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Online Learning for Subseasonal Forecasting over South China
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作者 ZHANG Jia-wei LU Chu-han +3 位作者 CHEN Si-rong LIU Mei-chen ZHANG Yu-min SHEN Yi-chen 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 2026年第1期86-95,共10页
Since the initiation of the subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction project by the World Meteorological Organization,the accuracy of model forecasts has improved notably.However,substantial discrepancies have been observed... Since the initiation of the subseasonal-to-seasonal prediction project by the World Meteorological Organization,the accuracy of model forecasts has improved notably.However,substantial discrepancies have been observed among forecast results produced by different ensemble members when applied to South China.To enhance the accuracy of sub-seasonal forecasts in this region,it is essential to develop new methods that can effectively leverage multiple predictive models.This study introduces a weighted ensemble forecasting method based on online learning to improve forecast accuracy.We utilized ensemble forecasts from three models:the Integrated Forecasting System model from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts,the Climate Forecast System Version 2 model from the National Centers for Environmental Prediction,and the Beijing Climate Center-Climate Prediction System version 3 model from the China Meteorological Administration.The ensemble weights are trained using an online learning approach.The results indicate that the forecasts obtained through online learning outperform those of the original dynamical models.Compared to the simple ensemble results of the three models,the weighted ensemble model showed a stronger capability to capture temperature and precipitation patterns in South China.Therefore,this method has the potential to improve the accuracy of sub-seasonal forecasts in this region. 展开更多
关键词 online learning subseasonal forecasting weighted ensemble forecast
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Shape-Aware Seq2Seq Model for Accurate Multistep Wind Speed Forecasting
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作者 PANG Junheng DONG Sheng 《Journal of Ocean University of China》 2026年第1期55-73,共19页
Wind speed is a crucial parameter affecting wind energy utilization.However,its volatility leads to time-varying power output.Herein,a novel Seq2Seq model integrating deep learning,data denoising,and a shape-aware los... Wind speed is a crucial parameter affecting wind energy utilization.However,its volatility leads to time-varying power output.Herein,a novel Seq2Seq model integrating deep learning,data denoising,and a shape-aware loss function is proposed for accurate multistep wind speed forecasting.In this model,the wind speed data is first denoised using the maximal overlap discrete wavelet transform.Next,an encoder-decoder network based on a temporal convolutional network,bidirectional gated recurrent unit,and multihead self-attention is employed for forecasting.Additionally,to enhance the ability of the model to identify temporal dynamics,a shape-aware loss function,ITILDE-Q,is employed in the model.To verify the effectiveness of the proposed model,a comparative experiment and an ablation experiment were conducted using three datasets of measured wind speeds.Three error metrics and a similarity metric were adopted for comprehensive evaluation.The experimental results showed that the proposed model consistently outperforms benchmark models in all tested forecasting scenarios,with particularly pronounced differences in performance over longer forecast horizons.Furthermore,the synergistic interaction of the three key components contributes to the extraordinary performance of the proposed model. 展开更多
关键词 wind speed forecasting multistep forecasting deep learning time series Seq2Seq
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A Multi-Objective Adaptive Car-Following Framework for Autonomous Connected Vehicles with Deep Reinforcement Learning
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作者 Abu Tayab Yanwen Li +5 位作者 Ahmad Syed Ghanshyam G.Tejani Doaa Sami Khafaga El-Sayed M.El-kenawy Amel Ali Alhussan Marwa M.Eid 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第2期1311-1337,共27页
Autonomous connected vehicles(ACV)involve advanced control strategies to effectively balance safety,efficiency,energy consumption,and passenger comfort.This research introduces a deep reinforcement learning(DRL)-based... Autonomous connected vehicles(ACV)involve advanced control strategies to effectively balance safety,efficiency,energy consumption,and passenger comfort.This research introduces a deep reinforcement learning(DRL)-based car-following(CF)framework employing the Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient(DDPG)algorithm,which integrates a multi-objective reward function that balances the four goals while maintaining safe policy learning.Utilizing real-world driving data from the highD dataset,the proposed model learns adaptive speed control policies suitable for dynamic traffic scenarios.The performance of the DRL-based model is evaluated against a traditional model predictive control-adaptive cruise control(MPC-ACC)controller.Results show that theDRLmodel significantly enhances safety,achieving zero collisions and a higher average time-to-collision(TTC)of 8.45 s,compared to 5.67 s for MPC and 6.12 s for human drivers.For efficiency,the model demonstrates 89.2% headway compliance and maintains speed tracking errors below 1.2 m/s in 90% of cases.In terms of energy optimization,the proposed approach reduces fuel consumption by 5.4% relative to MPC.Additionally,it enhances passenger comfort by lowering jerk values by 65%,achieving 0.12 m/s3 vs.0.34 m/s3 for human drivers.A multi-objective reward function is integrated to ensure stable policy convergence while simultaneously balancing the four key performance metrics.Moreover,the findings underscore the potential of DRL in advancing autonomous vehicle control,offering a robust and sustainable solution for safer,more efficient,and more comfortable transportation systems. 展开更多
关键词 Car-following model DDPG multi-objective framework autonomous connected vehicles
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Forecasting solar cycles using the time-series dense encoder deep learning model
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作者 Cui Zhao Shangbin Yang +1 位作者 Jianguo Liu Shiyuan Liu 《Astronomical Techniques and Instruments》 2026年第1期43-54,共12页
The solar cycle(SC),a phenomenon caused by the quasi-periodic regular activities in the Sun,occurs approximately every 11 years.Intense solar activity can disrupt the Earth’s ionosphere,affecting communication and na... The solar cycle(SC),a phenomenon caused by the quasi-periodic regular activities in the Sun,occurs approximately every 11 years.Intense solar activity can disrupt the Earth’s ionosphere,affecting communication and navigation systems.Consequently,accurately predicting the intensity of the SC holds great significance,but predicting the SC involves a long-term time series,and many existing time series forecasting methods have fallen short in terms of accuracy and efficiency.The Time-series Dense Encoder model is a deep learning solution tailored for long time series prediction.Based on a multi-layer perceptron structure,it outperforms the best previously existing models in accuracy,while being efficiently trainable on general datasets.We propose a method based on this model for SC forecasting.Using a trained model,we predict the test set from SC 19 to SC 25 with an average mean absolute percentage error of 32.02,root mean square error of 30.3,mean absolute error of 23.32,and R^(2)(coefficient of determination)of 0.76,outperforming other deep learning models in terms of accuracy and training efficiency on sunspot number datasets.Subsequently,we use it to predict the peaks of SC 25 and SC 26.For SC 25,the peak time has ended,but a stronger peak is predicted for SC 26,of 199.3,within a range of 170.8-221.9,projected to occur during April 2034. 展开更多
关键词 Solar cycle forecasting TIDE Deep learning
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MDMOSA:Multi-Objective-Oriented Dwarf Mongoose Optimization for Cloud Task Scheduling
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作者 Olanrewaju Lawrence Abraham Md Asri Ngadi +1 位作者 Johan Bin Mohamad Sharif Mohd Kufaisal Mohd Sidik 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第3期2062-2096,共35页
Task scheduling in cloud computing is a multi-objective optimization problem,often involving conflicting objectives such as minimizing execution time,reducing operational cost,and maximizing resource utilization.Howev... Task scheduling in cloud computing is a multi-objective optimization problem,often involving conflicting objectives such as minimizing execution time,reducing operational cost,and maximizing resource utilization.However,traditional approaches frequently rely on single-objective optimization methods which are insufficient for capturing the complexity of such problems.To address this limitation,we introduce MDMOSA(Multi-objective Dwarf Mongoose Optimization with Simulated Annealing),a hybrid that integrates multi-objective optimization for efficient task scheduling in Infrastructure-as-a-Service(IaaS)cloud environments.MDMOSA harmonizes the exploration capabilities of the biologically inspired Dwarf Mongoose Optimization(DMO)with the exploitation strengths of Simulated Annealing(SA),achieving a balanced search process.The algorithm aims to optimize task allocation by reducing makespan and financial cost while improving system resource utilization.We evaluate MDMOSA through extensive simulations using the real-world Google Cloud Jobs(GoCJ)dataset within the CloudSim environment.Comparative analysis against benchmarked algorithms such as SMOACO,MOTSGWO,and MFPAGWO reveals that MDMOSA consistently achieves superior performance in terms of scheduling efficiency,cost-effectiveness,and scalability.These results confirm the potential of MDMOSA as a robust and adaptable solution for resource scheduling in dynamic and heterogeneous cloud computing infrastructures. 展开更多
关键词 Cloud computing multi-objective task scheduling dwarf mongoose optimization METAHEURISTIC
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Multi-objective topology optimization for cutout design in deployable composite thin-walled structures
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作者 Hao JIN Ning AN +3 位作者 Qilong JIA Chun SHAO Xiaofei MA Jinxiong ZHOU 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 2026年第1期674-694,共21页
Deployable Composite Thin-Walled Structures(DCTWS)are widely used in space applications due to their ability to compactly fold and self-deploy in orbit,enabled by cutouts.Cutout design is crucial for balancing structu... Deployable Composite Thin-Walled Structures(DCTWS)are widely used in space applications due to their ability to compactly fold and self-deploy in orbit,enabled by cutouts.Cutout design is crucial for balancing structural rigidity and flexibility,ensuring material integrity during large deformations,and providing adequate load-bearing capacity and stability once deployed.Most research has focused on optimizing cutout size and shape,while topology optimization offers a broader design space.However,the anisotropic properties of woven composite laminates,complex failure criteria,and multi-performance optimization needs have limited the exploration of topology optimization in this field.This work derives the sensitivities of bending stiffness,critical buckling load,and the failure index of woven composite materials with respect to element density,and formulates both single-objective and multi-objective topology optimization models using a linear weighted aggregation approach.The developed method was integrated with the commercial finite element software ABAQUS via a Python script,allowing efficient application to cutout design in various DCTWS configurations to maximize bending stiffness and critical buckling load under material failure constraints.Optimization of a classical tubular hinge resulted in improvements of 107.7%in bending stiffness and 420.5%in critical buckling load compared to level-set topology optimization results reported in the literature,validating the effectiveness of the approach.To facilitate future research and encourage the broader adoption of topology optimization techniques in DCTWS design,the source code for this work is made publicly available via a Git Hub link:https://github.com/jinhao-ok1/Topo-for-DCTWS.git. 展开更多
关键词 Composite laminates Deployable structures multi-objective optimization Thin-walled structures Topology optimization
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Constraint Intensity-Driven Evolutionary Multitasking for Constrained Multi-Objective Optimization
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作者 Leyu Zheng Mingming Xiao +2 位作者 Yi Ren Ke Li Chang Sun 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第3期1241-1261,共21页
In a wide range of engineering applications,complex constrained multi-objective optimization problems(CMOPs)present significant challenges,as the complexity of constraints often hampers algorithmic convergence and red... In a wide range of engineering applications,complex constrained multi-objective optimization problems(CMOPs)present significant challenges,as the complexity of constraints often hampers algorithmic convergence and reduces population diversity.To address these challenges,we propose a novel algorithm named Constraint IntensityDriven Evolutionary Multitasking(CIDEMT),which employs a two-stage,tri-task framework to dynamically integrates problem structure and knowledge transfer.In the first stage,three cooperative tasks are designed to explore the Constrained Pareto Front(CPF),the Unconstrained Pareto Front(UPF),and theε-relaxed constraint boundary,respectively.A CPF-UPF relationship classifier is employed to construct a problem-type-aware evolutionary strategy pool.At the end of the first stage,each task selects strategies from this strategy pool based on the specific type of problem,thereby guiding the subsequent evolutionary process.In the second stage,while each task continues to evolve,aτ-driven knowledge transfer mechanism is introduced to selectively incorporate effective solutions across tasks.enhancing the convergence and feasibility of the main task.Extensive experiments conducted on 32 benchmark problems from three test suites(LIRCMOP,DASCMOP,and DOC)demonstrate that CIDEMT achieves the best Inverted Generational Distance(IGD)values on 24 problems and the best Hypervolume values(HV)on 22 problems.Furthermore,CIDEMT significantly outperforms six state-of-the-art constrained multi-objective evolutionary algorithms(CMOEAs).These results confirm CIDEMT’s superiority in promoting convergence,diversity,and robustness in solving complex CMOPs. 展开更多
关键词 Constrained multi-objective optimization evolutionary algorithm evolutionary multitasking knowledge transfer
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Day-Ahead Electricity Price Forecasting Using the XGBoost Algorithm: An Application to the Turkish Electricity Market
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作者 Yagmur Yılan Ahad Beykent 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第1期1649-1664,共16页
Accurate short-term electricity price forecasts are essential for market participants to optimize bidding strategies,hedge risk and plan generation schedules.By leveraging advanced data analytics and machine learning ... Accurate short-term electricity price forecasts are essential for market participants to optimize bidding strategies,hedge risk and plan generation schedules.By leveraging advanced data analytics and machine learning methods,accurate and reliable price forecasts can be achieved.This study forecasts day-ahead prices in Türkiye’s electricity market using eXtreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost).We benchmark XGBoost against four alternatives—Support Vector Machines(SVM),Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM),Random Forest(RF),and Gradient Boosting(GBM)—using 8760 hourly observations from 2023 provided by Energy Exchange Istanbul(EXIST).All models were trained on an identical chronological 80/20 train–test split,with hyperparameters tuned via 5-fold cross-validation on the training set.XGBoost achieved the best performance(Mean Absolute Error(MAE)=144.8 TRY/MWh,Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)=201.8 TRY/MWh,coefficient of determination(R^(2))=0.923)while training in 94 s.To enhance interpretability and identify key drivers,we employed Shapley Additive Explanations(SHAP),which highlighted a strong association between higher prices and increased natural-gas-based generation.The results provide a clear performance benchmark and practical guidance for selecting forecasting approaches in day-ahead electricity markets. 展开更多
关键词 Day-ahead electricity price forecasting machine learning XGBoost SHAP
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Multi-Objective Evolutionary Framework for High-Precision Community Detection in Complex Networks
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作者 Asal Jameel Khudhair Amenah Dahim Abbood 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第1期1453-1483,共31页
Community detection is one of the most fundamental applications in understanding the structure of complicated networks.Furthermore,it is an important approach to identifying closely linked clusters of nodes that may r... Community detection is one of the most fundamental applications in understanding the structure of complicated networks.Furthermore,it is an important approach to identifying closely linked clusters of nodes that may represent underlying patterns and relationships.Networking structures are highly sensitive in social networks,requiring advanced techniques to accurately identify the structure of these communities.Most conventional algorithms for detecting communities perform inadequately with complicated networks.In addition,they miss out on accurately identifying clusters.Since single-objective optimization cannot always generate accurate and comprehensive results,as multi-objective optimization can.Therefore,we utilized two objective functions that enable strong connections between communities and weak connections between them.In this study,we utilized the intra function,which has proven effective in state-of-the-art research studies.We proposed a new inter-function that has demonstrated its effectiveness by making the objective of detecting external connections between communities is to make them more distinct and sparse.Furthermore,we proposed a Multi-Objective community strength enhancement algorithm(MOCSE).The proposed algorithm is based on the framework of the Multi-Objective Evolutionary Algorithm with Decomposition(MOEA/D),integrated with a new heuristic mutation strategy,community strength enhancement(CSE).The results demonstrate that the model is effective in accurately identifying community structures while also being computationally efficient.The performance measures used to evaluate the MOEA/D algorithm in our work are normalized mutual information(NMI)and modularity(Q).It was tested using five state-of-the-art algorithms on social networks,comprising real datasets(Zachary,Dolphin,Football,Krebs,SFI,Jazz,and Netscience),as well as twenty synthetic datasets.These results provide the robustness and practical value of the proposed algorithm in multi-objective community identification. 展开更多
关键词 multi-objective optimization evolutionary algorithms community detection HEURISTIC METAHEURISTIC hybrid social network MODELS
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Empirical analysis of electric vehicle charging load forecasting based on Monte Carlo simulation model
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作者 Kun Wei Guang Tian +3 位作者 Yang Yang Xufeng Zhang Yuanying Chi Yi Zheng 《Global Energy Interconnection》 2026年第1期131-142,共12页
With the rapid proliferation of electric vehicles,their charging loads pose new challenges to power grid stability and operational efficiency.To address this,this study employs a Monte Carlo simulation model to analyz... With the rapid proliferation of electric vehicles,their charging loads pose new challenges to power grid stability and operational efficiency.To address this,this study employs a Monte Carlo simulation model to analyze the charging load characteristics of six battery electric vehicle categories in Hebei Province,leveraging multi-source probabilistic distribution data under typical operational scenarios.The findings reveal that electric vehicle charging loads are primarily concentrated during midday and nighttime periods,with significant load fluctuations exerting substantial pressure on the grid.In response,this paper proposes strategic interventions including optimized charging infrastructure planning,time-of-use electricity pricing mechanisms,and smart charging technologies to balance grid loads.The results provide a theoretical foundation for electric vehicle load forecasting,smart grid dispatching,and vehicle-grid integration,thereby enhancing grid operational efficiency and sustainability. 展开更多
关键词 Electric vehicles Monte CarloLoad forecasting Simulation analysis
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A Multi-Objective Deep Reinforcement Learning Algorithm for Computation Offloading in Internet of Vehicles
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作者 Junjun Ren Guoqiang Chen +1 位作者 Zheng-Yi Chai Dong Yuan 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2026年第1期2111-2136,共26页
Vehicle Edge Computing(VEC)and Cloud Computing(CC)significantly enhance the processing efficiency of delay-sensitive and computation-intensive applications by offloading compute-intensive tasks from resource-constrain... Vehicle Edge Computing(VEC)and Cloud Computing(CC)significantly enhance the processing efficiency of delay-sensitive and computation-intensive applications by offloading compute-intensive tasks from resource-constrained onboard devices to nearby Roadside Unit(RSU),thereby achieving lower delay and energy consumption.However,due to the limited storage capacity and energy budget of RSUs,it is challenging to meet the demands of the highly dynamic Internet of Vehicles(IoV)environment.Therefore,determining reasonable service caching and computation offloading strategies is crucial.To address this,this paper proposes a joint service caching scheme for cloud-edge collaborative IoV computation offloading.By modeling the dynamic optimization problem using Markov Decision Processes(MDP),the scheme jointly optimizes task delay,energy consumption,load balancing,and privacy entropy to achieve better quality of service.Additionally,a dynamic adaptive multi-objective deep reinforcement learning algorithm is proposed.Each Double Deep Q-Network(DDQN)agent obtains rewards for different objectives based on distinct reward functions and dynamically updates the objective weights by learning the value changes between objectives using Radial Basis Function Networks(RBFN),thereby efficiently approximating the Pareto-optimal decisions for multiple objectives.Extensive experiments demonstrate that the proposed algorithm can better coordinate the three-tier computing resources of cloud,edge,and vehicles.Compared to existing algorithms,the proposed method reduces task delay and energy consumption by 10.64%and 5.1%,respectively. 展开更多
关键词 Deep reinforcement learning internet of vehicles multi-objective optimization cloud-edge computing computation offloading service caching
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Multi-objective trajectory optimization for spaceborne antennas with nonlinear coupling using hp-adaptive pseudospectral discretization
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作者 Feng GAO Guanghui SUN 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 2026年第2期517-530,共14页
Spaceborne antennas are essential for remote sensing,deep-space communication,and Earth observation,yet their trajectory planning is complicated by nonlinear base-manipulator coupling and antenna flexibility.To addres... Spaceborne antennas are essential for remote sensing,deep-space communication,and Earth observation,yet their trajectory planning is complicated by nonlinear base-manipulator coupling and antenna flexibility.To address these challenges,this paper proposes a multi-objective trajectory optimization framework.The system dynamics capture both nonlinear rigid-flexible coupling and antenna deformation through a reduced-order formulation.To enhance discretization efficiency,a predictive-terminal hp-adaptive pseudospectral method is employed,assigning collocation density based on task-phase characteristics:finer resolution is applied to dynamic segments requiring higher accuracy,especially near the terminal phase.This enables efficient transcription of the continuous-time problem into a Nonlinear Programming Problem(NLP).The resulting NLP is then solved using a multi-objective optimization strategy based on the nondominated sorting genetic algorithm II,which explores trade-offs among antenna pointing accuracy,energy consumption,and structural vibration.Numerical results demonstrate that the proposed method achieves a reduction of approximately 14.0% in control energy and 41.8%in peak actuation compared to a GPOPS-II baseline,while significantly enhancing vibration suppression.The resulting Pareto front reveals structured trade-offs and clustered solutions,offering robust and diverse options for precision,low-disturbance mission planning. 展开更多
关键词 hp-adaptive pseudospectral method multi-objective trajectory optimization Nonlinear dynamics Rigid-flexible coupling Spaceborne antenna Structural vibration suppression
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A novel deep learning-based framework for forecasting
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作者 Congqi Cao Ze Sun +2 位作者 Lanshu Hu Liujie Pan Yanning Zhang 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2026年第1期22-26,共5页
Deep learning-based methods have become alternatives to traditional numerical weather prediction systems,offering faster computation and the ability to utilize large historical datasets.However,the application of deep... Deep learning-based methods have become alternatives to traditional numerical weather prediction systems,offering faster computation and the ability to utilize large historical datasets.However,the application of deep learning to medium-range regional weather forecasting with limited data remains a significant challenge.In this work,three key solutions are proposed:(1)motivated by the need to improve model performance in data-scarce regional forecasting scenarios,the authors innovatively apply semantic segmentation models,to better capture spatiotemporal features and improve prediction accuracy;(2)recognizing the challenge of overfitting and the inability of traditional noise-based data augmentation methods to effectively enhance model robustness,a novel learnable Gaussian noise mechanism is introduced that allows the model to adaptively optimize perturbations for different locations,ensuring more effective learning;and(3)to address the issue of error accumulation in autoregressive prediction,as well as the challenge of learning difficulty and the lack of intermediate data utilization in one-shot prediction,the authors propose a cascade prediction approach that effectively resolves these problems while significantly improving model forecasting performance.The method achieves a competitive result in The East China Regional AI Medium Range Weather Forecasting Competition.Ablation experiments further validate the effectiveness of each component,highlighting their contributions to enhancing prediction performance. 展开更多
关键词 Weather forecasting Deep learning Semantic segmentation models Learnable Gaussian noise Cascade prediction
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Multi-objective spatial optimization by considering land use suitability in the Yangtze River Delta region
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作者 CHENG Qianwen LI Manchun +4 位作者 LI Feixue LIN Yukun DING Chenyin XIAO Lishan LI Weiyue 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 2026年第1期45-78,共34页
Rapid urbanization in China has led to spatial antagonism between urban development and farmland protection and ecological security maintenance.Multi-objective spatial collaborative optimization is a powerful method f... Rapid urbanization in China has led to spatial antagonism between urban development and farmland protection and ecological security maintenance.Multi-objective spatial collaborative optimization is a powerful method for achieving sustainable regional development.Previous studies on multi-objective spatial optimization do not involve spatial corrections to simulation results based on the natural endowment of space resources.This study proposes an Ecological Security-Food Security-Urban Sustainable Development(ES-FS-USD)spatial optimization framework.This framework combines the non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm II(NSGA-II)and patch-generating land use simulation(PLUS)model with an ecological protection importance evaluation,comprehensive agricultural productivity evaluation,and urban sustainable development potential assessment and optimizes the territorial space in the Yangtze River Delta(YRD)region in 2035.The proposed sustainable development(SD)scenario can effectively reduce the destruction of landscape patterns of various land-use types while considering both ecological and economic benefits.The simulation results were further revised by evaluating the land-use suitability of the YRD region.According to the revised spatial pattern for the YRD in 2035,the farmland area accounts for 43.59%of the total YRD,which is 5.35%less than that in 2010.Forest,grassland,and water area account for 40.46%of the total YRD—an increase of 1.42%compared with the case in 2010.Construction land accounts for 14.72%of the total YRD—an increase of 2.77%compared with the case in 2010.The ES-FS-USD spatial optimization framework ensures that spatial optimization outcomes are aligned with the natural endowments of land resources,thereby promoting the sustainable use of land resources,improving the ability of spatial management,and providing valuable insights for decision makers. 展开更多
关键词 multi-objective spatial optimization multi-scenario simulation ecological protection importance comprehensive agricultural productivity urban sustainable development land-use suitability
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TransCarbonNet:Multi-Day Grid Carbon Intensity Forecasting Using Hybrid Self-Attention and Bi-LSTM Temporal Fusion for Sustainable Energy Management
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作者 Amel Ksibi Hatoon Albadah +1 位作者 Ghadah Aldehim Manel Ayadi 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 2026年第1期812-847,共36页
Sustainable energy systems will entail a change in the carbon intensity projections,which should be carried out in a proper manner to facilitate the smooth running of the grid and reduce greenhouse emissions.The prese... Sustainable energy systems will entail a change in the carbon intensity projections,which should be carried out in a proper manner to facilitate the smooth running of the grid and reduce greenhouse emissions.The present article outlines the TransCarbonNet,a novel hybrid deep learning framework with self-attention characteristics added to the bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory(Bi-LSTM)network to forecast the carbon intensity of the grid several days.The proposed temporal fusion model not only learns the local temporal interactions but also the long-term patterns of the carbon emission data;hence,it is able to give suitable forecasts over a period of seven days.TransCarbonNet takes advantage of a multi-head self-attention element to identify significant temporal connections,which means the Bi-LSTM element calculates sequential dependencies in both directions.Massive tests on two actual data sets indicate much improved results in comparison with the existing results,with mean relative errors of 15.3 percent and 12.7 percent,respectively.The framework has given explicable weights of attention that reveal critical periods that influence carbon intensity alterations,and informed decisions on the management of carbon sustainability.The effectiveness of the proposed solution has been validated in numerous cases of operations,and TransCarbonNet is established to be an effective tool when it comes to carbon-friendly optimization of the grid. 展开更多
关键词 Carbon intensity forecasting self-attention mechanism bidirectional LSTM temporal fusion sustainable energy management smart grid optimization deep learning
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Learning from Scarcity:A Review of Deep Learning Strategies for Cold-Start Energy Time-Series Forecasting
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作者 Jihoon Moon 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 2026年第1期26-76,共51页
Predicting the behavior of renewable energy systems requires models capable of generating accurate forecasts from limited historical data,a challenge that becomes especially pronounced when commissioning new facil-iti... Predicting the behavior of renewable energy systems requires models capable of generating accurate forecasts from limited historical data,a challenge that becomes especially pronounced when commissioning new facil-ities where operational records are scarce.This review aims to synthesize recent progress in data-efficient deep learning approaches for addressing such“cold-start”forecasting problems.It primarily covers three interrelated domains—solar photovoltaic(PV),wind power,and electrical load forecasting—where data scarcity and operational variability are most critical,while also including representative studies on hydropower and carbon emission prediction to provide a broader systems perspective.To this end,we examined trends from over 150 predominantly peer-reviewed studies published between 2019 and mid-2025,highlighting advances in zero-shot and few-shot meta-learning frameworks that enable rapid model adaptation with minimal labeled data.Moreover,transfer learning approaches combined with spatiotemporal graph neural networks have been employed to transfer knowledge from existing energy assets to new,data-sparse environments,effectively capturing hidden dependencies among geographic features,meteorological dynamics,and grid structures.Synthetic data generation has further proven valuable for expanding training samples and mitigating overfitting in cold-start scenarios.In addition,large language models and explainable artificial intelligence(XAI)—notably conversational XAI systems—have been used to interpret and communicate complex model behaviors in accessible terms,fostering operator trust from the earliest deployment stages.By consolidating methodological advances,unresolved challenges,and open-source resources,this review provides a coherent overview of deep learning strategies that can shorten the data-sparse ramp-up period of new energy infrastructures and accelerate the transition toward resilient,low-carbon electricity grids. 展开更多
关键词 Cold-start forecasting zero-shot learning few-shot meta-learning transfer learning spatiotemporal graph neural networks energy time series large language models explainable artificial intelligence(XAI)
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A Multi-Objective Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm Based on Decomposition and Multi-Selection Strategy
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作者 Li Ma Cai Dai +1 位作者 Xingsi Xue Cheng Peng 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2025年第1期997-1026,共30页
The multi-objective particle swarm optimization algorithm(MOPSO)is widely used to solve multi-objective optimization problems.In the article,amulti-objective particle swarm optimization algorithmbased on decomposition... The multi-objective particle swarm optimization algorithm(MOPSO)is widely used to solve multi-objective optimization problems.In the article,amulti-objective particle swarm optimization algorithmbased on decomposition and multi-selection strategy is proposed to improve the search efficiency.First,two update strategies based on decomposition are used to update the evolving population and external archive,respectively.Second,a multiselection strategy is designed.The first strategy is for the subspace without a non-dominated solution.Among the neighbor particles,the particle with the smallest penalty-based boundary intersection value is selected as the global optimal solution and the particle far away fromthe search particle and the global optimal solution is selected as the personal optimal solution to enhance global search.The second strategy is for the subspace with a non-dominated solution.In the neighbor particles,two particles are randomly selected,one as the global optimal solution and the other as the personal optimal solution,to enhance local search.The third strategy is for Pareto optimal front(PF)discontinuity,which is identified by the cumulative number of iterations of the subspace without non-dominated solutions.In the subsequent iteration,a new probability distribution is used to select from the remaining subspaces to search.Third,an adaptive inertia weight update strategy based on the dominated degree is designed to further improve the search efficiency.Finally,the proposed algorithmis compared with fivemulti-objective particle swarm optimization algorithms and five multi-objective evolutionary algorithms on 22 test problems.The results show that the proposed algorithm has better performance. 展开更多
关键词 multi-objective optimization multi-objective particle swarm optimization DECOMPOSITION multi-selection strategy
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CCHP-Type Micro-Grid Scheduling Optimization Based on Improved Multi-Objective Grey Wolf Optimizer 被引量:1
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作者 Yu Zhang Sheng Wang +1 位作者 Fanming Zeng Yijie Lin 《Energy Engineering》 2025年第3期1137-1151,共15页
With the development of renewable energy technologies such as photovoltaics and wind power,it has become a research hotspot to improve the consumption rate of new energy and reduce energy costs through algorithm impro... With the development of renewable energy technologies such as photovoltaics and wind power,it has become a research hotspot to improve the consumption rate of new energy and reduce energy costs through algorithm improvement.To reduce the operational costs of micro-grid systems and the energy abandonment rate of renewable energy,while simultaneously enhancing user satisfaction on the demand side,this paper introduces an improvedmultiobjective Grey Wolf Optimizer based on Cauchy variation.The proposed approach incorporates a Cauchy variation strategy during the optimizer’s search phase to expand its exploration range and minimize the likelihood of becoming trapped in local optima.At the same time,adoptingmultiple energy storage methods to improve the consumption rate of renewable energy.Subsequently,under different energy balance orders,themulti-objective particle swarmalgorithm,multi-objective grey wolf optimizer,and Cauchy’s variant of the improvedmulti-objective grey wolf optimizer are used for example simulation,solving the Pareto solution set of the model and comparing.The analysis of the results reveals that,compared to the original optimizer,the improved optimizer decreases the daily cost by approximately 100 yuan,and reduces the energy abandonment rate to zero.Meanwhile,it enhances user satisfaction and ensures the stable operation of the micro-grid. 展开更多
关键词 multi-objective optimization algorithm hybrid energy storage MICRO-GRID CCHP
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Multi-Objective Hybrid Sailfish Optimization Algorithm for Planetary Gearbox and Mechanical Engineering Design Optimization Problems 被引量:1
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作者 Miloš Sedak Maja Rosic Božidar Rosic 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 2025年第2期2111-2145,共35页
This paper introduces a hybrid multi-objective optimization algorithm,designated HMODESFO,which amalgamates the exploratory prowess of Differential Evolution(DE)with the rapid convergence attributes of the Sailfish Op... This paper introduces a hybrid multi-objective optimization algorithm,designated HMODESFO,which amalgamates the exploratory prowess of Differential Evolution(DE)with the rapid convergence attributes of the Sailfish Optimization(SFO)algorithm.The primary objective is to address multi-objective optimization challenges within mechanical engineering,with a specific emphasis on planetary gearbox optimization.The algorithm is equipped with the ability to dynamically select the optimal mutation operator,contingent upon an adaptive normalized population spacing parameter.The efficacy of HMODESFO has been substantiated through rigorous validation against estab-lished industry benchmarks,including a suite of Zitzler-Deb-Thiele(ZDT)and Zeb-Thiele-Laumanns-Zitzler(DTLZ)problems,where it exhibited superior performance.The outcomes underscore the algorithm’s markedly enhanced optimization capabilities relative to existing methods,particularly in tackling highly intricate multi-objective planetary gearbox optimization problems.Additionally,the performance of HMODESFO is evaluated against selected well-known mechanical engineering test problems,further accentuating its adeptness in resolving complex optimization challenges within this domain. 展开更多
关键词 multi-objective optimization planetary gearbox gear efficiency sailfish optimization differential evolution hybrid algorithms
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A Survey of Deep Learning for Time Series Forecasting:Theories,Datasets,and State-of-the-Art Techniques 被引量:1
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作者 Gaoyong Lu Yang Ou +5 位作者 Zhihong Wang Yingnan Qu Yingsheng Xia Dibin Tang Igor Kotenko Wei Li 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2025年第11期2403-2441,共39页
Deep learning(DL)has revolutionized time series forecasting(TSF),surpassing traditional statistical methods(e.g.,ARIMA)and machine learning techniques in modeling complex nonlinear dynamics and long-term dependencies ... Deep learning(DL)has revolutionized time series forecasting(TSF),surpassing traditional statistical methods(e.g.,ARIMA)and machine learning techniques in modeling complex nonlinear dynamics and long-term dependencies prevalent in real-world temporal data.This comprehensive survey reviews state-of-the-art DL architectures forTSF,focusing on four core paradigms:(1)ConvolutionalNeuralNetworks(CNNs),adept at extracting localized temporal features;(2)Recurrent Neural Networks(RNNs)and their advanced variants(LSTM,GRU),designed for sequential dependency modeling;(3)Graph Neural Networks(GNNs),specialized for forecasting structured relational data with spatial-temporal dependencies;and(4)Transformer-based models,leveraging self-attention mechanisms to capture global temporal patterns efficiently.We provide a rigorous analysis of the theoretical underpinnings,recent algorithmic advancements(e.g.,TCNs,attention mechanisms,hybrid architectures),and practical applications of each framework,supported by extensive benchmark datasets(e.g.,ETT,traffic flow,financial indicators)and standardized evaluation metrics(MAE,MSE,RMSE).Critical challenges,including handling irregular sampling intervals,integrating domain knowledge for robustness,and managing computational complexity,are thoroughly discussed.Emerging research directions highlighted include diffusion models for uncertainty quantification,hybrid pipelines combining classical statistical and DL techniques for enhanced interpretability,quantile regression with Transformers for riskaware forecasting,and optimizations for real-time deployment.This work serves as an essential reference,consolidating methodological innovations,empirical resources,and future trends to bridge the gap between theoretical research and practical implementation needs for researchers and practitioners in the field. 展开更多
关键词 Time series forecasting deep learning TRANSFORMER neural network
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