Coupled climate models are essential tools for seasonal climate prediction,particularly in capturing the complex dynamics of tropical climate systems such as the monsoons.However,their predictive skill remains limited...Coupled climate models are essential tools for seasonal climate prediction,particularly in capturing the complex dynamics of tropical climate systems such as the monsoons.However,their predictive skill remains limited by uncertainties in initial conditions and model physics.This study evaluates the relative contributions of land and ocean initial conditions,2 primary sources of seasonal predictability,on boreal summer monsoon prediction skill,with a specific focus on Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall(ISMR).展开更多
文摘Coupled climate models are essential tools for seasonal climate prediction,particularly in capturing the complex dynamics of tropical climate systems such as the monsoons.However,their predictive skill remains limited by uncertainties in initial conditions and model physics.This study evaluates the relative contributions of land and ocean initial conditions,2 primary sources of seasonal predictability,on boreal summer monsoon prediction skill,with a specific focus on Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall(ISMR).