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Impact of climate changes on Arizona State precipitation patterns using high-resolution climatic gridded datasets
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作者 Hayder H.Kareem Shahla Abdulqader Nassrullah 《Journal of Groundwater Science and Engineering》 2025年第1期34-46,共13页
Climate change significantly affects environment,ecosystems,communities,and economies.These impacts often result in quick and gradual changes in water resources,environmental conditions,and weather patterns.A geograph... Climate change significantly affects environment,ecosystems,communities,and economies.These impacts often result in quick and gradual changes in water resources,environmental conditions,and weather patterns.A geographical study was conducted in Arizona State,USA,to examine monthly precipi-tation concentration rates over time.This analysis used a high-resolution 0.50×0.50 grid for monthly precip-itation data from 1961 to 2022,Provided by the Climatic Research Unit.The study aimed to analyze climatic changes affected the first and last five years of each decade,as well as the entire decade,during the specified period.GIS was used to meet the objectives of this study.Arizona experienced 51–568 mm,67–560 mm,63–622 mm,and 52–590 mm of rainfall in the sixth,seventh,eighth,and ninth decades of the second millennium,respectively.Both the first and second five year periods of each decade showed accept-able rainfall amounts despite fluctuations.However,rainfall decreased in the first and second decades of the third millennium.and in the first two years of the third decade.Rainfall amounts dropped to 42–472 mm,55–469 mm,and 74–498 mm,respectively,indicating a downward trend in precipitation.The central part of the state received the highest rainfall,while the eastern and western regions(spanning north to south)had significantly less.Over the decades of the third millennium,the average annual rainfall every five years was relatively low,showing a declining trend due to severe climate changes,generally ranging between 35 mm and 498 mm.The central regions consistently received more rainfall than the eastern and western outskirts.Arizona is currently experiencing a decrease in rainfall due to climate change,a situation that could deterio-rate further.This highlights the need to optimize the use of existing rainfall and explore alternative water sources. 展开更多
关键词 Spatial Analysis Climate Impact precipitation Rates CRU dataset GIS Arizona State USA
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Development of China homogenized monthly precipitation dataset during 1900-2009 被引量:12
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作者 LI Qingxiang PENG Jiadong SHEN Yan 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2012年第4期579-593,共15页
Based on the collection and processing of the China national-wide monthly station observational precipitation data in 1900-2009, the data series for each station has been tested for their homogeneity with the Standard... Based on the collection and processing of the China national-wide monthly station observational precipitation data in 1900-2009, the data series for each station has been tested for their homogeneity with the Standard Normalized Homogeneity Test (SNHT) method and the inhomogeneous parts of the series are adjusted or corrected. Based on the data, the precipitation anomalies during 1900-2009 and the climatology normals during 1971-2000 have been transformed into the grid boxes at 5°×5° and 2°×2° resolutions respectively. And two grid form datasets are constructed by combining the normal and anomalies. After that, the missing values for the 5°×5° grid dataset are interpolated by Empirical Orthogonal Function (EOF) techniques. With the datasets of different resolutions, the precipitation change series during 1900-2009 over China's Mainland are built, and the annual and seasonal precipitation trends for the recent 110 years are analyzed. The result indicates that the annual precipitation shows a slight dryer trend during the past 110 years, notwithstanding lack of statistical confidence. It is worth noting that after the interpolation of the missing values, the annual precipitation amounts in the early 1900s become less, which increases the changing trend of the annual precipitation in China for the whole 110 years slightly (from -7.48 mm/100a to -6.48 mm/100a). 展开更多
关键词 precipitation dataset HOMOGENEITY INTERPOLATION
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Estimation of areal precipitation in the Qilian Mountains based on a gridded dataset since 1961 被引量:5
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作者 强芳 张明军 +3 位作者 王圣杰 刘杨民 任正果 朱小凡 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 2016年第1期59-69,共11页
Based on a 0.5°×0.5° daily gridded precipitation dataset and observations in mete- orological stations released by the National Meteorological Information Center, the interan- nual variation of areal pr... Based on a 0.5°×0.5° daily gridded precipitation dataset and observations in mete- orological stations released by the National Meteorological Information Center, the interan- nual variation of areal precipitation in the Qilian Mountains during 1961-2012 is investigated using principal component analysis (PCA) and regression analysis, and the relationship be- tween areal precipitation and drought accumulation intensity is also analyzed. The results indicate that the spatial distribution of precipitation in the Qilian Mountains can be well re- flected by the gridded dataset. The gridded data-based precipitation in mountainous region is generally larger than that in plain region, and the eastern section of the mountain range usu- ally has more precipitation than the western section. The annual mean areal precipitation in the Qilian Mountains is 724.9×108 m3, and the seasonal means in spring, summer, autumn and winter are 118.9×108 m3, 469.4×108 m3, 122.5×108 m3 and 14.1×108 m3, respectively. Summer is a season with the largest areal precipitation among the four seasons, and the proportion in summer is approximately 64.76%. The areal precipitation in summer, autumn and winter shows increasing trends, but a decreasing trend is seen in spring. Among the four seasons, summer have the largest trend magnitude of 1.7×108 m3-a-1. The correlation be- tween areal precipitation in the mountainous region and dry-wet conditions in the mountains and the surroundings can be well exhibited. There is a negative correlation between drought accumulation intensity and the larger areal precipitation is consistent with the weaker drought intensity for this region. 展开更多
关键词 gridded dataset areal precipitation principal component analysis Qilian Mountains
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Rock mass quality prediction on tunnel faces with incomplete multi-source dataset via tree-augmented naive Bayesian network 被引量:1
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作者 Hongwei Huang Chen Wu +3 位作者 Mingliang Zhou Jiayao Chen Tianze Han Le Zhang 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第3期323-337,共15页
Rock mass quality serves as a vital index for predicting the stability and safety status of rock tunnel faces.In tunneling practice,the rock mass quality is often assessed via a combination of qualitative and quantita... Rock mass quality serves as a vital index for predicting the stability and safety status of rock tunnel faces.In tunneling practice,the rock mass quality is often assessed via a combination of qualitative and quantitative parameters.However,due to the harsh on-site construction conditions,it is rather difficult to obtain some of the evaluation parameters which are essential for the rock mass quality prediction.In this study,a novel improved Swin Transformer is proposed to detect,segment,and quantify rock mass characteristic parameters such as water leakage,fractures,weak interlayers.The site experiment results demonstrate that the improved Swin Transformer achieves optimal segmentation results and achieving accuracies of 92%,81%,and 86%for water leakage,fractures,and weak interlayers,respectively.A multisource rock tunnel face characteristic(RTFC)dataset includes 11 parameters for predicting rock mass quality is established.Considering the limitations in predictive performance of incomplete evaluation parameters exist in this dataset,a novel tree-augmented naive Bayesian network(BN)is proposed to address the challenge of the incomplete dataset and achieved a prediction accuracy of 88%.In comparison with other commonly used Machine Learning models the proposed BN-based approach proved an improved performance on predicting the rock mass quality with the incomplete dataset.By utilizing the established BN,a further sensitivity analysis is conducted to quantitatively evaluate the importance of the various parameters,results indicate that the rock strength and fractures parameter exert the most significant influence on rock mass quality. 展开更多
关键词 Rock mass quality Tunnel faces Incomplete multi-source dataset Improved Swin Transformer Bayesian networks
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Integrating categorical and standard triple collocation to improve precipitation fusion over the five largest freshwater lakes in China
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作者 LI Lingjie TANG Guoqiang +4 位作者 WANG Yintang GAO Rui LIU Yong ZHAO Wenpeng CHEN Cheng 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 2025年第11期2378-2412,共35页
The sparsity of ground gauges poses a significant challenge for evaluating and merging satellite-based and reanalysis-based precipitation datasets in lake regions.While the standard triple collocation(TC)method offers... The sparsity of ground gauges poses a significant challenge for evaluating and merging satellite-based and reanalysis-based precipitation datasets in lake regions.While the standard triple collocation(TC)method offers a solution without access to ground-based observations,it fails to address rain/no-rain classification and its suitability for assessing and merging lake precipitation has not been explored.This study combines categorical triple collocation(CTC)with standard TC to create an integrated framework(CTC-TC)tailored to evaluate and merge global gridded precipitation products(GPPs).We assess the efficacy of CTC-TC using six GPPs(ERA5-Land,SM2 RAIN-ASCAT,IMERG-Early,IMERG-Late,GSMaPMVK,and PERSIANN-CCS)across the five largest freshwater lakes in China.CTC-TC effectively captures the spatial patterns of metrics for all GPPs,and precisely estimates the correlation coefficient and root mean square error for satellite-based datasets apart from SM2 RAIN-ASCAT,but overestimates the classification accuracy indicator V for all GPPs.Regarding multi-source fusion,CTC-TC leverages the strengths of individual products of triplets,resulting in significant improvements in the critical success index(CSI)by over 11.9%and the modified Kling-Gupta efficiency(KGE')by more than 13.3%.Compared to baseline models,including standard TC,simple model averaging,one outlier removal,and Bayesian model averaging,CTC-TC achieves gains in CSI and KGE'of no less than 24.7%and 3.6%,respectively.In conclusion,the CTC-TC framework offers a thorough evaluation and efficient fusion of GPPs,addressing both categorical and continuous accuracy in data-scarce regions such as lakes. 展开更多
关键词 categorical triple collocation triple collocation lake gridded precipitation datasets accuracy assessment multi-source fusion
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Evaluation and comparison of separated precipitation types from multisources data in the Chinese Tianshan mountainous region
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作者 YANG Chuanming LI Xuemei +2 位作者 ZHANG Xu WU Jun LI Lanhai 《Journal of Mountain Science》 2025年第2期489-504,共16页
Precipitation types primarily include rainfall,snowfall,and sleet,and the transformation of precipitation types has significant impacts on regional climate,ecosystems,and the land-atmosphere system.This study employs ... Precipitation types primarily include rainfall,snowfall,and sleet,and the transformation of precipitation types has significant impacts on regional climate,ecosystems,and the land-atmosphere system.This study employs the Ding method to separate precipitation types from three datasets(CMFD,ERA5_Land,and CN05.1).Using data from 26meteorological observation stations in the Chinese Tianshan Mountains Region(CTMR)of China as the validation dataset,the precipitation type separation accuracy of three datasets was evaluated.Additionally,the impacts of relative humidity,precipitation amount,and air temperature on the accuracy of precipitation type separation were analyzed.The results indicate that the CMFD dataset provides the highest separation accuracy,followed by CN05.1,with ERA5_Land showing the poorest performance.Spatial correlation analysis reveals that CMFD outperforms the other two datasets at both annual and monthly scales.Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)and Mean Deviation(MD)values suggest that CMFD is more consistent with the station observational data.The analysis further demonstrates that relative humidity and precipitation amount significantly affect separation accuracy.After bias correction,the correlation coefficients between CMFD,ERA5_Land,and station observational data improved to 0.85-0.94,while the RMSE was controlled within 2 mm.The study also revealed that the overestimation of precipitation was positively correlated with the overestimation of rainfall days,negatively correlated with the overestimation of snowfall days,and that underestimated air temperatures led to an increase in the misclassification of snowfall days.This research provides a basis for selecting climate change datasets and managing water resources in alpine regions. 展开更多
关键词 multi-sources data precipitation types Accuracy CTMR
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High-resolution Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index(SPEI)reveals trends in drought and vegetation water availability in China
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作者 Qian He Ming Wang +1 位作者 Kai Liu Bowen Wang 《Geography and Sustainability》 2025年第2期117-130,共14页
Understanding vegetation water availability can be important for managing vegetation and combating climate change.Changes in vegetation water availability throughout China remains poorly understood,especially at a hig... Understanding vegetation water availability can be important for managing vegetation and combating climate change.Changes in vegetation water availability throughout China remains poorly understood,especially at a high spatial resolution.Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index(SPEI)is an ideal water availability index for assessing the spatiotemporal characteristics of drought and investigating the vegetation-water availability relationship.However,no high-resolution and long-term SPEI datasets over China are available.To fill this gap,we developed a new model based on machine learning to obtain high-resolution(1 km)SPEI data by combining climate variables with topographical and geographical features.Here,we analyzed the long-term drought over the past century(1901–2020)and vegetation-water availability relationship in the past two decades(2000–2020).The century-long drought trend analyses indicated an overall drying trend across China with increasing drought frequency,duration,and severity during the past century.We found that drought events in 1901–1961 showed a larger increase than that in 1961–2020,with the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau showing a significant drying trend during 1901–1960 but a wetting trend during 1961–2020.There were 13.90%and 28.21%of vegetation in China showing water deficit and water surplus respectively during 2000–2020.The water deficit area significantly shrank from 2000 to 2020 across China,which is dominated by the significant decrease in water deficit areas in South China.Among temperature,precipitation,and vegetation abundance,temperature is the most important factor for the vegetation-water availability dynamics in China over the past two decades,with high temperature contributing to water deficit.Our findings are important for water and vegetation management under a warming climate. 展开更多
关键词 Standardized precipitation Evapotranspiration Index(SPEI) Long-term drought Vegetation-water relationship High-resolution dataset
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A Strategy for Merging Objective Estimates of Global Daily Precipitation from Gauge Observations, Satellite Estimates, and Numerical Predictions 被引量:4
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作者 Suping NIE Tongwen WU +5 位作者 Yong LUO Xueliang DENG Xueli SHI Zaizhi WANG Xiangwen LIU Jianbin HUANG 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2016年第7期889-904,共16页
This paper describes a strategy for merging daily precipitation information from gauge observations, satellite estimates (SEs), and numerical predictions at the global scale. The strategy is designed to remove syste... This paper describes a strategy for merging daily precipitation information from gauge observations, satellite estimates (SEs), and numerical predictions at the global scale. The strategy is designed to remove systemic bias and random error from each individual daily precipitation source to produce a better gridded global daily precipitation product through three steps. First, a cumulative distribution function matching procedure is performed to remove systemic bias over gauge-located land areas. Then, the overall biases in SEs and model predictions (MPs) over ocean areas are corrected using a rescaled strategy based on monthly precipitation. Third, an optimal interpolation (OI)-based merging scheme (referred as the HL-OI scheme) is used to combine unbiased gahge observations, SEs, and MPs to reduce random error from each source and to produce a gauge--satellite-model merged daily precipitation analysis, called BMEP-d (Beijing Climate Center Merged Estimation of Precipitation with daily resolution), with complete global coverage. The BMEP-d data from a four-year period (2011- 14) demonstrate the ability of the merging strategy to provide global daily precipitation of substantially improved quality. Benefiting from the advantages of the HL-OI scheme for quantitative error estimates, the better source data can obtain more weights during the merging processes. The BMEP-d data exhibit higher consistency with satellite and gauge source data at middle and low latitudes, and with model source data at high latitudes. Overall, independent validations against GPCP-1DD (GPCP one-degree daily) show that the consistencies between B MEP-d and GPCP-1DD are higher than those of each source dataset in terms of spatial pattern, temporal variability, probability distribution, and statistical precipitation events. 展开更多
关键词 global daily precipitation multi-source merging strategy bias correction quantitative error estimation
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Intercomparison of CRA-Interim Precipitation Products with ERA5 and JRA-55 被引量:6
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作者 YE Meng-shu YAO Xiu-ping +2 位作者 ZHANG Tao XU Xiao-feng WANG Shi-gong 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2021年第2期136-147,共12页
Based on the hourly observational data during 2007-2016 from surface meteorological stations in China,this paper compares the influence of 3-hourly precipitation data,mainly from the Chinese Reanalysis-Interim(CRA-Int... Based on the hourly observational data during 2007-2016 from surface meteorological stations in China,this paper compares the influence of 3-hourly precipitation data,mainly from the Chinese Reanalysis-Interim(CRA-Interim),ECMWF Reanalysis 5(ERA5)and Japanese Reanalysis-55(JRA-55),on the simulation of the spatial and temporal distribution of regional precipitation in China and the bias distribution of the simulation.The results show that:(1)The three sets of reanalysis datasets can all reflect the basic spatial distribution characteristics of annual average precipitation in China.The simulation of topographic forced precipitation in complex terrain by using CRA-interim is more detailed,while CRA-interim has larger negative bias in central and East China,and larger positive bias in southwest China.(2)In terms of seasonal precipitation,the three sets of reanalysis datasets overestimate the precipitation in the heavy rainfall zone in spring and summer,especially in southwest China.According to CRA-interim,location of the rain belt in the First Rainy Season in South China is west by south,and the summer precipitation has positive bias in southwest and South China.(3)All of the reanalysis datasets can basically reflect the distribution difference of inter-annual variation of drought and flood,but overall the CRA-Interim generally shows negative bias,while the ERA5 and JRA-55 exhibit positive bias.(4)For the diurnal variation of precipitation in summer,all the reanalysis datasets perform better in simulating the daytime precipitation than in the night,and the bias of CRA-interim is less in the Southeast and Northeast than elsewhere.(5)The ERA5 generally performs the best on the evaluation of quantitative precipitation forecast,the JRA-55 is the next,followed by the CRA-Interim.The CRA-Interim has higher missing rate and lower threat score for heavy rains;however,at the level of downpour,the CRA-Interim performs slightly better. 展开更多
关键词 reanalysis datasets temporal and spatial distributions of precipitation CRA ERA5 JRA-55
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Spatio-temporal Variations of Temperature and Precipitation During 1951–2019 in Arid and Semiarid Region, China 被引量:2
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作者 HUANG Yufei LU Chunyan +3 位作者 LEI Yifan SU Yue SU Yanlin WANG Zili 《Chinese Geographical Science》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第2期285-301,共17页
Understanding the spatio-temporal variations of temperature and precipitation in the arid and semiarid region of China(ASRC)is of great significance for promoting regional eco-environmental protection and policy-makin... Understanding the spatio-temporal variations of temperature and precipitation in the arid and semiarid region of China(ASRC)is of great significance for promoting regional eco-environmental protection and policy-making.In this study,the annual and seasonal spatio-temporal patterns of change in average temperature and precipitation and their influencing factors in the ASRC were analyzed using the Mann-Kendall test,linear tendency estimation,accumulative anomaly and the Pearson’s correlation coefficient.The results showed that both annual average temperature and average annual precipitation increased in the ASRC during 1951–2019.The temperature rose by about 1.93℃and precipitation increased by about 24 mm.The seasonal average temperature presented a significant increase trend,and the seasonal precipitation was conspicuous ascension in spring and winter.The spatio-temporal patterns of change in temperature and precipitation differed,with the southwest area showing the most obvious variation in each season.Abrupt changes in annual and seasonal average temperature and precipitation occurred mainly around the 1990 s and after 2000,respectively.Atmospheric circulation had an important effect on the trends and abrupt changes in temperature and precipitation.The East Asian summer monsoon had the largest impact on the trend of average annual temperature,as well as on the abrupt changes of annual average temperature and precipitation.Temperature and precipitation changes in the ASRC were influenced by long-term and short-term as well as direct and indirect anthropogenic and natural factors.This study identifies the characteristics of spatio-temporal variations in temperature and precipitation in the ASRC and provides a scientific reference for the formulation of climate change responses. 展开更多
关键词 multi-source remote sensing data TEMPERATURE precipitation arid and semiarid region spatio-temporal variation atmospheric circulation
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A New Merged Product Reveals Precipitation Features over Drylands in China 被引量:1
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作者 Min LUO Yuzhi LIU +5 位作者 Jie GAO Run LUO Jinxia ZHANG Ziyuan TAN Siyu CHEN Khan ALAM 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2024年第10期2079-2091,共13页
Due to the considerable uncertainties inherent in the datasets describing the spatiotemporal distributions of precipitation in the drylands of China,this study presents a new merged monthly precipitation product with ... Due to the considerable uncertainties inherent in the datasets describing the spatiotemporal distributions of precipitation in the drylands of China,this study presents a new merged monthly precipitation product with a spatial resolution of approximately 0.2°×0.2°during 1980–2019.The newly developed precipitation product was validated at different temporal scales(e.g.,monthly,seasonally,and annually).The results show that the new product consistently aligns with the spatiotemporal distributions reported by the Chinese Meteorological Administration Land Data Assimilation System(CLDAS)product and Multi-Source Weighted Ensemble Precipitation(MSWEP).The merged product exhibits exceptional quality in describing the drylands of China,with a bias of–2.19 mm month^(–1)relative to MSWEP.In addition,the annual trend of the merged product(0.09 mm month^(–1)yr^(−1))also closely aligns with that of the MSWEP(0.11 mm month^(–1)yr^(−1))during 1980–2019.The increasing trend indicates that the water cycle and wetting process intensified in the drylands of China during this period.In particular,there was an increase in wetting during the period from 2001–2019.Generally,the merged product exhibits potential value for improving our understanding of the climate and water cycle in the drylands of China. 展开更多
关键词 precipitation merged dataset DRYLANDS water cycle
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An observational study of precipitation types in the Alaskan Arctic 被引量:1
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作者 YUE Handong DOU Tingfeng +3 位作者 LI Shutong LI Chuanjin DING Minghu XIAO Cunde 《Advances in Polar Science》 CSCD 2021年第4期327-340,共14页
The effects of various precipitation types,such as snow,rain,sleet,hail and freezing rain,on regional hydrology,ecology,snow and ice surfaces differ significantly.Due to limited observations,however,few studies into p... The effects of various precipitation types,such as snow,rain,sleet,hail and freezing rain,on regional hydrology,ecology,snow and ice surfaces differ significantly.Due to limited observations,however,few studies into precipitation types have been conducted in the Arctic.Based on the high-resolution precipitation records from an OTT Parsivel^(2) disdrometer in Utqiaġvik,Alaska,this study analysed variations in precipitation types in the Alaskan Arctic from 15 May to 16 October,2019.Results show that rain and snow were the dominant precipitation types during the measurement period,accounting for 92%of the total precipitation.In addition,freezing rain,sleet,and hail were also observed(2,4 and 11 times,respectively),accounting for the rest part of the total precipitation.The records from a neighbouring U.S.Climate Reference Network(USCRN)station equipped with T-200B rain gauges support the results of disdrometer.Further analysis revealed that Global Precipitation Measurement(GPM)satellite data could well characterise the observed precipitation changes in Utqiaġvik.Combined with satellite data and station observations,the spatiotemporal variations in precipitation were verified in various reanalysis datasets,and the results indicated that ECMWF Reanalysis v5(ERA5)could better describe the observed precipitation time series in Utqiaġvik and the spatial distribution of data in the Alaskan Arctic.Modern-Era Retrospective analysis for Research and Applications,Version 2(MERRA-2)overestimated the amount and frequency of precipitation.Japanese 55-year Reanalysis(JRA-55)could better simulate heavy precipitation events and the spatial distribution of the precipitation phase,but it overestimated summer snowfall. 展开更多
关键词 DISDROMETER precipitation types reanalysis datasets data comparison
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Evaluation of six gauge-based gridded climate products for analyzing long-term historical precipitation patterns across the Lancang-Mekong River Basin
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作者 Masoud Irannezhad Junguo Liu 《Geography and Sustainability》 2022年第1期85-103,共19页
Freshwater plays a vital role in global sustainability by improving human lives and protecting nature.In the Lancang-Mekong River Basin(LMRB),sustainable development is principally dependent upon precipitation that pr... Freshwater plays a vital role in global sustainability by improving human lives and protecting nature.In the Lancang-Mekong River Basin(LMRB),sustainable development is principally dependent upon precipitation that predominantly controls freshwater resources availability required for both life and livelihood of~70 million people.Hence,this study comprehensively analyzed long-term historical precipitation patterns(in terms of trends,variability,and links to climate teleconnections)throughout the LMRB as well as its upper(Lancang River Basin,LRB)and lower(Mekong River Basin,MRB)parts employing six gauge-based gridded climate products:Asian Precipitation Highly-Resolved Observational Data Integration Towards Evaluation of Water Resources(APHRODITE),Climate Prediction Center(CPC),Climate Research Unit(CRU),Global Precipitation Climatology Center(GPCC),Precipitation Reconstruction over Land(PRECL),and University of Delaware(UDEL).Accordingly,annual and seasonal(dry and wet)precipitation time series were calculated for three study periods:century-long outlook(1901-2010),mid-past(1951-2010),and recent decades(1981-2010).However,the role of climate teleconnections in precipitation variability over the LMRB was only identified during their available temporal coverages:mid-past and recent decades.The results generally showed that:(i)both annual and seasonal precipitation increased across all three basins in 1981-2010;(ii)wet and dry seasons got drier and wetter,respectively,in all basins in 1951-2010;(iii)all such changes were fundamentally attributed to increases in precipitation variability on both annual and seasonal scales over time;(iv)these variations were most strongly associated with the Pacific Decadal Oscillation(PDO),Atlantic Multi-decadal Oscillation(AMO)and East Pacific/North Pacific(EP/NP)pattern in the LMRB and the MRB during 1951-2010,but with the North Sea-Caspian Pattern(NCP)and the Southern Annular Mode(SAM)in the LRB;(v)such relationships got stronger in 1981-2010,while the Southern Oscillation Index(SOI)became the most influential teleconnection for dry season precipitation variability across all basins;and(vi)GPCC(APHRODITE)provided the most reliable gauge-based gridded precipitation time series over the LMRB for the years before(after)1951.These findings lay a foundation for further studies focusing on water resources and sustainable development in the LMRB. 展开更多
关键词 Climate change Gauge-based precipitation datasets Mainland Southeast Asia Oceanic-atmospheric circulation patterns Spatio-temporal trend analysis
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A CRPS-Based Spatial Technique for the Verification of Ensemble Precipitation Forecasts
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作者 ZHAO Bin ZHANG Bo LI Zi-liang 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2021年第1期24-33,共10页
Traditional precipitation skill scores are affected by the well-known"double penalty"problem caused by the slight spatial or temporal mismatches between forecasts and observations.The fuzzy(neighborhood)meth... Traditional precipitation skill scores are affected by the well-known"double penalty"problem caused by the slight spatial or temporal mismatches between forecasts and observations.The fuzzy(neighborhood)method has been proposed for deterministic simulations and shown some ability to solve this problem.The increasing resolution of ensemble forecasts of precipitation means that they now have similar problems as deterministic forecasts.We developed an ensemble precipitation verification skill score,i.e.,the Spatial Continuous Ranked Probability Score(SCRPS),and used it to extend spatial verification from deterministic into ensemble forecasts.The SCRPS is a spatial technique based on the Continuous Ranked Probability Score(CRPS)and the fuzzy method.A fast binomial random variation generator was used to obtain random indexes based on the climatological mean observed frequency,which were then used in the reference score to calculate the skill score of the SCRPS.The verification results obtained using daily forecast products from the ECMWF ensemble forecasts and quantitative precipitation estimation products from the OPERA datasets during June-August 2018 shows that the spatial score is not affected by the number of ensemble forecast members and that a consistent assessment can be obtained.The score can reflect the performance of ensemble forecasts in modeling precipitation and thus can be widely used. 展开更多
关键词 ECMWF ensemble forecasts Spatial Continuous Ranked Probability Score(SCRPS) traditional skill score consistent assessment OPERA quantitative precipitation estimation datasets
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A global multimodal flood event dataset with heterogeneous text and multi-source remote sensing images
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作者 Zhixin Zhang Yan Ma Peng Liu 《Big Earth Data》 2025年第3期362-388,共27页
With the increasing frequency of floods,in-depth flood event analyses are essential for effective disaster relief and prevention.Satellite-based flood event datasets have become the primary data source for flood event... With the increasing frequency of floods,in-depth flood event analyses are essential for effective disaster relief and prevention.Satellite-based flood event datasets have become the primary data source for flood event analyses instead of limited disaster maps due to their enhanced availability.Nevertheless,despite the vast amount of available remote sensing images,existing flood event datasets continue to pose significant challenges in flood event analyses due to the uneven geographical distribution of data,the scarcity of time series data,and the limited availability of flood-related semantic information.There has been a surge in acceptance of deep learning models for flood event analyses,but some existing flood datasets do not align well with model training,and distinguishing flooded areas has proven difficult with limited data modalities and semantic information.Moreover,efficient retrieval and pre-screening of flood-related imagery from vast satellite data impose notable obstacles,particularly within large-scale analyses.To address these issues,we propose a Multimodal Flood Event Dataset(MFED)for deep-learning-based flood event analyses and data retrieval.It consists of 18 years of multi-source remote sensing imagery and heterogeneous textual information covering flood-prone areas worldwide.Incorporating optical and radar imagery can exploit the correlation and complementarity between distinct image modalities to capture the pixel features in flood imagery.It is worth noting that text modality data,including auxiliary hydrological information extracted from the Global Flood Database and text information refined from online news records,can also offer a semantic supplement to the images for flood event retrieval and analysis.To verify the applicability of the MFED in deep learning models,we carried out experiments with different models using a single modality and different combinations of modalities,which fully verified the effectiveness of the dataset.Furthermore,we also verify the efficiency of the MFED in comparative experiments with existing multimodal datasets and diverse neural network structures. 展开更多
关键词 Flood event multimodal dataset deep learning multi-source remote sensing data internet data
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Evaluation of CRU TS, GPCC, AgMERRA, and AgCFSR meteorological datasets for estimating climate and crop variables: A case study of maize in Qazvin Province, Iran
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作者 Faraz GORGIN PAVEH Hadi RAMEZANI ETEDALI Brian COLLINS 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2022年第12期1361-1376,共16页
In the past few decades,meteorological datasets from remote sensing techniques in agricultural and water resources management have been used by various researchers and managers.Based on the literature,meteorological d... In the past few decades,meteorological datasets from remote sensing techniques in agricultural and water resources management have been used by various researchers and managers.Based on the literature,meteorological datasets are not more accurate than synoptic stations,but their various advantages,such as spatial coverage,time coverage,accessibility,and free use,have made these techniques superior,and sometimes we can use them instead of synoptic stations.In this study,we used four meteorological datasets,including Climatic Research Unit gridded Time Series(CRU TS),Global Precipitation Climatology Centre(GPCC),Agricultural National Aeronautics and Space Administration Modern-Era Retrospective Analysis for Research and Applications(AgMERRA),Agricultural Climate Forecast System Reanalysis(AgCFSR),to estimate climate variables,i.e.,precipitation,maximum temperature,and minimum temperature,and crop variables,i.e.,reference evapotranspiration,irrigation requirement,biomass,and yield of maize,in Qazvin Province of Iran during 1980-2009.At first,data were gathered from the four meteorological datasets and synoptic station in this province,and climate variables were calculated.Then,after using the AquaCrop model to calculate the crop variables,we compared the results of the synoptic station and meteorological datasets.All the four meteorological datasets showed strong performance for estimating climate variables.AgMERRA and AgCFSR had more accurate estimations for precipitation and maximum temperature.However,their normalized root mean square error was inferior to CRU for minimum temperature.Furthermore,they were all very efficient for estimating the biomass and yield of maize in this province.For reference evapotranspiration and irrigation requirement CRU TS and GPCC were the most efficient rather than AgMERRA and AgCFSR.But for the estimation of biomass and yield,all the four meteorological datasets were reliable.To sum up,GPCC and AgCFSR were the two best datasets in this study.This study suggests the use of meteorological datasets in water resource management and agricultural management to monitor past changes and estimate recent trends. 展开更多
关键词 climate variables crop variables meteorological datasets precipitation reference evapotranspiration irrigation requirement Iran
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Evaluation of Daily Gridded Meteorological Datasets over the Niger Delta Region of Nigeria and Implication to Water Resources Management
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作者 Ibrahim Hassan Robert M. Kalin +1 位作者 Christopher J. White Jamiu A. Aladejana 《Atmospheric and Climate Sciences》 2020年第1期21-39,共19页
Hydro-climatological study is difficult in most of the developing countries due to the paucity of monitoring stations. Gridded climatological data provides an opportunity to extrapolate climate to areas without monito... Hydro-climatological study is difficult in most of the developing countries due to the paucity of monitoring stations. Gridded climatological data provides an opportunity to extrapolate climate to areas without monitoring stations based on their ability to replicate the Spatio-temporal distribution and variability of observed datasets. Simple correlation and error analyses are not enough to predict the variability and distribution of precipitation and temperature. In this study, the coefficient of correlation (R2), Root mean square error (RMSE), mean bias error (MBE) and mean wet and dry spell lengths were used to evaluate the performance of three widely used daily gridded precipitation, maximum and minimum temperature datasets from the Climatic Research Unit (CRU), Princeton University Global Meteorological Forcing (PGF) and Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) datasets available over the Niger Delta part of Nigeria. The Standardised Precipitation Index was used to assess the confidence of using gridded precipitation products on water resource management. Results of correlation, error, and spell length analysis revealed that the CRU and PGF datasets performed much better than the CFSR datasets. SPI values also indicate a good association between station and CRU precipitation products. The CFSR datasets in comparison with the other data products in many years overestimated and underestimated the SPI. This indicates weak accuracy in predictability, hence not reliable for water resource management in the study area. However, CRU data products were found to perform much better in most of the statistical assessments conducted. This makes the methods used in this study to be useful for the assessment of various gridded datasets in various hydrological and climatic applications. 展开更多
关键词 CLIMATE Research Unit (CRU) Princeton University Global METEOROLOGICAL FORCING dataset (PGF) CLIMATE Forecast System REANALYSIS (CFSR) Standardised precipitation Index (SPI)
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考虑遥相关因子的月降水数据偏差校正方法 被引量:2
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作者 闫宝伟 常建波 +3 位作者 孙明博 古东霖 周学叡 杨东旭 《水科学进展》 北大核心 2025年第1期50-61,共12页
多源降水数据校正对于缺资料地区水文规律的分析及模拟至关重要,当前校正方法对气候要素考虑不足。为此,基于ERA5、ERA5-Land、MSWEP-V2和PERSIANN-CDR多源降水数据集与遥相关因子集,结合XGBoost-SHAP模型进行特征筛选与成因分析,构建基... 多源降水数据校正对于缺资料地区水文规律的分析及模拟至关重要,当前校正方法对气候要素考虑不足。为此,基于ERA5、ERA5-Land、MSWEP-V2和PERSIANN-CDR多源降水数据集与遥相关因子集,结合XGBoost-SHAP模型进行特征筛选与成因分析,构建基于BiLSTM的降水数据偏差校正模型,采用贝叶斯优化(BO)策略寻求模型的最优超参数组合,以进一步提高校正精度。选取汉江上游为研究对象,对多源降水数据进行偏差校正。结果表明:①大气环流类因子是汉江上游降水形成的主要影响因素,北半球副高脊线位置指数的影响最大;②与传统的统计类方法相比,BO-BiLSTM略逊色于表现最优的参数转换法,但可以更加灵活地考虑多个因子的影响;③考虑遥相关因子后,多源降水数据校正的测试期纳什效率系数平均提升了5.4%,均方误差平均降低了24.6%,Kling-Gupta效率系数平均提升了10.5%。研究成果可为数据匮乏地区月降水的高精度估算与延长提供切实可行的技术方案。 展开更多
关键词 月降水 偏差校正 遥相关因子 多源降水数据集 BiLSTM模型
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一种自动气象站小时降水数据非实时质量控制方法及应用 被引量:1
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作者 闫荞荞 王必强 +4 位作者 刘园园 严婧 李波 杨宏谦 刘莹 《暴雨灾害》 2025年第1期102-111,共10页
为分类检测隐藏较深的降水质量异常数据,定义了非实时降水质量异常事件,基于Madsen-Allerupt方法和百分位数法设计了一种自动气象站小时降水数据非实时质量控制方法,基于该方法对湖北省2481个区域自动气象站2005—2022年经实时质量控制... 为分类检测隐藏较深的降水质量异常数据,定义了非实时降水质量异常事件,基于Madsen-Allerupt方法和百分位数法设计了一种自动气象站小时降水数据非实时质量控制方法,基于该方法对湖北省2481个区域自动气象站2005—2022年经实时质量控制的小时降水数据做进一步的非实时质量控制,制作了小时降水质控数据集,并初步做了应用评估。结果表明:(1)设计的方法能够有效实现隐藏较深降水质量异常数据的分类检测,降水量持续偏小占比为87.9%,降水时数异常占比为8.7%,降水量持续偏大占比为3.4%。(2)质量异常数据的总量逐年趋于减少,空间分布无明显差异,时间上4—10月质量异常事件总量低于其他月份,冬季占比最高为36.7%,夏季最低为13.1%。(3)湖北省降水数据的质量建站初期整体欠佳,从2008年开始稳步提升,2008—2022年年数据可用率平均为95.6%,年内4—10月的数据平均可用率为97.8%,高于其它月份的92.6%。 展开更多
关键词 降水 质量控制 Madsen-Allerupt方法 百分位法 降水数据集
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2000-2022年新疆天山地区多源降水融合数据集 被引量:1
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作者 卢新玉 伏晓慧 +3 位作者 王秀琴 刘艳 火红 王敏仲 《中国科学数据(中英文网络版)》 2025年第1期390-398,共9页
天山山区属于我国典型的高寒山区,被誉为“中亚水塔”,对于新疆乃至中亚地区均具有重要意义。随着遥感技术的进步,利用卫星反演来估算山区降水量已成为一种重要方法,然而,由于山区地形复杂且分布不均,导致了基于卫星反演的降水数据在精... 天山山区属于我国典型的高寒山区,被誉为“中亚水塔”,对于新疆乃至中亚地区均具有重要意义。随着遥感技术的进步,利用卫星反演来估算山区降水量已成为一种重要方法,然而,由于山区地形复杂且分布不均,导致了基于卫星反演的降水数据在精度方面存在不足。针对此问题,本研究开展天山山区多源降水融合数据集研制,以GSMaP卫星降水数据为初始场,结合同期区域内1065个台站的实况日降水数据,发展一种基于最优插值的星地降水产品融合方法,最终生成2000–2022年天山山区逐日融合降水产品集。本数据集在研制过程中对实况数据进行了严格质控,对逐日融合降水数据进行了质量评估,相关系数由0.44提高至0.53(通过0.01水平显著性检验),绝对平均误差由6.3mm d^(-1)下降至5.7mm d^(-1)。本产品集有望为复杂地形区域的水资源管理与高效利用提供坚实的数据支持与科学支撑。 展开更多
关键词 天山山区 多源降水 最优插值 数据集
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