The forecast results of temperature based on the intelligent grids of the Central Meteorological Observatory and the meteorological bureau of the autonomous region and the numerical forecast model of the European Cent...The forecast results of temperature based on the intelligent grids of the Central Meteorological Observatory and the meteorological bureau of the autonomous region and the numerical forecast model of the European Center(EC model)from February to December in 2022 were used.Based on the data of the national intelligent grid forecast,the intelligent grid forecast of the regional bureau,EC model,etc.,temperature was predicted.According to the research of the grid point forecast synthesis algorithm with the highest accuracy rate in the recent three days,the temperature grid point correction was conducted in two forms of stations and grids.In order to reduce the deviation caused by the seasonal system temperature difference,a temperature prediction model was established by using the rolling forecast errors of 5,10,15,20,25 and 30 d as the basis data.The verification and evaluation of objective correction results show that the accuracy rate of temperature forecast by the intelligent grid of the regional bureau,the national intelligent grid,and EC model could be increased by 10%,8%,and 12%,respectively.展开更多
According to the demand for weather forecast at the venues of the 14 th National Winter Games,based on the data of the fine grid model of the European Centre(EC)and RMAPS model,as well as the real-time observation dat...According to the demand for weather forecast at the venues of the 14 th National Winter Games,based on the data of the fine grid model of the European Centre(EC)and RMAPS model,as well as the real-time observation data of the competition fields,a dynamic optimal correction method was proposed to improve the accuracy rate of temperature and wind speed prediction.Through techniques such as deviation correction and univariate linear regression,mathematical models applicable to different competition regions were constructed,and the effective correction of objective forecast products within 0-120 h were realized.The results show that this method significantly improved the accuracy rate of the prediction of temperature,wind speed and extreme wind speed,and the effect was more obvious especially when the model performance was unstable.Meanwhile,terrain and climate background had a significant impact on the correction effect.This study provides new technical support for mountain meteorological forecast.展开更多
The grating fringe on the reference plane is broadened in the intersecting axis system because of oblique-angle projection. In order to solve this problem, we study the theoretical model of the temporal phase unwrappi...The grating fringe on the reference plane is broadened in the intersecting axis system because of oblique-angle projection. In order to solve this problem, we study the theoretical model of the temporal phase unwrapping method based on the fringe cycle correction. We also study the 3D shape measurement theoretical model of the larger complex objects after considering the coordinate deviation and lens distortion. Experimental results demonstrate that the fringe cycle on the reference plane can be corrected to a constant value, the lens distortion can be corrected, and 3D shape of larger complex objects can be accurately measured.展开更多
文摘The forecast results of temperature based on the intelligent grids of the Central Meteorological Observatory and the meteorological bureau of the autonomous region and the numerical forecast model of the European Center(EC model)from February to December in 2022 were used.Based on the data of the national intelligent grid forecast,the intelligent grid forecast of the regional bureau,EC model,etc.,temperature was predicted.According to the research of the grid point forecast synthesis algorithm with the highest accuracy rate in the recent three days,the temperature grid point correction was conducted in two forms of stations and grids.In order to reduce the deviation caused by the seasonal system temperature difference,a temperature prediction model was established by using the rolling forecast errors of 5,10,15,20,25 and 30 d as the basis data.The verification and evaluation of objective correction results show that the accuracy rate of temperature forecast by the intelligent grid of the regional bureau,the national intelligent grid,and EC model could be increased by 10%,8%,and 12%,respectively.
文摘According to the demand for weather forecast at the venues of the 14 th National Winter Games,based on the data of the fine grid model of the European Centre(EC)and RMAPS model,as well as the real-time observation data of the competition fields,a dynamic optimal correction method was proposed to improve the accuracy rate of temperature and wind speed prediction.Through techniques such as deviation correction and univariate linear regression,mathematical models applicable to different competition regions were constructed,and the effective correction of objective forecast products within 0-120 h were realized.The results show that this method significantly improved the accuracy rate of the prediction of temperature,wind speed and extreme wind speed,and the effect was more obvious especially when the model performance was unstable.Meanwhile,terrain and climate background had a significant impact on the correction effect.This study provides new technical support for mountain meteorological forecast.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51365045)the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangxi Province(No.20122BAB202012)+1 种基金the Aviation Science Fund(No.2013ZE56013)the Education Department of Jiangxi Province(No.GJJ13522)
文摘The grating fringe on the reference plane is broadened in the intersecting axis system because of oblique-angle projection. In order to solve this problem, we study the theoretical model of the temporal phase unwrapping method based on the fringe cycle correction. We also study the 3D shape measurement theoretical model of the larger complex objects after considering the coordinate deviation and lens distortion. Experimental results demonstrate that the fringe cycle on the reference plane can be corrected to a constant value, the lens distortion can be corrected, and 3D shape of larger complex objects can be accurately measured.
