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Estimating network effects in China’s mobile telecommunications
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作者 张小强 《Journal of Chongqing University》 CAS 2005年第3期175-178,共4页
A model is proposed along with empirical investigation to prove the existence of network effects in China’s mobile telecommunications market. Futhernore, network effects on China’s mobile telecommunications are esti... A model is proposed along with empirical investigation to prove the existence of network effects in China’s mobile telecommunications market. Futhernore, network effects on China’s mobile telecommunications are estimated with a dynamic model. The structural parameters are identified from regression coefficients and the results are analyzed and compared with another literature. Data and estimation issues are also discussed. Conclusions are drawn that network effects are significant in China’s mobile telecommunications market, and that ignoring network effects leads to bad policy making. 展开更多
关键词 network effects empirical investigation mobile telecommunications
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Drivers for Inter-city Innovation Networks Across Chinese Cities:Modelling Physical Versus Intangible Effects
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作者 GAO Yujie SCHERNGELL Thomas NEULÄNDTNER Martina 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2024年第4期706-721,共16页
Cross-region innovation is widely recognized as an important source of the long-term regional innovation capacity.In the recent past,a growing number of studies has investigated the network structure and mechanisms of... Cross-region innovation is widely recognized as an important source of the long-term regional innovation capacity.In the recent past,a growing number of studies has investigated the network structure and mechanisms of cross-region innovation collaboration in various contexts.However,existing research mainly focuses on physical effects,such as geographical distance and high-speed railway connections.These studies ignore the intangible drivers in a changing environment,the more digitalized economy and the increasingly solidified innovation network structure.Thus,the focus of this study is on estimating determinants of innovation networks,especially on intangible drivers,which have been largely neglected so far.Using city-level data of Chinese patents(excluding Hong Kong,Macao,and Taiwan Province of China),we trace innovation networks across Chinese cities over a long period of time.By integrating a measure on Information and Communications Technology(ICT)development gap and network structural effects into the general proximity framework,this paper explores the changing mechanisms of Chinese innovation networks from a new perspective.The results show that the structure of cross-region innovation networks has changed in China.As mechanisms behind this development,the results confirm the increasingly important role of intangible drivers in Chinese inter-city innovation collaboration when controlling for effects of physical proximity,such as geographical distance.Since digitalization and coordinated development are the mainstream trends in China and other developing countries,these countries'inter-city innovation collaboration patterns will witness dramatic changes under the influence of intangible drivers. 展开更多
关键词 inter-city innovation network co-patents information and communications technology development network structural effect spatial interaction model China
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A case study on the shareholder network effect of stock market data:An SARMA approach
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作者 Rong Zhang Jing Zhou +1 位作者 Wei Lan Hansheng Wang 《Science China Mathematics》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第11期2219-2242,共24页
One of the key research problems in financial markets is the investigation of inter-stock dependence.A good understanding in this regard is crucial for portfolio optimization.To this end,various econometric models hav... One of the key research problems in financial markets is the investigation of inter-stock dependence.A good understanding in this regard is crucial for portfolio optimization.To this end,various econometric models have been proposed.Most of them assume that the random noise associated with each subject is independent.However,dependence might still exist within this random noise.Ignoring this valuable information might lead to biased estimations and inaccurate predictions.In this article,we study a spatial autoregressive moving average model with exogenous covariates.Spatial dependence from both response and random noise is considered simultaneously.A quasi-maximum likelihood estimator is developed,and the estimated parameters are shown to be consistent and asymptotically normal.We then conduct an extensive analysis of the proposed method by applying it to the Chinese stock market data. 展开更多
关键词 spatial autoregressive moving average model shareholder network effect quasi-maximum likelihood estimator stock market data
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Mission-oriented capability evaluation for combat network based on operation loops
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作者 Yang Wang Junyong Tao +2 位作者 Xiaoke Zhang Guanghan Bai Yunan Zhang 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第12期156-175,共20页
With continuous growth in scale,topology complexity,mission phases,and mission diversity,challenges have been placed for efficient capability evaluation of modern combat systems.Aiming at the problems of insufficient ... With continuous growth in scale,topology complexity,mission phases,and mission diversity,challenges have been placed for efficient capability evaluation of modern combat systems.Aiming at the problems of insufficient mission consideration and single evaluation dimension in the existing evaluation approaches,this study proposes a mission-oriented capability evaluation method for combat systems based on operation loop.Firstly,a combat network model is given that takes into account the capability properties of combat nodes.Then,based on the transition matrix between combat nodes,an efficient algorithm for operation loop identification is proposed based on the Breadth-First Search.Given the mission-capability satisfaction of nodes,the effectiveness evaluation indexes for operation loops and combat network are proposed,followed by node importance measure.Through a case study of the combat scenario involving space-based support against surface ships under different strategies,the effectiveness of the proposed method is verified.The results indicated that the ROI-priority attack method has a notable impact on reducing the overall efficiency of the network,whereas the O-L betweenness-priority attack is more effective in obstructing the successful execution of enemy attack missions. 展开更多
关键词 Combat network Operation loop identification Mission-oriented network reliability network effectiveness evaluation Strike strategies
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Self-organizing fuzzy clustering neural network and application to electronic countermeasures effectiveness evaluation 被引量:6
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作者 Li Zhisheng Li Junshan +1 位作者 Feng Fan Zhao Xin 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2008年第1期119-124,共6页
A self-organizing fuzzy clustering neural network by combining the self-organizing Kohonen clustering network with the fuzzy theory is proposed. This network model is designed for the effectiveness evaluation of elect... A self-organizing fuzzy clustering neural network by combining the self-organizing Kohonen clustering network with the fuzzy theory is proposed. This network model is designed for the effectiveness evaluation of electronic countermeasures, which not only exerts the advantages of the fuzzy theory, but also has a good ability in machine learning and data analysis. The subjective value of sample versus class is computed by the fuzzy computing theory, and the classified results obtained by self-organizing learning of Kohonen neural network are represented on output layer. Meanwhile, the fuzzy competition learning algorithm keeps the similar information between samples and overcomes the disadvantages of neural network which has fewer samples. The simulation result indicates that the proposed algorithm is feasible and effective. 展开更多
关键词 fuzzy clusteringself-organizing neural network effectiveness evaluation
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Analysis of coseismic effect on temperature in the Three Gorges well network 被引量:1
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作者 Zhang Weihua Wang Qiuliang +2 位作者 Li Jinggang Luo Junqiu Guo Xizhi 《Geodesy and Geodynamics》 2015年第1期61-66,共6页
Through the Three Gorges well network, we examine different coseismic changes in water temperature caused by local earthquakes since 2008, and offer a mechanistic explanation.The relations between the coseismic change... Through the Three Gorges well network, we examine different coseismic changes in water temperature caused by local earthquakes since 2008, and offer a mechanistic explanation.The relations between the coseismic changes in water temperature and the parameters of distant and local earthquakes are deduced. 展开更多
关键词 Three Gorges well network Coseismic effect Local earthquake Well water temperature Magnitude Epicenter distance Focal mechanism
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Effects of Reduced Frequency on Network Configuration and Synchronization Transition 被引量:2
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作者 朱留华 《Chinese Physics Letters》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2016年第5期14-17,共4页
Synchronization of networked phase oscillators depends essentially on the correlation between the topological structure of the graph and the dynamical property of the elements. We propose the concept of 'reduced freq... Synchronization of networked phase oscillators depends essentially on the correlation between the topological structure of the graph and the dynamical property of the elements. We propose the concept of 'reduced frequency', a measure which can quantify natural frequencies of each pair of oscillators. Then we introduce an evolving network whose linking rules are controlled by its own dynamical property. The simulation results indicate that when the linking probability positively correlates with the reduced frequency, the network undergoes a first-order phase transition. Meanwhile, we discuss the circumstance under which an explosive synchronization can be ignited. The numerical results show that the peculiar butterfly shape correlation between frequencies and degrees of the nodes contributes to an explosive synchronization transition. 展开更多
关键词 of WORK as IT effects of Reduced Frequency on network Configuration and Synchronization Transition IS that
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Wavelet network based predistortion method for wideband RF power amplifiers exhibiting memory effects 被引量:1
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作者 JIN Zhe SONG Zhi-huan HE Jia-ming 《Journal of Zhejiang University-Science A(Applied Physics & Engineering)》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2007年第4期625-630,共6页
RF power amplifiers (PAs) are usually considered as memoryless devices in most existing predistortion techniques. Nevertheless, in wideband communication systems, PA memory effects can no longer be ignored and memoryl... RF power amplifiers (PAs) are usually considered as memoryless devices in most existing predistortion techniques. Nevertheless, in wideband communication systems, PA memory effects can no longer be ignored and memoryless predistortion cannot linearize PAs effectively. After analyzing PA memory effects, a novel predistortion method based on wavelet networks (WNs) is proposed to linearize wideband RF power amplifiers. A complex wavelet network with tapped delay lines is applied to construct the predistorter and then a complex backpropagation algorithm is developed to train the predistorter parameters. The simulation results show that compared with the previously published feed-forward neural network predistortion method, the proposed method provides faster convergence rate and better performance in reducing out-of-band spectral regrowth. 展开更多
关键词 Power amplifiers. Predistortion. Memory effects. Wavelet networks
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Analysis of effect factors-based stochastic network planning model 被引量:1
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作者 Chu Chunchao 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2008年第1期112-118,共7页
Looking at all the indeterminate factors as a whole and regarding activity durations as independent random variables, the traditional stochastic network planning models ignore the inevitable relationship and dependenc... Looking at all the indeterminate factors as a whole and regarding activity durations as independent random variables, the traditional stochastic network planning models ignore the inevitable relationship and dependence among activity durations when more than one activity is possibly affected by the same indeterminate factors. On this basis of analysis of indeterminate effect factors of durations, the effect factors-based stochastic network planning (EFBSNP) model is proposed, which emphasizes on the effects of not only logistic and organizational relationships, but also the dependent relationships, due to indeterminate factors among activity durations on the project period. By virtue of indeterminate factor analysis the model extracts and describes the quantitatively indeterminate effect factors, and then takes into account the indeterminate factors effect schedule by using the Monte Carlo simulation technique. The method is flexible enough to deal with effect factors and is coincident with practice. A software has been developed to simplify the model-based calculation, in VisualStudio.NET language. Finally, a case study is included to demonstrate the applicability of the proposed model and comparison is made with some advantages over the existing models. 展开更多
关键词 stochastic network planning ACTIVITY DURATION effect factor
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Neural network-based matrix effect correction in EDXRF analysis 被引量:4
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作者 TUO Xianguo CHENG Bo MU Keliang LI Zhe 《Nuclear Science and Techniques》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2008年第5期278-281,共4页
In this paper we discuss neural network-based matrix effect correction in energy dispersive X-ray fluorescence (EDXRF) analysis,with detailed algorithm to classify the samples.The method can correct the matrix effect ... In this paper we discuss neural network-based matrix effect correction in energy dispersive X-ray fluorescence (EDXRF) analysis,with detailed algorithm to classify the samples.The method can correct the matrix effect effectively through classifying the samples automatically,and influence of X-ray absorption and enhancement by major elements of the samples is reduced.Experiments for the complex matrix effect correction in EDXRF analysis of samples in Pangang showed improved accuracy of the elemental analysis result. 展开更多
关键词 能量耗散X射线荧光分析 神经网络 聚类分析 基体效应 烧结矿物
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Neural Network Based Terminal Sliding Mode Control for WMRs Affected by an Augmented Ground Friction With Slippage Effect 被引量:9
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作者 Ming Yue Linjiu Wang Teng Ma 《IEEE/CAA Journal of Automatica Sinica》 SCIE EI CSCD 2017年第3期498-506,共9页
Wheeled mobile robots(WMRs) encounter unavoidable slippage especially on the low adhesion terrain such that the robots stability and accuracy are reduced greatly.To overcome this drawback,this article presents a neura... Wheeled mobile robots(WMRs) encounter unavoidable slippage especially on the low adhesion terrain such that the robots stability and accuracy are reduced greatly.To overcome this drawback,this article presents a neural network(NN) based terminal sliding mode control(TSMC) for WMRs where an augmented ground friction model is reported by which the uncertain friction can be estimated and compensated according to the required performance.In contrast to the existing friction models,the developed augmented ground friction model corresponds to actual fact because not only the effects associated with the mobile platform velocity but also the slippage related to the wheel slip rate are concerned simultaneously.Besides,the presented control approach can combine the merits of both TSMC and radial basis function(RBF) neural networks techniques,thereby providing numerous excellent performances for the closed-loop system,such as finite time convergence and faster friction estimation property.Simulation results validate the proposed friction model and robustness of controller;these research results will improve the autonomy and intelligence of WMRs,particularly when the mobile platform suffers from the sophisticated unstructured environment. 展开更多
关键词 Ground friction radial basis function(RBF) neural network(NN) slippage effect terminal sliding mode control(TSMC) wheeled mobile robot(WMR)
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Effect of Chromium on CCT Diagrams of Novel Air-Cooled Bainite Steels Analyzed by Neural Network 被引量:4
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作者 YOU Wei XU Wei-hong +2 位作者 LIU Ya-xiu BAI Bing-zhe FANG Hong-sheng 《Journal of Iron and Steel Research International》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2007年第4期39-42,共4页
The quantitative effects of chromium content on continuous cooling transformation (CCT) diagrams of novel air-cooled bainite steels were analyzed using artificial neural network models. The results showed that the c... The quantitative effects of chromium content on continuous cooling transformation (CCT) diagrams of novel air-cooled bainite steels were analyzed using artificial neural network models. The results showed that the chromium may retard the high and medium-temperature martensite transformation. 展开更多
关键词 novel air-cooled bainite steel CCT diagram artificial neural network chromium content quantitative effect
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Measuring Effectiveness in E-Commerce Networks
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作者 Christian Koesters 《厦门大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2002年第S1期296-297,共2页
The revolution of information technology within the p ast twenty years has dramatically changed the picture of our economy. Numerous n ew possibilities of communication have let competition advantages for many compa n... The revolution of information technology within the p ast twenty years has dramatically changed the picture of our economy. Numerous n ew possibilities of communication have let competition advantages for many compa nies and even advantageous macroeconomic consequences emerge on national and international level. Through newly developed information technologies the knowl edge base of market participants improves with a concurrent reduction of the inf ormation obtaining costs. As a result considerable competition advantages develo p for those companies acting in E-commerce networks. These advantages of the la test development lead to macroeconomic effects on national level, if the effecti veness and efficiency increasing possibilities are used more strongly than in ot her countries. Positive international effects arise since the allocation effic iency is increased through intensified competition between different market pa rticipants in various countries. This in turn leads to an increase in wo rldwide prosperity. This causal chain however is not yet realistic to the whole extent, as such an i ncreased transparency of information is not necessarily accepted by all market p articipants. Otherwise a considerable productivity increase would already have o ccurred in industrial countries. Overall the question arises, whether the change s in the competition situation make single enterprises technically more effectiv e, concurrently however deteriorate the efficiency of the entire market through informational asymmetries. To answer these and further questions and to measure the effectiveness and effic iency of various E-commerce networks an interdisciplinary analysis platform is to be developed. With the help of this platform, it should be possible to examin e single and macroeconomic questions, reveal temporal connections and to analyse aspects of business management and national economy, information management, em ployment politics and finance politics. For this, various part-models for the i ndividual knowledge disciplines have to be generated and brought together in the platform. This platform allows various users to make the right decisions (effec tiveness) with the help of the developed models and to competently estimate the effects (efficiency). Currently models of the individual knowledge disciplines (business management, e conomics, computer science) are being developed within the research project EEE. con. This project deals with the question of Supply Chain Management (SCM), E-P rocurement, with the implementation of inter-organisational information systems , as well as various market, competition and organisation models. The department of economics and computer science from Prof. Dr.-Ing. habil. W. Dangelmaier particularly deals with the development of an agent controlled SCM- communication model which is part of the E-commerce analysis platform. Both are described in this paper. Furthermore, a unified modelling language in order to allow a prototypic implementation of the analysis tool and to make the work with other project participants and external participants easier is decided upon wit hin this project. 展开更多
关键词 Measuring effectiveness in E-Commerce networks
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A Study of New Method for Weapon System Effectiveness Evaluation Based on Bayesian Network 被引量:1
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作者 阎代维 谷良贤 潘雷 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 SCIE EI CAS 2008年第3期209-213,共5页
As weapon system effectiveness is affected by many factors,its evaluation is essentially a multi-criterion decision making problem for its complexity.The evaluation model of the effectiveness is established on the bas... As weapon system effectiveness is affected by many factors,its evaluation is essentially a multi-criterion decision making problem for its complexity.The evaluation model of the effectiveness is established on the basis of metrics architecture of the effectiveness.The Bayesian network,which is used to evaluate the effectiveness,is established based on the metrics architecture and the evaluation models.For getting the weights of the metrics by Bayesian network,subjective initial values of the weights are given,gradient ascent algorithm is adopted,and the reasonable values of the weights are achieved.And then the effectiveness of every weapon system project is gained.The weapon system,whose effectiveness is relative maximum,is the optimization system.The research result shows that this method can solve the problem of AHP method which evaluation results are not compatible to the practice results and overcome the shortcoming of neural network in multilayer and multi-criterion decision.The method offers a new approach for evaluating the effectiveness. 展开更多
关键词 导弹 可行性 战斗能力 网络技术
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双边市场网约车平台聚合策略选择研究 被引量:2
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作者 曹裕 李想 李青松 《中国管理科学》 北大核心 2025年第4期142-153,共12页
以网约车双边市场为背景,结合双边市场理论以及Hotelling模型构建双寡头平台竞争模型,分析一个由聚合平台中的小平台集合(A)与一个大平台(B)的竞争均衡,研究不同网络外部性强度与用户旅行成本的大平台聚合策略选择问题。理论推导了不聚... 以网约车双边市场为背景,结合双边市场理论以及Hotelling模型构建双寡头平台竞争模型,分析一个由聚合平台中的小平台集合(A)与一个大平台(B)的竞争均衡,研究不同网络外部性强度与用户旅行成本的大平台聚合策略选择问题。理论推导了不聚合策略(N)、跟随策略(F)与开放策略(O)下的双边市场规模决策、定价决策以及定价对用户转移的影响。进一步,通过数值模拟比较不同聚合策略下的大平台利润,发现交叉网络外部性与用户旅行成本是影响大平台聚合策略选择的重要因素。当用户端和司机端交叉网络外部性均低时,大平台不参与聚合,随着外部性上升,其选择会从跟随策略转变为开放策略,其中用户端网络外部性对跟随策略、司机端网络外部性对开放策略作用更为显著;当用户旅行成本低于阈值时,大平台采取跟随策略,否则不参与聚合。有趣的是,司机旅行成本和聚合平台抽成比例均不会影响大平台聚合策略选择,可为现实中聚合平台前期的免抽成策略做出解释。 展开更多
关键词 双边市场 网约车平台 聚合策略 交叉网络外部性
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Effective Life and Area Based Data Storing and Deployment in Vehicular Ad-Hoc Networks
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作者 Hirokazu Miura Hideki Tode Hirokazu Taki 《Communications and Network》 2015年第3期146-157,共12页
In vehicular ad-hoc networks (VANETs), store-carry-forward approach may be used for data sharing, where moving vehicles carry and exchange data when they go by each other. In this approach, storage resource in a vehic... In vehicular ad-hoc networks (VANETs), store-carry-forward approach may be used for data sharing, where moving vehicles carry and exchange data when they go by each other. In this approach, storage resource in a vehicle is generally limited. Therefore, attributes of data that have to be stored in vehicles are an important factor in order to efficiently distribute desired data. In VANETs, there are different types of data which depend on the time and location. Such kind of data cannot be deployed adequately to the requesting vehicles only by popularity-based rule. In this paper, we propose a data distribution method that takes into account the effective life and area in addition to popularity of data. Our extensive simulation results demonstrate drastic improvements on acquisition performance of the time and area specific data. 展开更多
关键词 Vehicular AD-HOC networks (VANETs) POPULARITY effectIVE LIFE effectIVE Area Data DEPLOYMENT
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Ripple-effect analysis for operational architecture of air defense systems with supernetwork modeling 被引量:5
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作者 Zhigang Zou Fuxian Liu +2 位作者 Shiman Sun Lu Xia Chengli Fan 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2014年第2期249-264,共16页
In order to solve the problem that the ripple-effect analy- sis for the operational architecture of air defense systems (OAADS) is hardly described in quantity with previous modeling approaches, a supernetwork model... In order to solve the problem that the ripple-effect analy- sis for the operational architecture of air defense systems (OAADS) is hardly described in quantity with previous modeling approaches, a supernetwork modeling approach for the OAADS is put for- ward by extending granular computing. Based on that operational units and links are equal to different information granularities, the supernetwork framework of the OAADS is constructed as a “four- network within two-layer” structure by forming dynamic operating coalitions, and measuring indexes of the ripple-effect analysis for the OAADS are given combining with Laplace spectral radius. In this framework, via analyzing multidimensional attributes which inherit relations between operational units in different granular scales, an extended granular computing is put forward integrating with a topological structure. Then the operation process within the supernetwork framework, including transformation relations be- tween two layers in the vertical view and mapping relations among functional networks in the horizontal view, is studied in quantity. As the application case shows, comparing with previous modeling approaches, the supernetwork model can validate and analyze the operation mechanism in the air defense architecture, and the ripple-effect analysis can be used to confirm the key operational unit with micro and macro viewpoints. 展开更多
关键词 operational architecture air defense system super-network model Laplace spectral radius ripple-effect analysis.
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Coseismic effects recorded by Fujian subsurface fluid network and its meaning to earthquake prediction 被引量:1
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作者 Lixia Liao Xiaoyin Ni Meiling Wang Shaozu Wu 《Earthquake Science》 CSCD 2009年第3期293-299,共7页
Based on analyses of the spatio-temporal evolutionary characteristics of teleseismic response recorded by Fujian subsurface fluid network and in combination with earthquakes happened in Fujian province during the same... Based on analyses of the spatio-temporal evolutionary characteristics of teleseismic response recorded by Fujian subsurface fluid network and in combination with earthquakes happened in Fujian province during the same period, this paper points out that the step-like rising of water level after distant earthquakes may include some regional stress field information, and the area where water level step-like rises could be the position that the stress concentrated on and where the future earthquakes would occur. If combined with other impending precursors, the location of the events may be predicted to a certain degree. 展开更多
关键词 Fujian subsurface fluid network well water level coseismic effect spatio-temporal evolutionary characteristic water level oscillation
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Predicting Ground Effects of Omnidirectional Antennas in Wireless Sensor Networks
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作者 John F. Janek Jeffrey J. Evans 《Wireless Sensor Network》 2010年第12期879-890,共12页
Omnidirectional antennas are often used for radio frequency (RF) communication in wireless sensor networks (WSNs). Outside noise, electromagnetic interference (EMI), overloaded network traffic, large obstacles (vegeta... Omnidirectional antennas are often used for radio frequency (RF) communication in wireless sensor networks (WSNs). Outside noise, electromagnetic interference (EMI), overloaded network traffic, large obstacles (vegetation and buildings), terrain and atmospheric composition, along with climate patterns can degrade signal quality in the form of data packet loss or reduced RF communication range. This paper explores the RF range reduction properties of a particular WSN designed to operate in agricultural crop fields to collect aggregate data composed of subsurface soil moisture and soil temperature. Our study, using simulation, anechoic and field measurements shows that the effect of antenna placement close to the ground (within 10 cm) signi?cantly changes the omnidirectional transmission pattern. We then develop and propose a prediction method that is more precise than current practices of using the Friis and Fresnel equations. Our prediction method takes into account environmental properties for RF communication range based on the height of nodes and gateways. 展开更多
关键词 OMNIDIRECTIONAL ANTENNA GROUND effectS WIRELESS Densor networkS
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“患贫”还是“患不均”?——收入水平、收入分化对劳动力流动网络的因果效应 被引量:1
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作者 王群勇 孙倩 《人口与经济》 北大核心 2025年第2期85-103,共19页
以往文献更多关注收入水平对劳动力流动的影响,忽略了收入分化及其网络效应。基于2011—2017年中国流动人口动态监测调查数据,构建劳动力流动网络,运用时间指数随机图模型(TERGM)与反事实模拟研究了区域收入水平与区域收入分化对劳动力... 以往文献更多关注收入水平对劳动力流动的影响,忽略了收入分化及其网络效应。基于2011—2017年中国流动人口动态监测调查数据,构建劳动力流动网络,运用时间指数随机图模型(TERGM)与反事实模拟研究了区域收入水平与区域收入分化对劳动力流动网络的复杂影响。研究表明:劳动力患贫更患不均,劳动力流向高收入地区,同时从收入高分化地区流向相对平等的地区,收入分化对于劳动力流出的作用尤为显著,相比于提高地区收入水平,改善分化更有助于缓解流失。高技能和低技能劳动力存在异质性,高技能劳动力重视收入水平,倾向于流向高收入地区,对收入分化不敏感;而低技能劳动力不仅受收入水平影响,区域的收入分化水平对其具有更大的驱动作用。反事实模拟显示,若东北地区的基尼系数下降一个标准差,则劳动力流出减少约22万人,流入增加约6万人;当人均收入提高一个标准差,则劳动力流出减少约12万人,流入增加约4万人。人均收入对劳动力流动的影响更为复杂,如果没有基尼系数的改善,只有收入水平提高不一定改善劳动力流失的状况。结论揭示了收入与劳动力流动之间的复杂关系,为劳动力流动网络演化研究提供了新的视角,对于区域协调发展和人口高质量发展具有重要的政策借鉴意义。 展开更多
关键词 劳动力流动网络 收入效应 时间指数随机图模型 网络因果效应 反事实模拟
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