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Multivariate GARCH models with spherical parameterizations:an oil price application
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作者 Luca Vincenzo Ballestra Riccardo De Blasis Graziella Pacelli 《Financial Innovation》 2025年第1期1158-1177,共20页
In popular Baba-Engle-Kraft-Kroner(BEKK)and dynamic conditional correlation(DCC)multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models,the large number of parameters and the requirement of posit... In popular Baba-Engle-Kraft-Kroner(BEKK)and dynamic conditional correlation(DCC)multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models,the large number of parameters and the requirement of positive definiteness of the covariance and correlation matrices pose some difficulties during the estimation process.To avoid these issues,we propose two modifications to the BEKK and DCC models that employ two spherical parameterizations applied to the Cholesky decompositions of the covariance and correlation matrices.In their full specifications,the introduced Cholesky-BEKK and Cholesky-DCC models allow for a reduction in the number of parameters compared with their traditional counterparts.Moreover,the application of spherical transformation does not require the imposition of inequality constraints on the parameters during the estimation.An application to two crude oils,WTI and Brent,and the main exchange rate prices demonstrates that the Cholesky-BEKK and Cholesky-DCC models can capture the dynamics of covariances and correlations.In addition,the Kupiec test on different portfolio compositions confirms the satisfactory performance of the proposed models. 展开更多
关键词 BEKK Cholesky-GARCH Crude oils DCC Exchange rates Spherical parameterization
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Parameter identification method of multi-particle model for lithium-ion batteries
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作者 Junfu Li Xiaolong Li +2 位作者 Xueli Hu Quanqing Yu Zhaowei Zhang 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 2026年第1期440-452,共13页
Electrochemical models,characterized by high fidelity and physical interpretability,have been applied in var-ious fields such as fast charging,battery state estimation,and battery material design.Currently,widely util... Electrochemical models,characterized by high fidelity and physical interpretability,have been applied in var-ious fields such as fast charging,battery state estimation,and battery material design.Currently,widely utilized single particle-based model exhibits high computational efficiency but suffers from low simulation accuracy under high-rate charge/discharge conditions.In this work,an electrochemical model for lithium-ion batteries based on multi-particle hypothesis is developed.Two particles are employed to represent the electrode char-acteristics of the positive and negative electrodes,respectively.Through theoretical derivation,mathematical equations are established to describe various processes within the battery,including solid-phase diffusion,li-quidphase diffusion,reaction polarization,and ohmic polarization.In addition,a method for obtaining model parameters is proposed.Finally,the model is experimentally validated by using lithium iron phosphate and nickel-cobalt-manganese lithium-ion batteries under constant current conditions.The identified battery elec-trochemical model parameters are within reasonable accuracy as evidenced by the experimental validation results. 展开更多
关键词 Lithium-ion battery Electrochemical model Multi-particle assumption parameter identification
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Typhoon Kompasu(2118)simulation with planetary boundary layer and cloud physics parameterization improvements
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作者 Xiaowei Tan Zhiqiu Gao Yubin Li 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2026年第1期41-46,共6页
This study introduces a new ocean surface friction velocity scheme and a modified Thompson cloud microphysics parameterization scheme into the CMA-TYM model.The impact of these two parameterization schemes on the pred... This study introduces a new ocean surface friction velocity scheme and a modified Thompson cloud microphysics parameterization scheme into the CMA-TYM model.The impact of these two parameterization schemes on the prediction of the movement track and intensity of Typhoon Kompasu in 2021 is examined.Additionally,the possible reasons for their effects on tropical cyclone(TC)intensity prediction are analyzed.Statistical results show that both parameterization schemes improve the predictions of Typhoon Kompasu’s track and intensity.The influence on track prediction becomes evident after 60 h of model integration,while the significant positive impact on intensity prediction is observed after 66 h.Further analysis reveals that these two schemes affect the timing and magnitude of extreme TC intensity values by influencing the evolution of the TC’s warm-core structure. 展开更多
关键词 Tropical cyclone Numerical simulation Planetary boundary layer parameterization SCHEME Cloud physics scheme
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UAV-to-Ground Channel Modeling:(Quasi-)Closed-Form Channel Statistics and Manual Parameter Estimation
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作者 Zeng Linzhou Liao Xuewen +3 位作者 Xie Wenwu Ma Zhangfeng Xiong Baiping Jiang Hao 《China Communications》 2026年第1期47-66,共20页
(Quasi-)closed-form results for the statistical properties of unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)airto-ground channels are derived for the first time using a novel spatial-vector-based method from a threedimensional(3-D)arbi... (Quasi-)closed-form results for the statistical properties of unmanned aerial vehicle(UAV)airto-ground channels are derived for the first time using a novel spatial-vector-based method from a threedimensional(3-D)arbitrary-elevation one-cylinder model.The derived results include a closed-form expression for the space-time correlation function and some quasi-closed-form ones for the space-Doppler power spectrum density,the level crossing rate,and the average fading duration,which are shown to be the generalizations of those previously obtained from the two-dimensional(2-D)one-ring model and the 3-D low-elevation one-cylinder model for terrestrial mobile-to-mobile channels.The close agreements between the theoretical results and the simulations as well as the measurements validate the utility of the derived channel statistics.Based on the derived expressions,the impacts of some parameters on the channel characteristics are investigated in an effective,efficient,and explicable way,which leads to a general guideline on the manual parameter estimation from the measurement description. 展开更多
关键词 channel characteristics geometry-based stochastic model manual parameter estimation UAV channel modeling
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Fine-tuning Atmospheric Parameters for Improving ENSO Simulation in the Zebiak–Cane Model
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作者 Xiaojun WEI Lin CHEN +2 位作者 Ming SUN Ruihuang XIE Rong-Hua ZHANG 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2026年第2期420-435,I0022-I0026,共21页
The Zebiak–Cane(ZC) model, renowned as a coupled ocean-atmosphere model specifically designed to simulate and predict El Ni??o-Southern Oscillation(ENSO), is an indispensable tool for ENSO studies. However, the origi... The Zebiak–Cane(ZC) model, renowned as a coupled ocean-atmosphere model specifically designed to simulate and predict El Ni??o-Southern Oscillation(ENSO), is an indispensable tool for ENSO studies. However, the original ZC model exhibits certain biases in reproducing the ENSO–related sea surface temperature anomalies and heating anomalies, limiting its broader applicability. To improve the accuracy of ENSO simulation, we propose a modified ZC model based on Xie et al.(2015), named the MZC_XJH model, through refining the heating parameterization scheme. The performance in simulating the nonlinear SST–precipitation relationship in the MZC_XJH model is firstly elaborated. Then, we investigate the impacts of three key atmospheric parameters on ENSO simulation by conducting experiments with the MZC_XJH model. Through assessing the performance in simulating five fundamental ENSO metrics(amplitude, periodicity,seasonality, diversity, and skewness), we uncover that the sensitivities of simulated ENSO behaviors to different parameters are distinct. Moreover, we explain why a particular parameter greatly affects some simulated ENSO behaviors while others exert minor influence. We also reveal that the nonlinear effect due to the covariation of multi-parameters on ENSO simulation warrants careful consideration when tuning multi-parameters synchronously. Lastly, we present an updated version of the MZC_XJH model, in which some biases have been mitigated but some remain obvious. Although there are no universally optimal parameters that would ensure flawless performance in simulating every aspect of ENSO, this study provides a valuable reference for tuning atmospheric parameters in the MZC_XJH model, rendering the MZC_XJH model applicable to some research objectives. 展开更多
关键词 ENSO Zebiak–Cane model SST–precipitation relationship parameterization schemes
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Geostress Evolution and Construction Parameter Optimization in Shale Gas Infill Well Development
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作者 Yongjun Xiao Yuduo Sun +5 位作者 Jian Zheng Xiaojin Zhou Wang Liu Cheng Shen Qi Deng Hao Zhao 《Energy Engineering》 2026年第3期152-168,共17页
The shale gas development in China faces challenges such as complex reservoir conditions and high development costs.Based on the pore pressure and geostress coupling theory,this paper studies the geostress evolution l... The shale gas development in China faces challenges such as complex reservoir conditions and high development costs.Based on the pore pressure and geostress coupling theory,this paper studies the geostress evolution laws and fracture network characteristics of shale gas infill wells.A mechanism model of CN platform logging data and geomechanical parameters is established to simulate the influence of parent well’s production on the geostress in the infill well area.It is suggested that with the increase of production time,normal fault stress state and horizontal stress deflection will occur.The smaller the parent well spacing and the longer the production time,the earlier the normal fault stress state appears and the larger the range.Based on the model,the fracture network morphology and construction parameters of infill wells are optimized.parentparentparentparent The results indicate that:1:A well spacing of 500 m achieves a Pareto optimum between“full reserve coverage”and“stress barrier”;2:A parent well recovery degree of 30%corresponds to the critical point of stress reversal,where the lateral deflection rate of the infill fracture is less than 8%and the SRV loss is minimized;3:6-cluster intensive completion with twice the liquid intensity increases the fracture complexity index by 1.7 times,enhances well group EUR by 15.4%,and reduces single-well cost by 22%.This research fills the theoretical gap in the collaborative optimization of“multi-parameter,multi-objective and multi-constraint”and provide parameter optimization basis for shale gas infill well development in China and help to improve the development efficiency and economic benefits. 展开更多
关键词 Shale gas horizontal well geostress evolution infill well development numerical simulation construction parameter optimization
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Mitigating the Dynamic Load Altering Attack on Load Frequency Control with Network Parameter Regulation
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作者 Yunhao Yu Boda Zhang +4 位作者 Meiling Dizha Ruibin Wen Fuhua Luo Xiang Guo Zhenyong Zhang 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第2期1561-1579,共19页
Load frequency control(LFC)is a critical function to balance the power consumption and generation.Thegrid frequency is a crucial indicator for maintaining balance.However,the widely used information and communication ... Load frequency control(LFC)is a critical function to balance the power consumption and generation.Thegrid frequency is a crucial indicator for maintaining balance.However,the widely used information and communication infrastructure for LFC increases the risk of being attacked by malicious actors.The dynamic load altering attack(DLAA)is a typical attack that can destabilize the power system,causing the grid frequency to deviate fromits nominal value.Therefore,in this paper,we mathematically analyze the impact of DLAA on the stability of the grid frequency and propose the network parameter regulation(NPR)to mitigate the impact.To begin with,the dynamic LFC model is constructed by highlighting the importance of the network parameter.Then,we model the DLAA and analyze its impact on LFC using the theory of second-order dynamic systems.Finally,we model the NPR and prove its effect in mitigating the DLAA.Besides,we construct a least-effort NPR considering its infrastructure cost and aim to reduce the operation cost.Finally,we carry out extensive simulations to demonstrate the impact of the DLAA and evaluate the mitigation performance of NPR.The proposed cost-benefit NPR approach can not only mitigate the impact of DLAA with 100%and also save 41.18$/MWh in terms of the operation cost. 展开更多
关键词 Smart grid cybersecurity dynamic load altering attack load frequency control network parameter modification
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Advanced Meta-Heuristic Optimization for Accurate Photovoltaic Model Parameterization:A High-Accuracy Estimation Using Spider Wasp Optimization
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作者 Sarah M.Alhammad Diaa Salama AbdElminaam +1 位作者 Asmaa Rizk Ibrahim Ahmed Taha 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第3期2269-2303,共35页
Accurate parameter extraction of photovoltaic(PV)models plays a critical role in enabling precise performance prediction,optimal system sizing,and effective operational control under diverse environmental conditions.W... Accurate parameter extraction of photovoltaic(PV)models plays a critical role in enabling precise performance prediction,optimal system sizing,and effective operational control under diverse environmental conditions.While a wide range of metaheuristic optimisation techniques have been applied to this problem,many existing methods are hindered by slow convergence rates,susceptibility to premature stagnation,and reduced accuracy when applied to complex multi-diode PV configurations.These limitations can lead to suboptimal modelling,reducing the efficiency of PV system design and operation.In this work,we propose an enhanced hybrid optimisation approach,the modified Spider Wasp Optimization(mSWO)with Opposition-Based Learning algorithm,which integrates the exploration and exploitation capabilities of the Spider Wasp Optimization(SWO)metaheuristic with the diversityenhancing mechanism of Opposition-Based Learning(OBL).The hybridisation is designed to dynamically expand the search space coverage,avoid premature convergence,and improve both convergence speed and precision in highdimensional optimisation tasks.The mSWO algorithm is applied to three well-established PV configurations:the single diode model(SDM),the double diode model(DDM),and the triple diode model(TDM).Real experimental current-voltage(I-V)datasets from a commercial PV module under standard test conditions(STC)are used for evaluation.Comparative analysis is conducted against eighteen advanced metaheuristic algorithms,including BSDE,RLGBO,GWOCS,MFO,EO,TSA,and SCA.Performance metrics include minimum,mean,and maximum root mean square error(RMSE),standard deviation(SD),and convergence behaviour over 30 independent runs.The results reveal that mSWO consistently delivers superior accuracy and robustness across all PV models,achieving the lowest RMSE values of 0.000986022(SDM),0.000982884(DDM),and 0.000982529(TDM),with minimal SD values,indicating remarkable repeatability.Convergence analyses further show that mSWO reaches optimal solutions more rapidly and with fewer oscillations than all competing methods,with the performance gap widening as model complexity increases.These findings demonstrate that mSWO provides a scalable,computationally efficient,and highly reliable framework for PV parameter extraction.Its adaptability to models of growing complexity suggests strong potential for broader applications in renewable energy systems,including performance monitoring,fault detection,and intelligent control,thereby contributing to the optimisation of next-generation solar energy solutions. 展开更多
关键词 modified Spider Wasp Optimizer(mSWO) photovoltaic(PV)modeling meta-heuristic optimization solar energy parameter estimation renewable energy technologies
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An improved conditional denoising diffusion GAN for Mach number field reconstruction in a multi-tunnel combined inlet based on sparse parameter information
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作者 Ke MIN Fan LEI +2 位作者 Jiale ZHANG Chengxiang ZHU Yancheng YOU 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 2026年第1期169-190,共22页
The internal flow fields within a three-dimensional inward-tunning combined inlet are extremely complex,especially during the engine mode transition,where the tunnel changes may impact the flow fields significantly.To... The internal flow fields within a three-dimensional inward-tunning combined inlet are extremely complex,especially during the engine mode transition,where the tunnel changes may impact the flow fields significantly.To develop an efficient flow field reconstruction model for this,we present an Improved Conditional Denoising Diffusion Generative Adversarial Network(ICDDGAN),which integrates Conditional Denoising Diffusion Probabilistic Models(CDDPMs)with Style GAN,and introduce a reconstruction discrimination mechanism and dynamic loss weight learning strategy.We establish the Mach number flow field dataset by numerical simulation at various backpressures for the mode transition process from turbine mode to ejector ramjet mode at Mach number 2.5.The proposed ICDDGAN model,given only sparse parameter information,can rapidly generate high-quality Mach number flow fields without a large number of samples for training.The results show that ICDDGAN is superior to CDDGAN in terms of training convergence and stability.Moreover,the interpolation and extrapolation test results during backpressure conditions show that ICDDGAN can accurately and quickly reconstruct Mach number fields at various tunnel slice shapes,with a Structural Similarity Index Measure(SSIM)of over 0.96 and a Mean-Square Error(MSE)of 0.035%to actual flow fields,reducing time costs by 7-8 orders of magnitude compared to Computational Fluid Dynamics(CFD)calculations.This can provide an efficient means for rapid computation of complex flow fields. 展开更多
关键词 Flow field reconstruction Improved Conditional Denoising Diffusion Generative Adversarial Network(ICDDGAN) Mode transition Sparse parameter information Three-dimensional inward-tunning combined inlet
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THE IMPACT OF DIFFERENT PHYSICAL PROCESSES AND THEIR PARAMETERIZATIONS ON FORECAST OF A HEAVY RAINFALL IN SOUTH CHINA IN ANNUALLY FIRST RAINING SEASON 被引量:7
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作者 张旭斌 万齐林 +2 位作者 薛纪善 丁伟钰 李昊睿 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2015年第2期194-210,共17页
An ensemble prediction system based on the GRAPES model, using multi-physics, is used to discuss the influence of different physical processes in numerical models on forecast of heavy rainfall in South China in the an... An ensemble prediction system based on the GRAPES model, using multi-physics, is used to discuss the influence of different physical processes in numerical models on forecast of heavy rainfall in South China in the annually first raining season(AFRS). Pattern, magnitude and area of precipitation, evolution of synoptic situation, as well as apparent heat source and apparent moisture sink between different ensemble members are comparatively analyzed. The choice of parameterization scheme for land-surface processes gives rise to the largest influence on the precipitation prediction. The influences of cumulus-convection and cloud-microphysics processes are mainly focused on heavy rainfall;the use of cumulus-convection parameterization tends to produce large-area and light rainfall. Change in parameterization schemes for land-surface and cumulus-convection processes both will cause prominent change in forecast of both dynamic and thermodynamic variables, while change in cloud-microphysics processes show primary impact on dynamic variables. Comparing simplified Arakawa-Schubert and Kain-Fritsch with Betts-Miller-Janjic schemes, SLAB with NOAH schemes, as well as both WRF single moment 6-class and NCEP 3-class with simplified explicit schemes of phase-mixed cloud and precipitation shows that the former predicts stronger low-level jets and high humidity concentration, more convective rainfall and local heavy rainfall, and have better performance in precipitation forecast. Appropriate parameterization schemes can reasonably describe the physical process related to heavy rainfall in South China in the AFRS, such as low-level convergence, latent heat release, vertical transport of heat and water vapor, thereby depicting the multi-scale interactions of low-level jet and meso-scale convective systems in heavy rainfall suitably, and improving the prediction of heavy rainfall in South China in the AFRS as a result. 展开更多
关键词 numerical weather prediction heavy rainfall in South China in annually first raining season GRAPES model multi-physics parameterization ensemble prediction
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Comparison of WRF Model Physics Parameterizations over the MENA-CORDEX Domain 被引量:3
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作者 George Zittis Panos Hadjinicolaou Jos Lelieveld 《American Journal of Climate Change》 2014年第5期490-511,共22页
We investigated the performance of 12 different physics configurations of the climate version of the Weather, Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model over the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) domain. Possible combinat... We investigated the performance of 12 different physics configurations of the climate version of the Weather, Research and Forecasting (WRF) Model over the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) domain. Possible combinations among two Planetary Boundary Layer (PBL), three Cumulus (CUM) and two Microphysics (MIC) schemes were tested. The 2-year simulations (December 1988-November 1990) have been compared with gridded observational data and station measurements for several variables, including total precipitation and maximum and minimum 2-meter air temperature. An objective ranking method of the 12 different simulations and the selection procedure of the best performing configuration for the MENA domain are based on several statistical metrics and carried out for relevant sub-domains and individual stations. The setup for cloud microphysics is found to have the strongest impact on temperature biases while precipitation is most sensitive to the cumulus parameterization scheme and mainly in the tropics. 展开更多
关键词 WRF Physics parameterizations Regional Climate Modeling Sensitivity MENA CORDEX
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Inter-comparisons of thermodynamic sea-ice modeling results using various parameterizations of radiative flux 被引量:3
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作者 ZHANG Zhanhai CHENG Bin +2 位作者 LAUNIAINEN Jouko WU Huiding LIU Yu 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2006年第1期21-31,共11页
Radiative fluxes are of primary importance in the energy and mass balance of the sea-ice cover. Various parameterizations of the radiative fluxes are studied in a thermodynamic sea-ice model. Model outputs of the surf... Radiative fluxes are of primary importance in the energy and mass balance of the sea-ice cover. Various parameterizations of the radiative fluxes are studied in a thermodynamic sea-ice model. Model outputs of the surface radiative and heat fluxes and mass balance are compared with observations. The contribution of short-wave radiation is limited to a long part of winter. Therefore, simple schemes are often sufficient. Errors in estimations of the short-wave radiation are due mainly to cloud effects and occasionally to multi-reflection between surface and ice crystals in the air. The long-wave radiation plays an important role in the ice surface heat and mass balance during most part of a winter. The effect of clouds on the accuracy of the simple radiative schemes is critical, which needs further attention. In general, the accuracy of an ice model depends on that of the radiative fluxes. 展开更多
关键词 parameterizations of radiative fluxes energy balance at the surface of ice/snow thermodynamic sea-ice model Baltic Sea Bohai Sea
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Parameterizations of Surface Radiation in the Semiarid Grasslands of Inner Mongolia under Clear-Sky Conditions Using MODIS Data 被引量:1
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作者 PENG Lichun LI Wanbiao 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2014年第5期1197-1208,共12页
A set of improved and efficient radiation parameterization schemes for surface radiation balance components under clear- sky conditions was developed by using general surface measurements and MODIS data. The set of sc... A set of improved and efficient radiation parameterization schemes for surface radiation balance components under clear- sky conditions was developed by using general surface measurements and MODIS data. The set of schemes was then adapted for regions similar to the present study sites under different grazing intensities and varying degrees of drought in the semiarid grasslands of Inner Mongolia. Specifically, we mainly improved two schemes for estimating downward shortwave and longwave radiation at the surface, which could be applied to regions with certain degrees of drought. The validation datasets were from ground-based observations at various grazing sites during the growing season (May to September) of different drought years, 2005 and 2006. Through comparisons of parameterized versus measured radiation values, the increased or modified factors in the original schemes demonstrated improved estimation accuracy, and the rationalities of input parameters and variables were analyzed. The regional instantaneous net radiation estimations had root-mean-square errors of less than 30 W m-2 compared with ground measurements at the sites during the study period. The statistical results showed the improved schemes are suitable for estimating surface net radiation in regional semiarid areas during the growing season. Analyses of the sensitivity of the schemes to corresponding variables were conducted to ascertain the major error sources of the schemes and potential variables for improving the performance of the schemes in agreement with observations. 展开更多
关键词 parameterization schemes surface radiation components net radiation sensitivity analysis
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Observational Diagnosis of Cloud Phase in the Winter Antarctic Atmosphere for Parameterizations in Climate Models 被引量:1
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作者 Yong-Sang CHOI Chang-Hoi HO +1 位作者 Sang-Woo KIM Richard S.LINDZEN 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2010年第6期1233-1245,共13页
The cloud phase composition of cold clouds in the Antarctic atmosphere is explored using data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CAL... The cloud phase composition of cold clouds in the Antarctic atmosphere is explored using data from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) and Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) instruments for the period 2000-2006. We used the averaged fraction of liquid-phase clouds out of the total cloud amount at the cloud tops since the value is comparable in the two measurements. MODIS data for the winter months (June, July, and August) reveal liquid cloud fraction out of the total cloud amount significantly decreases with decreasing cloud-top temperature below 0°C. In addition, the CALIOP vertical profiles show that below the ice clouds, low-lying liquid clouds are distributed over ~20% of the area. With increasing latitude, the liquid cloud fraction decreases as a function of the local temperature. The MODIS-observed relation between the cloud-top liquid fraction and cloud-top temperature is then applied to evaluate the cloud phase parameterization in climate models, in which condensed cloud water is repartitioned between liquid water and ice on the basis of the grid point temperature. It is found that models assuming overly high cut-offs ( -40°C) for the separation of ice clouds from mixed-phase clouds may significantly underestimate the liquid cloud fraction in the winter Antarctic atmosphere. Correction of the bias in the liquid cloud fraction would serve to reduce the large uncertainty in cloud radiative effects. 展开更多
关键词 cloud phase mixed-phase clouds polar cloud cloud radiative effect cloud parameterization
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THE IMPACT OF CUMULUS PARAMETERIZATIONS AND MICROPHYSICS SCHEMES UNDER DIFFERENT COMBINATIONS ON TYPHOON TRACK PREDICTION 被引量:1
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作者 河惠卿 王振会 +2 位作者 金正润 牛生杰 徐爱淑 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2011年第2期113-119,共7页
This study examines the effects of cumulus parameterizations and microphysics schemes on the track forecast of typhoon Nabi using the Weather Research Forecast model. The study found that the effects of cumulus parame... This study examines the effects of cumulus parameterizations and microphysics schemes on the track forecast of typhoon Nabi using the Weather Research Forecast model. The study found that the effects of cumulus parameterizations on typhoon track forecast were comparatively strong and the typhoon track forecast of Kain-Fritsch (KF) was superior to that of Betts-Miller (BM). When KF was selected, the simulated results would be improved if microphysics schemes were selected than otherwise. The results from Ferrier, WSM6, and Lin were very close to those in the best track. KF performed well with the simulations of the western extension and eastern contraction changes of a North Pacific high as well as the distribution and strength of the typhoon wind field. 展开更多
关键词 cumulus parameterizations microphysics schemes typhoon track prediction
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Impacts of salinity parameterizations on temperature simulation over and in a hypersaline lake 被引量:2
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作者 文莉娟 NAGABHATLA Nidhi +2 位作者 赵林 李照国 陈世强 《Chinese Journal of Oceanology and Limnology》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2015年第3期790-801,共12页
In this paper,we introduced parameterizations of the salinity effects(on heat capacity,thermal conductivity,freezing point and saturated vapor pressure) in a lake scheme integrated in the Weather Research and Forecast... In this paper,we introduced parameterizations of the salinity effects(on heat capacity,thermal conductivity,freezing point and saturated vapor pressure) in a lake scheme integrated in the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with the Community Land Model(WRF-CLM). This was done to improve temperature simulation over and in a saline lake and to test the contributions of salinity effects on various water properties via sensitivity experiments. The modified lake scheme consists of the lake module in the CLM model,which is the land component of the WRF-CLM model. The Great Salt Lake(GSL) in the USA was selected as the study area. The simulation was performed from September 3,2001 to September 30,2002. Our results show that the modif ied WRF-CLM model that includes the lake scheme considering salinity effects can reasonably simulate temperature over and in the GSL. This model had much greater accuracy than neglecting salinity effects,particularly in a very cold event when that effect alters the freezing point. The salinity effect on saturated vapor pressure can reduce latent heat flux over the lake and make it slightly warmer. The salinity effect on heat capacity can also make lake temperature prone to changes. However,the salinity effect on thermal conductivity was found insignificant in our simulations. 展开更多
关键词 temperature simulation salinity parameterizations WRF-CLM Great Salt Lake
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Sensitivity Analysis of Ensemble Simulations on a Torrential Rainfall Case over South China Using Multiple PBL and SL Parameterizations 被引量:1
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作者 HUANG Ling 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 SCIE 2020年第2期208-222,共15页
A good representation of the interaction between the planetary boundary layer(PBL)and the surface layer(SL)in numerical models is of great importance for the prediction of the initiation and development of convection.... A good representation of the interaction between the planetary boundary layer(PBL)and the surface layer(SL)in numerical models is of great importance for the prediction of the initiation and development of convection.This study examined an ensemble that consists of the available suites of PBL and SL parameterizations based on a torrential rainfall event over south China.The sensitivity of the simulations was investigated against objective measurements using multiple PBL and SL parameterization schemes.The main causes of the bias from different parameterization schemes were further analysed by comparing the good and bad ensemble members.The results showed that good members tended to underestimate the rainfall amount but presented a decent evolution of mesoscale convective systems that were responsible for the torrential rainfall.Using the total energy mass flux(TEMF)scheme,the bad members overestimated the amount and spatial coverage of rainfall.The failure of the bad member was due to a spurious convection initiation(CI)resulting from the overestimated high-θe elevated air.The spurious CI developed and expanded rapidly,causing intensive and extensive rainfall over south China.Consistent with previous studies,the TEMF scheme tends to produce a warmer and moister PBL environment.The detailed sensitivity analysis of this case may provide reference for the operational forecast of rainfall over south China using multiple PBL and SL parameterizations. 展开更多
关键词 PBL SL parameterIZATION torrential rain
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Dark Parameterizations,Equivalent Partner Fields and Integrable Systems 被引量:1
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作者 LOU Sen-Yue 《Communications in Theoretical Physics》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2011年第5期743-746,共4页
After introducing dark parameters into the traditional physical models, some types of new phenomena may be found. An important difficult problem is how to directly observe this kind of physical phenomena. An alternati... After introducing dark parameters into the traditional physical models, some types of new phenomena may be found. An important difficult problem is how to directly observe this kind of physical phenomena. An alternative treatment is to introduce equivalent multiple partner fields. If use this ideal to integrable systems, one may obtain infinitely many new coupled integrable systems constituted by the original usuM field and partner fields. The idea is illustrated via the celebrate KdV equation. From the procedure, some byproducts can be obtained: A new method to find exact solutions of some types of coupled nonlinear physical problems, say, the perturbation KdV systems, is provided; Some new localized modes such as the staggered modes can be found and some new interaction phenomena like the ghost interaction are discovered. 展开更多
关键词 dark X dark parameterization integrable systems exact solution
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Evaluating Parameterizations for Turbulent Fluxes over the Landfast Sea-Ice Surface in Prydz Bay, Antarctica 被引量:1
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作者 Fangyuan CHENG Qinghua YANG +3 位作者 Changwei LIU Bo HAN Shijie PENG Guanghua HAO 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第10期1816-1832,共17页
It is crucial to appropriately determine turbulent fluxes in numerical models.Using data collected in East Antarctica from 8 April to 26 November 2016,this study evaluates parameterization schemes for turbulent fluxes... It is crucial to appropriately determine turbulent fluxes in numerical models.Using data collected in East Antarctica from 8 April to 26 November 2016,this study evaluates parameterization schemes for turbulent fluxes over the landfast seaice surface in five numerical models.The Community Noah Land Surface Model with Multi-Parameterizations Options(Noah_mp)best replicates the turbulent momentum flux,while the Beijing Climate System Model(BCC_CSM)produces the optimum sensible and latent heat fluxes.In particular,two critical issues of parameterization schemes,stability functions and roughness lengths,are investigated.Sensitivity tests indicate that roughness lengths play a decisive role in model performance.Based on the observed turbulent fluxes,roughness lengths over the landfast sea-ice surface are calculated.The results,which can provide a basis for setting up model parameters,reveal that the dynamic roughness length(z0m)increases with the increase of frictional velocity(u*)when u*≤0.4 m s^(−1) and fluctuates around 10^(−3 )m when u*>0.4 m s^(−1);thermal roughness length(z0t)is linearly related to the temperature gradient between air and sea-ice surface(ΔT)with a relation of lg(z0t)=−0.29ΔT−3.86;and the mean water vapor roughness length(z0q)in the specific humidity gradient(Δq)range ofΔq≤−0.6 g kg^(−1) is 10^(−6) m,3.5 times smaller than that in the range ofΔq˃−0.6 g kg^(−1). 展开更多
关键词 turbulent fluxes ANTARCTICA landfast sea-ice surface parameterIZATION EVALUATING numerical models
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Validation for a tropical belt version of WRF: sensitivity tests on radiation and cumulus convection parameterizations 被引量:1
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作者 SUN Bi-Yun BI Xun-Qiang 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 CSCD 2019年第3期192-200,共9页
Version 3.9 of WRF-ARW is run with a tropical belt configuration for a period from 2012 to 2016 in this study. The domain covers the entire tropics between 45°S and 45°N with a spatial resolution of about 45... Version 3.9 of WRF-ARW is run with a tropical belt configuration for a period from 2012 to 2016 in this study. The domain covers the entire tropics between 45°S and 45°N with a spatial resolution of about 45 km. In order to verify two radiation schemes and four cumulus convection schemes, eight experiments are performed with different combinations of physics parameterization schemes. The results show that eight experiments present reasonable spatial patterns of surface air temperature and precipitation in boreal summer, with the spatial correlation coefficient (COR) between simulated and observed temperature exceeding 0.95, and that between simulated and observed precipitation ranges from 0.65 to 0.82. The four experiments with the RRTMG radiation scheme show a better performance than the other four experiments with the CAM radiation scheme. In the four experiments with the RRTMG radiation scheme, the COR between simulated and observed surface air temperature is about 0.98, and that between simulated and observed precipitation ranges from 0.76 to 0.82. Comparatively, the two experiments using the new Tiedtke cumulus parameterization scheme can simulate better diurnal variation of precipitation in boreal summer than the other six experiments. In particular, for the diurnal cycle of precipitation over land and ocean, the experiment using the RRTMG radiation scheme and the new Tiedtke cumulus convection scheme shows that the peaks of precipitation rate appear at 0400 LST and 1600 LST, in agreement with observation. 展开更多
关键词 WRF model cumulus convection parameterization radiation scheme diurnal cycle of precipitation
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