Bigeye tuna is a protein-rich fish that is susceptible to spoilage during cold storage,however,there is limited information on untargeted metabolomic profiling of bigeye tuna concerning spoilage-associated enzymes and...Bigeye tuna is a protein-rich fish that is susceptible to spoilage during cold storage,however,there is limited information on untargeted metabolomic profiling of bigeye tuna concerning spoilage-associated enzymes and metabolites.This study aimed to investigate how cold storage affects enzyme activities,nutrient composition,tissue microstructures and spoilage metabolites of bigeye tuna.The activities of cathepsins B,H,L increased,while Na^(+)/K^(+)-ATPase and Mg^(2+)-ATPase decreased,α-glucosidase,lipase and lipoxygenase first increased and then decreased during cold storage,suggesting that proteins undergo degradation and ATP metabolism occurs at a faster rate during cold storage.Nutrient composition(moisture and lipid content),total amino acids decreased,suggesting that the nutritional value of bigeye tuna was reduced.Besides,a logistic regression equation has been established as a food analysis tool and assesses the dynamics and correlation of the enzyme of bigeye tuna during cold storage.Based on untargeted metabolomic profiling analysis,a total of 524 metabolites were identified in the bigeye tuna contained several spoilage metabolites involved in lipid metabolism(glycerophosphocholine and choline phosphate),amino acid metabolism(L-histidine,5-deoxy-5′-(methylthio)adenosine,5-methylthioadenosine),carbohydrate metabolism(D-gluconic acid,α-D-fructose 1,6-bisphosphate,D-glyceraldehyde 3-phosphate).The results of tissue microstructures of tuna showed a looser network and visible deterioration of tissue fiber during cold storage.Therefore,metabolomic analysis and tissue microstructures provide insight into the spoilage mechanism investigations on bigeye tuna during cold storage.展开更多
Damage to electrical equipment in an earthquake can lead to power outage of power systems.Seismic fragility analysis is a common method to assess the seismic reliability of electrical equipment.To further guarantee th...Damage to electrical equipment in an earthquake can lead to power outage of power systems.Seismic fragility analysis is a common method to assess the seismic reliability of electrical equipment.To further guarantee the efficiency of analysis,multi-source uncertainties including the structure itself and seismic excitation need to be considered.A method for seismic fragility analysis that reflects structural and seismic parameter uncertainty was developed in this study.The proposed method used a random sampling method based on Latin hypercube sampling(LHS)to account for the structure parameter uncertainty and the group structure characteristics of electrical equipment.Then,logistic Lasso regression(LLR)was used to find the seismic fragility surface based on double ground motion intensity measures(IM).The seismic fragility based on the finite element model of an±1000 kV main transformer(UHVMT)was analyzed using the proposed method.The results show that the seismic fragility function obtained by this method can be used to construct the relationship between the uncertainty parameters and the failure probability.The seismic fragility surface did not only provide the probabilities of seismic damage states under different IMs,but also had better stability than the fragility curve.Furthermore,the sensitivity analysis of the structural parameters revealed that the elastic module of the bushing and the height of the high-voltage bushing may have a greater influence.展开更多
Landslide susceptibility maps(LSMs) play a vital role in assisting land use planning and risk mitigation. This study aims to optimize causative factors using logistic regression(LR) and an artificial neural network(AN...Landslide susceptibility maps(LSMs) play a vital role in assisting land use planning and risk mitigation. This study aims to optimize causative factors using logistic regression(LR) and an artificial neural network(ANN) to produce a LSM. The LSM is produced with 11 causative factors and then optimized using forward-stepwise LR(FSLR), ANN, and their combination(FSLR-ANN) until eight causative factors were found for each method. The ANN method produced superior validation results compared with LR. The ROC values for the training data set ranges between 0.8 and 0.9. On the other hand, validation with the percentage of landslide fall into LSM class high and very high, ANN method was higher(92.59%) than LR(82.12%). FSLR-ANN with nine causative factors gave the best validation results with respect to area under curve(AUC) values, and validation with the percentage of landslide fall into LSM class high and very high. In conclusion, ANN was found to be better than LR when producing LSMs. The best Optimization was combination of FSLR-ANN with nine causative factors and AUC success rate 0.847, predictive rate 0.844 and validation with landslide fall into high and very high class with 91.30%. It is an encouraging preliminary model towards a systematic introduction of FSLR-ANN model for optimization causative factors in landslide susceptibility assessment in the mountainous area of Ujung Loe Watershed.展开更多
Rudraprayag in Garhwal Himalayan division is one of the most vulnerable districts to landslides in India. Heavy rainfall, steep slope and developmental activities are important factors for the occurrence of landslides...Rudraprayag in Garhwal Himalayan division is one of the most vulnerable districts to landslides in India. Heavy rainfall, steep slope and developmental activities are important factors for the occurrence of landslides in the district. Therefore, specific assessment of landslide susceptibility and its accuracy at regional level is essential for disaster management and proper land use planning. The article evaluates effectiveness of frequency ratio, fuzzy logic and logistic regression models for assessing landslide susceptibility in Rudraprayag district of Uttarakhand state, India. A landslide inventory map was prepared and verified by field data. Fourteen landslide parameters and generated inventory map were utilized to prepare landslide susceptibility maps through frequency ratio, fuzzy logic and logistic regression models. Landslide susceptibility maps generated through these models were classified into very high, high, medium, low and very low categories using natural breaks classification. Receiver operating characteristics(ROC) curve, spatially agreed area approach and seed cell area index(SCAI) method were used to validate the landslide models. Validation results revealed that fuzzy logic model was found to be more effective in assessing landslide susceptibility in the study area. The landslide susceptibility map generated through fuzzy logic model can be best utilized for landslide disaster management and effective land use planning.展开更多
BACKGROUND Focal nodular hyperplasia(FNH)has very low potential risk,and a tendency to spontaneously resolve.Hepatocellular adenoma(HCA)has a certain malignant tendency,and its prognosis is significantly different fro...BACKGROUND Focal nodular hyperplasia(FNH)has very low potential risk,and a tendency to spontaneously resolve.Hepatocellular adenoma(HCA)has a certain malignant tendency,and its prognosis is significantly different from FNH.Accurate identification of HCA and FNH is critical for clinical treatment.AIM To analyze the value of multi-parameter ultrasound index based on logistic regression for the differential diagnosis of HCA and FNH.METHODS Thirty-one patients with HCA were included in the HCA group.Fifty patients with FNH were included in the FNH group.The clinical data were collected and recorded in the two groups.Conventional ultrasound,shear wave elastography,and contrast-enhanced ultrasound were performed,and the lesion location,lesion echo,Young’s modulus(YM)value,YM ratio,and changes of time intense curve(TIC)were recorded.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to screen the indicators that can be used for the differential diagnosis of HCA and FNH.A ROC curve was established for the potential indicators to analyze the accuracy of the differential diagnosis of HCA and FNH.The value of the combined indicators for distinguishing HCA and FNH were explored.RESULTS Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that lesion echo(P=0.000),YM value(P=0.000)and TIC decreasing slope(P=0.000)were the potential indicators identifying HCA and FNH.In the ROC curve analysis,the accuracy of the YM value distinguishing HCA and FNH was the highest(AUC=0.891),which was significantly higher than the AUC of the lesion echo and the TIC decreasing slope(P<0.05).The accuracy of the combined diagnosis was the highest(AUC=0.938),which was significantly higher than the AUC of the indicators diagnosing HCA individually(P<0.05).This sensitivity was 91.23%,and the specificity was 83.33%.CONCLUSION The combination of lesion echo,YM value and TIC decreasing slope can accurately differentiate between HCA and FNH.展开更多
The Wenchuan earthquake on May 12,2008 caused numerous collapses,landslides,barrier lakes,and debris flows.Landslide susceptibility mapping is important for evaluation of environmental capacity and also as a guide for...The Wenchuan earthquake on May 12,2008 caused numerous collapses,landslides,barrier lakes,and debris flows.Landslide susceptibility mapping is important for evaluation of environmental capacity and also as a guide for post-earthquake reconstruction.In this paper,a logistic regression model was developed within the framework of GIS to map landslide susceptibility.Qingchuan County,a heavily affected area,was selected for the study.Distribution of landslides was prepared by interpretation of multi-temporal and multi-resolution remote sensing images(ADS40 aerial imagery,SPOT5 imagery and TM imagery,etc.) and field surveys.The Certainly Factor method was used to find the influencial factors,indicating that lithologic groups,distance from major faults,slope angle,profile curvature,and altitude are the dominant factors influencing landslides.The weight of each factor was determined using a binomial logistic regression model.Landslide susceptibility mapping was based on spatial overlay analysis and divided into five classes.Major faults have the most significant impact,and landslides will occur most likely in areas near the faults.Onethird of the area has a high or very high susceptibility,located in the northeast,south and southwest,including 65.3% of all landslides coincident with the earthquake.The susceptibility map can reveal the likelihood of future failures,and it will be useful for planners during the rebuilding process and for future zoning issues.展开更多
Bailongjiang watershed in southern Gansu province, China, is one of the most landslide-prone regions in China, characterized by very high frequency of landslide occurrence. In order to predict the landslide occurrence...Bailongjiang watershed in southern Gansu province, China, is one of the most landslide-prone regions in China, characterized by very high frequency of landslide occurrence. In order to predict the landslide occurrence, a comprehensive map of landslide susceptibility is required which may be significantly helpful in reducing loss of property and human life. In this study, an integrated model of information value method and logistic regression is proposed by using their merits at maximum and overcoming their weaknesses, which may enhance precision and accuracy of landslide susceptibility assessment. A detailed and reliable landslide inventory with 1587 landslides was prepared and randomly divided into two groups,(i) training dataset and(ii) testing dataset. Eight distinct landslide conditioning factors including lithology, slope gradient, aspect, elevation, distance to drainages,distance to faults, distance to roads and vegetation coverage were selected for landslide susceptibility mapping. The produced landslide susceptibility maps were validated by the success rate and prediction rate curves. The validation results show that the success rate and the prediction rate of the integrated model are 81.7 % and 84.6 %, respectively, which indicate that the proposed integrated method is reliable to produce an accurate landslide susceptibility map and the results may be used for landslides management and mitigation.展开更多
Internal solitary wave propagation over a submarine ridge results in energy dissipation, in which the hydrodynamic interaction between a wave and ridge affects marine environment. This study analyzes the effects of ri...Internal solitary wave propagation over a submarine ridge results in energy dissipation, in which the hydrodynamic interaction between a wave and ridge affects marine environment. This study analyzes the effects of ridge height and potential energy during wave-ridge interaction with a binary and cumulative logistic regression model. In testing the Global Null Hypothesis, all values are p 〈0.001, with three statistical methods, such as Likelihood Ratio, Score, and Wald. While comparing with two kinds of models, tests values obtained by cumulative logistic regression models are better than those by binary logistic regression models. Although this study employed cumulative logistic regression model, three probability functions p^1, p^2 and p^3, are utilized for investigating the weighted influence of factors on wave reflection. Deviance and Pearson tests are applied to cheek the goodness-of-fit of the proposed model. The analytical results demonstrated that both ridge height （X1 ） and potential energy （X2 ） significantly impact （p 〈 0. 0001 ） the amplitude-based refleeted rate; the P-values for the deviance and Pearson are all 〉 0.05 （0.2839, 0.3438, respectively）. That is, the goodness-of-fit between ridge height （ X1 ） and potential energy （X2） can further predict parameters under the scenario of the best parsimonious model. Investigation of 6 predictive powers （ R2, Max-rescaled R^2, Sorners＇ D, Gamma, Tau-a, and c, respectively） indicate that these predictive estimates of the proposed model have better predictive ability than ridge height alone, and are very similar to the interaction of ridge height and potential energy. It can be concluded that the goodness-of-fit and prediction ability of the cumulative logistic regression model are better than that of the binary logistic regression model.展开更多
Landslide susceptibility map is one of the study fields portraying the spatial distribution of future slope failure sus- ceptibility. This paper deals with past methods for producing landslide susceptibility map and d...Landslide susceptibility map is one of the study fields portraying the spatial distribution of future slope failure sus- ceptibility. This paper deals with past methods for producing landslide susceptibility map and divides these methods into 3 types. The logistic linear regression approach is further elaborated on by crosstabs method, which is used to analyze the relationship between the categorical or binary response variable and one or more continuous or categorical or binary explanatory variables derived from samples. It is an objective assignment of coefficients serving as weights of various factors under considerations while expert opinions make great difference in heuristic approaches. Different from deterministic approach, it is very applicable to regional scale. In this study, double logistic regression is applied in the study area. The entire study area is first analyzed. The logistic regression equation showed that elevation, proximity to road, river and residential area are main factors triggering land- slide occurrence in this area. The prediction accuracy of the first landslide susceptibility map was showed to be 80%. Along the road and residential area, almost all areas are in high landslide susceptibility zone. Some non-landslide areas are incorrectly divided into high and medium landslide susceptibility zone. In order to improve the status, a second logistic regression was done in high landslide susceptibility zone using landslide cells and non-landslide sample cells in this area. In the second logistic regression analysis, only engineering and geological conditions are important in these areas and are entered in the new logistic regression equation indicating that only areas with unstable engineering and geological conditions are prone to landslide during large scale engineering activity. Taking these two logistic regression results into account yields a new landslide susceptibility map. Double logistic regression analysis improved the non-landslide prediction accuracy. During calculation of parameters for logistic regres- sion, landslide density is used to transform nominal variable to numeric variable and this avoids the creation of an excessively high number of dummy variables.展开更多
Landslide susceptibility mapping is the first step in regional hazard management as it helps to understand the spatial distribution of the probability of slope failure in an area.An attempt is made to map the landslid...Landslide susceptibility mapping is the first step in regional hazard management as it helps to understand the spatial distribution of the probability of slope failure in an area.An attempt is made to map the landslide susceptibility in Tevankarai Ar subwatershed,Kodaikkanal,India using binary logistic regression analysis.Geographic Information System is used to prepare the database of the predictor variables and landslide inventory map,which is used to build the spatial model of landslide susceptibility.The model describes the relationship between the dependent variable(presence and absence of landslide) and the independent variables selected for study(predictor variables) by the best fitting function.A forward stepwise logistic regression model using maximum likelihood estimation is used in the regression analysis.An inventory of 84 landslides and cells within a buffer distance of 10m around the landslide is used as the dependent variable.Relief,slope,aspect,plan curvature,profile curvature,land use,soil,topographic wetness index,proximity to roads and proximity to lineaments are taken as independent variables.The constant and the coefficient of the predictor variable retained by the regression model are used to calculate the probability of slope failure and analyze the effect of each predictor variable on landslide occurrence in thestudy area.The model shows that the most significant parameter contributing to landslides is slope.The other significant parameters are profile curvature,soil,road,wetness index and relief.The predictive logistic regression model is validated using temporal validation data-set of known landslide locations and shows an accuracy of 85.29 %.展开更多
The currently prevalent machine performance degradation assessment techniques involve estimating a machine＇s current condition based upon the recognition of indications of failure features,which entail complete data ...The currently prevalent machine performance degradation assessment techniques involve estimating a machine＇s current condition based upon the recognition of indications of failure features,which entail complete data collected in different conditions.However,failure data are always hard to acquire,thus making those techniques hard to be applied.In this paper,a novel method which does not need failure history data is introduced.Wavelet packet decomposition（WPD） is used to extract features from raw signals,principal component analysis（PCA） is utilized to reduce feature dimensions,and Gaussian mixture model（GMM） is then applied to approximate the feature space distributions.Single-channel confidence value（SCV） is calculated by the overlap between GMM of the monitoring condition and that of the normal condition,which can indicate the performance of single-channel.Furthermore,multi-channel confidence value（MCV）,which can be deemed as the overall performance index of multi-channel,is calculated via logistic regression（LR） and that the task of decision-level sensor fusion is also completed.Both SCV and MCV can serve as the basis on which proactive maintenance measures can be taken,thus preventing machine breakdown.The method has been adopted to assess the performance of the turbine of a centrifugal compressor in a factory of Petro-China,and the result shows that it can effectively complete this task.The proposed method has engineering significance for machine performance degradation assessment.展开更多
This paper investigates direct current(DC) arc fault detection in photovoltaic system. In order to avoid the risk of fire ignition caused by the arc fault in the photovoltaic power supply, it is urgent to detect the D...This paper investigates direct current(DC) arc fault detection in photovoltaic system. In order to avoid the risk of fire ignition caused by the arc fault in the photovoltaic power supply, it is urgent to detect the DC arc fault in the photovoltaic system. Once an arc fault is detected, the power supply should be cut off immediately. A lot of field experiments are carried out to obtain the data of arc fault current of the photovoltaic system under different current conditions. Cable length, arc gap, and the effects of different sensors are tested.These three conditions are the most significant features of this paper. Four characteristic variables from both the time domain and the frequency domain are extracted to identify the arc fault. Then the logistic regression method in the field of artificial intelligence and machine learning is originally used to analyze the experimental results of arc fault in the photovoltaic system. The function between the probability of the arc fault and the change of the characteristic variables is obtained. After validating 80 groups of experimental data under different conditions,the accuracy rate of the arc fault detection by this algorithm is proved to reach 100%.展开更多
Landslide distribution and susceptibility mapping are the fundamental steps for landslide-related hazard and disaster risk management activities, especially in the Himalaya region which has resulted in a great deal of...Landslide distribution and susceptibility mapping are the fundamental steps for landslide-related hazard and disaster risk management activities, especially in the Himalaya region which has resulted in a great deal of death and damage to property. To better understand the landslide condition in the Nepal Himalaya, we carried out an investigation on the landslide distribution and susceptibility using the landslide inventory data and 12 different contributing factors in the Dailekh district, Western Nepal. Based on the evaluation of the frequency distribution of the landslide, the relationship between the landslide and the various contributing factors was determined.Then, the landslide susceptibility was calculated using logistic regression and statistical index methods along with different topographic(slope, aspect, relative relief, plan curvature, altitude, topographic wetness index) and non-topographic factors(distance from river, normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI), distance from road, precipitation, land use and land cover, and geology), and 470(70%) of total 658 landslides. The receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve analysis using 198(30%) of total landslides showed that the prediction curve rates(area under the curve, AUC) values for two methods(logistic regression and statistical index) were 0.826, and 0.823with success rates of 0.793, and 0.811, respectively. The values of R-Index for the logistic regression and statistical index methods were83.66 and 88.54, respectively, consisting of high susceptible hazard classes. In general, this research concluded that the cohesive and coherent natural interplay of topographic and non-topographic factors strongly affects landslide occurrence, distribution, and susceptibility condition in the Nepal Himalaya region. Furthermore, the reliability of these two methods is verified for landslide susceptibility mapping in Nepal’s central mountain region.展开更多
This study explored and reviewed the logistic regression (LR) model, a multivariable method for modeling the relationship between multiple independent variables and a categorical dependent variable, with emphasis on m...This study explored and reviewed the logistic regression (LR) model, a multivariable method for modeling the relationship between multiple independent variables and a categorical dependent variable, with emphasis on medical research. Thirty seven research articles published between 2000 and 2018 which employed logistic regression as the main statistical tool as well as six text books on logistic regression were reviewed. Logistic regression concepts such as odds, odds ratio, logit transformation, logistic curve, assumption, selecting dependent and independent variables, model fitting, reporting and interpreting were presented. Upon perusing the literature, considerable deficiencies were found in both the use and reporting of LR. For many studies, the ratio of the number of outcome events to predictor variables (events per variable) was sufficiently small to call into question the accuracy of the regression model. Also, most studies did not report on validation analysis, regression diagnostics or goodness-of-fit measures;measures which authenticate the robustness of the LR model. Here, we demonstrate a good example of the application of the LR model using data obtained on a cohort of pregnant women and the factors that influence their decision to opt for caesarean delivery or vaginal birth. It is recommended that researchers should be more rigorous and pay greater attention to guidelines concerning the use and reporting of LR models.展开更多
A detailed landslide susceptibility map was produced in the Youfang catchment using logistic regression method with datasets developed for a geographic information system(GIS).Known as one of the most landslide-prone ...A detailed landslide susceptibility map was produced in the Youfang catchment using logistic regression method with datasets developed for a geographic information system(GIS).Known as one of the most landslide-prone areas in China, the Youfang catchment of Longnan mountain region,which lies in the transitional area among QinghaiTibet Plateau, loess Plateau and Sichuan Basin, was selected as a representative case to evaluate the frequency and distribution of landslides.Statistical relationships for landslide susceptibility assessment were developed using landslide and landslide causative factor databases.Logistic regression(LR)was used to create the landslide susceptibility maps based on a series of available data sources: landslide inventory; distance to drainage systems, faults and roads; slope angle and aspect; topographic elevation and topographical wetness index, and land use.The quality of the landslide susceptibility map produced in this paper was validated and the result can be used fordesigning protective and mitigation measures against landslide hazards.The landslide susceptibility map is expected to provide a fundamental tool for landslide hazards assessment and risk management in the Youfang catchment.展开更多
This paper is devoted to identifying the biomarkers of rat liver regeneration via the adaptive logistic regression. By combining the adaptive elastic net penalty with the logistic regression loss, the adaptive logisti...This paper is devoted to identifying the biomarkers of rat liver regeneration via the adaptive logistic regression. By combining the adaptive elastic net penalty with the logistic regression loss, the adaptive logistic regression is proposed to adaptively identify the important genes in groups. Furthermore, by improving the pathwise coordinate descent algorithm, a fast solving algorithm is developed for computing the regularized paths of the adaptive logistic regression. The results from the experiments performed on the microarray data of rat liver regeneration are provided to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method and verify the biological rationality of the selected biomarkers.展开更多
In order to improve classification accuracy, the regularized logistic regression is used to classify single-trial electroencephalogram （EEG）. A novel approach, named local sparse logistic regression （LSLR）, is pro...In order to improve classification accuracy, the regularized logistic regression is used to classify single-trial electroencephalogram （EEG）. A novel approach, named local sparse logistic regression （LSLR）, is proposed. The LSLR integrates the locality preserving projection regularization term into the framework of sparse logistic regression. It tries to maintain the neighborhood information of original feature space, and, meanwhile, keeps sparsity. The bound optimization algorithm and component-wise update are used to compute the weight vector in the training data, thus overcoming the disadvantage of the Newton-Raphson method and iterative re-weighted least squares （IRLS）. The classification accuracy of 80% is achieved using ten-fold cross-validation in the self-paced finger tapping data set. The results of LSLR are compared with SLR, showing the effectiveness of the proposed method.展开更多
基金supported by the Shanghai Sailing Program(22YF1416300)Youth Fund Project of National Natural Science Foundation of China(32202117)+1 种基金National Key Research and Development Program of China(2022YFD2100104)the China Agriculture Research System(CARS-47).
文摘Bigeye tuna is a protein-rich fish that is susceptible to spoilage during cold storage,however,there is limited information on untargeted metabolomic profiling of bigeye tuna concerning spoilage-associated enzymes and metabolites.This study aimed to investigate how cold storage affects enzyme activities,nutrient composition,tissue microstructures and spoilage metabolites of bigeye tuna.The activities of cathepsins B,H,L increased,while Na^(+)/K^(+)-ATPase and Mg^(2+)-ATPase decreased,α-glucosidase,lipase and lipoxygenase first increased and then decreased during cold storage,suggesting that proteins undergo degradation and ATP metabolism occurs at a faster rate during cold storage.Nutrient composition(moisture and lipid content),total amino acids decreased,suggesting that the nutritional value of bigeye tuna was reduced.Besides,a logistic regression equation has been established as a food analysis tool and assesses the dynamics and correlation of the enzyme of bigeye tuna during cold storage.Based on untargeted metabolomic profiling analysis,a total of 524 metabolites were identified in the bigeye tuna contained several spoilage metabolites involved in lipid metabolism(glycerophosphocholine and choline phosphate),amino acid metabolism(L-histidine,5-deoxy-5′-(methylthio)adenosine,5-methylthioadenosine),carbohydrate metabolism(D-gluconic acid,α-D-fructose 1,6-bisphosphate,D-glyceraldehyde 3-phosphate).The results of tissue microstructures of tuna showed a looser network and visible deterioration of tissue fiber during cold storage.Therefore,metabolomic analysis and tissue microstructures provide insight into the spoilage mechanism investigations on bigeye tuna during cold storage.
基金National Key R&D Program of China under Grant Nos.2018YFC1504504 and 2018YFC0809404。
文摘Damage to electrical equipment in an earthquake can lead to power outage of power systems.Seismic fragility analysis is a common method to assess the seismic reliability of electrical equipment.To further guarantee the efficiency of analysis,multi-source uncertainties including the structure itself and seismic excitation need to be considered.A method for seismic fragility analysis that reflects structural and seismic parameter uncertainty was developed in this study.The proposed method used a random sampling method based on Latin hypercube sampling(LHS)to account for the structure parameter uncertainty and the group structure characteristics of electrical equipment.Then,logistic Lasso regression(LLR)was used to find the seismic fragility surface based on double ground motion intensity measures(IM).The seismic fragility based on the finite element model of an±1000 kV main transformer(UHVMT)was analyzed using the proposed method.The results show that the seismic fragility function obtained by this method can be used to construct the relationship between the uncertainty parameters and the failure probability.The seismic fragility surface did not only provide the probabilities of seismic damage states under different IMs,but also had better stability than the fragility curve.Furthermore,the sensitivity analysis of the structural parameters revealed that the elastic module of the bushing and the height of the high-voltage bushing may have a greater influence.
文摘Landslide susceptibility maps(LSMs) play a vital role in assisting land use planning and risk mitigation. This study aims to optimize causative factors using logistic regression(LR) and an artificial neural network(ANN) to produce a LSM. The LSM is produced with 11 causative factors and then optimized using forward-stepwise LR(FSLR), ANN, and their combination(FSLR-ANN) until eight causative factors were found for each method. The ANN method produced superior validation results compared with LR. The ROC values for the training data set ranges between 0.8 and 0.9. On the other hand, validation with the percentage of landslide fall into LSM class high and very high, ANN method was higher(92.59%) than LR(82.12%). FSLR-ANN with nine causative factors gave the best validation results with respect to area under curve(AUC) values, and validation with the percentage of landslide fall into LSM class high and very high. In conclusion, ANN was found to be better than LR when producing LSMs. The best Optimization was combination of FSLR-ANN with nine causative factors and AUC success rate 0.847, predictive rate 0.844 and validation with landslide fall into high and very high class with 91.30%. It is an encouraging preliminary model towards a systematic introduction of FSLR-ANN model for optimization causative factors in landslide susceptibility assessment in the mountainous area of Ujung Loe Watershed.
文摘Rudraprayag in Garhwal Himalayan division is one of the most vulnerable districts to landslides in India. Heavy rainfall, steep slope and developmental activities are important factors for the occurrence of landslides in the district. Therefore, specific assessment of landslide susceptibility and its accuracy at regional level is essential for disaster management and proper land use planning. The article evaluates effectiveness of frequency ratio, fuzzy logic and logistic regression models for assessing landslide susceptibility in Rudraprayag district of Uttarakhand state, India. A landslide inventory map was prepared and verified by field data. Fourteen landslide parameters and generated inventory map were utilized to prepare landslide susceptibility maps through frequency ratio, fuzzy logic and logistic regression models. Landslide susceptibility maps generated through these models were classified into very high, high, medium, low and very low categories using natural breaks classification. Receiver operating characteristics(ROC) curve, spatially agreed area approach and seed cell area index(SCAI) method were used to validate the landslide models. Validation results revealed that fuzzy logic model was found to be more effective in assessing landslide susceptibility in the study area. The landslide susceptibility map generated through fuzzy logic model can be best utilized for landslide disaster management and effective land use planning.
基金Supported by Zhejiang Natural Science Foundation,NO.LY16H160004Ningbo Yinzhou District Agricultural and Social Development Science and Technology Project,NO.Yinke 2018-74
文摘BACKGROUND Focal nodular hyperplasia(FNH)has very low potential risk,and a tendency to spontaneously resolve.Hepatocellular adenoma(HCA)has a certain malignant tendency,and its prognosis is significantly different from FNH.Accurate identification of HCA and FNH is critical for clinical treatment.AIM To analyze the value of multi-parameter ultrasound index based on logistic regression for the differential diagnosis of HCA and FNH.METHODS Thirty-one patients with HCA were included in the HCA group.Fifty patients with FNH were included in the FNH group.The clinical data were collected and recorded in the two groups.Conventional ultrasound,shear wave elastography,and contrast-enhanced ultrasound were performed,and the lesion location,lesion echo,Young’s modulus(YM)value,YM ratio,and changes of time intense curve(TIC)were recorded.Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to screen the indicators that can be used for the differential diagnosis of HCA and FNH.A ROC curve was established for the potential indicators to analyze the accuracy of the differential diagnosis of HCA and FNH.The value of the combined indicators for distinguishing HCA and FNH were explored.RESULTS Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that lesion echo(P=0.000),YM value(P=0.000)and TIC decreasing slope(P=0.000)were the potential indicators identifying HCA and FNH.In the ROC curve analysis,the accuracy of the YM value distinguishing HCA and FNH was the highest(AUC=0.891),which was significantly higher than the AUC of the lesion echo and the TIC decreasing slope(P<0.05).The accuracy of the combined diagnosis was the highest(AUC=0.938),which was significantly higher than the AUC of the indicators diagnosing HCA individually(P<0.05).This sensitivity was 91.23%,and the specificity was 83.33%.CONCLUSION The combination of lesion echo,YM value and TIC decreasing slope can accurately differentiate between HCA and FNH.
基金supported by State Key Fundamental Research Program (973) project (2008CB425802)the National natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 40801009)
文摘The Wenchuan earthquake on May 12,2008 caused numerous collapses,landslides,barrier lakes,and debris flows.Landslide susceptibility mapping is important for evaluation of environmental capacity and also as a guide for post-earthquake reconstruction.In this paper,a logistic regression model was developed within the framework of GIS to map landslide susceptibility.Qingchuan County,a heavily affected area,was selected for the study.Distribution of landslides was prepared by interpretation of multi-temporal and multi-resolution remote sensing images(ADS40 aerial imagery,SPOT5 imagery and TM imagery,etc.) and field surveys.The Certainly Factor method was used to find the influencial factors,indicating that lithologic groups,distance from major faults,slope angle,profile curvature,and altitude are the dominant factors influencing landslides.The weight of each factor was determined using a binomial logistic regression model.Landslide susceptibility mapping was based on spatial overlay analysis and divided into five classes.Major faults have the most significant impact,and landslides will occur most likely in areas near the faults.Onethird of the area has a high or very high susceptibility,located in the northeast,south and southwest,including 65.3% of all landslides coincident with the earthquake.The susceptibility map can reveal the likelihood of future failures,and it will be useful for planners during the rebuilding process and for future zoning issues.
基金supported by the Project of the 12th Five-year National Sci-Tech Support Plan of China(2011BAK12B09)China Special Project of Basic Work of Science and Technology(2011FY110100-2)
文摘Bailongjiang watershed in southern Gansu province, China, is one of the most landslide-prone regions in China, characterized by very high frequency of landslide occurrence. In order to predict the landslide occurrence, a comprehensive map of landslide susceptibility is required which may be significantly helpful in reducing loss of property and human life. In this study, an integrated model of information value method and logistic regression is proposed by using their merits at maximum and overcoming their weaknesses, which may enhance precision and accuracy of landslide susceptibility assessment. A detailed and reliable landslide inventory with 1587 landslides was prepared and randomly divided into two groups,(i) training dataset and(ii) testing dataset. Eight distinct landslide conditioning factors including lithology, slope gradient, aspect, elevation, distance to drainages,distance to faults, distance to roads and vegetation coverage were selected for landslide susceptibility mapping. The produced landslide susceptibility maps were validated by the success rate and prediction rate curves. The validation results show that the success rate and the prediction rate of the integrated model are 81.7 % and 84.6 %, respectively, which indicate that the proposed integrated method is reliable to produce an accurate landslide susceptibility map and the results may be used for landslides management and mitigation.
基金This paper was financially supported by NSC96-2628-E-366-004-MY2 and NSC96-2628-E-132-001-MY2
文摘Internal solitary wave propagation over a submarine ridge results in energy dissipation, in which the hydrodynamic interaction between a wave and ridge affects marine environment. This study analyzes the effects of ridge height and potential energy during wave-ridge interaction with a binary and cumulative logistic regression model. In testing the Global Null Hypothesis, all values are p 〈0.001, with three statistical methods, such as Likelihood Ratio, Score, and Wald. While comparing with two kinds of models, tests values obtained by cumulative logistic regression models are better than those by binary logistic regression models. Although this study employed cumulative logistic regression model, three probability functions p^1, p^2 and p^3, are utilized for investigating the weighted influence of factors on wave reflection. Deviance and Pearson tests are applied to cheek the goodness-of-fit of the proposed model. The analytical results demonstrated that both ridge height （X1 ） and potential energy （X2 ） significantly impact （p 〈 0. 0001 ） the amplitude-based refleeted rate; the P-values for the deviance and Pearson are all 〉 0.05 （0.2839, 0.3438, respectively）. That is, the goodness-of-fit between ridge height （ X1 ） and potential energy （X2） can further predict parameters under the scenario of the best parsimonious model. Investigation of 6 predictive powers （ R2, Max-rescaled R^2, Sorners＇ D, Gamma, Tau-a, and c, respectively） indicate that these predictive estimates of the proposed model have better predictive ability than ridge height alone, and are very similar to the interaction of ridge height and potential energy. It can be concluded that the goodness-of-fit and prediction ability of the cumulative logistic regression model are better than that of the binary logistic regression model.
基金Project supported by the Natural Science Foundation of ZhejiangProvince (No. 30295) and the Key Project of Zhejiang Province (No.011103192), China
文摘Landslide susceptibility map is one of the study fields portraying the spatial distribution of future slope failure sus- ceptibility. This paper deals with past methods for producing landslide susceptibility map and divides these methods into 3 types. The logistic linear regression approach is further elaborated on by crosstabs method, which is used to analyze the relationship between the categorical or binary response variable and one or more continuous or categorical or binary explanatory variables derived from samples. It is an objective assignment of coefficients serving as weights of various factors under considerations while expert opinions make great difference in heuristic approaches. Different from deterministic approach, it is very applicable to regional scale. In this study, double logistic regression is applied in the study area. The entire study area is first analyzed. The logistic regression equation showed that elevation, proximity to road, river and residential area are main factors triggering land- slide occurrence in this area. The prediction accuracy of the first landslide susceptibility map was showed to be 80%. Along the road and residential area, almost all areas are in high landslide susceptibility zone. Some non-landslide areas are incorrectly divided into high and medium landslide susceptibility zone. In order to improve the status, a second logistic regression was done in high landslide susceptibility zone using landslide cells and non-landslide sample cells in this area. In the second logistic regression analysis, only engineering and geological conditions are important in these areas and are entered in the new logistic regression equation indicating that only areas with unstable engineering and geological conditions are prone to landslide during large scale engineering activity. Taking these two logistic regression results into account yields a new landslide susceptibility map. Double logistic regression analysis improved the non-landslide prediction accuracy. During calculation of parameters for logistic regres- sion, landslide density is used to transform nominal variable to numeric variable and this avoids the creation of an excessively high number of dummy variables.
文摘Landslide susceptibility mapping is the first step in regional hazard management as it helps to understand the spatial distribution of the probability of slope failure in an area.An attempt is made to map the landslide susceptibility in Tevankarai Ar subwatershed,Kodaikkanal,India using binary logistic regression analysis.Geographic Information System is used to prepare the database of the predictor variables and landslide inventory map,which is used to build the spatial model of landslide susceptibility.The model describes the relationship between the dependent variable(presence and absence of landslide) and the independent variables selected for study(predictor variables) by the best fitting function.A forward stepwise logistic regression model using maximum likelihood estimation is used in the regression analysis.An inventory of 84 landslides and cells within a buffer distance of 10m around the landslide is used as the dependent variable.Relief,slope,aspect,plan curvature,profile curvature,land use,soil,topographic wetness index,proximity to roads and proximity to lineaments are taken as independent variables.The constant and the coefficient of the predictor variable retained by the regression model are used to calculate the probability of slope failure and analyze the effect of each predictor variable on landslide occurrence in thestudy area.The model shows that the most significant parameter contributing to landslides is slope.The other significant parameters are profile curvature,soil,road,wetness index and relief.The predictive logistic regression model is validated using temporal validation data-set of known landslide locations and shows an accuracy of 85.29 %.
基金supported by National Key Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant No. 50635010)
文摘The currently prevalent machine performance degradation assessment techniques involve estimating a machine＇s current condition based upon the recognition of indications of failure features,which entail complete data collected in different conditions.However,failure data are always hard to acquire,thus making those techniques hard to be applied.In this paper,a novel method which does not need failure history data is introduced.Wavelet packet decomposition（WPD） is used to extract features from raw signals,principal component analysis（PCA） is utilized to reduce feature dimensions,and Gaussian mixture model（GMM） is then applied to approximate the feature space distributions.Single-channel confidence value（SCV） is calculated by the overlap between GMM of the monitoring condition and that of the normal condition,which can indicate the performance of single-channel.Furthermore,multi-channel confidence value（MCV）,which can be deemed as the overall performance index of multi-channel,is calculated via logistic regression（LR） and that the task of decision-level sensor fusion is also completed.Both SCV and MCV can serve as the basis on which proactive maintenance measures can be taken,thus preventing machine breakdown.The method has been adopted to assess the performance of the turbine of a centrifugal compressor in a factory of Petro-China,and the result shows that it can effectively complete this task.The proposed method has engineering significance for machine performance degradation assessment.
文摘This paper investigates direct current(DC) arc fault detection in photovoltaic system. In order to avoid the risk of fire ignition caused by the arc fault in the photovoltaic power supply, it is urgent to detect the DC arc fault in the photovoltaic system. Once an arc fault is detected, the power supply should be cut off immediately. A lot of field experiments are carried out to obtain the data of arc fault current of the photovoltaic system under different current conditions. Cable length, arc gap, and the effects of different sensors are tested.These three conditions are the most significant features of this paper. Four characteristic variables from both the time domain and the frequency domain are extracted to identify the arc fault. Then the logistic regression method in the field of artificial intelligence and machine learning is originally used to analyze the experimental results of arc fault in the photovoltaic system. The function between the probability of the arc fault and the change of the characteristic variables is obtained. After validating 80 groups of experimental data under different conditions,the accuracy rate of the arc fault detection by this algorithm is proved to reach 100%.
基金Under the auspices of the CAS Overseas Institutions Platform Project (No. 131C11KYSB20200033)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 42071349)the Sichuan Science and Technology Program (No. 2020JDJQ0003)。
文摘Landslide distribution and susceptibility mapping are the fundamental steps for landslide-related hazard and disaster risk management activities, especially in the Himalaya region which has resulted in a great deal of death and damage to property. To better understand the landslide condition in the Nepal Himalaya, we carried out an investigation on the landslide distribution and susceptibility using the landslide inventory data and 12 different contributing factors in the Dailekh district, Western Nepal. Based on the evaluation of the frequency distribution of the landslide, the relationship between the landslide and the various contributing factors was determined.Then, the landslide susceptibility was calculated using logistic regression and statistical index methods along with different topographic(slope, aspect, relative relief, plan curvature, altitude, topographic wetness index) and non-topographic factors(distance from river, normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI), distance from road, precipitation, land use and land cover, and geology), and 470(70%) of total 658 landslides. The receiver operating characteristic(ROC) curve analysis using 198(30%) of total landslides showed that the prediction curve rates(area under the curve, AUC) values for two methods(logistic regression and statistical index) were 0.826, and 0.823with success rates of 0.793, and 0.811, respectively. The values of R-Index for the logistic regression and statistical index methods were83.66 and 88.54, respectively, consisting of high susceptible hazard classes. In general, this research concluded that the cohesive and coherent natural interplay of topographic and non-topographic factors strongly affects landslide occurrence, distribution, and susceptibility condition in the Nepal Himalaya region. Furthermore, the reliability of these two methods is verified for landslide susceptibility mapping in Nepal’s central mountain region.
文摘This study explored and reviewed the logistic regression (LR) model, a multivariable method for modeling the relationship between multiple independent variables and a categorical dependent variable, with emphasis on medical research. Thirty seven research articles published between 2000 and 2018 which employed logistic regression as the main statistical tool as well as six text books on logistic regression were reviewed. Logistic regression concepts such as odds, odds ratio, logit transformation, logistic curve, assumption, selecting dependent and independent variables, model fitting, reporting and interpreting were presented. Upon perusing the literature, considerable deficiencies were found in both the use and reporting of LR. For many studies, the ratio of the number of outcome events to predictor variables (events per variable) was sufficiently small to call into question the accuracy of the regression model. Also, most studies did not report on validation analysis, regression diagnostics or goodness-of-fit measures;measures which authenticate the robustness of the LR model. Here, we demonstrate a good example of the application of the LR model using data obtained on a cohort of pregnant women and the factors that influence their decision to opt for caesarean delivery or vaginal birth. It is recommended that researchers should be more rigorous and pay greater attention to guidelines concerning the use and reporting of LR models.
基金supported by the Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions(164320H101)the Opening Fund of State Key Laboratory of Geohazard Prevention and Geoenvironment Protection of Chengdu University of Technology,China(SKLGP2012K012)+4 种基金the Opening Fund of Key Laboratory for Geo-hazards in Loess area(GLA2014005)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.40801212 and No.41201424)the 973 National Basic Research Program(Nos.2013CB733203,2013CB733204)the 863 National High-Tech Rand D Program(No.2012AA121302)the FP6 project"Mountain Risks"of the European Commission(No.MRTNCT-2006-035798)
文摘A detailed landslide susceptibility map was produced in the Youfang catchment using logistic regression method with datasets developed for a geographic information system(GIS).Known as one of the most landslide-prone areas in China, the Youfang catchment of Longnan mountain region,which lies in the transitional area among QinghaiTibet Plateau, loess Plateau and Sichuan Basin, was selected as a representative case to evaluate the frequency and distribution of landslides.Statistical relationships for landslide susceptibility assessment were developed using landslide and landslide causative factor databases.Logistic regression(LR)was used to create the landslide susceptibility maps based on a series of available data sources: landslide inventory; distance to drainage systems, faults and roads; slope angle and aspect; topographic elevation and topographical wetness index, and land use.The quality of the landslide susceptibility map produced in this paper was validated and the result can be used fordesigning protective and mitigation measures against landslide hazards.The landslide susceptibility map is expected to provide a fundamental tool for landslide hazards assessment and risk management in the Youfang catchment.
基金supported by National Nature Science Foundation of China(No.61203293)Key Scientific and Technological Project of Henan Province(No.122102210131)+3 种基金Program for Science and Technology Innovation Talents in Universities of Henan Province(No.13HASTIT040)Foundation of Henan Educational Committee(No.13A120524)Henan Normal University Doctoral Topics(No.qd14156)Henan Higher School Funding Scheme for Young Teachers(No.2012GGJS-063)
文摘This paper is devoted to identifying the biomarkers of rat liver regeneration via the adaptive logistic regression. By combining the adaptive elastic net penalty with the logistic regression loss, the adaptive logistic regression is proposed to adaptively identify the important genes in groups. Furthermore, by improving the pathwise coordinate descent algorithm, a fast solving algorithm is developed for computing the regularized paths of the adaptive logistic regression. The results from the experiments performed on the microarray data of rat liver regeneration are provided to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method and verify the biological rationality of the selected biomarkers.
基金The National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.61075009)the Natural Science Foundation of Jiangsu Province(No.BK2011595)the Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University of China,the Qing Lan Project of Jiangsu Province
文摘In order to improve classification accuracy, the regularized logistic regression is used to classify single-trial electroencephalogram （EEG）. A novel approach, named local sparse logistic regression （LSLR）, is proposed. The LSLR integrates the locality preserving projection regularization term into the framework of sparse logistic regression. It tries to maintain the neighborhood information of original feature space, and, meanwhile, keeps sparsity. The bound optimization algorithm and component-wise update are used to compute the weight vector in the training data, thus overcoming the disadvantage of the Newton-Raphson method and iterative re-weighted least squares （IRLS）. The classification accuracy of 80% is achieved using ten-fold cross-validation in the self-paced finger tapping data set. The results of LSLR are compared with SLR, showing the effectiveness of the proposed method.
