Objectives This study aimed to explore the lagged and cumulative effects of risk factors on disability in older adults using distributed lag non-linear models(DLNMs).Methods We utilized data from the China Health and ...Objectives This study aimed to explore the lagged and cumulative effects of risk factors on disability in older adults using distributed lag non-linear models(DLNMs).Methods We utilized data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study(CHARLS).After feature selection via Elastic Net Regularization,we applied DLNMs to evaluate the lagged effects of risk factors.Disability was defined as the presence of any difficulties in basic activities of daily living(BADL).The cumulative relative risk(CRR)was calculated by summing the lag-specific risk estimates,representing the cumulative disability risk over the specified lag period.Effect modifications and sensitivity analyses were also performed.Results This study included a total of 2,318 participants.Early-phase lag factors,such as the difficulty in stooping(CRR=3.58;95%CI:2.31-5.55;P<0.001)and walking(CRR=2.77;95%CI:1.39-5.55;P<0.001),exerted the strongest effects immediately upon occurrence.Mid-phase lag factors,such as arthritis(CRR=1.51;95%CI:1.10-2.06;P=0.001),showed a resurgence in disability risk within 2-3 years.Late-phase lag factors,including depressive symptoms(CRR=2.38;95%CI:1.30-4.35;P<0.001)and elevated systolic blood pressure(CRR=1.64;95%CI:1.06-2.79;P=0.02),exhibited significant long-term cumulative risks.Conversely,grip strength(CRR=0.80;95%CI:0.54-0.95;P=0.02)and social participation(CRR=0.89;95%CI:0.73-0.99;P=0.04)were significant protective factors.Conclusions The findings underscore the importance of tailored interventions that account for various lag characteristics of different factors to effectively mitigate disability risk.Future studies should explore the underlying biological and sociological mechanisms of these lagged effects,identify intervention strategies that target risk factors with different lagged patterns,and evaluate their effectiveness.展开更多
In this paper, a novel real time non-linear model predictive controller(NMPC) for a multi-variable coupled tank system(CTS) is designed. CTSs are highly non-linear and can be found in many industrial process applicati...In this paper, a novel real time non-linear model predictive controller(NMPC) for a multi-variable coupled tank system(CTS) is designed. CTSs are highly non-linear and can be found in many industrial process applications. The involvement of multi-input multi-output(MIMO) system makes the design of an effective controller a challenging task. MIMO systems have inherent couplings,interactions in-between the process input-output variables and generally have an complex internal structure. The aim of this paper is to design, simulate, and implement a novel real time constrained NMPC for a multi-variable CTS with the aid of intelligent system techniques. There are two major formidable challenges hindering the success of the implementation of a NMPC strategy in the MIMO case. The first is the difficulty of obtaining a good non-linear model by training a non-convex complex network to avoid being trapped in a local minimum solution. The second is the online real time optimisation(RTO) of the manipulated variable at every sampling time.A novel wavelet neural network(WNN) with high predicting precision and time-frequency localisation characteristic was selected for an MIMO model and a fast stochastic wavelet gradient algorithm was used for initial training of the network. Furthermore, a genetic algorithm was used to obtain the optimised parameters of the WNN as well as the RTO during the NMPC strategy. The proposed strategy performed well in both simulation and real time on an MIMO CTS. The results indicated that WNN provided better trajectory regulation with less mean-squared-error and average control energy compared to an artificial neural network. It is also shown that the WNN is more robust during abnormal operating conditions.展开更多
In this study the copper and lead adsorption efficiency onto banana peels powder was investigated. The agroindustrial waste recovery represents one of the Circular Economy pillars. In the view of the synthesis of an e...In this study the copper and lead adsorption efficiency onto banana peels powder was investigated. The agroindustrial waste recovery represents one of the Circular Economy pillars. In the view of the synthesis of an environmentally friendly adsorbent material, the powder was used without any preliminary chemical or thermal activation, but only after simple washing, drying and grinding. The bio-adsorbent was characterized by the FTIR technique and tested in batch mode on synthetic aqueous solutions containing Pb and Cu in the range 10–90 mg·L^(-1). A selection of two(Langmuir, Freundlich) and three(Sips, Redlich–Peterson, Koble–Corrigan) parameter isotherm models was chosen to fit adsorption equilibrium data by non-linear regression procedure. The best fit isotherm model was selected relying on the error function with the lowest average percentage error(APE) value, among those characterized by the highest R^2 values. As expected, the three-parameter models are found to better represent both metals bio-adsorption, with APE and R^2 values always lower and higher, respectively, than the corresponding values obtained for the two-parameter models.展开更多
This paper investigates the mathematic features of non-linear models and discusses the processing way of non-linear factors which contributes to the non-linearity of a non-linear model. On the basis of the error defin...This paper investigates the mathematic features of non-linear models and discusses the processing way of non-linear factors which contributes to the non-linearity of a non-linear model. On the basis of the error definition,this paper puts forward a new adjustment criterion, SGPE.Last,this paper investigates the solution of a non-linear regression model in the non-linear model space and makes the comparison between the estimated values in non-linear model space and those in linear model space.展开更多
Many experiments have supported the contact models,such as the GW and MB models,but the majority of previous validations have been performed under light loads,resulting in a linear relationship between normal force an...Many experiments have supported the contact models,such as the GW and MB models,but the majority of previous validations have been performed under light loads,resulting in a linear relationship between normal force and contact area.However,the real contact area fraction should never equal one;there must be a limit smaller than the apparent area,implying that the real contact area cannot increase linearly indefinitely.In this paper,the real contact area between two polymethylmethacrylate(PMMA)blocks under heavy load is measured using the total reflection method,and the contact area is analyzed using the image processing method.The results show that the real contact area increases with normal load linearly in light loads but non-linearly in heavy loads;the number of contact spots increases with load linearly in light loads but also non-linearly in heavy loads,synchronous with the change in the real contact area.The GW,MB,and Zhao,Maietta,and Chang(ZMC)models were used to predict the experiment results,but none of them predicted the non-linear stage.A revised GW model based on the bulk deformation hypothesis performs better in predicting the non-linear stage.The study’s findings can be applied to PMMA or other similar materials,and they can serve as a useful reference for future research on the contact mechanisms of other materials.展开更多
Deformations in high fill foundations comprising soil–stone mixtures must be accurately predicted to ensure construction quality and long-term operational safety.However,existing computational and analytical methods ...Deformations in high fill foundations comprising soil–stone mixtures must be accurately predicted to ensure construction quality and long-term operational safety.However,existing computational and analytical methods inadequately capture their complex mechanical behavior.We conducted a series of triaxial tests on unsaturated soil samples collected from a high fill project site in northwestern China under three stress paths.The incremental nonlinear and elastoplastic constitutive models for unsaturated soils were modified,and a calculation method was developed for the vertical and lateral deformations of high fill foundations using the layered summation approach.The results indicate that for soil samples with the same mixing ratio(m)and compaction coefficient(n),the strength of the sample and its tendency to exhibit shear dilation increase with the net confining pressure or matric suction.Additionally,the stress–strain curve of the soil sample gradually changes from the strain-hardening type to the ideal elastoplastic type as the compaction coefficient increases.Moreover,the compaction coefficient is an important factor influencing the magnitude of yield stress and yield suction in soil samples,and the yield points of both are similar in shape to the loadingcollapse(LC)and suction increase(SI)yield lines obtained using the Barcelona model in the net mean stress-generalized shear stress(p-s)plane,respectively.The modified incremental nonlinear instantaneous model simultaneously considers the effects of the compaction coefficient,suction and mixing ratio,and the model parameter can be simplified to the tangential modulus expression in the Duncan-Chang model when the suction is zero.Furthermore,the modified elastoplastic constitutive model,which considers the effects of the net mean stress,suction and partial stress,can be simplified to the elastoplastic constitutive relationship of saturated soil when the suction is zero.The proposed deformation calculation method,based on the layered summation theory,is applicable to both elastic and elastoplastic foundation states,as confirmed through numerical simulations.Our work can be used as a reference for the calculation of foundation deformation in similar mixed material high fill projects.展开更多
Rural domestic sewage treatment is critical for environmental protection.This study defines the spatial pattern of villages from the perspective of rural sewage treatment and develops an integrated decision-making sys...Rural domestic sewage treatment is critical for environmental protection.This study defines the spatial pattern of villages from the perspective of rural sewage treatment and develops an integrated decision-making system to propose a sewage treatment mode and scheme suitable for local conditions.By considering the village spatial layout and terrain factors,a decision tree model of residential density and terrain type was constructed with accuracies of 76.47%and 96.00%,respectively.Combined with binary classification probability unit regression,an appropriate sewage treatment mode for the village was determined with 87.00%accuracy.The Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP),combined with the Technique for Order Preference(TOPSIS)by Similarity to an Ideal Solution model,formed the basis for optimal treatment process selection under different emission standards.Verification was conducted in 542 villages across three counties of the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,focusing on the standard effluent effect(0.3773),low investment cost(0.3196),and high standard effluent effect(0.5115)to determine the best treatment process for the same emission standard under different needs.The annual environmental and carbon emission benefits of sewage treatment in these villages were estimated.This model matches village density,geographic feature,and social development level,and provides scientific support and a theoretical basis for rural sewage treatment decision-making.展开更多
We present a comprehensive description and benchmark evaluation of the global–regional chemical transport model called the Emission and Atmospheric Processes Integrated and Coupled Community(EPICC)model.The framework...We present a comprehensive description and benchmark evaluation of the global–regional chemical transport model called the Emission and Atmospheric Processes Integrated and Coupled Community(EPICC)model.The framework incorporates(1)grid configuration,(2)transport dynamics,(3)chemical mechanisms,(4)aerosol processes,(5)wet/dry deposition parameterizations,and(6)heterogeneous chemistry treatments associated with sulfate,nitrous acid(HONO)chemistry,and aerosol/cloud–photolysis interactions(APIs/CPIs).Openly shared with the atmospheric research community,the model facilitates integration of advanced physicochemical schemes to enhance simulation accuracy.Globally,the model demonstrates realistic representations of ozone(O_(3))and aerosol optical depth.The EPICC model generally demonstrates robust performance in simulating regional concentrations of O_(3) and PM_(2.5)(and its components)in China.It successfully captures vertical profiles of both global and regional O_(3).Notably,the model mitigates frequently reported sulfate underestimations in highly industrialized regions of China.The model accurately captures two regional severe pollution episodes observed in eastern China(January/June 2021).Sensitivity experiments highlight the critical roles of heterogeneous chemical mechanisms associated with sulfate,HONO chemistry,APIs,and CPIs in capturing PM_(2.5) and O_(3) concentrations in China.Improved sulfate mechanisms result in an increase of approximately 32.4%(2.8μg m^(−3))in simulated winter sulfate concentrations when observations exceed 10μg m^(−3).Enhanced HONO elevates winter O_(3) and PM_(2.5) by≤20 and≤10μg m^(−3),respectively.Overall,CPIs dominate over APIs in improving O_(3) and PM_(2.5) simulations across China.Locally,APIs mitigate PM_(2.5) and O_(3) discrepancies in the Sichuan Basin.Seasonal cloud–chemistry coupling explains the weaker impact of PM_(2.5) in summer.展开更多
Model evaluation using benchmark datasets is an important method to measure the capability of large language models(LLMs)in specific domains,and it is mainly used to assess the knowledge and reasoning abilities of LLM...Model evaluation using benchmark datasets is an important method to measure the capability of large language models(LLMs)in specific domains,and it is mainly used to assess the knowledge and reasoning abilities of LLMs.Therefore,in order to better assess the capability of LLMs in the agricultural domain,Agri-Eval was proposed as a benchmark for assessing the knowledge and reasoning ability of LLMs in agriculture.The assessment dataset used in Agri-Eval covered seven major disciplines in the agricultural domain:crop science,horticulture,plant protection,animal husbandry,forest science,aquaculture science,and grass science,and contained a total of 2283 questions.Among domestic general-purpose LLMs,DeepSeek R1 performed best with an accuracy rate of 75.49%.In the realm of international general-purpose LLMs,Gemini 2.0 pro exp 0205 standed out as the top performer,achieving an accuracy rate of 74.28%.As an LLMs in agriculture vertical,Shennong V2.0 outperformed all the LLMs in China,and the answer accuracy rate of agricultural knowledge exceeded that of all the existing general-purpose LLMs.The launch of Agri-Eval helped the LLM developers to comprehensively evaluate the model's capability in the field of agriculture through a variety of tasks and tests to promote the development of the LLMs in the field of agriculture.展开更多
In this paper,we establish and study a single-species logistic model with impulsive age-selective harvesting.First,we prove the ultimate boundedness of the solutions of the system.Then,we obtain conditions for the asy...In this paper,we establish and study a single-species logistic model with impulsive age-selective harvesting.First,we prove the ultimate boundedness of the solutions of the system.Then,we obtain conditions for the asymptotic stability of the trivial solution and the positive periodic solution.Finally,numerical simulations are presented to validate our results.Our results show that age-selective harvesting is more conducive to sustainable population survival than non-age-selective harvesting.展开更多
The proliferation of high-dimensional data and the widespread use of complex models present central challenges in contemporary statistics and data science.Dimension reduction and model checking,as two foundational pil...The proliferation of high-dimensional data and the widespread use of complex models present central challenges in contemporary statistics and data science.Dimension reduction and model checking,as two foundational pillars supporting scientific inference and data-driven decisionmaking,have evolved through the collective wisdom of generations of statisticians.This special issue,titled"Recent Developments in Dimension Reduction and Model Checking for regressions",not only aims to showcase cutting-edge advances in the field but also carries a distinct sense of academic homage to honor the groundbreaking and enduring contributions of Professor Lixing Zhu,a leading scholar whose work has profoundly shaped both areas.展开更多
In their recent paper Pereira et al.(2025)claim that validation is overlooked in mapping and modelling of ecosystem services(ES).They state that“many studies lack critical evaluation of the results and no validation ...In their recent paper Pereira et al.(2025)claim that validation is overlooked in mapping and modelling of ecosystem services(ES).They state that“many studies lack critical evaluation of the results and no validation is provided”and that“the validation step is largely overlooked”.This assertion may have been true several years ago,for example,when Ochoa and Urbina-Cardona(2017)made a similar observation.However,there has been much work on ES model validation over the last decade.展开更多
This paper presents an efficient model reduction technique for linear time-varying systems based on shifted Legendre polynomials.The approach constructs approximate low-rank decomposition factors of finite-time Gramia...This paper presents an efficient model reduction technique for linear time-varying systems based on shifted Legendre polynomials.The approach constructs approximate low-rank decomposition factors of finite-time Gramians directly from the expansion coefficients of impulse responses.Leveraging these factors,we develop two model reduction algorithms that integrate the low-rank square root method with dominant subspace projection.Our method is computationally efficient and flexible,requiring only a few matrix-vector operations and a singular value decomposition of a low-dimensional matrix,thereby avoiding the need to solve differential Lyapunov equations.Numerical experiments confirm the effectiveness of the proposed approach.展开更多
In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and cha...In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and change.Likewise,this period has seen a significant increase in our understanding of the physical processes and mechanisms that drive precipitation and its variability across different regions of Africa.By leveraging a large volume of climate model outputs,numerous studies have investigated the model representation of African precipitation as well as underlying physical processes.These studies have assessed whether the physical processes are well depicted and whether the models are fit for informing mitigation and adaptation strategies.This paper provides a review of the progress in precipitation simulation overAfrica in state-of-the-science climate models and discusses the major issues and challenges that remain.展开更多
The dissolution of MgO-refractory into the slag had an obvious influence on the steel-slag reaction and the slag property,especially for high-aluminum steels.The dissolution behavior of MgO-refractory was investigated...The dissolution of MgO-refractory into the slag had an obvious influence on the steel-slag reaction and the slag property,especially for high-aluminum steels.The dissolution behavior of MgO-refractory was investigated under various conditions,including the temperature,the initial steel composition,and the initial slag composition.A steel-slag-refractory kinetic model for high-aluminum steel was developed,which incorporated the process of MgO-refractory dissolution.The dependence of the MgO mass transfer coefficient k_(MgO)^(r)on temperature T during MgO-refractory dissolution process was established,as described by ln k_(MgO)^(r)=63,754/T+24.38524.It was indicated that the MgO dissolution rate was significantly influenced by the temperature.A higher temperature increased the dissolution rate of MgO.The initial steel composition had a slight impact on the MgO dissolution rate.Additionally,the initial slag composition strongly impacted the MgO saturation concentration and the dissolution rate.A lower initial Al_(2)O_(3)/SiO_(2)ratio increased the MgO dissolution rate.The steel-slag-refractory kinetic model accurately predicted the dissolution of MgO-refractory and the influence of dissolved MgO on the viscosity and composition change during steel-slag-refractory reactions.It was suggested that a higher temperature can hardly reduce the viscosity due to the dissolution of the MgO-refractory.展开更多
Background:Large language models(LLMs)have shown considerable promise in supporting clinical decision-making.However,their adoption and evaluation in dermatology remains limited.This study aimed to explore the prefere...Background:Large language models(LLMs)have shown considerable promise in supporting clinical decision-making.However,their adoption and evaluation in dermatology remains limited.This study aimed to explore the preferences of Chinese dermatologists regarding LLM-generated responses in clinical psoriasis scenarios and to assess how they prioritize key quality dimensions,including accuracy,traceability,and logicality.Methods:A cross-sectional,web-based survey was conducted between December 25,2024,and January 22,2025,following the Checklist for Reporting Results of Internet E-Surveys guidelines.A total of 1247 valid responses were collected from practicing dermatologists across 33 of China's provincial-level administrative divisions.Participants evaluated responses to five categories of clinical questions(etiology,clinical presentation,differential diagnosis,treatment,and case study)generated by five LLMs:ChatGPT-4o,Kimi.ai,Doubao,ZuoYiGPT,and Lingyi-agent.Statistical associations between participant characteristics and model preferences were examined using chi-square tests.Results:ChatGPT-4o(Model 1)emerged as the most preferred model across all clinical tasks,consistently receiving the highest number of votes in case study(n=740),clinical presentation(n=666),differential diagnosis(n=707),etiology(n=602),and treatment(n=656).Significant variation in model preference by professional title was observed only for the differential diagnosis task(χ^(2)=21.13,df=12,p=0.0485),while no significant differences were found across hospital tiers(p>0.05).In terms of evaluation dimensions,accuracy was most frequently rated as“very important”(n=635).A significant association existed between hospital tier and the most valued dimension(χ^(2)=27.667,df=9,p=0.0011),with dermatologists in primary hospitals prioritizing traceability more than their peers in higher-tier hospitals.No significant associations were found across professional titles(p=0.127).Conclusions:Chinese dermatologists suggest a strong preference for ChatGPT-4o over domestic LLMs in psoriasis-related clinical tasks.While accuracy remains the primary criterion,traceability and logicality are also critical,particularly for clinicians in lower-tier hospitals.These findings suggest that future clinical LLMs should prioritize not only content accuracy but also source transparency and structural clarity to meet the diverse needs of different clinical settings.展开更多
The Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes(RANS)technique enables critical engineering predictions and is widely adopted.However,since this iterative computation relies on the fixed-point iteration,it may converge to unexpec...The Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes(RANS)technique enables critical engineering predictions and is widely adopted.However,since this iterative computation relies on the fixed-point iteration,it may converge to unexpected non-physical phase points in practice.We conduct an analysis on the phase-space characteristics and the fixed-point theory underlying the k-ε turbulence model,and employ the classical Kolmogorov flow as a framework,leveraging its direct numerical simulation(DNS)data to construct a one-dimensional(1D)system under periodic/fixed boundary conditions.The RANS results demonstrate that under periodic boundary conditions,the k-ε model exhibits only a unique trivial fixed point,with asymptotes capturing the phase portraits.The stability of this trivial fixed point is determined by a mathematically derived stability phase diagram,indicating the fact that the k-ε model will never converge to correct values under periodic conditions.In contrast,under fixed boundary conditions,the model can yield a stable non-trivial fixed point.The evolutionary mechanisms and their relationship with boundary condition settings systematically explain the inherent limitations of the k-ε model,i.e.,its deficiency in computing the flow field under periodic boundary conditions and sensitivity to boundary-value specifications under fixed boundary conditions.These conclusions are finally validated with the open-source code OpenFOAM.展开更多
Utilizing finite element analysis,the ballistic protection provided by a combination of perforated D-shaped and base armor plates,collectively referred to as radiator armor,is evaluated.ANSYS Explicit Dynamics is empl...Utilizing finite element analysis,the ballistic protection provided by a combination of perforated D-shaped and base armor plates,collectively referred to as radiator armor,is evaluated.ANSYS Explicit Dynamics is employed to simulate the ballistic impact of 7.62 mm armor-piercing projectiles on Aluminum AA5083-H116 and Steel Secure 500 armors,focusing on the evaluation of material deformation and penetration resistance at varying impact points.While the D-shaped armor plate is penetrated by the armor-piercing projectiles,the combination of the perforated D-shaped and base armor plates successfully halts penetration.A numerical model based on the finite element method is developed using software such as SolidWorks and ANSYS to analyze the interaction between radiator armor and bullet.The perforated design of radiator armor is to maintain airflow for radiator function,with hole sizes smaller than the bullet core diameter to protect radiator assemblies.Predictions are made regarding the brittle fracture resulting from the projectile core′s bending due to asymmetric impact,and the resulting fragments failed to penetrate the perforated base armor plate.Craters are formed on the surface of the perforated D-shaped armor plate due to the impact of projectile fragments.The numerical model accurately predicts hole growth and projectile penetration upon impact with the armor,demonstrating effective protection of the radiator assemblies by the radiator armor.展开更多
In materials science and engineering design,high-fidelity and high-efficiency numerical simulation has become a driving force for innovation and practical implementation.To address longstanding bottlenecks in the deve...In materials science and engineering design,high-fidelity and high-efficiency numerical simulation has become a driving force for innovation and practical implementation.To address longstanding bottlenecks in the development of conventional material constitutive models—such as lengthy modeling cycles and difficulties in numerical implementation—this study proposes an intelligent modeling and code generation approach powered by large languagemodels.A structured knowledge base integrating constitutive theory,numerical algorithms,and UMAT(User Material)interface specifications is constructed,and a retrieval-augmented generation strategy is employed to establish an end-to-end workflow spanning experimental data parsing,constitutive model formulation,and automatic UMAT subroutine generation.Experimental results show that the method achieves high accuracy for both a classical Johnson–Cookmodel and a physics-informed neural network(PINN)model,with key parameter identification errors below 5%.Moreover,the automatically generated UMAT subroutines yield finite element simulation results in Abaqus that are highly consistent with theoretical predictions(coefficient of determination R2>0.98)while maintaining good numerical stability.This framework is currently focused on the automatic construction of rate-dependent elastoplastic material models,and its core method also provides a clear path for extending to other constitutive categories such as hyperelasticity and viscoelasticity.This work provides an effective technical route for the rapid development and reliable numerical implementation of material constitutive models,significantly advancing the intelligence level of computational mechanics research and improving engineering application efficiency.展开更多
Coordinate transformation models often fail to account for nonlinear and spatially dependent distortions,leading to significant residual errors in geospatial applications.Here,we propose a residual-based neural correc...Coordinate transformation models often fail to account for nonlinear and spatially dependent distortions,leading to significant residual errors in geospatial applications.Here,we propose a residual-based neural correction(RBNC)strategy,in which a neural network learns to model only the systematic distortions left by an initial geometric transformation.By focusing solely on residual patterns,RBNC reduces model complexity and improves performance,particularly in scenarios with sparse or structured control point configurations.We evaluate the method using both simulated datasets(with varying distortion intensities and sampling strategies)and real-world image georeferencing tasks.Compared with direct neural network coordinate converters and classical transformation models,RBNC delivers more accurate and stable results under challenging conditions,while maintaining comparable performance in ideal cases.These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of residual modelling as a light-weight and robust alternative for improving coordinate transformation accuracy.展开更多
基金supported by ScientificResearch Fund of National Health Commission of the People’s Republic of China-Major Science and Technology Program for Medicine and Health in Zhejiang Province(WKJ-ZJ-2406).
文摘Objectives This study aimed to explore the lagged and cumulative effects of risk factors on disability in older adults using distributed lag non-linear models(DLNMs).Methods We utilized data from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study(CHARLS).After feature selection via Elastic Net Regularization,we applied DLNMs to evaluate the lagged effects of risk factors.Disability was defined as the presence of any difficulties in basic activities of daily living(BADL).The cumulative relative risk(CRR)was calculated by summing the lag-specific risk estimates,representing the cumulative disability risk over the specified lag period.Effect modifications and sensitivity analyses were also performed.Results This study included a total of 2,318 participants.Early-phase lag factors,such as the difficulty in stooping(CRR=3.58;95%CI:2.31-5.55;P<0.001)and walking(CRR=2.77;95%CI:1.39-5.55;P<0.001),exerted the strongest effects immediately upon occurrence.Mid-phase lag factors,such as arthritis(CRR=1.51;95%CI:1.10-2.06;P=0.001),showed a resurgence in disability risk within 2-3 years.Late-phase lag factors,including depressive symptoms(CRR=2.38;95%CI:1.30-4.35;P<0.001)and elevated systolic blood pressure(CRR=1.64;95%CI:1.06-2.79;P=0.02),exhibited significant long-term cumulative risks.Conversely,grip strength(CRR=0.80;95%CI:0.54-0.95;P=0.02)and social participation(CRR=0.89;95%CI:0.73-0.99;P=0.04)were significant protective factors.Conclusions The findings underscore the importance of tailored interventions that account for various lag characteristics of different factors to effectively mitigate disability risk.Future studies should explore the underlying biological and sociological mechanisms of these lagged effects,identify intervention strategies that target risk factors with different lagged patterns,and evaluate their effectiveness.
基金supported by Petroleum Training Development Fund,Nigeria
文摘In this paper, a novel real time non-linear model predictive controller(NMPC) for a multi-variable coupled tank system(CTS) is designed. CTSs are highly non-linear and can be found in many industrial process applications. The involvement of multi-input multi-output(MIMO) system makes the design of an effective controller a challenging task. MIMO systems have inherent couplings,interactions in-between the process input-output variables and generally have an complex internal structure. The aim of this paper is to design, simulate, and implement a novel real time constrained NMPC for a multi-variable CTS with the aid of intelligent system techniques. There are two major formidable challenges hindering the success of the implementation of a NMPC strategy in the MIMO case. The first is the difficulty of obtaining a good non-linear model by training a non-convex complex network to avoid being trapped in a local minimum solution. The second is the online real time optimisation(RTO) of the manipulated variable at every sampling time.A novel wavelet neural network(WNN) with high predicting precision and time-frequency localisation characteristic was selected for an MIMO model and a fast stochastic wavelet gradient algorithm was used for initial training of the network. Furthermore, a genetic algorithm was used to obtain the optimised parameters of the WNN as well as the RTO during the NMPC strategy. The proposed strategy performed well in both simulation and real time on an MIMO CTS. The results indicated that WNN provided better trajectory regulation with less mean-squared-error and average control energy compared to an artificial neural network. It is also shown that the WNN is more robust during abnormal operating conditions.
基金the Dept. of Chemical Engineering Materials Environment of Sapienza University of Rome
文摘In this study the copper and lead adsorption efficiency onto banana peels powder was investigated. The agroindustrial waste recovery represents one of the Circular Economy pillars. In the view of the synthesis of an environmentally friendly adsorbent material, the powder was used without any preliminary chemical or thermal activation, but only after simple washing, drying and grinding. The bio-adsorbent was characterized by the FTIR technique and tested in batch mode on synthetic aqueous solutions containing Pb and Cu in the range 10–90 mg·L^(-1). A selection of two(Langmuir, Freundlich) and three(Sips, Redlich–Peterson, Koble–Corrigan) parameter isotherm models was chosen to fit adsorption equilibrium data by non-linear regression procedure. The best fit isotherm model was selected relying on the error function with the lowest average percentage error(APE) value, among those characterized by the highest R^2 values. As expected, the three-parameter models are found to better represent both metals bio-adsorption, with APE and R^2 values always lower and higher, respectively, than the corresponding values obtained for the two-parameter models.
文摘This paper investigates the mathematic features of non-linear models and discusses the processing way of non-linear factors which contributes to the non-linearity of a non-linear model. On the basis of the error definition,this paper puts forward a new adjustment criterion, SGPE.Last,this paper investigates the solution of a non-linear regression model in the non-linear model space and makes the comparison between the estimated values in non-linear model space and those in linear model space.
基金Supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.11872033)Beijing Municipal Natural Science Foundation(Grant No.3172017)。
文摘Many experiments have supported the contact models,such as the GW and MB models,but the majority of previous validations have been performed under light loads,resulting in a linear relationship between normal force and contact area.However,the real contact area fraction should never equal one;there must be a limit smaller than the apparent area,implying that the real contact area cannot increase linearly indefinitely.In this paper,the real contact area between two polymethylmethacrylate(PMMA)blocks under heavy load is measured using the total reflection method,and the contact area is analyzed using the image processing method.The results show that the real contact area increases with normal load linearly in light loads but non-linearly in heavy loads;the number of contact spots increases with load linearly in light loads but also non-linearly in heavy loads,synchronous with the change in the real contact area.The GW,MB,and Zhao,Maietta,and Chang(ZMC)models were used to predict the experiment results,but none of them predicted the non-linear stage.A revised GW model based on the bulk deformation hypothesis performs better in predicting the non-linear stage.The study’s findings can be applied to PMMA or other similar materials,and they can serve as a useful reference for future research on the contact mechanisms of other materials.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.52368049,52168051,and 42462028)Lanzhou Young Scientific and Technological Talents Innovation Project(Grant Nos.2023-QN-27 and 2023-QN-52)Major Project of the Joint Scientific Research Fund of Gansu Province(Grant No.25JRRL007)。
文摘Deformations in high fill foundations comprising soil–stone mixtures must be accurately predicted to ensure construction quality and long-term operational safety.However,existing computational and analytical methods inadequately capture their complex mechanical behavior.We conducted a series of triaxial tests on unsaturated soil samples collected from a high fill project site in northwestern China under three stress paths.The incremental nonlinear and elastoplastic constitutive models for unsaturated soils were modified,and a calculation method was developed for the vertical and lateral deformations of high fill foundations using the layered summation approach.The results indicate that for soil samples with the same mixing ratio(m)and compaction coefficient(n),the strength of the sample and its tendency to exhibit shear dilation increase with the net confining pressure or matric suction.Additionally,the stress–strain curve of the soil sample gradually changes from the strain-hardening type to the ideal elastoplastic type as the compaction coefficient increases.Moreover,the compaction coefficient is an important factor influencing the magnitude of yield stress and yield suction in soil samples,and the yield points of both are similar in shape to the loadingcollapse(LC)and suction increase(SI)yield lines obtained using the Barcelona model in the net mean stress-generalized shear stress(p-s)plane,respectively.The modified incremental nonlinear instantaneous model simultaneously considers the effects of the compaction coefficient,suction and mixing ratio,and the model parameter can be simplified to the tangential modulus expression in the Duncan-Chang model when the suction is zero.Furthermore,the modified elastoplastic constitutive model,which considers the effects of the net mean stress,suction and partial stress,can be simplified to the elastoplastic constitutive relationship of saturated soil when the suction is zero.The proposed deformation calculation method,based on the layered summation theory,is applicable to both elastic and elastoplastic foundation states,as confirmed through numerical simulations.Our work can be used as a reference for the calculation of foundation deformation in similar mixed material high fill projects.
基金supported by the Central Government Guiding Local Science and Technology Development Fund Project(No.2024SZY0343)the Joint Research Program for Ecological Conservation and High Quality Development of the Yellow River Basin(No.2022-YRUC-01-050205)+2 种基金the Higher Education Scientific Research Project of Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region(No.NJZZ23078)the project of Inner Mongolia"Prairie Talents"Engineering Innovation Entrepreneurship Talent Team,the Major Projects of Erdos Science and Technology(No.2022EEDSKJZDZX015)the Innovation Team of the Inner Mongolia Academy of Science and Technology(No.CXTD2023-01-016).
文摘Rural domestic sewage treatment is critical for environmental protection.This study defines the spatial pattern of villages from the perspective of rural sewage treatment and develops an integrated decision-making system to propose a sewage treatment mode and scheme suitable for local conditions.By considering the village spatial layout and terrain factors,a decision tree model of residential density and terrain type was constructed with accuracies of 76.47%and 96.00%,respectively.Combined with binary classification probability unit regression,an appropriate sewage treatment mode for the village was determined with 87.00%accuracy.The Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP),combined with the Technique for Order Preference(TOPSIS)by Similarity to an Ideal Solution model,formed the basis for optimal treatment process selection under different emission standards.Verification was conducted in 542 villages across three counties of the Inner Mongolia Autonomous Region,focusing on the standard effluent effect(0.3773),low investment cost(0.3196),and high standard effluent effect(0.5115)to determine the best treatment process for the same emission standard under different needs.The annual environmental and carbon emission benefits of sewage treatment in these villages were estimated.This model matches village density,geographic feature,and social development level,and provides scientific support and a theoretical basis for rural sewage treatment decision-making.
基金National Key Scientific and Technological Infrastructure project “Earth System Science Numerical Simulator Facility” (EarthLab)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 92044302)the National Key Research Development Program of China (Grant No. 2022YFC3700703)
文摘We present a comprehensive description and benchmark evaluation of the global–regional chemical transport model called the Emission and Atmospheric Processes Integrated and Coupled Community(EPICC)model.The framework incorporates(1)grid configuration,(2)transport dynamics,(3)chemical mechanisms,(4)aerosol processes,(5)wet/dry deposition parameterizations,and(6)heterogeneous chemistry treatments associated with sulfate,nitrous acid(HONO)chemistry,and aerosol/cloud–photolysis interactions(APIs/CPIs).Openly shared with the atmospheric research community,the model facilitates integration of advanced physicochemical schemes to enhance simulation accuracy.Globally,the model demonstrates realistic representations of ozone(O_(3))and aerosol optical depth.The EPICC model generally demonstrates robust performance in simulating regional concentrations of O_(3) and PM_(2.5)(and its components)in China.It successfully captures vertical profiles of both global and regional O_(3).Notably,the model mitigates frequently reported sulfate underestimations in highly industrialized regions of China.The model accurately captures two regional severe pollution episodes observed in eastern China(January/June 2021).Sensitivity experiments highlight the critical roles of heterogeneous chemical mechanisms associated with sulfate,HONO chemistry,APIs,and CPIs in capturing PM_(2.5) and O_(3) concentrations in China.Improved sulfate mechanisms result in an increase of approximately 32.4%(2.8μg m^(−3))in simulated winter sulfate concentrations when observations exceed 10μg m^(−3).Enhanced HONO elevates winter O_(3) and PM_(2.5) by≤20 and≤10μg m^(−3),respectively.Overall,CPIs dominate over APIs in improving O_(3) and PM_(2.5) simulations across China.Locally,APIs mitigate PM_(2.5) and O_(3) discrepancies in the Sichuan Basin.Seasonal cloud–chemistry coupling explains the weaker impact of PM_(2.5) in summer.
文摘Model evaluation using benchmark datasets is an important method to measure the capability of large language models(LLMs)in specific domains,and it is mainly used to assess the knowledge and reasoning abilities of LLMs.Therefore,in order to better assess the capability of LLMs in the agricultural domain,Agri-Eval was proposed as a benchmark for assessing the knowledge and reasoning ability of LLMs in agriculture.The assessment dataset used in Agri-Eval covered seven major disciplines in the agricultural domain:crop science,horticulture,plant protection,animal husbandry,forest science,aquaculture science,and grass science,and contained a total of 2283 questions.Among domestic general-purpose LLMs,DeepSeek R1 performed best with an accuracy rate of 75.49%.In the realm of international general-purpose LLMs,Gemini 2.0 pro exp 0205 standed out as the top performer,achieving an accuracy rate of 74.28%.As an LLMs in agriculture vertical,Shennong V2.0 outperformed all the LLMs in China,and the answer accuracy rate of agricultural knowledge exceeded that of all the existing general-purpose LLMs.The launch of Agri-Eval helped the LLM developers to comprehensively evaluate the model's capability in the field of agriculture through a variety of tasks and tests to promote the development of the LLMs in the field of agriculture.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(12261018)Universities Key Laboratory of Mathematical Modeling and Data Mining in Guizhou Province(2023013)。
文摘In this paper,we establish and study a single-species logistic model with impulsive age-selective harvesting.First,we prove the ultimate boundedness of the solutions of the system.Then,we obtain conditions for the asymptotic stability of the trivial solution and the positive periodic solution.Finally,numerical simulations are presented to validate our results.Our results show that age-selective harvesting is more conducive to sustainable population survival than non-age-selective harvesting.
文摘The proliferation of high-dimensional data and the widespread use of complex models present central challenges in contemporary statistics and data science.Dimension reduction and model checking,as two foundational pillars supporting scientific inference and data-driven decisionmaking,have evolved through the collective wisdom of generations of statisticians.This special issue,titled"Recent Developments in Dimension Reduction and Model Checking for regressions",not only aims to showcase cutting-edge advances in the field but also carries a distinct sense of academic homage to honor the groundbreaking and enduring contributions of Professor Lixing Zhu,a leading scholar whose work has profoundly shaped both areas.
文摘In their recent paper Pereira et al.(2025)claim that validation is overlooked in mapping and modelling of ecosystem services(ES).They state that“many studies lack critical evaluation of the results and no validation is provided”and that“the validation step is largely overlooked”.This assertion may have been true several years ago,for example,when Ochoa and Urbina-Cardona(2017)made a similar observation.However,there has been much work on ES model validation over the last decade.
文摘This paper presents an efficient model reduction technique for linear time-varying systems based on shifted Legendre polynomials.The approach constructs approximate low-rank decomposition factors of finite-time Gramians directly from the expansion coefficients of impulse responses.Leveraging these factors,we develop two model reduction algorithms that integrate the low-rank square root method with dominant subspace projection.Our method is computationally efficient and flexible,requiring only a few matrix-vector operations and a singular value decomposition of a low-dimensional matrix,thereby avoiding the need to solve differential Lyapunov equations.Numerical experiments confirm the effectiveness of the proposed approach.
基金the World Climate Research Programme(WCRP),Climate Variability and Predictability(CLIVAR),and Global Energy and Water Exchanges(GEWEX)for facilitating the coordination of African monsoon researchsupport from the Center for Earth System Modeling,Analysis,and Data at the Pennsylvania State Universitythe support of the Office of Science of the U.S.Department of Energy Biological and Environmental Research as part of the Regional&Global Model Analysis(RGMA)program area。
文摘In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and change.Likewise,this period has seen a significant increase in our understanding of the physical processes and mechanisms that drive precipitation and its variability across different regions of Africa.By leveraging a large volume of climate model outputs,numerous studies have investigated the model representation of African precipitation as well as underlying physical processes.These studies have assessed whether the physical processes are well depicted and whether the models are fit for informing mitigation and adaptation strategies.This paper provides a review of the progress in precipitation simulation overAfrica in state-of-the-science climate models and discusses the major issues and challenges that remain.
基金support from the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2023YFB3709901)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U22A20171)+1 种基金China Baowu Low Carbon Metallurgy Innovation Foundation(Grant No.BWLCF202315)the High Steel Center(HSC)at North China University of Technology and University of Science and Technology Beijing,China.
文摘The dissolution of MgO-refractory into the slag had an obvious influence on the steel-slag reaction and the slag property,especially for high-aluminum steels.The dissolution behavior of MgO-refractory was investigated under various conditions,including the temperature,the initial steel composition,and the initial slag composition.A steel-slag-refractory kinetic model for high-aluminum steel was developed,which incorporated the process of MgO-refractory dissolution.The dependence of the MgO mass transfer coefficient k_(MgO)^(r)on temperature T during MgO-refractory dissolution process was established,as described by ln k_(MgO)^(r)=63,754/T+24.38524.It was indicated that the MgO dissolution rate was significantly influenced by the temperature.A higher temperature increased the dissolution rate of MgO.The initial steel composition had a slight impact on the MgO dissolution rate.Additionally,the initial slag composition strongly impacted the MgO saturation concentration and the dissolution rate.A lower initial Al_(2)O_(3)/SiO_(2)ratio increased the MgO dissolution rate.The steel-slag-refractory kinetic model accurately predicted the dissolution of MgO-refractory and the influence of dissolved MgO on the viscosity and composition change during steel-slag-refractory reactions.It was suggested that a higher temperature can hardly reduce the viscosity due to the dissolution of the MgO-refractory.
基金National Key Research and Development Program of China,Grant/Award Number:2024YFF0507404Special Clinical Business Fund for High-Level Hospitals of China-Japan Friendship Hospital,Grant/Award Number:2024-NHLHCRF-TS-01。
文摘Background:Large language models(LLMs)have shown considerable promise in supporting clinical decision-making.However,their adoption and evaluation in dermatology remains limited.This study aimed to explore the preferences of Chinese dermatologists regarding LLM-generated responses in clinical psoriasis scenarios and to assess how they prioritize key quality dimensions,including accuracy,traceability,and logicality.Methods:A cross-sectional,web-based survey was conducted between December 25,2024,and January 22,2025,following the Checklist for Reporting Results of Internet E-Surveys guidelines.A total of 1247 valid responses were collected from practicing dermatologists across 33 of China's provincial-level administrative divisions.Participants evaluated responses to five categories of clinical questions(etiology,clinical presentation,differential diagnosis,treatment,and case study)generated by five LLMs:ChatGPT-4o,Kimi.ai,Doubao,ZuoYiGPT,and Lingyi-agent.Statistical associations between participant characteristics and model preferences were examined using chi-square tests.Results:ChatGPT-4o(Model 1)emerged as the most preferred model across all clinical tasks,consistently receiving the highest number of votes in case study(n=740),clinical presentation(n=666),differential diagnosis(n=707),etiology(n=602),and treatment(n=656).Significant variation in model preference by professional title was observed only for the differential diagnosis task(χ^(2)=21.13,df=12,p=0.0485),while no significant differences were found across hospital tiers(p>0.05).In terms of evaluation dimensions,accuracy was most frequently rated as“very important”(n=635).A significant association existed between hospital tier and the most valued dimension(χ^(2)=27.667,df=9,p=0.0011),with dermatologists in primary hospitals prioritizing traceability more than their peers in higher-tier hospitals.No significant associations were found across professional titles(p=0.127).Conclusions:Chinese dermatologists suggest a strong preference for ChatGPT-4o over domestic LLMs in psoriasis-related clinical tasks.While accuracy remains the primary criterion,traceability and logicality are also critical,particularly for clinicians in lower-tier hospitals.These findings suggest that future clinical LLMs should prioritize not only content accuracy but also source transparency and structural clarity to meet the diverse needs of different clinical settings.
基金Project supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.12372214 and U2341231)。
文摘The Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes(RANS)technique enables critical engineering predictions and is widely adopted.However,since this iterative computation relies on the fixed-point iteration,it may converge to unexpected non-physical phase points in practice.We conduct an analysis on the phase-space characteristics and the fixed-point theory underlying the k-ε turbulence model,and employ the classical Kolmogorov flow as a framework,leveraging its direct numerical simulation(DNS)data to construct a one-dimensional(1D)system under periodic/fixed boundary conditions.The RANS results demonstrate that under periodic boundary conditions,the k-ε model exhibits only a unique trivial fixed point,with asymptotes capturing the phase portraits.The stability of this trivial fixed point is determined by a mathematically derived stability phase diagram,indicating the fact that the k-ε model will never converge to correct values under periodic conditions.In contrast,under fixed boundary conditions,the model can yield a stable non-trivial fixed point.The evolutionary mechanisms and their relationship with boundary condition settings systematically explain the inherent limitations of the k-ε model,i.e.,its deficiency in computing the flow field under periodic boundary conditions and sensitivity to boundary-value specifications under fixed boundary conditions.These conclusions are finally validated with the open-source code OpenFOAM.
文摘Utilizing finite element analysis,the ballistic protection provided by a combination of perforated D-shaped and base armor plates,collectively referred to as radiator armor,is evaluated.ANSYS Explicit Dynamics is employed to simulate the ballistic impact of 7.62 mm armor-piercing projectiles on Aluminum AA5083-H116 and Steel Secure 500 armors,focusing on the evaluation of material deformation and penetration resistance at varying impact points.While the D-shaped armor plate is penetrated by the armor-piercing projectiles,the combination of the perforated D-shaped and base armor plates successfully halts penetration.A numerical model based on the finite element method is developed using software such as SolidWorks and ANSYS to analyze the interaction between radiator armor and bullet.The perforated design of radiator armor is to maintain airflow for radiator function,with hole sizes smaller than the bullet core diameter to protect radiator assemblies.Predictions are made regarding the brittle fracture resulting from the projectile core′s bending due to asymmetric impact,and the resulting fragments failed to penetrate the perforated base armor plate.Craters are formed on the surface of the perforated D-shaped armor plate due to the impact of projectile fragments.The numerical model accurately predicts hole growth and projectile penetration upon impact with the armor,demonstrating effective protection of the radiator assemblies by the radiator armor.
基金funded by the National Natural Science Foundation of China,grant number 52405341Foundation of National Key Laboratory of Computational Physics,grant number 6142A05QN24012+1 种基金Chongqing Science and Technology Committee,grant number CSTB2023NSCQ-MSX0363The Science and Technology Research Program of Chongqing Municipal Education Commission,grant number KJQN202301117.
文摘In materials science and engineering design,high-fidelity and high-efficiency numerical simulation has become a driving force for innovation and practical implementation.To address longstanding bottlenecks in the development of conventional material constitutive models—such as lengthy modeling cycles and difficulties in numerical implementation—this study proposes an intelligent modeling and code generation approach powered by large languagemodels.A structured knowledge base integrating constitutive theory,numerical algorithms,and UMAT(User Material)interface specifications is constructed,and a retrieval-augmented generation strategy is employed to establish an end-to-end workflow spanning experimental data parsing,constitutive model formulation,and automatic UMAT subroutine generation.Experimental results show that the method achieves high accuracy for both a classical Johnson–Cookmodel and a physics-informed neural network(PINN)model,with key parameter identification errors below 5%.Moreover,the automatically generated UMAT subroutines yield finite element simulation results in Abaqus that are highly consistent with theoretical predictions(coefficient of determination R2>0.98)while maintaining good numerical stability.This framework is currently focused on the automatic construction of rate-dependent elastoplastic material models,and its core method also provides a clear path for extending to other constitutive categories such as hyperelasticity and viscoelasticity.This work provides an effective technical route for the rapid development and reliable numerical implementation of material constitutive models,significantly advancing the intelligence level of computational mechanics research and improving engineering application efficiency.
基金National Council for Scientific and Technological Development,Grant No.421278/2023-4,No.309248/2025-6。
文摘Coordinate transformation models often fail to account for nonlinear and spatially dependent distortions,leading to significant residual errors in geospatial applications.Here,we propose a residual-based neural correction(RBNC)strategy,in which a neural network learns to model only the systematic distortions left by an initial geometric transformation.By focusing solely on residual patterns,RBNC reduces model complexity and improves performance,particularly in scenarios with sparse or structured control point configurations.We evaluate the method using both simulated datasets(with varying distortion intensities and sampling strategies)and real-world image georeferencing tasks.Compared with direct neural network coordinate converters and classical transformation models,RBNC delivers more accurate and stable results under challenging conditions,while maintaining comparable performance in ideal cases.These findings demonstrate the effectiveness of residual modelling as a light-weight and robust alternative for improving coordinate transformation accuracy.
