Between 2016 and 2024,the Chinese government incorporated several innovative drugs into the National Reimbursement Drug List(NRDL)through price negotiations.These negotiations led to significant price reductions,which...Between 2016 and 2024,the Chinese government incorporated several innovative drugs into the National Reimbursement Drug List(NRDL)through price negotiations.These negotiations led to significant price reductions,which in turn stimulated an increase in sales.This study aimed to assess the impact of this policy on the pricing,utilization,and overall expenditure of targeted lung cancer therapies included in the NRDL.Using an interrupted time series analysis of procurement data from 698 healthcare institutions,the study evaluated both immediate and long-term effects.In terms of immediate effects,price negotiations resulted in a significant decline in the defined daily dose cost(DDDc)for all targeted therapies(P<0.05).Regarding long-term trends,a significant shift was observed only in the pricing trajectory of Gefitinib,Icotinib,and Ensartinib(P<0.05).In terms of immediate effects on drug utilization,all targeted medicines experienced a substantial increase in volume(P<0.05),except for Gefitinib and Icotinib.Over the long term,the usage of all targeted therapies exhibited a significant upward trend(P<0.05).With respect to expenditure,the immediate impact of NRDL inclusion resulted in a significant increase in spending on Afatinib,Crizotinib,Osimertinib,Alectinib,and Ensartinib(P<0.05).Over time,total spending on targeted medicines showed a significant increase(P<0.05),except for Erlotinib.Overall,NRDL price negotiations successfully reduced the economic burden on lung cancer patients,improving both accessibility and affordability of targeted therapies in China.展开更多
Accurate short-term electricity price forecasts are essential for market participants to optimize bidding strategies,hedge risk and plan generation schedules.By leveraging advanced data analytics and machine learning ...Accurate short-term electricity price forecasts are essential for market participants to optimize bidding strategies,hedge risk and plan generation schedules.By leveraging advanced data analytics and machine learning methods,accurate and reliable price forecasts can be achieved.This study forecasts day-ahead prices in Türkiye’s electricity market using eXtreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost).We benchmark XGBoost against four alternatives—Support Vector Machines(SVM),Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM),Random Forest(RF),and Gradient Boosting(GBM)—using 8760 hourly observations from 2023 provided by Energy Exchange Istanbul(EXIST).All models were trained on an identical chronological 80/20 train–test split,with hyperparameters tuned via 5-fold cross-validation on the training set.XGBoost achieved the best performance(Mean Absolute Error(MAE)=144.8 TRY/MWh,Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)=201.8 TRY/MWh,coefficient of determination(R^(2))=0.923)while training in 94 s.To enhance interpretability and identify key drivers,we employed Shapley Additive Explanations(SHAP),which highlighted a strong association between higher prices and increased natural-gas-based generation.The results provide a clear performance benchmark and practical guidance for selecting forecasting approaches in day-ahead electricity markets.展开更多
The accessibility of urban public transit directly influences residents’quality of life,travel behavior,and social equity.Its correlation with housing prices has garnered significant attention across disciplines such...The accessibility of urban public transit directly influences residents’quality of life,travel behavior,and social equity.Its correlation with housing prices has garnered significant attention across disciplines such as geography,economics,and urban planning.Although much existing research focuses on the impact of individual transportation facilities on housing prices,there is a notable gap in comprehensive analyses that assess the influence of overall urban transit accessibility on housing market dynamics.This study selected the main urban area of Hefei,China,as a case to investigate the spatial distribution of housing prices and evaluate public transit accessibility in 2022.Employing techniques such as the optimized parameter geographical detector and local spatial regression models,the study aimed to elucidate the effects and underlying mechanisms of urban transit accessibility on housing prices.The findings revealed that:1)housing prices in Hefei exhibited a clustered spatial pattern,with high prices concentrated in the city center and lower prices in peripheral areas,forming three distinct high-price hotspots with a‘belt-like’distribution;2)public transit accessibility showed a‘coreperiphery’structure,with accessibility declining in a‘circumferential’pattern around the city center.Based on the‘housing price-accessibility’dimension,four categories were identified:high price-high accessibility(37.25%),high price-low accessibility(19.07%),low price-high accessibility(21.95%),and low price-low accessibility(21.73%);3)the impact of transit accessibility on housing prices was spatially heterogeneous,with bus travel showing the strongest explanatory power(0.692),followed by automobile,subway,and bicycle travel.The interaction of these transportation modes generated a synergistic effect on housing price differentiation,with most influencing factors contributing more than 25%.These findings offer valuable insights for optimizing the spatial distribution of public transit infrastructure and improving both urban housing quality and residents’living standards.展开更多
Dominant Finnish assortment pricing gives prices for sawlog and pulp wood volumes. Buyers buck stems to sawlogs using secret price matrices. Agreed dimensions allow wide range of sawlog volumes. Forest owners cannot o...Dominant Finnish assortment pricing gives prices for sawlog and pulp wood volumes. Buyers buck stems to sawlogs using secret price matrices. Agreed dimensions allow wide range of sawlog volumes. Forest owners cannot objectively compare biddings: timber trade is a lottery game. Bucking is analyzed in terms of sawlog, pulp wood, log cylinder, sawn wood, value-weighted sawn wood, and chips. Sawn wood and its value are computed from top diameter of the sawlog. Profit maximization requires buyers to buck logs producing smaller than maximal value, causing dead weight loss. Nominal assortment prices have unpredictable relation to effective stumpage price. Assortment pricing does not meet requirements of market economy. If sawmills linked to pulp mills buck smaller sawlog percentages than independent sawmills, as generally believed, they use higher price for chips in their own harvests than they pay for independent sawmills, indicating imperfect competition for chips. Sawn wood potential pricing is suggested which gives prices for sawn wood and chips coming both from sawlogs and pulp wood in reference bucking which maximizes sawn wood for given minimum and maximum log length and minimum top diameter. Simple algorithm generates feasible bucking schedules from which optimum can be selected using any objective. Pricing produces unit price for all commercial wood utilizing ratio of theoretical sawn wood and commercial volume in stand. Unit price can be compared to stem pricing and could be compared to assortment pricing if assortment pricing would produce predictable sawlog percentages. Sawn wood potential pricing is concrete, transparent, easy to compute, considers stem size and tapering, reduces trading cost and is less risky to buyers than stem pricing. It meets requirements of market economy. Readers can repeat computations using open-source software Jlp22.展开更多
In this paper,a bilevel optimization model of an integrated energy operator(IEO)–load aggregator(LA)is constructed to address the coordinate optimization challenge of multiple stakeholder island integrated energy sys...In this paper,a bilevel optimization model of an integrated energy operator(IEO)–load aggregator(LA)is constructed to address the coordinate optimization challenge of multiple stakeholder island integrated energy system(IIES).The upper level represents the integrated energy operator,and the lower level is the electricity-heatgas load aggregator.Owing to the benefit conflict between the upper and lower levels of the IIES,a dynamic pricing mechanism for coordinating the interests of the upper and lower levels is proposed,combined with factors such as the carbon emissions of the IIES,as well as the lower load interruption power.The price of selling energy can be dynamically adjusted to the lower LA in the mechanism,according to the information on carbon emissions and load interruption power.Mutual benefits and win-win situations are achieved between the upper and lower multistakeholders.Finally,CPLEX is used to iteratively solve the bilevel optimization model.The optimal solution is selected according to the joint optimal discrimination mechanism.Thesimulation results indicate that the sourceload coordinate operation can reduce the upper and lower operation costs.Using the proposed pricingmechanism,the carbon emissions and load interruption power of IEO-LA are reduced by 9.78%and 70.19%,respectively,and the capture power of the carbon capture equipment is improved by 36.24%.The validity of the proposed model and method is verified.展开更多
The basic framework of price policies for promoting renewable power de- velopment in China is introduced. The background, concept and implementation of price policies, focused on wind power, biomass power and solar po...The basic framework of price policies for promoting renewable power de- velopment in China is introduced. The background, concept and implementation of price policies, focused on wind power, biomass power and solar power, are summarized in the article. The experiences and lessons of implementation of these price policies are analyzed. It is concluded that reasonable price policy is quite effective for promoting re- newable power development. According to the requirement of China's renewable power development, the suggestions for improving renewable power pricing mechanism and price incentive policies are proposed.展开更多
Stock price prediction is a typical complex time series prediction problem characterized by dynamics,nonlinearity,and complexity.This paper introduces a generative adversarial network model that incorporates an attent...Stock price prediction is a typical complex time series prediction problem characterized by dynamics,nonlinearity,and complexity.This paper introduces a generative adversarial network model that incorporates an attention mechanism(GAN-LSTM-Attention)to improve the accuracy of stock price prediction.Firstly,the generator of this model combines the Long and Short-Term Memory Network(LSTM),the Attention Mechanism and,the Fully-Connected Layer,focusing on generating the predicted stock price.The discriminator combines the Convolutional Neural Network(CNN)and the Fully-Connected Layer to discriminate between real stock prices and generated stock prices.Secondly,to evaluate the practical application ability and generalization ability of the GAN-LSTM-Attention model,four representative stocks in the United States of America(USA)stock market,namely,Standard&Poor’s 500 Index stock,Apple Incorporatedstock,AdvancedMicroDevices Incorporatedstock,and Google Incorporated stock were selected for prediction experiments,and the prediction performance was comprehensively evaluated by using the three evaluation metrics,namely,mean absolute error(MAE),root mean square error(RMSE),and coefficient of determination(R2).Finally,the specific effects of the attention mechanism,convolutional layer,and fully-connected layer on the prediction performance of the model are systematically analyzed through ablation study.The results of experiment show that the GAN-LSTM-Attention model exhibits excellent performance and robustness in stock price prediction.展开更多
At the beginning of 2025,China’s national carbon market carbon price trend exhibited a continuous unilateral downward trajectory,representing a departure from the overall steady upward trend in carbon prices since th...At the beginning of 2025,China’s national carbon market carbon price trend exhibited a continuous unilateral downward trajectory,representing a departure from the overall steady upward trend in carbon prices since the carbon market launched in 2021.The analysis suggests that the primary reason for the recent decline in carbon prices is the reversal of supply and demand dynamics in the carbon market,with increased quota supply amid a sluggish economy.It is expected that downward pressure on carbon prices will persist in the short term,but with more industries being included and continued policy optimization and improvement,a rise in China’s medium-to long-term carbon prices is highly probable.Recommendations for enterprises involved in carbon asset operations and management:first,refining carbon asset reserves and trading strategies;second,accelerating internal CCER project development;third,exploring carbon financial instrument applications;fourth,establishing and improving internal carbon pricing mechanisms;fifth,proactively planning for new industry inclusion.展开更多
Nodal pricing is a critical mechanism in electricity markets,utilized to determine the cost of power transmission to various nodes within a distribution network.As power systems evolve to incorporate higher levels of ...Nodal pricing is a critical mechanism in electricity markets,utilized to determine the cost of power transmission to various nodes within a distribution network.As power systems evolve to incorporate higher levels of renewable energy and face increasing demand fluctuations,traditional nodal pricing models often fall short to meet these new challenges.This research introduces a novel enhanced nodal pricing mechanism for distribution networks,integrating advanced optimization techniques and hybrid models to overcome these limitations.The primary objective is to develop a model that not only improves pricing accuracy but also enhances operational efficiency and system reliability.This study leverages cutting-edge hybrid algorithms,combining elements of machine learning with conventional optimization methods,to achieve superior performance.Key findings demonstrate that the proposed hybrid nodal pricing model significantly reduces pricing errors and operational costs compared to conventional methods.Through extensive simulations and comparative analysis,the model exhibits enhanced performance under varying load conditions and increased levels of renewable energy integration.The results indicate a substantial improvement in pricing precision and network stability.This study contributes to the ongoing discourse on optimizing electricity market mechanisms and provides actionable insights for policymakers and utility operators.By addressing the complexities of modern power distribution systems,our research offers a robust solution that enhances the efficiency and reliability of power distribution networks,marking a significant advancement in the field.展开更多
In this paper,we propose STPLF,which stands for the short-term forecasting of locational marginal price components,including the forecasting of non-conforming hourly net loads.The volatility of transmission-level hour...In this paper,we propose STPLF,which stands for the short-term forecasting of locational marginal price components,including the forecasting of non-conforming hourly net loads.The volatility of transmission-level hourly locational marginal prices(LMPs)is caused by several factors,including weather data,hourly gas prices,historical hourly loads,and market prices.In addition,variations of non-conforming net loads,which are affected by behind-the-meter distributed energy resources(DERs)and retail customer loads,could have a major impact on the volatility of hourly LMPs,as bulk grid operators have limited visibility of such retail-level resources.We propose a fusion forecasting model for the STPLF,which uses machine learning and deep learning methods to forecast non-conforming loads and respective hourly prices.Additionally,data preprocessing and feature extraction are used to increase the accuracy of the STPLF.The proposed STPLF model also includes a post-processing stage for calculating the probability of hourly LMP spikes.We use a practical set of data to analyze the STPLF results and validate the proposed probabilistic method for calculating the LMP spikes.展开更多
In the increasingly competitive construction market,the engineering quantity list pricing model,as an important way of project cost management,is of crucial significance for construction enterprises to control costs a...In the increasingly competitive construction market,the engineering quantity list pricing model,as an important way of project cost management,is of crucial significance for construction enterprises to control costs and enhance benefits.This study deeply analyzes the characteristics of engineering quantity list pricing,and elaborates on the dilemmas faced by construction enterprises in project cost control,such as lagging concepts,imperfect mechanisms,weak risk management and control,and lack of construction-stage management.Based on this,from the dimensions of strengthening management and control concepts,improving supervision mechanisms,enhancing risk management and control capabilities,and attaching importance to construction-stage cost management,this study proposes project cost management and control strategies that are in line with the actual situation of construction enterprises,aiming to promote construction enterprises to achieve scientific management and optimization of project costs under the engineering quantity list pricing model.展开更多
In essence,the negotiation of license fees on standard essential patent(SEP)belongs to a kind of market be⁃havior,and the pricing right should be given to the market subjects under the requirements of patent law.In re...In essence,the negotiation of license fees on standard essential patent(SEP)belongs to a kind of market be⁃havior,and the pricing right should be given to the market subjects under the requirements of patent law.In recent years,the frequent disputes on SEP license fees witnessed in the industrial and academic worlds,together with the lack of systematic supporting functions like FRAND,make SEP pricing excessively reliant on judicial judgment in practice.Fortunately,a variety of pricing methods have been proposed by theoretical research and practiced in judicial cases,which provide possible solutions for the license fee pricing of SEP from the operational level.In this paper,by focusing on the characteristics of the existing SEP pricing methods in the academic fields and judicial system,the dispute caused by license fees of SEP is clarified firstly,then by combining and interpreting twelve existing pricing methods of license fee of SEP with academic literature and judicial cases,four categories of methods are composed based on the application stages and calculation logic.Thirdly,the application barriers and dilemmas caused by the inherent limita⁃tions of the four categories of methods are analyzed,and the possible ways to put these methods into practice are ex⁃plored.Lastly,suggestions are presented from the aspects of preconditions for application,pricing stages,dispute reso⁃lution mechanisms,and comprehensive applications.The purpose of this paper is to provide enlightenment for getting back on track with the pricing right and further optimization of the pricing mechanism of license fees of SEP.展开更多
Amid the global shift toward climate governance and low-carbon transformation,accurately quantifying environmental risk factors within green bond pricing mechanisms has emerged as a critical issue.Drawing on data from...Amid the global shift toward climate governance and low-carbon transformation,accurately quantifying environmental risk factors within green bond pricing mechanisms has emerged as a critical issue.Drawing on data from China’s green bond market between 2018 and 2023,this study develops a multifactor pricing model that integrates environmental risk premiums.Through regression analysis,it empirically investigates the effects of environmental reputation,transparency of information disclosure,and third-party certification on bond risk premiums.The results indicate that green-labeled bonds carry,on average,a 42.6 basis point lower risk premium compared to non-green bonds,while third-party certification further reduces this premium by an additional 54.1 basis points.Moreover,a one standard deviation improvement in the quality of environmental information disclosure leads to a reduction in bond financing costs by approximately 18 to 25 basis points.Issuers operating in high-energy-consuming industries bear significantly higher environmental risk premiums relative to those in low-energy-consuming sectors.By integrating an ESG scoring framework into bond pricing,this study reveals the transmission channels of environmental risks into market pricing and provides a theoretical foundation for enhancing pricing benchmarks in the green bond market.展开更多
Based on the financial data and stock price information of Bengang Steel Plates Co.Ltd.from 2004 to 2023,this paper uses SPSS 26 software,combined with DuPont Analysis and Wall Score Method,to explore the correlation ...Based on the financial data and stock price information of Bengang Steel Plates Co.Ltd.from 2004 to 2023,this paper uses SPSS 26 software,combined with DuPont Analysis and Wall Score Method,to explore the correlation between stock price and nine key financial indicators selected from three dimensions:profitability,development capability,and operating capability,including fixed asset growth rate,price-to-book ratio(P/B ratio),and gross profit margin.Through correlation analysis,multiple regression analysis,and curve fitting,the study finds that:fixed asset growth rate,P/B ratio,and gross profit margin show a significant positive correlation with stock price;return on equity(ROE),operating income,and accounts receivable turnover days show a significant negative correlation with stock price;earnings per share(EPS)and net profit growth rate do not show a significant correlation with stock price.The research results indicate that the stock price of Bengang Steel Plates Co.Ltd.is greatly affected by its asset scale and market valuation,while some profitability indicators have not been effectively transmitted to the stock price.Finally,countermeasures and suggestions are put forward from the aspects of cost control,technological innovation,market expansion,and financial structure optimization,so as to provide references for corporate operation and investment decisions.展开更多
Global climate change has created substantial difficulties in the areas of sustainability,development,and environmental conservation due to the widespread dependence on fossil fuels for energy production.Nevertheless,...Global climate change has created substantial difficulties in the areas of sustainability,development,and environmental conservation due to the widespread dependence on fossil fuels for energy production.Nevertheless,the promotion of renewable energy programs has the potential to significantly expedite endeavors aimed at tackling climate change.Thus,it is essential to conduct a thorough analysis that considers the financial aspects to fully understand the main hurdles that are preventing the advancement of renewable energy initiatives.Italy is a leading country in the worldwide deployment of renewable energy.The objective of this research is to assess the impact of financial growth,economic progress,and energy expenses on Italy’s adoption of renewable energy sources.By employing the Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag(ARDL)technique,we analyzed annual data spanning from1990 to 2022.Findings revealed that a 1%increase in financial and economic development would boost renewable energy consumption in the long run by 0.29%and 0.48%,respectively.Instead,a 1%increase in energy prices might reduce consumption of renewable energy by 0.05%in the long run.This study’s primary significance lies in furnishing actionable strategies for Italy to augment green finance for renewable energy,fostering sustained social and economic progress.Moreover,the analytical insights gleaned from this research offer valuable insights for energy-importing nations worldwide.展开更多
Fluctuations in real estate prices are closely linked to the macro-economy,exerting a profound influence on social investment and consumption levels.As a key source of funding for the real estate market,bank credit si...Fluctuations in real estate prices are closely linked to the macro-economy,exerting a profound influence on social investment and consumption levels.As a key source of funding for the real estate market,bank credit significantly affects housing price changes in major Chinese cities.This paper explores the transmission mechanisms and pathways of bank credit on real estate prices through theoretical analysis and empirical research.It constructs a panel regression model to empirically analyze the relationship between bank credit scale and housing prices in 35 large and medium-sized Chinese cities from 2012 to 2022,assess the impact of credit on housing price fluctuations,and compare differences between first-tier and second-tier cities.Based on these findings,the paper proposes suggestions for regulating housing prices by controlling credit scale,aiming to deepen the understanding of the relationship between bank credit and housing prices and support the stable development of China’s macro-economy and real estate market.展开更多
As financial markets grow increasingly complex and volatile,timeseriesbased stock price forecasting has become a critical research focus in the field of finance.Traditional forecasting methods face significant limitat...As financial markets grow increasingly complex and volatile,timeseriesbased stock price forecasting has become a critical research focus in the field of finance.Traditional forecasting methods face significant limitations in handling nonlinear and high-dimensional data,while neural networks(NNs)have demonstrated great potential due to their powerful feature extraction and pattern recognition capabilities.Although several existing surveys discuss the applications of NNs in stock forecasting,they often lack a detailed examination of models that use time-series data as input and fail to cover the latest research developments.In response,this paper reviews relevant literature from 2015 to 2025 and classifies timeseriesbased stock forecasting methods into four categories:NNs,recurrent NNs(RNNs),convolutional NNs(CNNs),Transformers and other models.We analyze their performance under different market conditions,highlight strengths and limitations,and identify recent trends in model design.Our findings show that hybrid architectures and attention-based models consistently achieve superior forecasting stability and adaptability across volatile market scenarios.This survey offers a systematic reference for researchers and practitioners and outlines promising future research directions.展开更多
We often hear statements like“the market raises expectations for central bank interest rate cuts,resulting in higher commodity prices”.Given the current situation,the People’s Bank of China might adopt a more accom...We often hear statements like“the market raises expectations for central bank interest rate cuts,resulting in higher commodity prices”.Given the current situation,the People’s Bank of China might adopt a more accommodative monetary policy to mitigate the impact of the China-U.S.trade friction.Will this further easing of the monetary environment lead to an increase in natural gas prices?展开更多
This study selected 45 A-share listed companies that have paid dividends for five consecutive years from 2019 to 2024,with an average dividend yield of at least 3%,as the sample.Using a panel data model,the effect of ...This study selected 45 A-share listed companies that have paid dividends for five consecutive years from 2019 to 2024,with an average dividend yield of at least 3%,as the sample.Using a panel data model,the effect of the cash dividend ratio on stock pricing was analyzed.The empirical results indicated a significant positive relationship between the cash dividend ratio and stock price.Furthermore,stocks with high dividend payouts demonstrated greater resilience during macroeconomic downturns,while notable differences were observed across industries.These findings provide a theoretical foundation for investors in making informed decisions and offer practical guidance for listed companies in formulating effective dividend policies.展开更多
This paper investigates China's coal price volatility spreaders(CPVSs)from the supply side to locate the volatility source since coal price volatility may destabilize many downstream products'prices or even br...This paper investigates China's coal price volatility spreaders(CPVSs)from the supply side to locate the volatility source since coal price volatility may destabilize many downstream products'prices or even bring uncertainties to macroeconomic output.Especially in the carbon neutrality context,China's coal market is being reconstructed and responding to imbalances between supply and demand;identifying the CPVSs helps alleviate rising market instability and prevent energy-induced system risk.To achieve this objective,we explore causalities among 938 weekly coal prices reported by different coal-producing areas of China from 2006.9.4 to 2021.7.12 using the transfer entropy method.Then,coal price volatility influence is quantified to identify the CPVSs by conjointly using complex network theory and a rank aggregation method.The validity test demonstrates that the proposed hybrid method efficiently identifies the CPVSs as it correlates to many price determinants,e.g.,electricity and coal consumption and generation.The empirical results show that causalities among coal prices changed dramatically in 2016,2018,and 2020,affected by coal decapacity and carbon neutrality policies.Before 2018,coal-producing provinces with strong demand for coal and electricity,e.g.,Jiangxi,Chongqing,and Sichuan,were CPVSs;after 2019,those with comparative advantages in coal supply,e.g.,Gansu and Ningxia,were CPVSs.Overall,the coal market is unstable and sensitive to energy policy and external shocks.Policymakers and market participants are recommended to monitor and manage the CPVSs to improve energy security,avoid policy-induced instability and prevent risks caused by coal price fluctuations.展开更多
基金Research on Innovative Method of Drug Rational Use Supervision Decision Based on Big Data of Medical Insurance(Grant No.82273899)。
文摘Between 2016 and 2024,the Chinese government incorporated several innovative drugs into the National Reimbursement Drug List(NRDL)through price negotiations.These negotiations led to significant price reductions,which in turn stimulated an increase in sales.This study aimed to assess the impact of this policy on the pricing,utilization,and overall expenditure of targeted lung cancer therapies included in the NRDL.Using an interrupted time series analysis of procurement data from 698 healthcare institutions,the study evaluated both immediate and long-term effects.In terms of immediate effects,price negotiations resulted in a significant decline in the defined daily dose cost(DDDc)for all targeted therapies(P<0.05).Regarding long-term trends,a significant shift was observed only in the pricing trajectory of Gefitinib,Icotinib,and Ensartinib(P<0.05).In terms of immediate effects on drug utilization,all targeted medicines experienced a substantial increase in volume(P<0.05),except for Gefitinib and Icotinib.Over the long term,the usage of all targeted therapies exhibited a significant upward trend(P<0.05).With respect to expenditure,the immediate impact of NRDL inclusion resulted in a significant increase in spending on Afatinib,Crizotinib,Osimertinib,Alectinib,and Ensartinib(P<0.05).Over time,total spending on targeted medicines showed a significant increase(P<0.05),except for Erlotinib.Overall,NRDL price negotiations successfully reduced the economic burden on lung cancer patients,improving both accessibility and affordability of targeted therapies in China.
文摘Accurate short-term electricity price forecasts are essential for market participants to optimize bidding strategies,hedge risk and plan generation schedules.By leveraging advanced data analytics and machine learning methods,accurate and reliable price forecasts can be achieved.This study forecasts day-ahead prices in Türkiye’s electricity market using eXtreme Gradient Boosting(XGBoost).We benchmark XGBoost against four alternatives—Support Vector Machines(SVM),Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM),Random Forest(RF),and Gradient Boosting(GBM)—using 8760 hourly observations from 2023 provided by Energy Exchange Istanbul(EXIST).All models were trained on an identical chronological 80/20 train–test split,with hyperparameters tuned via 5-fold cross-validation on the training set.XGBoost achieved the best performance(Mean Absolute Error(MAE)=144.8 TRY/MWh,Root Mean Square Error(RMSE)=201.8 TRY/MWh,coefficient of determination(R^(2))=0.923)while training in 94 s.To enhance interpretability and identify key drivers,we employed Shapley Additive Explanations(SHAP),which highlighted a strong association between higher prices and increased natural-gas-based generation.The results provide a clear performance benchmark and practical guidance for selecting forecasting approaches in day-ahead electricity markets.
基金Under the auspices of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.42271224,41901193)Ministry of Edu cation Humanities and Social Sciences Research Planning Fund Project of China(No.24YJAZH190)+1 种基金Anhui Province Excellent Youth Research Project in Universities(No.2022AH030019)Anhui Social Sciences Innovation Development Research Project(No.2024CXQ503)。
文摘The accessibility of urban public transit directly influences residents’quality of life,travel behavior,and social equity.Its correlation with housing prices has garnered significant attention across disciplines such as geography,economics,and urban planning.Although much existing research focuses on the impact of individual transportation facilities on housing prices,there is a notable gap in comprehensive analyses that assess the influence of overall urban transit accessibility on housing market dynamics.This study selected the main urban area of Hefei,China,as a case to investigate the spatial distribution of housing prices and evaluate public transit accessibility in 2022.Employing techniques such as the optimized parameter geographical detector and local spatial regression models,the study aimed to elucidate the effects and underlying mechanisms of urban transit accessibility on housing prices.The findings revealed that:1)housing prices in Hefei exhibited a clustered spatial pattern,with high prices concentrated in the city center and lower prices in peripheral areas,forming three distinct high-price hotspots with a‘belt-like’distribution;2)public transit accessibility showed a‘coreperiphery’structure,with accessibility declining in a‘circumferential’pattern around the city center.Based on the‘housing price-accessibility’dimension,four categories were identified:high price-high accessibility(37.25%),high price-low accessibility(19.07%),low price-high accessibility(21.95%),and low price-low accessibility(21.73%);3)the impact of transit accessibility on housing prices was spatially heterogeneous,with bus travel showing the strongest explanatory power(0.692),followed by automobile,subway,and bicycle travel.The interaction of these transportation modes generated a synergistic effect on housing price differentiation,with most influencing factors contributing more than 25%.These findings offer valuable insights for optimizing the spatial distribution of public transit infrastructure and improving both urban housing quality and residents’living standards.
文摘Dominant Finnish assortment pricing gives prices for sawlog and pulp wood volumes. Buyers buck stems to sawlogs using secret price matrices. Agreed dimensions allow wide range of sawlog volumes. Forest owners cannot objectively compare biddings: timber trade is a lottery game. Bucking is analyzed in terms of sawlog, pulp wood, log cylinder, sawn wood, value-weighted sawn wood, and chips. Sawn wood and its value are computed from top diameter of the sawlog. Profit maximization requires buyers to buck logs producing smaller than maximal value, causing dead weight loss. Nominal assortment prices have unpredictable relation to effective stumpage price. Assortment pricing does not meet requirements of market economy. If sawmills linked to pulp mills buck smaller sawlog percentages than independent sawmills, as generally believed, they use higher price for chips in their own harvests than they pay for independent sawmills, indicating imperfect competition for chips. Sawn wood potential pricing is suggested which gives prices for sawn wood and chips coming both from sawlogs and pulp wood in reference bucking which maximizes sawn wood for given minimum and maximum log length and minimum top diameter. Simple algorithm generates feasible bucking schedules from which optimum can be selected using any objective. Pricing produces unit price for all commercial wood utilizing ratio of theoretical sawn wood and commercial volume in stand. Unit price can be compared to stem pricing and could be compared to assortment pricing if assortment pricing would produce predictable sawlog percentages. Sawn wood potential pricing is concrete, transparent, easy to compute, considers stem size and tapering, reduces trading cost and is less risky to buyers than stem pricing. It meets requirements of market economy. Readers can repeat computations using open-source software Jlp22.
基金supported by the Central Government Guides Local Science and Technology Development Fund Project(2023ZY0020)Key R&D and Achievement Transformation Project in InnerMongolia Autonomous Region(2022YFHH0019)+3 种基金the Fundamental Research Funds for Inner Mongolia University of Science&Technology(2022053)Natural Science Foundation of Inner Mongolia(2022LHQN05002)National Natural Science Foundation of China(52067018)Metallurgical Engineering First-Class Discipline Construction Project in Inner Mongolia University of Science and Technology,Control Science and Engineering Quality Improvement and Cultivation Discipline Project in Inner Mongolia University of Science and Technology。
文摘In this paper,a bilevel optimization model of an integrated energy operator(IEO)–load aggregator(LA)is constructed to address the coordinate optimization challenge of multiple stakeholder island integrated energy system(IIES).The upper level represents the integrated energy operator,and the lower level is the electricity-heatgas load aggregator.Owing to the benefit conflict between the upper and lower levels of the IIES,a dynamic pricing mechanism for coordinating the interests of the upper and lower levels is proposed,combined with factors such as the carbon emissions of the IIES,as well as the lower load interruption power.The price of selling energy can be dynamically adjusted to the lower LA in the mechanism,according to the information on carbon emissions and load interruption power.Mutual benefits and win-win situations are achieved between the upper and lower multistakeholders.Finally,CPLEX is used to iteratively solve the bilevel optimization model.The optimal solution is selected according to the joint optimal discrimination mechanism.Thesimulation results indicate that the sourceload coordinate operation can reduce the upper and lower operation costs.Using the proposed pricingmechanism,the carbon emissions and load interruption power of IEO-LA are reduced by 9.78%and 70.19%,respectively,and the capture power of the carbon capture equipment is improved by 36.24%.The validity of the proposed model and method is verified.
文摘The basic framework of price policies for promoting renewable power de- velopment in China is introduced. The background, concept and implementation of price policies, focused on wind power, biomass power and solar power, are summarized in the article. The experiences and lessons of implementation of these price policies are analyzed. It is concluded that reasonable price policy is quite effective for promoting re- newable power development. According to the requirement of China's renewable power development, the suggestions for improving renewable power pricing mechanism and price incentive policies are proposed.
基金funded by the project supported by the Natural Science Foundation of Heilongjiang Provincial(Grant Number LH2023F033)the Science and Technology Innovation Talent Project of Harbin(Grant Number 2022CXRCCG006).
文摘Stock price prediction is a typical complex time series prediction problem characterized by dynamics,nonlinearity,and complexity.This paper introduces a generative adversarial network model that incorporates an attention mechanism(GAN-LSTM-Attention)to improve the accuracy of stock price prediction.Firstly,the generator of this model combines the Long and Short-Term Memory Network(LSTM),the Attention Mechanism and,the Fully-Connected Layer,focusing on generating the predicted stock price.The discriminator combines the Convolutional Neural Network(CNN)and the Fully-Connected Layer to discriminate between real stock prices and generated stock prices.Secondly,to evaluate the practical application ability and generalization ability of the GAN-LSTM-Attention model,four representative stocks in the United States of America(USA)stock market,namely,Standard&Poor’s 500 Index stock,Apple Incorporatedstock,AdvancedMicroDevices Incorporatedstock,and Google Incorporated stock were selected for prediction experiments,and the prediction performance was comprehensively evaluated by using the three evaluation metrics,namely,mean absolute error(MAE),root mean square error(RMSE),and coefficient of determination(R2).Finally,the specific effects of the attention mechanism,convolutional layer,and fully-connected layer on the prediction performance of the model are systematically analyzed through ablation study.The results of experiment show that the GAN-LSTM-Attention model exhibits excellent performance and robustness in stock price prediction.
文摘At the beginning of 2025,China’s national carbon market carbon price trend exhibited a continuous unilateral downward trajectory,representing a departure from the overall steady upward trend in carbon prices since the carbon market launched in 2021.The analysis suggests that the primary reason for the recent decline in carbon prices is the reversal of supply and demand dynamics in the carbon market,with increased quota supply amid a sluggish economy.It is expected that downward pressure on carbon prices will persist in the short term,but with more industries being included and continued policy optimization and improvement,a rise in China’s medium-to long-term carbon prices is highly probable.Recommendations for enterprises involved in carbon asset operations and management:first,refining carbon asset reserves and trading strategies;second,accelerating internal CCER project development;third,exploring carbon financial instrument applications;fourth,establishing and improving internal carbon pricing mechanisms;fifth,proactively planning for new industry inclusion.
文摘Nodal pricing is a critical mechanism in electricity markets,utilized to determine the cost of power transmission to various nodes within a distribution network.As power systems evolve to incorporate higher levels of renewable energy and face increasing demand fluctuations,traditional nodal pricing models often fall short to meet these new challenges.This research introduces a novel enhanced nodal pricing mechanism for distribution networks,integrating advanced optimization techniques and hybrid models to overcome these limitations.The primary objective is to develop a model that not only improves pricing accuracy but also enhances operational efficiency and system reliability.This study leverages cutting-edge hybrid algorithms,combining elements of machine learning with conventional optimization methods,to achieve superior performance.Key findings demonstrate that the proposed hybrid nodal pricing model significantly reduces pricing errors and operational costs compared to conventional methods.Through extensive simulations and comparative analysis,the model exhibits enhanced performance under varying load conditions and increased levels of renewable energy integration.The results indicate a substantial improvement in pricing precision and network stability.This study contributes to the ongoing discourse on optimizing electricity market mechanisms and provides actionable insights for policymakers and utility operators.By addressing the complexities of modern power distribution systems,our research offers a robust solution that enhances the efficiency and reliability of power distribution networks,marking a significant advancement in the field.
基金funded in part by Grant No.DF-091-135-1441 from the Deanship of Scientific Research(DSR)at King Abdulaziz University in Saudi Arabia.
文摘In this paper,we propose STPLF,which stands for the short-term forecasting of locational marginal price components,including the forecasting of non-conforming hourly net loads.The volatility of transmission-level hourly locational marginal prices(LMPs)is caused by several factors,including weather data,hourly gas prices,historical hourly loads,and market prices.In addition,variations of non-conforming net loads,which are affected by behind-the-meter distributed energy resources(DERs)and retail customer loads,could have a major impact on the volatility of hourly LMPs,as bulk grid operators have limited visibility of such retail-level resources.We propose a fusion forecasting model for the STPLF,which uses machine learning and deep learning methods to forecast non-conforming loads and respective hourly prices.Additionally,data preprocessing and feature extraction are used to increase the accuracy of the STPLF.The proposed STPLF model also includes a post-processing stage for calculating the probability of hourly LMP spikes.We use a practical set of data to analyze the STPLF results and validate the proposed probabilistic method for calculating the LMP spikes.
文摘In the increasingly competitive construction market,the engineering quantity list pricing model,as an important way of project cost management,is of crucial significance for construction enterprises to control costs and enhance benefits.This study deeply analyzes the characteristics of engineering quantity list pricing,and elaborates on the dilemmas faced by construction enterprises in project cost control,such as lagging concepts,imperfect mechanisms,weak risk management and control,and lack of construction-stage management.Based on this,from the dimensions of strengthening management and control concepts,improving supervision mechanisms,enhancing risk management and control capabilities,and attaching importance to construction-stage cost management,this study proposes project cost management and control strategies that are in line with the actual situation of construction enterprises,aiming to promote construction enterprises to achieve scientific management and optimization of project costs under the engineering quantity list pricing model.
基金Hierarchical Identification and Cross-Layer Correlation of Key Core Technologies from the Perspective of Industrial Chain Structure (National Social Science Fund of China, 24BTQ067)Chongqing Education Commission (CEC) Funding:Research on the Co-governance Mechanism of Patent Quality Based on the Dual-Filter Perspective(24SKGH213)Chongqing Graduate Education and Teaching Funding:Research on the Interdisciplinary Law of Intellectual Property and Optimization of Graduate Talent Training Mode(yjg213122)。
文摘In essence,the negotiation of license fees on standard essential patent(SEP)belongs to a kind of market be⁃havior,and the pricing right should be given to the market subjects under the requirements of patent law.In recent years,the frequent disputes on SEP license fees witnessed in the industrial and academic worlds,together with the lack of systematic supporting functions like FRAND,make SEP pricing excessively reliant on judicial judgment in practice.Fortunately,a variety of pricing methods have been proposed by theoretical research and practiced in judicial cases,which provide possible solutions for the license fee pricing of SEP from the operational level.In this paper,by focusing on the characteristics of the existing SEP pricing methods in the academic fields and judicial system,the dispute caused by license fees of SEP is clarified firstly,then by combining and interpreting twelve existing pricing methods of license fee of SEP with academic literature and judicial cases,four categories of methods are composed based on the application stages and calculation logic.Thirdly,the application barriers and dilemmas caused by the inherent limita⁃tions of the four categories of methods are analyzed,and the possible ways to put these methods into practice are ex⁃plored.Lastly,suggestions are presented from the aspects of preconditions for application,pricing stages,dispute reso⁃lution mechanisms,and comprehensive applications.The purpose of this paper is to provide enlightenment for getting back on track with the pricing right and further optimization of the pricing mechanism of license fees of SEP.
文摘Amid the global shift toward climate governance and low-carbon transformation,accurately quantifying environmental risk factors within green bond pricing mechanisms has emerged as a critical issue.Drawing on data from China’s green bond market between 2018 and 2023,this study develops a multifactor pricing model that integrates environmental risk premiums.Through regression analysis,it empirically investigates the effects of environmental reputation,transparency of information disclosure,and third-party certification on bond risk premiums.The results indicate that green-labeled bonds carry,on average,a 42.6 basis point lower risk premium compared to non-green bonds,while third-party certification further reduces this premium by an additional 54.1 basis points.Moreover,a one standard deviation improvement in the quality of environmental information disclosure leads to a reduction in bond financing costs by approximately 18 to 25 basis points.Issuers operating in high-energy-consuming industries bear significantly higher environmental risk premiums relative to those in low-energy-consuming sectors.By integrating an ESG scoring framework into bond pricing,this study reveals the transmission channels of environmental risks into market pricing and provides a theoretical foundation for enhancing pricing benchmarks in the green bond market.
基金Innovation Team Project of Liaoning Institute of Science and Technology:“Smart Economy Practice and Innovation Team”College Students’Innovation and Entrepreneurship Training Program Projects:“Research on the Application of Big Data Analysis Tools”and“Zhice Quantitative Investment Studio”+2 种基金Teaching and Research Project:“Research on the Path of AI-Enabled Undergraduate Education and Teaching Reform Based on the Needs of Liaoning’s Revitalization and Development(Project No.:LKJY202510)”Teaching Reform Project:“Research and Practice on the Evaluation of Digital Talents in Application-Oriented Universities(Project No.:LNKJ202412)”Project of Liaoning Federation of Social Sciences:“Research on the Key Elements and Practical Paths of Educational Digital Transformation(Project No.:2025lslybkt-050)”。
文摘Based on the financial data and stock price information of Bengang Steel Plates Co.Ltd.from 2004 to 2023,this paper uses SPSS 26 software,combined with DuPont Analysis and Wall Score Method,to explore the correlation between stock price and nine key financial indicators selected from three dimensions:profitability,development capability,and operating capability,including fixed asset growth rate,price-to-book ratio(P/B ratio),and gross profit margin.Through correlation analysis,multiple regression analysis,and curve fitting,the study finds that:fixed asset growth rate,P/B ratio,and gross profit margin show a significant positive correlation with stock price;return on equity(ROE),operating income,and accounts receivable turnover days show a significant negative correlation with stock price;earnings per share(EPS)and net profit growth rate do not show a significant correlation with stock price.The research results indicate that the stock price of Bengang Steel Plates Co.Ltd.is greatly affected by its asset scale and market valuation,while some profitability indicators have not been effectively transmitted to the stock price.Finally,countermeasures and suggestions are put forward from the aspects of cost control,technological innovation,market expansion,and financial structure optimization,so as to provide references for corporate operation and investment decisions.
文摘Global climate change has created substantial difficulties in the areas of sustainability,development,and environmental conservation due to the widespread dependence on fossil fuels for energy production.Nevertheless,the promotion of renewable energy programs has the potential to significantly expedite endeavors aimed at tackling climate change.Thus,it is essential to conduct a thorough analysis that considers the financial aspects to fully understand the main hurdles that are preventing the advancement of renewable energy initiatives.Italy is a leading country in the worldwide deployment of renewable energy.The objective of this research is to assess the impact of financial growth,economic progress,and energy expenses on Italy’s adoption of renewable energy sources.By employing the Auto-Regressive Distributed Lag(ARDL)technique,we analyzed annual data spanning from1990 to 2022.Findings revealed that a 1%increase in financial and economic development would boost renewable energy consumption in the long run by 0.29%and 0.48%,respectively.Instead,a 1%increase in energy prices might reduce consumption of renewable energy by 0.05%in the long run.This study’s primary significance lies in furnishing actionable strategies for Italy to augment green finance for renewable energy,fostering sustained social and economic progress.Moreover,the analytical insights gleaned from this research offer valuable insights for energy-importing nations worldwide.
文摘Fluctuations in real estate prices are closely linked to the macro-economy,exerting a profound influence on social investment and consumption levels.As a key source of funding for the real estate market,bank credit significantly affects housing price changes in major Chinese cities.This paper explores the transmission mechanisms and pathways of bank credit on real estate prices through theoretical analysis and empirical research.It constructs a panel regression model to empirically analyze the relationship between bank credit scale and housing prices in 35 large and medium-sized Chinese cities from 2012 to 2022,assess the impact of credit on housing price fluctuations,and compare differences between first-tier and second-tier cities.Based on these findings,the paper proposes suggestions for regulating housing prices by controlling credit scale,aiming to deepen the understanding of the relationship between bank credit and housing prices and support the stable development of China’s macro-economy and real estate market.
文摘As financial markets grow increasingly complex and volatile,timeseriesbased stock price forecasting has become a critical research focus in the field of finance.Traditional forecasting methods face significant limitations in handling nonlinear and high-dimensional data,while neural networks(NNs)have demonstrated great potential due to their powerful feature extraction and pattern recognition capabilities.Although several existing surveys discuss the applications of NNs in stock forecasting,they often lack a detailed examination of models that use time-series data as input and fail to cover the latest research developments.In response,this paper reviews relevant literature from 2015 to 2025 and classifies timeseriesbased stock forecasting methods into four categories:NNs,recurrent NNs(RNNs),convolutional NNs(CNNs),Transformers and other models.We analyze their performance under different market conditions,highlight strengths and limitations,and identify recent trends in model design.Our findings show that hybrid architectures and attention-based models consistently achieve superior forecasting stability and adaptability across volatile market scenarios.This survey offers a systematic reference for researchers and practitioners and outlines promising future research directions.
文摘We often hear statements like“the market raises expectations for central bank interest rate cuts,resulting in higher commodity prices”.Given the current situation,the People’s Bank of China might adopt a more accommodative monetary policy to mitigate the impact of the China-U.S.trade friction.Will this further easing of the monetary environment lead to an increase in natural gas prices?
文摘This study selected 45 A-share listed companies that have paid dividends for five consecutive years from 2019 to 2024,with an average dividend yield of at least 3%,as the sample.Using a panel data model,the effect of the cash dividend ratio on stock pricing was analyzed.The empirical results indicated a significant positive relationship between the cash dividend ratio and stock price.Furthermore,stocks with high dividend payouts demonstrated greater resilience during macroeconomic downturns,while notable differences were observed across industries.These findings provide a theoretical foundation for investors in making informed decisions and offer practical guidance for listed companies in formulating effective dividend policies.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.72401207 and 42101300)Beijing Municipal Education Commission,China(Grant No.SM202110038001).
文摘This paper investigates China's coal price volatility spreaders(CPVSs)from the supply side to locate the volatility source since coal price volatility may destabilize many downstream products'prices or even bring uncertainties to macroeconomic output.Especially in the carbon neutrality context,China's coal market is being reconstructed and responding to imbalances between supply and demand;identifying the CPVSs helps alleviate rising market instability and prevent energy-induced system risk.To achieve this objective,we explore causalities among 938 weekly coal prices reported by different coal-producing areas of China from 2006.9.4 to 2021.7.12 using the transfer entropy method.Then,coal price volatility influence is quantified to identify the CPVSs by conjointly using complex network theory and a rank aggregation method.The validity test demonstrates that the proposed hybrid method efficiently identifies the CPVSs as it correlates to many price determinants,e.g.,electricity and coal consumption and generation.The empirical results show that causalities among coal prices changed dramatically in 2016,2018,and 2020,affected by coal decapacity and carbon neutrality policies.Before 2018,coal-producing provinces with strong demand for coal and electricity,e.g.,Jiangxi,Chongqing,and Sichuan,were CPVSs;after 2019,those with comparative advantages in coal supply,e.g.,Gansu and Ningxia,were CPVSs.Overall,the coal market is unstable and sensitive to energy policy and external shocks.Policymakers and market participants are recommended to monitor and manage the CPVSs to improve energy security,avoid policy-induced instability and prevent risks caused by coal price fluctuations.
