Owing to intensified globalization and informatization,the structures of the urban scale hierarchy and urban networks between cities have become increasingly intertwined,resulting in different spatial effects.Therefor...Owing to intensified globalization and informatization,the structures of the urban scale hierarchy and urban networks between cities have become increasingly intertwined,resulting in different spatial effects.Therefore,this paper analyzes the spatial interaction between urban scale hierarchy and urban networks in China from 2019 to 2023,drawing on Baidu migration data and employing a spatial simultaneous equation model.The results reveal a significant positive spatial correlation between cities with higher hierarchy and those with greater network centrality.Within a static framework,we identify a positive interaction between urban scale hierarchy and urban network centrality,while their spatial cross-effects manifest as negative neighborhood interactions based on geographical distance and positive cross-scale interactions shaped by network connections.Within a dynamic framework,changes in urban scale hierarchy and urban networks are mutually reinforcing,thereby widening disparities within the urban hierarchy.Furthermore,an increase in a city’s network centrality had a dampening effect on the population growth of neighboring cities and network-connected cities.This study enhances understanding of the spatial organisation of urban systems and offers insights for coordinated regional development.展开更多
Excessive blasting-induced vibration during drilling-and-blasting excavation of deep tunnels can trigger geological hazards and compromise the stability of both the rock mass and support structures.This study focused ...Excessive blasting-induced vibration during drilling-and-blasting excavation of deep tunnels can trigger geological hazards and compromise the stability of both the rock mass and support structures.This study focused on the deep double-line Sejila Mountain tunnel to systematically analyze the spatial response of blasting-induced vibration and to develop a prediction model through field tests and numerical simulations.The results revealed that the presence of a cross passage significantly altered propagation paths and the spatial distribution of blasting-induced vibration velocity.The peak particle velocity(PPV)at the cross-passage corner was amplified by approximately 1.92 times due to wave reflection and geometric focusing.Blasting-induced vibration waves attenuated non-uniformly across the tunnel cross-section,where PPV on the blast-face side was 1.54–6.56 times higher than that on the opposite side.We propose an improved PPV attenuation model that accounts for the propagation path effect.This model significantly improved fitting accuracy and resolved anomalous parameter(k and a)estimates in traditional equations,thereby improving prediction reliability.Furthermore,based on the observed spatial distribution of blasting-induced vibration,optimal monitoring point placement and targeted vibration control measures for tunnel blasting were discussed.These findings provide a scientific basis for designing blasting schemes and vibration mitigation strategies in deep tunnels.展开更多
The northern segment of the North-South Seismic Belt is characterized by intense crustal deformation,well-developed active tectonics,and frequent occurrences of strong earthquakes.Therefore,conducting a Probabilistic ...The northern segment of the North-South Seismic Belt is characterized by intense crustal deformation,well-developed active tectonics,and frequent occurrences of strong earthquakes.Therefore,conducting a Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis(PSHA)for this region is of significant importance for supporting seismic fortification in major engineering projects and formulating disaster prevention and mitigation policies.In this study,a composite seismic source model was constructed by integrating data on historical earthquakes,active faults,and paleoseismicity.Furthermore,a logic tree framework was employed to quantify epistemic uncertainties,enabling a systematic seismic hazard assessment of the region.To more accurately characterize the spatial heterogeneity of seismic activity,improvements were made to both the Circular Spatial Smoothing Model(CSSM)with a fixed radius and the Adaptive Spatial Smoothing Model(ASSM),with full consideration given to the spatiotemporal completeness of historical earthquake magnitudes.Regarding the CSSM,for scenarios involving small sample sizes in earthquake catalogs,the cross-validation method proposed in this study demonstrated higher robustness than the maximum likelihood method in determining the optimal correlation distance.Performance evaluation results indicate that while both models effectively characterize seismic activity,the ASSM exhibits superior overall predictive performance compared to the CSSM,owing to its ability to adaptively adjust the smoothing radius according to seismic density.Significant discrepancies were observed in the Peak Ground Acceleration(PGA)results calculated with a 10%probability of exceedance in 50 years across different combinations of seismic source models.The single spatially smoothed point-source model yielded a maximum PGA of approximately 0.52 g,with high-value areas concentrated near historical epicenters,thereby significantly underestimating the hazard associated with major fault zones.When combined with the simple fault-source model,the maximum PGA increased to 0.8 g,with high-value zones exhibiting a zonal distribution along faults;however,the risk remained underestimated for faults with low slip rates that are nevertheless approaching their recurrence cycles.Following the introduction of the time-dependent characteristic fault-source model,local PGA values for faults in the middle-to-late stages of their recurrence cycles increased by a factor of 2 to 7 compared to the single model.These results demonstrate that the characteristic fault-source model reasonably delineates the time-dependence of large earthquake recurrence,thereby providing a more accurate assessment of imminent seismic risks.By comprehensively applying the improved spatially smoothed pointsource model,the simple fault-source model,and the characteristic fault-source model,the following faults within the region were identified as having high seismic hazard:the Huangxianggou,Zhangxian,and Tianshui segments of the Xiqinling northern edge fault;the Maqin-Maqu segment of the Dongkunlun fault;the Longriqu fault;the Maoergai fault;the Elashan fault;the Riyueshan fault;the eastern segment of the Lenglongling fault;the Maxianshan segment of the Maxianshan northern Margin fault;and the Maomaoshan-Jinqianghe segment of the Laohushan-Maomaoshan fault.As these faults are located within seismic gaps or are approaching the recurrence periods of large earthquakes,they should be prioritized for current and future seismic monitoring as well as disaster prevention and mitigation efforts.展开更多
The study aims to investigate county-level variations of the COVID-19 disease and vaccination rate. The COVID-19 data was acquired from usafact.org, and the vaccination records were acquired from the Ohio vaccination ...The study aims to investigate county-level variations of the COVID-19 disease and vaccination rate. The COVID-19 data was acquired from usafact.org, and the vaccination records were acquired from the Ohio vaccination tracker dashboard. GIS-based exploratory analysis was conducted to select four variables (poverty, black race, population density, and vaccination) to explain COVID-19 occurrence during the study period. Consequently, spatial statistical techniques such as Moran’s I, Hot Spot Analysis, Spatial Lag Model (SLM), and Spatial Error Model (SEM) were used to explain the COVID-19 occurrence and vaccination rate across the 88 counties in Ohio. The result of the Local Moran’s I analysis reveals that the epicenters of COVID-19 and vaccination followed the same patterns. Indeed, counties like Summit, Franklin, Fairfield, Hamilton, and Medina were categorized as epicenters for both COVID-19 occurrence and vaccination rate. The SEM seems to be the best model for both COVID-19 and vaccination rates, with R2 values of 0.68 and 0.70, respectively. The GWR analysis proves to be better than Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), and the distribution of R2 in the GWR is uneven throughout the study area for both COVID-19 cases and vaccinations. Some counties have a high R2 of up to 0.70 for both COVID-19 cases and vaccinations. The outcomes of the regression analyses show that the SEM models can explain 68% - 70% of COVID-19 cases and vaccination across the entire counties within the study period. COVID-19 cases and vaccination rates exhibited significant positive associations with black race and poverty throughout the study area.展开更多
Antarctic krill(Euphausia superba),widely distributes around Antarctica,is a key species supporting the biodiversity of the Southern Ocean ecosystem.The Commission for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resou...Antarctic krill(Euphausia superba),widely distributes around Antarctica,is a key species supporting the biodiversity of the Southern Ocean ecosystem.The Commission for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources(CCAMLR)has thus managed the krill fishery according to a precautionary way.Currently,CCAMLR is making effort to develop a refined krill fishery management approach based on more solid science,which requires accurate predictions of krill distribution.To address this need,this study investigated the effects of algorithm and spatial resolution on the performance of Antarctic krill distribution modelling.We integrated acoustic data from 4 surveys conducted in the waters adjacent to the Antarctic Peninsula with 11 environmental variables characterizing krill prey conditions,water mass properties,and seafloor topography.These data were processed at 4 spatial resolutions(5,10,15,and 20 km)to fit distribution models using 4 algorithms:Random Forests(RF),Generalized Additive Models(GAM),Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost),and Artificial Neural Networks(ANN).Model performance was assessed and compared in terms of goodness-of-fit and predictive accuracy.The results showed that RF achieved the highest predictive performance at most resolutions,whereas GAM performed best at the coarsest resolution(20 km).XGBoost closely following RF in accuracy and demonstrated robustness as evidenced by the highly consistent partial dependence curves across resolutions.In contrast,ANN exhibited limitations with smaller sample sizes,resulting in comparatively poorer predictive performance.The analysis revealed a trade-off whereby reducing spatial resolution improved model fit and mitigated zero-inflation at the expense of fine-scale information and overall predictive accuracy.Ensemble models,integrating RF,GAM,and XGBoost,are proposed as potential balanced solutions to improve predictive stability,offering a more robust scientific basis for the refinement of krill management.展开更多
The increasing frequency of extreme weather events raises the likelihood of forest wildfires.Therefore,establishing an effective fire prediction model is vital for protecting human life and property,and the environmen...The increasing frequency of extreme weather events raises the likelihood of forest wildfires.Therefore,establishing an effective fire prediction model is vital for protecting human life and property,and the environment.This study aims to build a prediction model to understand the spatial characteristics and piecewise effects of forest fire drivers.Using monthly grid data from 2006 to 2020,a modeling study analyzed fire occurrences during the September to April fire season in Fujian Province,China.We compared the fitting performance of the logistic regression model(LRM),the generalized additive logistic model(GALM),and the spatial generalized additive logistic model(SGALM).The results indicate that SGALMs had the best fitting results and the highest prediction accuracy.Meteorological factors significantly impacted forest fires in Fujian Province.Areas with high fire incidence were mainly concentrated in the northwest and southeast.SGALMs improved the fitting effect of fire prediction models by considering spatial effects and the flexible fitting ability of nonlinear interpretation.This model provides piecewise interpretations of forest wildfire occurrences,which can be valuable for relevant departments and will assist forest managers in refining prevention measures based on temporal and spatial differences.展开更多
Recently automotive nets are adopted to solve increasing problems in automotive electronic systems.Technologies of automotive local area network from CAN and LIN can solve the problems of the increasing of wire bunch ...Recently automotive nets are adopted to solve increasing problems in automotive electronic systems.Technologies of automotive local area network from CAN and LIN can solve the problems of the increasing of wire bunch weight and lack in module installation space.However,the multilayer automotive nets software becomes more and more complex,and the development expense is difficult to predict and to keep in check.In this paper,the modeling method of hierarchical automotive nets and the substitution operation based on object-oriented colored Petri net(OOCPN) are proposed.The OOCPN model which analyzes the software structure and validates the collision mechanism of CAN/LIN bus can speed the automobile system development.First,the subsystems are divided and modeled by object-oriented Petri net(OOPN).According to the sets of message sharing relations,the message ports among them are set and the communication gate transitions are defined.Second,the OOPN model is substituted step by step until the inner objects in the automotive body control modules(BCM) are indivisible and colored by colored Petri net(CPN).And the color subsets mark the node messages for the collision mechanism.Third,the OOCPN model of the automotive body CAN/LIN nets is assembled,which keeps the message sets and the system can be expanded.The proposed model is used to analyze features of information sharing among the objects,and it is also used to describe each subsystem real-time behavior of processing messages and implemental device controllers operating,and puts forward a reasonable software framework for the automotive body control subsystem.The research can help to design the communication model in the automotive body system effectively and provide a convenient and rapid way for developing the logical hierarchy software.展开更多
Challenges in stratigraphic modeling arise from underground uncertainty.While borehole exploration is reliable,it remains sparse due to economic and site constraints.Electrical resistivity tomography(ERT)as a cost-eff...Challenges in stratigraphic modeling arise from underground uncertainty.While borehole exploration is reliable,it remains sparse due to economic and site constraints.Electrical resistivity tomography(ERT)as a cost-effective geophysical technique can acquire high-density data;however,uncertainty and nonuniqueness inherent in ERT impede its usage for stratigraphy identification.This paper integrates ERT and onsite observations for the first time to propose a novel method for characterizing stratigraphic profiles.The method consists of two steps:(1)ERT for prior knowledge:ERT data are processed by soft clustering using the Gaussian mixture model,followed by probability smoothing to quantify its depthdependent uncertainty;and(2)Observations for calibration:a spatial sequential Bayesian updating(SSBU)algorithm is developed to update the prior knowledge based on likelihoods derived from onsite observations,namely topsoil and boreholes.The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated through its application to a real slope site in Foshan,China.Comparative analysis with advanced borehole-driven methods highlights the superiority of incorporating ERT data in stratigraphic modeling,in terms of prediction accuracy at borehole locations and sensitivity to borehole data.Informed by ERT,reduced sensitivity to boreholes provides a fundamental solution to the longstanding challenge of sparse measurements.The paper further discusses the impact of ERT uncertainty on the proposed model using time-lapse measurements,the impact of model resolution,and applicability in engineering projects.This study,as a breakthrough in stratigraphic modeling,bridges gaps in combining geophysical and geotechnical data to address measurement sparsity and paves the way for more economical geotechnical exploration.展开更多
Object-oriented Petri nets (OPNs) is extended into stochastic object-oriented Petri nets (SOPNs) by associating the OPN of an object with stochastic transitions and introducing stochastic places. The stochastic transi...Object-oriented Petri nets (OPNs) is extended into stochastic object-oriented Petri nets (SOPNs) by associating the OPN of an object with stochastic transitions and introducing stochastic places. The stochastic transition of the SOPNs of a production resources can be used to model its reliability, while the SOPN of a production resource can describe its performance with reliability considered. The SOPN model of a case production system is built to illustrate the relationship between the system's performances and the failures of individual production resources.展开更多
This paper presents a conceptual data model, the STA-model, for handling spatial, temporal and attribute aspects of objects in GIS. The model is developed on the basis of object-oriented modeling approach. This model ...This paper presents a conceptual data model, the STA-model, for handling spatial, temporal and attribute aspects of objects in GIS. The model is developed on the basis of object-oriented modeling approach. This model includes two major parts: (a) modeling the signal objects by STA-object elements, and (b) modeling relationships between STA-objects. As an example, the STA-model is applied for modeling land cover change data with spatial, temporal and attribute components.展开更多
Automated operation and artificial intelligence technology have become essential for ensuring the safety, efficiency, and punctuality of railways, with applications such as ATO (Automatic Train Operation). In this stu...Automated operation and artificial intelligence technology have become essential for ensuring the safety, efficiency, and punctuality of railways, with applications such as ATO (Automatic Train Operation). In this study, the authors propose a method to efficiently simulate the kinematic characteristics of railroad vehicles depending on their speed zone. They utilized the function overloading function supported by a programming language and applied the fourth-order Lunge-Kutta method for dynamic simulation. By constructing an object model, the authors calculated vehicle characteristics and TPS and compared them with actual values, verifying that the developed model represents the real-life vehicle characteristics accurately. The study highlights potential improvements in automated driving and energy consumption optimization in the railway industry.展开更多
Virtual assembly is a Virtual Reality (VR) based engineering application which allows engineers to evaluate, analyze, and plan the assembly of mechanical systems. To model the virtual assembly process, new methodology...Virtual assembly is a Virtual Reality (VR) based engineering application which allows engineers to evaluate, analyze, and plan the assembly of mechanical systems. To model the virtual assembly process, new methodology must be applied. Based on the idea that the virtual assembly system is an event driven system, the interactive behavior and information model is proposed to describe the dynamic process of virtual assembly. Definition of the object-oriented model of virtual assembly is put forward.展开更多
Relationship between vegetation and environmental factors has always been a major topic in ecology, but it has also been an important way to reveal vegetation＇s dynamic response to and feedback effects on climate cha...Relationship between vegetation and environmental factors has always been a major topic in ecology, but it has also been an important way to reveal vegetation＇s dynamic response to and feedback effects on climate change. For the special geographical location and climatic characteristics of the Qaidam Basin, with the support of traditional and remote sensing data, in this paper a vegetation coverage model was established. The quantitative prediction of vegetation coverage by five environmental factors was initially realized through multiple stepwise regression （MSR） models. However, there is significant multicollinearity among these five environmental factors, which reduces the performance of the MSR model. Then through the introduction of the Moran Index, an indicator that reflects the spatial autocorrelation of vegetation distribution, only two variables of average annual rainfall and local Moran Index were used in the final establishment of the vegetation coverage model. The results show that there is significant spatial autocorrelation in the distribution of vegetation. The role of spatial autocorrelation in the establishment of vegetation coverage model has not only improved the model fitting R2 from 0.608 to 0.656, but also removed the multicollinearity among independents.展开更多
This study used spatial autoregression(SAR)model and geographically weighted regression(GWR)model to model the spatial patterns of farmland density and its temporal change in Gucheng County,Hubei Province,China in 199...This study used spatial autoregression(SAR)model and geographically weighted regression(GWR)model to model the spatial patterns of farmland density and its temporal change in Gucheng County,Hubei Province,China in 1999 and 2009,and discussed the difference between global and local spatial autocorrelations in terms of spatial heterogeneity and non-stationarity.Results showed that strong spatial positive correlations existed in the spatial distributions of farmland density,its temporal change and the driving factors,and the coefficients of spatial autocorrelations decreased as the spatial lag distance increased.SAR models revealed the global spatial relations between dependent and independent variables,while the GWR model showed the spatially varying fitting degree and local weighting coefficients of driving factors and farmland indices(i.e.,farmland density and temporal change).The GWR model has smooth process when constructing the farmland spatial model.The coefficients of GWR model can show the accurate influence degrees of different driving factors on the farmland at different geographical locations.The performance indices of GWR model showed that GWR model produced more accurate simulation results than other models at different times,and the improvement precision of GWR model was obvious.The global and local farmland models used in this study showed different characteristics in the spatial distributions of farmland indices at different scales,which may provide the theoretical basis for farmland protection from the influence of different driving factors.展开更多
Despite growing research for residential crowding effects on housing market and public health perspectives, relatively little attention has been paid to explore and model spatial patterns of residential crowding over ...Despite growing research for residential crowding effects on housing market and public health perspectives, relatively little attention has been paid to explore and model spatial patterns of residential crowding over space. This paper focuses upon analyzing the spatial relationships between residential crowding and socio-demographic variables in Alexandria neighborhoods, Egypt. Global and local geo-statistical techniques were employed within GIS-based platform to identify spatial?variations of residential crowding determinates. The global ordinary least squares (OLS) model?assumes homogeneity of relationships between response variable and explanatory variables?across the study area. Consequently, it fails to account for heterogeneity of spatial relationships. Local model known as a geographically weighted regression (GWR) was also employed using the same?response variable and explanatory variables to capture spatial non-stationary of residential?crowding. A comparison of the outputs of both models indicated that OLS explained 74 percent of?residential crowding variations while GWR model explained 79 percent. The GWR improvedstrength of the model and provided a better goodness of fit than OLS. In addition, the findings of this analysis revealed that residential crowding was significantly associated with different structural measures particularly social characteristics of household such as higher education and illiteracy. Similarly, population size of neighborhood and number of dwelling rooms were found to have direct impacts on residential crowding rate. The spatial relationship of these measures distinctly varies over the study area.展开更多
Energy planning and solar plant site selections are vital strategic decisions and one of the most complex executive challenges in the interconnected procedures.It is essential to study the potential renewable energy s...Energy planning and solar plant site selections are vital strategic decisions and one of the most complex executive challenges in the interconnected procedures.It is essential to study the potential renewable energy sources in Afghanistan to select the most sustainable sites for solar power production in populated cities.This study is based on the combination of a Geographic Information System,Remote sensing,and multi-criteria decision-making technique to evaluate the optimal placement of photovoltaic solar power plants in the Kabul province,capital of Afghanistan.Two models,Analytical Hierarchy Process(AHP)and Analytical Network Process(ANP),were used to select suitable areas for establishing a solar power plant.The application of the proposed model has been made possible by integrating four constraints such as climate,environmental,topography,and economical which comprised twelve criteria:solar radiation,yearly average rainfall,land slope,aspect,land use,dust,geology and proximity to faults,main roads,Normalized difference vegetation index,urban areas river and water bodies.The findings indicate that there is no considerable difference between the results of both models since both models identified more than 20%of the total area of Kabul province in suitable classes.Outputs maps conclude that northern and southern parts of Kabul city and the eastern part of Kabul province came to the range of suitable areas.It can be concluded that Kabul province is a source of sufficient potential for producing solar electricity.The results of this study can support the plans of the Afghanistan government in solar energy production and the implementation of photovoltaic power plants.展开更多
The ionosphere, as the largest and least predictable error source, its behavior cannot be observed at all places simultaneously. The confidence bound, called the grid ionospheric vertical error(GIVE), can only be dete...The ionosphere, as the largest and least predictable error source, its behavior cannot be observed at all places simultaneously. The confidence bound, called the grid ionospheric vertical error(GIVE), can only be determined with the aid of a threat model which is used to restrict the expected ionospheric behavior. However, the spatial threat model at present widespread used, which is based on fit radius and relative centroid metric(RCM), is too conservative or the resulting GIVEs will be too large and will reduce the availability of satellite-based augmentation system(SBAS). In this paper, layered two-dimensional parameters, the vertical direction double RCMs, are introduced based on the spatial variability of the ionosphere. Comparing with the traditional threat model, the experimental results show that the user ionospheric vertical error(UIVE) average reduction rate reaches 16%. And the 95% protection level of conterminous United States(CONUS) is 28%, even under disturbed days, which reaches about 5% reduction rates.The results show that the system service performance has been improved better.展开更多
This paper discusses the features and relevant theories of GIS spatial data model based on hypergraph,etc.The integrated concept model based on hypergraph and object_oriented model (HOOM) is proposed by the authors.Th...This paper discusses the features and relevant theories of GIS spatial data model based on hypergraph,etc.The integrated concept model based on hypergraph and object_oriented model (HOOM) is proposed by the authors.The principal contribution of this paper is that we study the K_section and other theories of hypergraph.An application example using HOOM is given at the end of the paper.展开更多
Modelica-based object-orient method is proved to be rapid, accurate and easy to modify, which is suitable for prototype modeling and simulation of rotor system, whose parameters need to be modified frequently. Classic...Modelica-based object-orient method is proved to be rapid, accurate and easy to modify, which is suitable for prototype modeling and simulation of rotor system, whose parameters need to be modified frequently. Classical non-object-orient method appears to be inefficient because the code is difficult to modify and reuse. An adequate library for object-orient modeling of rotor system with multi-faults is established, a comparison with non-object-orient method on Jeffcott rotor system and a case study on turbo expander with multi-faults are implemented. The relative tolerance between object-orient method and non-object-orient is less than 0.03%, which proves that these two methods are as accurate as each other. Object-orient modeling and simulation is implemented on turbo expander with crack, rub-impact, pedestal looseness and multi-faults simultaneously. It can be conclude from the case study that when acting on compress side of turbo expander separately, expand wheel is not influenced greatly by crack fault, the existence of rub-impact fault forces expand wheel into quasi-periodic motion and the orbit of expand wheel is deformed and enhanced almost 1.5 times due to pedestal looseness. When acting simultaneously, multi-faults cannot be totally decomposed but can be diagnosed from the feature of vibration. Object-orient method can enhance the efficiency of modeling and simulation of rotor system with multi-faults, which provides an efficient method on prototype modeling and simulation.展开更多
Nowadays,enterprises need to continually adjust their business processes to adapt to the changes of business environments,especially when one business needs to be deployed in different application scenarios,which is c...Nowadays,enterprises need to continually adjust their business processes to adapt to the changes of business environments,especially when one business needs to be deployed in different application scenarios,which is called spatial variability in this paper.In the field of BPM(Business Process Management),configurable business process models have demonstrated their effectiveness in aspects of process modeling and model reuse.Yet,we found that the existing techniques lead to complex configurable models,and are inadequate for model reuse especially for the spatial variability issue because they neglect the root impact of organizations on control flow.S-BPM(Subject-oriented Business Process Management)models provide a solid foundation for dealing with complex applications and help to bridge the gap between business and IT for process execution.In this paper,we propose an organization-driven business process configurable modeling approach for spatial variability by integrating both restriction and extension operations based on the S-BPM paradigm,in which business objects are also included.Our approach is validated with a general business process developed for the Real Estate Administration(REA)in a certain province of China.The resulting configurable modeling framework can express the heterogeneous activity sequences for one business and has the potential to generate process models for uncertain environments in a new organization structure.展开更多
基金Under the auspices of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42371222,41971167)Fundamental Scientific Research Funds of Central China Normal University(No.CCNU24ZZ120)。
文摘Owing to intensified globalization and informatization,the structures of the urban scale hierarchy and urban networks between cities have become increasingly intertwined,resulting in different spatial effects.Therefore,this paper analyzes the spatial interaction between urban scale hierarchy and urban networks in China from 2019 to 2023,drawing on Baidu migration data and employing a spatial simultaneous equation model.The results reveal a significant positive spatial correlation between cities with higher hierarchy and those with greater network centrality.Within a static framework,we identify a positive interaction between urban scale hierarchy and urban network centrality,while their spatial cross-effects manifest as negative neighborhood interactions based on geographical distance and positive cross-scale interactions shaped by network connections.Within a dynamic framework,changes in urban scale hierarchy and urban networks are mutually reinforcing,thereby widening disparities within the urban hierarchy.Furthermore,an increase in a city’s network centrality had a dampening effect on the population growth of neighboring cities and network-connected cities.This study enhances understanding of the spatial organisation of urban systems and offers insights for coordinated regional development.
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.42577209 and U22A20239)the Key R&D Program of Hunan Province(No.2024WK2004)the Key Technologies for Accurate Diagnosis and Intelligent Prevention and Control of Slope Hazards in Open pit Mines,181 Major R&D projects of Metallurgical Corporation of China Ltd。
文摘Excessive blasting-induced vibration during drilling-and-blasting excavation of deep tunnels can trigger geological hazards and compromise the stability of both the rock mass and support structures.This study focused on the deep double-line Sejila Mountain tunnel to systematically analyze the spatial response of blasting-induced vibration and to develop a prediction model through field tests and numerical simulations.The results revealed that the presence of a cross passage significantly altered propagation paths and the spatial distribution of blasting-induced vibration velocity.The peak particle velocity(PPV)at the cross-passage corner was amplified by approximately 1.92 times due to wave reflection and geometric focusing.Blasting-induced vibration waves attenuated non-uniformly across the tunnel cross-section,where PPV on the blast-face side was 1.54–6.56 times higher than that on the opposite side.We propose an improved PPV attenuation model that accounts for the propagation path effect.This model significantly improved fitting accuracy and resolved anomalous parameter(k and a)estimates in traditional equations,thereby improving prediction reliability.Furthermore,based on the observed spatial distribution of blasting-induced vibration,optimal monitoring point placement and targeted vibration control measures for tunnel blasting were discussed.These findings provide a scientific basis for designing blasting schemes and vibration mitigation strategies in deep tunnels.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of China(No.2022YFC3003502).
文摘The northern segment of the North-South Seismic Belt is characterized by intense crustal deformation,well-developed active tectonics,and frequent occurrences of strong earthquakes.Therefore,conducting a Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis(PSHA)for this region is of significant importance for supporting seismic fortification in major engineering projects and formulating disaster prevention and mitigation policies.In this study,a composite seismic source model was constructed by integrating data on historical earthquakes,active faults,and paleoseismicity.Furthermore,a logic tree framework was employed to quantify epistemic uncertainties,enabling a systematic seismic hazard assessment of the region.To more accurately characterize the spatial heterogeneity of seismic activity,improvements were made to both the Circular Spatial Smoothing Model(CSSM)with a fixed radius and the Adaptive Spatial Smoothing Model(ASSM),with full consideration given to the spatiotemporal completeness of historical earthquake magnitudes.Regarding the CSSM,for scenarios involving small sample sizes in earthquake catalogs,the cross-validation method proposed in this study demonstrated higher robustness than the maximum likelihood method in determining the optimal correlation distance.Performance evaluation results indicate that while both models effectively characterize seismic activity,the ASSM exhibits superior overall predictive performance compared to the CSSM,owing to its ability to adaptively adjust the smoothing radius according to seismic density.Significant discrepancies were observed in the Peak Ground Acceleration(PGA)results calculated with a 10%probability of exceedance in 50 years across different combinations of seismic source models.The single spatially smoothed point-source model yielded a maximum PGA of approximately 0.52 g,with high-value areas concentrated near historical epicenters,thereby significantly underestimating the hazard associated with major fault zones.When combined with the simple fault-source model,the maximum PGA increased to 0.8 g,with high-value zones exhibiting a zonal distribution along faults;however,the risk remained underestimated for faults with low slip rates that are nevertheless approaching their recurrence cycles.Following the introduction of the time-dependent characteristic fault-source model,local PGA values for faults in the middle-to-late stages of their recurrence cycles increased by a factor of 2 to 7 compared to the single model.These results demonstrate that the characteristic fault-source model reasonably delineates the time-dependence of large earthquake recurrence,thereby providing a more accurate assessment of imminent seismic risks.By comprehensively applying the improved spatially smoothed pointsource model,the simple fault-source model,and the characteristic fault-source model,the following faults within the region were identified as having high seismic hazard:the Huangxianggou,Zhangxian,and Tianshui segments of the Xiqinling northern edge fault;the Maqin-Maqu segment of the Dongkunlun fault;the Longriqu fault;the Maoergai fault;the Elashan fault;the Riyueshan fault;the eastern segment of the Lenglongling fault;the Maxianshan segment of the Maxianshan northern Margin fault;and the Maomaoshan-Jinqianghe segment of the Laohushan-Maomaoshan fault.As these faults are located within seismic gaps or are approaching the recurrence periods of large earthquakes,they should be prioritized for current and future seismic monitoring as well as disaster prevention and mitigation efforts.
文摘The study aims to investigate county-level variations of the COVID-19 disease and vaccination rate. The COVID-19 data was acquired from usafact.org, and the vaccination records were acquired from the Ohio vaccination tracker dashboard. GIS-based exploratory analysis was conducted to select four variables (poverty, black race, population density, and vaccination) to explain COVID-19 occurrence during the study period. Consequently, spatial statistical techniques such as Moran’s I, Hot Spot Analysis, Spatial Lag Model (SLM), and Spatial Error Model (SEM) were used to explain the COVID-19 occurrence and vaccination rate across the 88 counties in Ohio. The result of the Local Moran’s I analysis reveals that the epicenters of COVID-19 and vaccination followed the same patterns. Indeed, counties like Summit, Franklin, Fairfield, Hamilton, and Medina were categorized as epicenters for both COVID-19 occurrence and vaccination rate. The SEM seems to be the best model for both COVID-19 and vaccination rates, with R2 values of 0.68 and 0.70, respectively. The GWR analysis proves to be better than Ordinary Least Squares (OLS), and the distribution of R2 in the GWR is uneven throughout the study area for both COVID-19 cases and vaccinations. Some counties have a high R2 of up to 0.70 for both COVID-19 cases and vaccinations. The outcomes of the regression analyses show that the SEM models can explain 68% - 70% of COVID-19 cases and vaccination across the entire counties within the study period. COVID-19 cases and vaccination rates exhibited significant positive associations with black race and poverty throughout the study area.
基金funded by the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant no.2022YFC2807504)the Marine S&T Fund of Shandong Province for Qingdao Marine Science and Technology Center(Grant no.2022QNLM030002-1)the Central Public-interest Scientific Institution Basal Research(Grant no.2023TD02).
文摘Antarctic krill(Euphausia superba),widely distributes around Antarctica,is a key species supporting the biodiversity of the Southern Ocean ecosystem.The Commission for the Conservation of Antarctic Marine Living Resources(CCAMLR)has thus managed the krill fishery according to a precautionary way.Currently,CCAMLR is making effort to develop a refined krill fishery management approach based on more solid science,which requires accurate predictions of krill distribution.To address this need,this study investigated the effects of algorithm and spatial resolution on the performance of Antarctic krill distribution modelling.We integrated acoustic data from 4 surveys conducted in the waters adjacent to the Antarctic Peninsula with 11 environmental variables characterizing krill prey conditions,water mass properties,and seafloor topography.These data were processed at 4 spatial resolutions(5,10,15,and 20 km)to fit distribution models using 4 algorithms:Random Forests(RF),Generalized Additive Models(GAM),Extreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost),and Artificial Neural Networks(ANN).Model performance was assessed and compared in terms of goodness-of-fit and predictive accuracy.The results showed that RF achieved the highest predictive performance at most resolutions,whereas GAM performed best at the coarsest resolution(20 km).XGBoost closely following RF in accuracy and demonstrated robustness as evidenced by the highly consistent partial dependence curves across resolutions.In contrast,ANN exhibited limitations with smaller sample sizes,resulting in comparatively poorer predictive performance.The analysis revealed a trade-off whereby reducing spatial resolution improved model fit and mitigated zero-inflation at the expense of fine-scale information and overall predictive accuracy.Ensemble models,integrating RF,GAM,and XGBoost,are proposed as potential balanced solutions to improve predictive stability,offering a more robust scientific basis for the refinement of krill management.
基金supported by the Fujian Provincial Science and Technology Program“University-Industry Cooperation Project”(2024Y4015)National Key R&D Plan of Strategic International Scientific and Technological Innovation Cooperation Project(2018YFE0207800).
文摘The increasing frequency of extreme weather events raises the likelihood of forest wildfires.Therefore,establishing an effective fire prediction model is vital for protecting human life and property,and the environment.This study aims to build a prediction model to understand the spatial characteristics and piecewise effects of forest fire drivers.Using monthly grid data from 2006 to 2020,a modeling study analyzed fire occurrences during the September to April fire season in Fujian Province,China.We compared the fitting performance of the logistic regression model(LRM),the generalized additive logistic model(GALM),and the spatial generalized additive logistic model(SGALM).The results indicate that SGALMs had the best fitting results and the highest prediction accuracy.Meteorological factors significantly impacted forest fires in Fujian Province.Areas with high fire incidence were mainly concentrated in the northwest and southeast.SGALMs improved the fitting effect of fire prediction models by considering spatial effects and the flexible fitting ability of nonlinear interpretation.This model provides piecewise interpretations of forest wildfire occurrences,which can be valuable for relevant departments and will assist forest managers in refining prevention measures based on temporal and spatial differences.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 60873003)
文摘Recently automotive nets are adopted to solve increasing problems in automotive electronic systems.Technologies of automotive local area network from CAN and LIN can solve the problems of the increasing of wire bunch weight and lack in module installation space.However,the multilayer automotive nets software becomes more and more complex,and the development expense is difficult to predict and to keep in check.In this paper,the modeling method of hierarchical automotive nets and the substitution operation based on object-oriented colored Petri net(OOCPN) are proposed.The OOCPN model which analyzes the software structure and validates the collision mechanism of CAN/LIN bus can speed the automobile system development.First,the subsystems are divided and modeled by object-oriented Petri net(OOPN).According to the sets of message sharing relations,the message ports among them are set and the communication gate transitions are defined.Second,the OOPN model is substituted step by step until the inner objects in the automotive body control modules(BCM) are indivisible and colored by colored Petri net(CPN).And the color subsets mark the node messages for the collision mechanism.Third,the OOCPN model of the automotive body CAN/LIN nets is assembled,which keeps the message sets and the system can be expanded.The proposed model is used to analyze features of information sharing among the objects,and it is also used to describe each subsystem real-time behavior of processing messages and implemental device controllers operating,and puts forward a reasonable software framework for the automotive body control subsystem.The research can help to design the communication model in the automotive body system effectively and provide a convenient and rapid way for developing the logical hierarchy software.
基金the financial support from the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2021YFC3001003)Science and Technology Development Fund,Macao SAR(File No.0056/2023/RIB2)Guangdong Provincial Department of Science and Technology(Grant No.2022A0505030019).
文摘Challenges in stratigraphic modeling arise from underground uncertainty.While borehole exploration is reliable,it remains sparse due to economic and site constraints.Electrical resistivity tomography(ERT)as a cost-effective geophysical technique can acquire high-density data;however,uncertainty and nonuniqueness inherent in ERT impede its usage for stratigraphy identification.This paper integrates ERT and onsite observations for the first time to propose a novel method for characterizing stratigraphic profiles.The method consists of two steps:(1)ERT for prior knowledge:ERT data are processed by soft clustering using the Gaussian mixture model,followed by probability smoothing to quantify its depthdependent uncertainty;and(2)Observations for calibration:a spatial sequential Bayesian updating(SSBU)algorithm is developed to update the prior knowledge based on likelihoods derived from onsite observations,namely topsoil and boreholes.The effectiveness of the proposed method is validated through its application to a real slope site in Foshan,China.Comparative analysis with advanced borehole-driven methods highlights the superiority of incorporating ERT data in stratigraphic modeling,in terms of prediction accuracy at borehole locations and sensitivity to borehole data.Informed by ERT,reduced sensitivity to boreholes provides a fundamental solution to the longstanding challenge of sparse measurements.The paper further discusses the impact of ERT uncertainty on the proposed model using time-lapse measurements,the impact of model resolution,and applicability in engineering projects.This study,as a breakthrough in stratigraphic modeling,bridges gaps in combining geophysical and geotechnical data to address measurement sparsity and paves the way for more economical geotechnical exploration.
基金This project is supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (No.50085003).
文摘Object-oriented Petri nets (OPNs) is extended into stochastic object-oriented Petri nets (SOPNs) by associating the OPN of an object with stochastic transitions and introducing stochastic places. The stochastic transition of the SOPNs of a production resources can be used to model its reliability, while the SOPN of a production resource can describe its performance with reliability considered. The SOPN model of a case production system is built to illustrate the relationship between the system's performances and the failures of individual production resources.
文摘This paper presents a conceptual data model, the STA-model, for handling spatial, temporal and attribute aspects of objects in GIS. The model is developed on the basis of object-oriented modeling approach. This model includes two major parts: (a) modeling the signal objects by STA-object elements, and (b) modeling relationships between STA-objects. As an example, the STA-model is applied for modeling land cover change data with spatial, temporal and attribute components.
文摘Automated operation and artificial intelligence technology have become essential for ensuring the safety, efficiency, and punctuality of railways, with applications such as ATO (Automatic Train Operation). In this study, the authors propose a method to efficiently simulate the kinematic characteristics of railroad vehicles depending on their speed zone. They utilized the function overloading function supported by a programming language and applied the fourth-order Lunge-Kutta method for dynamic simulation. By constructing an object model, the authors calculated vehicle characteristics and TPS and compared them with actual values, verifying that the developed model represents the real-life vehicle characteristics accurately. The study highlights potential improvements in automated driving and energy consumption optimization in the railway industry.
文摘Virtual assembly is a Virtual Reality (VR) based engineering application which allows engineers to evaluate, analyze, and plan the assembly of mechanical systems. To model the virtual assembly process, new methodology must be applied. Based on the idea that the virtual assembly system is an event driven system, the interactive behavior and information model is proposed to describe the dynamic process of virtual assembly. Definition of the object-oriented model of virtual assembly is put forward.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China, No.90302009 Project of the Ministry of Water Resources of China, No.201101047
文摘Relationship between vegetation and environmental factors has always been a major topic in ecology, but it has also been an important way to reveal vegetation＇s dynamic response to and feedback effects on climate change. For the special geographical location and climatic characteristics of the Qaidam Basin, with the support of traditional and remote sensing data, in this paper a vegetation coverage model was established. The quantitative prediction of vegetation coverage by five environmental factors was initially realized through multiple stepwise regression （MSR） models. However, there is significant multicollinearity among these five environmental factors, which reduces the performance of the MSR model. Then through the introduction of the Moran Index, an indicator that reflects the spatial autocorrelation of vegetation distribution, only two variables of average annual rainfall and local Moran Index were used in the final establishment of the vegetation coverage model. The results show that there is significant spatial autocorrelation in the distribution of vegetation. The role of spatial autocorrelation in the establishment of vegetation coverage model has not only improved the model fitting R2 from 0.608 to 0.656, but also removed the multicollinearity among independents.
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.40601073,41101192,41201571)Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(No.2011PY112,2011QC041,2011QC091)Huazhong Agricultural University Scientific&Technological Self-innovation Foundation(No.2011SC21)
文摘This study used spatial autoregression(SAR)model and geographically weighted regression(GWR)model to model the spatial patterns of farmland density and its temporal change in Gucheng County,Hubei Province,China in 1999 and 2009,and discussed the difference between global and local spatial autocorrelations in terms of spatial heterogeneity and non-stationarity.Results showed that strong spatial positive correlations existed in the spatial distributions of farmland density,its temporal change and the driving factors,and the coefficients of spatial autocorrelations decreased as the spatial lag distance increased.SAR models revealed the global spatial relations between dependent and independent variables,while the GWR model showed the spatially varying fitting degree and local weighting coefficients of driving factors and farmland indices(i.e.,farmland density and temporal change).The GWR model has smooth process when constructing the farmland spatial model.The coefficients of GWR model can show the accurate influence degrees of different driving factors on the farmland at different geographical locations.The performance indices of GWR model showed that GWR model produced more accurate simulation results than other models at different times,and the improvement precision of GWR model was obvious.The global and local farmland models used in this study showed different characteristics in the spatial distributions of farmland indices at different scales,which may provide the theoretical basis for farmland protection from the influence of different driving factors.
文摘Despite growing research for residential crowding effects on housing market and public health perspectives, relatively little attention has been paid to explore and model spatial patterns of residential crowding over space. This paper focuses upon analyzing the spatial relationships between residential crowding and socio-demographic variables in Alexandria neighborhoods, Egypt. Global and local geo-statistical techniques were employed within GIS-based platform to identify spatial?variations of residential crowding determinates. The global ordinary least squares (OLS) model?assumes homogeneity of relationships between response variable and explanatory variables?across the study area. Consequently, it fails to account for heterogeneity of spatial relationships. Local model known as a geographically weighted regression (GWR) was also employed using the same?response variable and explanatory variables to capture spatial non-stationary of residential?crowding. A comparison of the outputs of both models indicated that OLS explained 74 percent of?residential crowding variations while GWR model explained 79 percent. The GWR improvedstrength of the model and provided a better goodness of fit than OLS. In addition, the findings of this analysis revealed that residential crowding was significantly associated with different structural measures particularly social characteristics of household such as higher education and illiteracy. Similarly, population size of neighborhood and number of dwelling rooms were found to have direct impacts on residential crowding rate. The spatial relationship of these measures distinctly varies over the study area.
文摘Energy planning and solar plant site selections are vital strategic decisions and one of the most complex executive challenges in the interconnected procedures.It is essential to study the potential renewable energy sources in Afghanistan to select the most sustainable sites for solar power production in populated cities.This study is based on the combination of a Geographic Information System,Remote sensing,and multi-criteria decision-making technique to evaluate the optimal placement of photovoltaic solar power plants in the Kabul province,capital of Afghanistan.Two models,Analytical Hierarchy Process(AHP)and Analytical Network Process(ANP),were used to select suitable areas for establishing a solar power plant.The application of the proposed model has been made possible by integrating four constraints such as climate,environmental,topography,and economical which comprised twelve criteria:solar radiation,yearly average rainfall,land slope,aspect,land use,dust,geology and proximity to faults,main roads,Normalized difference vegetation index,urban areas river and water bodies.The findings indicate that there is no considerable difference between the results of both models since both models identified more than 20%of the total area of Kabul province in suitable classes.Outputs maps conclude that northern and southern parts of Kabul city and the eastern part of Kabul province came to the range of suitable areas.It can be concluded that Kabul province is a source of sufficient potential for producing solar electricity.The results of this study can support the plans of the Afghanistan government in solar energy production and the implementation of photovoltaic power plants.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(41304024)
文摘The ionosphere, as the largest and least predictable error source, its behavior cannot be observed at all places simultaneously. The confidence bound, called the grid ionospheric vertical error(GIVE), can only be determined with the aid of a threat model which is used to restrict the expected ionospheric behavior. However, the spatial threat model at present widespread used, which is based on fit radius and relative centroid metric(RCM), is too conservative or the resulting GIVEs will be too large and will reduce the availability of satellite-based augmentation system(SBAS). In this paper, layered two-dimensional parameters, the vertical direction double RCMs, are introduced based on the spatial variability of the ionosphere. Comparing with the traditional threat model, the experimental results show that the user ionospheric vertical error(UIVE) average reduction rate reaches 16%. And the 95% protection level of conterminous United States(CONUS) is 28%, even under disturbed days, which reaches about 5% reduction rates.The results show that the system service performance has been improved better.
文摘This paper discusses the features and relevant theories of GIS spatial data model based on hypergraph,etc.The integrated concept model based on hypergraph and object_oriented model (HOOM) is proposed by the authors.The principal contribution of this paper is that we study the K_section and other theories of hypergraph.An application example using HOOM is given at the end of the paper.
基金supported by National Basic Research Program of China(973 Program,Grant No.2011CB706502)
文摘Modelica-based object-orient method is proved to be rapid, accurate and easy to modify, which is suitable for prototype modeling and simulation of rotor system, whose parameters need to be modified frequently. Classical non-object-orient method appears to be inefficient because the code is difficult to modify and reuse. An adequate library for object-orient modeling of rotor system with multi-faults is established, a comparison with non-object-orient method on Jeffcott rotor system and a case study on turbo expander with multi-faults are implemented. The relative tolerance between object-orient method and non-object-orient is less than 0.03%, which proves that these two methods are as accurate as each other. Object-orient modeling and simulation is implemented on turbo expander with crack, rub-impact, pedestal looseness and multi-faults simultaneously. It can be conclude from the case study that when acting on compress side of turbo expander separately, expand wheel is not influenced greatly by crack fault, the existence of rub-impact fault forces expand wheel into quasi-periodic motion and the orbit of expand wheel is deformed and enhanced almost 1.5 times due to pedestal looseness. When acting simultaneously, multi-faults cannot be totally decomposed but can be diagnosed from the feature of vibration. Object-orient method can enhance the efficiency of modeling and simulation of rotor system with multi-faults, which provides an efficient method on prototype modeling and simulation.
基金supported by National Key R&D Program of China under grant No:2020YFB1707602Educational Commission of Hunan Province of China under Grant No:20B244National Natural Science Foundation of China under grant No:61872139.
文摘Nowadays,enterprises need to continually adjust their business processes to adapt to the changes of business environments,especially when one business needs to be deployed in different application scenarios,which is called spatial variability in this paper.In the field of BPM(Business Process Management),configurable business process models have demonstrated their effectiveness in aspects of process modeling and model reuse.Yet,we found that the existing techniques lead to complex configurable models,and are inadequate for model reuse especially for the spatial variability issue because they neglect the root impact of organizations on control flow.S-BPM(Subject-oriented Business Process Management)models provide a solid foundation for dealing with complex applications and help to bridge the gap between business and IT for process execution.In this paper,we propose an organization-driven business process configurable modeling approach for spatial variability by integrating both restriction and extension operations based on the S-BPM paradigm,in which business objects are also included.Our approach is validated with a general business process developed for the Real Estate Administration(REA)in a certain province of China.The resulting configurable modeling framework can express the heterogeneous activity sequences for one business and has the potential to generate process models for uncertain environments in a new organization structure.
