With the development and implementation of performance-based earthquake engineering,harmonization of performance levels between structural and nonstructural components becomes vital. Even if the structural components ...With the development and implementation of performance-based earthquake engineering,harmonization of performance levels between structural and nonstructural components becomes vital. Even if the structural components of a building achieve a continuous or immediate occupancy performance level after a seismic event,failure of architectural,mechanical or electrical components can lower the performance level of the entire building system. This reduction in performance caused by the vulnerability of nonstructural components has been observed during recent earthquakes worldwide. Moreover,nonstructural damage has limited the functionality of critical facilities,such as hospitals,following major seismic events. The investment in nonstructural components and building contents is far greater than that of structural components and framing. Therefore,it is not surprising that in many past earthquakes,losses from damage to nonstructural components have exceeded losses from structural damage. Furthermore,the failure of nonstructural components can become a safety hazard or can hamper the safe movement of occupants evacuating buildings,or of rescue workers entering buildings. In comparison to structural components and systems,there is relatively limited information on the seismic design of nonstructural components. Basic research work in this area has been sparse,and the available codes and guidelines are usually,for the most part,based on past experiences,engineering judgment and intuition,rather than on objective experimental and analytical results. Often,design engineers are forced to start almost from square one after each earthquake event: to observe what went wrong and to try to prevent repetitions. This is a consequence of the empirical nature of current seismic regulations and guidelines for nonstructural components. This review paper summarizes current knowledge on the seismic design and analysis of nonstructural building components,identifying major knowledge gaps that will need to be filled by future research. Furthermore,considering recent trends in earthquake engineering,the paper explores how performance-based seismic design might be conceived for nonstructural components,drawing on recent developments made in the field of seismic design and hinting at the specific considerations required for nonstructural components.展开更多
Engineering facilities subjected to natural hazards(such as winds and earthquakes) will result in risk when any designed system(i.e.capacity) will not be able to meet the performance required(i.e.demand).Risk might be...Engineering facilities subjected to natural hazards(such as winds and earthquakes) will result in risk when any designed system(i.e.capacity) will not be able to meet the performance required(i.e.demand).Risk might be expressed either as a likelihood of damage or potential financial loss.Engineers tend to make use of the former(i.e.damage).Nevertheless,other non-technical stakeholders cannot get useful information from damage.However,if financial risk is expressed on the basis of probable monetary loss,it will be easily understood by all.Therefore,it is necessary to develop methodologies which communicate the system capacity and demand to financial risk,Incremental dynamic analysis(IDA) was applied in a performance-based earthquake engineering context to do hazard analysis,structural analysis,damage analysis and loss analysis of a reinforced concrete(RC) frame structure.And the financial implications of risk were expressed by expected annual loss(EAL).The quantitative risk analysis proposed is applicable to any engineering facilities and any natural hazards.It is shown that the results from the IDA can be used to assess the overall financial risk exposure to earthquake hazard for a given constructed facility.The computational IDA-EAL method will enable engineers to take into account the long-term financial implications in addition to the construction cost.Consequently,it will help stakeholders make decisions.展开更多
Performance-based seismic design(PBSD) aims to assess structures at different damage states. Since damage can be directly associated to displacements, seismic design with consideration of displacement seems to be logi...Performance-based seismic design(PBSD) aims to assess structures at different damage states. Since damage can be directly associated to displacements, seismic design with consideration of displacement seems to be logical. In this study, simple formulae to estimate the peak floor displacement patterns of eccentrically braced frames(EBFs) at different performance levels subjected to earthquake ground motions are proposed. These formulae are applicable in a PBSD and especially in direct displacement-based design(DDBD). Parametric study is conducted on a group of 30 EBFs under a set of 15 far field and near field accelerograms which they scaled to different amplitudes to adapt various performance levels. The results of thousands of nonlinear dynamic analyses of EBFs have been post-processed by nonlinear regression analysis in order to recognize the major parameters that influence the peak displacement pattern of these frames. Results show that suggested displacement patterns have relatively good agreement with those acquired by an exact nonlinear dynamic analysis.展开更多
The seismic design criterion adopted in the existing seismic design codes is reviewed. It is pointed out that the presently used seismic design criterion is not satisfied with the requirements of nowadays social and e...The seismic design criterion adopted in the existing seismic design codes is reviewed. It is pointed out that the presently used seismic design criterion is not satisfied with the requirements of nowadays social and economic development. A new performance-based seismic design criterion that is composed of three components is presented in this paper. It can not only effectively control the economic losses and casualty, but also ensure the building's function in proper operation during earthquakes. The three components are: classification of seismic design for buildings, determination of seismic design intensity and/or seismic design ground motion for controlling seismic economic losses and casualties, and determination of the importance factors in terms of service periods of buildings. For controlling the seismic human losses, the idea of socially acceptable casualty level is presented and the 'Optimal Economic Decision Model' and 'Optimal Safe Decision Model' are established. Finally, a new method is recommended for calculating the importance factors of structures by adjusting structures service period on the base of more important structure with longer service period than the conventional ones. Therefore, the more important structure with longer service periods will be designed for higher seismic loads, in case the exceedance probability of seismic hazard in different service period is same.展开更多
Performance-based warranties(PBWs)are widely used in industry and manufacturing.Given that PBW can impose financial burdens on manufacturers,rational maintenance decisions are essential for expanding profit margins.Th...Performance-based warranties(PBWs)are widely used in industry and manufacturing.Given that PBW can impose financial burdens on manufacturers,rational maintenance decisions are essential for expanding profit margins.This paper proposes an optimization model for PBW decisions for systems affected by Gamma degradation processes,incorporating periodic inspection.A system performance degradation model is established.Preventive maintenance probability and corrective renewal probability models are developed to calculate expected warranty costs and system availability.A benefits function,which includes incentives,is constructed to optimize the initial and subsequent inspection intervals and preventive maintenance thresholds,thereby maximizing warranty profit.An improved sparrow search algorithm is developed to optimize the model,with a case study on large steam turbine rotor shafts.The results suggest the optimal PBW strategy involves an initial inspection interval of approximately 20 months,with subsequent intervals of about four months,and a preventive maintenance threshold of approximately 37.39 mm wear.When compared to common cost-minimization-based condition maintenance strategies and PBW strategies that do not differentiate between initial and subsequent inspection intervals,the proposed PBW strategy increases the manufacturer’s profit by 1%and 18%,respectively.Sensitivity analyses provide managerial recommendations for PBW implementation.The PBW strategy proposed in this study significantly increases manufacturers’profits by optimizing inspection intervals and preventive maintenance thresholds,and manufacturers should focus on technological improvement in preventive maintenance and cost control to further enhance earnings.展开更多
This paper presents a performance-based methodology for the assessment of seismic vulnerability and capacity of buildings. The vulnerability assessment methodology is based on the HAZUS methodology and the improved ca...This paper presents a performance-based methodology for the assessment of seismic vulnerability and capacity of buildings. The vulnerability assessment methodology is based on the HAZUS methodology and the improved capacity- demand-diagram method. The spectral displacement (Sd) of performance points on a capacity curve is used to estimate the damage level of a building. The relationship between Sd and peak ground acceleration (PGA) is established, and then a new vulnerability function is expressed in terms of PGA. Furthermore, the expected value of the seismic capacity index (SCev) is provided to estimate the seismic capacity of buildings based on the probability distribution of damage levels and the corresponding seismic capacity index. The results indicate that the proposed vulnerability methodology is able to assess seismic damage of a large number of building stock directly and quickly following an earthquake. The SCev provides an effective index to measure the seismic capacity of buildings and illustrate the relationship between the seismic capacity of buildings and seismic action. The estimated result is compared with damage surveys of the cities of Dujiangyan and Jiangyou in the M8.0 Wenchuan earthquake, revealing that the methodology is acceptable for seismic risk assessment and decision making. The primary reasons for discrepancies between the estimated results and the damage surveys are discussed.展开更多
Conventional seismic evaluation of existing bridges explores the ability of a bridge to survive under significant earthquake excitations. This approach has several major drawbacks, such as only a single structural per...Conventional seismic evaluation of existing bridges explores the ability of a bridge to survive under significant earthquake excitations. This approach has several major drawbacks, such as only a single structural performance of near collapse is considered, and the simplified approach of adopting strength-based concept to indirectly estimate the nonlinear behavior of a structure lacks accuracy. As a result, performance-based concepts that include a wider variety of structural performance states of a given bridge excited by different levels of earthquake intensity is needed by the engineering community. This paper introduces an improved process for the seismic evaluation of existing bridges. The relationship between the overall structural performance and earthquakes with varying levels of peak ground acceleration （PGA） can successfully be linked. A universal perspective on the seismic evaluation of bridges over their entire life-cycle can be easily obtained to investigate multiple performance objectives. The accuracy of the proposed method, based on pushover analysis, is proven in a case study that compares the results from the proposed procedure with additional nonlinear time history analyses.展开更多
Since there are few studies on the performance-based seismic evaluation of the long-span suspension bridge system under two-level earthquake hazard in Chinese code,the developed procedure of this study can be regarded...Since there are few studies on the performance-based seismic evaluation of the long-span suspension bridge system under two-level earthquake hazard in Chinese code,the developed procedure of this study can be regarded as a general program to assess the seismic performance of the overall system for long-span suspension bridges.In the procedure,the probabilistic seismic demand models of multiple bridge components were developed by nonlinear time-history analyses incorporating the related uncertainties,and the component-level fragility curves were calculated by the reasonable definition of limit states of the corresponding components in combination with seismic hazard analysis.The bridge repair cost ratios used to evaluate the system seismic performance were derived through the performance-based methodology and the damage probability of critical components.Furthermore,the repair cost ratios of the overall bridge system that was retrofitted with fluid viscous dampers for the main bridge and changed restraint systems for the approach bridges were compared.The results show that peak ground velocity and peak ground acceleration can be selected as the optimal intensity measurements of long-span suspension bridges using the TOPSIS(technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution).The bridge repair cost ratios can serve as accurate evaluation indicators to provide an efficient evaluation of retrofit measures.The seismic evaluation of long-span bridges is misled when ignoring the interaction of adjacent structures.However,the repair cost ratios of a bridge system that has optimum seismic performance are less sensitive to the relative importance of adjacent structures.展开更多
Performance-based design in earthquake engineering is a structural optimization problem that has, as the objective, the determination of design parameters for the minimization of total costs, while at the same time sa...Performance-based design in earthquake engineering is a structural optimization problem that has, as the objective, the determination of design parameters for the minimization of total costs, while at the same time satisfying minimum reliability levels for the specifi ed performance criteria. Total costs include those for construction and structural damage repairs, those associated with non-structural components and the social costs of economic losses, injuries and fatalities. This paper presents a general framework to approach this problem, using a numerical optimization strategy and incorporating the use of neural networks for the evaluation of dynamic responses and the reliability levels achieved for a given set of design parameters. The strategy is applied to an example of a three-story offi ce building. The results show the importance of considering the social costs, and the optimum failure probabilities when minimum reliability constraints are not taken into account.展开更多
The 2025 M_(w)7.7 Myanmar earthquake highlighted the challenge of near-fault seismic intensity field reconstruction due to sparse seismic networks.To address this limitation,a framework was proposed integrating seismi...The 2025 M_(w)7.7 Myanmar earthquake highlighted the challenge of near-fault seismic intensity field reconstruction due to sparse seismic networks.To address this limitation,a framework was proposed integrating seismic wave simulation with a data-constrained finite-fault rupture model.The constraint is implemented by identifying the optimal ground motion models(GMMs)through a scoring system that selects the best-fit GMMs to mid-and far-field China Earthquake Networks Center(CENC)seismic network data;and applying the optimal GMMs to refine the rupture model parameters for near-fault intensity field simulation.The simulated near-fault seismic intensity field reproduces seismic intensities collected from Myanmar’s sparse seismic network and concentrated in≥Ⅷintensity zones within 50 km of the projected fault plane;and identifies abnormal intensity regions exhibiting≥Ⅹintensity along the Meiktila-Naypyidaw corridor and near Shwebo that are attributed to soft soil amplification effects and near-fault directivity.This framework can also be applied to post-earthquake assessments in other similar regions.展开更多
Earthquakes pose significant perils to the built environment in urban areas.To avert the calamitous aftermath of earthquakes,it is imperative to construct seismic resilient cities.Due to the intricacy of the concept o...Earthquakes pose significant perils to the built environment in urban areas.To avert the calamitous aftermath of earthquakes,it is imperative to construct seismic resilient cities.Due to the intricacy of the concept of urban seismic resilience(USR),its assessment is a large-scale system engineering issue.The assessment of USR should be based on the notion of urban seismic capacity(USC)assessment,which includes casualties,economic loss,and recovery time as criteria.Functionality loss is also included in the assessment of USR in addition to these criteria.The assessment indicator system comprising five dimensions(building and lifeline infrastructure,environment,society,economy,and institution)and 20 indicators has been devised to quantify USR.The analytical hierarchy process(AHP)is utilized to compute the weights of the criteria,dimensions,and indicators in the urban seismic resilience assessment(USRA)indicator system.When the necessary data for a city are obtainable,the seismic resilience of that city can be assessed using this framework.To illustrate the proposed methodology,a moderate-sized city in China was selected as a case study.The assessment results indicate a high level of USR,suggesting that the city possesses strong capabilities to withstand and recover from potential future earthquakes.展开更多
In the field of earthquake engineering,the advent of the performance-based design philosophy,together with the highly uncertain nature of earthquake ground excitations to structures,has brought probabilistic performan...In the field of earthquake engineering,the advent of the performance-based design philosophy,together with the highly uncertain nature of earthquake ground excitations to structures,has brought probabilistic performance-based design to the forefront of seismic design.In order to design structures that explicitly satisfy probabilistic performance criteria,a probabilistic performance-based optimum seismic design(PPBOSD)framework is proposed in this paper by extending the state-of-the-art performance-based earthquake engineering(PBEE)methodology.PBEE is traditionally used for risk evaluation of existing or newly designed structural systems,thus referred to herein as forward PBEE analysis.In contrast,its use for design purposes is limited because design is essentially a more challenging inverse problem.To address this challenge,a decision-making layer is wrapped around the forward PBEE analysis procedure for computer-aided optimum structural design/retrofit accounting for various sources of uncertainty.In this paper,the framework is illustrated and validated using a proof-of-concept problem,namely tuning a simplified nonlinear inelastic single-degreeof-freedom(SDOF)model of a bridge to achieve a target probabilistic loss hazard curve.For this purpose,first the forward PBEE analysis is presented in conjunction with the multilayer Monte Carlo simulation method to estimate the total loss hazard curve efficiently,followed by a sensitivity study to investigate the effects of system(design)parameters on the probabilistic seismic performance of the bridge.The proposed PPBOSD framework is validated by successfully tuning the system parameters of the structure rated for a target probabilistic seismic loss hazard curve.The PPBOSD framework provides a tool that is essential to develop,calibrate and validate simplified probabilistic performance-based design procedures.展开更多
Background: While global efforts have led to a decline in maternal and neonatal mortality, Sub-Saharan Africa continues to face disproportionately high rates, remaining far above the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG)...Background: While global efforts have led to a decline in maternal and neonatal mortality, Sub-Saharan Africa continues to face disproportionately high rates, remaining far above the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) targets. In Kenya, as the 2030 SDG deadline approaches, the gap in maternal, neonatal, and child health services remains significant. Addressing these challenges is critical to improving Maternal, Neonatal, and Child Health (MNCH) outcomes. Objective: This study explores how integration of digital health innovations into the MNCH chain of service delivery affects the quality of MNCH care within the selected PHC settings in Kajiado, Kisii and Migori Counties in Kenya. Methodology: This Quasi-experimental study was conducted 1-year post-intervention targeting a total of 482 pregnant women from intervention and control sites in Kisii, Kajiado and Migori Counties, Kenya. Data was analysed using Chi-Square test comparing frequencies between intervention and control groups when both variables are categorical. Results: Pre-intervention data revealed an increase in first ANC coverage within first trimester, from 167 to 278 post-intervention (p Linda mama social health insurance registrations increased from 1008 to 1135. At the intervention sites, 938 pregnant women got screened by midwives using portable mobile Obstetric Point-of-Care Ultrasound (OPOCUS) technology compared to the 27 cases that accessed ultrasound services in the noncontiguous control sites. The pilot sites midwives earned themselves an incentive income totaling Ksh 400,000 while the Community Health Promoters (CHPs) who created demand for OPOCUS earned an incentive income totaling Ksh 327,195 from their IGAs that were project supported. There was a significant increase in mobile health application usage and e-resources access for health information in the intervention group (p services and improved adherence to referrals. Conclusion: The success of digital health interventions in improving health-seeking behaviour, knowledge, and service uptake highlights the potential of such innovations to strengthen health systems and achieve universal health coverage. We recommend the intervention for a scale-up in other PHC settings in Kenya.展开更多
Dispatched by the Chinese government,a multidisciplinary team of 30 researchers collaborated with a team from Myanmar to conduct a 14-day on-site investigation.The work encompassed seismic intensity assessments,field ...Dispatched by the Chinese government,a multidisciplinary team of 30 researchers collaborated with a team from Myanmar to conduct a 14-day on-site investigation.The work encompassed seismic intensity assessments,field surveys,and loss evaluations.The paper focuses on the intensity distribution and structural damage characteristics of the 2025 M7.9 Myanmar earthquake,yielding the following key findings.(1)The seismogenic fault rupture propagated in a nearly N-S direction,with a surface rupture length of approximately 450 km.The seismic impact zone exhibited an elongated N-S distribution and a shorter E-W span,distributed like a belt around the seismogenic fault.(2)Within the seismic impact zones,existing buildings comprised five primary structural types,with timber(bamboo)structures constituting the largest proportion(≈80%in rural areas,≈50%in urban areas).The relatively low disaster losses and casualties were primarily attributable to the good seismic performance and low damage ratio of timber(bamboo)structures across varying intensity zones.(3)An anomalous zone of intensityⅨwas located at the boundary between intensityⅥandⅦregions in Nay Pyi Taw.Here,ridge topography combined with soft soil layers significantly amplified ground motion,exacerbating structural damage.(4)Directional effects of ground motion were observed,with the structural damage phenomena and peak ground acceleration(PGA)values in the N-S direction exceeding those in the E-W direction.This validates that the maximum PGA distribution of strike-slip fault earthquakes aligns with the fault strike.The research is expected to provide technical support for post-disaster reconstruction planning,site selection,and disaster mitigation strategies in Myanmar.展开更多
To quantify the seismic resilience of buildings,a method for evaluating functional loss from the component level to the overall building is proposed,and the dual-parameter seismic resilience assessment method based on...To quantify the seismic resilience of buildings,a method for evaluating functional loss from the component level to the overall building is proposed,and the dual-parameter seismic resilience assessment method based on postearthquake loss and recovery time is improved.A threelevel function tree model is established,which can consider the dynamic changes in weight coefficients of different category of components relative to their functional losses.Bayesian networks are utilized to quantify the impact of weather conditions,construction technology levels,and worker skill levels on component repair time.A method for determining the real-time functional recovery curve of buildings based on the component repair process is proposed.Taking a three-story teaching building as an example,the seismic resilience indices under basic earthquakes and rare earthquakes are calculated.The results show that the seismic resilience grade of the teaching building is comprehensively judged as GradeⅢ,and its resilience grade is more significantly affected by postearthquake loss.The proposed method can be used to predict the seismic resilience of buildings prior to earthquakes,identify weak components within buildings,and provide guidance for taking measures to enhance the seismic resilience of buildings.展开更多
Source properties and stress fields are critical to understand fundamental mechanisms for fluid-induced earthquakes.In this study,we identify the focal mechanism solutions(FMSs)of 360 earthquakes with local magnitude ...Source properties and stress fields are critical to understand fundamental mechanisms for fluid-induced earthquakes.In this study,we identify the focal mechanism solutions(FMSs)of 360 earthquakes with local magnitude M_(L)≥1.5 in the Changning shale gas field from January 2016 to May 2017 by fitting three-component waveforms.We then constrain the directions of the maximum horizontal stress(σ_(H_(max)))for four dense earthquake clusters using the stress tensor inversion method.The stress drops of 121 earthquakes with M_(L)≥1.5 are calculated using the spectral ratio method.We examine the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of stress field,and discuss the cause of non-double-couple(non-DC)components in seismicity clusters.Following the Mohr-Coulomb criterion,we estimate the fluid overpressure thresholds from FMS for different seismic clusters,providing insights into potential physical mechanisms for induced seismicity.The FMS results indicate that shallow reverse earthquakes,with steep dip angles,characterize most events.The source mechanisms of earthquakes with M_(L)≥1.5 are dominated by DC components(>70%),but several earthquakes with M_(L)>3.0 and the microseismic events nearby during injection period display significant non-DC components(>30%).Stress inversion results reveal that the σ_(H_(max)) direction ranges from 120°to 128°.Stress drops of earthquakes range between 0.10 and 64.49 MPa,with high values occurring on reverse faults situated at a greater distance from the shale layer,accompanied by a moderate rotation(≤25°)in the trend of σ_(H_(max)).The seismic clusters close to the shale layer exhibit low fluid overpressure thresholds,prone to being triggered by high pore-pressure fluid.The integrated results suggest that the diffusion of high pore pressures is likely to be the primary factor for observed earthquakes.The present results are expected to offer valuable insights into the origin of anomalous seismicity near the shale gas sites.展开更多
Discrete fracture network(DFN)commonly existing in natural rock masses plays an important role in geological complexity which can influence rock fracturing behaviour during fluid injection.This paper simulated the hyd...Discrete fracture network(DFN)commonly existing in natural rock masses plays an important role in geological complexity which can influence rock fracturing behaviour during fluid injection.This paper simulated the hydraulic fracturing process in lab-scale coal samples with DFNs and the induced seismic activities by the discrete element method(DEM).The effects of DFNs on hydraulic fracturing,induced seismicity and elastic property changes have been concluded.Denser DFNs can comprehensively decrease the peak injection pressure and injection duration.The proportion of strong seismic events increases first and then decreases with increasing DFN density.In addition,the relative modulus of the rock mass is derived innovatively from breakdown pressure,breakdown fracture length and the related initiation time.Increasing DFN densities among large(35–60 degrees)and small(0–30 degrees)fracture dip angles show opposite evolution trends in relative modulus.The transitional point(dip angle)for the opposite trends is also proportionally affected by the friction angle of the rock mass.The modelling results have much practical meaning to infer the density and geometry of pre-existing fractures and the elastic property of rock mass in the field,simply based on the hydraulic fracturing and induced seismicity monitoring data.展开更多
The three-dimensional(3D)geometry of a fault is a critical control on earthquake nucleation,dynamic rupture,stress triggering,and related seismic hazards.Therefore,a 3D model of an active fault can significantly impro...The three-dimensional(3D)geometry of a fault is a critical control on earthquake nucleation,dynamic rupture,stress triggering,and related seismic hazards.Therefore,a 3D model of an active fault can significantly improve our understanding of seismogenesis and our ability to evaluate seismic hazards.Utilising the SKUA GoCAD software,we constructed detailed seismic fault models for the 2021 M_(S)6.4 Yangbi earthquake in Yunnan,China,using two sets of relocated earthquake catalogs and focal mechanism solutions following a convenient 3D fault modeling workflow.Our analysis revealed a NW-striking main fault with a high-angle SW dip,accompanied by two branch faults.Interpretation of one dataset revealed a single NNW-striking branch fault SW of the main fault,whereas the other dataset indicated four steep NNE-striking segments with a left-echelon pattern.Additionally,a third ENE-striking short fault was identified NE of the main fault.In combination with the spatial distribution of pre-existing faults,our 3D fault models indicate that the Yangbi earthquake reactivated pre-existing NW-and NE-striking fault directions rather than the surface-exposed Weixi-Qiaohou-Weishan Fault zone.The occurrence of the Yangbi earthquake demonstrates that the reactivation of pre-existing faults away from active fault zones,through either cascade or conjugate rupture modes,can cause unexpected moderate-large earthquakes and severe disasters,necessitating attention in regions like southeast Xizang,which have complex fault systems.展开更多
Saline aquifers are considered as highly favored reservoirs for CO_(2)sequestration due to their favorable properties.Understanding the impact of saline aquifer properties on the migration and distribution of CO_(2)pl...Saline aquifers are considered as highly favored reservoirs for CO_(2)sequestration due to their favorable properties.Understanding the impact of saline aquifer properties on the migration and distribution of CO_(2)plume is crucial.This study focuses on four key parameters-permeability,porosity,formation pressure,and temperature-to characterize the reservoir and analyse the petrophysical and elastic response of CO_(2).First,we performed reservoir simulations to simulate CO_(2)saturation,using multiple sets of these four parameters to examine their significance on CO_(2)saturation and the plume migration speed.Subsequently,the effect of these parameters on the elastic properties is tested using rock physics theory.We established a relationship of compressional wave velocity(V_(p))and quality factor(Q_(p))with the four key parameters,and conducted a sensitivity analysis to test their sensitivity to V_(p) and Q_(p).Finally,we utilized visco-acoustic wave equation simulated time-lapse seismic data based on the computed V_(p) and Q_(p) models,and analysed the impact of CO_(2) saturation changes on seismic data.As for the above nu-merical simulations and analysis,we conducted sensitivity analysis using both homogeneous and heterogeneous models.Consistent results are found between homogeneous and heterogeneous models.The permeability is the most sensitive parameter to the CO_(2)saturation,while porosity emerges as the primary factor affecting both Q_(p) and V_(p).Both Q_(p) and V_(p) increase with the porosity,which contradicts the observations in gas reservoirs.The seismic simulations highlight significant variations in the seismic response to different parameters.We provided analysis for these observations,which serves as a valuable reference for comprehensive CO_(2)integrity analysis,time-lapse monitoring,injection planning and site selection.展开更多
The southern region of Saudi Arabia exhibits a distinct seismic profile shaped by the Red Sea Rift and local fault systems, necessitating rigorous seismic hazard evaluations and tailored structural design strategies. ...The southern region of Saudi Arabia exhibits a distinct seismic profile shaped by the Red Sea Rift and local fault systems, necessitating rigorous seismic hazard evaluations and tailored structural design strategies. This study applies a robust Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) framework to compute Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCE) and Risk-Targeted Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCER) values for major cities, including Jazan, Abha, and Najran. Utilizing local seismotectonic models, ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs), and soil classifications, the study generates precise ground motion parameters critical for infrastructure planning and safety. Results indicate significant seismic hazard variability, with Jazan showing high seismic risks with an MCER SA (0.2 s) of 0.45 g, compared to Najran’s lower risks at 0.23 g. Structural design guidelines, informed by MCE and MCER calculations, prioritize the integration of site-specific seismic data, enhanced ductility requirements, and advanced analytical methods to ensure resilient and sustainable infrastructure. The study underscores the necessity of localized seismic assessments and modern engineering practices to effectively mitigate seismic risks in this geologically complex region.展开更多
文摘With the development and implementation of performance-based earthquake engineering,harmonization of performance levels between structural and nonstructural components becomes vital. Even if the structural components of a building achieve a continuous or immediate occupancy performance level after a seismic event,failure of architectural,mechanical or electrical components can lower the performance level of the entire building system. This reduction in performance caused by the vulnerability of nonstructural components has been observed during recent earthquakes worldwide. Moreover,nonstructural damage has limited the functionality of critical facilities,such as hospitals,following major seismic events. The investment in nonstructural components and building contents is far greater than that of structural components and framing. Therefore,it is not surprising that in many past earthquakes,losses from damage to nonstructural components have exceeded losses from structural damage. Furthermore,the failure of nonstructural components can become a safety hazard or can hamper the safe movement of occupants evacuating buildings,or of rescue workers entering buildings. In comparison to structural components and systems,there is relatively limited information on the seismic design of nonstructural components. Basic research work in this area has been sparse,and the available codes and guidelines are usually,for the most part,based on past experiences,engineering judgment and intuition,rather than on objective experimental and analytical results. Often,design engineers are forced to start almost from square one after each earthquake event: to observe what went wrong and to try to prevent repetitions. This is a consequence of the empirical nature of current seismic regulations and guidelines for nonstructural components. This review paper summarizes current knowledge on the seismic design and analysis of nonstructural building components,identifying major knowledge gaps that will need to be filled by future research. Furthermore,considering recent trends in earthquake engineering,the paper explores how performance-based seismic design might be conceived for nonstructural components,drawing on recent developments made in the field of seismic design and hinting at the specific considerations required for nonstructural components.
基金Project(2011CB013804) supported by the National Basic Research Program of ChinaProject(50925828) supported by the National Natural Science Funds for Distinguished Young Scholars of China
文摘Engineering facilities subjected to natural hazards(such as winds and earthquakes) will result in risk when any designed system(i.e.capacity) will not be able to meet the performance required(i.e.demand).Risk might be expressed either as a likelihood of damage or potential financial loss.Engineers tend to make use of the former(i.e.damage).Nevertheless,other non-technical stakeholders cannot get useful information from damage.However,if financial risk is expressed on the basis of probable monetary loss,it will be easily understood by all.Therefore,it is necessary to develop methodologies which communicate the system capacity and demand to financial risk,Incremental dynamic analysis(IDA) was applied in a performance-based earthquake engineering context to do hazard analysis,structural analysis,damage analysis and loss analysis of a reinforced concrete(RC) frame structure.And the financial implications of risk were expressed by expected annual loss(EAL).The quantitative risk analysis proposed is applicable to any engineering facilities and any natural hazards.It is shown that the results from the IDA can be used to assess the overall financial risk exposure to earthquake hazard for a given constructed facility.The computational IDA-EAL method will enable engineers to take into account the long-term financial implications in addition to the construction cost.Consequently,it will help stakeholders make decisions.
文摘Performance-based seismic design(PBSD) aims to assess structures at different damage states. Since damage can be directly associated to displacements, seismic design with consideration of displacement seems to be logical. In this study, simple formulae to estimate the peak floor displacement patterns of eccentrically braced frames(EBFs) at different performance levels subjected to earthquake ground motions are proposed. These formulae are applicable in a PBSD and especially in direct displacement-based design(DDBD). Parametric study is conducted on a group of 30 EBFs under a set of 15 far field and near field accelerograms which they scaled to different amplitudes to adapt various performance levels. The results of thousands of nonlinear dynamic analyses of EBFs have been post-processed by nonlinear regression analysis in order to recognize the major parameters that influence the peak displacement pattern of these frames. Results show that suggested displacement patterns have relatively good agreement with those acquired by an exact nonlinear dynamic analysis.
基金Chinese National Natural Science Foundation with the grant No.59895410the China Basic Research and Development Project:the Mechanism and Prediction of the Strong Earthquake of the Continental under the Grant No.95130603
文摘The seismic design criterion adopted in the existing seismic design codes is reviewed. It is pointed out that the presently used seismic design criterion is not satisfied with the requirements of nowadays social and economic development. A new performance-based seismic design criterion that is composed of three components is presented in this paper. It can not only effectively control the economic losses and casualty, but also ensure the building's function in proper operation during earthquakes. The three components are: classification of seismic design for buildings, determination of seismic design intensity and/or seismic design ground motion for controlling seismic economic losses and casualties, and determination of the importance factors in terms of service periods of buildings. For controlling the seismic human losses, the idea of socially acceptable casualty level is presented and the 'Optimal Economic Decision Model' and 'Optimal Safe Decision Model' are established. Finally, a new method is recommended for calculating the importance factors of structures by adjusting structures service period on the base of more important structure with longer service period than the conventional ones. Therefore, the more important structure with longer service periods will be designed for higher seismic loads, in case the exceedance probability of seismic hazard in different service period is same.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(71871219).
文摘Performance-based warranties(PBWs)are widely used in industry and manufacturing.Given that PBW can impose financial burdens on manufacturers,rational maintenance decisions are essential for expanding profit margins.This paper proposes an optimization model for PBW decisions for systems affected by Gamma degradation processes,incorporating periodic inspection.A system performance degradation model is established.Preventive maintenance probability and corrective renewal probability models are developed to calculate expected warranty costs and system availability.A benefits function,which includes incentives,is constructed to optimize the initial and subsequent inspection intervals and preventive maintenance thresholds,thereby maximizing warranty profit.An improved sparrow search algorithm is developed to optimize the model,with a case study on large steam turbine rotor shafts.The results suggest the optimal PBW strategy involves an initial inspection interval of approximately 20 months,with subsequent intervals of about four months,and a preventive maintenance threshold of approximately 37.39 mm wear.When compared to common cost-minimization-based condition maintenance strategies and PBW strategies that do not differentiate between initial and subsequent inspection intervals,the proposed PBW strategy increases the manufacturer’s profit by 1%and 18%,respectively.Sensitivity analyses provide managerial recommendations for PBW implementation.The PBW strategy proposed in this study significantly increases manufacturers’profits by optimizing inspection intervals and preventive maintenance thresholds,and manufacturers should focus on technological improvement in preventive maintenance and cost control to further enhance earnings.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China Under Grant No.50908216Postdoctoral Science Foundation of China Under Grant No.20070420878
文摘This paper presents a performance-based methodology for the assessment of seismic vulnerability and capacity of buildings. The vulnerability assessment methodology is based on the HAZUS methodology and the improved capacity- demand-diagram method. The spectral displacement (Sd) of performance points on a capacity curve is used to estimate the damage level of a building. The relationship between Sd and peak ground acceleration (PGA) is established, and then a new vulnerability function is expressed in terms of PGA. Furthermore, the expected value of the seismic capacity index (SCev) is provided to estimate the seismic capacity of buildings based on the probability distribution of damage levels and the corresponding seismic capacity index. The results indicate that the proposed vulnerability methodology is able to assess seismic damage of a large number of building stock directly and quickly following an earthquake. The SCev provides an effective index to measure the seismic capacity of buildings and illustrate the relationship between the seismic capacity of buildings and seismic action. The estimated result is compared with damage surveys of the cities of Dujiangyan and Jiangyou in the M8.0 Wenchuan earthquake, revealing that the methodology is acceptable for seismic risk assessment and decision making. The primary reasons for discrepancies between the estimated results and the damage surveys are discussed.
基金the Science Council of Taiwan Under Grant No. NSC-96-2625-Z-027-002
文摘Conventional seismic evaluation of existing bridges explores the ability of a bridge to survive under significant earthquake excitations. This approach has several major drawbacks, such as only a single structural performance of near collapse is considered, and the simplified approach of adopting strength-based concept to indirectly estimate the nonlinear behavior of a structure lacks accuracy. As a result, performance-based concepts that include a wider variety of structural performance states of a given bridge excited by different levels of earthquake intensity is needed by the engineering community. This paper introduces an improved process for the seismic evaluation of existing bridges. The relationship between the overall structural performance and earthquakes with varying levels of peak ground acceleration （PGA） can successfully be linked. A universal perspective on the seismic evaluation of bridges over their entire life-cycle can be easily obtained to investigate multiple performance objectives. The accuracy of the proposed method, based on pushover analysis, is proven in a case study that compares the results from the proposed procedure with additional nonlinear time history analyses.
基金Basic Scientific Research Service Project of Centrallevel Public Welfare Research Institute(No.2016-9018)
文摘Since there are few studies on the performance-based seismic evaluation of the long-span suspension bridge system under two-level earthquake hazard in Chinese code,the developed procedure of this study can be regarded as a general program to assess the seismic performance of the overall system for long-span suspension bridges.In the procedure,the probabilistic seismic demand models of multiple bridge components were developed by nonlinear time-history analyses incorporating the related uncertainties,and the component-level fragility curves were calculated by the reasonable definition of limit states of the corresponding components in combination with seismic hazard analysis.The bridge repair cost ratios used to evaluate the system seismic performance were derived through the performance-based methodology and the damage probability of critical components.Furthermore,the repair cost ratios of the overall bridge system that was retrofitted with fluid viscous dampers for the main bridge and changed restraint systems for the approach bridges were compared.The results show that peak ground velocity and peak ground acceleration can be selected as the optimal intensity measurements of long-span suspension bridges using the TOPSIS(technique for order preference by similarity to an ideal solution).The bridge repair cost ratios can serve as accurate evaluation indicators to provide an efficient evaluation of retrofit measures.The seismic evaluation of long-span bridges is misled when ignoring the interaction of adjacent structures.However,the repair cost ratios of a bridge system that has optimum seismic performance are less sensitive to the relative importance of adjacent structures.
文摘Performance-based design in earthquake engineering is a structural optimization problem that has, as the objective, the determination of design parameters for the minimization of total costs, while at the same time satisfying minimum reliability levels for the specifi ed performance criteria. Total costs include those for construction and structural damage repairs, those associated with non-structural components and the social costs of economic losses, injuries and fatalities. This paper presents a general framework to approach this problem, using a numerical optimization strategy and incorporating the use of neural networks for the evaluation of dynamic responses and the reliability levels achieved for a given set of design parameters. The strategy is applied to an example of a three-story offi ce building. The results show the importance of considering the social costs, and the optimum failure probabilities when minimum reliability constraints are not taken into account.
基金Scientific Research Fund of Institute of Engineering Mechanics,China Earthquake Administration under Grant No.2023C01National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.52478570Distinguished Young Scholars Program of the Natural Science Foundation of Heilongjiang Province,China under Grant No.JQ2024E002。
文摘The 2025 M_(w)7.7 Myanmar earthquake highlighted the challenge of near-fault seismic intensity field reconstruction due to sparse seismic networks.To address this limitation,a framework was proposed integrating seismic wave simulation with a data-constrained finite-fault rupture model.The constraint is implemented by identifying the optimal ground motion models(GMMs)through a scoring system that selects the best-fit GMMs to mid-and far-field China Earthquake Networks Center(CENC)seismic network data;and applying the optimal GMMs to refine the rupture model parameters for near-fault intensity field simulation.The simulated near-fault seismic intensity field reproduces seismic intensities collected from Myanmar’s sparse seismic network and concentrated in≥Ⅷintensity zones within 50 km of the projected fault plane;and identifies abnormal intensity regions exhibiting≥Ⅹintensity along the Meiktila-Naypyidaw corridor and near Shwebo that are attributed to soft soil amplification effects and near-fault directivity.This framework can also be applied to post-earthquake assessments in other similar regions.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2023YFC3805100)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.52222811 and 52494963)。
文摘Earthquakes pose significant perils to the built environment in urban areas.To avert the calamitous aftermath of earthquakes,it is imperative to construct seismic resilient cities.Due to the intricacy of the concept of urban seismic resilience(USR),its assessment is a large-scale system engineering issue.The assessment of USR should be based on the notion of urban seismic capacity(USC)assessment,which includes casualties,economic loss,and recovery time as criteria.Functionality loss is also included in the assessment of USR in addition to these criteria.The assessment indicator system comprising five dimensions(building and lifeline infrastructure,environment,society,economy,and institution)and 20 indicators has been devised to quantify USR.The analytical hierarchy process(AHP)is utilized to compute the weights of the criteria,dimensions,and indicators in the urban seismic resilience assessment(USRA)indicator system.When the necessary data for a city are obtainable,the seismic resilience of that city can be assessed using this framework.To illustrate the proposed methodology,a moderate-sized city in China was selected as a case study.The assessment results indicate a high level of USR,suggesting that the city possesses strong capabilities to withstand and recover from potential future earthquakes.
文摘In the field of earthquake engineering,the advent of the performance-based design philosophy,together with the highly uncertain nature of earthquake ground excitations to structures,has brought probabilistic performance-based design to the forefront of seismic design.In order to design structures that explicitly satisfy probabilistic performance criteria,a probabilistic performance-based optimum seismic design(PPBOSD)framework is proposed in this paper by extending the state-of-the-art performance-based earthquake engineering(PBEE)methodology.PBEE is traditionally used for risk evaluation of existing or newly designed structural systems,thus referred to herein as forward PBEE analysis.In contrast,its use for design purposes is limited because design is essentially a more challenging inverse problem.To address this challenge,a decision-making layer is wrapped around the forward PBEE analysis procedure for computer-aided optimum structural design/retrofit accounting for various sources of uncertainty.In this paper,the framework is illustrated and validated using a proof-of-concept problem,namely tuning a simplified nonlinear inelastic single-degreeof-freedom(SDOF)model of a bridge to achieve a target probabilistic loss hazard curve.For this purpose,first the forward PBEE analysis is presented in conjunction with the multilayer Monte Carlo simulation method to estimate the total loss hazard curve efficiently,followed by a sensitivity study to investigate the effects of system(design)parameters on the probabilistic seismic performance of the bridge.The proposed PPBOSD framework is validated by successfully tuning the system parameters of the structure rated for a target probabilistic seismic loss hazard curve.The PPBOSD framework provides a tool that is essential to develop,calibrate and validate simplified probabilistic performance-based design procedures.
文摘Background: While global efforts have led to a decline in maternal and neonatal mortality, Sub-Saharan Africa continues to face disproportionately high rates, remaining far above the Sustainable Development Goal (SDG) targets. In Kenya, as the 2030 SDG deadline approaches, the gap in maternal, neonatal, and child health services remains significant. Addressing these challenges is critical to improving Maternal, Neonatal, and Child Health (MNCH) outcomes. Objective: This study explores how integration of digital health innovations into the MNCH chain of service delivery affects the quality of MNCH care within the selected PHC settings in Kajiado, Kisii and Migori Counties in Kenya. Methodology: This Quasi-experimental study was conducted 1-year post-intervention targeting a total of 482 pregnant women from intervention and control sites in Kisii, Kajiado and Migori Counties, Kenya. Data was analysed using Chi-Square test comparing frequencies between intervention and control groups when both variables are categorical. Results: Pre-intervention data revealed an increase in first ANC coverage within first trimester, from 167 to 278 post-intervention (p Linda mama social health insurance registrations increased from 1008 to 1135. At the intervention sites, 938 pregnant women got screened by midwives using portable mobile Obstetric Point-of-Care Ultrasound (OPOCUS) technology compared to the 27 cases that accessed ultrasound services in the noncontiguous control sites. The pilot sites midwives earned themselves an incentive income totaling Ksh 400,000 while the Community Health Promoters (CHPs) who created demand for OPOCUS earned an incentive income totaling Ksh 327,195 from their IGAs that were project supported. There was a significant increase in mobile health application usage and e-resources access for health information in the intervention group (p services and improved adherence to referrals. Conclusion: The success of digital health interventions in improving health-seeking behaviour, knowledge, and service uptake highlights the potential of such innovations to strengthen health systems and achieve universal health coverage. We recommend the intervention for a scale-up in other PHC settings in Kenya.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.U2239252National Natural Science Foundation of China under Grant No.52279128Natural Science Foundation of Heilongjiang Province of China under Grant No.YQ2022E013。
文摘Dispatched by the Chinese government,a multidisciplinary team of 30 researchers collaborated with a team from Myanmar to conduct a 14-day on-site investigation.The work encompassed seismic intensity assessments,field surveys,and loss evaluations.The paper focuses on the intensity distribution and structural damage characteristics of the 2025 M7.9 Myanmar earthquake,yielding the following key findings.(1)The seismogenic fault rupture propagated in a nearly N-S direction,with a surface rupture length of approximately 450 km.The seismic impact zone exhibited an elongated N-S distribution and a shorter E-W span,distributed like a belt around the seismogenic fault.(2)Within the seismic impact zones,existing buildings comprised five primary structural types,with timber(bamboo)structures constituting the largest proportion(≈80%in rural areas,≈50%in urban areas).The relatively low disaster losses and casualties were primarily attributable to the good seismic performance and low damage ratio of timber(bamboo)structures across varying intensity zones.(3)An anomalous zone of intensityⅨwas located at the boundary between intensityⅥandⅦregions in Nay Pyi Taw.Here,ridge topography combined with soft soil layers significantly amplified ground motion,exacerbating structural damage.(4)Directional effects of ground motion were observed,with the structural damage phenomena and peak ground acceleration(PGA)values in the N-S direction exceeding those in the E-W direction.This validates that the maximum PGA distribution of strike-slip fault earthquakes aligns with the fault strike.The research is expected to provide technical support for post-disaster reconstruction planning,site selection,and disaster mitigation strategies in Myanmar.
基金The National Key Research and Development Program of China(No.2023YFC3805003)。
文摘To quantify the seismic resilience of buildings,a method for evaluating functional loss from the component level to the overall building is proposed,and the dual-parameter seismic resilience assessment method based on postearthquake loss and recovery time is improved.A threelevel function tree model is established,which can consider the dynamic changes in weight coefficients of different category of components relative to their functional losses.Bayesian networks are utilized to quantify the impact of weather conditions,construction technology levels,and worker skill levels on component repair time.A method for determining the real-time functional recovery curve of buildings based on the component repair process is proposed.Taking a three-story teaching building as an example,the seismic resilience indices under basic earthquakes and rare earthquakes are calculated.The results show that the seismic resilience grade of the teaching building is comprehensively judged as GradeⅢ,and its resilience grade is more significantly affected by postearthquake loss.The proposed method can be used to predict the seismic resilience of buildings prior to earthquakes,identify weak components within buildings,and provide guidance for taking measures to enhance the seismic resilience of buildings.
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.U20A20266 and 12302503)Scientific and technological research projects in Sichuan province(Grant No.2024NSFSC0973).
文摘Source properties and stress fields are critical to understand fundamental mechanisms for fluid-induced earthquakes.In this study,we identify the focal mechanism solutions(FMSs)of 360 earthquakes with local magnitude M_(L)≥1.5 in the Changning shale gas field from January 2016 to May 2017 by fitting three-component waveforms.We then constrain the directions of the maximum horizontal stress(σ_(H_(max)))for four dense earthquake clusters using the stress tensor inversion method.The stress drops of 121 earthquakes with M_(L)≥1.5 are calculated using the spectral ratio method.We examine the spatiotemporal heterogeneity of stress field,and discuss the cause of non-double-couple(non-DC)components in seismicity clusters.Following the Mohr-Coulomb criterion,we estimate the fluid overpressure thresholds from FMS for different seismic clusters,providing insights into potential physical mechanisms for induced seismicity.The FMS results indicate that shallow reverse earthquakes,with steep dip angles,characterize most events.The source mechanisms of earthquakes with M_(L)≥1.5 are dominated by DC components(>70%),but several earthquakes with M_(L)>3.0 and the microseismic events nearby during injection period display significant non-DC components(>30%).Stress inversion results reveal that the σ_(H_(max)) direction ranges from 120°to 128°.Stress drops of earthquakes range between 0.10 and 64.49 MPa,with high values occurring on reverse faults situated at a greater distance from the shale layer,accompanied by a moderate rotation(≤25°)in the trend of σ_(H_(max)).The seismic clusters close to the shale layer exhibit low fluid overpressure thresholds,prone to being triggered by high pore-pressure fluid.The integrated results suggest that the diffusion of high pore pressures is likely to be the primary factor for observed earthquakes.The present results are expected to offer valuable insights into the origin of anomalous seismicity near the shale gas sites.
基金Australian Research Council Linkage Program(LP200301404)for sponsoring this researchthe financial support provided by the State Key Laboratory of Geohazard Prevention and Geoenvironment Protection(Chengdu University of Technology,SKLGP2021K002)National Natural Science Foundation of China(52374101,32111530138).
文摘Discrete fracture network(DFN)commonly existing in natural rock masses plays an important role in geological complexity which can influence rock fracturing behaviour during fluid injection.This paper simulated the hydraulic fracturing process in lab-scale coal samples with DFNs and the induced seismic activities by the discrete element method(DEM).The effects of DFNs on hydraulic fracturing,induced seismicity and elastic property changes have been concluded.Denser DFNs can comprehensively decrease the peak injection pressure and injection duration.The proportion of strong seismic events increases first and then decreases with increasing DFN density.In addition,the relative modulus of the rock mass is derived innovatively from breakdown pressure,breakdown fracture length and the related initiation time.Increasing DFN densities among large(35–60 degrees)and small(0–30 degrees)fracture dip angles show opposite evolution trends in relative modulus.The transitional point(dip angle)for the opposite trends is also proportionally affected by the friction angle of the rock mass.The modelling results have much practical meaning to infer the density and geometry of pre-existing fractures and the elastic property of rock mass in the field,simply based on the hydraulic fracturing and induced seismicity monitoring data.
基金financial support from the National Key R&D Program of China (No. 2021YFC3000600)National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 41872206)National Nonprofit Fundamental Research Grant of China, Institute of Geology, China, Earthquake Administration (No. IGCEA2010)
文摘The three-dimensional(3D)geometry of a fault is a critical control on earthquake nucleation,dynamic rupture,stress triggering,and related seismic hazards.Therefore,a 3D model of an active fault can significantly improve our understanding of seismogenesis and our ability to evaluate seismic hazards.Utilising the SKUA GoCAD software,we constructed detailed seismic fault models for the 2021 M_(S)6.4 Yangbi earthquake in Yunnan,China,using two sets of relocated earthquake catalogs and focal mechanism solutions following a convenient 3D fault modeling workflow.Our analysis revealed a NW-striking main fault with a high-angle SW dip,accompanied by two branch faults.Interpretation of one dataset revealed a single NNW-striking branch fault SW of the main fault,whereas the other dataset indicated four steep NNE-striking segments with a left-echelon pattern.Additionally,a third ENE-striking short fault was identified NE of the main fault.In combination with the spatial distribution of pre-existing faults,our 3D fault models indicate that the Yangbi earthquake reactivated pre-existing NW-and NE-striking fault directions rather than the surface-exposed Weixi-Qiaohou-Weishan Fault zone.The occurrence of the Yangbi earthquake demonstrates that the reactivation of pre-existing faults away from active fault zones,through either cascade or conjugate rupture modes,can cause unexpected moderate-large earthquakes and severe disasters,necessitating attention in regions like southeast Xizang,which have complex fault systems.
基金supported by the State Key Laboratory of Offshore Oil and Gas Exploitation, Open Fund Project (No. CCL2023RCPS0162RQN)the primary funding, National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. ZX20230400)
文摘Saline aquifers are considered as highly favored reservoirs for CO_(2)sequestration due to their favorable properties.Understanding the impact of saline aquifer properties on the migration and distribution of CO_(2)plume is crucial.This study focuses on four key parameters-permeability,porosity,formation pressure,and temperature-to characterize the reservoir and analyse the petrophysical and elastic response of CO_(2).First,we performed reservoir simulations to simulate CO_(2)saturation,using multiple sets of these four parameters to examine their significance on CO_(2)saturation and the plume migration speed.Subsequently,the effect of these parameters on the elastic properties is tested using rock physics theory.We established a relationship of compressional wave velocity(V_(p))and quality factor(Q_(p))with the four key parameters,and conducted a sensitivity analysis to test their sensitivity to V_(p) and Q_(p).Finally,we utilized visco-acoustic wave equation simulated time-lapse seismic data based on the computed V_(p) and Q_(p) models,and analysed the impact of CO_(2) saturation changes on seismic data.As for the above nu-merical simulations and analysis,we conducted sensitivity analysis using both homogeneous and heterogeneous models.Consistent results are found between homogeneous and heterogeneous models.The permeability is the most sensitive parameter to the CO_(2)saturation,while porosity emerges as the primary factor affecting both Q_(p) and V_(p).Both Q_(p) and V_(p) increase with the porosity,which contradicts the observations in gas reservoirs.The seismic simulations highlight significant variations in the seismic response to different parameters.We provided analysis for these observations,which serves as a valuable reference for comprehensive CO_(2)integrity analysis,time-lapse monitoring,injection planning and site selection.
文摘The southern region of Saudi Arabia exhibits a distinct seismic profile shaped by the Red Sea Rift and local fault systems, necessitating rigorous seismic hazard evaluations and tailored structural design strategies. This study applies a robust Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis (PSHA) framework to compute Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCE) and Risk-Targeted Maximum Considered Earthquake (MCER) values for major cities, including Jazan, Abha, and Najran. Utilizing local seismotectonic models, ground motion prediction equations (GMPEs), and soil classifications, the study generates precise ground motion parameters critical for infrastructure planning and safety. Results indicate significant seismic hazard variability, with Jazan showing high seismic risks with an MCER SA (0.2 s) of 0.45 g, compared to Najran’s lower risks at 0.23 g. Structural design guidelines, informed by MCE and MCER calculations, prioritize the integration of site-specific seismic data, enhanced ductility requirements, and advanced analytical methods to ensure resilient and sustainable infrastructure. The study underscores the necessity of localized seismic assessments and modern engineering practices to effectively mitigate seismic risks in this geologically complex region.
