The specific objective of the study was to identify the role of traditional leaders in Cape Coast,Kumasi and Teshie in the governance structure of their societies through the observance of taboos.It was to have a good...The specific objective of the study was to identify the role of traditional leaders in Cape Coast,Kumasi and Teshie in the governance structure of their societies through the observance of taboos.It was to have a good understanding of what constitutes governance and good governance in the context of the indigenous set-up;to assess the current nature of governance related taboos;and to evaluate the impact of contemporary society on taboos and the consequence of any impact of contemporary society on the taboos on indigenous governance.The research was guided by Creswell’s knowledge on research paradigm to describe a researcher’s philosophical view and conceptualization of reality.The research adopted mixed method approach in achieving the objective of the research by obtaining empirical data for the research questions.Two sets of instruments were adopted for data gathering.The first instrument was an interview guide that was used to solicit structured data from the respondents in order to elicit more candid and objective replies.The second instrument was a questionnaire,which was used in order to gather the exact responses relevant to the research from participants.The study found out that traditional rulers occupy unique position,hence in order to maintain certain standards to please their subjects on whose authority they rule,they cannot avoid observing taboos.It further showed that the Chieftaincy institution is an institution that cannot be done away with.It is recommended that both citizens and non-citizens in these traditional societies should be made to appreciate,respect and observe taboos associated with taboo days as a means to promote unity,peace and governance.展开更多
The objective of the current study is to investigate an adaptive predictive observer-based autopilot for a skid-to-turn(STT)missile model with uncertainties and unknown dynamic equations.A predictive control for the S...The objective of the current study is to investigate an adaptive predictive observer-based autopilot for a skid-to-turn(STT)missile model with uncertainties and unknown dynamic equations.A predictive control for the STT missile is designed based on nonlinear model predictive control(NMPC)using Taylor series expansion,after which,via a neural network(NN),unknown functions are approximated.The present study also evaluates an adaptive optimal observer of a new strategy-based nonlinear system.Specifically,to estimate the missile states such as normal acceleration and its derivatives for the future,originally the Taylor series states expansion was gained to any specified order,based on their receding horizons.To address the problem of prediction error,an analytic solution was prepared that led to a closed form regarding the nonlinear optimal observer.Out of the gains resulting from the analytic solution,as developed for the problem of prediction error,the selection of the proposed observer gain was optimally conducted to meet the stability condition.Thus,combining the adaptive predictive autopilot and the adaptive optimal observer scheme was implemented to secure the performance,which needed only estimated normal acceleration and its derivatives.Meanwhile,no angular velocity measurement or wind angle estimation was required.Ultimately,the proposed technique was found effective,as confirmed by the qualitative simulation results.展开更多
Cirrus clouds play a crucial role in the energy balance of the Earth-atmosphere system.We investigated the spatiotemporal variations of cirrus over the South China Sea(SCS)using satellite data(MOD08,MYD08,CALIPSO)and ...Cirrus clouds play a crucial role in the energy balance of the Earth-atmosphere system.We investigated the spatiotemporal variations of cirrus over the South China Sea(SCS)using satellite data(MOD08,MYD08,CALIPSO)and reanalysis data(MERRA-2)from March 2007 to February 2015(eight years).The horizontal distribution reveals lower cirrus fraction values in the northern SCS and higher values in the southern region,with minima observed in March and April and maxima sequentially occurring in August(northern SCS,NSCS),September(middle SCS,MSCS),and December(southern SCS,SSCS).Vertically,the cirrus fraction peaks in summer and reaches its lowest levels in spring.Opaque cirrus dominates during summer in the NSCS and MSCS,comprising 53.6%and 55.9%,respectively,while the SSCS exhibits a higher frequency of opaque cirrus relative to other cloud types.Subvisible cirrus clouds have the lowest frequency year-round,whereas thin cirrus is most prominent in winter in the NSCS(46.3%)and in spring in the MSCS(45.3%).A case study from September 2021 further explores the influence of ice crystal habits on brightness temperature(BT)over the SCS.Simulations utilizing five ice crystal shapes from the ARTS DDA(Atmospheric Radiative Transfer Simulator Discrete Dipole Approximation)database and the RTTOV 12.4 radiative transfer model reveal that the 8-column-aggregate shape best represents BT in the NSCS and SSCS,while the large-block-aggregate shape performs better in the SSCS.展开更多
Near-Earth objects are important not only in studying the early formation of the Solar System,but also because they pose a serious hazard to humanity when they make close approaches to the Earth.Study of their physica...Near-Earth objects are important not only in studying the early formation of the Solar System,but also because they pose a serious hazard to humanity when they make close approaches to the Earth.Study of their physical properties can provide useful information on their origin,evolution,and hazard to human beings.However,it remains challenging to investigate small,newly discovered,near-Earth objects because of our limited observational window.This investigation seeks to determine the visible colors of near-Earth asteroids(NEAs),perform an initial taxonomic classification based on visible colors and analyze possible correlations between the distribution of taxonomic classification and asteroid size or orbital parameters.Observations were performed in the broadband BVRI Johnson−Cousins photometric system,applied to images from the Yaoan High Precision Telescope and the 1.88 m telescope at the Kottamia Astronomical Observatory.We present new photometric observations of 84 near-Earth asteroids,and classify 80 of them taxonomically,based on their photometric colors.We find that nearly half(46.3%)of the objects in our sample can be classified as S-complex,26.3%as C-complex,6%as D-complex,and 15.0%as X-complex;the remaining belong to the A-or V-types.Additionally,we identify three P-type NEAs in our sample,according to the Tholen scheme.The fractional abundances of the C/X-complex members with absolute magnitude H≥17.0 were more than twice as large as those with H<17.0.However,the fractions of C-and S-complex members with diameters≤1 km and>1 km are nearly equal,while X-complex members tend to have sub-kilometer diameters.In our sample,the C/D-complex objects are predominant among those with a Jovian Tisserand parameter of T_(J)<3.1.These bodies could have a cometary origin.C-and S-complex members account for a considerable proportion of the asteroids that are potentially hazardous.展开更多
Theintegration of human factors into artificial intelligence(AI)systems has emerged as a critical research frontier,particularly in reinforcement learning(RL),where human-AI interaction(HAII)presents both opportunitie...Theintegration of human factors into artificial intelligence(AI)systems has emerged as a critical research frontier,particularly in reinforcement learning(RL),where human-AI interaction(HAII)presents both opportunities and challenges.As RL continues to demonstrate remarkable success in model-free and partially observable environments,its real-world deployment increasingly requires effective collaboration with human operators and stakeholders.This article systematically examines HAII techniques in RL through both theoretical analysis and practical case studies.We establish a conceptual framework built upon three fundamental pillars of effective human-AI collaboration:computational trust modeling,system usability,and decision understandability.Our comprehensive review organizes HAII methods into five key categories:(1)learning from human feedback,including various shaping approaches;(2)learning from human demonstration through inverse RL and imitation learning;(3)shared autonomy architectures for dynamic control allocation;(4)human-in-the-loop querying strategies for active learning;and(5)explainable RL techniques for interpretable policy generation.Recent state-of-the-art works are critically reviewed,with particular emphasis on advances incorporating large language models in human-AI interaction research.To illustrate some concepts,we present three detailed case studies:an empirical trust model for farmers adopting AI-driven agricultural management systems,the implementation of ethical constraints in roboticmotion planning through human-guided RL,and an experimental investigation of human trust dynamics using a multi-armed bandit paradigm.These applications demonstrate how HAII principles can enhance RL systems’practical utility while bridging the gap between theoretical RL and real-world human-centered applications,ultimately contributing to more deployable and socially beneficial intelligent systems.展开更多
This paper investigates the consensus tracking control problem for high order nonlinear multi-agent systems subject to non-affine faults,partial measurable states,uncertain control coefficients,and unknown external di...This paper investigates the consensus tracking control problem for high order nonlinear multi-agent systems subject to non-affine faults,partial measurable states,uncertain control coefficients,and unknown external disturbances.Under the directed topology conditions,an observer-based finite-time control strategy based on adaptive backstepping and is proposed,in which a neural network-based state observer is employed to approximate the unmeasurable system state variables.To address the complexity explosion problem associated with the backstepping method,a finite-time command filter is incorporated,with error compensation signals designed to mitigate the filter-induced errors.Additionally,the Butterworth low-pass filter is introduced to avoid the algebraic ring problem in the design of the controller.The finite-time stability of the closed-loop system is rigorously analyzed with the finite-time Lyapunov stability criterion,validating that all closed-loop signals of the system remain bounded within a finite time.Finally,the effectiveness of the proposed control strategy is verified through a simulation example.展开更多
Dual-polarization(dual-pol)radar variables provide information about the quantity,type,size,and water content of hydrometeors.Assimilating these dual-pol radar variables into numerical weather prediction models can en...Dual-polarization(dual-pol)radar variables provide information about the quantity,type,size,and water content of hydrometeors.Assimilating these dual-pol radar variables into numerical weather prediction models can enhance forecast accuracy.Observation operators are essential for radar data assimilation.This study focuses on applying a realistic dual-pol radar observation operator to more accurately calculate dual-pol radar variables.Previously reported dual-pol radar observation operators tended to overestimate radar variables near 0℃ in convective precipitation and simulate unrealistic dual-pol radar variables in subfreezing regions.To address this,the improved operator(KNU dual-pol radar observation operator;K-DROP)limits the distribution of mixed-phase hydrometeors,which have both solid and liquid properties,in areas with strong updrafts and downdrafts,improving the overestimation of radar variables near the melting layer.Additionally,by applying the observed snow axis ratio during winter to K-DROP,the issue of differential reflectivity(Z_(DR))being calculated as a constant value in subfreezing regions has been improved.By incorporating the observed maximum radius of hydrometeors into K-DROP,the overestimation of reflectivity(Z_(H))in subfreezing regions,the overestimation of Z_(DR)in warm regions,and the underestimation of specific differential phase(K_(DP))in subfreezing regions and overestimation in warm regions,are improved.Compared to previous operators,the enhanced version reported in the present work produces more realistic dual-pol radar variables.展开更多
This paper investigates the detection and mitigation of coordinated cyberattacks on Load Frequency Control(LFC)systems integrated with Battery Energy Storage Systems(BESS).As renewable energy sources gain greater pene...This paper investigates the detection and mitigation of coordinated cyberattacks on Load Frequency Control(LFC)systems integrated with Battery Energy Storage Systems(BESS).As renewable energy sources gain greater penetration,power grids are becoming increasingly vulnerable to cyber threats,potentially leading to frequency instability and widespread disruptions.We model two significant attack vectors:load-altering attacks(LAAs)and false data injection attacks(FDIAs)that corrupt frequency measurements.These are analyzed for their impact on grid frequency stability in both linear and nonlinear LFC models,incorporating generation rate constraints and nonlinear loads.A coordinated attack strategy is presented,combining LAAs and FDIAs to achieve stealthiness by concealing frequency deviations from system operators,thereby maximizing disruption while evading traditional detection.To counteract these threats,we propose an Unknown Input Observer(UIO)-based detection framework for linear and nonlinear LFCs.The UIO is designed using linear matrix inequalities(LMIs)to estimate system states while isolating unknown attack inputs,enabling attack detection through monitoring measurement residuals against a predefined threshold.For mitigation,we leverage BESS capabilities with two adaptive strategies:dynamic mitigation for dynamic LAAs,which tunes BESS parameters to enhance the system’s stability margin and accelerate convergence to equilibrium;and staticmitigation for static LAAs and FDIAs.Simulations show that the UIO achieves high detection accuracy,with residuals exceeding thresholds promptly under coordinated attacks,even in nonlinear models.Mitigation strategies reduce frequency deviations by up to 80%compared to unmitigated cases,restoring stability within seconds.展开更多
We investigate the effects of projectile material on high-speed penetration/perforation of Inconel 718 alloy(IN718)plates.High-speed ballistic impact tests are conducted on 2 mm-thickness IN718 plates with 5-mm-diamet...We investigate the effects of projectile material on high-speed penetration/perforation of Inconel 718 alloy(IN718)plates.High-speed ballistic impact tests are conducted on 2 mm-thickness IN718 plates with 5-mm-diameter stainless steel 304(SS304),Ti alloy TC4,and Al alloy AA1060 spherical projectiles.The impact processes are captured with high-speed photography.Optical and scanning electron microscopy and laser scan are conducted on recovered projectiles and targets.Finite element models of the ballistic impact are established based on the coupled Eulerian-Lagrangian algorithm with the Johnson-Cook constitutive model and failure criterion,and can well reproduce the experimental results.The experimental and simulated data related to projectile dynamics,and the geometries of postmortem projectiles and bullet holes are analyzed with phenomenological models.Projectile velocity evolution can be described with hydrodynamic models of penetration.Dimensional analysis reveals a universal relationship between the bullet hole expansion coefficient and the normalized dynamic pressure,regardless of the projectile material.However,the projectile material does affect projectile deformation,bullet hole size,and energy absorption of target.展开更多
The Tibetan Plateau(TP),characterized by its elevated topography,plays a crucial role in regional environmental and climate dynamics,where the understanding of radiation energy budgets is essential.However,accurately ...The Tibetan Plateau(TP),characterized by its elevated topography,plays a crucial role in regional environmental and climate dynamics,where the understanding of radiation energy budgets is essential.However,accurately estimating the spatiotemporal variations of radiation budget components and surface albedo across the diverse landscapes of the TP remains a significant challenge for the scientific community.To address this issue,numerous atmospheric experiments and research initiatives have been conducted since the 1960s,focusing on quantitatively assessing the spatial distribution and temporal variations of radiation fluxes through both observational data and remote sensing techniques.This paper systematically reviews the key advancements in radiation energy studies over the past 35 years,with a particular focus on measurements derived from tens of radiation flux stations and satellite observations across the TP.Additionally,the development of parameterization schemes in topographical effects on radiation fluxes is also summarized.Finally,the paper discusses potential future research directions in this field.展开更多
Objective:To evaluate the clinical efficacy of blood-letting cupping combined with manual lymphatic drainage in treating breast cancer-related lymphedema(BCRL)and explore its mechanism of action from both traditional ...Objective:To evaluate the clinical efficacy of blood-letting cupping combined with manual lymphatic drainage in treating breast cancer-related lymphedema(BCRL)and explore its mechanism of action from both traditional Chinese medicine and modern medical perspectives,providing a scientific basis and novel therapeutic approaches for clinical management of BCRL.Methods:Patients with BCRL admitted to the outpatient and inpatient departments of Hebei University Affiliated Hospital were enrolled.A prospective randomized controlled trial design was adopted,with eligible patients randomly assigned to a treatment group and a control group.The control group received manual lymphatic drainage alone,while the treatment group received manual lymphtic drainage combined with blood-letting cupping therapy.Posttreatment comparisons evaluated upper limb circumference reduction,edema severity grading,and upper limb functional scores.Vital signs and adverse reactions during treatment were recorded for both groups.Statistical software analyzed the data.Results:The treatment group demonstrated significantly greater reduction in upper limb circumference,improvement in edema severity,and higher upper limb function scores compared to the control group(P<0.05).Vital signs remained stable throughout treatment in both groups.No severe adverse reactions occurred in the treatment group;only isolated cases of mild skin itching were reported,which resolved after symptomatic management.Conclusion:The combination of bloodletting cupping and manual lymphatic drainage demonstrates reliable efficacy in treating BCRL,effectively alleviating edema symptoms and improving upper limb function with high safety.Its mechanism may relate to traditional Chinese medicine principles of“unblocking meridians,promoting blood circulation,and resolving stasis”and modern medical concepts of“enhancing local blood circulation,facilitating lymphatic drainage,and reducing inflammatory responses”.展开更多
Here we report on simultaneous lidar observations of sporadic Ni(Nis)layers and sporadic Na(Nas)layers in the atmosphere over Yanqing,Beijing(40.42°N,116.02°E)from April 2019 to October 2022.During 343 night...Here we report on simultaneous lidar observations of sporadic Ni(Nis)layers and sporadic Na(Nas)layers in the atmosphere over Yanqing,Beijing(40.42°N,116.02°E)from April 2019 to October 2022.During 343 nights of observation,68 Nis and 56 Nas were observed.The seasonal variation of Nis and Nas was also obtained,with the highest occurrence of Nis being in July(43%)and that of Nas being in June(61%).We found that the seasonal variation of Nis is similar to that of Nas and that both occur more frequently in summer than in winter.In addition,we found 23 events in which Nis and Nas occur simultaneously.The average peak altitude of Nas is approximately 1 km higher than that of Nis,and the peak density ratio of Nas to Nis is approximately 5,which is half the density ratio of the two main layers.Additionally,the strength factor for Nas is smaller than that for Nis.Through data analysis of sporadic E layers(Es),we found that Nis and Nas has a significant correlation with Es.The neutralization rates of Ni^(+)/Na^(+)were calculated according to the dissociative recombination reaction of Ni^(+)/Na^(+)and the WACCM-Ni(Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model of Ni).The production rates of Ni and Na were estimated to be approximately 1:4.4,which is consistent with the density ratio of Nis to Nas.The results showed that the neutralization reaction of Ni+,Na+,and electrons in Es is the main reason for the formation of the Nis layer and the Nas layer.展开更多
Unmanned combat aerial vehicles require lightweight,stealth-capable exhaust systems.However,traditional metallic nozzles increase radar detectability and reduce range,while advanced composites offer high performance b...Unmanned combat aerial vehicles require lightweight,stealth-capable exhaust systems.However,traditional metallic nozzles increase radar detectability and reduce range,while advanced composites offer high performance but are expensive.Therefore,to improve the operational range and survivability of unmanned combat aerial vehicles,a lightweight,high-temperature-resistant,oxidation-resistant,and low-observable composite exhaust nozzle is developed to replace conventional metallic straight-type nozzles.The nozzle features a double serpentine shape to reduce radar and infrared signatures and is manufactured as a monolithic structure using the filament winding process,accommodating the complex geometry and large size(length:1.8 m,width:0.8 m).The exhaust nozzle consists of a ceramic matrix composite made of silicon carbide fibers and a silicon oxycarbide matrix,which absorbs and scatters radio frequency signals while withstanding prolonged exposure to high-temperature(700℃)oxidizing environments typical of engine exhaust gases.The polysiloxane resin used to produce the silicon oxycarbide matrix poses significant challenges owing to its low tackiness and high viscosity variations depending on the presence of nanoparticles,making filament winding difficult.These challenges are addressed by optimizing resin viscosity and winding pattern design.As a result,the tensile strength of the composite specimens fabricated with the optimized viscosity increases by 228.03% before pyrolysis and 97.68%after pyrolysis,compared with that of the non-optimized specimens.In addition,the density and tensile strength of the composite processed via three cycles of polymer infiltration and pyrolysis increased by 13.08% and 80.37%,respectively,compared to those of the non-densified composite.High-temperature oxidation and flame tests demonstrate exceptional thermal and oxidative stability.Furthermore,when compared with carbon fiber-reinforced ceramic matrix composites,the developed composite exhibits a permittivity at least two levels lower and a reflection loss below7 dB within the frequency range of 9.3-10.9 GHz,underscoring its superior electromagnetic stealth performance.展开更多
The International Radiation Commission held its quadrennial International Radiation Symposium(IRS) in Hangzhou,China, from 17-21 June 2024. A lively meeting of 276 scientists from 18 countries occurred at the Zhejiang...The International Radiation Commission held its quadrennial International Radiation Symposium(IRS) in Hangzhou,China, from 17-21 June 2024. A lively meeting of 276 scientists from 18 countries occurred at the Zhejiang Sanli New Century Grand Hotel. There were ten oral and two poster sessions covering a wide range of topics, from radiative transfer theory and modeling to particle radiative properties, solar UV radiation, and ground-based measurements. This summary is not an exhaustive overview but rather a broad sample of the many talks delivered at IRS.展开更多
In the words of the late Sir Colin Blakemore,neurologists have historically sought to infer brain functions in a manner akin to to king a hammer to a computeranalyzing localized anatomical lesions caused by trauma,tum...In the words of the late Sir Colin Blakemore,neurologists have historically sought to infer brain functions in a manner akin to to king a hammer to a computeranalyzing localized anatomical lesions caused by trauma,tumors,or strokes,noting deficits,and inferring what functions certain brain regions may be responsible for.This approach exemplifies a deletion heuristic,where the absence of a specific function reveals insights about the underlying structures or mechanisms responsible for it.By observing what is lost when a particular brain region is damaged,throughout the history of the field,neurologists have pieced together the intricate relationship between anatomy and function.展开更多
Microbially induced calcium carbonate precipitation(MICP)is an eco-friendly technology for soil improvement.Although numerous experiments have been conducted to solidify sand foundations using MICP,the mechanisms by w...Microbially induced calcium carbonate precipitation(MICP)is an eco-friendly technology for soil improvement.Although numerous experiments have been conducted to solidify sand foundations using MICP,the mechanisms by which grain interfacial morphologies influencethe MICP process remain unclear.This study utilized 3D-printed flowcells with different boundary morphologies to investigate the effects of interfacial morphologies on the MICP process.CaCO_(3)precipitation characteristics were investigated through microscopic observation and image quantificationanalysis.The results indicate that low flowvelocities near the interface promote bacterial accumulation due to reduced hydrodynamic shear forces.Rough interfaces,compared to smooth ones,enhance bacterial adsorption owing to the larger regions of low flowvelocity,increased surface area,and the formation of local eddies,which promote greater CaCO_(3)precipitation.Compared to the regions away from the interface,a higher abundance of small CaCO_(3)crystals is observed near the interface because of the high urease activity from bacteria and the reduced shear-induced entrainment due to the low flowvelocity.Besides,larger crystals also preferentially precipitate in proximity to interfaces as the low flowvelocity enhances crystal growth according to the particle attachment theory.The presence of rough interfaces further reduces flowvelocities,leading to the precipitation of larger and more densely packed CaCO_(3)crystals.Therefore,rough interfaces promote the microbially induced calcium carbonate precipitation.This work is expected to enhance the understanding of microbially induced calcium carbonate precipitation characteristics on solid surfaces such as soil grains and contribute to the optimization of MICP applications.展开更多
Optimizing the microchannel design of the next generation of chips requires an understanding of the in situ property evolution of the chip-based materials under fast cooling.This work overcomes the conventional relian...Optimizing the microchannel design of the next generation of chips requires an understanding of the in situ property evolution of the chip-based materials under fast cooling.This work overcomes the conventional reliance on reheating data of melt-quenched glasses by demonstrating direct observations of glass transition on cooling curves utilizing the most advanced fast differential scanning calorimetry.By leveraging an MEMS chip sensor that allows for rapid heat extraction from microgram-sized samples to a purged gas coolant,the device is able to reach ultra-fast cooling rates of up to 40,000 K·s^(−1).Four thermal regions are identified by examining the cooling behaviors of two metallic glasses.This is because the actual rate of the specimen can differ from the programmed rate,especially at high set rate when the actual rate decreases before the glass transition is completed.We define the operational window for reliable cooling curve analysis,build models with empirical and theoretical analyses to determine the maximum feasible cooling rate,and demonstrate how optimizing sample mass and environment temperature broaden this window.The method avoids deceptive structural relaxation effects verified by fictivetemperature analysis and permits the capture of full glass transition during cooling.展开更多
1.Introduction Artificial intelligence(AI)is rapidly reshaping geoscience,from Earth observation interpretation and hazard forecasting to subsurface characterisation and Earth system modelling(Kochupillai et al.,2022;...1.Introduction Artificial intelligence(AI)is rapidly reshaping geoscience,from Earth observation interpretation and hazard forecasting to subsurface characterisation and Earth system modelling(Kochupillai et al.,2022;Sun et al.,2024).These capabilities emerge at a time when geoscientific evidence is increasingly informing high-stakes decisions about climate adaptation,resource development,and disaster risk reduction(McGovern et al.,2022).展开更多
Su Shi can be described as a true genius of his time.Whether in poetry,lyrics,songs,fu,or in life itself,his charismatic personality and rare optimism make him a once-in-a-century talent.This paper takes Su Shi’s poe...Su Shi can be described as a true genius of his time.Whether in poetry,lyrics,songs,fu,or in life itself,his charismatic personality and rare optimism make him a once-in-a-century talent.This paper takes Su Shi’s poems as a guiding thread and explores the conceptual spirit and practical significance reflected in four works:The Cold Food Observance,The Complete Works of Su Dongpo:An Account of Paintings at Jingyin Temple,and Xiaoxiang Bamboo and Stone Map,analyzing them from an artistic perspective.It strives to reveal the profound humanistic sentiments Su Shi evoked in the vast,ever-changing world,as well as the pure and exquisite poetic and pictorial beauty he bestowed upon it.展开更多
Conducting predictability studies is essential for tracing the source of forecast errors,which not only leads to the improvement of observation and forecasting systems,but also enhances the understanding of weather an...Conducting predictability studies is essential for tracing the source of forecast errors,which not only leads to the improvement of observation and forecasting systems,but also enhances the understanding of weather and climate phenomena.In the past few decades,dynamical numerical models have been the primary tools for predictability studies,achieving significant progress.Nowadays,with the advances in artificial intelligence(AI)techniques and accumulations of vast meteorological data,modeling weather and climate events using modern data-driven approaches is becoming trendy,where FourCastNet,Pangu-Weather,and GraphCast are successful pioneers.In this perspective article,we suggest AI models should not be limited to forecasting but be expanded to predictability studies,leveraging AI's advantages of high efficiency and self-contained optimization modules.To this end,we first remark that AI models should possess high simulation capability with fine spatiotemporal resolution for two kinds of predictability studies.AI models with high simulation capabilities comparable to numerical models can be considered to provide solutions to partial differential equations in a data-driven way.Then,we highlight several specific predictability issues with well-determined nonlinear optimization formulizations,which can be well-studied using AI models,holding significant scientific value.In addition,we advocate for the incorporation of AI models into the synergistic cycle of the cognition–observation–model paradigm.Comprehensive predictability studies have the potential to transform“big data”to“big and better data”and shift the focus from“AI for forecasts”to“AI for science”,ultimately advancing the development of the atmospheric and oceanic sciences.展开更多
文摘The specific objective of the study was to identify the role of traditional leaders in Cape Coast,Kumasi and Teshie in the governance structure of their societies through the observance of taboos.It was to have a good understanding of what constitutes governance and good governance in the context of the indigenous set-up;to assess the current nature of governance related taboos;and to evaluate the impact of contemporary society on taboos and the consequence of any impact of contemporary society on the taboos on indigenous governance.The research was guided by Creswell’s knowledge on research paradigm to describe a researcher’s philosophical view and conceptualization of reality.The research adopted mixed method approach in achieving the objective of the research by obtaining empirical data for the research questions.Two sets of instruments were adopted for data gathering.The first instrument was an interview guide that was used to solicit structured data from the respondents in order to elicit more candid and objective replies.The second instrument was a questionnaire,which was used in order to gather the exact responses relevant to the research from participants.The study found out that traditional rulers occupy unique position,hence in order to maintain certain standards to please their subjects on whose authority they rule,they cannot avoid observing taboos.It further showed that the Chieftaincy institution is an institution that cannot be done away with.It is recommended that both citizens and non-citizens in these traditional societies should be made to appreciate,respect and observe taboos associated with taboo days as a means to promote unity,peace and governance.
文摘The objective of the current study is to investigate an adaptive predictive observer-based autopilot for a skid-to-turn(STT)missile model with uncertainties and unknown dynamic equations.A predictive control for the STT missile is designed based on nonlinear model predictive control(NMPC)using Taylor series expansion,after which,via a neural network(NN),unknown functions are approximated.The present study also evaluates an adaptive optimal observer of a new strategy-based nonlinear system.Specifically,to estimate the missile states such as normal acceleration and its derivatives for the future,originally the Taylor series states expansion was gained to any specified order,based on their receding horizons.To address the problem of prediction error,an analytic solution was prepared that led to a closed form regarding the nonlinear optimal observer.Out of the gains resulting from the analytic solution,as developed for the problem of prediction error,the selection of the proposed observer gain was optimally conducted to meet the stability condition.Thus,combining the adaptive predictive autopilot and the adaptive optimal observer scheme was implemented to secure the performance,which needed only estimated normal acceleration and its derivatives.Meanwhile,no angular velocity measurement or wind angle estimation was required.Ultimately,the proposed technique was found effective,as confirmed by the qualitative simulation results.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42027804,41775026,and 41075012)。
文摘Cirrus clouds play a crucial role in the energy balance of the Earth-atmosphere system.We investigated the spatiotemporal variations of cirrus over the South China Sea(SCS)using satellite data(MOD08,MYD08,CALIPSO)and reanalysis data(MERRA-2)from March 2007 to February 2015(eight years).The horizontal distribution reveals lower cirrus fraction values in the northern SCS and higher values in the southern region,with minima observed in March and April and maxima sequentially occurring in August(northern SCS,NSCS),September(middle SCS,MSCS),and December(southern SCS,SSCS).Vertically,the cirrus fraction peaks in summer and reaches its lowest levels in spring.Opaque cirrus dominates during summer in the NSCS and MSCS,comprising 53.6%and 55.9%,respectively,while the SSCS exhibits a higher frequency of opaque cirrus relative to other cloud types.Subvisible cirrus clouds have the lowest frequency year-round,whereas thin cirrus is most prominent in winter in the NSCS(46.3%)and in spring in the MSCS(45.3%).A case study from September 2021 further explores the influence of ice crystal habits on brightness temperature(BT)over the SCS.Simulations utilizing five ice crystal shapes from the ARTS DDA(Atmospheric Radiative Transfer Simulator Discrete Dipole Approximation)database and the RTTOV 12.4 radiative transfer model reveal that the 8-column-aggregate shape best represents BT in the NSCS and SSCS,while the large-block-aggregate shape performs better in the SSCS.
基金funded by the China National Space Administration(KJSP2023020105)supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2023YFA1608100)+2 种基金the NSFC(Grant No.62227901)the Minor Planet Foundationsupported by the Egyptian Science,Technology&Innovation Funding Authority(STDF)under Grant No.48102.
文摘Near-Earth objects are important not only in studying the early formation of the Solar System,but also because they pose a serious hazard to humanity when they make close approaches to the Earth.Study of their physical properties can provide useful information on their origin,evolution,and hazard to human beings.However,it remains challenging to investigate small,newly discovered,near-Earth objects because of our limited observational window.This investigation seeks to determine the visible colors of near-Earth asteroids(NEAs),perform an initial taxonomic classification based on visible colors and analyze possible correlations between the distribution of taxonomic classification and asteroid size or orbital parameters.Observations were performed in the broadband BVRI Johnson−Cousins photometric system,applied to images from the Yaoan High Precision Telescope and the 1.88 m telescope at the Kottamia Astronomical Observatory.We present new photometric observations of 84 near-Earth asteroids,and classify 80 of them taxonomically,based on their photometric colors.We find that nearly half(46.3%)of the objects in our sample can be classified as S-complex,26.3%as C-complex,6%as D-complex,and 15.0%as X-complex;the remaining belong to the A-or V-types.Additionally,we identify three P-type NEAs in our sample,according to the Tholen scheme.The fractional abundances of the C/X-complex members with absolute magnitude H≥17.0 were more than twice as large as those with H<17.0.However,the fractions of C-and S-complex members with diameters≤1 km and>1 km are nearly equal,while X-complex members tend to have sub-kilometer diameters.In our sample,the C/D-complex objects are predominant among those with a Jovian Tisserand parameter of T_(J)<3.1.These bodies could have a cometary origin.C-and S-complex members account for a considerable proportion of the asteroids that are potentially hazardous.
基金funded by the U.S.Department of Education under Grant Number ED#P116S210005the National Science Foundation under Grant Numbers 2226936 and 2420405.
文摘Theintegration of human factors into artificial intelligence(AI)systems has emerged as a critical research frontier,particularly in reinforcement learning(RL),where human-AI interaction(HAII)presents both opportunities and challenges.As RL continues to demonstrate remarkable success in model-free and partially observable environments,its real-world deployment increasingly requires effective collaboration with human operators and stakeholders.This article systematically examines HAII techniques in RL through both theoretical analysis and practical case studies.We establish a conceptual framework built upon three fundamental pillars of effective human-AI collaboration:computational trust modeling,system usability,and decision understandability.Our comprehensive review organizes HAII methods into five key categories:(1)learning from human feedback,including various shaping approaches;(2)learning from human demonstration through inverse RL and imitation learning;(3)shared autonomy architectures for dynamic control allocation;(4)human-in-the-loop querying strategies for active learning;and(5)explainable RL techniques for interpretable policy generation.Recent state-of-the-art works are critically reviewed,with particular emphasis on advances incorporating large language models in human-AI interaction research.To illustrate some concepts,we present three detailed case studies:an empirical trust model for farmers adopting AI-driven agricultural management systems,the implementation of ethical constraints in roboticmotion planning through human-guided RL,and an experimental investigation of human trust dynamics using a multi-armed bandit paradigm.These applications demonstrate how HAII principles can enhance RL systems’practical utility while bridging the gap between theoretical RL and real-world human-centered applications,ultimately contributing to more deployable and socially beneficial intelligent systems.
基金supported in part by the Beijing Natural Science Foundation under Grant 4252050in part by the National Science Fund for Distinguished Young Scholars under Grant 62425304in part by the Basic Science Center Programs of NSFC under Grant 62088101.
文摘This paper investigates the consensus tracking control problem for high order nonlinear multi-agent systems subject to non-affine faults,partial measurable states,uncertain control coefficients,and unknown external disturbances.Under the directed topology conditions,an observer-based finite-time control strategy based on adaptive backstepping and is proposed,in which a neural network-based state observer is employed to approximate the unmeasurable system state variables.To address the complexity explosion problem associated with the backstepping method,a finite-time command filter is incorporated,with error compensation signals designed to mitigate the filter-induced errors.Additionally,the Butterworth low-pass filter is introduced to avoid the algebraic ring problem in the design of the controller.The finite-time stability of the closed-loop system is rigorously analyzed with the finite-time Lyapunov stability criterion,validating that all closed-loop signals of the system remain bounded within a finite time.Finally,the effectiveness of the proposed control strategy is verified through a simulation example.
基金supported by the National Research Foundation(NRF)funded by the Korean government(MSIT)(Grant Nos.2022R1A2C1012361,2022R1A6A3A 13073165 and RS-2025-02242970).
文摘Dual-polarization(dual-pol)radar variables provide information about the quantity,type,size,and water content of hydrometeors.Assimilating these dual-pol radar variables into numerical weather prediction models can enhance forecast accuracy.Observation operators are essential for radar data assimilation.This study focuses on applying a realistic dual-pol radar observation operator to more accurately calculate dual-pol radar variables.Previously reported dual-pol radar observation operators tended to overestimate radar variables near 0℃ in convective precipitation and simulate unrealistic dual-pol radar variables in subfreezing regions.To address this,the improved operator(KNU dual-pol radar observation operator;K-DROP)limits the distribution of mixed-phase hydrometeors,which have both solid and liquid properties,in areas with strong updrafts and downdrafts,improving the overestimation of radar variables near the melting layer.Additionally,by applying the observed snow axis ratio during winter to K-DROP,the issue of differential reflectivity(Z_(DR))being calculated as a constant value in subfreezing regions has been improved.By incorporating the observed maximum radius of hydrometeors into K-DROP,the overestimation of reflectivity(Z_(H))in subfreezing regions,the overestimation of Z_(DR)in warm regions,and the underestimation of specific differential phase(K_(DP))in subfreezing regions and overestimation in warm regions,are improved.Compared to previous operators,the enhanced version reported in the present work produces more realistic dual-pol radar variables.
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation of China No.62303126the project Major Scientific and Technological Special Project of Guizhou Province([2024]014).
文摘This paper investigates the detection and mitigation of coordinated cyberattacks on Load Frequency Control(LFC)systems integrated with Battery Energy Storage Systems(BESS).As renewable energy sources gain greater penetration,power grids are becoming increasingly vulnerable to cyber threats,potentially leading to frequency instability and widespread disruptions.We model two significant attack vectors:load-altering attacks(LAAs)and false data injection attacks(FDIAs)that corrupt frequency measurements.These are analyzed for their impact on grid frequency stability in both linear and nonlinear LFC models,incorporating generation rate constraints and nonlinear loads.A coordinated attack strategy is presented,combining LAAs and FDIAs to achieve stealthiness by concealing frequency deviations from system operators,thereby maximizing disruption while evading traditional detection.To counteract these threats,we propose an Unknown Input Observer(UIO)-based detection framework for linear and nonlinear LFCs.The UIO is designed using linear matrix inequalities(LMIs)to estimate system states while isolating unknown attack inputs,enabling attack detection through monitoring measurement residuals against a predefined threshold.For mitigation,we leverage BESS capabilities with two adaptive strategies:dynamic mitigation for dynamic LAAs,which tunes BESS parameters to enhance the system’s stability margin and accelerate convergence to equilibrium;and staticmitigation for static LAAs and FDIAs.Simulations show that the UIO achieves high detection accuracy,with residuals exceeding thresholds promptly under coordinated attacks,even in nonlinear models.Mitigation strategies reduce frequency deviations by up to 80%compared to unmitigated cases,restoring stability within seconds.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.12402465)Sichuan Science and Technology Program(No.2023NSFSC1284)。
文摘We investigate the effects of projectile material on high-speed penetration/perforation of Inconel 718 alloy(IN718)plates.High-speed ballistic impact tests are conducted on 2 mm-thickness IN718 plates with 5-mm-diameter stainless steel 304(SS304),Ti alloy TC4,and Al alloy AA1060 spherical projectiles.The impact processes are captured with high-speed photography.Optical and scanning electron microscopy and laser scan are conducted on recovered projectiles and targets.Finite element models of the ballistic impact are established based on the coupled Eulerian-Lagrangian algorithm with the Johnson-Cook constitutive model and failure criterion,and can well reproduce the experimental results.The experimental and simulated data related to projectile dynamics,and the geometries of postmortem projectiles and bullet holes are analyzed with phenomenological models.Projectile velocity evolution can be described with hydrodynamic models of penetration.Dimensional analysis reveals a universal relationship between the bullet hole expansion coefficient and the normalized dynamic pressure,regardless of the projectile material.However,the projectile material does affect projectile deformation,bullet hole size,and energy absorption of target.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42230610 and U2442213)the Youth Innovation Promotion Association of the Chinese Academy of Sciences(Grant No.2022069)。
文摘The Tibetan Plateau(TP),characterized by its elevated topography,plays a crucial role in regional environmental and climate dynamics,where the understanding of radiation energy budgets is essential.However,accurately estimating the spatiotemporal variations of radiation budget components and surface albedo across the diverse landscapes of the TP remains a significant challenge for the scientific community.To address this issue,numerous atmospheric experiments and research initiatives have been conducted since the 1960s,focusing on quantitatively assessing the spatial distribution and temporal variations of radiation fluxes through both observational data and remote sensing techniques.This paper systematically reviews the key advancements in radiation energy studies over the past 35 years,with a particular focus on measurements derived from tens of radiation flux stations and satellite observations across the TP.Additionally,the development of parameterization schemes in topographical effects on radiation fluxes is also summarized.Finally,the paper discusses potential future research directions in this field.
文摘Objective:To evaluate the clinical efficacy of blood-letting cupping combined with manual lymphatic drainage in treating breast cancer-related lymphedema(BCRL)and explore its mechanism of action from both traditional Chinese medicine and modern medical perspectives,providing a scientific basis and novel therapeutic approaches for clinical management of BCRL.Methods:Patients with BCRL admitted to the outpatient and inpatient departments of Hebei University Affiliated Hospital were enrolled.A prospective randomized controlled trial design was adopted,with eligible patients randomly assigned to a treatment group and a control group.The control group received manual lymphatic drainage alone,while the treatment group received manual lymphtic drainage combined with blood-letting cupping therapy.Posttreatment comparisons evaluated upper limb circumference reduction,edema severity grading,and upper limb functional scores.Vital signs and adverse reactions during treatment were recorded for both groups.Statistical software analyzed the data.Results:The treatment group demonstrated significantly greater reduction in upper limb circumference,improvement in edema severity,and higher upper limb function scores compared to the control group(P<0.05).Vital signs remained stable throughout treatment in both groups.No severe adverse reactions occurred in the treatment group;only isolated cases of mild skin itching were reported,which resolved after symptomatic management.Conclusion:The combination of bloodletting cupping and manual lymphatic drainage demonstrates reliable efficacy in treating BCRL,effectively alleviating edema symptoms and improving upper limb function with high safety.Its mechanism may relate to traditional Chinese medicine principles of“unblocking meridians,promoting blood circulation,and resolving stasis”and modern medical concepts of“enhancing local blood circulation,facilitating lymphatic drainage,and reducing inflammatory responses”.
基金supported by the Specialized Research Fund for State Key Laboratories,Chinese Meridian Project,the Specialized Research Fund for the State Key Laboratory of Solar Activity and Space Weather,postgraduate Education Reform and Quality Improvement Project of Henan Province(Grant No.YJS2024JD32)Natural Science Foundation Project of Henan Province(Grant No.242300420253)National Natural Science Foundation of China for Young Scientists(Grant No.42504156)funding.
文摘Here we report on simultaneous lidar observations of sporadic Ni(Nis)layers and sporadic Na(Nas)layers in the atmosphere over Yanqing,Beijing(40.42°N,116.02°E)from April 2019 to October 2022.During 343 nights of observation,68 Nis and 56 Nas were observed.The seasonal variation of Nis and Nas was also obtained,with the highest occurrence of Nis being in July(43%)and that of Nas being in June(61%).We found that the seasonal variation of Nis is similar to that of Nas and that both occur more frequently in summer than in winter.In addition,we found 23 events in which Nis and Nas occur simultaneously.The average peak altitude of Nas is approximately 1 km higher than that of Nis,and the peak density ratio of Nas to Nis is approximately 5,which is half the density ratio of the two main layers.Additionally,the strength factor for Nas is smaller than that for Nis.Through data analysis of sporadic E layers(Es),we found that Nis and Nas has a significant correlation with Es.The neutralization rates of Ni^(+)/Na^(+)were calculated according to the dissociative recombination reaction of Ni^(+)/Na^(+)and the WACCM-Ni(Whole Atmosphere Community Climate Model of Ni).The production rates of Ni and Na were estimated to be approximately 1:4.4,which is consistent with the density ratio of Nis to Nas.The results showed that the neutralization reaction of Ni+,Na+,and electrons in Es is the main reason for the formation of the Nis layer and the Nas layer.
基金supported by the Agency for Defense Development Grant Funded by the Korean Government(Grant No.912822501).
文摘Unmanned combat aerial vehicles require lightweight,stealth-capable exhaust systems.However,traditional metallic nozzles increase radar detectability and reduce range,while advanced composites offer high performance but are expensive.Therefore,to improve the operational range and survivability of unmanned combat aerial vehicles,a lightweight,high-temperature-resistant,oxidation-resistant,and low-observable composite exhaust nozzle is developed to replace conventional metallic straight-type nozzles.The nozzle features a double serpentine shape to reduce radar and infrared signatures and is manufactured as a monolithic structure using the filament winding process,accommodating the complex geometry and large size(length:1.8 m,width:0.8 m).The exhaust nozzle consists of a ceramic matrix composite made of silicon carbide fibers and a silicon oxycarbide matrix,which absorbs and scatters radio frequency signals while withstanding prolonged exposure to high-temperature(700℃)oxidizing environments typical of engine exhaust gases.The polysiloxane resin used to produce the silicon oxycarbide matrix poses significant challenges owing to its low tackiness and high viscosity variations depending on the presence of nanoparticles,making filament winding difficult.These challenges are addressed by optimizing resin viscosity and winding pattern design.As a result,the tensile strength of the composite specimens fabricated with the optimized viscosity increases by 228.03% before pyrolysis and 97.68%after pyrolysis,compared with that of the non-optimized specimens.In addition,the density and tensile strength of the composite processed via three cycles of polymer infiltration and pyrolysis increased by 13.08% and 80.37%,respectively,compared to those of the non-densified composite.High-temperature oxidation and flame tests demonstrate exceptional thermal and oxidative stability.Furthermore,when compared with carbon fiber-reinforced ceramic matrix composites,the developed composite exhibits a permittivity at least two levels lower and a reflection loss below7 dB within the frequency range of 9.3-10.9 GHz,underscoring its superior electromagnetic stealth performance.
文摘The International Radiation Commission held its quadrennial International Radiation Symposium(IRS) in Hangzhou,China, from 17-21 June 2024. A lively meeting of 276 scientists from 18 countries occurred at the Zhejiang Sanli New Century Grand Hotel. There were ten oral and two poster sessions covering a wide range of topics, from radiative transfer theory and modeling to particle radiative properties, solar UV radiation, and ground-based measurements. This summary is not an exhaustive overview but rather a broad sample of the many talks delivered at IRS.
文摘In the words of the late Sir Colin Blakemore,neurologists have historically sought to infer brain functions in a manner akin to to king a hammer to a computeranalyzing localized anatomical lesions caused by trauma,tumors,or strokes,noting deficits,and inferring what functions certain brain regions may be responsible for.This approach exemplifies a deletion heuristic,where the absence of a specific function reveals insights about the underlying structures or mechanisms responsible for it.By observing what is lost when a particular brain region is damaged,throughout the history of the field,neurologists have pieced together the intricate relationship between anatomy and function.
基金supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2023YFC3707900)National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42230710,42525201)Key task project for joint research and development of the Yangtze River Delta Science and Technology Innovation Community(Grant No.2022CSJGG1200).
文摘Microbially induced calcium carbonate precipitation(MICP)is an eco-friendly technology for soil improvement.Although numerous experiments have been conducted to solidify sand foundations using MICP,the mechanisms by which grain interfacial morphologies influencethe MICP process remain unclear.This study utilized 3D-printed flowcells with different boundary morphologies to investigate the effects of interfacial morphologies on the MICP process.CaCO_(3)precipitation characteristics were investigated through microscopic observation and image quantificationanalysis.The results indicate that low flowvelocities near the interface promote bacterial accumulation due to reduced hydrodynamic shear forces.Rough interfaces,compared to smooth ones,enhance bacterial adsorption owing to the larger regions of low flowvelocity,increased surface area,and the formation of local eddies,which promote greater CaCO_(3)precipitation.Compared to the regions away from the interface,a higher abundance of small CaCO_(3)crystals is observed near the interface because of the high urease activity from bacteria and the reduced shear-induced entrainment due to the low flowvelocity.Besides,larger crystals also preferentially precipitate in proximity to interfaces as the low flowvelocity enhances crystal growth according to the particle attachment theory.The presence of rough interfaces further reduces flowvelocities,leading to the precipitation of larger and more densely packed CaCO_(3)crystals.Therefore,rough interfaces promote the microbially induced calcium carbonate precipitation.This work is expected to enhance the understanding of microbially induced calcium carbonate precipitation characteristics on solid surfaces such as soil grains and contribute to the optimization of MICP applications.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.92580120 and 52471188)。
文摘Optimizing the microchannel design of the next generation of chips requires an understanding of the in situ property evolution of the chip-based materials under fast cooling.This work overcomes the conventional reliance on reheating data of melt-quenched glasses by demonstrating direct observations of glass transition on cooling curves utilizing the most advanced fast differential scanning calorimetry.By leveraging an MEMS chip sensor that allows for rapid heat extraction from microgram-sized samples to a purged gas coolant,the device is able to reach ultra-fast cooling rates of up to 40,000 K·s^(−1).Four thermal regions are identified by examining the cooling behaviors of two metallic glasses.This is because the actual rate of the specimen can differ from the programmed rate,especially at high set rate when the actual rate decreases before the glass transition is completed.We define the operational window for reliable cooling curve analysis,build models with empirical and theoretical analyses to determine the maximum feasible cooling rate,and demonstrate how optimizing sample mass and environment temperature broaden this window.The method avoids deceptive structural relaxation effects verified by fictivetemperature analysis and permits the capture of full glass transition during cooling.
基金supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province,China(Grant No.BK20240937)the Natural Science Foundation of Shandong Province(Grant No.ZR2021QE187)+2 种基金the Shandong Higher Education“Young Entrepreneurship Talents Introduction and Cultivation Program”Project(Grant No.ZXQT20221228001)the Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42502273)the Science and Technology Innovation Program of Hunan Province(Grant No.2022RC4028).
文摘1.Introduction Artificial intelligence(AI)is rapidly reshaping geoscience,from Earth observation interpretation and hazard forecasting to subsurface characterisation and Earth system modelling(Kochupillai et al.,2022;Sun et al.,2024).These capabilities emerge at a time when geoscientific evidence is increasingly informing high-stakes decisions about climate adaptation,resource development,and disaster risk reduction(McGovern et al.,2022).
文摘Su Shi can be described as a true genius of his time.Whether in poetry,lyrics,songs,fu,or in life itself,his charismatic personality and rare optimism make him a once-in-a-century talent.This paper takes Su Shi’s poems as a guiding thread and explores the conceptual spirit and practical significance reflected in four works:The Cold Food Observance,The Complete Works of Su Dongpo:An Account of Paintings at Jingyin Temple,and Xiaoxiang Bamboo and Stone Map,analyzing them from an artistic perspective.It strives to reveal the profound humanistic sentiments Su Shi evoked in the vast,ever-changing world,as well as the pure and exquisite poetic and pictorial beauty he bestowed upon it.
基金in part supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.42288101,42405147 and 42475054)in part by the China National Postdoctoral Program for Innovative Talents(Grant No.BX20230071)。
文摘Conducting predictability studies is essential for tracing the source of forecast errors,which not only leads to the improvement of observation and forecasting systems,but also enhances the understanding of weather and climate phenomena.In the past few decades,dynamical numerical models have been the primary tools for predictability studies,achieving significant progress.Nowadays,with the advances in artificial intelligence(AI)techniques and accumulations of vast meteorological data,modeling weather and climate events using modern data-driven approaches is becoming trendy,where FourCastNet,Pangu-Weather,and GraphCast are successful pioneers.In this perspective article,we suggest AI models should not be limited to forecasting but be expanded to predictability studies,leveraging AI's advantages of high efficiency and self-contained optimization modules.To this end,we first remark that AI models should possess high simulation capability with fine spatiotemporal resolution for two kinds of predictability studies.AI models with high simulation capabilities comparable to numerical models can be considered to provide solutions to partial differential equations in a data-driven way.Then,we highlight several specific predictability issues with well-determined nonlinear optimization formulizations,which can be well-studied using AI models,holding significant scientific value.In addition,we advocate for the incorporation of AI models into the synergistic cycle of the cognition–observation–model paradigm.Comprehensive predictability studies have the potential to transform“big data”to“big and better data”and shift the focus from“AI for forecasts”to“AI for science”,ultimately advancing the development of the atmospheric and oceanic sciences.
