Accurate forecasting of changes in stock market indices can provide financial managers and individual investors with strategically valuable information.However,predicting the closing prices of stock indices remains a ...Accurate forecasting of changes in stock market indices can provide financial managers and individual investors with strategically valuable information.However,predicting the closing prices of stock indices remains a challenging task because stock price movements are characterized by high volatility and nonlinearity.This paper proposes a novel condensed polynomial neural network(CPNN)for the task of forecasting stock closing price indices.We developed a model that uses partial descriptions(PDs)and is limited to only two layers for the PNN architecture.The outputs of these PDs along with the original features are fed to a single output neuron,and the synaptic weight values and biases of the CPNN are optimized by a genetic algorithm.The proposed model was evaluated by predicting the next day’s closing price of five fast-growing stock indices:the BSE,DJIA,NASDAQ,FTSE,and TAIEX.In comparative testing,the proposed model proved its ability to provide closing price predictions with superior accuracy.Further,the Deibold-Mariano test justified the statistical significance of the model,establishing that this approach can be adopted as a competent financial forecasting tool.展开更多
Traffic in today’s cities is a serious problem that increases travel times,negatively affects the environment,and drains financial resources.This study presents an Artificial Intelligence(AI)augmentedMobile Ad Hoc Ne...Traffic in today’s cities is a serious problem that increases travel times,negatively affects the environment,and drains financial resources.This study presents an Artificial Intelligence(AI)augmentedMobile Ad Hoc Networks(MANETs)based real-time prediction paradigm for urban traffic challenges.MANETs are wireless networks that are based on mobile devices and may self-organize.The distributed nature of MANETs and the power of AI approaches are leveraged in this framework to provide reliable and timely traffic congestion forecasts.This study suggests a unique Chaotic Spatial Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Network(CSFPNN)technique to assess real-time data acquired from various sources within theMANETs.The framework uses the proposed approach to learn from the data and create predictionmodels to detect possible traffic problems and their severity in real time.Real-time traffic prediction allows for proactive actions like resource allocation,dynamic route advice,and traffic signal optimization to reduce congestion.The framework supports effective decision-making,decreases travel time,lowers fuel use,and enhances overall urban mobility by giving timely information to pedestrians,drivers,and urban planners.Extensive simulations and real-world datasets are used to test the proposed framework’s prediction accuracy,responsiveness,and scalability.Experimental results show that the suggested framework successfully anticipates urban traffic issues in real-time,enables proactive traffic management,and aids in creating smarter,more sustainable cities.展开更多
文摘Accurate forecasting of changes in stock market indices can provide financial managers and individual investors with strategically valuable information.However,predicting the closing prices of stock indices remains a challenging task because stock price movements are characterized by high volatility and nonlinearity.This paper proposes a novel condensed polynomial neural network(CPNN)for the task of forecasting stock closing price indices.We developed a model that uses partial descriptions(PDs)and is limited to only two layers for the PNN architecture.The outputs of these PDs along with the original features are fed to a single output neuron,and the synaptic weight values and biases of the CPNN are optimized by a genetic algorithm.The proposed model was evaluated by predicting the next day’s closing price of five fast-growing stock indices:the BSE,DJIA,NASDAQ,FTSE,and TAIEX.In comparative testing,the proposed model proved its ability to provide closing price predictions with superior accuracy.Further,the Deibold-Mariano test justified the statistical significance of the model,establishing that this approach can be adopted as a competent financial forecasting tool.
基金the Deanship of Scientific Research at Majmaah University for supporting this work under Project No.R-2024-1008.
文摘Traffic in today’s cities is a serious problem that increases travel times,negatively affects the environment,and drains financial resources.This study presents an Artificial Intelligence(AI)augmentedMobile Ad Hoc Networks(MANETs)based real-time prediction paradigm for urban traffic challenges.MANETs are wireless networks that are based on mobile devices and may self-organize.The distributed nature of MANETs and the power of AI approaches are leveraged in this framework to provide reliable and timely traffic congestion forecasts.This study suggests a unique Chaotic Spatial Fuzzy Polynomial Neural Network(CSFPNN)technique to assess real-time data acquired from various sources within theMANETs.The framework uses the proposed approach to learn from the data and create predictionmodels to detect possible traffic problems and their severity in real time.Real-time traffic prediction allows for proactive actions like resource allocation,dynamic route advice,and traffic signal optimization to reduce congestion.The framework supports effective decision-making,decreases travel time,lowers fuel use,and enhances overall urban mobility by giving timely information to pedestrians,drivers,and urban planners.Extensive simulations and real-world datasets are used to test the proposed framework’s prediction accuracy,responsiveness,and scalability.Experimental results show that the suggested framework successfully anticipates urban traffic issues in real-time,enables proactive traffic management,and aids in creating smarter,more sustainable cities.
