Accurate prediction of flood events is important for flood control and risk management.Machine learning techniques contributed greatly to advances in flood predictions,and existing studies mainly focused on predicting...Accurate prediction of flood events is important for flood control and risk management.Machine learning techniques contributed greatly to advances in flood predictions,and existing studies mainly focused on predicting flood resource variables using single or hybrid machine learning techniques.However,class-based flood predictions have rarely been investigated,which can aid in quickly diagnosing comprehensive flood characteristics and proposing targeted management strategies.This study proposed a prediction approach of flood regime metrics and event classes coupling machine learning algorithms with clustering-deduced membership degrees.Five algorithms were adopted for this exploration.Results showed that the class membership degrees accurately determined event classes with class hit rates up to 100%,compared with the four classes clustered from nine regime metrics.The nonlinear algorithms(Multiple Linear Regression,Random Forest,and least squares-Support Vector Machine)outperformed the linear techniques(Multiple Linear Regression and Stepwise Regression)in predicting flood regime metrics.The proposed approach well predicted flood event classes with average class hit rates of 66.0%-85.4%and 47.2%-76.0%in calibration and validation periods,respectively,particularly for the slow and late flood events.The predictive capability of the proposed prediction approach for flood regime metrics and classes was considerably stronger than that of hydrological modeling approach.展开更多
Open caissons are widely used in foundation engineering because of their load-bearing efficiency and adaptability in diverse soil conditions.However,accurately predicting their undrained bearing capacity in layered so...Open caissons are widely used in foundation engineering because of their load-bearing efficiency and adaptability in diverse soil conditions.However,accurately predicting their undrained bearing capacity in layered soils remains a complex challenge.This study presents a novel application of five ensemble machine(ML)algorithms-random forest(RF),gradient boosting machine(GBM),extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost),adaptive boosting(AdaBoost),and categorical boosting(CatBoost)-to predict the undrained bearing capacity factor(Nc)of circular open caissons embedded in two-layered clay on the basis of results from finite element limit analysis(FELA).The input dataset consists of 1188 numerical simulations using the Tresca failure criterion,varying in geometrical and soil parameters.The FELA was performed via OptumG2 software with adaptive meshing techniques and verified against existing benchmark studies.The ML models were trained on 70% of the dataset and tested on the remaining 30%.Their performance was evaluated using six statistical metrics:coefficient of determination(R²),mean absolute error(MAE),root mean squared error(RMSE),index of scatter(IOS),RMSE-to-standard deviation ratio(RSR),and variance explained factor(VAF).The results indicate that all the models achieved high accuracy,with R²values exceeding 97.6%and RMSE values below 0.02.Among them,AdaBoost and CatBoost consistently outperformed the other methods across both the training and testing datasets,demonstrating superior generalizability and robustness.The proposed ML framework offers an efficient,accurate,and data-driven alternative to traditional methods for estimating caisson capacity in stratified soils.This approach can aid in reducing computational costs while improving reliability in the early stages of foundation design.展开更多
Non-technical losses(NTL)of electric power are a serious problem for electric distribution companies.The solution determines the cost,stability,reliability,and quality of the supplied electricity.The widespread use of...Non-technical losses(NTL)of electric power are a serious problem for electric distribution companies.The solution determines the cost,stability,reliability,and quality of the supplied electricity.The widespread use of advanced metering infrastructure(AMI)and Smart Grid allows all participants in the distribution grid to store and track electricity consumption.During the research,a machine learning model is developed that allows analyzing and predicting the probability of NTL for each consumer of the distribution grid based on daily electricity consumption readings.This model is an ensemble meta-algorithm(stacking)that generalizes the algorithms of random forest,LightGBM,and a homogeneous ensemble of artificial neural networks.The best accuracy of the proposed meta-algorithm in comparison to basic classifiers is experimentally confirmed on the test sample.Such a model,due to good accuracy indicators(ROC-AUC-0.88),can be used as a methodological basis for a decision support system,the purpose of which is to form a sample of suspected NTL sources.The use of such a sample will allow the top management of electric distribution companies to increase the efficiency of raids by performers,making them targeted and accurate,which should contribute to the fight against NTL and the sustainable development of the electric power industry.展开更多
Neuromorphic computing extends beyond sequential processing modalities and outperforms traditional von Neumann architectures in implementing more complicated tasks,e.g.,pattern processing,image recognition,and decisio...Neuromorphic computing extends beyond sequential processing modalities and outperforms traditional von Neumann architectures in implementing more complicated tasks,e.g.,pattern processing,image recognition,and decision making.It features parallel interconnected neural networks,high fault tolerance,robustness,autonomous learning capability,and ultralow energy dissipation.The algorithms of artificial neural network(ANN)have also been widely used because of their facile self-organization and self-learning capabilities,which mimic those of the human brain.To some extent,ANN reflects several basic functions of the human brain and can be efficiently integrated into neuromorphic devices to perform neuromorphic computations.This review highlights recent advances in neuromorphic devices assisted by machine learning algorithms.First,the basic structure of simple neuron models inspired by biological neurons and the information processing in simple neural networks are particularly discussed.Second,the fabrication and research progress of neuromorphic devices are presented regarding to materials and structures.Furthermore,the fabrication of neuromorphic devices,including stand-alone neuromorphic devices,neuromorphic device arrays,and integrated neuromorphic systems,is discussed and demonstrated with reference to some respective studies.The applications of neuromorphic devices assisted by machine learning algorithms in different fields are categorized and investigated.Finally,perspectives,suggestions,and potential solutions to the current challenges of neuromorphic devices are provided.展开更多
Based on the Google Earth Engine cloud computing data platform,this study employed three algorithms including Support Vector Machine,Random Forest,and Classification and Regression Tree to classify the current status ...Based on the Google Earth Engine cloud computing data platform,this study employed three algorithms including Support Vector Machine,Random Forest,and Classification and Regression Tree to classify the current status of land covers in Hung Yen province of Vietnam using Landsat 8 OLI satellite images,a free data source with reasonable spatial and temporal resolution.The results of the study show that all three algorithms presented good classification for five basic types of land cover including Rice land,Water bodies,Perennial vegetation,Annual vegetation,Built-up areas as their overall accuracy and Kappa coefficient were greater than 80%and 0.8,respectively.Among the three algorithms,SVM achieved the highest accuracy as its overall accuracy was 86%and the Kappa coefficient was 0.88.Land cover classification based on the SVM algorithm shows that Built-up areas cover the largest area with nearly 31,495 ha,accounting for more than 33.8%of the total natural area,followed by Rice land and Perennial vegetation which cover an area of over 30,767 ha(33%)and 15,637 ha(16.8%),respectively.Water bodies and Annual vegetation cover the smallest areas with 8,820(9.5%)ha and 6,302 ha(6.8%),respectively.The results of this study can be used for land use management and planning as well as other natural resource and environmental management purposes in the province.展开更多
The optimization of reaction processes is crucial for the green, efficient, and sustainable development of the chemical industry. However, how to address the problems posed by multiple variables, nonlinearities, and u...The optimization of reaction processes is crucial for the green, efficient, and sustainable development of the chemical industry. However, how to address the problems posed by multiple variables, nonlinearities, and uncertainties during optimization remains a formidable challenge. In this study, a strategy combining interpretable machine learning with metaheuristic optimization algorithms is employed to optimize the reaction process. First, experimental data from a biodiesel production process are collected to establish a database. These data are then used to construct a predictive model based on artificial neural network (ANN) models. Subsequently, interpretable machine learning techniques are applied for quantitative analysis and verification of the model. Finally, four metaheuristic optimization algorithms are coupled with the ANN model to achieve the desired optimization. The research results show that the methanol: palm fatty acid distillate (PFAD) molar ratio contributes the most to the reaction outcome, accounting for 41%. The ANN-simulated annealing (SA) hybrid method is more suitable for this optimization, and the optimal process parameters are a catalyst concentration of 3.00% (mass), a methanol: PFAD molar ratio of 8.67, and a reaction time of 30 min. This study provides deeper insights into reaction process optimization, which will facilitate future applications in various reaction optimization processes.展开更多
BACKGROUND:This study aims to develop and validate a machine learning-based in-hospital mortality predictive model for acute aortic syndrome(AAS)in the emergency department(ED)and to derive a simplifi ed version suita...BACKGROUND:This study aims to develop and validate a machine learning-based in-hospital mortality predictive model for acute aortic syndrome(AAS)in the emergency department(ED)and to derive a simplifi ed version suitable for rapid clinical application.METHODS:In this multi-center retrospective cohort study,AAS patient data from three hospitals were analyzed.The modeling cohort included data from the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University and the People’s Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region,with Peking University Third Hospital data serving as the external test set.Four machine learning algorithms—logistic regression(LR),multilayer perceptron(MLP),Gaussian naive Bayes(GNB),and random forest(RF)—were used to develop predictive models based on 34 early-accessible clinical variables.A simplifi ed model was then derived based on fi ve key variables(Stanford type,pericardial eff usion,asymmetric peripheral arterial pulsation,decreased bowel sounds,and dyspnea)via Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator(LASSO)regression to improve ED applicability.RESULTS:A total of 929 patients were included in the modeling cohort,and 210 were included in the external test set.Four machine learning models based on 34 clinical variables were developed,achieving internal and external validation AUCs of 0.85-0.90 and 0.73-0.85,respectively.The simplifi ed model incorporating fi ve key variables demonstrated internal and external validation AUCs of 0.71-0.86 and 0.75-0.78,respectively.Both models showed robust calibration and predictive stability across datasets.CONCLUSION:Both kinds of models were built based on machine learning tools,and proved to have certain prediction performance and extrapolation.展开更多
Intermittent rivers and ephemeral streams(IRES),also known as non-perennial river segments(NPRs),have garnered attention due to their significant roles in watershed hydrology and ecosystem services,especially in the c...Intermittent rivers and ephemeral streams(IRES),also known as non-perennial river segments(NPRs),have garnered attention due to their significant roles in watershed hydrology and ecosystem services,especially in the context of climate change and escalating human activities.Recent advances in machine learning(ML)techniques have significantly improved the analysis of dynamic changes in IRES.Various ML models,including random forest(RF),long short-term memory(LSTM),and U-Net,demonstrate clear advantages in processing complex hydrological data,enhancing the efficiency and accuracy of IRES extraction from remote sensing data.Furthermore,hybrid ML approaches enhance predictive performance in complex hydrological scenarios by integrating multiple algorithms.However,ML methods still face challenges,including high data dependence,computational complexity,and scalability issues with models.This review proposes an IRES monitoring framework that combines satellite data with ML algorithms,integrating remote sensing technologies such as optical imaging and synthetic aperture radar,and evaluates the advantages and limitations of different ML methods.It further highlights the potential of integrating multiple ML techniques and high-resolution remote sensing data to monitor IRES dynamics,conduct ecological assessments,and support sustainable water management,offering a scientific foundation for addressing environmental and anthropogenic pressures.展开更多
Magnesium hydride(MgH_(2)),a promising high-capacity hydrogen storage material,is hindered by slow dehydrogenation kinetics.AIdriven catalyst discovery to address this is often hampered by the laborious extraction of ...Magnesium hydride(MgH_(2)),a promising high-capacity hydrogen storage material,is hindered by slow dehydrogenation kinetics.AIdriven catalyst discovery to address this is often hampered by the laborious extraction of data from unstructured literature.To overcome this,we introduce a transformative“LLM to Agent”framework that synergistically integrates Large Language Models(LLMs)for automated data curation with Machine Learning(ML)for predictive design.We automatically constructed a comprehensive database of 809 MgH_(2)catalysts(6555 data rows)with high fidelity and an~40-fold acceleration over manual methods.The resulting ML models achieved high accuracy(average R^(2)>0.91)in predicting dehydrogenation temperature and activation energy,subsequently guiding a Genetic Algorithm(GA)in an exploratory inverse design that autonomously uncovered key design principles for high-performance catalysts.Encouragingly,a strong alignment was found between these AI-discovered principles and the design strategies of recently reported,state-of-the-art experimental systems,providing substantial evidence for the validity of our approach.The framework culminates in Cat-Advisor,a novel,domain-adapted multi-agent system.Cat-Advisor translates ML predictions and retrieval-augmented knowledge into actionable design guidance,demonstrating capabilities that surpass those of general-purpose LLMs in this specialized domain.This work delivers a practical AI toolkit for accelerated materials discovery and advances the emerging Agent-based paradigm for designing next-generation energy technologies.展开更多
To curb the worsening tropospheric ozone(O_(3))pollution problem in China,a rapid and accurate identification of O_(3)-precursor sensitivity(OPS)is a crucial prerequisite for formulating effective contingency O_(3) po...To curb the worsening tropospheric ozone(O_(3))pollution problem in China,a rapid and accurate identification of O_(3)-precursor sensitivity(OPS)is a crucial prerequisite for formulating effective contingency O_(3) pollution control strategies.However,currently widely-used methods,such as statistical models and numerical models,exhibit inherent limitations in identifying OPS in a timely and accurate manner.In this study,we developed a novel approach to identify OPS based on eXtreme Gradient Boosting model,Shapley additive explanation(SHAP)al-gorithm,and volatile organic compound(VOC)photochemical decay adjustment,using the meteorology and speciated pollutant monitoring data as the input.By comparing the difference in SHAP values between base sce-nario and precursor reduction scenario for nitrogen oxides(NO_(x))and VOCs,OPS was divided into NO_(x)-limited,VOCs-limited and transition regime.Using the long-lasting O_(3) pollution episode in the autumn of 2022 at the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area(GBA)as an example,we demonstrated large spatiotemporal heterogeneities of OPS over the GBA,which were generally shifted from NO_(x)-limited to VOCs-limited from September to October and more inclined to be VOCs-limited at the central and NO_(x)-limited in the peripheral areas.This study developed an innovative OPS identification method by comparing the difference in SHAP value before and after precursor emission reduction.Our method enables the accurate identification of OPS in the time scale of seconds,thereby providing a state-of-the-art tool for the rapid guidance of spatial-specific O_(3) control strategies.展开更多
Accurate determination of rock mass parameters is essential for ensuring the accuracy of numericalsimulations. Displacement back-analysis is the most widely used method;however, the reliability of thecurrent approache...Accurate determination of rock mass parameters is essential for ensuring the accuracy of numericalsimulations. Displacement back-analysis is the most widely used method;however, the reliability of thecurrent approaches remains unsatisfactory. Therefore, in this paper, a multistage rock mass parameterback-analysis method, that considers the construction process and displacement losses is proposed andimplemented through the coupling of numerical simulation, auto-machine learning (AutoML), andmulti-objective optimization algorithms (MOOAs). First, a parametric modeling platform for mechanizedtwin tunnels is developed, generating a dataset through extensive numerical simulations. Next, theAutoML method is utilized to establish a surrogate model linking rock parameters and displacements.The tunnel construction process is divided into multiple stages, transforming the rock mass parameterback-analysis into a multi-objective optimization problem, for which multi-objective optimization algorithmsare introduced to obtain the rock mass parameters. The newly proposed rock mass parameterback-analysis method is validated in a mechanized twin tunnel project, and its accuracy and effectivenessare demonstrated. Compared with traditional single-stage back-analysis methods, the proposedmodel decreases the average absolute percentage error from 12.73% to 4.34%, significantly improving theaccuracy of the back-analysis. Moreover, although the accuracy of back analysis significantly increaseswith the number of construction stages considered, the back analysis time is acceptable. This studyprovides a new method for displacement back analysis that is efficient and accurate, thereby paving theway for precise parameter determination in numerical simulations.展开更多
BACKGROUND Difficulty of colonoscopy insertion(DCI)significantly affects colonoscopy effectiveness and serves as a key quality indicator.Predicting and evaluating DCI risk preoperatively is crucial for optimizing intr...BACKGROUND Difficulty of colonoscopy insertion(DCI)significantly affects colonoscopy effectiveness and serves as a key quality indicator.Predicting and evaluating DCI risk preoperatively is crucial for optimizing intraoperative strategies.AIM To evaluate the predictive performance of machine learning(ML)algorithms for DCI by comparing three modeling approaches,identify factors influencing DCI,and develop a preoperative prediction model using ML algorithms to enhance colonoscopy quality and efficiency.METHODS This cross-sectional study enrolled 712 patients who underwent colonoscopy at a tertiary hospital between June 2020 and May 2021.Demographic data,past medical history,medication use,and psychological status were collected.The endoscopist assessed DCI using the visual analogue scale.After univariate screening,predictive models were developed using multivariable logistic regression,least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)regression,and random forest(RF)algorithms.Model performance was evaluated based on discrimination,calibration,and decision curve analysis(DCA),and results were visualized using nomograms.RESULTS A total of 712 patients(53.8%male;mean age 54.5 years±12.9 years)were included.Logistic regression analysis identified constipation[odds ratio(OR)=2.254,95%confidence interval(CI):1.289-3.931],abdominal circumference(AC)(77.5–91.9 cm,OR=1.895,95%CI:1.065-3.350;AC≥92 cm,OR=1.271,95%CI:0.730-2.188),and anxiety(OR=1.071,95%CI:1.044-1.100)as predictive factors for DCI,validated by LASSO and RF methods.Model performance revealed training/validation sensitivities of 0.826/0.925,0.924/0.868,and 1.000/0.981;specificities of 0.602/0.511,0.510/0.562,and 0.977/0.526;and corresponding area under the receiver operating characteristic curves(AUCs)of 0.780(0.737-0.823)/0.726(0.654-0.799),0.754(0.710-0.798)/0.723(0.656-0.791),and 1.000(1.000-1.000)/0.754(0.688-0.820),respectively.DCA indicated optimal net benefit within probability thresholds of 0-0.9 and 0.05-0.37.The RF model demonstrated superior diagnostic accuracy,reflected by perfect training sensitivity(1.000)and highest validation AUC(0.754),outperforming other methods in clinical applicability.CONCLUSION The RF-based model exhibited superior predictive accuracy for DCI compared to multivariable logistic and LASSO regression models.This approach supports individualized preoperative optimization,enhancing colonoscopy quality through targeted risk stratification.展开更多
To ensure a long-term safety and reliability of electric vehicle and energy storage system,an accurate estimation of the state of health(SOH)for lithium-ion battery is important.In this study,a method for estimating t...To ensure a long-term safety and reliability of electric vehicle and energy storage system,an accurate estimation of the state of health(SOH)for lithium-ion battery is important.In this study,a method for estimating the lithium-ion battery SOH was proposed based on an improved extreme learning machine(ELM).Input weights and hidden layer biases were generated randomly in traditional ELM.To improve the estimation accuracy of ELM,the differential evolution algorithm was used to optimize these parameters in feasible solution spaces.First,incremental capacity curves were obtained by incremental capacity analysis and smoothed by Gaussian filter to extract health interests.Then,the ELM based on differential evolution algorithm(DE-ELM model)was used for a lithium-ion battery SOH estimation.At last,four battery historical aging data sets and one random walk data set were employed to validate the prediction performance of DE-ELM model.Results show that the DE-ELM has a better performance than other studied algorithms in terms of generalization ability.展开更多
The current study aimed at evaluating the capabilities of seven advanced machine learning techniques(MLTs),including,Support Vector Machine(SVM),Random Forest(RF),Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline(MARS),Artifici...The current study aimed at evaluating the capabilities of seven advanced machine learning techniques(MLTs),including,Support Vector Machine(SVM),Random Forest(RF),Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline(MARS),Artificial Neural Network(ANN),Quadratic Discriminant Analysis(QDA),Linear Discriminant Analysis(LDA),and Naive Bayes(NB),for landslide susceptibility modeling and comparison of their performances.Coupling machine learning algorithms with spatial data types for landslide susceptibility mapping is a vitally important issue.This study was carried out using GIS and R open source software at Abha Basin,Asir Region,Saudi Arabia.First,a total of 243 landslide locations were identified at Abha Basin to prepare the landslide inventory map using different data sources.All the landslide areas were randomly separated into two groups with a ratio of 70%for training and 30%for validating purposes.Twelve landslide-variables were generated for landslide susceptibility modeling,which include altitude,lithology,distance to faults,normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI),landuse/landcover(LULC),distance to roads,slope angle,distance to streams,profile curvature,plan curvature,slope length(LS),and slope-aspect.The area under curve(AUC-ROC)approach has been applied to evaluate,validate,and compare the MLTs performance.The results indicated that AUC values for seven MLTs range from 89.0%for QDA to 95.1%for RF.Our findings showed that the RF(AUC=95.1%)and LDA(AUC=941.7%)have produced the best performances in comparison to other MLTs.The outcome of this study and the landslide susceptibility maps would be useful for environmental protection.展开更多
Compression index Ccis an essential parameter in geotechnical design for which the effectiveness of correlation is still a challenge.This paper suggests a novel modelling approach using machine learning(ML)technique.T...Compression index Ccis an essential parameter in geotechnical design for which the effectiveness of correlation is still a challenge.This paper suggests a novel modelling approach using machine learning(ML)technique.The performance of five commonly used machine learning(ML)algorithms,i.e.back-propagation neural network(BPNN),extreme learning machine(ELM),support vector machine(SVM),random forest(RF)and evolutionary polynomial regression(EPR)in predicting Cc is comprehensively investigated.A database with a total number of 311 datasets including three input variables,i.e.initial void ratio e0,liquid limit water content wL,plasticity index Ip,and one output variable Cc is first established.Genetic algorithm(GA)is used to optimize the hyper-parameters in five ML algorithms,and the average prediction error for the 10-fold cross-validation(CV)sets is set as thefitness function in the GA for enhancing the robustness of ML models.The results indicate that ML models outperform empirical prediction formulations with lower prediction error.RF yields the lowest error followed by BPNN,ELM,EPR and SVM.If the ranges of input variables in the database are large enough,BPNN and RF models are recommended to predict Cc.Furthermore,if the distribution of input variables is continuous,RF model is the best one.Otherwise,EPR model is recommended if the ranges of input variables are small.The predicted correlations between input and output variables using five ML models show great agreement with the physical explanation.展开更多
The risk of rockbursts is one of the main threats in hard coal mines. Compared to other underground mines, the number of factors contributing to the rockburst at underground coal mines is much greater.Factors such as ...The risk of rockbursts is one of the main threats in hard coal mines. Compared to other underground mines, the number of factors contributing to the rockburst at underground coal mines is much greater.Factors such as the coal seam tendency to rockbursts, the thickness of the coal seam, and the stress level in the seam have to be considered, but also the entire coal seam-surrounding rock system has to be evaluated when trying to predict the rockbursts. However, in hard coal mines, there are stroke or stress-stroke rockbursts in which the fracture of a thick layer of sandstone plays an essential role in predicting rockbursts. The occurrence of rockbursts in coal mines is complex, and their prediction is even more difficult than in other mines. In recent years, the interest in machine learning algorithms for solving complex nonlinear problems has increased, which also applies to geosciences. This study attempts to use machine learning algorithms, i.e. neural network, decision tree, random forest, gradient boosting, and extreme gradient boosting(XGB), to assess the rockburst hazard of an active hard coal mine in the Upper Silesian Coal Basin. The rock mass bursting tendency index WTGthat describes the tendency of the seam-surrounding rock system to rockbursts and the anomaly of the vertical stress component were applied for this purpose. Especially, the decision tree and neural network models were proved to be effective in correctly distinguishing rockbursts from tremors, after which the excavation was not damaged. On average, these models correctly classified about 80% of the rockbursts in the testing datasets.展开更多
This investigation assessed the efficacy of 10 widely used machine learning algorithms(MLA)comprising the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO),generalized linear model(GLM),stepwise generalized linea...This investigation assessed the efficacy of 10 widely used machine learning algorithms(MLA)comprising the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO),generalized linear model(GLM),stepwise generalized linear model(SGLM),elastic net(ENET),partial least square(PLS),ridge regression,support vector machine(SVM),classification and regression trees(CART),bagged CART,and random forest(RF)for gully erosion susceptibility mapping(GESM)in Iran.The location of 462 previously existing gully erosion sites were mapped through widespread field investigations,of which 70%(323)and 30%(139)of observations were arbitrarily divided for algorithm calibration and validation.Twelve controlling factors for gully erosion,namely,soil texture,annual mean rainfall,digital elevation model(DEM),drainage density,slope,lithology,topographic wetness index(TWI),distance from rivers,aspect,distance from roads,plan curvature,and profile curvature were ranked in terms of their importance using each MLA.The MLA were compared using a training dataset for gully erosion and statistical measures such as RMSE(root mean square error),MAE(mean absolute error),and R-squared.Based on the comparisons among MLA,the RF algorithm exhibited the minimum RMSE and MAE and the maximum value of R-squared,and was therefore selected as the best model.The variable importance evaluation using the RF model revealed that distance from rivers had the highest significance in influencing the occurrence of gully erosion whereas plan curvature had the least importance.According to the GESM generated using RF,most of the study area is predicted to have a low(53.72%)or moderate(29.65%)susceptibility to gully erosion,whereas only a small area is identified to have a high(12.56%)or very high(4.07%)susceptibility.The outcome generated by RF model is validated using the ROC(Receiver Operating Characteristics)curve approach,which returned an area under the curve(AUC)of 0.985,proving the excellent forecasting ability of the model.The GESM prepared using the RF algorithm can aid decision-makers in targeting remedial actions for minimizing the damage caused by gully erosion.展开更多
Big data analytic techniques associated with machine learning algorithms are playing an increasingly important role in various application fields,including stock market investment.However,few studies have focused on f...Big data analytic techniques associated with machine learning algorithms are playing an increasingly important role in various application fields,including stock market investment.However,few studies have focused on forecasting daily stock market returns,especially when using powerful machine learning techniques,such as deep neural networks(DNNs),to perform the analyses.DNNs employ various deep learning algorithms based on the combination of network structure,activation function,and model parameters,with their performance depending on the format of the data representation.This paper presents a comprehensive big data analytics process to predict the daily return direction of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF(ticker symbol:SPY)based on 60 financial and economic features.DNNs and traditional artificial neural networks(ANNs)are then deployed over the entire preprocessed but untransformed dataset,along with two datasets transformed via principal component analysis(PCA),to predict the daily direction of future stock market index returns.While controlling for overfitting,a pattern for the classification accuracy of the DNNs is detected and demonstrated as the number of the hidden layers increases gradually from 12 to 1000.Moreover,a set of hypothesis testing procedures are implemented on the classification,and the simulation results show that the DNNs using two PCA-represented datasets give significantly higher classification accuracy than those using the entire untransformed dataset,as well as several other hybrid machine learning algorithms.In addition,the trading strategies guided by the DNN classification process based on PCA-represented data perform slightly better than the others tested,including in a comparison against two standard benchmarks.展开更多
Periodontitis is closely related to many systemic diseases linked by different periodontal pathogens.To unravel the relationship between periodontitis and systemic diseases,it is very important to correctly discrimina...Periodontitis is closely related to many systemic diseases linked by different periodontal pathogens.To unravel the relationship between periodontitis and systemic diseases,it is very important to correctly discriminate major periodontal pathogens.To realize convenient,effcient,and high-accuracy bacterial species classification,the authors use Raman spectroscopy combined with machine learning algorithms to distinguish three major periodontal pathogens Porphyromonas gingivalis(Pg),Fusobacterium nucleatum(Fn),and Aggregatibacter actinomycetemcomitans(Aa).The result shows that this novel method can successfully discriminate the three abovementioned periodontal pathogens.Moreover,the classification accuracies for the three categories of the original data were 94.7%at the sample level and 93.9%at the spectrum level by the machine learning algorithm extra trees.This study provides a fast,simple,and accurate method which is very beneficial to differentiate periodontal pathogens.展开更多
Some countries have announced national benchmark rates,while others have been working on the recent trend in which the London Interbank Offered Rate will be retired at the end of 2021.Considering that Turkey announced...Some countries have announced national benchmark rates,while others have been working on the recent trend in which the London Interbank Offered Rate will be retired at the end of 2021.Considering that Turkey announced the Turkish Lira Overnight Reference Interest Rate(TLREF),this study examines the determinants of TLREF.In this context,three global determinants,five country-level macroeconomic determinants,and the COVID-19 pandemic are considered by using daily data between December 28,2018,and December 31,2020,by performing machine learning algorithms and Ordinary Least Square.The empirical results show that(1)the most significant determinant is the amount of securities bought by Central Banks;(2)country-level macroeconomic factors have a higher impact whereas global factors are less important,and the pandemic does not have a significant effect;(3)Random Forest is the most accurate prediction model.Taking action by considering the study’s findings can help support economic growth by achieving low-level benchmark rates.展开更多
基金National Key Research and Development Program of China,No.2023YFC3006704National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.42171047CAS-CSIRO Partnership Joint Project of 2024,No.177GJHZ2023097MI。
文摘Accurate prediction of flood events is important for flood control and risk management.Machine learning techniques contributed greatly to advances in flood predictions,and existing studies mainly focused on predicting flood resource variables using single or hybrid machine learning techniques.However,class-based flood predictions have rarely been investigated,which can aid in quickly diagnosing comprehensive flood characteristics and proposing targeted management strategies.This study proposed a prediction approach of flood regime metrics and event classes coupling machine learning algorithms with clustering-deduced membership degrees.Five algorithms were adopted for this exploration.Results showed that the class membership degrees accurately determined event classes with class hit rates up to 100%,compared with the four classes clustered from nine regime metrics.The nonlinear algorithms(Multiple Linear Regression,Random Forest,and least squares-Support Vector Machine)outperformed the linear techniques(Multiple Linear Regression and Stepwise Regression)in predicting flood regime metrics.The proposed approach well predicted flood event classes with average class hit rates of 66.0%-85.4%and 47.2%-76.0%in calibration and validation periods,respectively,particularly for the slow and late flood events.The predictive capability of the proposed prediction approach for flood regime metrics and classes was considerably stronger than that of hydrological modeling approach.
文摘Open caissons are widely used in foundation engineering because of their load-bearing efficiency and adaptability in diverse soil conditions.However,accurately predicting their undrained bearing capacity in layered soils remains a complex challenge.This study presents a novel application of five ensemble machine(ML)algorithms-random forest(RF),gradient boosting machine(GBM),extreme gradient boosting(XGBoost),adaptive boosting(AdaBoost),and categorical boosting(CatBoost)-to predict the undrained bearing capacity factor(Nc)of circular open caissons embedded in two-layered clay on the basis of results from finite element limit analysis(FELA).The input dataset consists of 1188 numerical simulations using the Tresca failure criterion,varying in geometrical and soil parameters.The FELA was performed via OptumG2 software with adaptive meshing techniques and verified against existing benchmark studies.The ML models were trained on 70% of the dataset and tested on the remaining 30%.Their performance was evaluated using six statistical metrics:coefficient of determination(R²),mean absolute error(MAE),root mean squared error(RMSE),index of scatter(IOS),RMSE-to-standard deviation ratio(RSR),and variance explained factor(VAF).The results indicate that all the models achieved high accuracy,with R²values exceeding 97.6%and RMSE values below 0.02.Among them,AdaBoost and CatBoost consistently outperformed the other methods across both the training and testing datasets,demonstrating superior generalizability and robustness.The proposed ML framework offers an efficient,accurate,and data-driven alternative to traditional methods for estimating caisson capacity in stratified soils.This approach can aid in reducing computational costs while improving reliability in the early stages of foundation design.
文摘Non-technical losses(NTL)of electric power are a serious problem for electric distribution companies.The solution determines the cost,stability,reliability,and quality of the supplied electricity.The widespread use of advanced metering infrastructure(AMI)and Smart Grid allows all participants in the distribution grid to store and track electricity consumption.During the research,a machine learning model is developed that allows analyzing and predicting the probability of NTL for each consumer of the distribution grid based on daily electricity consumption readings.This model is an ensemble meta-algorithm(stacking)that generalizes the algorithms of random forest,LightGBM,and a homogeneous ensemble of artificial neural networks.The best accuracy of the proposed meta-algorithm in comparison to basic classifiers is experimentally confirmed on the test sample.Such a model,due to good accuracy indicators(ROC-AUC-0.88),can be used as a methodological basis for a decision support system,the purpose of which is to form a sample of suspected NTL sources.The use of such a sample will allow the top management of electric distribution companies to increase the efficiency of raids by performers,making them targeted and accurate,which should contribute to the fight against NTL and the sustainable development of the electric power industry.
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52073031)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Nos.2023YFB3208102,2021YFB3200304)+4 种基金the China National Postdoctoral Program for Innovative Talents(No.BX2021302)the Beijing Nova Program(Nos.Z191100001119047,Z211100002121148)the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(No.E0EG6801X2)the‘Hundred Talents Program’of the Chinese Academy of Sciencesthe BrainLink program funded by the MSIT through the NRF of Korea(No.RS-2023-00237308).
文摘Neuromorphic computing extends beyond sequential processing modalities and outperforms traditional von Neumann architectures in implementing more complicated tasks,e.g.,pattern processing,image recognition,and decision making.It features parallel interconnected neural networks,high fault tolerance,robustness,autonomous learning capability,and ultralow energy dissipation.The algorithms of artificial neural network(ANN)have also been widely used because of their facile self-organization and self-learning capabilities,which mimic those of the human brain.To some extent,ANN reflects several basic functions of the human brain and can be efficiently integrated into neuromorphic devices to perform neuromorphic computations.This review highlights recent advances in neuromorphic devices assisted by machine learning algorithms.First,the basic structure of simple neuron models inspired by biological neurons and the information processing in simple neural networks are particularly discussed.Second,the fabrication and research progress of neuromorphic devices are presented regarding to materials and structures.Furthermore,the fabrication of neuromorphic devices,including stand-alone neuromorphic devices,neuromorphic device arrays,and integrated neuromorphic systems,is discussed and demonstrated with reference to some respective studies.The applications of neuromorphic devices assisted by machine learning algorithms in different fields are categorized and investigated.Finally,perspectives,suggestions,and potential solutions to the current challenges of neuromorphic devices are provided.
文摘Based on the Google Earth Engine cloud computing data platform,this study employed three algorithms including Support Vector Machine,Random Forest,and Classification and Regression Tree to classify the current status of land covers in Hung Yen province of Vietnam using Landsat 8 OLI satellite images,a free data source with reasonable spatial and temporal resolution.The results of the study show that all three algorithms presented good classification for five basic types of land cover including Rice land,Water bodies,Perennial vegetation,Annual vegetation,Built-up areas as their overall accuracy and Kappa coefficient were greater than 80%and 0.8,respectively.Among the three algorithms,SVM achieved the highest accuracy as its overall accuracy was 86%and the Kappa coefficient was 0.88.Land cover classification based on the SVM algorithm shows that Built-up areas cover the largest area with nearly 31,495 ha,accounting for more than 33.8%of the total natural area,followed by Rice land and Perennial vegetation which cover an area of over 30,767 ha(33%)and 15,637 ha(16.8%),respectively.Water bodies and Annual vegetation cover the smallest areas with 8,820(9.5%)ha and 6,302 ha(6.8%),respectively.The results of this study can be used for land use management and planning as well as other natural resource and environmental management purposes in the province.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(22408227,22238005)the Postdoctoral Research Foundation of China(GZC20231576).
文摘The optimization of reaction processes is crucial for the green, efficient, and sustainable development of the chemical industry. However, how to address the problems posed by multiple variables, nonlinearities, and uncertainties during optimization remains a formidable challenge. In this study, a strategy combining interpretable machine learning with metaheuristic optimization algorithms is employed to optimize the reaction process. First, experimental data from a biodiesel production process are collected to establish a database. These data are then used to construct a predictive model based on artificial neural network (ANN) models. Subsequently, interpretable machine learning techniques are applied for quantitative analysis and verification of the model. Finally, four metaheuristic optimization algorithms are coupled with the ANN model to achieve the desired optimization. The research results show that the methanol: palm fatty acid distillate (PFAD) molar ratio contributes the most to the reaction outcome, accounting for 41%. The ANN-simulated annealing (SA) hybrid method is more suitable for this optimization, and the optimal process parameters are a catalyst concentration of 3.00% (mass), a methanol: PFAD molar ratio of 8.67, and a reaction time of 30 min. This study provides deeper insights into reaction process optimization, which will facilitate future applications in various reaction optimization processes.
基金supported by the special fund of the National Clinical Key Specialty Construction Program[(2022)301-2305].
文摘BACKGROUND:This study aims to develop and validate a machine learning-based in-hospital mortality predictive model for acute aortic syndrome(AAS)in the emergency department(ED)and to derive a simplifi ed version suitable for rapid clinical application.METHODS:In this multi-center retrospective cohort study,AAS patient data from three hospitals were analyzed.The modeling cohort included data from the First Affiliated Hospital of Zhengzhou University and the People’s Hospital of Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region,with Peking University Third Hospital data serving as the external test set.Four machine learning algorithms—logistic regression(LR),multilayer perceptron(MLP),Gaussian naive Bayes(GNB),and random forest(RF)—were used to develop predictive models based on 34 early-accessible clinical variables.A simplifi ed model was then derived based on fi ve key variables(Stanford type,pericardial eff usion,asymmetric peripheral arterial pulsation,decreased bowel sounds,and dyspnea)via Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator(LASSO)regression to improve ED applicability.RESULTS:A total of 929 patients were included in the modeling cohort,and 210 were included in the external test set.Four machine learning models based on 34 clinical variables were developed,achieving internal and external validation AUCs of 0.85-0.90 and 0.73-0.85,respectively.The simplifi ed model incorporating fi ve key variables demonstrated internal and external validation AUCs of 0.71-0.86 and 0.75-0.78,respectively.Both models showed robust calibration and predictive stability across datasets.CONCLUSION:Both kinds of models were built based on machine learning tools,and proved to have certain prediction performance and extrapolation.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China,No.41671026。
文摘Intermittent rivers and ephemeral streams(IRES),also known as non-perennial river segments(NPRs),have garnered attention due to their significant roles in watershed hydrology and ecosystem services,especially in the context of climate change and escalating human activities.Recent advances in machine learning(ML)techniques have significantly improved the analysis of dynamic changes in IRES.Various ML models,including random forest(RF),long short-term memory(LSTM),and U-Net,demonstrate clear advantages in processing complex hydrological data,enhancing the efficiency and accuracy of IRES extraction from remote sensing data.Furthermore,hybrid ML approaches enhance predictive performance in complex hydrological scenarios by integrating multiple algorithms.However,ML methods still face challenges,including high data dependence,computational complexity,and scalability issues with models.This review proposes an IRES monitoring framework that combines satellite data with ML algorithms,integrating remote sensing technologies such as optical imaging and synthetic aperture radar,and evaluates the advantages and limitations of different ML methods.It further highlights the potential of integrating multiple ML techniques and high-resolution remote sensing data to monitor IRES dynamics,conduct ecological assessments,and support sustainable water management,offering a scientific foundation for addressing environmental and anthropogenic pressures.
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Hebei Province(E2023502006)Fundamental Research Fund for the Central Universities(2025MS131).
文摘Magnesium hydride(MgH_(2)),a promising high-capacity hydrogen storage material,is hindered by slow dehydrogenation kinetics.AIdriven catalyst discovery to address this is often hampered by the laborious extraction of data from unstructured literature.To overcome this,we introduce a transformative“LLM to Agent”framework that synergistically integrates Large Language Models(LLMs)for automated data curation with Machine Learning(ML)for predictive design.We automatically constructed a comprehensive database of 809 MgH_(2)catalysts(6555 data rows)with high fidelity and an~40-fold acceleration over manual methods.The resulting ML models achieved high accuracy(average R^(2)>0.91)in predicting dehydrogenation temperature and activation energy,subsequently guiding a Genetic Algorithm(GA)in an exploratory inverse design that autonomously uncovered key design principles for high-performance catalysts.Encouragingly,a strong alignment was found between these AI-discovered principles and the design strategies of recently reported,state-of-the-art experimental systems,providing substantial evidence for the validity of our approach.The framework culminates in Cat-Advisor,a novel,domain-adapted multi-agent system.Cat-Advisor translates ML predictions and retrieval-augmented knowledge into actionable design guidance,demonstrating capabilities that surpass those of general-purpose LLMs in this specialized domain.This work delivers a practical AI toolkit for accelerated materials discovery and advances the emerging Agent-based paradigm for designing next-generation energy technologies.
基金supported by the Key-Area Research and Development Program of Guangdong Province(No.2020B1111360003)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.42465008 and 42105164)+2 种基金Yunnan Science and Technology Department Project(No.202501AT070239)Yunnan Science and Technology Department Youth Project(No.202401AU070202)Xianyang Rapid Response Decision Support Project for Ozone(No.YZ2024-ZB019).
文摘To curb the worsening tropospheric ozone(O_(3))pollution problem in China,a rapid and accurate identification of O_(3)-precursor sensitivity(OPS)is a crucial prerequisite for formulating effective contingency O_(3) pollution control strategies.However,currently widely-used methods,such as statistical models and numerical models,exhibit inherent limitations in identifying OPS in a timely and accurate manner.In this study,we developed a novel approach to identify OPS based on eXtreme Gradient Boosting model,Shapley additive explanation(SHAP)al-gorithm,and volatile organic compound(VOC)photochemical decay adjustment,using the meteorology and speciated pollutant monitoring data as the input.By comparing the difference in SHAP values between base sce-nario and precursor reduction scenario for nitrogen oxides(NO_(x))and VOCs,OPS was divided into NO_(x)-limited,VOCs-limited and transition regime.Using the long-lasting O_(3) pollution episode in the autumn of 2022 at the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area(GBA)as an example,we demonstrated large spatiotemporal heterogeneities of OPS over the GBA,which were generally shifted from NO_(x)-limited to VOCs-limited from September to October and more inclined to be VOCs-limited at the central and NO_(x)-limited in the peripheral areas.This study developed an innovative OPS identification method by comparing the difference in SHAP value before and after precursor emission reduction.Our method enables the accurate identification of OPS in the time scale of seconds,thereby providing a state-of-the-art tool for the rapid guidance of spatial-specific O_(3) control strategies.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.52090081,52079068)the State Key Laboratory of Hydroscience and Hydraulic Engineering(Grant No.2021-KY-04).
文摘Accurate determination of rock mass parameters is essential for ensuring the accuracy of numericalsimulations. Displacement back-analysis is the most widely used method;however, the reliability of thecurrent approaches remains unsatisfactory. Therefore, in this paper, a multistage rock mass parameterback-analysis method, that considers the construction process and displacement losses is proposed andimplemented through the coupling of numerical simulation, auto-machine learning (AutoML), andmulti-objective optimization algorithms (MOOAs). First, a parametric modeling platform for mechanizedtwin tunnels is developed, generating a dataset through extensive numerical simulations. Next, theAutoML method is utilized to establish a surrogate model linking rock parameters and displacements.The tunnel construction process is divided into multiple stages, transforming the rock mass parameterback-analysis into a multi-objective optimization problem, for which multi-objective optimization algorithmsare introduced to obtain the rock mass parameters. The newly proposed rock mass parameterback-analysis method is validated in a mechanized twin tunnel project, and its accuracy and effectivenessare demonstrated. Compared with traditional single-stage back-analysis methods, the proposedmodel decreases the average absolute percentage error from 12.73% to 4.34%, significantly improving theaccuracy of the back-analysis. Moreover, although the accuracy of back analysis significantly increaseswith the number of construction stages considered, the back analysis time is acceptable. This studyprovides a new method for displacement back analysis that is efficient and accurate, thereby paving theway for precise parameter determination in numerical simulations.
基金the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry(No.ChiCTR2000040109)approved by the Hospital Ethics Committee(No.20210130017).
文摘BACKGROUND Difficulty of colonoscopy insertion(DCI)significantly affects colonoscopy effectiveness and serves as a key quality indicator.Predicting and evaluating DCI risk preoperatively is crucial for optimizing intraoperative strategies.AIM To evaluate the predictive performance of machine learning(ML)algorithms for DCI by comparing three modeling approaches,identify factors influencing DCI,and develop a preoperative prediction model using ML algorithms to enhance colonoscopy quality and efficiency.METHODS This cross-sectional study enrolled 712 patients who underwent colonoscopy at a tertiary hospital between June 2020 and May 2021.Demographic data,past medical history,medication use,and psychological status were collected.The endoscopist assessed DCI using the visual analogue scale.After univariate screening,predictive models were developed using multivariable logistic regression,least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)regression,and random forest(RF)algorithms.Model performance was evaluated based on discrimination,calibration,and decision curve analysis(DCA),and results were visualized using nomograms.RESULTS A total of 712 patients(53.8%male;mean age 54.5 years±12.9 years)were included.Logistic regression analysis identified constipation[odds ratio(OR)=2.254,95%confidence interval(CI):1.289-3.931],abdominal circumference(AC)(77.5–91.9 cm,OR=1.895,95%CI:1.065-3.350;AC≥92 cm,OR=1.271,95%CI:0.730-2.188),and anxiety(OR=1.071,95%CI:1.044-1.100)as predictive factors for DCI,validated by LASSO and RF methods.Model performance revealed training/validation sensitivities of 0.826/0.925,0.924/0.868,and 1.000/0.981;specificities of 0.602/0.511,0.510/0.562,and 0.977/0.526;and corresponding area under the receiver operating characteristic curves(AUCs)of 0.780(0.737-0.823)/0.726(0.654-0.799),0.754(0.710-0.798)/0.723(0.656-0.791),and 1.000(1.000-1.000)/0.754(0.688-0.820),respectively.DCA indicated optimal net benefit within probability thresholds of 0-0.9 and 0.05-0.37.The RF model demonstrated superior diagnostic accuracy,reflected by perfect training sensitivity(1.000)and highest validation AUC(0.754),outperforming other methods in clinical applicability.CONCLUSION The RF-based model exhibited superior predictive accuracy for DCI compared to multivariable logistic and LASSO regression models.This approach supports individualized preoperative optimization,enhancing colonoscopy quality through targeted risk stratification.
文摘To ensure a long-term safety and reliability of electric vehicle and energy storage system,an accurate estimation of the state of health(SOH)for lithium-ion battery is important.In this study,a method for estimating the lithium-ion battery SOH was proposed based on an improved extreme learning machine(ELM).Input weights and hidden layer biases were generated randomly in traditional ELM.To improve the estimation accuracy of ELM,the differential evolution algorithm was used to optimize these parameters in feasible solution spaces.First,incremental capacity curves were obtained by incremental capacity analysis and smoothed by Gaussian filter to extract health interests.Then,the ELM based on differential evolution algorithm(DE-ELM model)was used for a lithium-ion battery SOH estimation.At last,four battery historical aging data sets and one random walk data set were employed to validate the prediction performance of DE-ELM model.Results show that the DE-ELM has a better performance than other studied algorithms in terms of generalization ability.
文摘The current study aimed at evaluating the capabilities of seven advanced machine learning techniques(MLTs),including,Support Vector Machine(SVM),Random Forest(RF),Multivariate Adaptive Regression Spline(MARS),Artificial Neural Network(ANN),Quadratic Discriminant Analysis(QDA),Linear Discriminant Analysis(LDA),and Naive Bayes(NB),for landslide susceptibility modeling and comparison of their performances.Coupling machine learning algorithms with spatial data types for landslide susceptibility mapping is a vitally important issue.This study was carried out using GIS and R open source software at Abha Basin,Asir Region,Saudi Arabia.First,a total of 243 landslide locations were identified at Abha Basin to prepare the landslide inventory map using different data sources.All the landslide areas were randomly separated into two groups with a ratio of 70%for training and 30%for validating purposes.Twelve landslide-variables were generated for landslide susceptibility modeling,which include altitude,lithology,distance to faults,normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI),landuse/landcover(LULC),distance to roads,slope angle,distance to streams,profile curvature,plan curvature,slope length(LS),and slope-aspect.The area under curve(AUC-ROC)approach has been applied to evaluate,validate,and compare the MLTs performance.The results indicated that AUC values for seven MLTs range from 89.0%for QDA to 95.1%for RF.Our findings showed that the RF(AUC=95.1%)and LDA(AUC=941.7%)have produced the best performances in comparison to other MLTs.The outcome of this study and the landslide susceptibility maps would be useful for environmental protection.
基金financial support provided by the RIF project(Grant No.PolyU R5037-18F)from the Research Grants Council(RGC)of Hong Kong is gratefully acknowledged。
文摘Compression index Ccis an essential parameter in geotechnical design for which the effectiveness of correlation is still a challenge.This paper suggests a novel modelling approach using machine learning(ML)technique.The performance of five commonly used machine learning(ML)algorithms,i.e.back-propagation neural network(BPNN),extreme learning machine(ELM),support vector machine(SVM),random forest(RF)and evolutionary polynomial regression(EPR)in predicting Cc is comprehensively investigated.A database with a total number of 311 datasets including three input variables,i.e.initial void ratio e0,liquid limit water content wL,plasticity index Ip,and one output variable Cc is first established.Genetic algorithm(GA)is used to optimize the hyper-parameters in five ML algorithms,and the average prediction error for the 10-fold cross-validation(CV)sets is set as thefitness function in the GA for enhancing the robustness of ML models.The results indicate that ML models outperform empirical prediction formulations with lower prediction error.RF yields the lowest error followed by BPNN,ELM,EPR and SVM.If the ranges of input variables in the database are large enough,BPNN and RF models are recommended to predict Cc.Furthermore,if the distribution of input variables is continuous,RF model is the best one.Otherwise,EPR model is recommended if the ranges of input variables are small.The predicted correlations between input and output variables using five ML models show great agreement with the physical explanation.
基金supported by the Ministry of Science and Higher Education, Republic of Poland (Statutory Activity of the Central Mining Institute, Grant No. 11133010)
文摘The risk of rockbursts is one of the main threats in hard coal mines. Compared to other underground mines, the number of factors contributing to the rockburst at underground coal mines is much greater.Factors such as the coal seam tendency to rockbursts, the thickness of the coal seam, and the stress level in the seam have to be considered, but also the entire coal seam-surrounding rock system has to be evaluated when trying to predict the rockbursts. However, in hard coal mines, there are stroke or stress-stroke rockbursts in which the fracture of a thick layer of sandstone plays an essential role in predicting rockbursts. The occurrence of rockbursts in coal mines is complex, and their prediction is even more difficult than in other mines. In recent years, the interest in machine learning algorithms for solving complex nonlinear problems has increased, which also applies to geosciences. This study attempts to use machine learning algorithms, i.e. neural network, decision tree, random forest, gradient boosting, and extreme gradient boosting(XGB), to assess the rockburst hazard of an active hard coal mine in the Upper Silesian Coal Basin. The rock mass bursting tendency index WTGthat describes the tendency of the seam-surrounding rock system to rockbursts and the anomaly of the vertical stress component were applied for this purpose. Especially, the decision tree and neural network models were proved to be effective in correctly distinguishing rockbursts from tremors, after which the excavation was not damaged. On average, these models correctly classified about 80% of the rockbursts in the testing datasets.
基金supported by the College of Agriculture,Shiraz University(Grant No.97GRC1M271143)funding from the UK Biotechnology and Biological Sciences Research Council(BBSRC)funded by BBSRC grant award BBS/E/C/000I0330–Soil to Nutrition project 3–Sustainable intensification:optimisation at multiple scales。
文摘This investigation assessed the efficacy of 10 widely used machine learning algorithms(MLA)comprising the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO),generalized linear model(GLM),stepwise generalized linear model(SGLM),elastic net(ENET),partial least square(PLS),ridge regression,support vector machine(SVM),classification and regression trees(CART),bagged CART,and random forest(RF)for gully erosion susceptibility mapping(GESM)in Iran.The location of 462 previously existing gully erosion sites were mapped through widespread field investigations,of which 70%(323)and 30%(139)of observations were arbitrarily divided for algorithm calibration and validation.Twelve controlling factors for gully erosion,namely,soil texture,annual mean rainfall,digital elevation model(DEM),drainage density,slope,lithology,topographic wetness index(TWI),distance from rivers,aspect,distance from roads,plan curvature,and profile curvature were ranked in terms of their importance using each MLA.The MLA were compared using a training dataset for gully erosion and statistical measures such as RMSE(root mean square error),MAE(mean absolute error),and R-squared.Based on the comparisons among MLA,the RF algorithm exhibited the minimum RMSE and MAE and the maximum value of R-squared,and was therefore selected as the best model.The variable importance evaluation using the RF model revealed that distance from rivers had the highest significance in influencing the occurrence of gully erosion whereas plan curvature had the least importance.According to the GESM generated using RF,most of the study area is predicted to have a low(53.72%)or moderate(29.65%)susceptibility to gully erosion,whereas only a small area is identified to have a high(12.56%)or very high(4.07%)susceptibility.The outcome generated by RF model is validated using the ROC(Receiver Operating Characteristics)curve approach,which returned an area under the curve(AUC)of 0.985,proving the excellent forecasting ability of the model.The GESM prepared using the RF algorithm can aid decision-makers in targeting remedial actions for minimizing the damage caused by gully erosion.
文摘Big data analytic techniques associated with machine learning algorithms are playing an increasingly important role in various application fields,including stock market investment.However,few studies have focused on forecasting daily stock market returns,especially when using powerful machine learning techniques,such as deep neural networks(DNNs),to perform the analyses.DNNs employ various deep learning algorithms based on the combination of network structure,activation function,and model parameters,with their performance depending on the format of the data representation.This paper presents a comprehensive big data analytics process to predict the daily return direction of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF(ticker symbol:SPY)based on 60 financial and economic features.DNNs and traditional artificial neural networks(ANNs)are then deployed over the entire preprocessed but untransformed dataset,along with two datasets transformed via principal component analysis(PCA),to predict the daily direction of future stock market index returns.While controlling for overfitting,a pattern for the classification accuracy of the DNNs is detected and demonstrated as the number of the hidden layers increases gradually from 12 to 1000.Moreover,a set of hypothesis testing procedures are implemented on the classification,and the simulation results show that the DNNs using two PCA-represented datasets give significantly higher classification accuracy than those using the entire untransformed dataset,as well as several other hybrid machine learning algorithms.In addition,the trading strategies guided by the DNN classification process based on PCA-represented data perform slightly better than the others tested,including in a comparison against two standard benchmarks.
基金funded by the Major Program of Social Science Foundation of Tianjin Municipal Education Commission(2019JWZD53).
文摘Periodontitis is closely related to many systemic diseases linked by different periodontal pathogens.To unravel the relationship between periodontitis and systemic diseases,it is very important to correctly discriminate major periodontal pathogens.To realize convenient,effcient,and high-accuracy bacterial species classification,the authors use Raman spectroscopy combined with machine learning algorithms to distinguish three major periodontal pathogens Porphyromonas gingivalis(Pg),Fusobacterium nucleatum(Fn),and Aggregatibacter actinomycetemcomitans(Aa).The result shows that this novel method can successfully discriminate the three abovementioned periodontal pathogens.Moreover,the classification accuracies for the three categories of the original data were 94.7%at the sample level and 93.9%at the spectrum level by the machine learning algorithm extra trees.This study provides a fast,simple,and accurate method which is very beneficial to differentiate periodontal pathogens.
文摘Some countries have announced national benchmark rates,while others have been working on the recent trend in which the London Interbank Offered Rate will be retired at the end of 2021.Considering that Turkey announced the Turkish Lira Overnight Reference Interest Rate(TLREF),this study examines the determinants of TLREF.In this context,three global determinants,five country-level macroeconomic determinants,and the COVID-19 pandemic are considered by using daily data between December 28,2018,and December 31,2020,by performing machine learning algorithms and Ordinary Least Square.The empirical results show that(1)the most significant determinant is the amount of securities bought by Central Banks;(2)country-level macroeconomic factors have a higher impact whereas global factors are less important,and the pandemic does not have a significant effect;(3)Random Forest is the most accurate prediction model.Taking action by considering the study’s findings can help support economic growth by achieving low-level benchmark rates.
