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Existence and Numerical Solution for a Coupled System of Multi-term Fractional Differential Equations 被引量:1
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作者 杨李凡 叶海平 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 EI CAS 2015年第4期613-619,共7页
An initial value problem was considered for a coupled differential system with multi-term Caputo type fractional derivatives. By means of nonlinear alternative of Leray-Schauder and Banach contraction principle,the ex... An initial value problem was considered for a coupled differential system with multi-term Caputo type fractional derivatives. By means of nonlinear alternative of Leray-Schauder and Banach contraction principle,the existence and uniqueness of solutions for the system were derived. Using a fractional predictorcorrector method, a numerical method was presented for the specified system. An example was given to illustrate the obtained results. 展开更多
关键词 multi-term fractional differential equation Caputo derivative EXISTENCE UNIQUENESS numerical solution
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Three-Variable Shifted Jacobi Polynomials Approach for Numerically Solving Three-Dimensional Multi-Term Fractional-Order PDEs with Variable Coefficients
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作者 Jiaquan Xie Fuqiang Zhao +1 位作者 Zhibin Yao Jun Zhang 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2018年第4期67-84,共18页
In this paper,the three-variable shifted Jacobi operational matrix of fractional derivatives is used together with the collocation method for numerical solution of threedimensional multi-term fractional-order PDEs wit... In this paper,the three-variable shifted Jacobi operational matrix of fractional derivatives is used together with the collocation method for numerical solution of threedimensional multi-term fractional-order PDEs with variable coefficients.The main characteristic behind this approach is that it reduces such problems to those of solving a system of algebraic equations which greatly simplifying the problem.The approximate solutions of nonlinear fractional PDEs with variable coefficients thus obtained by threevariable shifted Jacobi polynomials are compared with the exact solutions.Furthermore some theorems and lemmas are introduced to verify the convergence results of our algorithm.Lastly,several numerical examples are presented to test the superiority and efficiency of the proposed method. 展开更多
关键词 Three-variable shifted Jacobi polynomials multi-term FRACTIONAL-ORDER PDES VARIABLE coefficients numerical solution convergence analysis
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A Compact Finite Volume Scheme for the Multi-Term Time Fractional Sub-Diffusion Equation
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作者 Baojin Su Yanan Wang +1 位作者 Jingwen Qi Yousen Li 《Journal of Applied Mathematics and Physics》 2022年第10期3156-3174,共19页
In this paper, we introduce high-order finite volume methods for the multi-term time fractional sub-diffusion equation. The time fractional derivatives are described in Caputo’s sense. By using some operators, we obt... In this paper, we introduce high-order finite volume methods for the multi-term time fractional sub-diffusion equation. The time fractional derivatives are described in Caputo’s sense. By using some operators, we obtain the compact finite volume scheme have high order accuracy. We use a compact operator to deal with spatial direction;then we can get the compact finite volume scheme. It is proved that the finite volume scheme is unconditionally stable and convergent in L<sub>∞</sub>-norm. The convergence order is O(τ<sup>2-α</sup> + h<sup>4</sup>). Finally, two numerical examples are given to confirm the theoretical results. Some tables listed also can explain the stability and convergence of the scheme. 展开更多
关键词 multi-term Time Fractional Sub-Diffusion Equation High-Order Compact Finite Volume Scheme Stable CONVERGENT
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Finite Element Scheme with H2N2 Interpolation for Multi-Term Time-Fractional Mixed Sub-Diffusion and Diffusion-Wave Equation
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作者 Huiqin Zhang Yanping Chen +1 位作者 Jianwei Zhou Yang Wang 《Advances in Applied Mathematics and Mechanics》 2024年第5期1197-1222,共26页
In this paper,two numerical schemes for the multi-term fractional mixed diffusion and diffusion-wave equation(of order a,with 0<a<2)are developed to solve the initial value problem.Firstly,we study a direct nume... In this paper,two numerical schemes for the multi-term fractional mixed diffusion and diffusion-wave equation(of order a,with 0<a<2)are developed to solve the initial value problem.Firstly,we study a direct numerical scheme that uses quadratic Charles Hermite and Newton(H2N2)interpolation polynomials approximations in the temporal direction and finite element discretization in the spatial direction.We prove the stability of the direct numerical scheme by the energy method and obtain a priori error estimate of the scheme with an accuracy of order 3􀀀a.In order to improve computational efficiency,a new fast numerical scheme based on H2N2 interpolation and an efficient sum-of-exponentials approximation for the kernels is proposed.Numerical examples confirm the error estimation results and the validity of the fast scheme. 展开更多
关键词 The multi-term fractional mixed diffusion and diffusion-wave equation finite element method H2N2 interpolation fast algorithm stability and convergence
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On Nonlinear Analysis for Multi-term Delay Fractional Differential Equations Under Hilfer Derivative
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作者 Dildar Ahmad Amjad Ali +2 位作者 Kamal Shah Bahaaeldin Abdalla Thabet Abdeljawad 《Communications on Applied Mathematics and Computation》 2025年第4期1516-1539,共24页
In this manuscript,a class of multi-term delay fractional differential equations(FDEs)under the Hilfer derivative is considered.Some newly updated results are established under boundary conditions.For the required res... In this manuscript,a class of multi-term delay fractional differential equations(FDEs)under the Hilfer derivative is considered.Some newly updated results are established under boundary conditions.For the required results,we utilize the fixed point theory and tools of the nonlinear functional analysis.Further keeping in mind the importance of stability results,we develop some adequate results about the said aspect.The Hyers-Ulam(H-U)-type concept is used to derive the required stability for the solution of the considered problem.Finally,by appropriate test problems,we justify our findings. 展开更多
关键词 Hilfer derivative multi-term Existence results STABILITY
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基于多尺度特征融合的超短期风电功率预测
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作者 高鹭 庄庆泽 +2 位作者 张飞 秦岭 邬锡麟 《电子测量技术》 北大核心 2026年第1期166-175,共10页
鉴于风电在能源结构中的重要性及其间断性带来的挑战,本文提出了一种基于异常值处理和多尺度特征融合的端到端超短期风电功率多步预测组合模型,旨在提高超短期风电功率预测的精确度与稳定性,进而为电力系统调度与运行的准确性与稳定性... 鉴于风电在能源结构中的重要性及其间断性带来的挑战,本文提出了一种基于异常值处理和多尺度特征融合的端到端超短期风电功率多步预测组合模型,旨在提高超短期风电功率预测的精确度与稳定性,进而为电力系统调度与运行的准确性与稳定性提供有力支撑。首先,通过RobustTSF方法处理时间序列异常,为预测模型的鲁棒性提供有力的保障,减少了异常时间序列预测和噪声标签学习之间的差异。其次,融合空间金字塔匹配映射策略、Levy飞行策略以及自适应t分布变异策略对蜣螂优化算法进行改进,显著提高了全局搜索能力和收敛效率。同时,利用多策略蜣螂优化算法优化改进的TimeMixer模型的超参数,以获得最优的模型性能。最后使用CATimeMixer模型,实现了多尺度季节特征和趋势特征的融合和预测。实验结果表明,相较于基准模型多层感知机的MAE、RMSE、MSE分别下降了49.71%、41.26%、65.50%,同时R2提高了4.49%,能够有效降低预测误差,为超短期风电功率的准确预测提供了一种新的方法和思路。 展开更多
关键词 超短期风电功率多步预测 异常值处理 多尺度特征融合 多策略蜣螂优化算法
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基于共识性测度的多粒度概率语言广义TODIM方法
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作者 徐迎军 《信阳师范大学学报(自然科学版)》 2026年第1期101-108,共8页
针对准则值为多粒度概率语言决策信息、准则权重未知的多属性群决策问题,在综合考虑概率语言评价信息的期望值、偏离度和犹豫度的基础上,提出了新的多粒度概率语言距离测度公式,有效克服了现有距离测度公式在某些情况下不能准确测度的... 针对准则值为多粒度概率语言决策信息、准则权重未知的多属性群决策问题,在综合考虑概率语言评价信息的期望值、偏离度和犹豫度的基础上,提出了新的多粒度概率语言距离测度公式,有效克服了现有距离测度公式在某些情况下不能准确测度的问题。基于所提出的距离测度,在综合考虑评价信息数量和质量的基础上,提出了一种基于共识性测度的广义TODIM决策方法,并将其应用于垃圾分类回收APP的选择中。与现有方法的对比结果表明,所提出的多粒度概率语言环境下的距离测度具有良好的有效性,同时验证了基于共识性测度的多粒度概率语言广义TODIM方法的可行性与优越性。 展开更多
关键词 多粒度概率语言术语集 距离测度 共识性测度 广义TODIM方法
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“十五五”时期推进中国特色金融创新面临的挑战和实现路径
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作者 胡海峰 刘斯诺 《经济问题》 北大核心 2026年第3期1-10,共10页
金融创新是推动金融高质量发展的内生动力,也是建设金融强国的重要支撑。“十四五”时期,我国金融创新沿金融要素、金融机构、金融业务、金融工具以及金融制度五个维度系统推进。要素维度,资金、技术、数据、人才与土地的市场化配置机... 金融创新是推动金融高质量发展的内生动力,也是建设金融强国的重要支撑。“十四五”时期,我国金融创新沿金融要素、金融机构、金融业务、金融工具以及金融制度五个维度系统推进。要素维度,资金、技术、数据、人才与土地的市场化配置机制进一步完善;机构维度,形成“资本更厚、治理更严、结构更优、开放更强”的供给主体,打造“数字更深、科创更通、期限更长、普惠更稳”的产品体系;业务维度,供应链金融、数字人民币、普惠“三农”、养老健康等场景持续拓展,业务融合与智能风控加速形成数据闭环;工具维度,结构性货币政策与政策性开发性金融工具协同发力,碳减排支持工具、科创债、可持续挂钩债等品种定向滴灌重点领域;制度维度,监管架构重塑与多层次资本市场改革并进。与此同时,金融创新仍受五方面约束:监管范式与创新节奏错位,机构数字化能力分层,绿色与普惠定价机制失衡,资本市场的资源配置与风险分担功能有待强化,跨境金融标准与规则衔接不畅。面向“十五五”,须坚持在市场化、法治化轨道上推进创新,在数据、技术、基础设施一体化框架下夯实数字金融底座,在“五篇大文章”统筹中塑造差异化与特色化金融供给,在注册制常态化与长期资本培育上做深资本市场功能,并在制度型开放与多央行协作中完善跨境规则与基础设施互联互通,构建安全、高效、可持续的现代金融创新体系。 展开更多
关键词 金融创新 “十五五”时期 长期资本培育 多层次资本市场体系
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基于晶闸管退化轨迹构建与残差补偿的寿命预测模型
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作者 陈权 闻卓 +2 位作者 陈忠 郑常宝 黄宇 《半导体技术》 北大核心 2026年第3期280-288,共9页
晶闸管式换流阀在长期运行后性能逐渐退化,为高压直流输电系统带来较大的安全隐患。为精准预测晶闸管剩余寿命,提出了一种多特征融合、全局优化映射和残差补偿的递进式策略。首先,根据热循环负载加速老化试验获取晶闸管多个退化特征数据... 晶闸管式换流阀在长期运行后性能逐渐退化,为高压直流输电系统带来较大的安全隐患。为精准预测晶闸管剩余寿命,提出了一种多特征融合、全局优化映射和残差补偿的递进式策略。首先,根据热循环负载加速老化试验获取晶闸管多个退化特征数据集,并使用双向长短期记忆(BiLSTM)网络嵌入自编码器(AE)的优化模型进行多退化特征数据融合,构建晶闸管综合健康指数(CHI);然后,输入融合数据,以反向传播(BP)神经网络为核心,利用粒子群优化(PSO)算法对BP神经网络的初始权重与阈值进行全局寻优;最后,再采用极限梯度提升(XGBoost)树残差补偿模块进一步减小晶闸管寿命预测模型的预测偏差。实验结果显示,本文模型相比于传统BP神经网络模型,决定系数(R^(2))提高了7.63%,均方根误差(RMSE)和平均绝对误差(MAE)分别降低了89.7%、90.3%,平均绝对百分比误差(MAPE)从161.07%降至13.83%。 展开更多
关键词 晶闸管 多特征融合 双向长短期记忆(BiLSTM)网络 综合健康指数(CHI) 寿命预测
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Spatial High Accuracy Analysis of FEM for Two-dimensional Multi-term Time-fractional Diffusion-wave Equations 被引量:1
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作者 Ya-bing WEI Yan-min ZHAO +2 位作者 Zheng-guang SHI Fen-ling WANG Yi-fa TANG 《Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica》 SCIE CSCD 2018年第4期828-841,共14页
In this paper, high-order numerical analysis of finite element method(FEM) is presented for twodimensional multi-term time-fractional diffusion-wave equation(TFDWE). First of all, a fully-discrete approximate sche... In this paper, high-order numerical analysis of finite element method(FEM) is presented for twodimensional multi-term time-fractional diffusion-wave equation(TFDWE). First of all, a fully-discrete approximate scheme for multi-term TFDWE is established, which is based on bilinear FEM in spatial direction and Crank-Nicolson approximation in temporal direction, respectively. Then the proposed scheme is proved to be unconditionally stable and convergent. And then, rigorous proofs are given here for superclose properties in H-1-norm and temporal convergence in L-2-norm with order O(h-2+ τ-(3-α)), where h and τ are the spatial size and time step, respectively. At the same time, theoretical analysis of global superconvergence in H-1-norm is derived by interpolation postprocessing technique. At last, numerical example is provided to demonstrate the theoretical analysis. 展开更多
关键词 multi-term time-fractional diffusion-wave equation bilinear finite element method Crank-Nicolsonapproximation stability convergence and superconvergence
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Nonconforming Mixed FEM Analysis for Multi-Term Time-Fractional Mixed Sub-Diffusion and Diffusion-Wave Equation with Time-Space Coupled Derivative 被引量:2
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作者 Fangfang Cao Yanmin Zhao +2 位作者 Fenling Wang Yanhua Shi Changhui Yao 《Advances in Applied Mathematics and Mechanics》 SCIE 2023年第2期322-358,共37页
The main contents of this paper are to establish a finite element fully-discrete approximate scheme for multi-term time-fractional mixed sub-diffusion and diffusionwave equation with spatial variable coefficient,which... The main contents of this paper are to establish a finite element fully-discrete approximate scheme for multi-term time-fractional mixed sub-diffusion and diffusionwave equation with spatial variable coefficient,which contains a time-space coupled derivative.The nonconforming EQ^(rot)_(1)element and Raviart-Thomas element are employed for spatial discretization,and L1 time-stepping method combined with the Crank-Nicolson scheme are applied for temporal discretization.Firstly,based on some significant lemmas,the unconditional stability analysis of the fully-discrete scheme is acquired.With the assistance of the interpolation operator I_(h)and projection operator Rh,superclose and convergence results of the variable u in H^(1)-norm and the flux~p=k_(5)(x)ru(x,t)in L^(2)-norm are obtained,respectively.Furthermore,the global superconvergence results are derived by applying the interpolation postprocessing technique.Finally,the availability and accuracy of the theoretical analysis are corroborated by experimental results of numerical examples on anisotropic meshes. 展开更多
关键词 multi-term time-fractional mixed sub-diffusion and diffusion-wave equation nonconforming EQ^(rot)_(1)mixed FEM L1 approximation and Crank-Nicolson scheme convergence and superconvergence
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A superlinear numerical scheme for multi-term fractional nonlinear ordinary differential equations 被引量:1
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作者 Jingna Zhang Haobo Gong +1 位作者 Sadia Arshad Jianfei Huang 《International Journal of Modeling, Simulation, and Scientific Computing》 EI 2020年第2期100-114,共15页
In this paper,we present a superlinear numerical method for multi-term fractional nonlinear ordinary differential equations(MTFNODEs).First,the presented problem is equivalently transformed into its integral form with... In this paper,we present a superlinear numerical method for multi-term fractional nonlinear ordinary differential equations(MTFNODEs).First,the presented problem is equivalently transformed into its integral form with multi-term Riemann-Liouville integrals.Second,the compound product trapezoidal rule is used to approximate the fractional integrals.Then,the unconditional stability and convergence with the order 1+αN−1−αN−2 of the proposed scheme are strictly established,whereαN−1 andαN−2 are the maximum and the second maximum fractional indexes in the considered MTFNODEs,respectively.Finally,two numerical examples are provided to support the theoretical results. 展开更多
关键词 multi-term fractional ordinary differential equations nonlinear system numerical method stability convergence
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Finite element multigrid method for multi-term time fractional advection diffusion equations 被引量:1
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作者 Weiping Bu Xiangtao Liu +1 位作者 Yifa Tang Jiye Yang 《International Journal of Modeling, Simulation, and Scientific Computing》 EI 2015年第1期1-25,共25页
In this paper,a class of multi-term time fractional advection diffusion equations(MTFADEs)is considered.By finite difference method in temporal direction and finite element method in spatial direction,two fully discre... In this paper,a class of multi-term time fractional advection diffusion equations(MTFADEs)is considered.By finite difference method in temporal direction and finite element method in spatial direction,two fully discrete schemes of MTFADEs with different definitions on multi-term time fractional derivative are obtained.The stability and convergence of these numerical schemes are discussed.Next,a V-cycle multigrid method is proposed to solve the resulting linear systems.The convergence of the multigrid method is investigated.Finally,some numerical examples are given for verification of our theoretical analysis. 展开更多
关键词 multi-term time fractional advection diffusion equation finite element method stability CONVERGENCE V-cycle multigrid method
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Controllability of multi-term time-fractional differential systems 被引量:1
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作者 Vikram Singh Dwijendra N.Pandey 《Journal of Control and Decision》 EI 2020年第2期109-125,共17页
In this paper,an abstract multi-term time-fractional differential system is considered and the exact controllability results are investigated.In this theory,we tend to implement the basic tools of fractional calculus ... In this paper,an abstract multi-term time-fractional differential system is considered and the exact controllability results are investigated.In this theory,we tend to implement the basic tools of fractional calculus and measure of noncompactness to come up with a new set of sufficient conditions for the exact controllability by utilisation of Mönch fixed point theorem.Finally,an application is given to illustrate the obtained results. 展开更多
关键词 Fractional calculus exact controllability multi-term time-fractional delay differential system measure of noncompactness
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基于时间序列大模型的综合能源系统多元负荷预测
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作者 史文瑜 郝晨晨 +2 位作者 杨德昌 张李军 林冬 《电网技术》 北大核心 2026年第1期50-59,I0042,共11页
为了解决多能耦合关系,提高稀缺历史数据场景下综合能源系统负荷预测精度,该文提出基于时间序列大模型TimeGPT综合能源系统多元负荷预测方法,首先分析气象因素对多元负荷影响,并引入距离相关系数筛选气象因素,利用自注意力机制捕捉不同... 为了解决多能耦合关系,提高稀缺历史数据场景下综合能源系统负荷预测精度,该文提出基于时间序列大模型TimeGPT综合能源系统多元负荷预测方法,首先分析气象因素对多元负荷影响,并引入距离相关系数筛选气象因素,利用自注意力机制捕捉不同负荷之间的耦合关系;其次,利用预训练大模型将气象因素进行特征融合作为TimeGPT外生变量输入,然后通过大模型微调技术进行局部调参。最后实验表明,在稀缺的历史数据下,相较于传统机器学习模型,经过预训练与微调的TimeGPT模型在多元负荷预测中具有更高的预测精度。 展开更多
关键词 综合能源系统 多元负荷预测 时间序列大模型 微调技术
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ANALYSIS OF A MULTI-TERM VARIABLE-ORDER TIME-FRACTIONAL DIFFUSION EQUATION AND ITS GALERKIN FINITE ELEMENT APPROXIMATION
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作者 Huan Liu Xiangcheng Zheng Hongfei Fu 《Journal of Computational Mathematics》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第5期814-834,共21页
In this paper,we study the well-posedness and solution regularity of a multi-term variable-order time-fractional diffusion equation,and then develop an optimal Galerkin finite element scheme without any regularity ass... In this paper,we study the well-posedness and solution regularity of a multi-term variable-order time-fractional diffusion equation,and then develop an optimal Galerkin finite element scheme without any regularity assumption on its true solution.We show that the solution regularity of the considered problem can be affected by the maximum value of variable-order at initial time t=0.More precisely,we prove that the solution to the multi-term variable-order time-fractional diffusion equation belongs to C 2([0,T])in time provided that the maximum value has an integer limit near the initial time and the data has sufficient smoothness,otherwise the solution exhibits the same singular behavior like its constant-order counterpart.Based on these regularity results,we prove optimalorder convergence rate of the Galerkin finite element scheme.Furthermore,we develop an efficient parallel-in-time algorithm to reduce the computational costs of the evaluation of multi-term variable-order fractional derivatives.Numerical experiments are put forward to verify the theoretical findings and to demonstrate the efficiency of the proposed scheme. 展开更多
关键词 Variable-order multi-term time-fractional diffusion equation Solution regularity Galerkin finite element Parareal method.
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A Novel Error Analysis of Spectral Method for the Anomalous Subdiffusion Problems with Multi-term Time-fractional Derivative
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作者 Bo TANG Yan-ping CHEN +1 位作者 Bin XIE Xiu-xiu LIN 《Acta Mathematicae Applicatae Sinica》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第4期943-961,共19页
This paper aims to extend a space-time spectral method to address the multi-term time-fractional subdiffusion equations with Caputo derivative. In this method, the Jacobi polynomials are adopted as the basis functions... This paper aims to extend a space-time spectral method to address the multi-term time-fractional subdiffusion equations with Caputo derivative. In this method, the Jacobi polynomials are adopted as the basis functions for temporal discretization and the Lagrangian polynomials are used for spatial discretization. An efficient spectral approximation of the weak solution is established. The main work is the demonstration of the well-posedness for the weak problem and the derivation of a posteriori error estimates for the spectral Galerkin approximation. Extensive numerical experiments are presented to perform the validity of a posteriori error estimators, which support our theoretical results. 展开更多
关键词 space-time spectral methods multi-term time-fractional WELL-POSEDNESS a posteriori error estimates
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ANISOTROPIC EQ^(ROT)_(1) FINITE ELEMENT APPROXIMATION FOR A MULTI-TERM TIME-FRACTIONAL MIXED SUB-DIFFUSION AND DIFFUSION-WAVE EQUATION
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作者 Huijun Fan Yanmin Zhao +2 位作者 Fenling Wang Yanhua Shi Fawang Liu 《Journal of Computational Mathematics》 SCIE CSCD 2023年第3期458-481,共24页
By employing EQ^(ROT)_(1) nonconforming finite element,the numerical approximation is presented for multi-term time-fractional mixed sub-diffusion and diffusion-wave equation on anisotropic meshes.Comparing with the m... By employing EQ^(ROT)_(1) nonconforming finite element,the numerical approximation is presented for multi-term time-fractional mixed sub-diffusion and diffusion-wave equation on anisotropic meshes.Comparing with the multi-term time-fractional sub-diffusion equation or diffusion-wave equation,the mixed case contains a special time-space coupled derivative,which leads to many difficulties in numerical analysis.Firstly,a fully discrete scheme is established by using nonconforming finite element method(FEM)in spatial direction and L1 approximation coupled with Crank-Nicolson(L1-CN)scheme in temporal direction.Furthermore,the fully discrete scheme is proved to be unconditional stable.Besides,convergence and superclose results are derived by using the properties of EQ^(ROT)_(1) nonconforming finite element.What's more,the global superconvergence is obtained via the interpolation postprocessing technique.Finally,several numerical results are provided to demonstrate the theoretical analysis on anisotropic meshes. 展开更多
关键词 multi-term time-fractional mixed sub-diffusion and diffusion-wave equation Nonconforming FEM L1-CN scheme Anisotropic meshes Convergence and superconvergence
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Numerical Inversion for the Initial Distribution in the Multi-TermTime-FractionalDiffusion Equation Using Final Observations
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作者 Chunlong Sun Gongsheng Li Xianzheng Jia 《Advances in Applied Mathematics and Mechanics》 SCIE 2017年第6期1525-1546,共22页
This article deals with numerical inversion for the initial distribution in the multi-term time-fractional diffusion equation using final observations.The inversion problem is of instability,but it is uniquely solvabl... This article deals with numerical inversion for the initial distribution in the multi-term time-fractional diffusion equation using final observations.The inversion problem is of instability,but it is uniquely solvable based on the solution’s expression for the forward problem and estimation to the multivariate Mittag-Leffler function.From view point of optimality,solving the inversion problem is transformed to minimizing a cost functional,and existence of a minimum is proved by the weakly lower semi-continuity of the functional.Furthermore,the homotopy regularization algorithm is introduced based on the minimization problem to perform numerical inversions,and the inversion solutions with noisy data give good approximations to the exact initial distribution demonstrating the efficiency of the inversion algorithm. 展开更多
关键词 multi-term time-fractional diffusion multivariate Mittag-Leffler function backward problem ILL-POSEDNESS numerical inversion
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考虑多周期序贯交易风险的年度购电决策方法
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作者 蔺国欣 张超 +2 位作者 冯凯 马佳豪 张宁 《中国电力》 北大核心 2026年第3期84-93,共10页
电力交易序贯开展,购电主体各交易周期决策耦合,须综合考虑各周期购电成本的风险,对电量在各周期的分配进行序贯决策。当前购电策略未能考虑各交易周期购电成本的风险差异以及序贯交易过程中多周期购电决策耦合。为此,面向具有一定灵活... 电力交易序贯开展,购电主体各交易周期决策耦合,须综合考虑各周期购电成本的风险,对电量在各周期的分配进行序贯决策。当前购电策略未能考虑各交易周期购电成本的风险差异以及序贯交易过程中多周期购电决策耦合。为此,面向具有一定灵活调节能力的电力用户,提出考虑多周期序贯交易风险的年度购电决策方法。首先,构建多周期典型场景集,基于多周期序贯交易的耦合关系刻画购电成本的风险;其次,基于山西电力市场相关规定,建立考虑多周期序贯交易风险的年度购电决策模型;最后进行算例分析,研究多周期交易机制下灵活性资源降低购电成本、规避风险的作用,并分析灵活性资源规模对各交易周期电量分配的影响。结果表明:相比于按固定比例在各交易周期分配电量的策略,所提决策方法可降低全年购电成本1.65%,降低全年购电风险1.41%。 展开更多
关键词 条件风险价值 电力中长期市场 多周期交易 序贯交易 交易风险
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