Latent class analysis (LCA) is a widely used statistical technique for identifying subgroups in the population based upon multiple indicator variables. It has a number of advantages over other unsupervised grouping pr...Latent class analysis (LCA) is a widely used statistical technique for identifying subgroups in the population based upon multiple indicator variables. It has a number of advantages over other unsupervised grouping procedures such as cluster analysis, including stronger theoretical underpinnings, more clearly defined measures of model fit, and the ability to conduct confirmatory analyses. In addition, it is possible to ascertain whether an LCA solution is equally applicable to multiple known groups, using invariance assessment techniques. This study compared the effectiveness of multiple statistics for detecting group LCA invariance, including a chi-square difference test, a bootstrap likelihood ratio test, and several information indices. Results of the simulation study found that the bootstrap likelihood ratio test was the optimal invariance assessment statistic. In addition to the simulation, LCA group invariance assessment was demonstrated in an application with the Youth Risk Behavior Survey (YRBS). Implications of the simulation results for practice are discussed.展开更多
Stop frequency models, as one of the elements of activity based models, represent an important part of travel behavior. Unobserved heterogeneity across the travelers should be taken into consideration to prevent biase...Stop frequency models, as one of the elements of activity based models, represent an important part of travel behavior. Unobserved heterogeneity across the travelers should be taken into consideration to prevent biasedness and inconsistency in the estimated parameters in the stop frequency models. Additionally, previous studies on the stop frequency have mostly been done in larger metropolitan areas and less attention has been paid to the areas with less population. This study addresses these gaps by using 2012 travel data from a medium sized U.S. urban area using the work tour for the case study. Stop in the work tour were classified into three groups of outbound leg, work based subtour, and inbound leg of the commutes. Latent Class Poisson Regression Models were used to analyze the data. The results indicate the presence of heterogeneity across the commuters. Using latent class models significantly improves the predictive power of the models compared to regular one class Poisson regression models. In contrast to one class Poisson models, gender becomes insignificant in predicting the number of tours when unobserved heterogeneity is accounted for. The commuters are associated with increased stops on their work based subtour when the employment density of service-related occupations increases in their work zone, but employment density of retail employment does not significantly contribute to the stop making likelihood of the commuters. Additionally, an increase in the number of work tours was associated with fewer stops on the inbound leg of the commute. The results of this study suggest the consideration of unobserved heterogeneity in the stop frequency models and help transportation agencies and policy makers make better inferences from such models.展开更多
The aim of analysis is to understand how unreliable information influences user behaviour and how much it discourages public transport use. For this purpose, a Stated Preference Survey was carried out in order to know...The aim of analysis is to understand how unreliable information influences user behaviour and how much it discourages public transport use. For this purpose, a Stated Preference Survey was carried out in order to know the preferences of public transport users relating to information needs and uncertainty on the information provided by Advanced Traveller Information System (ATIS). The perceived uncertainty is defined as information inaccuracy. In our study, we considered the difference between forecasted or scheduled waiting time at the bus stop and/or metro station provided by ATIS, and that experienced by user, to catch the bus and/or metro. A questionnaire was submitted to an appropriate sample of Palermo’s population. A Latent Class Logit model was calibrated, taking into account attributes of cost, information inaccuracy, travel time, waiting time, and cut-offs in order to reveal preference heterogeneity in the perceived information. The calibrated model showed various sources of preference heterogeneity in the perceived information of public transport users as highlighted by the analysis reported. Finally, the willingness to pay was estimated, confirming a great sensitivity to the perceived information, provided by ATIS.展开更多
Objective:To preliminarily construct and apply a longitudinal trajectory model for the prognosis of intracerebral hemorrhage(ICH)based on blood urea nitrogen(BUN)characteristics.Methods:Clinical data from 320 ICH pati...Objective:To preliminarily construct and apply a longitudinal trajectory model for the prognosis of intracerebral hemorrhage(ICH)based on blood urea nitrogen(BUN)characteristics.Methods:Clinical data from 320 ICH patients admitted to our hospital between 2020 and 2024 were collected,including demographic information,National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale(NIHSS)scores at admission,dynamic changes in BUN levels during treatment,and 30-day survival outcomes.A latent class growth model(LCGM)was first used for preliminary modeling,followed by a latent growth mixture modeling(GMM)approach to determine the final model.Three classes of BUN trajectories for ICH prognosis were identified,and latent classes were established.GMM modeling was then performed on these latent classes,considering linear,quadratic,and cubic polynomial forms;six GMM models were constructed and individuals were assigned to latent trajectory groups for validation.Results:LCGM analysis ultimately identified three dynamic BUN trajectory groups:Sustained low-level group(76 cases,23.8%):BUN remained stable between 3.1-9.0 mmol/L,with the highest 30-day survival rate(98.7%).Fluctuating-declining group(222 cases,69.4%):BUN initially increased and then slowly decreased(peak at day 3:15.2 mmol/L),with a 30-day mortality of 8.1%(18/222),higher than the sustained low-level group.Sustained high-level group(22 cases,6.9%):BUN mean>9.0 mmol/L,with a 30-day mortality of 41.7%(P=0.000).GMM model fitting showed that the cubic polynomial GMM model was optimal(AIC=6754.474,BIC=6852.450,Entropy=0.905).Incorporating gender,age,and BMI as covariates revealed significant effects for gender(Estimate=0.045,-0.011,P=0.000,0.000).The AUC for predicting 30-day mortality was 0.88(sensitivity 82.8%,specificity 77.9%),which increased to 0.89 when combined with admission NIHSS scores.Conclusion:The LCGM+GMM model based on dynamic BUN trajectories effectively distinguishes prognostic subgroups in ICH patients.Patients with persistently elevated or fluctuating-rising BUN levels have a significantly higher mortality risk compared to those with sustained low levels.This model provides a new quantitative tool for early identification of high-risk patients and poor prognoses.展开更多
Objective:Sepsis exhibits remarkable heterogeneity in disease progression trajectories,and accurate identificationof distinct trajectory-based phenotypes is critical for implementing personalized therapeutic strategie...Objective:Sepsis exhibits remarkable heterogeneity in disease progression trajectories,and accurate identificationof distinct trajectory-based phenotypes is critical for implementing personalized therapeutic strategies and prognostic assessment.However,trajectory clustering analysis of time-series clinical data poses substantial methodological challenges for researchers.This study provides a comprehensive tutorial framework demonstrating six trajectory modeling approaches integrated with proteomic analysis to guide researchers in identifying sepsis subtypes after laparoscopic surgery.Methods:This study employs simulated longitudinal data from 300 septic patients after laparoscopic surgery to demonstrate six trajectory modeling methods(group-based trajectory modeling,latent growth mixture modeling,latent transition analysis,time-varying effect modeling,K-means for longitudinal data,agglomerative hierarchical clustering)for identifying associations between predefinedsequential organ failure assessment trajectories and 25 proteomic biomarkers.Clustering performance was evaluated via multiple metrics,and a biomarker discovery pipeline integrating principal component analysis,random forests,feature selection,and receiver operating characteristic analysis was developed.Results:The six methods demonstrated varying performance in identifying trajectory structures,with each approach exhibiting distinct analytical characteristics.The performance metrics revealed differences across methods,which may inform context-specificmethod selection and interpretation strategies.Conclusion:This study illustrates practical implementations of trajectory modeling approaches under controlled conditions,facilitating informed method selection for clinical researchers.The inclusion of complete R code and integrated proteomics workflows offers a reproducible analytical framework connecting temporal pattern recognition to biomarker discovery.Beyond sepsis,this pipeline-oriented approach may be adapted to diverse clinical scenarios requiring longitudinal disease characterization and precision medicine applications.The comparative analysis reveals that each method has distinct strengths,providing a practical guide for clinical researchers in selecting appropriate methods based on their specificstudy goals and data characteristics.展开更多
This study develops a flexible latent class model(LCM)to investigate the electric vehicle(EV)type choice decisions of Halifax residents.It utilizes cross-sectional data from the 2022 Halifax Travel Activity(HaliTRAC)s...This study develops a flexible latent class model(LCM)to investigate the electric vehicle(EV)type choice decisions of Halifax residents.It utilizes cross-sectional data from the 2022 Halifax Travel Activity(HaliTRAC)survey,which includes questions related to EV adoption.This study also analyzes eight attitudes and lifestyle preferences related state-ments using the principal component analysis(PCA)technique,and finally extracts three components labeled as“EV enthusiasts”,“sustainable travellers”,and“remote work arrangement admirers”.This paper explores the heterogeneity between two classes for dif-ferent alternative vehicle type choices,e.g.,battery electric vehicle(BEV),plug-in hybrid electric vehicle(PHEV),hybrid electric vehicle(HEV),and regular internal combustion engine(ICE)vehicle.Based on class membership attributes,class-1 can be identified as those who live in suburban areas,have a large family with high vehicle ownership,and are interested in travelling with their family members,especially with their children and vice-versa for class-2.Results suggest that variables across two classes portray heterogene-ity,e.g.,full-time worker portray positive correlation for class-1 and negative to class-2;high annual household income group(more than$200000)exhibit high propensity to choose BEV in class-2 and vice-versa for class-1.Sustainable travelers emphasize the adverse connection towards regular vehicles,while EV enthusiasts demonstrate a favorable association with embracing any type of EV(e.g.,BEV,PHEV,or HEV).Furthermore,the find-ings from this analysis provide guidance for policy measures such as offering purchase incentives,expanding charging infrastructure,and implementing tax rebates to promote the uptake of EVs among the residents of Halifax.展开更多
文摘Latent class analysis (LCA) is a widely used statistical technique for identifying subgroups in the population based upon multiple indicator variables. It has a number of advantages over other unsupervised grouping procedures such as cluster analysis, including stronger theoretical underpinnings, more clearly defined measures of model fit, and the ability to conduct confirmatory analyses. In addition, it is possible to ascertain whether an LCA solution is equally applicable to multiple known groups, using invariance assessment techniques. This study compared the effectiveness of multiple statistics for detecting group LCA invariance, including a chi-square difference test, a bootstrap likelihood ratio test, and several information indices. Results of the simulation study found that the bootstrap likelihood ratio test was the optimal invariance assessment statistic. In addition to the simulation, LCA group invariance assessment was demonstrated in an application with the Youth Risk Behavior Survey (YRBS). Implications of the simulation results for practice are discussed.
文摘Stop frequency models, as one of the elements of activity based models, represent an important part of travel behavior. Unobserved heterogeneity across the travelers should be taken into consideration to prevent biasedness and inconsistency in the estimated parameters in the stop frequency models. Additionally, previous studies on the stop frequency have mostly been done in larger metropolitan areas and less attention has been paid to the areas with less population. This study addresses these gaps by using 2012 travel data from a medium sized U.S. urban area using the work tour for the case study. Stop in the work tour were classified into three groups of outbound leg, work based subtour, and inbound leg of the commutes. Latent Class Poisson Regression Models were used to analyze the data. The results indicate the presence of heterogeneity across the commuters. Using latent class models significantly improves the predictive power of the models compared to regular one class Poisson regression models. In contrast to one class Poisson models, gender becomes insignificant in predicting the number of tours when unobserved heterogeneity is accounted for. The commuters are associated with increased stops on their work based subtour when the employment density of service-related occupations increases in their work zone, but employment density of retail employment does not significantly contribute to the stop making likelihood of the commuters. Additionally, an increase in the number of work tours was associated with fewer stops on the inbound leg of the commute. The results of this study suggest the consideration of unobserved heterogeneity in the stop frequency models and help transportation agencies and policy makers make better inferences from such models.
文摘The aim of analysis is to understand how unreliable information influences user behaviour and how much it discourages public transport use. For this purpose, a Stated Preference Survey was carried out in order to know the preferences of public transport users relating to information needs and uncertainty on the information provided by Advanced Traveller Information System (ATIS). The perceived uncertainty is defined as information inaccuracy. In our study, we considered the difference between forecasted or scheduled waiting time at the bus stop and/or metro station provided by ATIS, and that experienced by user, to catch the bus and/or metro. A questionnaire was submitted to an appropriate sample of Palermo’s population. A Latent Class Logit model was calibrated, taking into account attributes of cost, information inaccuracy, travel time, waiting time, and cut-offs in order to reveal preference heterogeneity in the perceived information. The calibrated model showed various sources of preference heterogeneity in the perceived information of public transport users as highlighted by the analysis reported. Finally, the willingness to pay was estimated, confirming a great sensitivity to the perceived information, provided by ATIS.
文摘Objective:To preliminarily construct and apply a longitudinal trajectory model for the prognosis of intracerebral hemorrhage(ICH)based on blood urea nitrogen(BUN)characteristics.Methods:Clinical data from 320 ICH patients admitted to our hospital between 2020 and 2024 were collected,including demographic information,National Institutes of Health Stroke Scale(NIHSS)scores at admission,dynamic changes in BUN levels during treatment,and 30-day survival outcomes.A latent class growth model(LCGM)was first used for preliminary modeling,followed by a latent growth mixture modeling(GMM)approach to determine the final model.Three classes of BUN trajectories for ICH prognosis were identified,and latent classes were established.GMM modeling was then performed on these latent classes,considering linear,quadratic,and cubic polynomial forms;six GMM models were constructed and individuals were assigned to latent trajectory groups for validation.Results:LCGM analysis ultimately identified three dynamic BUN trajectory groups:Sustained low-level group(76 cases,23.8%):BUN remained stable between 3.1-9.0 mmol/L,with the highest 30-day survival rate(98.7%).Fluctuating-declining group(222 cases,69.4%):BUN initially increased and then slowly decreased(peak at day 3:15.2 mmol/L),with a 30-day mortality of 8.1%(18/222),higher than the sustained low-level group.Sustained high-level group(22 cases,6.9%):BUN mean>9.0 mmol/L,with a 30-day mortality of 41.7%(P=0.000).GMM model fitting showed that the cubic polynomial GMM model was optimal(AIC=6754.474,BIC=6852.450,Entropy=0.905).Incorporating gender,age,and BMI as covariates revealed significant effects for gender(Estimate=0.045,-0.011,P=0.000,0.000).The AUC for predicting 30-day mortality was 0.88(sensitivity 82.8%,specificity 77.9%),which increased to 0.89 when combined with admission NIHSS scores.Conclusion:The LCGM+GMM model based on dynamic BUN trajectories effectively distinguishes prognostic subgroups in ICH patients.Patients with persistently elevated or fluctuating-rising BUN levels have a significantly higher mortality risk compared to those with sustained low levels.This model provides a new quantitative tool for early identification of high-risk patients and poor prognoses.
基金funding from the China National Key Research and Development Program(No.2023YFC3603104)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.82472243 and 82272180)+6 种基金the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities(No.226-2025-00024)the Huadong Medicine Joint Funds of the Zhejiang Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China(No.LHDMD24H150001)the Key Research&Development Project of Zhejiang Province(No.2024C03240)a collaborative scientific project co-established by the Science and Technology Department of the National Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine and the Zhejiang Provincial Administration of Traditional Chinese Medicine(No.GZY-ZJ-KJ-24082)he General Health Science and Technology Program of Zhejiang Province(No.2024KY1099)the Project of Zhejiang University Longquan Innovation Center(No.ZJDXLQCXZCJBGS2024016)Wu Jieping Medical Foundation Special Research Grant(No.320.6750.2024-23-07).
文摘Objective:Sepsis exhibits remarkable heterogeneity in disease progression trajectories,and accurate identificationof distinct trajectory-based phenotypes is critical for implementing personalized therapeutic strategies and prognostic assessment.However,trajectory clustering analysis of time-series clinical data poses substantial methodological challenges for researchers.This study provides a comprehensive tutorial framework demonstrating six trajectory modeling approaches integrated with proteomic analysis to guide researchers in identifying sepsis subtypes after laparoscopic surgery.Methods:This study employs simulated longitudinal data from 300 septic patients after laparoscopic surgery to demonstrate six trajectory modeling methods(group-based trajectory modeling,latent growth mixture modeling,latent transition analysis,time-varying effect modeling,K-means for longitudinal data,agglomerative hierarchical clustering)for identifying associations between predefinedsequential organ failure assessment trajectories and 25 proteomic biomarkers.Clustering performance was evaluated via multiple metrics,and a biomarker discovery pipeline integrating principal component analysis,random forests,feature selection,and receiver operating characteristic analysis was developed.Results:The six methods demonstrated varying performance in identifying trajectory structures,with each approach exhibiting distinct analytical characteristics.The performance metrics revealed differences across methods,which may inform context-specificmethod selection and interpretation strategies.Conclusion:This study illustrates practical implementations of trajectory modeling approaches under controlled conditions,facilitating informed method selection for clinical researchers.The inclusion of complete R code and integrated proteomics workflows offers a reproducible analytical framework connecting temporal pattern recognition to biomarker discovery.Beyond sepsis,this pipeline-oriented approach may be adapted to diverse clinical scenarios requiring longitudinal disease characterization and precision medicine applications.The comparative analysis reveals that each method has distinct strengths,providing a practical guide for clinical researchers in selecting appropriate methods based on their specificstudy goals and data characteristics.
文摘This study develops a flexible latent class model(LCM)to investigate the electric vehicle(EV)type choice decisions of Halifax residents.It utilizes cross-sectional data from the 2022 Halifax Travel Activity(HaliTRAC)survey,which includes questions related to EV adoption.This study also analyzes eight attitudes and lifestyle preferences related state-ments using the principal component analysis(PCA)technique,and finally extracts three components labeled as“EV enthusiasts”,“sustainable travellers”,and“remote work arrangement admirers”.This paper explores the heterogeneity between two classes for dif-ferent alternative vehicle type choices,e.g.,battery electric vehicle(BEV),plug-in hybrid electric vehicle(PHEV),hybrid electric vehicle(HEV),and regular internal combustion engine(ICE)vehicle.Based on class membership attributes,class-1 can be identified as those who live in suburban areas,have a large family with high vehicle ownership,and are interested in travelling with their family members,especially with their children and vice-versa for class-2.Results suggest that variables across two classes portray heterogene-ity,e.g.,full-time worker portray positive correlation for class-1 and negative to class-2;high annual household income group(more than$200000)exhibit high propensity to choose BEV in class-2 and vice-versa for class-1.Sustainable travelers emphasize the adverse connection towards regular vehicles,while EV enthusiasts demonstrate a favorable association with embracing any type of EV(e.g.,BEV,PHEV,or HEV).Furthermore,the find-ings from this analysis provide guidance for policy measures such as offering purchase incentives,expanding charging infrastructure,and implementing tax rebates to promote the uptake of EVs among the residents of Halifax.
