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Driving mechanism and nonlinear threshold identification of vegetation in China:Based on causal inference and machine learning
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作者 ZHANG Houtian WANG Shidong DING Junjie 《Journal of Arid Land》 2025年第10期1341-1360,共20页
Climate change significantly affects vegetation dynamics.Thus,understanding interactions between vegetation and climatic factors is essential for ecological management.This study used kernel Normalized Difference Vege... Climate change significantly affects vegetation dynamics.Thus,understanding interactions between vegetation and climatic factors is essential for ecological management.This study used kernel Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(kNDVI)and climatic data(temperature,precipitation,humidity,and vapor pressure deficit(VPD))of China from 2000 to 2022,integrating Geographic Convergent Cross Mapping(GCCM)causal modeling,Extreme Gradient Boosting-Shapley Additive Explanations(XGBoost-SHAP)nonlinear threshold identification,and Geographical Simulation and Optimization Systems-Future Land Use Simulation(GeoSOS-FLUS)spatial prediction modeling to investigate vegetation spatiotemporal characteristics,driving mechanisms,nonlinear thresholds,and future spatial patterns.Results indicated that from 2000 to 2022,China's kNDVI showed an overall increasing trend(annual average ranging from 0.29 to 0.33 with distinct spatial differentiation:52.77%of areas locating in agricultural and ecological restoration regions in the central-eastern plain)experienced vegetation improvement,whereas 2.68%of areas locating in the southeastern coastal urbanized regions and the Yangtze River Delta experience vegetation degradation.The coefficient of variation(CV)of kNDVI at 0.30–0.40(accounting for 10.61%)was significantly higher than that of NDVI(accounting for 1.80%).Climate-driven mechanisms exhibited notable library length(L)dependence.At short-term scales(L<50),vegetation-driven transpiration regulated local microclimate,with a causal strength from kNDVI to temperature of 0.04–0.15;at long-term scales(L>100),cumulative temperature effects dominated vegetation dynamics,with a causal strength from temperature to kNDVI of 0.33.Humidity and kNDVI formed bidirectional positive feedback at long-term scales(L=210,causal strength>0.70),whereas the long-term suppressive effect of VPD was particularly pronounced(causal strength=0.21)in arid areas.The optimal threshold intervals identified were temperature at–12.18℃–0.67℃,precipitation at 24.00–159.74 mm,humidity of lower than 22.00%,and VPD of<0.07,0.17–0.24,and>0.30 kPa;notably,the lower precipitation threshold(24.00 mm)represented the minimum water requirements for vegetation recovery in arid areas.Future kNDVI spatial patterns are projected to continue the trend of"southeastern optimization and northwestern delay"from 2025 to 2040:the area proportion of high kNDVI value(>0.50)will rise from 40.43%to 41.85%,concentrated in the Sichuan Basin and the southern hills;meanwhile,the proportion of low-value areas of kNDVI(0.00–0.10)in the arid northwestern areas will decline by only 1.25%,constrained by sustained temperature and VPD stress.This study provides a scientific basis for vegetation dynamic regulation and sustainable development under climate change. 展开更多
关键词 kernel Normalized Difference Vegetation Index(kNDVI) climate drivers machine learning Geographic Convergent Cross Mapping(GCCM) Extreme Gradient Boosting-Shapley Additive Explanations(XGBoost-SHAP) Geographical simulation and Optimization Systems-Future Land Use simulation(GeoSOS-FLUS)model
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Design optimization of transonic compressor stage using CFD and response surface model
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作者 王祥锋 王松涛 韩万金 《Journal of Harbin Institute of Technology(New Series)》 EI CAS 2010年第1期112-118,共7页
In order to shorten the design period, the paper describes a new optimization strategy for computationally expensive design optimization of turbomachinery, combined with design of experiment (DOE), response surface mo... In order to shorten the design period, the paper describes a new optimization strategy for computationally expensive design optimization of turbomachinery, combined with design of experiment (DOE), response surface models (RSM), genetic algorithm (GA) and a 3-D Navier-Stokes solver(Numeca Fine). Data points for response evaluations were selected by improved distributed hypercube sampling (IHS) and the 3-D Navier-Stokes analysis was carried out at these sample points. The quadratic response surface model was used to approximate the relationships between the design variables and flow parameters. To maximize the adiabatic efficiency, the genetic algorithm was applied to the response surface model to perform global optimization to achieve the optimum design of NASA Stage 35. An optimum leading edge line was found, which produced a new 3-D rotor blade combined with sweep and lean, and a new stator one with skew. It is concluded that the proposed strategy can provide a reliable method for design optimization of turbomachinery blades at reasonable computing cost. 展开更多
关键词 response surface models genetic algorithm transonic compressor optimization design numerical simulation
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