Shale gas wells frequently suffer from liquid loading and insufficient formation pressure in the late stage of production.To address this issue,an intelligent production optimization method for low pressure and low pr...Shale gas wells frequently suffer from liquid loading and insufficient formation pressure in the late stage of production.To address this issue,an intelligent production optimization method for low pressure and low productivity shale gas well is proposed.Based on the artificial intelligence algorithms,this method realizes automatic production and monitoring of gas well.The method can forecast the production performance of a single well by using the long short-term memory neural network and then guide gas well production accordingly,to fulfill liquid loading warning and automatic intermittent production.Combined with adjustable nozzle,the method can keep production and pressure of gas wells stable automatically,extend normal production time of shale gas wells,enhance automatic level of well sites,and reach the goal of refined production management by making production regime for each well.Field tests show that wells with production regime optimized by this method increased 15%in estimated ultimate reserve(EUR).Compared with the development mode of drainage after depletion recovery,this method is more economical and can increase and stabilize production effectively,so it has a bright application prospect.展开更多
This study introduces a novel approach to addressing the challenges of high-dimensional variables and strong nonlinearity in reservoir production and layer configuration optimization.For the first time,relational mach...This study introduces a novel approach to addressing the challenges of high-dimensional variables and strong nonlinearity in reservoir production and layer configuration optimization.For the first time,relational machine learning models are applied in reservoir development optimization.Traditional regression-based models often struggle in complex scenarios,but the proposed relational and regression-based composite differential evolution(RRCODE)method combines a Gaussian naive Bayes relational model with a radial basis function network regression model.This integration effectively captures complex relationships in the optimization process,improving both accuracy and convergence speed.Experimental tests on a multi-layer multi-channel reservoir model,the Egg reservoir model,and a real-field reservoir model(the S reservoir)demonstrate that RRCODE significantly reduces water injection and production volumes while increasing economic returns and cumulative oil recovery.Moreover,the surrogate models employed in RRCODE exhibit lightweight characteristics with low computational overhead.These results highlight RRCODE's superior performance in the integrated optimization of reservoir production and layer configurations,offering more efficient and economically viable solutions for oilfield development.展开更多
The production optimization in the closed-loop reservoir management is generally empirical,and challenged by the issues such as low precision,low efficiency,and difficulty in solving constrained optimization problems....The production optimization in the closed-loop reservoir management is generally empirical,and challenged by the issues such as low precision,low efficiency,and difficulty in solving constrained optimization problems.This paper outlines the main principles,advantages and disadvantages of commonly used production optimization methods/models,and then proposes an intelligent integrated production optimization method for waterflooding reservoirs that considers efficiency and precision,real-time and long-term effects,and the interaction and synergy between a variety of optimization models.This method integrates multiple optimization methods/models,such as reservoir performance analysis,reduced-physics models,and reservoir numerical models,with these model results and insights organically coupled to facilitate model construction and matching.This proposed method is elucidated and verified by field examples.The findings indicate that the optimal production optimization model varies depending on the specific application scenario.Reduced-physics models are conducive to short-term real-time optimization,whereas the simulator-based surrogate optimization and streamline-based simulation optimization methods are more suitable for long-term optimization strategy formulation,both of which need to be implemented under reasonable constraints from the perspective of reservoir engineering in order to be of practical value.展开更多
Shale gas wells often face challenges in maintaining continuous and stable production due to their coexistence with high-and low-pressure wells within the same development block,which leads to issues involving mixed-p...Shale gas wells often face challenges in maintaining continuous and stable production due to their coexistence with high-and low-pressure wells within the same development block,which leads to issues involving mixed-pressure flows.Traditional pipeline optimization methods used in conventional gas well blocks fail to address the unique needs of shale gas wells,such as the precise planning of airflow paths,pressure distribution,and compression.This study proposes a pressure-controlled production optimization strategy specifically designed for shale gas wells operating under mixed-pressure flow conditions.The strategy aims to improve production stability and optimize system efficiency.The decline in production and pressure for individual wells over time is forecasted using a predictive model that accounts for key factors of system optimization,such as reservoir depletion,wellbore conditions,and equipment performance.Additionally,the model predicts the timing and impact of liquid loading,which can significantly affect production.The optimization process involves analyzing the existing gathering pipeline network to determine the most efficient flow directions and compression strategies based on these predictions,while the strategy involves adjusting compressor settings,optimizing flow rates,and planning pressure distribution across the network to maximize productivity while maintaining system stability.By implementing these strategies,this study significantly improves gas well productivity and enhances the adaptability and efficiency of the gathering and transportation system.The proposed approach provides systematic technical solutions and practical guidance for the efficient development and stable production of shale gas fields,ensuring more robust and sustainable pipeline operations.展开更多
In the realm of subsurface flow simulations,deep-learning-based surrogate models have emerged as a promising alternative to traditional simulation methods,especially in addressing complex optimization problems.However...In the realm of subsurface flow simulations,deep-learning-based surrogate models have emerged as a promising alternative to traditional simulation methods,especially in addressing complex optimization problems.However,a significant challenge lies in the necessity of numerous high-fidelity training simulations to construct these deep-learning models,which limits their application to field-scale problems.To overcome this limitation,we introduce a training procedure that leverages transfer learning with multi-fidelity training data to construct surrogate models efficiently.The procedure begins with the pre-training of the surrogate model using a relatively larger amount of data that can be efficiently generated from upscaled coarse-scale models.Subsequently,the model parameters are finetuned with a much smaller set of high-fidelity simulation data.For the cases considered in this study,this method leads to about a 75%reduction in total computational cost,in comparison with the traditional training approach,without any sacrifice of prediction accuracy.In addition,a dedicated well-control embedding model is introduced to the traditional U-Net architecture to improve the surrogate model's prediction accuracy,which is shown to be particularly effective when dealing with large-scale reservoir models under time-varying well control parameters.Comprehensive results and analyses are presented for the prediction of well rates,pressure and saturation states of a 3D synthetic reservoir system.Finally,the proposed procedure is applied to a field-scale production optimization problem.The trained surrogate model is shown to provide excellent generalization capabilities during the optimization process,in which the final optimized net-present-value is much higher than those from the training data ranges.展开更多
Aiming at the limitations of the traditional mathematical model for production planning, a novel optimization model is proposed to improve the efficiency and performance for production planning in steelmaking and cont...Aiming at the limitations of the traditional mathematical model for production planning, a novel optimization model is proposed to improve the efficiency and performance for production planning in steelmaking and continuous casting (SCC) process. The optimization model combined with parallel-backward inferring algorithm and genetic algorithm is described. To analyze and evaluate the production plans, a simulation model based on cellular automata is presented. And then, the integrated system including the production plan optimization model and the simulation model is introduced to evaluate and adjust the production plan on-line. The test with production data in a steel plant shows that the optimization model demonstrates ability to deal with time uncertainty in production planning and to set up a conflict-free production plan, and the integrated system provides a useful tool for dynamically drawing and adjusting a production plan on-line. The average staying time of the production plan is about 5% shorter than that in a practical process.展开更多
A large number of mathematical models were developed for supporting agricultural production structure optimization decisions; however, few of them can address various uncertainties existing in many factors (e.g., eco...A large number of mathematical models were developed for supporting agricultural production structure optimization decisions; however, few of them can address various uncertainties existing in many factors (e.g., eco-social benefit maximization, food security, employment stability and ecosystem balance). In this study, an interval-probabilistic agricultural production structure optimization model (IPAPSOM) is formulated for tackling uncertainty presented as discrete intervals and/or probability distribution. The developed model improves upon the existing probabilistic programming and inexact optimization approaches. The IPAPSOM considers not only food security policy constraints, but also involves rural households’income increase and eco-environmental conversation, which can effectively reflect various interrelations among different aspects in an agricultural production structure optimization system. Moreover, it can also help examine the reliability of satisfying (or risk of violating) system constraints under uncertainty. The model is applied to a real case of long-term agricultural production structure optimization in Dancheng County, which is located in Henan Province of Central China as one of the major grain producing areas. Interval solutions associated with different risk levels of constraint violation are obtained. The results are useful for generating a range of decision alternatives under various system benefit conditions, and thus helping decision makers to identify the desired agricultural production structure optimization strategy under uncertainty.展开更多
Production optimization is of significance for carbonate reservoirs,directly affecting the sustainability and profitability of reservoir development.Traditional physics-based numerical simulations suffer from insuffic...Production optimization is of significance for carbonate reservoirs,directly affecting the sustainability and profitability of reservoir development.Traditional physics-based numerical simulations suffer from insufficient calculation accuracy and excessive time consumption when performing production optimization.We establish an ensemble proxy-model-assisted optimization framework combining the Bayesian random forest(BRF)with the particle swarm optimization algorithm(PSO).The BRF method is implemented to construct a proxy model of the injectioneproduction system that can accurately predict the dynamic parameters of producers based on injection data and production measures.With the help of proxy model,PSO is applied to search the optimal injection pattern integrating Pareto front analysis.After experimental testing,the proxy model not only boasts higher prediction accuracy compared to deep learning,but it also requires 8 times less time for training.In addition,the injection mode adjusted by the PSO algorithm can effectively reduce the gaseoil ratio and increase the oil production by more than 10% for carbonate reservoirs.The proposed proxy-model-assisted optimization protocol brings new perspectives on the multi-objective optimization problems in the petroleum industry,which can provide more options for the project decision-makers to balance the oil production and the gaseoil ratio considering physical and operational constraints.展开更多
Production optimization has gained increasing attention from the smart oilfield community because it can increase economic benefits and oil recovery substantially.While existing methods could produce high-optimality r...Production optimization has gained increasing attention from the smart oilfield community because it can increase economic benefits and oil recovery substantially.While existing methods could produce high-optimality results,they cannot be applied to real-time optimization for large-scale reservoirs due to high computational demands.In addition,most methods generally assume that the reservoir model is deterministic and ignore the uncertainty of the subsurface environment,making the obtained scheme unreliable for practical deployment.In this work,an efficient and robust method,namely evolutionaryassisted reinforcement learning(EARL),is proposed to achieve real-time production optimization under uncertainty.Specifically,the production optimization problem is modeled as a Markov decision process in which a reinforcement learning agent interacts with the reservoir simulator to train a control policy that maximizes the specified goals.To deal with the problems of brittle convergence properties and lack of efficient exploration strategies of reinforcement learning approaches,a population-based evolutionary algorithm is introduced to assist the training of agents,which provides diverse exploration experiences and promotes stability and robustness due to its inherent redundancy.Compared with prior methods that only optimize a solution for a particular scenario,the proposed approach trains a policy that can adapt to uncertain environments and make real-time decisions to cope with unknown changes.The trained policy,represented by a deep convolutional neural network,can adaptively adjust the well controls based on different reservoir states.Simulation results on two reservoir models show that the proposed approach not only outperforms the RL and EA methods in terms of optimization efficiency but also has strong robustness and real-time decision capacity.展开更多
We present a novel system productivity simulation and optimization modeling framework in which equipment availability is a variable in the expected productivity function of the system. The framework is used for alloca...We present a novel system productivity simulation and optimization modeling framework in which equipment availability is a variable in the expected productivity function of the system. The framework is used for allocating trucks by route according to their operating performances in a truck-shovel system of an open-pit mine, so as to maximize the overall productivity of the fleet. We implement the framework in an originally designed and specifically developed simulator-optimizer software tool. We make an application on a real open-pit mine case study taking into account the stochasticity of the equipment behavior and environment. The total system production values obtained with and without considering the equipment reliability, availability and maintainability (RAM) characteristics are compared. We show that by taking into account the truck and shovel RAM aspects, we can maximize the total production of the system and obtain specific information on the production availability and productivity of its components.展开更多
Data-driven surrogate models that assist with efficient evolutionary algorithms to find the optimal development scheme have been widely used to solve reservoir production optimization problems.However,existing researc...Data-driven surrogate models that assist with efficient evolutionary algorithms to find the optimal development scheme have been widely used to solve reservoir production optimization problems.However,existing research suggests that the effectiveness of a surrogate model can vary depending on the complexity of the design problem.A surrogate model that has demonstrated success in one scenario may not perform as well in others.In the absence of prior knowledge,finding a promising surrogate model that performs well for an unknown reservoir is challenging.Moreover,the optimization process often relies on a single evolutionary algorithm,which can yield varying results across different cases.To address these limitations,this paper introduces a novel approach called the multi-surrogate framework with an adaptive selection mechanism(MSFASM)to tackle production optimization problems.MSFASM consists of two stages.In the first stage,a reduced-dimensional broad learning system(BLS)is used to adaptively select the evolutionary algorithm with the best performance during the current optimization period.In the second stage,the multi-objective algorithm,non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II(NSGA-II),is used as an optimizer to find a set of Pareto solutions with good performance on multiple surrogate models.A novel optimal point criterion is utilized in this stage to select the Pareto solutions,thereby obtaining the desired development schemes without increasing the computational load of the numerical simulator.The two stages are combined using sequential transfer learning.From the two most important perspectives of an evolutionary algorithm and a surrogate model,the proposed method improves adaptability to optimization problems of various reservoir types.To verify the effectiveness of the proposed method,four 100-dimensional benchmark functions and two reservoir models are tested,and the results are compared with those obtained by six other surrogate-model-based methods.The results demonstrate that our approach can obtain the maximum net present value(NPV)of the target production optimization problems.展开更多
Naturally fractured reservoirs make important contributions to global oil and gas reserves and production.The modeling and simulation of naturally fractured reservoirs are different from conventional reservoirs as the...Naturally fractured reservoirs make important contributions to global oil and gas reserves and production.The modeling and simulation of naturally fractured reservoirs are different from conventional reservoirs as the existence of natural fractures.To address the development optimization problem of naturally fractured reservoirs,we propose an optimization workflow by coupling the optimization methods with the embedded discrete fracture model(EDFM).Firstly,the effective and superior performance of the workflow is verified based on the conceptual model.The stochastic simplex approximate gradient(StoSAG)algorithm,the ensemble optimization(EnOpt)algorithm,and the particle swarm optimization(PSO)algorithm are implemented for the production optimization of naturally fractured reservoirs based on the improved versions of the Egg model and the PUNQ-S3 model.The results of the two cases demonstrate the effectiveness of this optimization workflow by finding the optimal well controls which yield the maximum net present value(NPV).Compared to the initial well control guess,the final NPV obtained from the production optimization of fractured reservoirs based on all three optimization algorithms is significantly enhanced.Compared with the optimization results of the PSO algorithm,StoSAG and EnOpt have significant advantages in terms of final NPV and computational efficiency.The results also show that fractures have a significant impact on reservoir production.The economic efficiency of fractured reservoir development can be significantly improved by the optimization workflow.展开更多
The product family design problem solved by evolutionary algorithms is discussed. A successful product family design method should achieve an optimal tradeoff among a set of competing objectives, which involves maximi...The product family design problem solved by evolutionary algorithms is discussed. A successful product family design method should achieve an optimal tradeoff among a set of competing objectives, which involves maximizing commonality across the family of products and optimizing the performances of each product in the family. A 2-level chromosome structured genetic algorithm (2LCGA) is proposed to solve this class of problems and its performance is analyzed in comparing its results with those obtained with other methods. By interpreting the chromosome as a 2-level linear structure, the variable commonality genetic algorithm (GA) is constructed to vary the amount of platform commonality and automatically searches across varying levels of commonality for the platform while trying to resolve the tradeoff between commonality and individual product performance within the product family during optimization process. By incorporating a commonality assessing index to the problem formulation, the 2LCGA optimize the product platform and its corresponding family of products in a single stage, which can yield improvements in the overall performance of the product family compared with two-stage approaches (the first stage involves determining the best settings for the platform variables and values of unique variables are found for each product in the second stage). The scope of the algorithm is also expanded by introducing a classification mechanism to allow mul- tiple platforms to be considered during product family optimization, offering opportunities for superior overall design by more efficacious tradeoffs between commonality and performance. The effectiveness of 2LCGA is demonstrated through the design of a family of universal electric motors and comparison against previous results.展开更多
A second-generation fast Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm product shape multi-objective imagery optimization model based on degradation(DNSGA-II)strategy is proposed to make the product appearance optimization ...A second-generation fast Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm product shape multi-objective imagery optimization model based on degradation(DNSGA-II)strategy is proposed to make the product appearance optimization scheme meet the complex emotional needs of users for the product.First,the semantic differential method and K-Means cluster analysis are applied to extract the multi-objective imagery of users;then,the product multidimensional scale analysis is applied to classify the research objects,and again the reference samples are screened by the semantic differentialmethod,and the samples are parametrized in two dimensions by using elliptic Fourier analysis;finally,the fuzzy dynamic evaluation function is used as the objective function of the algorithm,and the coordinates of key points of product contours Finally,with the fuzzy dynamic evaluation function as the objective function of the algorithm and the coordinates of key points of the product profile as the decision variables,the optimal product profile solution set is solved by DNSGA-II.The validity of the model is verified by taking the optimization of the shape scheme of the hospital connection site as an example.For comparison with DNSGA-II,other multi-objective optimization algorithms are also presented.To evaluate the performance of each algorithm,the performance evaluation index values of the five multi-objective optimization algorithms are calculated in this paper.The results show that DNSGA-II is superior in improving individual diversity and has better overall performance.展开更多
Planning and production optimization within multiple mines or several work sites (entities) mining systems by using fuzzy linear programming (LP) was studied. LP is the most commonly used operations research metho...Planning and production optimization within multiple mines or several work sites (entities) mining systems by using fuzzy linear programming (LP) was studied. LP is the most commonly used operations research methods in mining engineering. After the introductory review of properties and limitations of applying LP, short reviews of the general settings of deterministic and fuzzy LP models are presented. With the purpose of comparative analysis, the application of both LP models is presented using the example of the Bauxite Basin Niksic with five mines. After the assessment, LP is an efficient mathematical modeling tool in production planning and solving many other single-criteria optimization problems of mining engineering. After the comparison of advantages and deficiencies of both deterministic and fuzzy LP models, the conclusion presents benefits of the fuzzy LP model but is also stating that seeking the optimal plan of production means to accomplish the overall analysis that will encompass the LP model approaches.展开更多
Optimizing operational parameters for syngas production of Texaco coal-water slurry gasifier studied in this paper is a complicated nonlinear constrained problem concerning 3 BP(Error Back Propagation) neural networks...Optimizing operational parameters for syngas production of Texaco coal-water slurry gasifier studied in this paper is a complicated nonlinear constrained problem concerning 3 BP(Error Back Propagation) neural networks. To solve this model, a new 3-layer cultural evolving algorithm framework which has a population space, a medium space and a belief space is firstly conceived. Standard differential evolution algorithm(DE), genetic algorithm(GA), and particle swarm optimization algorithm(PSO) are embedded in this framework to build 3-layer mixed cultural DE/GA/PSO(3LM-CDE, 3LM-CGA, and 3LM-CPSO) algorithms. The accuracy and efficiency of the proposed hybrid algorithms are firstly tested in 20 benchmark nonlinear constrained functions. Then, the operational optimization model for syngas production in a Texaco coal-water slurry gasifier of a real-world chemical plant is solved effectively. The simulation results are encouraging that the 3-layer cultural algorithm evolving framework suggests ways in which the performance of DE, GA, PSO and other population-based evolutionary algorithms(EAs) can be improved,and the optimal operational parameters based on 3LM-CDE algorithm of the syngas production in the Texaco coalwater slurry gasifier shows outstanding computing results than actual industry use and other algorithms.展开更多
As an important source of low-carbon,clean fossil energy,natural gas hydrate plays an important role in improving the global energy consumption structure.Developing the hydrate industry in the South China Sea is impor...As an important source of low-carbon,clean fossil energy,natural gas hydrate plays an important role in improving the global energy consumption structure.Developing the hydrate industry in the South China Sea is important to achieving‘carbon peak and carbon neutrality’goals as soon as possible.Deep-water areas subjected to the action of long-term stress and tectonic movement have developed complex and volatile terrains,and as such,the morphologies of hydrate-bearing sediments(HBSs)fluctuate correspondingly.The key to numerically simulating HBS morphologies is the establishment of the conceptual model,which represents the objective and real description of the actual geological body.However,current numerical simulation models have characterized HBSs into horizontal strata without considering the fluctuation characteristics.Simply representing the HBS as a horizontal element reduces simulation accuracy.Therefore,the commonly used horizontal HBS model and a model considering the HBS’s fluctuation characteristics with the data of the SH2 site in the Shenhu Sea area were first constructed in this paper.Then,their production behaviors were compared,and the huge impact of the fluctuation characteristics on HBS production was determined.On this basis,the key parameters affecting the depressurization production of the fluctuating HBSs were studied and optimized.The research results show that the fluctuation characteristics have an obvious influence on the hydrate production of HBSs by affecting their temperatures and pressure distributions,as well as the transmission of the pressure drop and methane gas discharge.Furthermore,the results show that the gas productivity of fluctuating HBSs was about 5%less than that of horizontal HBSs.By optimizing the depressurization amplitude,well length,and layout location of vertical wells,the productivity of fluctuating HBSs increased by about 56.6%.展开更多
Based on the existing plant layout and process flow,a simulation analysis was conducted using the Plant Simulation platform with the utilization efficiency of each station and production capacity of the dismantling sy...Based on the existing plant layout and process flow,a simulation analysis was conducted using the Plant Simulation platform with the utilization efficiency of each station and production capacity of the dismantling system as indicators.A problem with long-term suspension in the disassembly process was determined.Based on the two optimization directions of increasing material transportation equipment and expanding the buffer capacity,a cost-oriented optimization model is established.A genetic algorithm and model simulation were used to solve the model.An optimization scheme that satisfies the production needs and has the lowest cost is proposed.The results show that the optimized dismantling system solves the suspended work problem at the dismantling station and a significant improvement in productivity and station utilization efficiency compared with the previous system.展开更多
The Gas-Oil Ratio(GOR)is a crucial production parameter in oil reservoirs.An increase in GOR results in higher gas production and lower oil production,potentially leading to well shut-ins due to economic infeasibility...The Gas-Oil Ratio(GOR)is a crucial production parameter in oil reservoirs.An increase in GOR results in higher gas production and lower oil production,potentially leading to well shut-ins due to economic infeasibility.This study focuses on a real fractured oil field that requires urgent production operations to reduce the producing GOR.In this study,the static model for the field was developed using commercial software,involving steps such as data collection,fault modeling,meshing,and statistical analysis to prepare for dynamic simulation.The dynamic model incorporates geometry,gridding,and rock properties from the static model,utilizing a dual-porosity approach for the naturally fractured reservoir and the Peng-Robinson equation for fluid phase behavior.Initial reservoir conditions,production history,and rock-fluid interactions were defined,with relative permeability curves indicating a water-wet reservoir and low critical gas saturation affecting the GOR.To better understand the relationship between reservoir and production parameters,a detailed sensitivity analysis was performed using the Response Surface Methodology(RSM).Following the sensitivity analysis,a history matching process was conducted using the Designed Exploration and Controlled Evolution(DECE)optimizer to validate the model for future forecasts.Six operational scenarios were defined to decrease the production GOR and enhance final recovery from the field.The results indicate that the water injection scenario is effective in preventing the GOR increase by maintaining reservoir pressure,thereby sustaining production over a longer period.This scenario also improves oil recovery by approximately 6%compared to the base case.Finally,optimization was carried out using the DECE optimizer for each scenario to fine-tune the operational parameters.The goal was to maximize oil revenue for each scenario during the optimization process.This study stands out as one of the few that provides a comprehensive analysis of production behavior and development planning for a real fractured reservoir with high producing GOR.展开更多
After a long period of water flooding development,the oilfield has entered the middle and high water cut stage.The physical properties of reservoirs are changed by water erosion,which directly impacts reservoir develo...After a long period of water flooding development,the oilfield has entered the middle and high water cut stage.The physical properties of reservoirs are changed by water erosion,which directly impacts reservoir development.Conventional numerical reservoir simulation methodologies typically employ static assumptions for model construction,presuming invariant reservoir geological parameters throughout the development process while neglecting the reservoir’s temporal evolution characteristics.Although such simplifications reduce computational complexity,they introduce substantial descriptive inaccuracies.Therefore,this paper proposes a meshless numerical simulation method for reservoirs that considers time-varying characteristics.This method avoids the meshing in traditional numerical simulation methods.From the fluid flow perspective,the reservoir’s computational domain is discretized into a series of connection units.An influence domain with a certain radius centered on the nodes is selected,and one-dimensional connection units are established between the nodes to achieve the characterization of the flow topology structure of the reservoir.In order to reflect the dynamic evolution of the reservoir’s physical properties during the water injection development process,the time-varying characteristics are incorporated into the formula of the seepage characteristic parameters in the meshless calculation.The change relationship of the permeability under different surface fluxes is considered to update the calculated connection conductivity in real time.By combining with the seepage control equation for solution,a time-varying meshless numerical simulation method is formed.The results show that compared with the numerical simulationmethod of the connection elementmethod(CEM)that only considers static parameters,this method has higher simulation accuracy and can better simulate the real migration and distribution of oil and water in the reservoir.Thismethod improves the accuracy of reservoir numerical simulation and the development effect of oilfields,providing a scientific basis for optimizing the water injection strategy,adjusting the production plan,and extending the effective production cycle of the oilfield.展开更多
基金Supported by the China National Science and Technology Major Project(2017ZX05037-004).
文摘Shale gas wells frequently suffer from liquid loading and insufficient formation pressure in the late stage of production.To address this issue,an intelligent production optimization method for low pressure and low productivity shale gas well is proposed.Based on the artificial intelligence algorithms,this method realizes automatic production and monitoring of gas well.The method can forecast the production performance of a single well by using the long short-term memory neural network and then guide gas well production accordingly,to fulfill liquid loading warning and automatic intermittent production.Combined with adjustable nozzle,the method can keep production and pressure of gas wells stable automatically,extend normal production time of shale gas wells,enhance automatic level of well sites,and reach the goal of refined production management by making production regime for each well.Field tests show that wells with production regime optimized by this method increased 15%in estimated ultimate reserve(EUR).Compared with the development mode of drainage after depletion recovery,this method is more economical and can increase and stabilize production effectively,so it has a bright application prospect.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 52325402,52274057,and 52074340the National Key R&D Program of China under Grant 2023YFB4104200+2 种基金the Major Scientific and Technological Projects of CNOOC under Grant CCL2022RCPS0397RSN111 Project under Grant B08028China Scholarship Council under Grant 202306450108.
文摘This study introduces a novel approach to addressing the challenges of high-dimensional variables and strong nonlinearity in reservoir production and layer configuration optimization.For the first time,relational machine learning models are applied in reservoir development optimization.Traditional regression-based models often struggle in complex scenarios,but the proposed relational and regression-based composite differential evolution(RRCODE)method combines a Gaussian naive Bayes relational model with a radial basis function network regression model.This integration effectively captures complex relationships in the optimization process,improving both accuracy and convergence speed.Experimental tests on a multi-layer multi-channel reservoir model,the Egg reservoir model,and a real-field reservoir model(the S reservoir)demonstrate that RRCODE significantly reduces water injection and production volumes while increasing economic returns and cumulative oil recovery.Moreover,the surrogate models employed in RRCODE exhibit lightweight characteristics with low computational overhead.These results highlight RRCODE's superior performance in the integrated optimization of reservoir production and layer configurations,offering more efficient and economically viable solutions for oilfield development.
基金Supported by the Major Scientific and Technological Special Project of CNPC(2023ZZ04)。
文摘The production optimization in the closed-loop reservoir management is generally empirical,and challenged by the issues such as low precision,low efficiency,and difficulty in solving constrained optimization problems.This paper outlines the main principles,advantages and disadvantages of commonly used production optimization methods/models,and then proposes an intelligent integrated production optimization method for waterflooding reservoirs that considers efficiency and precision,real-time and long-term effects,and the interaction and synergy between a variety of optimization models.This method integrates multiple optimization methods/models,such as reservoir performance analysis,reduced-physics models,and reservoir numerical models,with these model results and insights organically coupled to facilitate model construction and matching.This proposed method is elucidated and verified by field examples.The findings indicate that the optimal production optimization model varies depending on the specific application scenario.Reduced-physics models are conducive to short-term real-time optimization,whereas the simulator-based surrogate optimization and streamline-based simulation optimization methods are more suitable for long-term optimization strategy formulation,both of which need to be implemented under reasonable constraints from the perspective of reservoir engineering in order to be of practical value.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 52325402,52274057 and 52074340the National Key R&D Program of China under Grant 2023YFB4104200+1 种基金the Major Scientific and Technological Projects of CNOOC under Grant CCL2022RCPS0397RSN111 Project under Grant B08028.
文摘Shale gas wells often face challenges in maintaining continuous and stable production due to their coexistence with high-and low-pressure wells within the same development block,which leads to issues involving mixed-pressure flows.Traditional pipeline optimization methods used in conventional gas well blocks fail to address the unique needs of shale gas wells,such as the precise planning of airflow paths,pressure distribution,and compression.This study proposes a pressure-controlled production optimization strategy specifically designed for shale gas wells operating under mixed-pressure flow conditions.The strategy aims to improve production stability and optimize system efficiency.The decline in production and pressure for individual wells over time is forecasted using a predictive model that accounts for key factors of system optimization,such as reservoir depletion,wellbore conditions,and equipment performance.Additionally,the model predicts the timing and impact of liquid loading,which can significantly affect production.The optimization process involves analyzing the existing gathering pipeline network to determine the most efficient flow directions and compression strategies based on these predictions,while the strategy involves adjusting compressor settings,optimizing flow rates,and planning pressure distribution across the network to maximize productivity while maintaining system stability.By implementing these strategies,this study significantly improves gas well productivity and enhances the adaptability and efficiency of the gathering and transportation system.The proposed approach provides systematic technical solutions and practical guidance for the efficient development and stable production of shale gas fields,ensuring more robust and sustainable pipeline operations.
基金funding support from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52204065,No.ZX20230398)supported by a grant from the Human Resources Development Program(No.20216110100070)of the Korea Institute of Energy Technology Evaluation and Planning(KETEP)。
文摘In the realm of subsurface flow simulations,deep-learning-based surrogate models have emerged as a promising alternative to traditional simulation methods,especially in addressing complex optimization problems.However,a significant challenge lies in the necessity of numerous high-fidelity training simulations to construct these deep-learning models,which limits their application to field-scale problems.To overcome this limitation,we introduce a training procedure that leverages transfer learning with multi-fidelity training data to construct surrogate models efficiently.The procedure begins with the pre-training of the surrogate model using a relatively larger amount of data that can be efficiently generated from upscaled coarse-scale models.Subsequently,the model parameters are finetuned with a much smaller set of high-fidelity simulation data.For the cases considered in this study,this method leads to about a 75%reduction in total computational cost,in comparison with the traditional training approach,without any sacrifice of prediction accuracy.In addition,a dedicated well-control embedding model is introduced to the traditional U-Net architecture to improve the surrogate model's prediction accuracy,which is shown to be particularly effective when dealing with large-scale reservoir models under time-varying well control parameters.Comprehensive results and analyses are presented for the prediction of well rates,pressure and saturation states of a 3D synthetic reservoir system.Finally,the proposed procedure is applied to a field-scale production optimization problem.The trained surrogate model is shown to provide excellent generalization capabilities during the optimization process,in which the final optimized net-present-value is much higher than those from the training data ranges.
基金Item Sponsored by National High-Tech Research and Development Plan of China(2007AA04Z161)
文摘Aiming at the limitations of the traditional mathematical model for production planning, a novel optimization model is proposed to improve the efficiency and performance for production planning in steelmaking and continuous casting (SCC) process. The optimization model combined with parallel-backward inferring algorithm and genetic algorithm is described. To analyze and evaluate the production plans, a simulation model based on cellular automata is presented. And then, the integrated system including the production plan optimization model and the simulation model is introduced to evaluate and adjust the production plan on-line. The test with production data in a steel plant shows that the optimization model demonstrates ability to deal with time uncertainty in production planning and to set up a conflict-free production plan, and the integrated system provides a useful tool for dynamically drawing and adjusting a production plan on-line. The average staying time of the production plan is about 5% shorter than that in a practical process.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (41130748, 41101162)the Key Knowledge Innovation Project of Chinese Academy of Sciences (KZCX2-EW-304)
文摘A large number of mathematical models were developed for supporting agricultural production structure optimization decisions; however, few of them can address various uncertainties existing in many factors (e.g., eco-social benefit maximization, food security, employment stability and ecosystem balance). In this study, an interval-probabilistic agricultural production structure optimization model (IPAPSOM) is formulated for tackling uncertainty presented as discrete intervals and/or probability distribution. The developed model improves upon the existing probabilistic programming and inexact optimization approaches. The IPAPSOM considers not only food security policy constraints, but also involves rural households’income increase and eco-environmental conversation, which can effectively reflect various interrelations among different aspects in an agricultural production structure optimization system. Moreover, it can also help examine the reliability of satisfying (or risk of violating) system constraints under uncertainty. The model is applied to a real case of long-term agricultural production structure optimization in Dancheng County, which is located in Henan Province of Central China as one of the major grain producing areas. Interval solutions associated with different risk levels of constraint violation are obtained. The results are useful for generating a range of decision alternatives under various system benefit conditions, and thus helping decision makers to identify the desired agricultural production structure optimization strategy under uncertainty.
基金the financial support of this work from the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.11972073,Grant No.51974357,and Grant No.52274027)supported by China Postdoctoral Science Foundation(Grant No.2022M713204)Scientific Research and Technology Development Project of China National Petroleum Corporation(Grant No.2121DJ2301).
文摘Production optimization is of significance for carbonate reservoirs,directly affecting the sustainability and profitability of reservoir development.Traditional physics-based numerical simulations suffer from insufficient calculation accuracy and excessive time consumption when performing production optimization.We establish an ensemble proxy-model-assisted optimization framework combining the Bayesian random forest(BRF)with the particle swarm optimization algorithm(PSO).The BRF method is implemented to construct a proxy model of the injectioneproduction system that can accurately predict the dynamic parameters of producers based on injection data and production measures.With the help of proxy model,PSO is applied to search the optimal injection pattern integrating Pareto front analysis.After experimental testing,the proxy model not only boasts higher prediction accuracy compared to deep learning,but it also requires 8 times less time for training.In addition,the injection mode adjusted by the PSO algorithm can effectively reduce the gaseoil ratio and increase the oil production by more than 10% for carbonate reservoirs.The proposed proxy-model-assisted optimization protocol brings new perspectives on the multi-objective optimization problems in the petroleum industry,which can provide more options for the project decision-makers to balance the oil production and the gaseoil ratio considering physical and operational constraints.
基金This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 52274057,52074340 and 51874335the Major Scientific and Technological Projects of CNPC under Grant ZD2019-183-008the Science and Technology Support Plan for Youth Innovation of University in Shandong Province under Grant 2019KJH002,111 Project under Grant B08028.
文摘Production optimization has gained increasing attention from the smart oilfield community because it can increase economic benefits and oil recovery substantially.While existing methods could produce high-optimality results,they cannot be applied to real-time optimization for large-scale reservoirs due to high computational demands.In addition,most methods generally assume that the reservoir model is deterministic and ignore the uncertainty of the subsurface environment,making the obtained scheme unreliable for practical deployment.In this work,an efficient and robust method,namely evolutionaryassisted reinforcement learning(EARL),is proposed to achieve real-time production optimization under uncertainty.Specifically,the production optimization problem is modeled as a Markov decision process in which a reinforcement learning agent interacts with the reservoir simulator to train a control policy that maximizes the specified goals.To deal with the problems of brittle convergence properties and lack of efficient exploration strategies of reinforcement learning approaches,a population-based evolutionary algorithm is introduced to assist the training of agents,which provides diverse exploration experiences and promotes stability and robustness due to its inherent redundancy.Compared with prior methods that only optimize a solution for a particular scenario,the proposed approach trains a policy that can adapt to uncertain environments and make real-time decisions to cope with unknown changes.The trained policy,represented by a deep convolutional neural network,can adaptively adjust the well controls based on different reservoir states.Simulation results on two reservoir models show that the proposed approach not only outperforms the RL and EA methods in terms of optimization efficiency but also has strong robustness and real-time decision capacity.
文摘We present a novel system productivity simulation and optimization modeling framework in which equipment availability is a variable in the expected productivity function of the system. The framework is used for allocating trucks by route according to their operating performances in a truck-shovel system of an open-pit mine, so as to maximize the overall productivity of the fleet. We implement the framework in an originally designed and specifically developed simulator-optimizer software tool. We make an application on a real open-pit mine case study taking into account the stochasticity of the equipment behavior and environment. The total system production values obtained with and without considering the equipment reliability, availability and maintainability (RAM) characteristics are compared. We show that by taking into account the truck and shovel RAM aspects, we can maximize the total production of the system and obtain specific information on the production availability and productivity of its components.
基金This work is supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant 52274057,52074340 and 51874335the Major Scientific and Technological Projects of CNPC under Grant ZD2019-183-008+2 种基金the Major Scientific and Technological Projects of CNOOC under Grant CCL2022RCPS0397RSNthe Science and Technology Support Plan for Youth Innovation of University in Shandong Province under Grant 2019KJH002111 Project under Grant B08028.
文摘Data-driven surrogate models that assist with efficient evolutionary algorithms to find the optimal development scheme have been widely used to solve reservoir production optimization problems.However,existing research suggests that the effectiveness of a surrogate model can vary depending on the complexity of the design problem.A surrogate model that has demonstrated success in one scenario may not perform as well in others.In the absence of prior knowledge,finding a promising surrogate model that performs well for an unknown reservoir is challenging.Moreover,the optimization process often relies on a single evolutionary algorithm,which can yield varying results across different cases.To address these limitations,this paper introduces a novel approach called the multi-surrogate framework with an adaptive selection mechanism(MSFASM)to tackle production optimization problems.MSFASM consists of two stages.In the first stage,a reduced-dimensional broad learning system(BLS)is used to adaptively select the evolutionary algorithm with the best performance during the current optimization period.In the second stage,the multi-objective algorithm,non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II(NSGA-II),is used as an optimizer to find a set of Pareto solutions with good performance on multiple surrogate models.A novel optimal point criterion is utilized in this stage to select the Pareto solutions,thereby obtaining the desired development schemes without increasing the computational load of the numerical simulator.The two stages are combined using sequential transfer learning.From the two most important perspectives of an evolutionary algorithm and a surrogate model,the proposed method improves adaptability to optimization problems of various reservoir types.To verify the effectiveness of the proposed method,four 100-dimensional benchmark functions and two reservoir models are tested,and the results are compared with those obtained by six other surrogate-model-based methods.The results demonstrate that our approach can obtain the maximum net present value(NPV)of the target production optimization problems.
基金This study was supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(51904323,52174052).
文摘Naturally fractured reservoirs make important contributions to global oil and gas reserves and production.The modeling and simulation of naturally fractured reservoirs are different from conventional reservoirs as the existence of natural fractures.To address the development optimization problem of naturally fractured reservoirs,we propose an optimization workflow by coupling the optimization methods with the embedded discrete fracture model(EDFM).Firstly,the effective and superior performance of the workflow is verified based on the conceptual model.The stochastic simplex approximate gradient(StoSAG)algorithm,the ensemble optimization(EnOpt)algorithm,and the particle swarm optimization(PSO)algorithm are implemented for the production optimization of naturally fractured reservoirs based on the improved versions of the Egg model and the PUNQ-S3 model.The results of the two cases demonstrate the effectiveness of this optimization workflow by finding the optimal well controls which yield the maximum net present value(NPV).Compared to the initial well control guess,the final NPV obtained from the production optimization of fractured reservoirs based on all three optimization algorithms is significantly enhanced.Compared with the optimization results of the PSO algorithm,StoSAG and EnOpt have significant advantages in terms of final NPV and computational efficiency.The results also show that fractures have a significant impact on reservoir production.The economic efficiency of fractured reservoir development can be significantly improved by the optimization workflow.
基金This project is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.70471022,No.70501021)the Joint Research Scheme of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No,70418013) Hong Kong Research Grant Council,China(No.N_HKUST625/04).
文摘The product family design problem solved by evolutionary algorithms is discussed. A successful product family design method should achieve an optimal tradeoff among a set of competing objectives, which involves maximizing commonality across the family of products and optimizing the performances of each product in the family. A 2-level chromosome structured genetic algorithm (2LCGA) is proposed to solve this class of problems and its performance is analyzed in comparing its results with those obtained with other methods. By interpreting the chromosome as a 2-level linear structure, the variable commonality genetic algorithm (GA) is constructed to vary the amount of platform commonality and automatically searches across varying levels of commonality for the platform while trying to resolve the tradeoff between commonality and individual product performance within the product family during optimization process. By incorporating a commonality assessing index to the problem formulation, the 2LCGA optimize the product platform and its corresponding family of products in a single stage, which can yield improvements in the overall performance of the product family compared with two-stage approaches (the first stage involves determining the best settings for the platform variables and values of unique variables are found for each product in the second stage). The scope of the algorithm is also expanded by introducing a classification mechanism to allow mul- tiple platforms to be considered during product family optimization, offering opportunities for superior overall design by more efficacious tradeoffs between commonality and performance. The effectiveness of 2LCGA is demonstrated through the design of a family of universal electric motors and comparison against previous results.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation Grant 52065010the Science and Technology Project supported by Guizhou Province of China ZK[2021]341 and[2021]397the transformation Project of Scientific and Technological Achievements in Guiyang,Guizhou Province,China[2021]7-3.
文摘A second-generation fast Non-dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm product shape multi-objective imagery optimization model based on degradation(DNSGA-II)strategy is proposed to make the product appearance optimization scheme meet the complex emotional needs of users for the product.First,the semantic differential method and K-Means cluster analysis are applied to extract the multi-objective imagery of users;then,the product multidimensional scale analysis is applied to classify the research objects,and again the reference samples are screened by the semantic differentialmethod,and the samples are parametrized in two dimensions by using elliptic Fourier analysis;finally,the fuzzy dynamic evaluation function is used as the objective function of the algorithm,and the coordinates of key points of product contours Finally,with the fuzzy dynamic evaluation function as the objective function of the algorithm and the coordinates of key points of the product profile as the decision variables,the optimal product profile solution set is solved by DNSGA-II.The validity of the model is verified by taking the optimization of the shape scheme of the hospital connection site as an example.For comparison with DNSGA-II,other multi-objective optimization algorithms are also presented.To evaluate the performance of each algorithm,the performance evaluation index values of the five multi-objective optimization algorithms are calculated in this paper.The results show that DNSGA-II is superior in improving individual diversity and has better overall performance.
文摘Planning and production optimization within multiple mines or several work sites (entities) mining systems by using fuzzy linear programming (LP) was studied. LP is the most commonly used operations research methods in mining engineering. After the introductory review of properties and limitations of applying LP, short reviews of the general settings of deterministic and fuzzy LP models are presented. With the purpose of comparative analysis, the application of both LP models is presented using the example of the Bauxite Basin Niksic with five mines. After the assessment, LP is an efficient mathematical modeling tool in production planning and solving many other single-criteria optimization problems of mining engineering. After the comparison of advantages and deficiencies of both deterministic and fuzzy LP models, the conclusion presents benefits of the fuzzy LP model but is also stating that seeking the optimal plan of production means to accomplish the overall analysis that will encompass the LP model approaches.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(61174040,U1162110,21206174)Shanghai Commission of Nature Science(12ZR1408100)
文摘Optimizing operational parameters for syngas production of Texaco coal-water slurry gasifier studied in this paper is a complicated nonlinear constrained problem concerning 3 BP(Error Back Propagation) neural networks. To solve this model, a new 3-layer cultural evolving algorithm framework which has a population space, a medium space and a belief space is firstly conceived. Standard differential evolution algorithm(DE), genetic algorithm(GA), and particle swarm optimization algorithm(PSO) are embedded in this framework to build 3-layer mixed cultural DE/GA/PSO(3LM-CDE, 3LM-CGA, and 3LM-CPSO) algorithms. The accuracy and efficiency of the proposed hybrid algorithms are firstly tested in 20 benchmark nonlinear constrained functions. Then, the operational optimization model for syngas production in a Texaco coal-water slurry gasifier of a real-world chemical plant is solved effectively. The simulation results are encouraging that the 3-layer cultural algorithm evolving framework suggests ways in which the performance of DE, GA, PSO and other population-based evolutionary algorithms(EAs) can be improved,and the optimal operational parameters based on 3LM-CDE algorithm of the syngas production in the Texaco coalwater slurry gasifier shows outstanding computing results than actual industry use and other algorithms.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.42276224 and 42206230)the Jilin Scientific and Technological Development Program(No.20190303083SF)+1 种基金the International Cooperation Key Laboratory of Underground Energy Development and Geological Restoration(No.YDZJ202102CXJD014)the Graduate Innovation Fund of Jilin University(No.2023CX100).
文摘As an important source of low-carbon,clean fossil energy,natural gas hydrate plays an important role in improving the global energy consumption structure.Developing the hydrate industry in the South China Sea is important to achieving‘carbon peak and carbon neutrality’goals as soon as possible.Deep-water areas subjected to the action of long-term stress and tectonic movement have developed complex and volatile terrains,and as such,the morphologies of hydrate-bearing sediments(HBSs)fluctuate correspondingly.The key to numerically simulating HBS morphologies is the establishment of the conceptual model,which represents the objective and real description of the actual geological body.However,current numerical simulation models have characterized HBSs into horizontal strata without considering the fluctuation characteristics.Simply representing the HBS as a horizontal element reduces simulation accuracy.Therefore,the commonly used horizontal HBS model and a model considering the HBS’s fluctuation characteristics with the data of the SH2 site in the Shenhu Sea area were first constructed in this paper.Then,their production behaviors were compared,and the huge impact of the fluctuation characteristics on HBS production was determined.On this basis,the key parameters affecting the depressurization production of the fluctuating HBSs were studied and optimized.The research results show that the fluctuation characteristics have an obvious influence on the hydrate production of HBSs by affecting their temperatures and pressure distributions,as well as the transmission of the pressure drop and methane gas discharge.Furthermore,the results show that the gas productivity of fluctuating HBSs was about 5%less than that of horizontal HBSs.By optimizing the depressurization amplitude,well length,and layout location of vertical wells,the productivity of fluctuating HBSs increased by about 56.6%.
基金the Research on Key Technology of Dismantling Railway Scrap Freight Cars,No.W2021JSFW0236.
文摘Based on the existing plant layout and process flow,a simulation analysis was conducted using the Plant Simulation platform with the utilization efficiency of each station and production capacity of the dismantling system as indicators.A problem with long-term suspension in the disassembly process was determined.Based on the two optimization directions of increasing material transportation equipment and expanding the buffer capacity,a cost-oriented optimization model is established.A genetic algorithm and model simulation were used to solve the model.An optimization scheme that satisfies the production needs and has the lowest cost is proposed.The results show that the optimized dismantling system solves the suspended work problem at the dismantling station and a significant improvement in productivity and station utilization efficiency compared with the previous system.
文摘The Gas-Oil Ratio(GOR)is a crucial production parameter in oil reservoirs.An increase in GOR results in higher gas production and lower oil production,potentially leading to well shut-ins due to economic infeasibility.This study focuses on a real fractured oil field that requires urgent production operations to reduce the producing GOR.In this study,the static model for the field was developed using commercial software,involving steps such as data collection,fault modeling,meshing,and statistical analysis to prepare for dynamic simulation.The dynamic model incorporates geometry,gridding,and rock properties from the static model,utilizing a dual-porosity approach for the naturally fractured reservoir and the Peng-Robinson equation for fluid phase behavior.Initial reservoir conditions,production history,and rock-fluid interactions were defined,with relative permeability curves indicating a water-wet reservoir and low critical gas saturation affecting the GOR.To better understand the relationship between reservoir and production parameters,a detailed sensitivity analysis was performed using the Response Surface Methodology(RSM).Following the sensitivity analysis,a history matching process was conducted using the Designed Exploration and Controlled Evolution(DECE)optimizer to validate the model for future forecasts.Six operational scenarios were defined to decrease the production GOR and enhance final recovery from the field.The results indicate that the water injection scenario is effective in preventing the GOR increase by maintaining reservoir pressure,thereby sustaining production over a longer period.This scenario also improves oil recovery by approximately 6%compared to the base case.Finally,optimization was carried out using the DECE optimizer for each scenario to fine-tune the operational parameters.The goal was to maximize oil revenue for each scenario during the optimization process.This study stands out as one of the few that provides a comprehensive analysis of production behavior and development planning for a real fractured reservoir with high producing GOR.
基金funded by the 14th Five-Year Plan Major Science and Technology Project of CNOOC project number KJGG2021-0506.
文摘After a long period of water flooding development,the oilfield has entered the middle and high water cut stage.The physical properties of reservoirs are changed by water erosion,which directly impacts reservoir development.Conventional numerical reservoir simulation methodologies typically employ static assumptions for model construction,presuming invariant reservoir geological parameters throughout the development process while neglecting the reservoir’s temporal evolution characteristics.Although such simplifications reduce computational complexity,they introduce substantial descriptive inaccuracies.Therefore,this paper proposes a meshless numerical simulation method for reservoirs that considers time-varying characteristics.This method avoids the meshing in traditional numerical simulation methods.From the fluid flow perspective,the reservoir’s computational domain is discretized into a series of connection units.An influence domain with a certain radius centered on the nodes is selected,and one-dimensional connection units are established between the nodes to achieve the characterization of the flow topology structure of the reservoir.In order to reflect the dynamic evolution of the reservoir’s physical properties during the water injection development process,the time-varying characteristics are incorporated into the formula of the seepage characteristic parameters in the meshless calculation.The change relationship of the permeability under different surface fluxes is considered to update the calculated connection conductivity in real time.By combining with the seepage control equation for solution,a time-varying meshless numerical simulation method is formed.The results show that compared with the numerical simulationmethod of the connection elementmethod(CEM)that only considers static parameters,this method has higher simulation accuracy and can better simulate the real migration and distribution of oil and water in the reservoir.Thismethod improves the accuracy of reservoir numerical simulation and the development effect of oilfields,providing a scientific basis for optimizing the water injection strategy,adjusting the production plan,and extending the effective production cycle of the oilfield.