Projections of future urban land change are essential for a range of sustainability assessments,including those related to biodiversity loss,carbon emissions,and agricultural land conversion.However,to what extent and...Projections of future urban land change are essential for a range of sustainability assessments,including those related to biodiversity loss,carbon emissions,and agricultural land conversion.However,to what extent and where current projections agree or disagree remains unknown.Here,we systematically compare existing global projections that are consistent with the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways.We find that the total global urban land area is expected to increase by 112%between 2020 and 2100(averaged across all projections),with a coefficient of variation of 0.81.This variation is mostly caused by the selection of the underlying drivers that are included in the different models.Regionally,the highest average growth rates are found in sub-Saharan Africa(+679%to+730%),while this region also has the highest variation across projections(coefficient of variation ranging from 2.02 to 2.18).When ranking scenarios within a study from the highest to the lowest projected increase in urban land,rankings are relatively similar for regions in the Global North,but not for regions in the Global South.The large disagreement across projections can lead to high uncertainties in assessments of future urban land change impacts,which can undermine the effectiveness of long-term planning,policymaking,and resource management decisions.展开更多
Climate models are essential for understanding past,present,and future changes in atmospheric circulation,with circulation modes providing key sources of seasonal predictability and prediction uncertainties for both g...Climate models are essential for understanding past,present,and future changes in atmospheric circulation,with circulation modes providing key sources of seasonal predictability and prediction uncertainties for both global and regional climates.This study assesses the performance of models participating in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project in simulating interannual variability modes of Northern Hemisphere 500-hPa geopotential height during winter and summer,distinguishing predictable(potentially predictable on seasonal or longer timescales)and unpredictable(intraseasonal and essentially unpredictable at long range)components,using reanalysis data and a variance decomposition method.Although most models effectively capture unpredictable modes in reanalysis,their ability to reproduce dominant predictable modes-specifically the Pacific-North American pattern,Arctic Oscillation,and Western Pacific Oscillation in winter,and the East Atlantic and North Atlantic Oscillations in summer-varies notably.An optimal ensemble is identified to distinguish(a)predictable-external modes,dominated by external forcing,and(b)predictable-internal modes,associated with slow internal variability,during the historical period(1950-2014)and the SSP5-8.5 scenario(2036-2100).Under increased radiative forcing,the leading winter/summer predictable-external mode exhibits a more uniform spatial distribution,remarkably larger trend and annual variance,and enhanced height-sea surface temperature(SST)covariance under SSP5-8.5 compared to historical conditions.The dominant winter/summer predictable-internal modes also exhibit increased variance and height-SST covariance under SSP5-8.5,along with localized changes in spatial configuration.Minimal changes are observed in spatial distribution or variance for dominant winter/summer unpredictable modes under SSP5-8.5.This study,from a predictive perspective,deepens our understanding of model uncertainties and projected changes in circulations.展开更多
Andrew Wangota,a 48-year-old Ugandan farmer,has been using agrivoltaics technology,a solar technology that uses agricultural land for both food production and solar power generation,on his farm in Bunashimolo Parish,B...Andrew Wangota,a 48-year-old Ugandan farmer,has been using agrivoltaics technology,a solar technology that uses agricultural land for both food production and solar power generation,on his farm in Bunashimolo Parish,Bukyiende Subcounty in Uganda where he has been cultivating plantain,coffee and Irish potatoes for the past 16 years.展开更多
Objective expertise evaluation of individuals,as a prerequisite stage for team formation,has been a long-term desideratum in large software development companies.With the rapid advancements in machine learning methods...Objective expertise evaluation of individuals,as a prerequisite stage for team formation,has been a long-term desideratum in large software development companies.With the rapid advancements in machine learning methods,based on reliable existing data stored in project management tools’datasets,automating this evaluation process becomes a natural step forward.In this context,our approach focuses on quantifying software developer expertise by using metadata from the task-tracking systems.For this,we mathematically formalize two categories of expertise:technology-specific expertise,which denotes the skills required for a particular technology,and general expertise,which encapsulates overall knowledge in the software industry.Afterward,we automatically classify the zones of expertise associated with each task a developer has worked on using Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers(BERT)-like transformers to handle the unique characteristics of project tool datasets effectively.Finally,our method evaluates the proficiency of each software specialist across already completed projects from both technology-specific and general perspectives.The method was experimentally validated,yielding promising results.展开更多
The global monsoon system,encompassing the Asian-Australian,African,and American monsoons,sustains two-thirds of the world’s population by regulating water resources and agriculture.Monsoon anomalies pose severe risk...The global monsoon system,encompassing the Asian-Australian,African,and American monsoons,sustains two-thirds of the world’s population by regulating water resources and agriculture.Monsoon anomalies pose severe risks,including floods and droughts.Recent research associated with the implementation of the Global Monsoons Model Intercomparison Project under the umbrella of CMIP6 has advanced our understanding of its historical variability and driving mechanisms.Observational data reveal a 20th-century shift:increased rainfall pre-1950s,followed by aridification and partial recovery post-1980s,driven by both internal variability(e.g.,Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation)and external forcings(greenhouse gases,aerosols),while ENSO drives interannual variability through ocean-atmosphere interactions.Future projections under greenhouse forcing suggest long-term monsoon intensification,though regional disparities and model uncertainties persist.Models indicate robust trends but struggle to quantify extremes,where thermodynamic effects(warming-induced moisture rise)uniformly boost heavy rainfall,while dynamical shifts(circulation changes)create spatial heterogeneity.Volcanic eruptions and proposed solar radiation modification(SRM)further complicate predictions:tropical eruptions suppress monsoons,whereas high-latitude events alter cross-equatorial flows,highlighting unresolved feedbacks.The emergent constraint approach is booming in terms of correcting future projections and reducing uncertainty with respect to the global monsoons.Critical challenges remain.Model biases and sparse 20th-century observational data hinder accurate attribution.The interplay between natural variability and anthropogenic forcings,along with nonlinear extreme precipitation risks under warming,demands deeper mechanistic insights.Additionally,SRM’s regional impacts and hemispheric monsoon interactions require systematic evaluation.Addressing these gaps necessitates enhanced observational networks,refined climate models,and interdisciplinary efforts to disentangle multiscale drivers,ultimately improving resilience strategies for monsoon-dependent regions.展开更多
当下,小学英语板块教学存在活动形式单一化、探究活动浅表化等问题,综合育人价值未能完全发挥。为改变这一现状,文章以人教版英语(PEP)四年级上册Unit 1“Helping at home”的“Project:Make a poster of a happy family”为例,以项目...当下,小学英语板块教学存在活动形式单一化、探究活动浅表化等问题,综合育人价值未能完全发挥。为改变这一现状,文章以人教版英语(PEP)四年级上册Unit 1“Helping at home”的“Project:Make a poster of a happy family”为例,以项目化学习为支架,围绕项目设计、过程实施、评价反馈、成果展示等维度探究有效教学策略,旨在优化Project板块的教学模式,引导学生在项目化学习中提升语言运用能力和综合实践能力。展开更多
The construction projects’ dynamic and interconnected nature requires a comprehensive understanding of complexity during pre-construction. Traditional tools such as Gantt charts, CPM, and PERT often overlook uncertai...The construction projects’ dynamic and interconnected nature requires a comprehensive understanding of complexity during pre-construction. Traditional tools such as Gantt charts, CPM, and PERT often overlook uncertainties. This study identifies 20 complexity factors through expert interviews and literature, categorising them into six groups. The Analytical Hierarchy Process evaluated the significance of different factors, establishing their corresponding weights to enhance adaptive project scheduling. A system dynamics (SD) model is developed and tested to evaluate the dynamic behaviour of identified complexity factors. The model simulates the impact of complexity on total project duration (TPD), revealing significant deviations from initial deterministic estimates. Data collection and analysis for reliability tests, including normality and Cronbach alpha, to validate the model’s components and expert feedback. Sensitivity analysis confirmed a positive relationship between complexity and project duration, with higher complexity levels resulting in increased TPD. This relationship highlights the inadequacy of static planning approaches and underscores the importance of addressing complexity dynamically. The study provides a framework for enhancing planning systems through system dynamics and recommends expanding the model to ensure broader applicability in diverse construction projects.展开更多
Thepaper investigates the properties of the Lambert equivalent azimuthal projection,which is often used in normal aspect in atlases for maps of the northern and southern hemispheres.The field of research is theoretica...Thepaper investigates the properties of the Lambert equivalent azimuthal projection,which is often used in normal aspect in atlases for maps of the northern and southern hemispheres.The field of research is theoretical in nature and assumes a mastery of mathematics because it deals with map projections.The transverse aspect is commonly used for eastern and western hemisphere atlas maps.In addition,the Hammer projection was created fromthe transverse aspect of that projection.Therefore,if we want to get to know the Hammer projection better,we must first investigate the Lambert equivalent azimuthal projection in detail.While investigating this projection,it was observed that the equations of the transverse aspect can be represented in several ways.After that,it was necessary to determine the most suitable form of the equations of that projection for the calculation of partial derivatives,which are necessary for determining distortions.The article presents the distribution of factors of local linear scales along the(pseudo)meridians and(pseudo)parallels,and found that in the Lambert equivalent azimuthal projection,there can exist only one point where the distortion is equal to zero.The general case of a normal and transverse Lambert equivalent azimuthal projection has not been observed so far,and that is the new contribution of this article.展开更多
We propose a hybrid and contingent approach to the management of digital projects,based on the assumption that there is not an absolute best way,but the approach should fit context and environment.The pillars of our c...We propose a hybrid and contingent approach to the management of digital projects,based on the assumption that there is not an absolute best way,but the approach should fit context and environment.The pillars of our contingent framework are Agile methodologies,predictive project management,and AI.The analysis of project management methodologies is based on a layered project model.Specifically,we identify 4 project concentric layers for both Agile and predictive project management.That layered model allows us to deploy different methodologies consistently with the distinct characteristics of each project.We describe the key characteristics of each approach and,also,we map Agile methodologies on the sociotechnical profile of projects.Finally,we summarize the impact of AI on predictive and hybrid projects.展开更多
Let X be a real uniformly convex and uniformly smooth Banach space and C a nonempty closed and convex subset of X.Let Π_(C):X→C denote the generalized metric projection operator introduced by Alber in[1].In this pap...Let X be a real uniformly convex and uniformly smooth Banach space and C a nonempty closed and convex subset of X.Let Π_(C):X→C denote the generalized metric projection operator introduced by Alber in[1].In this paper,we define the Gâteaux directional differentiability of Π_(C).We investigate some properties of the Gâteaux directional differentiability of Π_(C).In particular,if C is a closed ball,or a closed and convex cone(including proper closed subspaces),or a closed and convex cylinder,then,we give the exact representations of the directional derivatives of Π_(C).By comparing the results in[12]and this paper,we see the significant difference between the directional derivatives of the generalized metric projection operator Π_(C) and the Gâteaux directional derivatives of the standard metric projection operator PC.展开更多
The Fringe Projection Profilometry(FPP)system with a single exposure time or a single projection intensity is limited by the dynamic range of the camera,which can lead to overexposure and underexposure of the image,re...The Fringe Projection Profilometry(FPP)system with a single exposure time or a single projection intensity is limited by the dynamic range of the camera,which can lead to overexposure and underexposure of the image,resulting in point cloud loss or reduced accuracy.To address this issue,unlike the pixel modulation method of projectors,we utilize the characteristics of color projectors where the intensity of the three-channel LED can be controlled independently.We propose a method for separating the projector's three-channel light intensity,combined with a color camera,to achieve single exposure and multi-intensity image acquisition.Further,the crosstalk coefficient is applied to predict the three-channel reflectance of the measured object.By integrating clustering and channel mapping,we establish a pixel-level mapping model between the projector's three-channel current and the camera's three-channel image intensity,which realizes the optimal projection current prediction and the high dynamic range(HDR)image acquisition.The proposed method allows for high-precision three-dimensional(3D)data acquisition of HDR scenes with a single exposure.The effectiveness of this method has been validated through experiments with standard planes and standard steps,showing a significant reduction in mean absolute error(44.6%)compared to existing singleexposure HDR methods.Additionally,the number of images required for acquisition is significantly reduced(by 70.8%)compared to multi-exposure fusion methods.This proposed method has great potential in various FPP-related fields.展开更多
Benefit evaluation of debris flow prevention and control projects was one of the essential contents of debris flow prevention and mitigation work.In order to scientifically and quantitatively evaluate the comprehensiv...Benefit evaluation of debris flow prevention and control projects was one of the essential contents of debris flow prevention and mitigation work.In order to scientifically and quantitatively evaluate the comprehensive benefit of debris flow prevention and control projects,this study identified nine factors as evaluation indicators from economic,social,and ecological aspects.The projection pursuit(PP) model based on the improved particle swarm optimization(IPSO) algorithm was used to construct a mathematical model to evaluate the benefit of debris flow prevention and control projects.The interpolation method was applied to divide the benefit grades.The debris flow prevention and control projects in Qipan,Taoguan,Chutou,Anjia,and Mozi gullies in Wenchuan County were chosen as typical cases for empirical analysis.The case study revealed that,among the criteria layer indicators,investment per unit of the protected area,investment per unit of the protected population,the amount of water and soil conservation,and reduction rate of accumulation fan had the most significant weights.The social and ecological benefits were found to be the more important in the target layer.The comprehensive benefit of Qipan,Taoguan,Chutou,Anjia,and Mozi gullies was found to be 4.44,4.83,1.95,3,and 2,respectively.The benefit ranking of the five gullies was consistent with their effectiveness in disaster prevention ranking in the flood season of 2019.Therefore,it could prove that the newly-built benefit evaluation model was practical and feasible,and the evaluation results of the sample could be reasonably interpreted,which verified the effectiveness of the methods.展开更多
This paper focuses on the procurement of construction projects in universities,conducting research on the influencing factors of procurement risks in such projects.By combining questionnaire surveys with expert interv...This paper focuses on the procurement of construction projects in universities,conducting research on the influencing factors of procurement risks in such projects.By combining questionnaire surveys with expert interviews,numerous factors affecting procurement are analyzed.Subsequently,these factors are refined and summarized to construct a procurement risk evaluation index system for construction projects,which includes three first-level indicators,such as process management risk and ethical/legal risk,and is further subdivided into 13 second-level indicators.展开更多
Currently,the international economic situation is becoming increasingly complex,and there is significant downward pressure on the global economy.In recent years,China’s infrastructure sector has experienced rapid gro...Currently,the international economic situation is becoming increasingly complex,and there is significant downward pressure on the global economy.In recent years,China’s infrastructure sector has experienced rapid growth,with the structure of its power engineering business gradually shifting from traditional infrastructure construction to more diversified areas such as production and operation,as well as emergency repairs.As a result,the transformation of mechanized construction in power transmission and transformation projects has become increasingly urgent.This article proposes a post-evaluation model based on game theory to improve comprehensive weighting and fuzzy grey relational projection sorting,which can be used to evaluate the optimal mechanized construction scheme for power transmission and transformation projects.The model begins by considering the entire lifecycle of power transmission and transformation projects.It constructs a post-evaluation index system that covers the planning and design stage,on-site construction stage,operation and maintenance stage,and the decommissioning and disposal stage,with corresponding calculation methods for each index.The fuzzy grey correlation projection sorting method is then employed to evaluate and rank the construction schemes.To validate the model’s effectiveness,a case study of a power transmission and transformation project in a specific region of China is used.The comprehensive benefits of three proposed mechanized construction schemes are evaluated and compared.According to the evaluation results,Scheme 1 is ranked the highest,with a membership degree of 0.870945,excelling in sustainability.These results suggest that the proposed model can effectively evaluate and make decisions regarding the optimal mechanized construction plan for power transmission and transformation projects.展开更多
Investigating the ecological impact of land use change in the context of the construction of national water network project is crucial,as it is imperative for achieving the sustainable development goals of the nationa...Investigating the ecological impact of land use change in the context of the construction of national water network project is crucial,as it is imperative for achieving the sustainable development goals of the national water network and guaranteeing regional ecological stability.Using the Danjiangkou Reservoir Area(DRA),China as the study area,this paper first examined the spatiotemporal dynamics of natural landscape patterns and ecosystem service values(ESV)in the DRA from 2000 to 2018 and then investigated the spatial clustering characteristics of the ESV using spatial statistical analysis tools.Finally,the patch-generating land use simulation(PLUS)model was used to simulate the natural landscape and future changes in the ESV of the DRA from 2018 to 2028 under four different development scenarios:business as usual(BAU),economic development(ED),ecological protection(EP),and shoreline protection(SP).The results show that:during 2000-2018,the construction of water facilities had a significant impact on regional land use/land cover(LULC)change,with a 24830 ha increase in watershed area.ESV exhibited an increasing trend,with a significant and growing spatial clustering effect.The transformation of farmland to water bodies led to accelerated ESV growth,while the transformation of forest land to farmland led to a decrease in the ESV.Normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI)had the strongest effect on the ESV.ESV exhibited a continuous increase from 2018 to 2028 under all the simulation scenarios.The EP scenario had the greatest increase in ESV,while the ED scenario had the smallest increase.The findings suggest that projected land use patterns under different scenarios have varied impacts on ecosystem services(ESs)and that the management and planning of the DRA should balance social,economic,ecological,and security benefits.nomic,ecological,and security benefits.展开更多
基金supported by the Netherlands Organization for Scientific Research NWO in the form of a VIDI grant(Grant No.VI.Vidi.198.008).
文摘Projections of future urban land change are essential for a range of sustainability assessments,including those related to biodiversity loss,carbon emissions,and agricultural land conversion.However,to what extent and where current projections agree or disagree remains unknown.Here,we systematically compare existing global projections that are consistent with the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways.We find that the total global urban land area is expected to increase by 112%between 2020 and 2100(averaged across all projections),with a coefficient of variation of 0.81.This variation is mostly caused by the selection of the underlying drivers that are included in the different models.Regionally,the highest average growth rates are found in sub-Saharan Africa(+679%to+730%),while this region also has the highest variation across projections(coefficient of variation ranging from 2.02 to 2.18).When ranking scenarios within a study from the highest to the lowest projected increase in urban land,rankings are relatively similar for regions in the Global North,but not for regions in the Global South.The large disagreement across projections can lead to high uncertainties in assessments of future urban land change impacts,which can undermine the effectiveness of long-term planning,policymaking,and resource management decisions.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.U2342210 and 42275043)the National Institute of Natural Hazards,Ministry of Emergency Management of China(Grant Nos.J2223806,ZDJ2024-25 and ZDJ2025-34)。
文摘Climate models are essential for understanding past,present,and future changes in atmospheric circulation,with circulation modes providing key sources of seasonal predictability and prediction uncertainties for both global and regional climates.This study assesses the performance of models participating in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project in simulating interannual variability modes of Northern Hemisphere 500-hPa geopotential height during winter and summer,distinguishing predictable(potentially predictable on seasonal or longer timescales)and unpredictable(intraseasonal and essentially unpredictable at long range)components,using reanalysis data and a variance decomposition method.Although most models effectively capture unpredictable modes in reanalysis,their ability to reproduce dominant predictable modes-specifically the Pacific-North American pattern,Arctic Oscillation,and Western Pacific Oscillation in winter,and the East Atlantic and North Atlantic Oscillations in summer-varies notably.An optimal ensemble is identified to distinguish(a)predictable-external modes,dominated by external forcing,and(b)predictable-internal modes,associated with slow internal variability,during the historical period(1950-2014)and the SSP5-8.5 scenario(2036-2100).Under increased radiative forcing,the leading winter/summer predictable-external mode exhibits a more uniform spatial distribution,remarkably larger trend and annual variance,and enhanced height-sea surface temperature(SST)covariance under SSP5-8.5 compared to historical conditions.The dominant winter/summer predictable-internal modes also exhibit increased variance and height-SST covariance under SSP5-8.5,along with localized changes in spatial configuration.Minimal changes are observed in spatial distribution or variance for dominant winter/summer unpredictable modes under SSP5-8.5.This study,from a predictive perspective,deepens our understanding of model uncertainties and projected changes in circulations.
文摘Andrew Wangota,a 48-year-old Ugandan farmer,has been using agrivoltaics technology,a solar technology that uses agricultural land for both food production and solar power generation,on his farm in Bunashimolo Parish,Bukyiende Subcounty in Uganda where he has been cultivating plantain,coffee and Irish potatoes for the past 16 years.
基金supported by the project“Romanian Hub for Artificial Intelligence-HRIA”,Smart Growth,Digitization and Financial Instruments Program,2021–2027,MySMIS No.334906.
文摘Objective expertise evaluation of individuals,as a prerequisite stage for team formation,has been a long-term desideratum in large software development companies.With the rapid advancements in machine learning methods,based on reliable existing data stored in project management tools’datasets,automating this evaluation process becomes a natural step forward.In this context,our approach focuses on quantifying software developer expertise by using metadata from the task-tracking systems.For this,we mathematically formalize two categories of expertise:technology-specific expertise,which denotes the skills required for a particular technology,and general expertise,which encapsulates overall knowledge in the software industry.Afterward,we automatically classify the zones of expertise associated with each task a developer has worked on using Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers(BERT)-like transformers to handle the unique characteristics of project tool datasets effectively.Finally,our method evaluates the proficiency of each software specialist across already completed projects from both technology-specific and general perspectives.The method was experimentally validated,yielding promising results.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2020YFA0608904)the International Partnership Program of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant Nos.060GJHZ2023079GC and 134111KYSB20160031)+1 种基金supported by the Office of Science,U.S.Department of Energy(DOE)Biological and Environmental Research as part of the Regional and Global Model Analysis program area through the Water Cycle and Climate Extremes Modeling(WACCEM)scientific focus areaoperated for DOE by Battelle Memorial Institute under contract DE-AC05-76RL01830。
文摘The global monsoon system,encompassing the Asian-Australian,African,and American monsoons,sustains two-thirds of the world’s population by regulating water resources and agriculture.Monsoon anomalies pose severe risks,including floods and droughts.Recent research associated with the implementation of the Global Monsoons Model Intercomparison Project under the umbrella of CMIP6 has advanced our understanding of its historical variability and driving mechanisms.Observational data reveal a 20th-century shift:increased rainfall pre-1950s,followed by aridification and partial recovery post-1980s,driven by both internal variability(e.g.,Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation)and external forcings(greenhouse gases,aerosols),while ENSO drives interannual variability through ocean-atmosphere interactions.Future projections under greenhouse forcing suggest long-term monsoon intensification,though regional disparities and model uncertainties persist.Models indicate robust trends but struggle to quantify extremes,where thermodynamic effects(warming-induced moisture rise)uniformly boost heavy rainfall,while dynamical shifts(circulation changes)create spatial heterogeneity.Volcanic eruptions and proposed solar radiation modification(SRM)further complicate predictions:tropical eruptions suppress monsoons,whereas high-latitude events alter cross-equatorial flows,highlighting unresolved feedbacks.The emergent constraint approach is booming in terms of correcting future projections and reducing uncertainty with respect to the global monsoons.Critical challenges remain.Model biases and sparse 20th-century observational data hinder accurate attribution.The interplay between natural variability and anthropogenic forcings,along with nonlinear extreme precipitation risks under warming,demands deeper mechanistic insights.Additionally,SRM’s regional impacts and hemispheric monsoon interactions require systematic evaluation.Addressing these gaps necessitates enhanced observational networks,refined climate models,and interdisciplinary efforts to disentangle multiscale drivers,ultimately improving resilience strategies for monsoon-dependent regions.
文摘当下,小学英语板块教学存在活动形式单一化、探究活动浅表化等问题,综合育人价值未能完全发挥。为改变这一现状,文章以人教版英语(PEP)四年级上册Unit 1“Helping at home”的“Project:Make a poster of a happy family”为例,以项目化学习为支架,围绕项目设计、过程实施、评价反馈、成果展示等维度探究有效教学策略,旨在优化Project板块的教学模式,引导学生在项目化学习中提升语言运用能力和综合实践能力。
文摘The construction projects’ dynamic and interconnected nature requires a comprehensive understanding of complexity during pre-construction. Traditional tools such as Gantt charts, CPM, and PERT often overlook uncertainties. This study identifies 20 complexity factors through expert interviews and literature, categorising them into six groups. The Analytical Hierarchy Process evaluated the significance of different factors, establishing their corresponding weights to enhance adaptive project scheduling. A system dynamics (SD) model is developed and tested to evaluate the dynamic behaviour of identified complexity factors. The model simulates the impact of complexity on total project duration (TPD), revealing significant deviations from initial deterministic estimates. Data collection and analysis for reliability tests, including normality and Cronbach alpha, to validate the model’s components and expert feedback. Sensitivity analysis confirmed a positive relationship between complexity and project duration, with higher complexity levels resulting in increased TPD. This relationship highlights the inadequacy of static planning approaches and underscores the importance of addressing complexity dynamically. The study provides a framework for enhancing planning systems through system dynamics and recommends expanding the model to ensure broader applicability in diverse construction projects.
文摘Thepaper investigates the properties of the Lambert equivalent azimuthal projection,which is often used in normal aspect in atlases for maps of the northern and southern hemispheres.The field of research is theoretical in nature and assumes a mastery of mathematics because it deals with map projections.The transverse aspect is commonly used for eastern and western hemisphere atlas maps.In addition,the Hammer projection was created fromthe transverse aspect of that projection.Therefore,if we want to get to know the Hammer projection better,we must first investigate the Lambert equivalent azimuthal projection in detail.While investigating this projection,it was observed that the equations of the transverse aspect can be represented in several ways.After that,it was necessary to determine the most suitable form of the equations of that projection for the calculation of partial derivatives,which are necessary for determining distortions.The article presents the distribution of factors of local linear scales along the(pseudo)meridians and(pseudo)parallels,and found that in the Lambert equivalent azimuthal projection,there can exist only one point where the distortion is equal to zero.The general case of a normal and transverse Lambert equivalent azimuthal projection has not been observed so far,and that is the new contribution of this article.
文摘We propose a hybrid and contingent approach to the management of digital projects,based on the assumption that there is not an absolute best way,but the approach should fit context and environment.The pillars of our contingent framework are Agile methodologies,predictive project management,and AI.The analysis of project management methodologies is based on a layered project model.Specifically,we identify 4 project concentric layers for both Agile and predictive project management.That layered model allows us to deploy different methodologies consistently with the distinct characteristics of each project.We describe the key characteristics of each approach and,also,we map Agile methodologies on the sociotechnical profile of projects.Finally,we summarize the impact of AI on predictive and hybrid projects.
文摘Let X be a real uniformly convex and uniformly smooth Banach space and C a nonempty closed and convex subset of X.Let Π_(C):X→C denote the generalized metric projection operator introduced by Alber in[1].In this paper,we define the Gâteaux directional differentiability of Π_(C).We investigate some properties of the Gâteaux directional differentiability of Π_(C).In particular,if C is a closed ball,or a closed and convex cone(including proper closed subspaces),or a closed and convex cylinder,then,we give the exact representations of the directional derivatives of Π_(C).By comparing the results in[12]and this paper,we see the significant difference between the directional derivatives of the generalized metric projection operator Π_(C) and the Gâteaux directional derivatives of the standard metric projection operator PC.
文摘The Fringe Projection Profilometry(FPP)system with a single exposure time or a single projection intensity is limited by the dynamic range of the camera,which can lead to overexposure and underexposure of the image,resulting in point cloud loss or reduced accuracy.To address this issue,unlike the pixel modulation method of projectors,we utilize the characteristics of color projectors where the intensity of the three-channel LED can be controlled independently.We propose a method for separating the projector's three-channel light intensity,combined with a color camera,to achieve single exposure and multi-intensity image acquisition.Further,the crosstalk coefficient is applied to predict the three-channel reflectance of the measured object.By integrating clustering and channel mapping,we establish a pixel-level mapping model between the projector's three-channel current and the camera's three-channel image intensity,which realizes the optimal projection current prediction and the high dynamic range(HDR)image acquisition.The proposed method allows for high-precision three-dimensional(3D)data acquisition of HDR scenes with a single exposure.The effectiveness of this method has been validated through experiments with standard planes and standard steps,showing a significant reduction in mean absolute error(44.6%)compared to existing singleexposure HDR methods.Additionally,the number of images required for acquisition is significantly reduced(by 70.8%)compared to multi-exposure fusion methods.This proposed method has great potential in various FPP-related fields.
基金financially supported by the National Key Research and Development Program(No.2018YFC1505402)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41871174)+1 种基金the Science and Technology Department of Sichuan Province(No.2020YFSY0013)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities Project(No.2682019CX19)。
文摘Benefit evaluation of debris flow prevention and control projects was one of the essential contents of debris flow prevention and mitigation work.In order to scientifically and quantitatively evaluate the comprehensive benefit of debris flow prevention and control projects,this study identified nine factors as evaluation indicators from economic,social,and ecological aspects.The projection pursuit(PP) model based on the improved particle swarm optimization(IPSO) algorithm was used to construct a mathematical model to evaluate the benefit of debris flow prevention and control projects.The interpolation method was applied to divide the benefit grades.The debris flow prevention and control projects in Qipan,Taoguan,Chutou,Anjia,and Mozi gullies in Wenchuan County were chosen as typical cases for empirical analysis.The case study revealed that,among the criteria layer indicators,investment per unit of the protected area,investment per unit of the protected population,the amount of water and soil conservation,and reduction rate of accumulation fan had the most significant weights.The social and ecological benefits were found to be the more important in the target layer.The comprehensive benefit of Qipan,Taoguan,Chutou,Anjia,and Mozi gullies was found to be 4.44,4.83,1.95,3,and 2,respectively.The benefit ranking of the five gullies was consistent with their effectiveness in disaster prevention ranking in the flood season of 2019.Therefore,it could prove that the newly-built benefit evaluation model was practical and feasible,and the evaluation results of the sample could be reasonably interpreted,which verified the effectiveness of the methods.
文摘This paper focuses on the procurement of construction projects in universities,conducting research on the influencing factors of procurement risks in such projects.By combining questionnaire surveys with expert interviews,numerous factors affecting procurement are analyzed.Subsequently,these factors are refined and summarized to construct a procurement risk evaluation index system for construction projects,which includes three first-level indicators,such as process management risk and ethical/legal risk,and is further subdivided into 13 second-level indicators.
文摘Currently,the international economic situation is becoming increasingly complex,and there is significant downward pressure on the global economy.In recent years,China’s infrastructure sector has experienced rapid growth,with the structure of its power engineering business gradually shifting from traditional infrastructure construction to more diversified areas such as production and operation,as well as emergency repairs.As a result,the transformation of mechanized construction in power transmission and transformation projects has become increasingly urgent.This article proposes a post-evaluation model based on game theory to improve comprehensive weighting and fuzzy grey relational projection sorting,which can be used to evaluate the optimal mechanized construction scheme for power transmission and transformation projects.The model begins by considering the entire lifecycle of power transmission and transformation projects.It constructs a post-evaluation index system that covers the planning and design stage,on-site construction stage,operation and maintenance stage,and the decommissioning and disposal stage,with corresponding calculation methods for each index.The fuzzy grey correlation projection sorting method is then employed to evaluate and rank the construction schemes.To validate the model’s effectiveness,a case study of a power transmission and transformation project in a specific region of China is used.The comprehensive benefits of three proposed mechanized construction schemes are evaluated and compared.According to the evaluation results,Scheme 1 is ranked the highest,with a membership degree of 0.870945,excelling in sustainability.These results suggest that the proposed model can effectively evaluate and make decisions regarding the optimal mechanized construction plan for power transmission and transformation projects.
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42371315,41901213)Natural Science Foundation of Hubei Province(No.2020CFB856)Project of Changjiang Survey,Planning,Design and Research Co.,Ltd(No.CX2022Z23)。
文摘Investigating the ecological impact of land use change in the context of the construction of national water network project is crucial,as it is imperative for achieving the sustainable development goals of the national water network and guaranteeing regional ecological stability.Using the Danjiangkou Reservoir Area(DRA),China as the study area,this paper first examined the spatiotemporal dynamics of natural landscape patterns and ecosystem service values(ESV)in the DRA from 2000 to 2018 and then investigated the spatial clustering characteristics of the ESV using spatial statistical analysis tools.Finally,the patch-generating land use simulation(PLUS)model was used to simulate the natural landscape and future changes in the ESV of the DRA from 2018 to 2028 under four different development scenarios:business as usual(BAU),economic development(ED),ecological protection(EP),and shoreline protection(SP).The results show that:during 2000-2018,the construction of water facilities had a significant impact on regional land use/land cover(LULC)change,with a 24830 ha increase in watershed area.ESV exhibited an increasing trend,with a significant and growing spatial clustering effect.The transformation of farmland to water bodies led to accelerated ESV growth,while the transformation of forest land to farmland led to a decrease in the ESV.Normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI)had the strongest effect on the ESV.ESV exhibited a continuous increase from 2018 to 2028 under all the simulation scenarios.The EP scenario had the greatest increase in ESV,while the ED scenario had the smallest increase.The findings suggest that projected land use patterns under different scenarios have varied impacts on ecosystem services(ESs)and that the management and planning of the DRA should balance social,economic,ecological,and security benefits.nomic,ecological,and security benefits.
