Fixed quadrates were established in different stands. In continued six years, the occurring period, occurring amounts and the relation between epidemic disease and environmental factors were investigated according to ...Fixed quadrates were established in different stands. In continued six years, the occurring period, occurring amounts and the relation between epidemic disease and environmental factors were investigated according to spraying lawsof spores and accounting measures of disease ranking. The occuring peak period of the disease was from the last ten days ofMay to the second ten days of June. The epidemic period was from the last ten days of June to the second ten days of Julyand the initial decease period was from the last ten days of July to the beginning of September. The change of the diseasedepended on air temperature, relative humidity and precipitation. A multiple linear regression model was established usingcomputer, which can predict the disease index(Y) of 10 days later, with more than 95% reliability展开更多
The spatial distribution pattern of needle bright disease was mathematically studied. The results showed that it is tally with negative binomial distribution. The infected area and damaged amount can be forecasted wit...The spatial distribution pattern of needle bright disease was mathematically studied. The results showed that it is tally with negative binomial distribution. The infected area and damaged amount can be forecasted with this spatial distribution pattern. Through the study on probability distribution of spatial points for single tree, the method and equations for calculation of the disease index of whole forest belt were determined.展开更多
文摘Fixed quadrates were established in different stands. In continued six years, the occurring period, occurring amounts and the relation between epidemic disease and environmental factors were investigated according to spraying lawsof spores and accounting measures of disease ranking. The occuring peak period of the disease was from the last ten days ofMay to the second ten days of June. The epidemic period was from the last ten days of June to the second ten days of Julyand the initial decease period was from the last ten days of July to the beginning of September. The change of the diseasedepended on air temperature, relative humidity and precipitation. A multiple linear regression model was established usingcomputer, which can predict the disease index(Y) of 10 days later, with more than 95% reliability
文摘The spatial distribution pattern of needle bright disease was mathematically studied. The results showed that it is tally with negative binomial distribution. The infected area and damaged amount can be forecasted with this spatial distribution pattern. Through the study on probability distribution of spatial points for single tree, the method and equations for calculation of the disease index of whole forest belt were determined.
