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PM_(2.5) concentration prediction system combining fuzzy information granulation and multi-model ensemble learning
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作者 Yamei Chen Jianzhou Wang +1 位作者 Runze Li Jialu Gao 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 2025年第10期332-345,共14页
With the rapid development of economy,air pollution caused by industrial expansion has caused serious harm to human health and social development.Therefore,establishing an effective air pollution concentration predict... With the rapid development of economy,air pollution caused by industrial expansion has caused serious harm to human health and social development.Therefore,establishing an effective air pollution concentration prediction system is of great scientific and practical significance for accurate and reliable predictions.This paper proposes a combination of pointinterval prediction system for pollutant concentration prediction by leveraging neural network,meta-heuristic optimization algorithm,and fuzzy theory.Fuzzy information granulation technology is used in data preprocessing to transform numerical sequences into fuzzy particles for comprehensive feature extraction.The golden Jackal optimization algorithm is employed in the optimization stage to fine-tune model hyperparameters.In the prediction stage,an ensemble learning method combines training results frommultiplemodels to obtain final point predictions while also utilizing quantile regression and kernel density estimation methods for interval predictions on the test set.Experimental results demonstrate that the combined model achieves a high goodness of fit coefficient of determination(R^(2))at 99.3% and a maximum difference between prediction accuracy mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)and benchmark model at 12.6%.This suggests that the integrated learning system proposed in this paper can provide more accurate deterministic predictions as well as reliable uncertainty analysis compared to traditionalmodels,offering practical reference for air quality early warning. 展开更多
关键词 Air pollution prediction Fuzzy information granulation Meta-heuristic optimization algorithm Ensemble learning model Point interval prediction
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Construction and evaluation of a predictive model for the degree of coronary artery occlusion based on adaptive weighted multi-modal fusion of traditional Chinese and western medicine data 被引量:1
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作者 Jiyu ZHANG Jiatuo XU +1 位作者 Liping TU Hongyuan FU 《Digital Chinese Medicine》 2025年第2期163-173,共11页
Objective To develop a non-invasive predictive model for coronary artery stenosis severity based on adaptive multi-modal integration of traditional Chinese and western medicine data.Methods Clinical indicators,echocar... Objective To develop a non-invasive predictive model for coronary artery stenosis severity based on adaptive multi-modal integration of traditional Chinese and western medicine data.Methods Clinical indicators,echocardiographic data,traditional Chinese medicine(TCM)tongue manifestations,and facial features were collected from patients who underwent coro-nary computed tomography angiography(CTA)in the Cardiac Care Unit(CCU)of Shanghai Tenth People's Hospital between May 1,2023 and May 1,2024.An adaptive weighted multi-modal data fusion(AWMDF)model based on deep learning was constructed to predict the severity of coronary artery stenosis.The model was evaluated using metrics including accura-cy,precision,recall,F1 score,and the area under the receiver operating characteristic(ROC)curve(AUC).Further performance assessment was conducted through comparisons with six ensemble machine learning methods,data ablation,model component ablation,and various decision-level fusion strategies.Results A total of 158 patients were included in the study.The AWMDF model achieved ex-cellent predictive performance(AUC=0.973,accuracy=0.937,precision=0.937,recall=0.929,and F1 score=0.933).Compared with model ablation,data ablation experiments,and various traditional machine learning models,the AWMDF model demonstrated superior per-formance.Moreover,the adaptive weighting strategy outperformed alternative approaches,including simple weighting,averaging,voting,and fixed-weight schemes.Conclusion The AWMDF model demonstrates potential clinical value in the non-invasive prediction of coronary artery disease and could serve as a tool for clinical decision support. 展开更多
关键词 Coronary artery disease Deep learning multi-modAL Clinical prediction Traditional Chinese medicine diagnosis
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Personal Style Guided Outfit Recommendation with Multi-Modal Fashion Compatibility Modeling
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作者 WANG Kexin ZHANG Jie +3 位作者 ZHANG Peng SUN Kexin ZHAN Jiamei WEI Meng 《Journal of Donghua University(English Edition)》 2025年第2期156-167,共12页
A personalized outfit recommendation has emerged as a hot research topic in the fashion domain.However,existing recommendations do not fully exploit user style preferences.Typically,users prefer particular styles such... A personalized outfit recommendation has emerged as a hot research topic in the fashion domain.However,existing recommendations do not fully exploit user style preferences.Typically,users prefer particular styles such as casual and athletic styles,and consider attributes like color and texture when selecting outfits.To achieve personalized outfit recommendations in line with user style preferences,this paper proposes a personal style guided outfit recommendation with multi-modal fashion compatibility modeling,termed as PSGNet.Firstly,a style classifier is designed to categorize fashion images of various clothing types and attributes into distinct style categories.Secondly,a personal style prediction module extracts user style preferences by analyzing historical data.Then,to address the limitations of single-modal representations and enhance fashion compatibility,both fashion images and text data are leveraged to extract multi-modal features.Finally,PSGNet integrates these components through Bayesian personalized ranking(BPR)to unify the personal style and fashion compatibility,where the former is used as personal style features and guides the output of the personalized outfit recommendation tailored to the target user.Extensive experiments on large-scale datasets demonstrate that the proposed model is efficient on the personalized outfit recommendation. 展开更多
关键词 personalized outfit recommendation fashion compatibility modeling style preference multi-modal representation Bayesian personalized ranking(BPR) style classifier
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Multi-mode luminescence anti-counterfeiting and visual iron(Ⅲ)ions RTP detection constructed by assembly of CDs&Eu3+in porous RHO zeolite
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作者 Siyu Zong Xiaowei Yu +2 位作者 Yining Yang Xin Yang Jiyang Li 《Chinese Chemical Letters》 2025年第6期567-572,共6页
Carbon dots(CDs)-based composites have shown impressive performance in fields of information encryption and sensing,however,a great challenge is to simultaneously implement multi-mode luminescence and room-temperature... Carbon dots(CDs)-based composites have shown impressive performance in fields of information encryption and sensing,however,a great challenge is to simultaneously implement multi-mode luminescence and room-temperature phosphorescence(RTP)detection in single system due to the formidable synthesis.Herein,a multifunctional composite of Eu&CDs@p RHO has been designed by co-assembly strategy and prepared via a facile calcination and impregnation treatment.Eu&CDs@p RHO exhibits intense fluorescence(FL)and RTP coming from two individual luminous centers,Eu3+in the free pores and CDs in the interrupted structure of RHO zeolite.Unique four-mode color outputs including pink(Eu^(3+),ex.254 nm),light violet(CDs,ex.365 nm),blue(CDs,254 nm off),and green(CDs,365 nm off)could be realized,on the basis of it,a preliminary application of advanced information encoding has been demonstrated.Given the free pores of matrix and stable RTP in water of confined CDs,a visual RTP detection of Fe^(3+)ions is achieved with the detection limit as low as 9.8μmol/L.This work has opened up a new perspective for the strategic amalgamation of luminous vips with porous zeolite to construct the advanced functional materials. 展开更多
关键词 Carbon dots ZEOLITE Host-vip assembly multi-mode luminescence Phosphorescence detection Information encryption
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Strength through unity:Alkaline phosphatase-responsive AIEgen nanoprobe for aggregation-enhanced multi-mode imaging and photothermal therapy of metastatic prostate cancer
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作者 Ze Wang Hao Liang +7 位作者 Annan Liu Xingchen Li Lin Guan Lei Li Liang He Andrew K.Whittaker Bai Yang Quan Lin 《Chinese Chemical Letters》 2025年第2期261-268,共8页
Prostate cancer(PCa)is characterized by high incidence and propensity for easy metastasis,presenting significant challenges in clinical diagnosis and treatment.Tumor microenvironment(TME)-responsive nanomaterials prov... Prostate cancer(PCa)is characterized by high incidence and propensity for easy metastasis,presenting significant challenges in clinical diagnosis and treatment.Tumor microenvironment(TME)-responsive nanomaterials provide a promising prospect for imaging-guided precision therapy.Considering that tumor-derived alkaline phosphatase(ALP)is over-expressed in metastatic PCa,it makes a great chance to develop a theranostics system with ALP responsive in the TME.Herein,an ALP-responsive aggregationinduced emission luminogens(AIEgens)nanoprobe AMNF self-assembly was designed for enhancing the diagnosis and treatment of metastatic PCa.The nanoprobe exhibited self-aggregation in the presence of ALP resulted in aggregation-induced fluorescence,and enhanced accumulation and prolonged retention period at the tumor site.In terms of detection,the fluorescence(FL)/computed tomography(CT)/magnetic resonance(MR)multi-mode imaging effect of nanoprobe was significantly improved post-aggregation,enabling precise diagnosis through the amalgamation of multiple imaging modes.Enhanced CT/MR imaging can achieve assist preoperative tumor diagnosis,and enhanced FL imaging technology can achieve“intraoperative visual navigation”,showing its potential application value in clinical tumor detection and surgical guidance.In terms of treatment,AMNF showed strong absorption in the near infrared region after aggregation,which improved the photothermal treatment effect.Overall,our work developed an effective aggregation-enhanced theranostic strategy for ALP-related cancers. 展开更多
关键词 AIE Prostate cancer ALP responsive Enhanced multi-mode imaging Enhanced photothermal therapy
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The Synergy of Seeing and Saying: Revolutionary Advances in Multi-modality Medical Vision-Language Large Models
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作者 Xiang LI Yu SUN +3 位作者 Jia LIN Like LI Ting FENG Shen YIN 《Artificial Intelligence Science and Engineering》 2025年第2期79-97,共19页
The application of visual-language large models in the field of medical health has gradually become a research focus.The models combine the capability for image understanding and natural language processing,and can si... The application of visual-language large models in the field of medical health has gradually become a research focus.The models combine the capability for image understanding and natural language processing,and can simultaneously process multi-modality data such as medical images and medical reports.These models can not only recognize images,but also understand the semantic relationship between images and texts,effectively realize the integration of medical information,and provide strong support for clinical decision-making and disease diagnosis.The visual-language large model has good performance for specific medical tasks,and also shows strong potential and high intelligence in the general task models.This paper provides a comprehensive review of the visual-language large model in the field of medical health.Specifically,this paper first introduces the basic theoretical basis and technical principles.Then,this paper introduces the specific application scenarios in the field of medical health,including modality fusion,semi-supervised learning,weakly supervised learning,unsupervised learning,cross-domain model and general models.Finally,the challenges including insufficient data,interpretability,and practical deployment are discussed.According to the existing challenges,four potential future development directions are given. 展开更多
关键词 large language models vision-language models medical health multimodality models
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Learning-Based Delay Sensitive and Reliable Traffic Adaptation for DC-PLC and 5G Integrated Multi-Mode Heterogeneous Networks
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作者 Tian Gexing Wang Ruiqiuyu +6 位作者 Pan Chao Zhou Zhenyu Yang Junzhong Zhao Chenkai Chen Bei Yang Sen Shahid Mumtaz 《China Communications》 2025年第4期65-80,共16页
Low-carbon smart parks achieve selfbalanced carbon emission and absorption through the cooperative scheduling of direct current(DC)-based distributed photovoltaic,energy storage units,and loads.Direct current power li... Low-carbon smart parks achieve selfbalanced carbon emission and absorption through the cooperative scheduling of direct current(DC)-based distributed photovoltaic,energy storage units,and loads.Direct current power line communication(DC-PLC)enables real-time data transmission on DC power lines.With traffic adaptation,DC-PLC can be integrated with other complementary media such as 5G to reduce transmission delay and improve reliability.However,traffic adaptation for DC-PLC and 5G integration still faces the challenges such as coupling between traffic admission control and traffic partition,dimensionality curse,and the ignorance of extreme event occurrence.To address these challenges,we propose a deep reinforcement learning(DRL)-based delay sensitive and reliable traffic adaptation algorithm(DSRTA)to minimize the total queuing delay under the constraints of traffic admission control,queuing delay,and extreme events occurrence probability.DSRTA jointly optimizes traffic admission control and traffic partition,and enables learning-based intelligent traffic adaptation.The long-term constraints are incorporated into both state and bound of drift-pluspenalty to achieve delay awareness and enforce reliability guarantee.Simulation results show that DSRTA has lower queuing delay and more reliable quality of service(QoS)guarantee than other state-of-the-art algorithms. 展开更多
关键词 DC-PLC and 5G integration multi-mode heterogeneous networks traffic adaptation traffic admission control traffic partition
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Fake News Detection Based on Text-Modal Dominance and Fusing Multiple Multi-Model Clues
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作者 Li fang Fu Huanxin Peng +1 位作者 Changjin Ma Yuhan Liu 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2024年第3期4399-4416,共18页
In recent years,how to efficiently and accurately identify multi-model fake news has become more challenging.First,multi-model data provides more evidence but not all are equally important.Secondly,social structure in... In recent years,how to efficiently and accurately identify multi-model fake news has become more challenging.First,multi-model data provides more evidence but not all are equally important.Secondly,social structure information has proven to be effective in fake news detection and how to combine it while reducing the noise information is critical.Unfortunately,existing approaches fail to handle these problems.This paper proposes a multi-model fake news detection framework based on Tex-modal Dominance and fusing Multiple Multi-model Cues(TD-MMC),which utilizes three valuable multi-model clues:text-model importance,text-image complementary,and text-image inconsistency.TD-MMC is dominated by textural content and assisted by image information while using social network information to enhance text representation.To reduce the irrelevant social structure’s information interference,we use a unidirectional cross-modal attention mechanism to selectively learn the social structure’s features.A cross-modal attention mechanism is adopted to obtain text-image cross-modal features while retaining textual features to reduce the loss of important information.In addition,TD-MMC employs a new multi-model loss to improve the model’s generalization ability.Extensive experiments have been conducted on two public real-world English and Chinese datasets,and the results show that our proposed model outperforms the state-of-the-art methods on classification evaluation metrics. 展开更多
关键词 Fake news detection cross-modal attention mechanism multi-modal fusion social network transfer learning
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Multi-Model Approach for Assessing the Influence of Calibration Criteria on the Water Balance in Ouémé Basin
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作者 Aymar Yaovi Bossa Mahutin Aristide Oluwatobi Kpossou +1 位作者 Jean Hounkpè Félicien Djigbo Badou 《Journal of Water Resource and Protection》 CAS 2024年第3期207-218,共12页
Hydrological models are very useful tools for evaluating water resources, and the hydroclimatic hazards associated with the water cycle. However, their calibration and validation require the use of performance criteri... Hydrological models are very useful tools for evaluating water resources, and the hydroclimatic hazards associated with the water cycle. However, their calibration and validation require the use of performance criteria which choice is not straightforward. This paper aims to evaluate the influence of the performance criteria on water balance components and water extremes using two global rainfall-runoff models (HBV and GR4J) over the Ouémé watershed at the Bonou and Savè outlets. Three (3) Efficacy criteria (Nash, coefficient of determination, and KGE) were considered for calibration and validation. The results show that the Nash criterion provides a good assessment of the simulation of the different parts of the hydrograph. KGE is better for simulating peak flows and water balance elements than other efficiency criteria. This study could serve as a basis for the choice of performance criteria in hydrological modelling. 展开更多
关键词 Hydrological modelling Performance Criteria Water Balance Ouémé Basin
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基于Hybrid Model的浙江省太阳总辐射估算及其时空分布特征
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作者 顾婷婷 潘娅英 张加易 《气象科学》 2025年第2期176-181,共6页
利用浙江省两个辐射站的观测资料,对地表太阳辐射模型Hybrid Model在浙江省的适用性进行评估分析。在此基础上,利用Hybrid Model重建浙江省71个站点1971—2020年的地表太阳辐射日数据集,并分析其时空变化特征。结果表明:Hybrid Model模... 利用浙江省两个辐射站的观测资料,对地表太阳辐射模型Hybrid Model在浙江省的适用性进行评估分析。在此基础上,利用Hybrid Model重建浙江省71个站点1971—2020年的地表太阳辐射日数据集,并分析其时空变化特征。结果表明:Hybrid Model模拟效果良好,和A-P模型计算结果进行对比,杭州站的平均误差、均方根误差、平均绝对百分比误差分别为2.01 MJ·m^(-2)、2.69 MJ·m^(-2)和18.02%,而洪家站的平均误差、均方根误差、平均绝对百分比误差分别为1.41 MJ·m^(-2)、1.85 MJ·m^(-2)和11.56%,误差均低于A-P模型,且Hybrid Model在各月模拟的误差波动较小。浙江省近50 a平均地表总辐射在3733~5060 MJ·m^(-2),高值区主要位于浙北平原及滨海岛屿地区。1971—2020年浙江省太阳总辐射呈明显减少的趋势,气候倾向率为-72 MJ·m^(-2)·(10 a)^(-1),并在1980s初和2000年中期发生了突变减少。 展开更多
关键词 Hybrid model 太阳总辐射 误差分析 时空分布
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Optimization Control of Multi-Mode Coupling All-Wheel Drive System for Hybrid Vehicle 被引量:1
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作者 Lipeng Zhang Zijian Wang +1 位作者 Liandong Wang Changan Ren 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第2期340-355,共16页
The all-wheel drive(AWD)hybrid system is a research focus on high-performance new energy vehicles that can meet the demands of dynamic performance and passing ability.Simultaneous optimization of the power and economy... The all-wheel drive(AWD)hybrid system is a research focus on high-performance new energy vehicles that can meet the demands of dynamic performance and passing ability.Simultaneous optimization of the power and economy of hybrid vehicles becomes an issue.A unique multi-mode coupling(MMC)AWD hybrid system is presented to realize the distributed and centralized driving of the front and rear axles to achieve vectored distribution and full utilization of the system power between the axles of vehicles.Based on the parameters of the benchmarking model of a hybrid vehicle,the best model-predictive control-based energy management strategy is proposed.First,the drive system model was built after the analysis of the MMC-AWD’s drive modes.Next,three fundamental strategies were established to address power distribution adjustment and battery SOC maintenance when the SOC changed,which was followed by the design of a road driving force observer.Then,the energy consumption rate in the average time domain was processed before designing the minimum fuel consumption controller based on the equivalent fuel consumption coefficient.Finally,the advantage of the MMC-AWD was confirmed by comparison with the dynamic performance and economy of the BYD Song PLUS DMI-AWD.The findings indicate that,in comparison to the comparative hybrid system at road adhesion coefficients of 0.8 and 0.6,the MMC-AWD’s capacity to accelerate increases by 5.26%and 7.92%,respectively.When the road adhesion coefficient is 0.8,0.6,and 0.4,the maximum climbing ability increases by 14.22%,12.88%,and 4.55%,respectively.As a result,the dynamic performance is greatly enhanced,and the fuel savings rate per 100 km of mileage reaches 12.06%,which is also very economical.The proposed control strategies for the new hybrid AWD vehicle can optimize the power and economy simultaneously. 展开更多
关键词 Hybrid vehicle All-wheel drive multi-mode coupling Energy management model predictive control
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基于24Model的动火作业事故致因文本挖掘 被引量:1
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作者 牛茂辉 李威君 +1 位作者 刘音 王璐 《中国安全科学学报》 北大核心 2025年第3期151-158,共8页
为探究工业动火作业事故的根源,提出一种基于“2-4”模型(24Model)的文本挖掘方法。首先,收集整理220篇动火作业事故报告,并作为数据集,构建基于来自变换器的双向编码器表征量(BERT)的24Model分类器,使用预训练模型训练和评估事故报告... 为探究工业动火作业事故的根源,提出一种基于“2-4”模型(24Model)的文本挖掘方法。首先,收集整理220篇动火作业事故报告,并作为数据集,构建基于来自变换器的双向编码器表征量(BERT)的24Model分类器,使用预训练模型训练和评估事故报告数据集,构建分类模型;然后,通过基于BERT的关键字提取算法(KeyBERT)和词频-逆文档频率(TF-IDF)算法的组合权重,结合24Model框架,建立动火作业事故文本关键词指标体系;最后,通过文本挖掘关键词之间的网络共现关系,分析得到事故致因之间的相互关联。结果显示,基于BERT的24Model分类器模型能够系统准确地判定动火作业事故致因类别,通过组合权重筛选得到4个层级关键词指标体系,其中安全管理体系的权重最大,结合共现网络分析得到动火作业事故的7项关键致因。 展开更多
关键词 “2-4”模型(24model) 动火作业 事故致因 文本挖掘 指标体系
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Multi-model Projection of July–August Climate Extreme Changes over China under CO_2 Doubling. Part I: Precipitation 被引量:21
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作者 李红梅 冯蕾 周天军 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2011年第2期433-447,共15页
Potential changes in precipitation extremes in July–August over China in response to CO 2 doubling are analyzed based on the output of 24 coupled climate models from the Twentieth-Century Climate in Coupled Models (... Potential changes in precipitation extremes in July–August over China in response to CO 2 doubling are analyzed based on the output of 24 coupled climate models from the Twentieth-Century Climate in Coupled Models (20C3M) experiment and the 1% per year CO 2 increase experiment (to doubling) (1pctto2x) of phase 3 of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP3). Evaluation of the models’ performance in simulating the mean state shows that the majority of models fairly reproduce the broad spatial pattern of observed precipitation. However, all the models underestimate extreme precipitation by ~50%. The spread among the models over the Tibetan Plateau is ~2–3 times larger than that over the other areas. Models with higher resolution generally perform better than those with lower resolutions in terms of spatial pattern and precipitation amount. Under the 1pctto2x scenario, the ratio between the absolute value of MME extreme precipitation change and model spread is larger than that of total precipitation, indicating a relatively robust change of extremes. The change of extreme precipitation is more homogeneous than the total precipitation. Analysis on the output of Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory coupled climate model version 2.1 (GFDL-CM2.1) indicates that the spatially consistent increase of surface temperature and water vapor content contribute to the large increase of extreme precipitation over contiguous China, which follows the Clausius–Clapeyron relationship. Whereas, the meridionally tri-polar pattern of mean precipitation change over eastern China is dominated by the change of water vapor convergence, which is determined by the response of monsoon circulation to global warming. 展开更多
关键词 extreme precipitation PROJECTION coupled climate model CO2 doubling
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Multi-Model Projection of July–August Climate Extreme Changes over China under CO_2 Doubling. Part II: Temperature 被引量:9
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作者 李红梅 冯蕾 周天军 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2011年第2期448-463,共16页
This is the second part of the authors’ analysis on the output of 24 coupled climate models from the Twentieth-Century Climate in Coupled Models (20C3M) experiment and 1% per year CO 2 increase experiment (to doub... This is the second part of the authors’ analysis on the output of 24 coupled climate models from the Twentieth-Century Climate in Coupled Models (20C3M) experiment and 1% per year CO 2 increase experiment (to doubling) (1pctto2x) of phase 3 of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP3). The study focuses on the potential changes of July–August temperature extremes over China. The pattern correlation coefficients of the simulated temperature with the observations are 0.6–0.9, which are higher than the results for precipitation. However, most models have cold bias compared to observation, with a larger cold bias over western China (5°C) than over eastern China (2°C). The multi-model ensemble (MME) exhibits a significant increase of temperature under the 1pctto2x scenario. The amplitude of the MME warming shows a northwest–southeast decreasing gradient. The warming spread among the models (~1°C– 2°C) is less than MME warming (~2°C–4°C), indicating a relatively robust temperature change under CO 2 doubling. Further analysis of Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory coupled climate model version 2.1 (GFDL-CM2.1) simulations suggests that the warming pattern may be related to heat transport by summer monsoons. The contrast of cloud effects also has contributions. The different vertical structures of warming over northwestern China and southeastern China may be attributed to the different natures of vertical circulations. The deep, moist convection over southeastern China is an effective mechanism for "transporting" the warming upward, leading to more upper-level warming. In northwestern China, the warming is more surface-orientated, possibly due to the shallow, dry convection. 展开更多
关键词 extreme temperature coupled climate model PROJECTION CO2 doubling
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Predictability of the Summer East Asian Upper-Tropospheric Westerly Jet in ENSEMBLES Multi-Model Forecasts 被引量:9
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作者 LI Chaofan LIN Zhongda 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2015年第12期1669-1682,共14页
The interannual variation of the East Asian upper-tropospheric westerly jet (EAJ) significantly affects East Asian climate in summer. Identifying its performance in model prediction may provide us another viewpoint,... The interannual variation of the East Asian upper-tropospheric westerly jet (EAJ) significantly affects East Asian climate in summer. Identifying its performance in model prediction may provide us another viewpoint, from the perspective of uppertropospheric circulation, to understand the predictability of summer climate anomalies in East Asia. This study presents a comprehensive assessment of year-to-year variability of the EAJ based on retrospective seasonal forecasts, initiated from 1 May, in the five state-of-the-art coupled models from ENSEMBLES during 1960-2005. It is found that the coupled models show certain capability in describing the interannual meridional displacement of the EAJ, which reflects the models' performance in the first leading empirical orthogonal function (EOF) mode. This capability is mainly shown over the region south of the EAJ axis. Additionally, the models generally capture well the main features of atmospheric circulation and SST anomalies related to the interannual meridional displacement of the EAJ. Further analysis suggests that the predicted warm SST anomalies in the concurrent summer over the tropical eastern Pacific and northern Indian Ocean are the two main sources of the potential prediction skill of the southward shift of the EAJ. In contrast, the models are powerless in describing the variation over the region north of the EAJ axis, associated with the meridional displacement, and interannual intensity change of the EAJ, the second leading EOF mode, meaning it still remains a challenge to better predict the EAJ and, subsequently, summer climate in East Asia, using current coupled models. 展开更多
关键词 East Asian westerly jet seasonal prediction coupled model meridional displacement
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Bi-direction and flexible multi-mode morphing wing based on antagonistic SMA wire actuators
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作者 Jiannan YANG Yahui ZHANG +6 位作者 Xiaojun GU Jinjian LI Pingchu FANG Xinru YANG Jun WANG Jihong ZHU Weihong ZHANG 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第12期373-387,共15页
This work evaluates the viability of a cutting-edge flexible wing prototype actuated by Shape Memory Alloy(SMA)wire actuators.Such flexible wings have garnered significant interest for their potential to enhance aerod... This work evaluates the viability of a cutting-edge flexible wing prototype actuated by Shape Memory Alloy(SMA)wire actuators.Such flexible wings have garnered significant interest for their potential to enhance aerodynamic efficiency by mitigating noise and delaying flow separation.SMA actuators are particularly advantageous due to their superior power-to-weight ratio and adaptive response,making them increasingly favored in morphing aircraft applications.Our methodology begins with a detailed delineation of the fishbone camber morphing wing rib structure,followed by the construction of a multi-mode morphing wing segment through 3D-printed rib assembly.Comprehensive testing of the SMA wire actuators’actuation capacity and efficiency was conducted to establish their operational parameters.Subsequent experimental analyses focused on the bi-directional and reciprocating morphing performance of the fishbone wing rib,which incorporates SMA wires on the upper and lower sides.These experiments confirmed the segment’s multi-mode morphing abilities.Aerodynamic assessments have demonstrated that our design substantially improves the Lift-to-Drag ratio(L/D)when compared to conventional rigid wings.Finally,two phases of flight tests demonstrated the feasibility of SMA as an aircraft actuator and the validity of flexible wing structures to adjust the aircraft attitude,respectively. 展开更多
关键词 Morphing aircraft Smart materials Flexible structures 3D-printing multi-mode morphing
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Multi-model comparison of CO2 emissions peaking in China:Lessons from CEMF01 study 被引量:6
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作者 Oleg LUGOVOY FENG Xiang-Zhao +4 位作者 GAO Ji LI Ji-Feng LIU Qiang TENG Fei ZOU Le-Le 《Advances in Climate Change Research》 SCIE CSCD 2018年第1期1-15,共15页
The paper summarizes results of the China Energy Modeling Forum's(CEMF)first study.Carbon emissions peaking scenarios,consistent with China's Paris commitment,have been simulated with seven national and indust... The paper summarizes results of the China Energy Modeling Forum's(CEMF)first study.Carbon emissions peaking scenarios,consistent with China's Paris commitment,have been simulated with seven national and industry-level energy models and compared.The CO2 emission trends in the considered scenarios peak from 2015 to 2030 at the level of 9e11 Gt.Sector-level analysis suggests that total emissions pathways before 2030 will be determined mainly by dynamics of emissions in the electric power industry and transportation sector.Both sectors will experience significant increase in demand,but have low-carbon alternative options for development.Based on a side-by-side comparison of modeling input and results,conclusions have been drawn regarding the sources of emissions projections differences,which include data,views on economic perspectives,or models'structure and theoretical framework.Some suggestions have been made regarding energy models'development priorities for further research. 展开更多
关键词 Carbon EMISSIONS projections Climate change CO2 EMISSIONS peak China’s Paris commitment Top-Down ENERGY modelS BOTTOM-UP ENERGY modelS Multi model comparative STUDY China ENERGY modeling Forum(CEMF)
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Multi-dimension and multi-modal rolling mill vibration prediction model based on multi-level network fusion
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作者 CHEN Shu-zong LIU Yun-xiao +3 位作者 WANG Yun-long QIAN Cheng HUA Chang-chun SUN Jie 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2024年第9期3329-3348,共20页
Mill vibration is a common problem in rolling production,which directly affects the thickness accuracy of the strip and may even lead to strip fracture accidents in serious cases.The existing vibration prediction mode... Mill vibration is a common problem in rolling production,which directly affects the thickness accuracy of the strip and may even lead to strip fracture accidents in serious cases.The existing vibration prediction models do not consider the features contained in the data,resulting in limited improvement of model accuracy.To address these challenges,this paper proposes a multi-dimensional multi-modal cold rolling vibration time series prediction model(MDMMVPM)based on the deep fusion of multi-level networks.In the model,the long-term and short-term modal features of multi-dimensional data are considered,and the appropriate prediction algorithms are selected for different data features.Based on the established prediction model,the effects of tension and rolling force on mill vibration are analyzed.Taking the 5th stand of a cold mill in a steel mill as the research object,the innovative model is applied to predict the mill vibration for the first time.The experimental results show that the correlation coefficient(R^(2))of the model proposed in this paper is 92.5%,and the root-mean-square error(RMSE)is 0.0011,which significantly improves the modeling accuracy compared with the existing models.The proposed model is also suitable for the hot rolling process,which provides a new method for the prediction of strip rolling vibration. 展开更多
关键词 rolling mill vibration multi-dimension data multi-modal data convolutional neural network time series prediction
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Steam Pressure Control of 1000 MW Ultra-Supercritical Coal-Fired Power Unit Based on Multi-Model Predictive Control 被引量:2
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作者 WANG Guoliang DING Baocang YAN Weiwu 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 2019年第1期86-93,共8页
Ultra-supercritical(USC) coal-fired unit is more and more popular in these years for its advantages.But the control of USC unit is a difficult issue for its characteristic of nonlinearity, large dead time and coupling... Ultra-supercritical(USC) coal-fired unit is more and more popular in these years for its advantages.But the control of USC unit is a difficult issue for its characteristic of nonlinearity, large dead time and coupling among inputs and outputs. In this paper, model predictive control(MPC) method based on multi-model and double layered optimization is introduced for coordinated control of USC unit running in sliding pressure mode and fixed pressure mode. Three inputs(i.e. valve opening, coal flow and feedwater flow) are employed to control three outputs(i.e. output power, main steam temperature and main steam pressure). The step responses for the dynamic matrix control(DMC) are constructed using the three inputs by the three outputs under both pressure control mode. Piecewise models are built at selected operation points. In simulation, the output power follows load demand quickly and main steam temperature can be controlled around the setpoint closely in load tracking control. The simulation results show the effectiveness of the proposed methods. 展开更多
关键词 ULTRA-SUPERCRITICAL COORDINATED CONTROL multi-modeL model PREDICTIVE CONTROL steam pressure CONTROL
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