A switch from avian-typeα-2,3 to human-typeα-2,6 receptors is an essential element for the initiation of a pandemic from an avian influenza virus.Some H9N2 viruses exhibit a preference for binding to human-typeα-2,...A switch from avian-typeα-2,3 to human-typeα-2,6 receptors is an essential element for the initiation of a pandemic from an avian influenza virus.Some H9N2 viruses exhibit a preference for binding to human-typeα-2,6 receptors.This identifies their potential threat to public health.However,our understanding of the molecular basis for the switch of receptor preference is still limited.In this study,we employed the random forest algorithm to identify the potentially key amino acid sites within hemagglutinin(HA),which are associated with the receptor binding ability of H9N2 avian influenza virus(AIV).Subsequently,these sites were further verified by receptor binding assays.A total of 12 substitutions in the HA protein(N158D,N158S,A160 N,A160D,A160T,T163I,T163V,V190T,V190A,D193 N,D193G,and N231D)were predicted to prefer binding toα-2,6 receptors.Except for the V190T substitution,the other substitutions were demonstrated to display an affinity for preferential binding toα-2,6 receptors by receptor binding assays.Especially,the A160T substitution caused a significant upregulation of immune-response genes and an increased mortality rate in mice.Our findings provide novel insights into understanding the genetic basis of receptor preference of the H9N2 AIV.展开更多
Real-time intelligent lithology identification while drilling is vital to realizing downhole closed-loop drilling. The complex and changeable geological environment in the drilling makes lithology identification face ...Real-time intelligent lithology identification while drilling is vital to realizing downhole closed-loop drilling. The complex and changeable geological environment in the drilling makes lithology identification face many challenges. This paper studies the problems of difficult feature information extraction,low precision of thin-layer identification and limited applicability of the model in intelligent lithologic identification. The author tries to improve the comprehensive performance of the lithology identification model from three aspects: data feature extraction, class balance, and model design. A new real-time intelligent lithology identification model of dynamic felling strategy weighted random forest algorithm(DFW-RF) is proposed. According to the feature selection results, gamma ray and 2 MHz phase resistivity are the logging while drilling(LWD) parameters that significantly influence lithology identification. The comprehensive performance of the DFW-RF lithology identification model has been verified in the application of 3 wells in different areas. By comparing the prediction results of five typical lithology identification algorithms, the DFW-RF model has a higher lithology identification accuracy rate and F1 score. This model improves the identification accuracy of thin-layer lithology and is effective and feasible in different geological environments. The DFW-RF model plays a truly efficient role in the realtime intelligent identification of lithologic information in closed-loop drilling and has greater applicability, which is worthy of being widely used in logging interpretation.展开更多
Precise and timely prediction of crop yields is crucial for food security and the development of agricultural policies.However,crop yield is influenced by multiple factors within complex growth environments.Previous r...Precise and timely prediction of crop yields is crucial for food security and the development of agricultural policies.However,crop yield is influenced by multiple factors within complex growth environments.Previous research has paid relatively little attention to the interference of environmental factors and drought on the growth of winter wheat.Therefore,there is an urgent need for more effective methods to explore the inherent relationship between these factors and crop yield,making precise yield prediction increasingly important.This study was based on four type of indicators including meteorological,crop growth status,environmental,and drought index,from October 2003 to June 2019 in Henan Province as the basic data for predicting winter wheat yield.Using the sparrow search al-gorithm combined with random forest(SSA-RF)under different input indicators,accuracy of winter wheat yield estimation was calcu-lated.The estimation accuracy of SSA-RF was compared with partial least squares regression(PLSR),extreme gradient boosting(XG-Boost),and random forest(RF)models.Finally,the determined optimal yield estimation method was used to predict winter wheat yield in three typical years.Following are the findings:1)the SSA-RF demonstrates superior performance in estimating winter wheat yield compared to other algorithms.The best yield estimation method is achieved by four types indicators’composition with SSA-RF)(R^(2)=0.805,RRMSE=9.9%.2)Crops growth status and environmental indicators play significant roles in wheat yield estimation,accounting for 46%and 22%of the yield importance among all indicators,respectively.3)Selecting indicators from October to April of the follow-ing year yielded the highest accuracy in winter wheat yield estimation,with an R^(2)of 0.826 and an RMSE of 9.0%.Yield estimates can be completed two months before the winter wheat harvest in June.4)The predicted performance will be slightly affected by severe drought.Compared with severe drought year(2011)(R^(2)=0.680)and normal year(2017)(R^(2)=0.790),the SSA-RF model has higher prediction accuracy for wet year(2018)(R^(2)=0.820).This study could provide an innovative approach for remote sensing estimation of winter wheat yield.yield.展开更多
The prediction of slope stability is a complex nonlinear problem.This paper proposes a new method based on the random forest(RF)algorithm to study the rocky slopes stability.Taking the Bukit Merah,Perak and Twin Peak(...The prediction of slope stability is a complex nonlinear problem.This paper proposes a new method based on the random forest(RF)algorithm to study the rocky slopes stability.Taking the Bukit Merah,Perak and Twin Peak(Kuala Lumpur)as the study area,the slope characteristics of geometrical parameters are obtained from a multidisciplinary approach(consisting of geological,geotechnical,and remote sensing analyses).18 factors,including rock strength,rock quality designation(RQD),joint spacing,continuity,openness,roughness,filling,weathering,water seepage,temperature,vegetation index,water index,and orientation,are selected to construct model input variables while the factor of safety(FOS)functions as an output.The area under the curve(AUC)value of the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve is obtained with precision and accuracy and used to analyse the predictive model ability.With a large training set and predicted parameters,an area under the ROC curve(the AUC)of 0.95 is achieved.A precision score of 0.88 is obtained,indicating that the model has a low false positive rate and correctly identifies a substantial number of true positives.The findings emphasise the importance of using a variety of terrain characteristics and different approaches to characterise the rock slope.展开更多
As a consumed and influential natural plant beverage,tea is widely planted in subtropical and tropical areas all over the world.Affected by(sub)tropical climate characteristics,the underlying surface of the tea distri...As a consumed and influential natural plant beverage,tea is widely planted in subtropical and tropical areas all over the world.Affected by(sub)tropical climate characteristics,the underlying surface of the tea distribution area is extremely complex,with a variety of vegetation types.In addition,tea distribution is scattered and fragmentized in most of China.Therefore,it is difficult to obtain accurate tea information based on coarse resolution remote sensing data and existing feature extraction methods.This study proposed a boundary-enhanced,object-oriented random forest method on the basis of high-resolution GF-2 and multi-temporal Sentinel-2 data.This method uses multispectral indexes,textures,vegetable indices,and variation characteristics of time-series NDVI from the multi-temporal Sentinel-2 imageries to obtain abundant features related to the growth of tea plantations.To reduce feature redundancy and computation time,the feature elimination algorithm based on Mean Decrease Accuracy(MDA)was used to generate the optimal feature set.Considering the serious boundary inconsistency problem caused by the complex and fragmented land cover types,high resolution GF-2 image was segmented based on the MultiResolution Segmentation(MRS)algorithm to assist the segmentation of Sentinel-2,which contributes to delineating meaningful objects and enhancing the reliability of the boundary for tea plantations.Finally,the object-oriented random forest method was utilized to extract the tea information based on the optimal feature combination in the Jingmai Mountain,Yunnan Province.The resulting tea plantation map had high accuracy,with a 95.38%overall accuracy and 0.91 kappa coefficient.We conclude that the proposed method is effective for mapping tea plantations in high heterogeneity mountainous areas and has the potential for mapping tea plantations in large areas.展开更多
The aim of this study is to evaluate the ability of the random forest algorithm that combines data on transrectal ultrasound findings, age, and serum levels of prostate-specific antigen to predict prostate carcinoma. ...The aim of this study is to evaluate the ability of the random forest algorithm that combines data on transrectal ultrasound findings, age, and serum levels of prostate-specific antigen to predict prostate carcinoma. Clinico-demographic data were analyzed for 941 patients with prostate diseases treated at our hospital, including age, serum prostate-specific antigen levels, transrectal ultrasound findings, and pathology diagnosis based on ultrasound-guided needle biopsy of the prostate. These data were compared between patients with and without prostate cancer using the Chi-square test, and then entered into the random forest model to predict diagnosis. Patients with and without prostate cancer differed significantly in age and serum prostate-specific antigen levels （P 〈 0.001）, as well as in all transrectal ultrasound characteristics （P 〈 0.05） except uneven echo （P = 0.609）. The random forest model based on age, prostate-specific antigen and ultrasound predicted prostate cancer with an accuracy of 83.10%, sensitivity of 65.64%, and specificity of 93.83%. Positive predictive value was 86.72%, and negative predictive value was 81.64%. By integrating age, prostate-specific antigen levels and transrectal ultrasound findings, the random forest algorithm shows better diagnostic performance for prostate cancer than either diagnostic indicator on its own. This algorithm may help improve diagnosis of the disease by identifying patients at high risk for biopsy.展开更多
Precise recovery of CoalbedMethane(CBM)based on transparent reconstruction of geological conditions is a branch of intelligent mining.The process of permeability reconstruction,ranging from data perception to real-tim...Precise recovery of CoalbedMethane(CBM)based on transparent reconstruction of geological conditions is a branch of intelligent mining.The process of permeability reconstruction,ranging from data perception to real-time data visualization,is applicable to disaster risk warning and intelligent decision-making on gas drainage.In this study,a machine learning method integrating the Random Forest(RF)and the Genetic Algorithm(GA)was established for permeability prediction in the Xishan Coalfield based on Uniaxial Compressive Strength(UCS),effective stress,temperature and gas pressure.A total of 50 sets of data collected by a self-developed apparatus were used to generate datasets for training and validating models.Statistical measures including the coefficient of determination(R2)and Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)were selected to validate and compare the predictive performances of the single RF model and the hybrid RF–GA model.Furthermore,sensitivity studies were conducted to evaluate the importance of input parameters.The results show that,the proposed RF–GA model is robust in predicting the permeability;UCS is directly correlated to permeability,while all other inputs are inversely related to permeability;the effective stress exerts the greatest impact on permeability based on importance score,followed by the temperature(or gas pressure)and UCS.The partial dependence plots,indicative of marginal utility of each feature in permeability prediction,are in line with experimental results.Thus,the proposed hybrid model(RF–GA)is capable of predicting permeability and thus beneficial to precise CBMrecovery.展开更多
In this paper, sixty-eight research articles published between 2000 and 2017 as well as textbooks which employed four classification algorithms: K-Nearest-Neighbor (KNN), Support Vector Machines (SVM), Random Forest (...In this paper, sixty-eight research articles published between 2000 and 2017 as well as textbooks which employed four classification algorithms: K-Nearest-Neighbor (KNN), Support Vector Machines (SVM), Random Forest (RF) and Neural Network (NN) as the main statistical tools were reviewed. The aim was to examine and compare these nonparametric classification methods on the following attributes: robustness to training data, sensitivity to changes, data fitting, stability, ability to handle large data sizes, sensitivity to noise, time invested in parameter tuning, and accuracy. The performances, strengths and shortcomings of each of the algorithms were examined, and finally, a conclusion was arrived at on which one has higher performance. It was evident from the literature reviewed that RF is too sensitive to small changes in the training dataset and is occasionally unstable and tends to overfit in the model. KNN is easy to implement and understand but has a major drawback of becoming significantly slow as the size of the data in use grows, while the ideal value of K for the KNN classifier is difficult to set. SVM and RF are insensitive to noise or overtraining, which shows their ability in dealing with unbalanced data. Larger input datasets will lengthen classification times for NN and KNN more than for SVM and RF. Among these nonparametric classification methods, NN has the potential to become a more widely used classification algorithm, but because of their time-consuming parameter tuning procedure, high level of complexity in computational processing, the numerous types of NN architectures to choose from and the high number of algorithms used for training, most researchers recommend SVM and RF as easier and wieldy used methods which repeatedly achieve results with high accuracies and are often faster to implement.展开更多
Anomaly classification based on network traffic features is an important task to monitor and detect network intrusion attacks.Network-based intrusion detection systems(NIDSs)using machine learning(ML)methods are effec...Anomaly classification based on network traffic features is an important task to monitor and detect network intrusion attacks.Network-based intrusion detection systems(NIDSs)using machine learning(ML)methods are effective tools for protecting network infrastructures and services from unpredictable and unseen attacks.Among several ML methods,random forest(RF)is a robust method that can be used in ML-based network intrusion detection solutions.However,the minimum number of instances for each split and the number of trees in the forest are two key parameters of RF that can affect classification accuracy.Therefore,optimal parameter selection is a real problem in RF-based anomaly classification of intrusion detection systems.In this paper,we propose to use the genetic algorithm(GA)for selecting the appropriate values of these two parameters,optimizing the RF classifier and improving the classification accuracy of normal and abnormal network traffics.To validate the proposed GA-based RF model,a number of experiments is conducted on two public datasets and evaluated using a set of performance evaluation measures.In these experiments,the accuracy result is compared with the accuracies of baseline ML classifiers in the recent works.Experimental results reveal that the proposed model can avert the uncertainty in selection the values of RF’s parameters,improving the accuracy of anomaly classification in NIDSs without incurring excessive time.展开更多
This paper presents a new framework for object-based classification of high-resolution hyperspectral data.This multi-step framework is based on multi-resolution segmentation(MRS)and Random Forest classifier(RFC)algori...This paper presents a new framework for object-based classification of high-resolution hyperspectral data.This multi-step framework is based on multi-resolution segmentation(MRS)and Random Forest classifier(RFC)algorithms.The first step is to determine of weights of the input features while using the object-based approach with MRS to processing such images.Given the high number of input features,an automatic method is needed for estimation of this parameter.Moreover,we used the Variable Importance(VI),one of the outputs of the RFC,to determine the importance of each image band.Then,based on this parameter and other required parameters,the image is segmented into some homogenous regions.Finally,the RFC is carried out based on the characteristics of segments for converting them into meaningful objects.The proposed method,as well as,the conventional pixel-based RFC and Support Vector Machine(SVM)method was applied to three different hyperspectral data-sets with various spectral and spatial characteristics.These data were acquired by the HyMap,the Airborne Prism Experiment(APEX),and the Compact Airborne Spectrographic Imager(CASI)hyperspectral sensors.The experimental results show that the proposed method is more consistent for land cover mapping in various areas.The overall classification accuracy(OA),obtained by the proposed method was 95.48,86.57,and 84.29%for the HyMap,the APEX,and the CASI datasets,respectively.Moreover,this method showed better efficiency in comparison to the spectralbased classifications because the OAs of the proposed method was 5.67 and 3.75%higher than the conventional RFC and SVM classifiers,respectively.展开更多
Aiming at the poor location accuracy caused by the harsh and complex underground environment,long strip roadway,limited wireless transmission and sparse anchor nodes,an underground location algorithm based on random f...Aiming at the poor location accuracy caused by the harsh and complex underground environment,long strip roadway,limited wireless transmission and sparse anchor nodes,an underground location algorithm based on random forest and compensation for environmental factors was proposed.Firstly,the underground wireless access point(AP)network model and tunnel environment were analyzed,and the fingerprint location algorithm was built.And then the Received Signal Strength(RSS)was analyzed by Kalman Filter algorithm in the offline sampling and real-time positioning stage.Meanwhile,the target speed constraint condition was introduced to reduce the error caused by environmental factors.The experimental results show that the proposed algorithm solves the problem of insufficient location accuracy and large fluctuation affected by environment when the anchor nodes are sparse.At the same time,the average location accuracy reaches three meters,which can satisfy the application of underground rescue,activity track playback,disaster monitoring and positioning.It has high application value in complex underground environment.展开更多
The Very Fast Decision Tree(VFDT)algorithm is a classification algorithm for data streams.When processing large amounts of data,VFDT requires less time than traditional decision tree algorithms.However,when training s...The Very Fast Decision Tree(VFDT)algorithm is a classification algorithm for data streams.When processing large amounts of data,VFDT requires less time than traditional decision tree algorithms.However,when training samples become fewer,the label values of VFDT leaf nodes will have more errors,and the classification ability of single VFDT decision tree is limited.The Random Forest algorithm is a combinational classifier with high prediction accuracy and noise-tol-erant ability.It is constituted by multiple decision trees and can make up for the shortage of single decision tree.In this paper,in order to improve the classification accuracy on data streams,the Random Forest algorithm is integrated into the process of tree building of the VFDT algorithm,and a new Random Forest Based Very Fast Decision Tree algorithm named RFVFDT is designed.The RFVFDT algorithm adopts the decision tree building criterion of a Random Forest classifier,and improves Random Forest algorithm with sliding window to meet the unboundedness of data streams and avoid process delay and data loss.Experimental results of the classification of KDD CUP data sets show that the classification accuracy of RFVFDT algorithm is higher than that of VFDT.The less the samples are,the more obvious the advantage is.RFVFDT is fast when running in the multithread mode.展开更多
The random forest algorithm was applied to study the nuclear binding energy and charge radius.The regularized root-mean-square of error(RMSE)was proposed to avoid overfitting during the training of random forest.RMSE ...The random forest algorithm was applied to study the nuclear binding energy and charge radius.The regularized root-mean-square of error(RMSE)was proposed to avoid overfitting during the training of random forest.RMSE for nuclides with Z,N>7 is reduced to 0.816 MeV and 0.0200 fm compared with the six-term liquid drop model and a three-term nuclear charge radius formula,respectively.Specific interest is in the possible(sub)shells among the superheavy region,which is important for searching for new elements and the island of stability.The significance of shell features estimated by the so-called shapely additive explanation method suggests(Z,N)=(92,142)and(98,156)as possible subshells indicated by the binding energy.Because the present observed data is far from the N=184 shell,which is suggested by mean-field investigations,its shell effect is not predicted based on present training.The significance analysis of the nuclear charge radius suggests Z=92 and N=136 as possible subshells.The effect is verified by the shell-corrected nuclear charge radius model.展开更多
Based on the research of predictingβ-hairpin motifs in proteins, we apply Random Forest and Support Vector Machine algorithm to predictβ-hairpin motifs in ArchDB40 dataset. The motifs with the loop length of 2 to 8 ...Based on the research of predictingβ-hairpin motifs in proteins, we apply Random Forest and Support Vector Machine algorithm to predictβ-hairpin motifs in ArchDB40 dataset. The motifs with the loop length of 2 to 8 amino acid residues are extracted as research object and thefixed-length pattern of 12 amino acids are selected. When using the same characteristic parameters and the same test method, Random Forest algorithm is more effective than Support Vector Machine. In addition, because of Random Forest algorithm doesn’t produce overfitting phenomenon while the dimension of characteristic parameters is higher, we use Random Forest based on higher dimension characteristic parameters to predictβ-hairpin motifs. The better prediction results are obtained;the overall accuracy and Matthew’s correlation coefficient of 5-fold cross-validation achieve 83.3% and 0.59, respectively.展开更多
BACKGROUND Difficulty of colonoscopy insertion(DCI)significantly affects colonoscopy effectiveness and serves as a key quality indicator.Predicting and evaluating DCI risk preoperatively is crucial for optimizing intr...BACKGROUND Difficulty of colonoscopy insertion(DCI)significantly affects colonoscopy effectiveness and serves as a key quality indicator.Predicting and evaluating DCI risk preoperatively is crucial for optimizing intraoperative strategies.AIM To evaluate the predictive performance of machine learning(ML)algorithms for DCI by comparing three modeling approaches,identify factors influencing DCI,and develop a preoperative prediction model using ML algorithms to enhance colonoscopy quality and efficiency.METHODS This cross-sectional study enrolled 712 patients who underwent colonoscopy at a tertiary hospital between June 2020 and May 2021.Demographic data,past medical history,medication use,and psychological status were collected.The endoscopist assessed DCI using the visual analogue scale.After univariate screening,predictive models were developed using multivariable logistic regression,least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)regression,and random forest(RF)algorithms.Model performance was evaluated based on discrimination,calibration,and decision curve analysis(DCA),and results were visualized using nomograms.RESULTS A total of 712 patients(53.8%male;mean age 54.5 years±12.9 years)were included.Logistic regression analysis identified constipation[odds ratio(OR)=2.254,95%confidence interval(CI):1.289-3.931],abdominal circumference(AC)(77.5–91.9 cm,OR=1.895,95%CI:1.065-3.350;AC≥92 cm,OR=1.271,95%CI:0.730-2.188),and anxiety(OR=1.071,95%CI:1.044-1.100)as predictive factors for DCI,validated by LASSO and RF methods.Model performance revealed training/validation sensitivities of 0.826/0.925,0.924/0.868,and 1.000/0.981;specificities of 0.602/0.511,0.510/0.562,and 0.977/0.526;and corresponding area under the receiver operating characteristic curves(AUCs)of 0.780(0.737-0.823)/0.726(0.654-0.799),0.754(0.710-0.798)/0.723(0.656-0.791),and 1.000(1.000-1.000)/0.754(0.688-0.820),respectively.DCA indicated optimal net benefit within probability thresholds of 0-0.9 and 0.05-0.37.The RF model demonstrated superior diagnostic accuracy,reflected by perfect training sensitivity(1.000)and highest validation AUC(0.754),outperforming other methods in clinical applicability.CONCLUSION The RF-based model exhibited superior predictive accuracy for DCI compared to multivariable logistic and LASSO regression models.This approach supports individualized preoperative optimization,enhancing colonoscopy quality through targeted risk stratification.展开更多
This study investigated the impacts of random negative training datasets(NTDs)on the uncertainty of machine learning models for geologic hazard susceptibility assessment of the Loess Plateau,northern Shaanxi Province,...This study investigated the impacts of random negative training datasets(NTDs)on the uncertainty of machine learning models for geologic hazard susceptibility assessment of the Loess Plateau,northern Shaanxi Province,China.Based on randomly generated 40 NTDs,the study developed models for the geologic hazard susceptibility assessment using the random forest algorithm and evaluated their performances using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC).Specifically,the means and standard deviations of the AUC values from all models were then utilized to assess the overall spatial correlation between the conditioning factors and the susceptibility assessment,as well as the uncertainty introduced by the NTDs.A risk and return methodology was thus employed to quantify and mitigate the uncertainty,with log odds ratios used to characterize the susceptibility assessment levels.The risk and return values were calculated based on the standard deviations and means of the log odds ratios of various locations.After the mean log odds ratios were converted into probability values,the final susceptibility map was plotted,which accounts for the uncertainty induced by random NTDs.The results indicate that the AUC values of the models ranged from 0.810 to 0.963,with an average of 0.852 and a standard deviation of 0.035,indicating encouraging prediction effects and certain uncertainty.The risk and return analysis reveals that low-risk and high-return areas suggest lower standard deviations and higher means across multiple model-derived assessments.Overall,this study introduces a new framework for quantifying the uncertainty of multiple training and evaluation models,aimed at improving their robustness and reliability.Additionally,by identifying low-risk and high-return areas,resource allocation for geologic hazard prevention and control can be optimized,thus ensuring that limited resources are directed toward the most effective prevention and control measures.展开更多
Given the challenge of estimating or calculating quantities of waste electrical and electronic equipment(WEEE)in developing countries,this article focuses on predicting the WEEE generated by Cameroonian small and medi...Given the challenge of estimating or calculating quantities of waste electrical and electronic equipment(WEEE)in developing countries,this article focuses on predicting the WEEE generated by Cameroonian small and medium enterprises(SMEs)that are engaged in ISO 14001:2015 initiatives and consume electrical and electronic equipment(EEE)to enhance their performance and profitability.The methodology employed an exploratory approach involving the application of general equilibrium theory(GET)to contextualize the study and generate relevant parameters for deploying the random forest regression learning algorithm for predictions.Machine learning was applied to 80%of the samples for training,while simulation was conducted on the remaining 20%of samples based on quantities of EEE utilized over a specific period,utilization rates,repair rates,and average lifespans.The results demonstrate that the model’s predicted values are significantly close to the actual quantities of generated WEEE,and the model’s performance was evaluated using the mean squared error(MSE)and yielding satisfactory results.Based on this model,both companies and stakeholders can set realistic objectives for managing companies’WEEE,fostering sustainable socio-environmental practices.展开更多
The return of crop residues to cultivated fields has numerous agronomic and soil quality benefits and,therefore,the areal extent of crop residue cover(CRC)could provide a rapid measure of the sustainability of agricul...The return of crop residues to cultivated fields has numerous agronomic and soil quality benefits and,therefore,the areal extent of crop residue cover(CRC)could provide a rapid measure of the sustainability of agricultural production systems in a region.Recognizing the limitations of traditional CRC methods,a new method is proposed for estimating the spatial and temporal distribution of maize residue cover(MRC)in the Jilin Province,NE China.The method used random forest(RF)algorithms,13 tillage indices and 9 textural feature indicators derived from Sentinel-2 data.The tillage indices with the best predictive performance were STI and NDTI(R^(2) of 0.85 and 0.84,respectively).Among the texture features,the bestfitting was Band8AMean-5*5(R^(2) of 0.56 and 0.54 for the line-transect and photographic methods,respectively).Based on MSE and InNodePurity,the optimal combination of RF algorithm for the linetransect method was STI,NDTI,NDI7,NDRI5,SRNDI,NDRI6,NDRI7 and Band3Mean-3*3.Likewise,the optimal combination of RF algorithm for the photographic method was STI,NDTI,NDI7,SRNDI,NDRI6,NDRI5,NDRI9 and Band3Mean-3*3.Regional distribution of MRC in the Jilin Province,estimated using the RF prediction model,was higher in the central and southeast sections than in the northwest.That distribution was in line with the spatial heterogeneity of maize yield in the region.These findings showed that the RF algorithm can be used to map regional MRC and,therefore,represents a useful tool for monitoring regional-scale adoption of conservation agricultural practices.展开更多
Estimating the volume growth of forest ecosystems accurately is important for understanding carbon sequestration and achieving carbon neutrality goals.However,the key environmental factors affecting volume growth diff...Estimating the volume growth of forest ecosystems accurately is important for understanding carbon sequestration and achieving carbon neutrality goals.However,the key environmental factors affecting volume growth differ across various scales and plant functional types.This study was,therefore,conducted to estimate the volume growth of Larix and Quercus forests based on national-scale forestry inventory data in China and its influencing factors using random forest algorithms.The results showed that the model performances of volume growth in natural forests(R^(2)=0.65 for Larix and 0.66 for Quercus,respectively)were better than those in planted forests(R^(2)=0.44 for Larix and 0.40 for Quercus,respectively).In both natural and planted forests,the stand age showed a strong relative importance for volume growth(8.6%–66.2%),while the edaphic and climatic variables had a limited relative importance(<6.0%).The relationship between stand age and volume growth was unimodal in natural forests and linear increase in planted Quercus forests.And the specific locations(i.e.,altitude and aspect)of sampling plots exhibited high relative importance for volume growth in planted forests(4.1%–18.2%).Altitude positively affected volume growth in planted Larix forests but controlled volume growth negatively in planted Quercus forests.Similarly,the effects of other environmental factors on volume growth also differed in both stand origins(planted versus natural)and plant functional types(Larix versus Quercus).These results highlighted that the stand age was the most important predictor for volume growth and there were diverse effects of environmental factors on volume growth among stand origins and plant functional types.Our findings will provide a good framework for site-specific recommendations regarding the management practices necessary to maintain the volume growth in China's forest ecosystems.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(32273037 and 32102636)the Guangdong Major Project of Basic and Applied Basic Research(2020B0301030007)+4 种基金Laboratory of Lingnan Modern Agriculture Project(NT2021007)the Guangdong Science and Technology Innovation Leading Talent Program(2019TX05N098)the 111 Center(D20008)the double first-class discipline promotion project(2023B10564003)the Department of Education of Guangdong Province(2019KZDXM004 and 2019KCXTD001).
文摘A switch from avian-typeα-2,3 to human-typeα-2,6 receptors is an essential element for the initiation of a pandemic from an avian influenza virus.Some H9N2 viruses exhibit a preference for binding to human-typeα-2,6 receptors.This identifies their potential threat to public health.However,our understanding of the molecular basis for the switch of receptor preference is still limited.In this study,we employed the random forest algorithm to identify the potentially key amino acid sites within hemagglutinin(HA),which are associated with the receptor binding ability of H9N2 avian influenza virus(AIV).Subsequently,these sites were further verified by receptor binding assays.A total of 12 substitutions in the HA protein(N158D,N158S,A160 N,A160D,A160T,T163I,T163V,V190T,V190A,D193 N,D193G,and N231D)were predicted to prefer binding toα-2,6 receptors.Except for the V190T substitution,the other substitutions were demonstrated to display an affinity for preferential binding toα-2,6 receptors by receptor binding assays.Especially,the A160T substitution caused a significant upregulation of immune-response genes and an increased mortality rate in mice.Our findings provide novel insights into understanding the genetic basis of receptor preference of the H9N2 AIV.
基金financially supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52174001)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52004064)+1 种基金the Hainan Province Science and Technology Special Fund “Research on Real-time Intelligent Sensing Technology for Closed-loop Drilling of Oil and Gas Reservoirs in Deepwater Drilling”(ZDYF2023GXJS012)Heilongjiang Provincial Government and Daqing Oilfield's first batch of the scientific and technological key project “Research on the Construction Technology of Gulong Shale Oil Big Data Analysis System”(DQYT-2022-JS-750)。
文摘Real-time intelligent lithology identification while drilling is vital to realizing downhole closed-loop drilling. The complex and changeable geological environment in the drilling makes lithology identification face many challenges. This paper studies the problems of difficult feature information extraction,low precision of thin-layer identification and limited applicability of the model in intelligent lithologic identification. The author tries to improve the comprehensive performance of the lithology identification model from three aspects: data feature extraction, class balance, and model design. A new real-time intelligent lithology identification model of dynamic felling strategy weighted random forest algorithm(DFW-RF) is proposed. According to the feature selection results, gamma ray and 2 MHz phase resistivity are the logging while drilling(LWD) parameters that significantly influence lithology identification. The comprehensive performance of the DFW-RF lithology identification model has been verified in the application of 3 wells in different areas. By comparing the prediction results of five typical lithology identification algorithms, the DFW-RF model has a higher lithology identification accuracy rate and F1 score. This model improves the identification accuracy of thin-layer lithology and is effective and feasible in different geological environments. The DFW-RF model plays a truly efficient role in the realtime intelligent identification of lithologic information in closed-loop drilling and has greater applicability, which is worthy of being widely used in logging interpretation.
基金Under the auspices of National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.52079103)。
文摘Precise and timely prediction of crop yields is crucial for food security and the development of agricultural policies.However,crop yield is influenced by multiple factors within complex growth environments.Previous research has paid relatively little attention to the interference of environmental factors and drought on the growth of winter wheat.Therefore,there is an urgent need for more effective methods to explore the inherent relationship between these factors and crop yield,making precise yield prediction increasingly important.This study was based on four type of indicators including meteorological,crop growth status,environmental,and drought index,from October 2003 to June 2019 in Henan Province as the basic data for predicting winter wheat yield.Using the sparrow search al-gorithm combined with random forest(SSA-RF)under different input indicators,accuracy of winter wheat yield estimation was calcu-lated.The estimation accuracy of SSA-RF was compared with partial least squares regression(PLSR),extreme gradient boosting(XG-Boost),and random forest(RF)models.Finally,the determined optimal yield estimation method was used to predict winter wheat yield in three typical years.Following are the findings:1)the SSA-RF demonstrates superior performance in estimating winter wheat yield compared to other algorithms.The best yield estimation method is achieved by four types indicators’composition with SSA-RF)(R^(2)=0.805,RRMSE=9.9%.2)Crops growth status and environmental indicators play significant roles in wheat yield estimation,accounting for 46%and 22%of the yield importance among all indicators,respectively.3)Selecting indicators from October to April of the follow-ing year yielded the highest accuracy in winter wheat yield estimation,with an R^(2)of 0.826 and an RMSE of 9.0%.Yield estimates can be completed two months before the winter wheat harvest in June.4)The predicted performance will be slightly affected by severe drought.Compared with severe drought year(2011)(R^(2)=0.680)and normal year(2017)(R^(2)=0.790),the SSA-RF model has higher prediction accuracy for wet year(2018)(R^(2)=0.820).This study could provide an innovative approach for remote sensing estimation of winter wheat yield.yield.
基金support in providing the data and the Universiti Teknologi Malaysia supported this work under UTM Flagship CoE/RG-Coe/RG 5.2:Evaluating Surface PGA with Global Ground Motion Site Response Analyses for the highest seismic activity location in Peninsular Malaysia(Q.J130000.5022.10G47)Universiti Teknologi Malaysia-Earthquake Hazard Assessment in Peninsular Malaysia Using Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Analysis(PSHA)Method(Q.J130000.21A2.06E9).
文摘The prediction of slope stability is a complex nonlinear problem.This paper proposes a new method based on the random forest(RF)algorithm to study the rocky slopes stability.Taking the Bukit Merah,Perak and Twin Peak(Kuala Lumpur)as the study area,the slope characteristics of geometrical parameters are obtained from a multidisciplinary approach(consisting of geological,geotechnical,and remote sensing analyses).18 factors,including rock strength,rock quality designation(RQD),joint spacing,continuity,openness,roughness,filling,weathering,water seepage,temperature,vegetation index,water index,and orientation,are selected to construct model input variables while the factor of safety(FOS)functions as an output.The area under the curve(AUC)value of the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve is obtained with precision and accuracy and used to analyse the predictive model ability.With a large training set and predicted parameters,an area under the ROC curve(the AUC)of 0.95 is achieved.A precision score of 0.88 is obtained,indicating that the model has a low false positive rate and correctly identifies a substantial number of true positives.The findings emphasise the importance of using a variety of terrain characteristics and different approaches to characterise the rock slope.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.41830110)National Key Research Development Program of China(No.2018YFC1503603)+2 种基金Key Laboratory of Land Satellite Remote Sensing Application,Ministry of Natural Resources of the People’s Republic of China(No.KLSMNR-202106)Water Conservancy Science and Technology Project of Jiangsu Province,China(No.2020061)Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province,China(No.20180779)。
文摘As a consumed and influential natural plant beverage,tea is widely planted in subtropical and tropical areas all over the world.Affected by(sub)tropical climate characteristics,the underlying surface of the tea distribution area is extremely complex,with a variety of vegetation types.In addition,tea distribution is scattered and fragmentized in most of China.Therefore,it is difficult to obtain accurate tea information based on coarse resolution remote sensing data and existing feature extraction methods.This study proposed a boundary-enhanced,object-oriented random forest method on the basis of high-resolution GF-2 and multi-temporal Sentinel-2 data.This method uses multispectral indexes,textures,vegetable indices,and variation characteristics of time-series NDVI from the multi-temporal Sentinel-2 imageries to obtain abundant features related to the growth of tea plantations.To reduce feature redundancy and computation time,the feature elimination algorithm based on Mean Decrease Accuracy(MDA)was used to generate the optimal feature set.Considering the serious boundary inconsistency problem caused by the complex and fragmented land cover types,high resolution GF-2 image was segmented based on the MultiResolution Segmentation(MRS)algorithm to assist the segmentation of Sentinel-2,which contributes to delineating meaningful objects and enhancing the reliability of the boundary for tea plantations.Finally,the object-oriented random forest method was utilized to extract the tea information based on the optimal feature combination in the Jingmai Mountain,Yunnan Province.The resulting tea plantation map had high accuracy,with a 95.38%overall accuracy and 0.91 kappa coefficient.We conclude that the proposed method is effective for mapping tea plantations in high heterogeneity mountainous areas and has the potential for mapping tea plantations in large areas.
文摘The aim of this study is to evaluate the ability of the random forest algorithm that combines data on transrectal ultrasound findings, age, and serum levels of prostate-specific antigen to predict prostate carcinoma. Clinico-demographic data were analyzed for 941 patients with prostate diseases treated at our hospital, including age, serum prostate-specific antigen levels, transrectal ultrasound findings, and pathology diagnosis based on ultrasound-guided needle biopsy of the prostate. These data were compared between patients with and without prostate cancer using the Chi-square test, and then entered into the random forest model to predict diagnosis. Patients with and without prostate cancer differed significantly in age and serum prostate-specific antigen levels （P 〈 0.001）, as well as in all transrectal ultrasound characteristics （P 〈 0.05） except uneven echo （P = 0.609）. The random forest model based on age, prostate-specific antigen and ultrasound predicted prostate cancer with an accuracy of 83.10%, sensitivity of 65.64%, and specificity of 93.83%. Positive predictive value was 86.72%, and negative predictive value was 81.64%. By integrating age, prostate-specific antigen levels and transrectal ultrasound findings, the random forest algorithm shows better diagnostic performance for prostate cancer than either diagnostic indicator on its own. This algorithm may help improve diagnosis of the disease by identifying patients at high risk for biopsy.
基金This work has been supported by the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities[2017XKZD06].
文摘Precise recovery of CoalbedMethane(CBM)based on transparent reconstruction of geological conditions is a branch of intelligent mining.The process of permeability reconstruction,ranging from data perception to real-time data visualization,is applicable to disaster risk warning and intelligent decision-making on gas drainage.In this study,a machine learning method integrating the Random Forest(RF)and the Genetic Algorithm(GA)was established for permeability prediction in the Xishan Coalfield based on Uniaxial Compressive Strength(UCS),effective stress,temperature and gas pressure.A total of 50 sets of data collected by a self-developed apparatus were used to generate datasets for training and validating models.Statistical measures including the coefficient of determination(R2)and Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)were selected to validate and compare the predictive performances of the single RF model and the hybrid RF–GA model.Furthermore,sensitivity studies were conducted to evaluate the importance of input parameters.The results show that,the proposed RF–GA model is robust in predicting the permeability;UCS is directly correlated to permeability,while all other inputs are inversely related to permeability;the effective stress exerts the greatest impact on permeability based on importance score,followed by the temperature(or gas pressure)and UCS.The partial dependence plots,indicative of marginal utility of each feature in permeability prediction,are in line with experimental results.Thus,the proposed hybrid model(RF–GA)is capable of predicting permeability and thus beneficial to precise CBMrecovery.
文摘In this paper, sixty-eight research articles published between 2000 and 2017 as well as textbooks which employed four classification algorithms: K-Nearest-Neighbor (KNN), Support Vector Machines (SVM), Random Forest (RF) and Neural Network (NN) as the main statistical tools were reviewed. The aim was to examine and compare these nonparametric classification methods on the following attributes: robustness to training data, sensitivity to changes, data fitting, stability, ability to handle large data sizes, sensitivity to noise, time invested in parameter tuning, and accuracy. The performances, strengths and shortcomings of each of the algorithms were examined, and finally, a conclusion was arrived at on which one has higher performance. It was evident from the literature reviewed that RF is too sensitive to small changes in the training dataset and is occasionally unstable and tends to overfit in the model. KNN is easy to implement and understand but has a major drawback of becoming significantly slow as the size of the data in use grows, while the ideal value of K for the KNN classifier is difficult to set. SVM and RF are insensitive to noise or overtraining, which shows their ability in dealing with unbalanced data. Larger input datasets will lengthen classification times for NN and KNN more than for SVM and RF. Among these nonparametric classification methods, NN has the potential to become a more widely used classification algorithm, but because of their time-consuming parameter tuning procedure, high level of complexity in computational processing, the numerous types of NN architectures to choose from and the high number of algorithms used for training, most researchers recommend SVM and RF as easier and wieldy used methods which repeatedly achieve results with high accuracies and are often faster to implement.
文摘Anomaly classification based on network traffic features is an important task to monitor and detect network intrusion attacks.Network-based intrusion detection systems(NIDSs)using machine learning(ML)methods are effective tools for protecting network infrastructures and services from unpredictable and unseen attacks.Among several ML methods,random forest(RF)is a robust method that can be used in ML-based network intrusion detection solutions.However,the minimum number of instances for each split and the number of trees in the forest are two key parameters of RF that can affect classification accuracy.Therefore,optimal parameter selection is a real problem in RF-based anomaly classification of intrusion detection systems.In this paper,we propose to use the genetic algorithm(GA)for selecting the appropriate values of these two parameters,optimizing the RF classifier and improving the classification accuracy of normal and abnormal network traffics.To validate the proposed GA-based RF model,a number of experiments is conducted on two public datasets and evaluated using a set of performance evaluation measures.In these experiments,the accuracy result is compared with the accuracies of baseline ML classifiers in the recent works.Experimental results reveal that the proposed model can avert the uncertainty in selection the values of RF’s parameters,improving the accuracy of anomaly classification in NIDSs without incurring excessive time.
文摘This paper presents a new framework for object-based classification of high-resolution hyperspectral data.This multi-step framework is based on multi-resolution segmentation(MRS)and Random Forest classifier(RFC)algorithms.The first step is to determine of weights of the input features while using the object-based approach with MRS to processing such images.Given the high number of input features,an automatic method is needed for estimation of this parameter.Moreover,we used the Variable Importance(VI),one of the outputs of the RFC,to determine the importance of each image band.Then,based on this parameter and other required parameters,the image is segmented into some homogenous regions.Finally,the RFC is carried out based on the characteristics of segments for converting them into meaningful objects.The proposed method,as well as,the conventional pixel-based RFC and Support Vector Machine(SVM)method was applied to three different hyperspectral data-sets with various spectral and spatial characteristics.These data were acquired by the HyMap,the Airborne Prism Experiment(APEX),and the Compact Airborne Spectrographic Imager(CASI)hyperspectral sensors.The experimental results show that the proposed method is more consistent for land cover mapping in various areas.The overall classification accuracy(OA),obtained by the proposed method was 95.48,86.57,and 84.29%for the HyMap,the APEX,and the CASI datasets,respectively.Moreover,this method showed better efficiency in comparison to the spectralbased classifications because the OAs of the proposed method was 5.67 and 3.75%higher than the conventional RFC and SVM classifiers,respectively.
基金The work was supported by Projects of Natural Science Foundational in Higher Education Institutions of Anhui Province(KJ2017A449)Chaohu University’s Innovation and Entrepreneurship Training Program for Provincial College Students in 2019(No.S201910380042)。
文摘Aiming at the poor location accuracy caused by the harsh and complex underground environment,long strip roadway,limited wireless transmission and sparse anchor nodes,an underground location algorithm based on random forest and compensation for environmental factors was proposed.Firstly,the underground wireless access point(AP)network model and tunnel environment were analyzed,and the fingerprint location algorithm was built.And then the Received Signal Strength(RSS)was analyzed by Kalman Filter algorithm in the offline sampling and real-time positioning stage.Meanwhile,the target speed constraint condition was introduced to reduce the error caused by environmental factors.The experimental results show that the proposed algorithm solves the problem of insufficient location accuracy and large fluctuation affected by environment when the anchor nodes are sparse.At the same time,the average location accuracy reaches three meters,which can satisfy the application of underground rescue,activity track playback,disaster monitoring and positioning.It has high application value in complex underground environment.
文摘The Very Fast Decision Tree(VFDT)algorithm is a classification algorithm for data streams.When processing large amounts of data,VFDT requires less time than traditional decision tree algorithms.However,when training samples become fewer,the label values of VFDT leaf nodes will have more errors,and the classification ability of single VFDT decision tree is limited.The Random Forest algorithm is a combinational classifier with high prediction accuracy and noise-tol-erant ability.It is constituted by multiple decision trees and can make up for the shortage of single decision tree.In this paper,in order to improve the classification accuracy on data streams,the Random Forest algorithm is integrated into the process of tree building of the VFDT algorithm,and a new Random Forest Based Very Fast Decision Tree algorithm named RFVFDT is designed.The RFVFDT algorithm adopts the decision tree building criterion of a Random Forest classifier,and improves Random Forest algorithm with sliding window to meet the unboundedness of data streams and avoid process delay and data loss.Experimental results of the classification of KDD CUP data sets show that the classification accuracy of RFVFDT algorithm is higher than that of VFDT.The less the samples are,the more obvious the advantage is.RFVFDT is fast when running in the multithread mode.
基金Supported by Basic and Applied Basic Research Project of Guangdong Province(2021B0301030006)。
文摘The random forest algorithm was applied to study the nuclear binding energy and charge radius.The regularized root-mean-square of error(RMSE)was proposed to avoid overfitting during the training of random forest.RMSE for nuclides with Z,N>7 is reduced to 0.816 MeV and 0.0200 fm compared with the six-term liquid drop model and a three-term nuclear charge radius formula,respectively.Specific interest is in the possible(sub)shells among the superheavy region,which is important for searching for new elements and the island of stability.The significance of shell features estimated by the so-called shapely additive explanation method suggests(Z,N)=(92,142)and(98,156)as possible subshells indicated by the binding energy.Because the present observed data is far from the N=184 shell,which is suggested by mean-field investigations,its shell effect is not predicted based on present training.The significance analysis of the nuclear charge radius suggests Z=92 and N=136 as possible subshells.The effect is verified by the shell-corrected nuclear charge radius model.
文摘Based on the research of predictingβ-hairpin motifs in proteins, we apply Random Forest and Support Vector Machine algorithm to predictβ-hairpin motifs in ArchDB40 dataset. The motifs with the loop length of 2 to 8 amino acid residues are extracted as research object and thefixed-length pattern of 12 amino acids are selected. When using the same characteristic parameters and the same test method, Random Forest algorithm is more effective than Support Vector Machine. In addition, because of Random Forest algorithm doesn’t produce overfitting phenomenon while the dimension of characteristic parameters is higher, we use Random Forest based on higher dimension characteristic parameters to predictβ-hairpin motifs. The better prediction results are obtained;the overall accuracy and Matthew’s correlation coefficient of 5-fold cross-validation achieve 83.3% and 0.59, respectively.
基金the Chinese Clinical Trial Registry(No.ChiCTR2000040109)approved by the Hospital Ethics Committee(No.20210130017).
文摘BACKGROUND Difficulty of colonoscopy insertion(DCI)significantly affects colonoscopy effectiveness and serves as a key quality indicator.Predicting and evaluating DCI risk preoperatively is crucial for optimizing intraoperative strategies.AIM To evaluate the predictive performance of machine learning(ML)algorithms for DCI by comparing three modeling approaches,identify factors influencing DCI,and develop a preoperative prediction model using ML algorithms to enhance colonoscopy quality and efficiency.METHODS This cross-sectional study enrolled 712 patients who underwent colonoscopy at a tertiary hospital between June 2020 and May 2021.Demographic data,past medical history,medication use,and psychological status were collected.The endoscopist assessed DCI using the visual analogue scale.After univariate screening,predictive models were developed using multivariable logistic regression,least absolute shrinkage and selection operator(LASSO)regression,and random forest(RF)algorithms.Model performance was evaluated based on discrimination,calibration,and decision curve analysis(DCA),and results were visualized using nomograms.RESULTS A total of 712 patients(53.8%male;mean age 54.5 years±12.9 years)were included.Logistic regression analysis identified constipation[odds ratio(OR)=2.254,95%confidence interval(CI):1.289-3.931],abdominal circumference(AC)(77.5–91.9 cm,OR=1.895,95%CI:1.065-3.350;AC≥92 cm,OR=1.271,95%CI:0.730-2.188),and anxiety(OR=1.071,95%CI:1.044-1.100)as predictive factors for DCI,validated by LASSO and RF methods.Model performance revealed training/validation sensitivities of 0.826/0.925,0.924/0.868,and 1.000/0.981;specificities of 0.602/0.511,0.510/0.562,and 0.977/0.526;and corresponding area under the receiver operating characteristic curves(AUCs)of 0.780(0.737-0.823)/0.726(0.654-0.799),0.754(0.710-0.798)/0.723(0.656-0.791),and 1.000(1.000-1.000)/0.754(0.688-0.820),respectively.DCA indicated optimal net benefit within probability thresholds of 0-0.9 and 0.05-0.37.The RF model demonstrated superior diagnostic accuracy,reflected by perfect training sensitivity(1.000)and highest validation AUC(0.754),outperforming other methods in clinical applicability.CONCLUSION The RF-based model exhibited superior predictive accuracy for DCI compared to multivariable logistic and LASSO regression models.This approach supports individualized preoperative optimization,enhancing colonoscopy quality through targeted risk stratification.
基金supported by a project entitled Loess Plateau Region-Watershed-Slope Geological Hazard Multi-Scale Collaborative Intelligent Early Warning System of the National Key R&D Program of China(2022YFC3003404)a project of the Shaanxi Youth Science and Technology Star(2021KJXX-87)public welfare geological survey projects of Shaanxi Institute of Geologic Survey(20180301,201918,202103,and 202413).
文摘This study investigated the impacts of random negative training datasets(NTDs)on the uncertainty of machine learning models for geologic hazard susceptibility assessment of the Loess Plateau,northern Shaanxi Province,China.Based on randomly generated 40 NTDs,the study developed models for the geologic hazard susceptibility assessment using the random forest algorithm and evaluated their performances using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve(AUC).Specifically,the means and standard deviations of the AUC values from all models were then utilized to assess the overall spatial correlation between the conditioning factors and the susceptibility assessment,as well as the uncertainty introduced by the NTDs.A risk and return methodology was thus employed to quantify and mitigate the uncertainty,with log odds ratios used to characterize the susceptibility assessment levels.The risk and return values were calculated based on the standard deviations and means of the log odds ratios of various locations.After the mean log odds ratios were converted into probability values,the final susceptibility map was plotted,which accounts for the uncertainty induced by random NTDs.The results indicate that the AUC values of the models ranged from 0.810 to 0.963,with an average of 0.852 and a standard deviation of 0.035,indicating encouraging prediction effects and certain uncertainty.The risk and return analysis reveals that low-risk and high-return areas suggest lower standard deviations and higher means across multiple model-derived assessments.Overall,this study introduces a new framework for quantifying the uncertainty of multiple training and evaluation models,aimed at improving their robustness and reliability.Additionally,by identifying low-risk and high-return areas,resource allocation for geologic hazard prevention and control can be optimized,thus ensuring that limited resources are directed toward the most effective prevention and control measures.
文摘Given the challenge of estimating or calculating quantities of waste electrical and electronic equipment(WEEE)in developing countries,this article focuses on predicting the WEEE generated by Cameroonian small and medium enterprises(SMEs)that are engaged in ISO 14001:2015 initiatives and consume electrical and electronic equipment(EEE)to enhance their performance and profitability.The methodology employed an exploratory approach involving the application of general equilibrium theory(GET)to contextualize the study and generate relevant parameters for deploying the random forest regression learning algorithm for predictions.Machine learning was applied to 80%of the samples for training,while simulation was conducted on the remaining 20%of samples based on quantities of EEE utilized over a specific period,utilization rates,repair rates,and average lifespans.The results demonstrate that the model’s predicted values are significantly close to the actual quantities of generated WEEE,and the model’s performance was evaluated using the mean squared error(MSE)and yielding satisfactory results.Based on this model,both companies and stakeholders can set realistic objectives for managing companies’WEEE,fostering sustainable socio-environmental practices.
基金jointly supported by the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2021YFD1500103)the Science and Technology Project for Black Soil Granary(XDA28080500)the National Science&Technology Fundamental Resources Investigation Program of China(2018FY100300).
文摘The return of crop residues to cultivated fields has numerous agronomic and soil quality benefits and,therefore,the areal extent of crop residue cover(CRC)could provide a rapid measure of the sustainability of agricultural production systems in a region.Recognizing the limitations of traditional CRC methods,a new method is proposed for estimating the spatial and temporal distribution of maize residue cover(MRC)in the Jilin Province,NE China.The method used random forest(RF)algorithms,13 tillage indices and 9 textural feature indicators derived from Sentinel-2 data.The tillage indices with the best predictive performance were STI and NDTI(R^(2) of 0.85 and 0.84,respectively).Among the texture features,the bestfitting was Band8AMean-5*5(R^(2) of 0.56 and 0.54 for the line-transect and photographic methods,respectively).Based on MSE and InNodePurity,the optimal combination of RF algorithm for the linetransect method was STI,NDTI,NDI7,NDRI5,SRNDI,NDRI6,NDRI7 and Band3Mean-3*3.Likewise,the optimal combination of RF algorithm for the photographic method was STI,NDTI,NDI7,SRNDI,NDRI6,NDRI5,NDRI9 and Band3Mean-3*3.Regional distribution of MRC in the Jilin Province,estimated using the RF prediction model,was higher in the central and southeast sections than in the northwest.That distribution was in line with the spatial heterogeneity of maize yield in the region.These findings showed that the RF algorithm can be used to map regional MRC and,therefore,represents a useful tool for monitoring regional-scale adoption of conservation agricultural practices.
基金supported by the Major Program of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.32192434)the Fundamental Research Funds of Chinese Academy of Forestry(No.CAFYBB2019ZD001)the National Key Research and Development Program of China(2016YFD060020602).
文摘Estimating the volume growth of forest ecosystems accurately is important for understanding carbon sequestration and achieving carbon neutrality goals.However,the key environmental factors affecting volume growth differ across various scales and plant functional types.This study was,therefore,conducted to estimate the volume growth of Larix and Quercus forests based on national-scale forestry inventory data in China and its influencing factors using random forest algorithms.The results showed that the model performances of volume growth in natural forests(R^(2)=0.65 for Larix and 0.66 for Quercus,respectively)were better than those in planted forests(R^(2)=0.44 for Larix and 0.40 for Quercus,respectively).In both natural and planted forests,the stand age showed a strong relative importance for volume growth(8.6%–66.2%),while the edaphic and climatic variables had a limited relative importance(<6.0%).The relationship between stand age and volume growth was unimodal in natural forests and linear increase in planted Quercus forests.And the specific locations(i.e.,altitude and aspect)of sampling plots exhibited high relative importance for volume growth in planted forests(4.1%–18.2%).Altitude positively affected volume growth in planted Larix forests but controlled volume growth negatively in planted Quercus forests.Similarly,the effects of other environmental factors on volume growth also differed in both stand origins(planted versus natural)and plant functional types(Larix versus Quercus).These results highlighted that the stand age was the most important predictor for volume growth and there were diverse effects of environmental factors on volume growth among stand origins and plant functional types.Our findings will provide a good framework for site-specific recommendations regarding the management practices necessary to maintain the volume growth in China's forest ecosystems.
