Building emission reduction is an important way to achieve China’s carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals.Aiming at the problem of low carbon economic operation of a photovoltaic energy storage building system,a ...Building emission reduction is an important way to achieve China’s carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals.Aiming at the problem of low carbon economic operation of a photovoltaic energy storage building system,a multi-time scale optimal scheduling strategy based on model predictive control(MPC)is proposed under the consideration of load optimization.First,load optimization is achieved by controlling the charging time of electric vehicles as well as adjusting the air conditioning operation temperature,and the photovoltaic energy storage building system model is constructed to propose a day-ahead scheduling strategy with the lowest daily operation cost.Second,considering inter-day to intra-day source-load prediction error,an intraday rolling optimal scheduling strategy based on MPC is proposed that dynamically corrects the day-ahead dispatch results to stabilize system power fluctuations and promote photovoltaic consumption.Finally,taking an office building on a summer work day as an example,the effectiveness of the proposed scheduling strategy is verified.The results of the example show that the strategy reduces the total operating cost of the photovoltaic energy storage building system by 17.11%,improves the carbon emission reduction by 7.99%,and the photovoltaic consumption rate reaches 98.57%,improving the system’s low-carbon and economic performance.展开更多
The increasing penetration of wind power poses challenges to the power grid operation and scheduling. Yet, if the uncertainty of wind power can be economically and effec tively managed on the source side, it can drive...The increasing penetration of wind power poses challenges to the power grid operation and scheduling. Yet, if the uncertainty of wind power can be economically and effec tively managed on the source side, it can drive the power grids towards renewable-dominant future. In this paper, an en hanced scheduling strategy for wind farm−flexible load joint op eration system (WF-FLJOS) is proposed. The proposed strategy is designed to manage the uncertainty of wind power on the generation side when integrated into a large-scale power grid. Moreover, it can contribute to saving energy costs on the load side. Compared with the current wind farm operation rules, more stringent assessment requirements are put forward for wind power output accuracy, and the internal organization framework of WF-FLJOS is designed. For potential power vio lations of wind farms and flexible loads, the violation penalty mechanisms are developed to regulate the behavior of the par ticipants. The joint operation model of the WF-FLJOS is pro posed and the submission and tracking approach of the genera tion schedule for the wind farm is investigated. Numerical re sults indicate that the proposed strategy can not only improve the ability of the wind farm to track the generation schedule, but also consider the benefits of both the farm side and the load side. Meanwhile, the proposed strategy effectively reduces the schedule adjustment pressure on the main grid caused by the rolling correction mode of the intraday schedule for wind farms.展开更多
Fast and accurate forecasting of schedulable capacity of electric vehicles(EVs)plays an important role in enabling the integration of EVs into future smart grids as distributed energy storage systems.Traditional metho...Fast and accurate forecasting of schedulable capacity of electric vehicles(EVs)plays an important role in enabling the integration of EVs into future smart grids as distributed energy storage systems.Traditional methods are insufficient to deal with large-scale actual schedulable capacity data.This paper proposes forecasting models for schedulable capacity of EVs through the parallel gradient boosting decision tree algorithm and big data analysis for multi-time scales.The time scale of these data analysis comprises the real time of one minute,ultra-short-term of one hour and one-day-ahead scale of 24 hours.The predicted results for different time scales can be used for various ancillary services.The proposed algorithm is validated using operation data of 521 EVs in the field.The results show that compared with other machine learning methods such as the parallel random forest algorithm and parallel k-nearest neighbor algorithm,the proposed algorithm requires less training time with better forecasting accuracy and analytical processing ability in big data environment.展开更多
文摘Building emission reduction is an important way to achieve China’s carbon peaking and carbon neutrality goals.Aiming at the problem of low carbon economic operation of a photovoltaic energy storage building system,a multi-time scale optimal scheduling strategy based on model predictive control(MPC)is proposed under the consideration of load optimization.First,load optimization is achieved by controlling the charging time of electric vehicles as well as adjusting the air conditioning operation temperature,and the photovoltaic energy storage building system model is constructed to propose a day-ahead scheduling strategy with the lowest daily operation cost.Second,considering inter-day to intra-day source-load prediction error,an intraday rolling optimal scheduling strategy based on MPC is proposed that dynamically corrects the day-ahead dispatch results to stabilize system power fluctuations and promote photovoltaic consumption.Finally,taking an office building on a summer work day as an example,the effectiveness of the proposed scheduling strategy is verified.The results of the example show that the strategy reduces the total operating cost of the photovoltaic energy storage building system by 17.11%,improves the carbon emission reduction by 7.99%,and the photovoltaic consumption rate reaches 98.57%,improving the system’s low-carbon and economic performance.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51877049).
文摘The increasing penetration of wind power poses challenges to the power grid operation and scheduling. Yet, if the uncertainty of wind power can be economically and effec tively managed on the source side, it can drive the power grids towards renewable-dominant future. In this paper, an en hanced scheduling strategy for wind farm−flexible load joint op eration system (WF-FLJOS) is proposed. The proposed strategy is designed to manage the uncertainty of wind power on the generation side when integrated into a large-scale power grid. Moreover, it can contribute to saving energy costs on the load side. Compared with the current wind farm operation rules, more stringent assessment requirements are put forward for wind power output accuracy, and the internal organization framework of WF-FLJOS is designed. For potential power vio lations of wind farms and flexible loads, the violation penalty mechanisms are developed to regulate the behavior of the par ticipants. The joint operation model of the WF-FLJOS is pro posed and the submission and tracking approach of the genera tion schedule for the wind farm is investigated. Numerical re sults indicate that the proposed strategy can not only improve the ability of the wind farm to track the generation schedule, but also consider the benefits of both the farm side and the load side. Meanwhile, the proposed strategy effectively reduces the schedule adjustment pressure on the main grid caused by the rolling correction mode of the intraday schedule for wind farms.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.51577047)International Collaboration Project supported by Bureau of Science and Technology,Anhui Province(No.1604b0602015).
文摘Fast and accurate forecasting of schedulable capacity of electric vehicles(EVs)plays an important role in enabling the integration of EVs into future smart grids as distributed energy storage systems.Traditional methods are insufficient to deal with large-scale actual schedulable capacity data.This paper proposes forecasting models for schedulable capacity of EVs through the parallel gradient boosting decision tree algorithm and big data analysis for multi-time scales.The time scale of these data analysis comprises the real time of one minute,ultra-short-term of one hour and one-day-ahead scale of 24 hours.The predicted results for different time scales can be used for various ancillary services.The proposed algorithm is validated using operation data of 521 EVs in the field.The results show that compared with other machine learning methods such as the parallel random forest algorithm and parallel k-nearest neighbor algorithm,the proposed algorithm requires less training time with better forecasting accuracy and analytical processing ability in big data environment.
