy purchasing decision system in the Baoshan base of Baosteel are discussed.First,the corresponding relationship between steel grades and alloy consumption is established through metallurgical-mechanism modeling and statistical analysis.Then,the alloy-demand prediction model based on alloy unit consumption and time series analysis is developed by combining sales plans and historical data.Finally,the alloy purchasing and inventory optimization model is developed to minimize the total cost of purchase and storage by combining inventory optimization theories.