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A new grey forecasting model based on BP neural network and Markov chain 被引量:6
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作者 李存斌 王恪铖 《Journal of Central South University of Technology》 EI 2007年第5期713-718,共6页
A new grey forecasting model based on BP neural network and Markov chain was proposed. In order to combine the grey forecasting model with neural network, an important theorem that the grey differential equation is eq... A new grey forecasting model based on BP neural network and Markov chain was proposed. In order to combine the grey forecasting model with neural network, an important theorem that the grey differential equation is equivalent to the time response model, was proved by analyzing the features of grey forecasting model(GM(1,1)). Based on this, the differential equation parameters were included in the network when the BP neural network was constructed, and the neural network was trained by extracting samples from grey system's known data. When BP network was converged, the whitened grey differential equation parameters were extracted and then the grey neural network forecasting model (GNNM(1,1)) was built. In order to reduce stochastic phenomenon in GNNM(1,1), the state transition probability between two states was defined and the Markov transition matrix was established by building the residual sequences between grey forecasting and actual value. Thus, the new grey forecasting model(MNNGM(1,1)) was proposed by combining Markov chain with GNNM(1,1). Based on the above discussion, three different approaches were put forward for forecasting China electricity demands. By comparing GM(1, 1) and GNNM(1,1) with the proposed model, the results indicate that the absolute mean error of MNNGM(1,1) is about 0.4 times of GNNM(1,1) and 0.2 times of GM(I, 1), and the mean square error of MNNGM(1,1) is about 0.25 times of GNNM(1,1) and 0.1 times of GM(1,1). 展开更多
关键词 grey forecasting model neural network markov chain electricity demand forecasting
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Radial basis function neural network and overlay sampling uniform design toward polylactic acid molecular weight prediction
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作者 Jiawei Wu Zhihong Chen +2 位作者 Zhongwen Si Xiaoling Lou Junxian Yun 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第11期214-221,共8页
Polylactic acid(PLA)is a potential polymer material used as a substitute for traditional plastics,and the accurate molecular weight distribution range of PLA is strictly required in practical applications.Therefore,ex... Polylactic acid(PLA)is a potential polymer material used as a substitute for traditional plastics,and the accurate molecular weight distribution range of PLA is strictly required in practical applications.Therefore,exploring the relationship between synthetic conditions and PLA molecular weight is crucially important.In this work,direct polycondensation combined with overlay sampling uniform design(OSUD)was applied to synthesize the low molecular weight PLA.Then a multiple regression model and two artificial neural network models on PLA molecular weight versus reaction temperature,reaction time,and catalyst dosage were developed for PLA molecular weight prediction.The characterization results indicated that the low molecular weight PLA was efficiently synthesized under this method.Meanwhile,the experimental dataset acquired from OSUD successfully established three predictive models for PLA molecular weight.Among them,both artificial neural network models had significantly better predictive performance than the regression model.Notably,the radial basis function neural network model had the best predictive accuracy with only 11.9%of mean relative error on the validation dataset,which improved by 67.7%compared with the traditional multiple regression model.This work successfully predicted PLA molecular weight in a direct polycondensation process using artificial neural network models combined with OSUD,which provided guidance for the future implementation of molecular weight-controlled polymer's synthesis. 展开更多
关键词 Polylactic acid Molecular weight prediction Overlay sampling uniform design neural network model
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Application of experimental design techniques to structural simulation meta-model building using neural network
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作者 费庆国 张令弥 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 SCIE EI CSCD 2004年第2期293-298,共6页
Neural networks are being used to construct meta-models in numerical simulation of structures.In addition to network structures and training algorithms,training samples also greatly affect the accuracy of neural netwo... Neural networks are being used to construct meta-models in numerical simulation of structures.In addition to network structures and training algorithms,training samples also greatly affect the accuracy of neural network models.In this paper,some existing main sampling techniques are evaluated,including techniques based on experimental design theory, random selection,and rotating sampling.First,advantages and disadvantages of each technique are reviewed.Then,seven techniques are used to generate samples for training radial neural networks models for two benchmarks:an antenna model and an aircraft model.Results show that the uniform design,in which the number of samples and mean square error network models are considered,is the best sampling technique for neural network based meta-model building. 展开更多
关键词 structure engineering META-MODEL neural network design of experiments uniform design
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Integrating artificial neural networks and geostatistics for optimum 3D geological block modeling in mineral reserve estimation:A case study 被引量:5
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作者 Jalloh Abu Bakarr Kyuro Sasaki +1 位作者 Jalloh Yaguba Barrie Abubakarr Karim 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CSCD 2016年第4期581-585,共5页
In this research, a method called ANNMG is presented to integrate Artificial Neural Networks and Geostatistics for optimum mineral reserve evaluation. The word ANNMG simply means Artificial Neural Network Model integr... In this research, a method called ANNMG is presented to integrate Artificial Neural Networks and Geostatistics for optimum mineral reserve evaluation. The word ANNMG simply means Artificial Neural Network Model integrated with Geostatiscs, In this procedure, the Artificial Neural Network was trained, tested and validated using assay values obtained from exploratory drillholes. Next, the validated model was used to generalize mineral grades at known and unknown sampled locations inside the drilling region respectively. Finally, the reproduced and generalized assay values were combined and fed to geostatistics in order to develop a geological 3D block model. The regression analysis revealed that the predicted sample grades were in close proximity to the actual sample grades, The generalized grades from the ANNMG show that this process could be used to complement exploration activities thereby reducing drilling requirement. It could also be an effective mineral reserve evaluation method that could oroduce optimum block model for mine design. 展开更多
关键词 Artificial neural network Model with Geostatistics(ANNMG) 3D geological block modeling Mine design KRIGING
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Prediction of column failure modes based on artificial neural network 被引量:3
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作者 Wan Haitao Qi Yongle +2 位作者 Zhao Tiejun Ren Wenjuan Fu Xiaoyan 《Earthquake Engineering and Engineering Vibration》 SCIE EI CSCD 2023年第2期481-493,共13页
To implement the performance-based seismic design of engineered structures,the failure modes of members must be classified.The classification method of column failure modes is analyzed using data from the Pacific Eart... To implement the performance-based seismic design of engineered structures,the failure modes of members must be classified.The classification method of column failure modes is analyzed using data from the Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center(PEER).The main factors affecting failure modes of columns include the hoop ratios,longitudinal reinforcement ratios,ratios of transverse reinforcement spacing to section depth,aspect ratios,axial compression ratios,and flexure-shear ratios.This study proposes a data-driven prediction model based on an artificial neural network(ANN)to identify the column failure modes.In this study,111 groups of data are used,out of which 89 are used as training data and 22 are used as test data,and the ANN prediction model of failure modes is developed.The results show that the proposed method based on ANN is superior to traditional methods in identifying the column failure modes. 展开更多
关键词 performance-based seismic design failure mode COLUMN artificial neural network prediction model
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Recycling Strategy and Recyclability Assessment Model Based on the Artificial Neural Network
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作者 LIU Zhi-feng, LIU Xue-Ping, WANG Shu-wang, LIU Guang-fu (College of Mechanical & Auto Engineering, Hefei University of Techno logy, Hefei 230009, China) 《厦门大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2002年第S1期153-154,共2页
Now, a rapidly growing concern for the environmental protection and resource utilization has stimulated many new activities in the in dustrialized world for coping with urgent environmental problems created by the ste... Now, a rapidly growing concern for the environmental protection and resource utilization has stimulated many new activities in the in dustrialized world for coping with urgent environmental problems created by the steadily increasing consumption of industrial products. Increasingly stringent r egulations and widely expressed public concern for the environment highlight the importance of disposing solid waste generated from industrial and consumable pr oducts. How to efficiently recycle and tackle this problem has been a very impo rtant issue over the world. Designing products for recyclability is driven by environmental and economic goals. To obtain good recyclability, two measures can be adopted. One is better recycling strategy and technology; the other is design for recycling (DFR). The recycling strategies of products generally inclu de: reuse, service, remanufacturing, recycling of production scraps during the p roduct usage, recycle (separation first) and disposal. Recyclability assessment is a very important content in DFR. This paper first discusses the content of D FR and strategies and types related to products recyclability, and points out th at easy or difficult recyclability depends on the design phase. Then method and procedure of recyclability assessment based on ANN is explored in detail. The pr ocess consists of selection of the ANN input and output parameters, control of t he sample quality and construction and training of the neural network. At la st, the case study shows this method is simple and operative. 展开更多
关键词 recycling strategy product recycling artificial neural network assessment model design for recycling
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Estimation on the Reliability of Farm Vehicle Based on Artificial Neural Network
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作者 WANG Jinwu 《Journal of Northeast Agricultural University(English Edition)》 CAS 2008年第4期45-48,共4页
As a peculiar product in China today,farm vehicles play an important role in economic construction and development of the countryside,but its work reliability remains low.In this paper truncated tracking was used to s... As a peculiar product in China today,farm vehicles play an important role in economic construction and development of the countryside,but its work reliability remains low.In this paper truncated tracking was used to solve the low reliability of farm vehicles.Relevant reliability data were obtained by tracking a certain model vehicle and conducting reliability experiments.Data analysis revealed the weakest part of the vehicle system was the engine assembly.The theory of Artificial Neural Network was employed to estimate a parameter of the reliability model based on self-adaptive linear neural network,and the reliability function educed by the estimation could provide important theory references for reliability reassignment,manufacture and management of farm transport vehicles. 展开更多
关键词 farm vehicle reliability model neural network
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An Optimized Convolutional Neural Network Architecture Based on Evolutionary Ensemble Learning
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作者 Qasim M.Zainel Murad B.K.horsheed +1 位作者 Saad Darwish Amr A.Ahmed 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2021年第12期3813-3828,共16页
Convolutional Neural Networks(CNNs)models succeed in vast domains.CNNs are available in a variety of topologies and sizes.The challenge in this area is to develop the optimal CNN architecture for a particular issue in... Convolutional Neural Networks(CNNs)models succeed in vast domains.CNNs are available in a variety of topologies and sizes.The challenge in this area is to develop the optimal CNN architecture for a particular issue in order to achieve high results by using minimal computational resources to train the architecture.Our proposed framework to automated design is aimed at resolving this problem.The proposed framework is focused on a genetic algorithm that develops a population of CNN models in order to find the architecture that is the best fit.In comparison to the co-authored work,our proposed framework is concerned with creating lightweight architectures with a limited number of parameters while retaining a high degree of validity accuracy utilizing an ensemble learning technique.This architecture is intended to operate on low-resource machines,rendering it ideal for implementation in a number of environments.Four common benchmark image datasets are used to test the proposed framework,and it is compared to peer competitors’work utilizing a range of parameters,including accuracy,the number of model parameters used,the number of GPUs used,and the number of GPU days needed to complete the method.Our experimental findings demonstrated a significant advantage in terms of GPU days,accuracy,and the number of parameters in the discovered model. 展开更多
关键词 Convolutional neural networks genetic algorithm automatic model design ensemble learning
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Neural network-based model for prediction of permanent deformation of unbound granular materials 被引量:1
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作者 Ali Alnedawi Riyadh Al-Ameri Kali Prasad Nepal 《Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering》 SCIE CSCD 2019年第6期1231-1242,共12页
Several available mechanistic-empirical pavement design methods fail to include predictive model for permanent deformation(PD)of unbound granular materials(UGMs),which make these methods more conservative.In addition,... Several available mechanistic-empirical pavement design methods fail to include predictive model for permanent deformation(PD)of unbound granular materials(UGMs),which make these methods more conservative.In addition,there are limited regression models capable of predicting the PD under multistress levels,and these models have regression limitations and generally fail to cover the complexity of UGM behaviour.Recent researches are focused on using new methods of computational intelligence systems to address the problems,such as artificial neural network(ANN).In this context,we aim to develop an artificial neural model to predict the PD of UGMs exposed to repeated loads.Extensive repeated load triaxial tests(RLTTs)were conducted on base and subbase materials locally available in Victoria,Australia to investigate the PD properties of the tested materials and to prepare the database of the neural networks.Specimens were prepared over different moisture contents and gradations to cover a wide testing matrix.The ANN model consists of one input layer with five neurons,one hidden layer with twelve neurons,and one output layer with one neuron.The five inputs were the number of load cycles,deviatoric stress,moisture content,coefficient of uniformity,and coefficient of curvature.The sensitivity analysis showed that the most important indicator that impacts PD is the number of load cycles with influence factor of 41%.It shows that the ANN method is rapid and efficient to predict the PD,which could be implemented in the Austroads pavement design method. 展开更多
关键词 Flexible PAVEMENT design Unbound GRANULAR materials PERMANENT deformation (PD) Repeated load TRIAXIAL test (RLTT) PREDICTION models Artificial neural network (ANN)
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HMM-Based Photo-Realistic Talking Face Synthesis Using Facial Expression Parameter Mapping with Deep Neural Networks
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作者 Kazuki Sato Takashi Nose Akinori Ito 《Journal of Computer and Communications》 2017年第10期50-65,共16页
This paper proposes a technique for synthesizing a pixel-based photo-realistic talking face animation using two-step synthesis with HMMs and DNNs. We introduce facial expression parameters as an intermediate represent... This paper proposes a technique for synthesizing a pixel-based photo-realistic talking face animation using two-step synthesis with HMMs and DNNs. We introduce facial expression parameters as an intermediate representation that has a good correspondence with both of the input contexts and the output pixel data of face images. The sequences of the facial expression parameters are modeled using context-dependent HMMs with static and dynamic features. The mapping from the expression parameters to the target pixel images are trained using DNNs. We examine the required amount of the training data for HMMs and DNNs and compare the performance of the proposed technique with the conventional PCA-based technique through objective and subjective evaluation experiments. 展开更多
关键词 Visual-Speech SYNTHESIS TALKING Head Hidden markov Models (HMMs) Deep neural networks (DNNs) FACIAL Expression Parameter
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A Neural Network Approach to Predicting Car Tyre Micro-Scale and Macro-Scale Behaviour
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作者 Xiaoguang Yang Mohammad Behroozi Oluremi A. Olatunbosun 《Journal of Intelligent Learning Systems and Applications》 2014年第1期11-20,共10页
Finite Element (FE) analysis has become the favoured tool in the tyre industry for virtual development of tyres because of the ability to represent the detailed lay-up of the tyre carcass. However, application of FE a... Finite Element (FE) analysis has become the favoured tool in the tyre industry for virtual development of tyres because of the ability to represent the detailed lay-up of the tyre carcass. However, application of FE analysis in tyre design and development is still very time-consuming and expensive. Here, the application of various Artificial Neural Network (ANN) architectures to predicting tyre performance is assessed to select the most effective and efficient architecture, to allow extensive parametric studies to be carried out inexpensively and to optimise tyre design before a much more expensive full FE analysis is used to confirm the predicted performance. 展开更多
关键词 design Parameters FINITE Element Modelling neural network TYRE CONFIGURATION
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Developing surrogate models for the early-stage design of residential blocks using graph neural networks
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作者 Zhaoji Wu Mingkai Li +5 位作者 Wenli Liu Jack C.P.Cheng Zhe Wang Helen H.L.Kwok Cong Huang Fangli Hou 《Building Simulation》 2025年第3期679-698,共20页
Building simulation based on physical modeling is commonly adopted for performance prediction,but the high time costs hinder its application in the early design stage of buildings.Data-driven surrogate models have bee... Building simulation based on physical modeling is commonly adopted for performance prediction,but the high time costs hinder its application in the early design stage of buildings.Data-driven surrogate models have been proposed as a means to replicate computationally expensive simulation models.However,existing surrogate models for sustainable residential block design are limited in scope,focusing either on individual buildings or on specific cases within multi-block projects.This study leverages graph neural networks to develop optimal surrogate models incorporating inter-building effects to predict multiple indicators of sustainable performance for residential blocks at a region level.A graph schema is proposed to represent the general geometric features and relations among buildings in residential block design.A regional dataset is generated for model training and testing,using real residential zones in Hong Kong.The surrogate models are developed and evaluated,using two kinds of architectures(individual architectures for specific indicators and an integrative architecture)and three different neural networks(graph attention network(GAT),graph convolutional network,and artificial neural network).The results showed that the surrogate models using the individual architectures and GAT outperform the models using other architectures and neural networks.These surrogate models achieve a high prediction accuracy with CV(RMSE)s of 11.79%,7.63%,and 8.00%in terms of energy consumption,indoor thermal comfort,and daylighting,respectively,on the regional test set.Moreover,they enable a significant acceleration of the performance evaluation,reducing the calculation time from 6.346 min to 1.565 ms(243,297 times)per case compared to physics-based simulations. 展开更多
关键词 surrogate model graph neural network building performance prediction sustainable building design residential block
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Multi-kernel Collaborative Graph Convolution Neural Network for Operational Reliability Assessment Considering Varying Topologies
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作者 Xinyu Liu Maosheng Gao +2 位作者 Juan Yu Zhifang Yang Wenyuan Li 《Journal of Modern Power Systems and Clean Energy》 2026年第1期187-198,共12页
Operational reliability assessment (ORA),which evaluates the risk level of power systems,is hindered by accumulated computational burdens and thus cannot meet the demands of real-time assessment.Recently,data-driven m... Operational reliability assessment (ORA),which evaluates the risk level of power systems,is hindered by accumulated computational burdens and thus cannot meet the demands of real-time assessment.Recently,data-driven methods with fast calculation speeds have emerged as a research focus for online ORA.However,the diverse contingencies of transformers,power lines,and other components introduce numerous topologies,posing significant challenges to the learning capabilities of neural networks.To this end,this paper proposes a multi-kernel collaborative graph convolution neural network (GCNN) for ORA considering varying topologies.Specifically,a physics law-informed graph convolution kernel derived from the Gaussian-Seidel iteration is introduced.It effectively aggregates node features across different topologies.By integrating additional advanced graph convolution kernels with a novel self-attention mechanism,the multi-kernel collaborative GCNN is constructed,which enables the extraction of diverse features and the construction of representative node feature vectors,thereby facilitating high-precision reliability assessments.Furthermore,to enhance the robustness of multi-kernel collaborative GCNN,the inherent pattern of the load-shedding model is analyzed and utilized to design a specialized supervised loss function,which allows the neural network to explore a broader feature space.Compared with the existing data-driven methods,the multi-kernel collaborative GCNN,combined with supervised exploration,can accommodate a wider range of contingencies and achieve superior assessment accuracy. 展开更多
关键词 Reliability assessment multi-kernel collaborative design self-attention graph convolution neural network(GCNN) topology
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Exploring the potential of residual mechanism in spiking neural networks for human action recognition
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作者 Jiaqi CHEN Ziliang REN +2 位作者 Qieshi ZHANG Fuyong ZHANG Wenguo LIU 《Science China(Technological Sciences)》 2025年第5期293-294,共2页
Significant progress has been made in brain-computer science and technology through applying spiking neural networks(SNNs)[1].More recently,due to its potential of processing complex spatio-temporal information,SNNs h... Significant progress has been made in brain-computer science and technology through applying spiking neural networks(SNNs)[1].More recently,due to its potential of processing complex spatio-temporal information,SNNs have been successfully applied in many fields,such as action recognition[2].There are two effective ways to design network models:converting artificial neural networks(ANNs)into SNNs and directly designing SNNs based on spike mechanisms.In the ANN-SNN method,the integrate-andfire(IF)neurons are used to replace the activation layer to convert ANNs into SNNs,which have some inherent drawbacks,such as inevitable accuracy loss,more delays and energy consumption.Although existing direct training strategies have shown outstanding performance in image classification tasks,SNNs face significant difficulties in handling complex video understanding tasks.In light of the considerable success achieved by the ANNs employed in the field of human action recognition,more researchers have recently focused their attention on using SNNs for action recognition.In order to design more efficient SNNs,some researchers have proposed a series of effective training and feature learning mechanisms in residual network,e.g.,Hu et al. 展开更多
关键词 spike mechanismsin design network models converting artificial neural networks anns directly designing snns spiking neural networks snns more action recognition there
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The Complex System Modeling Method Based on Uniform Design and Neural Network 被引量:1
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作者 Zhang Yong(Beijing Simulation Center, P.O.Box 142-23, Beijing 100854, P.R. China) 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 1996年第4期27-36,共10页
In this paper, the method based on uniform design and neural network is proposed to model the complex system. In order to express the system characteristics all round, uniform design method is used to choose the model... In this paper, the method based on uniform design and neural network is proposed to model the complex system. In order to express the system characteristics all round, uniform design method is used to choose the modeling samples and obtain the overall information of the system;for the purpose of modeling the system or its characteristics, the artificial neural network is used to construct the model. Experiment indicates that this method can model the complex system effectively. 展开更多
关键词 Modeling method Uniform design neural network Complex system Simulation.
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Analytic design of information granulation-based fuzzy radial basis function neural networks with the aid of multiobjective particle swarm optimization 被引量:2
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作者 Byoung-Jun Park Jeoung-Nae Choi +1 位作者 Wook-Dong Kim Sung-Kwun Oh 《International Journal of Intelligent Computing and Cybernetics》 EI 2012年第1期4-35,共32页
Purpose–The purpose of this paper is to consider the concept of Fuzzy Radial Basis Function Neural Networks with Information Granulation(IG-FRBFNN)and their optimization realized by means of the Multiobjective Partic... Purpose–The purpose of this paper is to consider the concept of Fuzzy Radial Basis Function Neural Networks with Information Granulation(IG-FRBFNN)and their optimization realized by means of the Multiobjective Particle Swarm Optimization(MOPSO).Design/methodology/approach–In fuzzy modeling,complexity,interpretability(or simplicity)as well as accuracy of the obtained model are essential design criteria.Since the performance of the IG-RBFNN model is directly affected by some parameters,such as the fuzzification coefficient used in the FCM,the number of rules and the orders of the polynomials in the consequent parts of the rules,the authors carry out both structural as well as parametric optimization of the network.A multi-objective Particle Swarm Optimization using Crowding Distance(MOPSO-CD)as well as O/WLS learning-based optimization are exploited to carry out the structural and parametric optimization of the model,respectively,while the optimization is of multiobjective character as it is aimed at the simultaneous minimization of complexity and maximization of accuracy.Findings–The performance of the proposed model is illustrated with the aid of three examples.The proposed optimization method leads to an accurate and highly interpretable fuzzy model.Originality/value–A MOPSO-CD as well as O/WLS learning-based optimization are exploited,respectively,to carry out the structural and parametric optimization of the model.As a result,the proposed methodology is interesting for designing an accurate and highly interpretable fuzzy model. 展开更多
关键词 Modelling Optimization techniques neural nets design calculations Fuzzy c-means clustering Multi-objective particle swarm optimization Information granulation-based fuzzy radial basis function neural network Ordinary least squaresmethod Weighted least square method
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Deep-Learning-Coupled Numerical Optimization Method for Designing Geometric Structure and Insertion-Withdrawal Force of Press-Fit Connector
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作者 Mingzhi Wang Bingyu Hou Weidong Wang 《Acta Mechanica Solida Sinica》 2025年第1期78-90,共13页
The press-fit connector is a typical plug-and-play solderless connection,and it is widely used in signal transmission in fields such as communication and automotive devices.This paper focuses on inverse designing and ... The press-fit connector is a typical plug-and-play solderless connection,and it is widely used in signal transmission in fields such as communication and automotive devices.This paper focuses on inverse designing and optimization of geometric structure,as well as insertion-withdrawal forces of press-fit connector using artificial neural network(ANN)-assisted optimization method.The ANN model is established to approximate the relationship between geometric parameters and insertion-withdrawal forces,of which hyper-parameters of neural network are optimized to improve model performance.Two numerical methods are proposed for inverse designing structural parameters(Model-I)and multi-objective optimization of insertion-withdrawal forces(Model-II)of press-fit connector.In Model-I,a method for inverse designing structure parameters is established,of which an ANN model is coupled with single-objective optimization algorithm.The objective function is established,the inverse problem is solved,and effectiveness is verified.In Model-II,a multi-objective optimization method is proposed,of which an ANN model is coupled with genetic algorithm.The Pareto solution sets of insertion-withdrawal forces are obtained,and results are analyzed.The established ANN-coupled numerical optimization methods are beneficial for improving the design efficiency,and enhancing the connection reliability of the press-fit connector. 展开更多
关键词 Press-fit connector Compliant pin Insertion-withdrawal force Optimization design neural network model
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Using Artificial Neural-Networks in Stochastic Differential Equations Based Software Reliability Growth Modeling
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作者 Sunil Kumar Khatri Prakriti Trivedi +1 位作者 Shiv Kant Nisha Dembla 《Journal of Software Engineering and Applications》 2011年第10期596-601,共6页
Due to high cost of fixing failures, safety concerns, and legal liabilities, organizations need to produce software that is highly reliable. Software reliability growth models have been developed by software developer... Due to high cost of fixing failures, safety concerns, and legal liabilities, organizations need to produce software that is highly reliable. Software reliability growth models have been developed by software developers in tracking and measuring the growth of reliability. Most of the Software Reliability Growth Models, which have been proposed, treat the event of software fault detection in the testing and operational phase as a counting process. Moreover, if the size of software system is large, the number of software faults detected during the testing phase becomes large, and the change of the number of faults which are detected and removed through debugging activities becomes sufficiently small compared with the initial fault content at the beginning of the testing phase. Therefore in such a situation, we can model the software fault detection process as a stochastic process with a continuous state space. Recently, Artificial Neural Networks (ANN) have been applied in software reliability growth prediction. In this paper, we propose an ANN based software reliability growth model based on Ito type of stochastic differential equation. The model has been validated, evaluated and compared with other existing NHPP model by applying it on actual failure/fault removal data sets cited from real software development projects. The proposed model integrated with the concept of stochastic differential equation performs comparatively better than the existing NHPP based model. 展开更多
关键词 Software Reliability Growth Model Artificial neural network STOCHASTIC DIFFERENTIAL EQUATION (SDE) STOCHASTIC Process
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Markov切换拓扑下非线性多智能体系统量化一致性控制
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作者 卢毅 伍锡如 +2 位作者 伍日立 谢劼欣 仲于海 《控制与决策》 北大核心 2025年第10期2933-2942,共10页
针对受切换通信拓扑影响的非线性多智能体系统量化一致性问题,提出一种学习型模型预测控制(LMPC)算法.该算法利用神经网络实时逼近并优化LMPC代价函数,在线预测最优控制增益矩阵,有效减小通信缺陷对系统性能的影响.同时,结合迟滞量化器... 针对受切换通信拓扑影响的非线性多智能体系统量化一致性问题,提出一种学习型模型预测控制(LMPC)算法.该算法利用神经网络实时逼近并优化LMPC代价函数,在线预测最优控制增益矩阵,有效减小通信缺陷对系统性能的影响.同时,结合迟滞量化器对控制输入进行量化,缓解了网络资源受限对多智能体协同性能的限制.为描述多智能体间的信息交换,引入部分转移概率未知的Markov切换拓扑结构.通过Lyapunov稳定性理论,给出系统误差的指数一致性收敛.最后,通过非线性摆系统验证所提出方法的有效性和适用性. 展开更多
关键词 学习型模型预测控制 非线性多智能体系统 markov切换拓扑 神经网络 量化一致性
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基于PSO的BP神经网络-Markov船舶交通流量预测模型 被引量:21
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作者 范庆波 江福才 +1 位作者 马全党 马勇 《上海海事大学学报》 北大核心 2018年第2期22-27,54,共7页
为对船舶交通流量进行准确预测,结合BP神经网络和Markov算法,构建BP神经网络-Markov预测模型。引入粒子群优化(particle swarm optimization,PSO)算法对模型进行优化,克服利用Markov模型选取白化系数的不足。用该模型预测武汉长江大桥... 为对船舶交通流量进行准确预测,结合BP神经网络和Markov算法,构建BP神经网络-Markov预测模型。引入粒子群优化(particle swarm optimization,PSO)算法对模型进行优化,克服利用Markov模型选取白化系数的不足。用该模型预测武汉长江大桥船舶交通流量的月度数据,结果表明:与BP神经网络的预测精度82.439 0%相比,基于PSO的BP神经网络-Markov预测模型的预测精度提高到91.050 8%,该模型的合理性和准确性得到验证。 展开更多
关键词 船舶交通流量预测 BP神经网络 马尔科夫模型(markov模型) 粒子群优化(PS0)
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