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China's Oil Demand and Resource Potential
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作者 Hu Jianyi and Zhao Wenzhi(Research Institute of Petroleum Exploration & Development,CNPC) 《China Oil & Gas》 CAS 1994年第3期19-22,共4页
The analysis based on the statistics conducted in the past decades shows that China's oil demand will rise by about 0.7 percent for every 1 percent increase in its gross national product(GNP).The oil demand will h... The analysis based on the statistics conducted in the past decades shows that China's oil demand will rise by about 0.7 percent for every 1 percent increase in its gross national product(GNP).The oil demand will have to climb by 6 percent on average each year if the country registers an average annual increase of 9 percent in its GNP.The oil demand is expected to rise by 5 percent annually in the upcoming years even if the efforts are made to upgrade the equipment and tech-nology and boost the efficiency. 展开更多
关键词 oil NATURAL GAS demand oil RESERVE PREDICTION
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Analysis of China’s Crude Oil Supply and Demand in the Year 2010 and the Year 2020 被引量:1
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作者 Wang Baoyi Zhang Baosheng 《Petroleum Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2005年第3期89-92,共4页
Along with the speedy development of the economic growth in China, the shortage of oil and gas becomes more and more serious. Based on summarizing some related research results, the prediction of China's oil demand a... Along with the speedy development of the economic growth in China, the shortage of oil and gas becomes more and more serious. Based on summarizing some related research results, the prediction of China's oil demand and supply in the year 2010 and the year 2020 has been given in the paper. The oil supply and demand situation is discussed on three different levels. Accordingly, suggestions about the oil supply safety and the national economy safety strategies have been given. 展开更多
关键词 oil supply and demand prediction and analysis oil supply safety strategy
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2025年国内外油气资源形势分析及展望
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作者 王彧嫣 郑志红 +3 位作者 韩志强 李文博 白羽 樊大磊 《中国矿业》 北大核心 2026年第1期30-40,共11页
在国际博弈加剧与供需矛盾叠加的背景下,保障油气资源安全的重要性日益凸显。我国油气供需缺口长期存在,外采度持续处于高位,2025年石油外采度超过70%,天然气超过40%,因此,加快国内油气勘查开采技术突破与产能提升成为维护能源安全的关... 在国际博弈加剧与供需矛盾叠加的背景下,保障油气资源安全的重要性日益凸显。我国油气供需缺口长期存在,外采度持续处于高位,2025年石油外采度超过70%,天然气超过40%,因此,加快国内油气勘查开采技术突破与产能提升成为维护能源安全的关键。本文基于“全球地缘政治-经济周期-能源转型”三维分析框架,结合对国际重大事件与能源热点的持续跟踪,依托国际货币基金组织(IMF)、国际能源署(IEA)、美国能源信息署(EIA)、欧佩克(OPEC)等权威机构的公开报告,系统分析2025年国内外油气市场格局与发展趋势,并与2020年“双碳”目标提出初期及2021年“十四五”开局阶段的核心指标进行纵向对比;同时,与美国、印度等主要油气消费国2025年数据开展横向比较。研究结果表明:全球地缘格局演变与贸易政策不确定性共同强化了经济放缓预期,叠加OPEC+增产与非OPEC国家高产量,国际石油市场供需趋于宽松,油价呈宽幅震荡下行;全球天然气市场呈现区域分化、供需趋松、波动收窄的特征,价格受地缘政治、供需关系及天气因素共同驱动。我国经济稳中有进,能源消费“稳中有增”,油气勘探在主要盆地和近海取得重要突破,产量保持“油稳气增”并创历史新高,非常规油气占比显著提升,天然气消费进一步向民生领域倾斜,但原油进口来源集中、自给率偏低等问题依然突出。展望2026年,全球石油市场将延续宽松态势,油价预计震荡下行;天然气价格呈分化走势,美国均价回升,全球市场受欧洲库存与亚洲需求制约难现大涨。国内油气产量将继续增长,原油保持稳产,天然气年产量有望再增百亿立方米,为国家能源安全和新型能源体系建设提供坚实支撑。 展开更多
关键词 油气资源 石油 天然气 油价 供需格局 勘探开发 油气资源安全
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2025年国际石油市场特点及2026年展望
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作者 张晨 侯晖 《当代石油石化》 2026年第1期7-12,19,共7页
2025年,受美国“对等关税”政策、欧佩克+大幅增产、地缘冲突持续等多重因素影响,国际石油市场呈现波动下行态势。布伦特原油全年均价为68美元/桶,较2024年大幅下降12美元/桶。需求端,美国“对等关税”政策的出台与反复,引发经济疲软预... 2025年,受美国“对等关税”政策、欧佩克+大幅增产、地缘冲突持续等多重因素影响,国际石油市场呈现波动下行态势。布伦特原油全年均价为68美元/桶,较2024年大幅下降12美元/桶。需求端,美国“对等关税”政策的出台与反复,引发经济疲软预期,致使全球石油需求增量降至80万桶/日;供应端,欧佩克+提前退出自愿减产协议并开启增产周期,加剧市场供应过剩压力;地缘层面,美欧对俄罗斯和伊朗制裁升级、以伊冲突等事件引发油价脉冲式波动,重塑全球原油运输市场结构。预计2026年,国际石油市场将延续供需宽松格局,全球石油需求保持90万桶/日的中低速增长,而供应增量约140万桶/日,非欧佩克国家为主要增长来源;全球陆上原油库存增加,中国的补库需求依然存在;地缘局势持续动荡,不确定性风险较大。综合判断,2026年布伦特原油价格主要运行区间为55~70美元/桶,均价较2025年进一步下移。 展开更多
关键词 国际油价 “对等关税” 供需基本面 地缘政治 欧佩克+
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China's Excess Oil Refining Production Capacity in the Background of the Supply Side Structural Reform
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作者 Wang Zhen Zhang Yuxuan 《China Oil & Gas》 CAS 2018年第3期43-51,共9页
Through analysis of the current situation and newly-increased production capacity-of the oil refining industry of China, this Paper discusses both the continuous expansion trend and the serious excess of production ca... Through analysis of the current situation and newly-increased production capacity-of the oil refining industry of China, this Paper discusses both the continuous expansion trend and the serious excess of production capacity of the oil refining industry of China. Due to the entry of the Chinese economy into the new normal,the accelerated substitution of old energy by new energy and rigid restrictions composed of low carbon and environmental protection requirements, the oil demand of China will continue to increase overall, but the growth will obviously slow down. At the same time, the newly-increased production capacity in Shandong and coastal region will continuously expand, the supply and demand contradiction will intensify, and the structural excess production capacity of the oil refining industry of China will be prominent. It is suggested that the government should attach great importance to the production capacity of the oil refining industry at the macro level, and deeply carry forward the supply side structural reform, and that enterprises should speed up technical innovation,enhance regional and layout optimization, adapt to market changes and adjust product structure, control oil refining but increase chemical engineering, improve product quality and production efficiency, and constantly promote the international competitiveness of the Chinese petrochemical industry. 展开更多
关键词 oil refining production capacity oil demand Supply side structural reform
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Pickering氨基硅油乳液的制备及其应用性能
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作者 王佩丽 花元琛 +1 位作者 李剑浩 杨雷 《现代纺织技术》 北大核心 2026年第1期76-83,共8页
为解决氨基硅油乳液分散稳定性差、表面活性剂依赖度高及整理废水化学需氧量超标等问题,以二氧化硅(SiO_(2))为Pickering颗粒,以硅油质量为基准添加7%表面活性剂XP-70构建协同稳定体系,制备Pickering氨基硅油乳液,并探究该乳液的稳定性... 为解决氨基硅油乳液分散稳定性差、表面活性剂依赖度高及整理废水化学需氧量超标等问题,以二氧化硅(SiO_(2))为Pickering颗粒,以硅油质量为基准添加7%表面活性剂XP-70构建协同稳定体系,制备Pickering氨基硅油乳液,并探究该乳液的稳定性机制及在粘胶织物后整理中的应用性能。结果表明:阴离子SiO_(2)颗粒与带正电的氨基硅油液滴通过静电引力形成致密界面吸附层,乳液静置稳定性提升至40 d,阳离子颗粒维持6 d;协同体系中表面活性剂用量较单一表面活性剂稳定体系降低66.7%,且残液化学需氧量由85.7 g/L降至38.0 g/L,吸附效率较单一体系提升1.73倍;经整理后,织物静、动摩擦因数分别由0.78和0.75降至0.44和0.41,纤维表面形成连续硅胶膜。研究结果可为开发低污染、高稳定性的环保型纺织助剂提供理论支撑,为纺织行业绿色化生产的推进奠定技术参考。 展开更多
关键词 Pickering乳液 氨基硅油 颗粒表面电性 织物整理 化学需氧量(COD)
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Spillover and quantile linkage between oil price shocks and stock returns: new evidence from G7 countries 被引量:1
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作者 Yonghong Jiang Gengyu Tian Bin Mo 《Financial Innovation》 2020年第1期912-939,共28页
The link between crude oil price and stock returns of the Group of Seven(G7)countries(Canada,France,Germany,Italy,Japan,the United Kingdom,and the United States)was analyzed in this study using monthly data from Janua... The link between crude oil price and stock returns of the Group of Seven(G7)countries(Canada,France,Germany,Italy,Japan,the United Kingdom,and the United States)was analyzed in this study using monthly data from January 1999 to March 2020.We adopt a similar approach to Kilian(Am Econ Rev 99(3):1053–1069,2009)and construct a structural vector autoregression framework to decompose crude oil price shocks into oil supply shock,oil aggregate demand shock,and oil-specific demand shock.We then explore the distinct effects of different kinds of oil price shocks from various sources.Based on the decomposed oil price shocks,we apply the connectedness approach and QQ regression to find time-varying co-movements and tail dependence between oil price shocks and G7 stock returns.There is no general correlation between the decomposed oil prices and stock returns in these countries.The effects of oil price shocks on stock returns across different stock market conditions appear to be heterogeneous.Oil supply shock appears to be a net transmitter of spillover effects for all G7 countries within the sample period. 展开更多
关键词 oil supply shock oil aggregate demand shock oil specific demand shock Stock market Spillover effect Quantile-on-quantile
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基于静压箱分流原理的环吸式排风罩结构设计及减阻优化
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作者 胡昊 杨洋 +4 位作者 朱宁宾 王怡 杨春晖 潘博 曹庆峰 《暖通空调》 2026年第2期139-146,共8页
在有色金属压延加工过程中,油雾散发源的几何非对称性导致近源处污染物呈现非均匀分布的特点,排风罩各侧风口应实现风量按需分配,以满足污染物高效捕集的要求。本文基于静压箱分流原理,提出了双层分区双环吸式排风罩。模拟结果表明,相... 在有色金属压延加工过程中,油雾散发源的几何非对称性导致近源处污染物呈现非均匀分布的特点,排风罩各侧风口应实现风量按需分配,以满足污染物高效捕集的要求。本文基于静压箱分流原理,提出了双层分区双环吸式排风罩。模拟结果表明,相对于优化前,双层分区双环吸式排风罩的风口风量偏差率下降了32.04%,结构阻力降低了21.93%,油雾逃逸降低率为20.79%。此外,本文还从经济性角度分析了双层分区双环吸式排风罩结构优化的合理性,为排风罩结构设计及减阻优化提供参考。 展开更多
关键词 静压箱 油雾 非均匀分布 风量按需分配 双层分区双环吸式排风罩 结构优化设计 减阻
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Current scenario and potential of biodiesel production from waste cooking oil in Pakistan: An overview 被引量:3
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作者 Haris Mahmood Khan Chaudhry Haider Ali +6 位作者 Tanveer Iqbal Saima Yasin Muhammad Sulaiman Hamayoun Mahmood Muhammad Raashid Mohsin Pasha BozhongMu 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2019年第10期2238-2250,共13页
Biodiesel utilization has been rapidly growing worldwide as the prime alternative to petrodiesel due to a global rise in diesel fuel demand along with hazardous emissions during its thermochemical conversion.Although,... Biodiesel utilization has been rapidly growing worldwide as the prime alternative to petrodiesel due to a global rise in diesel fuel demand along with hazardous emissions during its thermochemical conversion.Although,several debatable issues including feedstock availability and price,fuel and food competition,changes in land use and greenhouse gas emission have been raised by using edible as well as inedible feedstocks for the production of biodiesel.However,non-crop feedstocks could be a promising alternative.In this article,waste cooking oils have been recommended as a suitable option for biodiesel production bearing in mind the current national situation.The important factors such as the quantity of waste cooking oil produced,crude oil and vegetable oil import expenses,high-speed diesel imports,waste management issues and environmental hazards are considered.Moreover,process simulation and operating cost evaluation of an acid catalyzed biodiesel production unit are also conducted.The simulation results show that the production cost of waste cooking oil-based biodiesel is about 0.66 USD·L-1.We believe that the present overview would open new pathways and ideas for the development of biofuels from waste to energy approach in Pakistan. 展开更多
关键词 BIODIESEL Waste COOKING oil FEEDSTOCK SUSTAINABILITY Energy demand Pakistan
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Status, trends and enlightenment of global oil and gas development in 2021 被引量:3
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作者 WANG Zuoqian FAN Zifei +2 位作者 ZHANG Xingyang LIU Baolei CHEN Xi 《Petroleum Exploration and Development》 CSCD 2022年第5期1210-1228,共19页
By analyzing the distribution of global oil and gas fields and the reasons why some oil and gas fields are not in production, the distribution characteristics of oil and gas remaining recoverable reserves and their ye... By analyzing the distribution of global oil and gas fields and the reasons why some oil and gas fields are not in production, the distribution characteristics of oil and gas remaining recoverable reserves and their year-on-year changes, the distribution characteristics of oil and gas production and their year-on-year changes, and the development potential of oil and gas to be tapped in 2021, this paper sorts out systematically the current status and characteristics of global oil and gas development, summaries the major trends of global oil and gas development, puts forward enlightenment for international oil and gas cooperation. In 2021, oil and gas fields were widely distributed, the number of non-producing oil and gas fields was large;the whole oil and gas remaining recoverable reserves declined slightly, unconventional oil and gas remaining recoverable reserves dropped significantly;the overall oil and gas production continuously increased, the outputs of key resource-host countries kept year-on-year growth;undeveloped oilfields had abundant reserves and great development potential. Combined with global oil and gas geopolitics, oil and gas industry development trends, oil and gas investment intensity, and the tracking and judgment of hotspot fields, the major trends of global oil and gas development in 2021 are summarized. On this basis, the four aspects of enlightenment and suggestions for international oil and gas cooperation and development strategies are put forward: attach great importance to the obligation of marine abandonment to ensure high-quality and long-term benefit development of offshore oil and gas;adhere to the principle of not going to dangerous and chaotic places, strengthen the concentration of oil and gas assets, and establish multi stable supply bases;based on the multi-scenario demand of natural gas, realize the transformation from integrated collaboration to full oil and gas industry chain development;increase the acquisition of high-quality large-scale assets, and pay attention to the continuous optimization of the shareholding ratio of projects at different stages. 展开更多
关键词 global oil and gas development development situation development potential development investment oil price oil and gas supply and demand fiscal and tax policies concentration of oil and gas asset
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动态需求情形下多行程多交货期的成品油配送优化 被引量:1
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作者 谢勇 高海龙 +1 位作者 陈于涛 王焕江 《系统仿真学报》 北大核心 2025年第8期2016-2029,共14页
在动态需求情形下,综合考虑订单交货期、车辆运输时间窗等因素,以最大化配送收益为目标,建立了多行程多交货期的成品油周期性配送优化模型,并设计了基于强化学习的大邻域搜索算法进行求解。基于前向插入启发式算法构造初始解;设计了面... 在动态需求情形下,综合考虑订单交货期、车辆运输时间窗等因素,以最大化配送收益为目标,建立了多行程多交货期的成品油周期性配送优化模型,并设计了基于强化学习的大邻域搜索算法进行求解。基于前向插入启发式算法构造初始解;设计了面向邻域算子选择的深度强化学习模型,通过双深度Q网络拟合动作价值函数,以选择最优的邻域操作算子,获得最优配送方案。实验结果表明:基于强化学习的大邻域搜索算法能够在保证求解质量的同时有效提升求解速度。 展开更多
关键词 成品油配送 动态需求 多行程 多交货期 强化学习
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Review and Outlook of China's Oil Market in 2015
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作者 Gong Jinshuang 《China Oil & Gas》 CAS 2015年第3期22-28,共7页
Growth rate of oil demand rose again in China in the first half of 2015. Demand for oil products went on differentiating, and the demand growth of most products sped up. Growth rate of oil production rose again, oil i... Growth rate of oil demand rose again in China in the first half of 2015. Demand for oil products went on differentiating, and the demand growth of most products sped up. Growth rate of oil production rose again, oil imports increased rapidly, and external dependence of crude oil and oil broke through 60% separately. The State adjusted the prices of gasoline and diesel timely and frequently, based on pricing mechanism. Price hike was higher than reduction. Oil market got weak, yet more stable. China increased the pace of reforms in marketization. In the second half, oil demand will increase continuously but with lower growth rate, oil production will rise more slowly, imports of crude oil and oil will keep on rising rapidly, gasoline and kerosene as well as diesel will witness a net import, and the market of gasoline, kerosene and diesel will be more stable. 展开更多
关键词 the year of 2015 China oil supply and demand price half a year review outlook
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Aerobic Degradation Process in Palm Oil Mill— Issues, Challenges and Upsurging Its Efficiency through Bioremediation
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作者 Ili Bazilah Abd Razak Nor Hidayah Bohari +4 位作者 Elya Masya Mohd Fishal Nurul Lina Mohamad Muhamad Nurfikri Azmi Muhammad Firdaus Fahmi Mohd Razali Hamdan Ibrahim 《Journal of Water Resource and Protection》 CAS 2022年第7期515-530,共16页
Palm oil mill effluent (POME) is liquid waste produced from palm oil extraction process. Discharging it to the river without treatment is violation according to Malaysia Environment of Quality Act (EQA) 1974. In Malay... Palm oil mill effluent (POME) is liquid waste produced from palm oil extraction process. Discharging it to the river without treatment is violation according to Malaysia Environment of Quality Act (EQA) 1974. In Malaysia, ponding system is a conventional treatment method for POME due to its economical and simple process. The treatment process mainly involves two main treatment phases;anaerobic and aerobic degradation. Anaerobic degradation has a proven track record in reducing pollutant properties in POME up to 85%. The real challenge is to increase the efficiency of aerobic process as the biological oxygen demand (BOD) discharge limit has been further reduced from 100 mg&middot;L<sup>-1</sup> to less than 20 mg&middot;L<sup>-1</sup>. One of economical and feasible approach to increase the efficiency of aerobic phase is via bioremediation. This paper describes the limitation of aerobic degradation in ponding system, besides discussed on the important aspects that need to be optimized for a success implementation of bioremediation and its challenges. 展开更多
关键词 AEROBIC ANAEROBIC BIOREMEDIATION Biological Oxygen demand Palm oil Mill Effluent
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2025年上半年国际石油市场回顾及下半年展望 被引量:2
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作者 侯晖 《当代石油石化》 2025年第8期8-13,20,共7页
2025年上半年,国际油价呈现宽幅震荡态势,整体运行区间较前期显著下移,主要受到美国“对等关税”政策冲击、欧佩克+超预期增产、地缘政治局势动荡等多重因素的交织影响。下半年,国际油价下行压力仍较大,原因在于美国“对等关税”正式实... 2025年上半年,国际油价呈现宽幅震荡态势,整体运行区间较前期显著下移,主要受到美国“对等关税”政策冲击、欧佩克+超预期增产、地缘政治局势动荡等多重因素的交织影响。下半年,国际油价下行压力仍较大,原因在于美国“对等关税”正式实施后对全球经济贸易增长的抑制,导致石油需求承压。9月需求旺季之后,全球原油供应在欧佩克+大幅增产与非欧佩克主要产油国持续增产的共同推动下显著增长,预计石油供应过剩量达120万桶/日。此外,俄乌停火谈判、特朗普政府相关政策、欧佩克+产量政策等均存在较大不确定性,预测2025年下半年布伦特油价主要运行区间为60~75美元/桶。 展开更多
关键词 国际油价 地缘政治 “对等关税” 欧佩克+ 石油需求
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美国“对等关税”对国际原油市场的影响 被引量:2
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作者 侯明扬 《国际石油经济》 2025年第5期45-50,共6页
美国“对等关税”计划叠加“欧佩克+”计划5月起增产等因素,导致WTI和布伦特两大基准原油价格在3个交易日内连续暴跌。尽管美国“对等关税”计划将对世界各国政治经济带来巨大冲击,但供需基本面仍是国际油价波动走势的决定因素。当前国... 美国“对等关税”计划叠加“欧佩克+”计划5月起增产等因素,导致WTI和布伦特两大基准原油价格在3个交易日内连续暴跌。尽管美国“对等关税”计划将对世界各国政治经济带来巨大冲击,但供需基本面仍是国际油价波动走势的决定因素。当前国际油价波动走势仍是“以供给侧为主导,供需两侧共同作用”。在供给侧,投资、成本和资源约束不支撑原油产量大幅增加;在需求侧,“消费刚性”不支撑原油需求大幅下降。判定短期内国际油价将出现一定波动,但近中期难以持续大幅下降。在此背景下,建议中国石油企业重点从4个方面保障国家油气供给安全:一是高质量推进国内油气增储上产,二是持续推动油气勘探开发技术创新,三是稳步加强海外油气资源并购,四是有序加大国内油气储备能力建设。 展开更多
关键词 美国对等关税 国际油价 原油供需 增储上产 科技创新 原油储备
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国际原油市场2024年回顾和2025年展望 被引量:2
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作者 张庆辰 张虹雨 +2 位作者 仇玄 李想 高洁 《国际石油经济》 2025年第3期60-66,共7页
2024年,国际油价先涨后跌、宽幅震荡。上半年,油价在需求大幅增长和供应持续紧张预期下走高,但随着市场修正对中国需求预测、“欧佩克+”宣布退出自愿减产计划,供需基本面预期反转导致油价震荡下行。全年看,2024年需求增长80万桶/日,供... 2024年,国际油价先涨后跌、宽幅震荡。上半年,油价在需求大幅增长和供应持续紧张预期下走高,但随着市场修正对中国需求预测、“欧佩克+”宣布退出自愿减产计划,供需基本面预期反转导致油价震荡下行。全年看,2024年需求增长80万桶/日,供应增长120万桶/日,全年供需基本平衡,全球原油库存创下2017年以来最低水平。展望2025年,需求增长放缓,供应持续攀升,推动全球原油库存自低位回升;美联储在通胀压力下放缓降息进程,美元指数保持强势,叠加全球地缘冲突或有望缓和,地缘溢价回落。总体预计,2025年国际油价运行中枢下移,布伦特原油均价在69~74美元/桶区间。 展开更多
关键词 国际原油市场 需求 产量 库存 原油价格
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炼化产业发展定位与公司战略的再思考
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作者 张晨 柯晓明 《石油石化绿色低碳》 2025年第6期7-13,共7页
全球能源转型步入低碳时代,同时面临我国成品油需求达峰、产能过剩及双碳目标刚性约束,炼化产业传统发展逻辑面临根本性变革。文章基于全球能源革命与行业竞争格局演变,梳理了国内炼化行业的历史定位演进,明确其在中国式现代化背景下向... 全球能源转型步入低碳时代,同时面临我国成品油需求达峰、产能过剩及双碳目标刚性约束,炼化产业传统发展逻辑面临根本性变革。文章基于全球能源革命与行业竞争格局演变,梳理了国内炼化行业的历史定位演进,明确其在中国式现代化背景下向“绿色化、高端化、数智化导向的价值创造者”转型的新定位。通过对比欧美石油公司差异化转型路径,提炼出“平衡安全与低碳”“依托核心竞争力”的转型经验。结合国情,提出炼化企业转型需坚守“服从国家战略、低成本转型、先立后破、差异化布局、技术创新驱动”五大关键原则。研究结论为我国石油公司在需求达峰后破解结构性矛盾、构建新型竞争力提供了战略参考,助力炼化产业成为服务国家现代化大局的战略性支柱产业。 展开更多
关键词 炼化产业 能源转型 战略定位 差异化转型 技术创新 石油需求 绿色低碳
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国际石油市场近5年回顾与未来趋势展望
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作者 张晨 侯晖 《当代石油石化》 2025年第12期9-15,27,共8页
近5年,国际石油市场呈现地缘政治冲突、供需博弈与能源转型交织的复杂格局:俄乌冲突引发俄罗斯原油东运,改写贸易地理版图;欧佩克+通过灵活的产量政策调控油价;石油需求疫后经历先反弹后增速放缓,能源转型与美国关税政策对需求形成双重... 近5年,国际石油市场呈现地缘政治冲突、供需博弈与能源转型交织的复杂格局:俄乌冲突引发俄罗斯原油东运,改写贸易地理版图;欧佩克+通过灵活的产量政策调控油价;石油需求疫后经历先反弹后增速放缓,能源转型与美国关税政策对需求形成双重压制;地缘制裁与油运市场分裂使风险溢价常态化,油价剧烈震荡。预计2026—2030年,国际石油市场将迎来供需“双达峰”关键转变:需求侧呈现“总量达峰、结构分化”特征,交通燃料需求下降,化工原料成为核心增长极,亚洲新兴市场主导需求增量;上游投资趋紧,非常规油气与深水领域成为增长核心,美国页岩油与主要产油国盈亏平衡成本构筑油价底部支撑;供应侧呈现“非欧佩克前期发力、欧佩克+长期调控”格局,欧佩克+凭借灵活政策与高位剩余产能平衡市场。预计2026—2030年,国际油价将围绕55~75美元/桶的中低位新中枢宽幅震荡,地缘冲突、经济走势与能源转型节奏为主要不确定性因素。 展开更多
关键词 国际油价 地缘政治 需求 供应 欧佩克+
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平板陶瓷膜处理含乳化油废水试验
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作者 田宇 刘馥瑶 +2 位作者 石敏感 王雪莲 安富强 《陶瓷学报》 北大核心 2025年第1期167-174,共8页
以平板陶瓷膜为核心过滤介质,以含乳化油废水为处理对象,以出水COD_(Cr)为指标,研究了进水COD_(Cr)、pH值、曝气等因素对处理效果的影响,考察了平板陶瓷膜处理含乳化油废水的可行性。结果表明:在进水COD_(Cr)为120 mg·L^(-1)、pH为... 以平板陶瓷膜为核心过滤介质,以含乳化油废水为处理对象,以出水COD_(Cr)为指标,研究了进水COD_(Cr)、pH值、曝气等因素对处理效果的影响,考察了平板陶瓷膜处理含乳化油废水的可行性。结果表明:在进水COD_(Cr)为120 mg·L^(-1)、pH为9且曝气的条件下,平板陶瓷膜的处理效果最佳,其出水COD_(Cr)可降至57 mg·L^(-1)、去除率为52.5%。同时,曝气可以有效降低膜污染程度,延长平板陶瓷膜使用时间。 展开更多
关键词 平板陶瓷膜 截留 乳化油 化学需氧量 废水
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