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Physically based deterministic rockfall hazard assessment integrating multi-failure modes at large scale:A case study of Tiefeng Township,Chongqing,China
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作者 Juan Du Xiao Feng +2 位作者 Bo Chai Kunlong Yin Li Zheng 《Journal of Rock Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering》 2025年第10期6324-6343,共20页
The rise in construction activities within mountainous regions has significantly increased the frequency of rockfalls.Statistical models for rockfall hazard assessment often struggle to achieve high precision on a lar... The rise in construction activities within mountainous regions has significantly increased the frequency of rockfalls.Statistical models for rockfall hazard assessment often struggle to achieve high precision on a large scale.This limitation arises primarily from the scarcity of historical rockfall data and the inadequacy of conventional assessment indicators in capturing the physical and structural characteristics of rockfalls.This study proposes a physically based deterministic model designed to accurately quantify rockfall hazards at a large scale.The model accounts for multiple rockfall failure modes and incorporates the key physical and structural parameters of the rock mass.Rockfall hazard is defined as the product of three factors:the rockfall failure probability,the probability of reaching a specific position,and the corresponding impact intensity.The failure probability includes probabilities of formation and instability of rock blocks under different failure modes,modeled based on the combination patterns of slope surfaces and rock discontinuities.The Monte Carlo method is employed to account for the randomness of mechanical and geometric parameters when quantifying instability probabilities.Additionally,the rock trajectories and impact energies simulated using Flow-R software are combined with rockfall failure probability to enable regional rockfall hazard zoning.A case study was conducted in Tiefeng,Chongqing,China,considering four types of rockfall failure modes.Hazard zoning results identified the steep and elevated terrains of the northern and southern anaclinal slopes as areas of highest rockfall hazard.These findings align with observed conditions,providing detailed hazard zoning and validating the effectiveness and potential of the proposed model. 展开更多
关键词 Rockfall hazard assessment Physically based deterministic model multi-failure modes Large-scale data
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Dynamic probabilistic design technique for multi-component system with multi-failure modes 被引量:4
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作者 ZHANG Chun-yi LU Cheng +2 位作者 FEI Cheng-wei JING Hui-zhe LI Cheng-wei 《Journal of Central South University》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2018年第11期2688-2700,共13页
For unacceptable computational efficiency and accuracy on the probabilistic analysis of multi-component system with multi-failure modes,this paper proposed multi-extremum response surface method(MERSM).MERSM model was... For unacceptable computational efficiency and accuracy on the probabilistic analysis of multi-component system with multi-failure modes,this paper proposed multi-extremum response surface method(MERSM).MERSM model was established based on quadratic polynomial function by taking extremum response surface model as the sub-model of multi-response surface method.The dynamic probabilistic analysis of an aeroengine turbine blisk with two components,and their reliability of deformation and stress failures was obtained,based on thermal-structural coupling technique,by considering the nonlinearity of material parameters and the transients of gas flow,gas temperature and rotational speed.The results show that the comprehensive reliability of structure is 0.9904 when the allowable deformations and stresses of blade and disk are 4.78×10–3 m and 1.41×109 Pa,and 1.64×10–3 m and 1.04×109 Pa,respectively.Besides,gas temperature and rotating speed severely influence the comprehensive reliability of system.Through the comparison of methods,it is shown that the MERSM holds higher computational precision and speed in the probabilistic analysis of turbine blisk,and MERSM computational precision satisfies the requirement of engineering design.The efforts of this study address the difficulties on transients and multiple models coupling for the dynamic probabilistic analysis of multi-component system with multi-failure modes. 展开更多
关键词 probabilistic analysis multi-extremum response surface method MULTI-COMPONENT multi-failure modes
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Solidification modes and delta-ferrite of two types of 316L stainless steels:a combination of as-cast microstructure and HT-CLSM research 被引量:1
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作者 Yang Wang Chao Chen +5 位作者 Xiao-yu Yang Zheng-rui Zhang Jian Wang Zhou Li Lei Chen Wang-zhong Mu 《Journal of Iron and Steel Research International》 2025年第2期426-436,共11页
In 316L austenitic stainless steel,the presence of ferrite phase severely affects the non-magnetic properties.316L austenitic stainless steel with low-alloy type(L-316L)and high-alloy type(H-316L)has been studied.The ... In 316L austenitic stainless steel,the presence of ferrite phase severely affects the non-magnetic properties.316L austenitic stainless steel with low-alloy type(L-316L)and high-alloy type(H-316L)has been studied.The microstructure and solidification kinetics of the two as-cast grades were in situ observed by high temperature confocal laser scanning microscopy(HT-CLSM).There are significant differences in the as-cast microstructures of the two 316L stainless steel compositions.In L-316L steel,ferrite morphology appears as the short rods with a ferrite content of 6.98%,forming a dual-phase microstructure consisting of austenite and ferrite.Conversely,in H-316L steel,the ferrite appears as discontinuous network structures with a content of 4.41%,forming a microstructure composed of austenite and sigma(σ)phase.The alloying elements in H-316L steel exhibit a complex distribution,with Ni and Mo enriching at the austenite grain boundaries.HT-CLSM experiments provide the real-time observation of the solidification processes of both 316L specimens and reveal distinct solidification modes:L-316L steel solidifies in an FA mode,whereas H-316L steel solidifies in an AF mode.These differences result in ferrite and austenite predominantly serving as the nucleation and growth phases,respectively.The solidification mode observed by experiments is similar to the thermodynamic calculation results.The L-316L steel solidified in the FA mode and showed minimal element segregation,which lead to a direct transformation of ferrite to austenite phase(δ→γ)during phase transformation after solidification.Besides,the H-316L steel solidified in the AF mode and showed severe element segregation,which lead to Mo enrichment at grain boundaries and transformation of ferrite into sigma and austenite phases through the eutectoid reaction(δ→σ+γ). 展开更多
关键词 316L austenitic stainless steel As-cast microstructure High-temperature confocal laser scanning microscopy Solidification mode FERRITE Characterization
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Gravitational quasi-normal modes of charged spherically symmetric black holes surrounded by quintessence fluid in Rastall gravity
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作者 Tongzheng Wang Yuhao Cui Kai Lin 《Chinese Physics B》 2025年第3期278-289,共12页
We apply the WKB approximation method,matrix method,and finite difference method to study the gravitational quasi-normal modes of charged spherically symmetric black holes surrounded by quintessence fluid in Rastall g... We apply the WKB approximation method,matrix method,and finite difference method to study the gravitational quasi-normal modes of charged spherically symmetric black holes surrounded by quintessence fluid in Rastall gravity.By comparing the spherically symmetric spacetime metric of charged black holes surrounded by quintessence fluid in Rastall gravity with that of general relativity,we can find that the modifications to general relativity in this modified gravity theory can be described by parameters such asλ,Q,and C_(a),etc.In four-dimensional spacetime,we investigate the impact of charge Q and parameter C_(a) on the gravitational quasi-normal modes of charged black holes surrounded by quintessence field in Rastall gravity.The aim is to search for observational evidence of such black holes in astrophysical observations and,consequently,test the validity of Rastall theory.In five-dimensional(5D)spacetime,we study the impact of the parameter C_(a) on the gravitational quasi-normal modes of Rastall black holes surrounded by quintessence field and summarize the corresponding variation patterns. 展开更多
关键词 quasi-normal modes Rastall gravity HIGHER-DIMENSIONAL
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Dominant Modes of Spring Drought Variability in Southern China During 1979-2022 and the Associated Drivers
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作者 ZHOU Jia-yu QIU Wen-tian +2 位作者 ZHAO Qing-hong CHEN Xi DENG Kai-qiang 《Journal of Tropical Meteorology》 2025年第4期331-340,共10页
Utilizing the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index(SPEI)and ERA5 reanalysis data,this study investigates the variability of spring drought in southern China from 1979 to 2022 and its associated drivers.... Utilizing the Standardized Precipitation Evapotranspiration Index(SPEI)and ERA5 reanalysis data,this study investigates the variability of spring drought in southern China from 1979 to 2022 and its associated drivers.The results indicate that southern China experienced interdecadal changes in SPEI over the past several decades,which can be concluded that drought severity intensified from 1979 to 2010,whereas a transition shift towards increased wetness occurred from 2010 to 2022.The first Empirical Orthogonal Function(EOF1)mode of SPEI variability in southern China accounts for 44.37%of the total variance,reflecting a uniform variation of SPEI across the region.In contrast,the second Empirical Orthogonal Function(EOF2),which explains 24.41%of the total variance,reveals a west-east dipole pattern in SPEI variability.Further analysis indicates that the positive phase of EOF1 is primarily driven by warm sea surface temperature anomalies(SSTAs)in the tropical eastern Pacific.These anomalies induce an anomalous anticyclone over the Philippine Sea,enhancing water vapor transport to southern China during spring.The positive phase of EOF2 is jointly influenced by warm SSTAs in the tropical Indian Ocean and the central Pacific;the latter induces anticyclonic anomalies over the Philippine Sea,which enhance water vapor transport from the western Pacific and increase precipitation in the eastern part of southern China.However,the warm SSTAs in the tropical Indian Ocean trigger an anomalous anticyclone over South Asia,inhibiting water vapor transport from the Bay of Bengal to the western part of southern China and thus reducing precipitation there. 展开更多
关键词 drought variability dominant modes southern China SPRING
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Analysis of Interactions Between Vibration Modes of Piezoelectric Vibrators
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作者 Chong Li Cunyue Lu 《Instrumentation》 2025年第1期30-36,共7页
To broaden the frequency regulation range of piezoelectric motors,this paper proposes a piezoelectric vibrator that operates in multiple in-plane vibration modes with distinct resonance frequencies.The piezoelectric v... To broaden the frequency regulation range of piezoelectric motors,this paper proposes a piezoelectric vibrator that operates in multiple in-plane vibration modes with distinct resonance frequencies.The piezoelectric vibrator was constructed by reasonably arranging multiple groups of piezoelectric ceramic(PZT)sheets based on the most typical rectangular plate piezoelectric motors.Suitable working modes were selected,and the excitation method of these operating modes was also analyzed.Besides,interactions between selected operating modes were also investigated.The finite element software,ANSYS,was adopted to optimize the structural parameters of the vibrator through modal analysis to match the resonance frequencies of specific modes.After that,whether the selected operating modes can be successfully motivated was verified by harmonic response analysis.Finally,the vibration characteristics of piezoelectric vibrators under conventional vibration modes and multiple modes were acquired by transient analysis,respectively.Simulation results reveal that under dual-frequency excitation scheme 1,response displacements of the driving point are relatively larger.This strategy not only facilitates the excitation of B4 mode but also enables control over the ratio of horizontal to vertical displacements of the driving point.Additionally,incorporating B4 mode expands the frequency adjustment range of piezoelectric vibrators. 展开更多
关键词 piezoelectric vibrator mode INTERACTION PZT finite element vibration characteristics
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Laser ablation ignition modes in a cavity-based supersonic combustor
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作者 Jianheng JI Zun CAI +4 位作者 Taiyu WANG Yifu TIAN Mingbo SUN Jiajian ZHU Zhenguo WANG 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 2025年第4期112-126,共15页
A numerical and experimental study was conducted to investigate the Laser Ablation(LA)ignition mode in an ethylene-fueled supersonic combustor with a cavity flameholder.Theexperiments were operated under a Mach number... A numerical and experimental study was conducted to investigate the Laser Ablation(LA)ignition mode in an ethylene-fueled supersonic combustor with a cavity flameholder.Theexperiments were operated under a Mach number 2.92 supersonic inflow,with stagnation pressureof 2.4 MPa and stagnation temperature of 1600 K.Reynolds-averaged Navier-Stokes simulationswere conducted to characterize the mixing process and flow field structure.This study identifiedfour distinct LA ignition modes.Under the specified condition,laser ablation in zero and negativedefocusing states manifested two distinct ignition modes termed Laser Ablation Direct Ignition(LADI)mode and Laser Ablation Re-Ignition(LARI)mode,correspondingly.LA ignition in alocal small cavity,created by depressing the flow field regulator,could facilitate the ignition modetransforming from LARI mode to Laser Ablation Transition Ignition(LATI)mode.On the otherhand,the elevation of the flow field regulator effectively inhibited the forward propagation of theinitial flame kernel and reduced the dissipation of LA plasma,further enhancing the LADI mode.Based on these characteristics,the LADI mode was subdivided into strong(LADI-S)and weak(LADI-W)modes.Facilitating the transition of ignition modes through alterations in the local flowfield could contribute to attaining a more effective and stable LA ignition. 展开更多
关键词 Laser ablation Ignition mode Supersonic combustor Flame propagation CAVITY
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Damage evolution and failure modes of coal-concrete composites with varying height ratios under cyclic loading
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作者 Renbo Gao Fei Wu +3 位作者 Cunbao Li Chunfeng Ye Qingchuan He Heping Xie 《International Journal of Mining Science and Technology》 2025年第7期1093-1106,共14页
To ensure the safe implementation of underground reservoirs in abandoned coal mines,this study explores the mechanical behavior and failure mechanisms of coal-concrete composite structures under staged cyclic loading.... To ensure the safe implementation of underground reservoirs in abandoned coal mines,this study explores the mechanical behavior and failure mechanisms of coal-concrete composite structures under staged cyclic loading.Specimens with coal-to-concrete height ratios ranging from 0.5:1 to 3:1 were tested,with damage evolution continuously monitored using acoustic emission techniques.Results indicate that while the peak strength of pure materials decreases by approximately 1 MPa under cyclic stress compared to uniaxial compression,composite specimens exhibit strength enhancements exceeding 5 MPa.However,the peak strength of composite specimens decreases with increasing coal height,from 30 MPa at CR0.5 to 20 MPa at CR3.0.The damage state was assessed using the dynamic elastic strain energy index and Felicity ratio,which revealed that composite specimens are more prone to early damage accumulation.Spatial acoustic emission localization further reveals distinct failure modes across specimens with varying height ratios.To elucidate these differences,interfacial effects were incorporated into a modified twin-shear unified strength theory.The refined model accurately predicts the internal strength distribution and failure characteristics of the composite structures.These findings provide a theoretical basis for the structural design and safe operation of underground reservoir dams. 展开更多
关键词 Coal-concrete composite Acoustic emission Failure mode Strength analysis
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Delivery Modes and Their Effects on Mothers and Neonates in Cases of Repeat Pregnancy with Uterine Scars
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作者 Hongyu Wang Tiantian Chen 《Journal of Clinical and Nursing Research》 2025年第1期27-31,共5页
Objective:To investigate the delivery modes of women with repeat pregnancies involving uterine scars and their effects on both mothers and neonates.Methods:A study was conducted on 100 patients treated at Shenzhen Mat... Objective:To investigate the delivery modes of women with repeat pregnancies involving uterine scars and their effects on both mothers and neonates.Methods:A study was conducted on 100 patients treated at Shenzhen Maternity and Child Healthcare Hospital from July 2023 to July 2024.The participants were divided into a control group and an observation group,with 50 cases in each.The division was based on the indications for prior cesarean section,cervical maturity,postpartum complications,and thickness of the cesarean scar.The control group underwent cesarean delivery,while the observation group experienced vaginal delivery.The two groups were compared in terms of intrapartum blood loss,postpartum blood loss within 2 hours,length of hospital stay,Apgar scores at 1-minute post-birth,and incidences of neonatal fever and jaundice.Results:The observation group had significantly lower intrapartum blood loss,postpartum blood loss within 2 hours,and shorter hospital stays compared to the control group(P<0.05).Additionally,the Apgar scores at 1 minute post-birth were significantly higher in the observation group(P<0.05).The incidence of neonatal fever and jaundice was significantly lower in the observation group(P<0.05).These differences were statistically significant.Conclusion:Vaginal delivery has high clinical value for women with repeat pregnancies involving uterine scars.It reduces maternal intrapartum and postpartum blood loss,shortens hospital stays,improves neonatal Apgar scores,and decreases the incidences of neonatal fever and jaundice.This method is worthy of clinical application and promotion. 展开更多
关键词 Uterine scars Repeat pregnancy Delivery mode Cesarean section Vaginal delivery
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Inertial Modes in a Rotating Horizontal Annulus with Boundaries of Different Temperatures and Their Effect on the Averaged Convection
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作者 Alexey Vjatkin Svyatoslav Petukhov Victor Kozlov 《Fluid Dynamics & Materials Processing》 2025年第4期783-798,共16页
Time-averaged thermal convection in a rotating horizontal annulus with a higher temperature at its inner boundary is studied.The centrifugal force plays a stabilizing role,while thermal convection is determined by the... Time-averaged thermal convection in a rotating horizontal annulus with a higher temperature at its inner boundary is studied.The centrifugal force plays a stabilizing role,while thermal convection is determined by the“thermovibrational mechanism”.Convective flow is excited due to oscillations of a non-isothermal rotating fluid.Thermal vibrational convectionmanifests in the form of two-dimensional vortices elongated along the axis of rotation,which develop in a threshold manner with an increase in the amplitude of fluid oscillations.The objective of the present study is to clarify the nature of another phenomenon,i.e.,three-dimensional convective vortices observed in the experiments both before the excitation of the convection described above and in the supercritical region.The experimental study of the oscillatory and the time-averaged flow fields by particle image velocimetry is accompanied by the theoretical research of inertial waves.It is found that three-dimensional fluid flows owe their origin to inertial waves.This is confirmed by a high degree of agreement between the experimental and theoretical results.Experiments with cavities of different lengths indicate that the vortices are clearly seen in cavities thatmeet the conditions of resonant excitation of inertial modes.Furthermore,the length of the cavity has no effect on heat transfer,which is explained by the comparatively low intensity of the wave-induced flows.The main contribution to heat transfer is due to vortices elongated along the axis of rotation.The novel results are of significant practical importance in various fields. 展开更多
关键词 Thermal convection horizontal annulus ROTATION time-averaged convection inertial modes steady flows
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Numerical Simulation on Depressurization-Driven Production of Class I Hydrate Deposits with Transition Layer and Perforation Modes Optimization
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作者 Yajie Bai Jian Hou Yongge Liu 《Energy Engineering》 2025年第6期2503-2518,共16页
Natural gas hydrate widely exists in the South China Sea as clean energy.A three-phase transition layer widely exists in low permeability Class I hydrates in the Shenhu offshore area.Therefore,taking into account the ... Natural gas hydrate widely exists in the South China Sea as clean energy.A three-phase transition layer widely exists in low permeability Class I hydrates in the Shenhu offshore area.Therefore,taking into account the low-permeability characteristics with an average permeability of 5.5 mD and moderate heterogeneity,a 3-D geological model of heterogeneous Class I hydrate reservoirs with three-phase transition layers is established by Kriging interpolation and stochastic modeling method,and a numerical simulation model is used to describe the depressurization production performance of the reservoir.With the development of depressurization,a specific range of complete decomposition zones appear both in the hydrate and transition layers.The entire decomposition zone of the whole reservoir tends to outward and upward diffusion.There is apparent methane escape in the three-phase transition layer.Due to the improvement of local permeability caused by the phase transition of hydrate dissociation,some methane accumulation occurs at the bottom of the hydrate layer,forming a local methane enrichment zone.The methane migration trends in reservoirs are mainly characterized by movement toward production wells and hydrate layers under the influence of gravity.However,due to the permeability limitation of hydrate reservoirs,many fluids have not been effectively produced and remain in the reservoir.Therefore,to improve the effective pressure drop of the reservoir,the perforation method and pressure reduction method were optimized by analyzing the influencing factors based on the gas production rate.The comparative study demonstrates that perforating through the free gas layer combined with one-time depressurization can enhance the effective depressurization and improve production performance.The gas production rate from perforating through the free gas layer can be twice as high as that from perforating through the transition layer.This study can provide theoretical support for the utilization of marine energy. 展开更多
关键词 Class I hydrate transitional layers HETEROGENEITY DEPRESSURIZATION numerical simulation perforation mode
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Quasinormal modes and shadow of Schwarzschild black holes embedded in a Dehnen-type dark matter halo exhibiting a cloud of strings
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作者 Ahmad Al-Badawi Sanjar Shaymatov 《Communications in Theoretical Physics》 2025年第3期101-111,共11页
In this paper we consider a static spherically symmetric black hole(BH)embedded in a Dehnen-(1,4,0)-type dark matter(DM)halo in the presence of a cloud string.We examine and present data on how the core density of the... In this paper we consider a static spherically symmetric black hole(BH)embedded in a Dehnen-(1,4,0)-type dark matter(DM)halo in the presence of a cloud string.We examine and present data on how the core density of the DM halo parameter and the cloud string parameter affect BH attributes such as quasinormal modes(QNMs)and shadow cast.To do this,we first look into the effective potential of perturbation equations for three types of perturbation fields with different spins:massless scalar field,electromagnetic field and gravitational field.Then,using the sixth-order Wentzel-Kramers-Brillouin approximation,we examine QNMs of the BH disturbed by the three fields and derive quasinormal frequencies.The changes in QNM versus the core density parameter and the cloud string parameter for three disturbances are explored.We also investigate how the core density and the cloud string parameter affect the photon sphere and shadow radius.Interestingly,the study shows that the influence of Dehnen-type DM and cloud strings increases both the photon sphere and the shadow radius.Finally,we employ observational data from Sgr A^(*) and M87^(*) to set limitations on the BH parameters. 展开更多
关键词 SCHWARZSCHILD Dehnen type dark matter halo string cloud quasinormal modes SHADOW
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Modeling and resolution analysis of microcylinder-assisted microscopy in reflection and transmission modes
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作者 Felix Rosenthal Tobias Pahl +4 位作者 Lucie Hüser Michael Diehl Tim Eckhardt Sebastian Hagemeier Peter Lehmann 《Advanced Photonics Nexus》 2025年第4期22-33,共12页
Microsphere and microcylinder-assisted microscopy(MAM)has grown steadily over the last decade and is still an intensively studied optical far-field imaging technique that promises to overcome the fundamental lateral r... Microsphere and microcylinder-assisted microscopy(MAM)has grown steadily over the last decade and is still an intensively studied optical far-field imaging technique that promises to overcome the fundamental lateral resolution limit of microscopy.However,the physical effects leading to resolution enhancement are still frequently debated.In addition,various configurations of MAM operating in transmission mode as well as reflection mode are examined,and the results are sometimes generalized.We present a rigorous simulation model of MAM and introduce a way to quantify the resolution enhancement.The lateral resolution is compared for microscope arrangements in reflection and transmission modes.Furthermore,we discuss different physical effects with respect to their contribution to resolution enhancement.The results indicate that the effects impacting the resolution in MAM strongly depend on the arrangement of the microscope and the measurement object.As a highlight,we outline that evanescent waves in combination with whispering gallery modes also improve the imaging capabilities,enabling super-resolution under certain circumstances.This result is contrary to the conclusions drawn from previous studies,where phase objects have been analyzed,and thus further emphasizes the complexity of the physical mechanisms underlying MAM. 展开更多
关键词 microsphere-assisted microscopy resolution enhancement resolution limit electromagnetic modeling SUPER-RESOLUTION whispering gallery mode
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An efficient and high-precision algorithm for solving multiple deformation modes of elastic beams
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作者 Yunzhou WANG Binbin ZHENG +2 位作者 Lingling HU Nan SUN Minghui FU 《Applied Mathematics and Mechanics(English Edition)》 2025年第9期1753-1770,共18页
The elliptic integral method(EIM) is an efficient analytical approach for analyzing large deformations of elastic beams. However, it faces the following challenges.First, the existing EIM can only handle cases with kn... The elliptic integral method(EIM) is an efficient analytical approach for analyzing large deformations of elastic beams. However, it faces the following challenges.First, the existing EIM can only handle cases with known deformation modes. Second,the existing EIM is only applicable to Euler beams, and there is no EIM available for higher-precision Timoshenko and Reissner beams in cases where both force and moment are applied at the end. This paper proposes a general EIM for Reissner beams under arbitrary boundary conditions. On this basis, an analytical equation for determining the sign of the elliptic integral is provided. Based on the equation, we discover a class of elliptic integral piecewise points that are distinct from inflection points. More importantly, we propose an algorithm that automatically calculates the number of inflection points and other piecewise points during the nonlinear solution process, which is crucial for beams with unknown or changing deformation modes. 展开更多
关键词 elastic beam elliptic integral deformation mode transition equilibrium path high-precision algorithm
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Predictable and Unpredictable Modes of Northern Hemisphere Atmospheric Circulation in CMIP6:Evaluation and Projections
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作者 Kairan YING Dabang JIANG Linhao ZHONG 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2026年第1期135-156,共22页
Climate models are essential for understanding past,present,and future changes in atmospheric circulation,with circulation modes providing key sources of seasonal predictability and prediction uncertainties for both g... Climate models are essential for understanding past,present,and future changes in atmospheric circulation,with circulation modes providing key sources of seasonal predictability and prediction uncertainties for both global and regional climates.This study assesses the performance of models participating in phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project in simulating interannual variability modes of Northern Hemisphere 500-hPa geopotential height during winter and summer,distinguishing predictable(potentially predictable on seasonal or longer timescales)and unpredictable(intraseasonal and essentially unpredictable at long range)components,using reanalysis data and a variance decomposition method.Although most models effectively capture unpredictable modes in reanalysis,their ability to reproduce dominant predictable modes-specifically the Pacific-North American pattern,Arctic Oscillation,and Western Pacific Oscillation in winter,and the East Atlantic and North Atlantic Oscillations in summer-varies notably.An optimal ensemble is identified to distinguish(a)predictable-external modes,dominated by external forcing,and(b)predictable-internal modes,associated with slow internal variability,during the historical period(1950-2014)and the SSP5-8.5 scenario(2036-2100).Under increased radiative forcing,the leading winter/summer predictable-external mode exhibits a more uniform spatial distribution,remarkably larger trend and annual variance,and enhanced height-sea surface temperature(SST)covariance under SSP5-8.5 compared to historical conditions.The dominant winter/summer predictable-internal modes also exhibit increased variance and height-SST covariance under SSP5-8.5,along with localized changes in spatial configuration.Minimal changes are observed in spatial distribution or variance for dominant winter/summer unpredictable modes under SSP5-8.5.This study,from a predictive perspective,deepens our understanding of model uncertainties and projected changes in circulations. 展开更多
关键词 interannual mode of atmospheric circulation CMIP6 predictable unpredictable EVALUATION PROJECTION
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Geochemistry and Lithium Enrichment Modes of the No.8 Coal,Late Carboniferous,Eastern Ordos Basin
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作者 ZHANG Jiaming GUO Yinghai +6 位作者 WANG Ruoyu ZHAO Difei ZHANG Zhibo LIU Zhuoxi QUAN Gaomin LIU Jiahui LIU Dandan 《Acta Geologica Sinica(English Edition)》 2025年第3期822-839,共18页
Recent studies have highlighted the presence of lithium enrichment in coals within the Ordos Basin,which has garnered significant attention due to the potential economic value.However,most research has concentrated pr... Recent studies have highlighted the presence of lithium enrichment in coals within the Ordos Basin,which has garnered significant attention due to the potential economic value.However,most research has concentrated primarily on the coal seams of the Taiyuan and Shanxi formations,with limited reports on the Benxi Formation.To address this gap,our study focused on elucidating the geochemical characteristics and origins of the lithium enrichment in the No.8 coal of the Benxi Formation through the use of optical microscopy and inductively coupled plasma mass spectrometry(ICP-MS).The results showed that the No.8 coal was a bituminous coal,characterized by medium ash yield,low volatile matter,high total sulfur content and medium vitrinite proportion.The No.8 coal was enriched in Li(average 91.7 ppm,CC=6.55)and Zr(average 191 ppm,CC=5.30),the unusual enrichment of Li being primarily located in the middle of the coal.The minerals in the coal were predominantly clay minerals,along with minor amounts of pyrite,quartz and calcite.The occurrence mode of Li in the No.8 coal was associated with aluminosilicate minerals,presumably kaolinite.Based on geochemical characteristics,the sedimentary source of the No.8 coal was intermediate-felsic volcanic rock from the Yinshan oldland.The enrichment of Li can be attributed to the supply of terrestrial debris from the Yinshan oldland and the depositional environment.Our analysis identifies three distinct stages of lithium enrichment,emphasizing the critical role played by the terrestrial debris,as well as the acidic to partially reducing conditions,in facilitating this process.In conclusion,our study sheds light on the mechanisms underlying lithium enrichment in the No.8 coal of the Benxi Formation,highlighting the significance of geological factors in shaping the distribution and concentration of critical metals in coal. 展开更多
关键词 lithium in coal enrichment mode sedimentary source GEOCHEMISTRY late Carboniferous Ordos Basin
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The development characteristics and formation modes of rainstorm-triggered flash flood disasters in the Hengduan Mountains
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作者 LI Yifan ZHANG Chendi ZHANG Guotao 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 2025年第3期619-640,共22页
The Hengduan Mountains region(HMR)is one of the most densely distributed and severe flash flood disaster-prone areas in southwest China.It is also a key area for major engineering projects and beautiful countryside co... The Hengduan Mountains region(HMR)is one of the most densely distributed and severe flash flood disaster-prone areas in southwest China.It is also a key area for major engineering projects and beautiful countryside construction in Southwest China.However,previous studies have not systematically summarized the development characteristics and formation modes of flash flood disasters in the HMR,which limits the development of theoretical and technical system for flood control.In this study,we focused on the physical processes of flash flood disasters in the HMR,including generation,movement,and disaster formation,and clarified the dominant disaster-inducing conditions(multiple humid monsoon circulation,high potential energy and high heterogenous underlying surface)and disaster development characteristics(high spatio-temporal heterogeneity,highly concentrated energy,chain and cascading effects,and clustered occurrence)of flash floods in the HMR.Based on the entire processes of flash flood disasters,three major formation modes have been summarized:the runoff generation mode of vegetation-hydrology-soil coupling dominated by high hydraulic gradient in mountainous areas,strong flow-sediment coupling movement,and serious disaster losses due to high exposure of disaster bearing objects.Finally,based on the issues in previous research,four future research challenges for flash flood disaster in the HMR were proposed.Our study provides insights into disaster prevention and reduction research,including fundamental theoretical system,precise risk assessment of regional disasters,and accurate early warning and forecasting of flash floods. 展开更多
关键词 Hengduan Mountains region rainstorm-triggered flash flood disaster-inducing condition disaster developmentcharacteristic formation mode
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Failure modes and transformation laws of reinforced concrete slabs under drop hammer impact
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作者 Chunming Song Jiahe Zhong +3 位作者 Haotian Zhang Yuetang Zhao Zhongwei Zhang Feng Liu 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 2025年第9期318-339,共22页
With the change of the main influencing factors such as structural configuration and impact conditions,reinforced concrete slabs exhibit different mechanical behaviors with different failure patterns,and the failure m... With the change of the main influencing factors such as structural configuration and impact conditions,reinforced concrete slabs exhibit different mechanical behaviors with different failure patterns,and the failure modes are transformed.In order to reveal the failure mode and transformation rule of reinforced concrete slabs under impact loads,a dynamic impact response test was carried out using a drop hammer test device.The dynamic data pertaining to the impact force,support reaction force,structural displacement,and reinforcement strain were obtained through the use of digital image correlation technology(DIC),impact force measurement,and strain measurement.The analysis of the ultimate damage state of the reinforced concrete slab identified four distinct types of impact failure modes:local failure by stamping,overall failure by stamping,local-overall coupling failure,and local failure by punching.Additionally,the influence laws of hammerhead shape,hammer height,and reinforcement ratio on the dynamic response and failure mode transformation of the slab were revealed.The results indicate that:(1)The local damage to the slab by the plane hammer is readily apparent,while the overall damage by the spherical hammer is more pronounced.(2)In comparison to the high reinforcement ratio slabs,the overall bending resistance of the low reinforcement ratio slabs is significantly inferior,and the slab back exhibits further cracks.(3)As the hammer height increases,the slab failure mode undergoes a transformation,shifting from local failure by stamping and overall failure by stamping to local-overall coupling failure and local failure by punching.(4)Three failure mode thresholds have been established,and by comparing the peak impact force with the failure thresholds,the failure mode of the slab can be effectively determined. 展开更多
关键词 Reinforced concrete slab Drop hammer impact test Dynamic response Crack propagation Failure mode
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Effect of Row Spacing Configuration Modes on Growth and Development of Xinluzao 63 and Amount of Residual Film in Agricultural Fields
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作者 Na LIU Wushiken +3 位作者 Honghao ZHANG Xia YAN Huzi CONG Lin LI 《Plant Diseases and Pests》 2025年第1期20-23,33,共5页
[Objectives]To provide a reference for the promotion of appropriate row spacing configuration modes for cotton planting in the Bortala Mongol Autonomous Prefecture of Xinjiang.[Methods]Xinluzao 63 was employed as the ... [Objectives]To provide a reference for the promotion of appropriate row spacing configuration modes for cotton planting in the Bortala Mongol Autonomous Prefecture of Xinjiang.[Methods]Xinluzao 63 was employed as the research subject to examine the effects of three different configuration modes:three rows with one film,four rows with one film,and six rows with one film,on the growth and development of cotton,as well as on yield and the amount of residual film in the field.[Results]In comparison to the configuration modes of four rows with one film and six rows with one film,the development process in the row spacing configuration mode of three rows with one film was accelerated by 1-4 d.This configuration mode exhibited variability in several agronomic traits,particularly in plant height,the number of fruiting branches per plant,and the number of leaves per plant,with the observed trend indicating T3>T2>T1.Conversely,the height of the first fruiting branch node displayed an inverse trend.In terms of yield composition,no significant differences were observed in boll weight and yield among various configuration modes.However,T3 exhibited the highest boll weight at 5.68 g and a yield of 462.67 kg/667 m 2.Additionally,significant differences were noted in harvesting density and the number of bolls per plant.T3 demonstrated the lowest harvesting density at 1.11×104 plants/666.7 m 2,the highest number of bolls per plant at 8.63,and the highest boll opening rate at 97.48%.Furthermore,T3 also resulted in the least amount of agricultural film residue during the current season.[Conclusions]Among the three planting configuration modes examined,the low-density planting configuration mode consisting of three rows and one film demonstrated a significant advantage at the individual plant level.This approach yielded results comparable to those of the high density planting configuration mode while also reducing costs.Furthermore,low density planting positively influenced the cotton boll opening rate,leading to a decreased amount of residual film and promoting ecological health within the agricultural land. 展开更多
关键词 COTTON Row spacing configuration mode Growth and development YIELD Amount of residual film
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The Month-to-Year Precursory and Synchronous Inherent Connections between Global Oceanic Modes and Extreme Precipitation over China
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作者 Xiaoyu LIU Yu ZHANG +6 位作者 Bian HE Yimin LIU Guoxiong WU Jianjun XU Qing BAO Wenting HU Jiangyu MAO 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2025年第8期1513-1532,共20页
The multiscale variability in summer extreme persistent precipitation(SEPP)in China from 1961 to 2020 was investigated via three extreme precipitation indices:consecutive wet days,total precipitation amount,and daily ... The multiscale variability in summer extreme persistent precipitation(SEPP)in China from 1961 to 2020 was investigated via three extreme precipitation indices:consecutive wet days,total precipitation amount,and daily precipitation intensity.The relationships between precursory and concurrent global oceanic modes and SEPP were identified via a generalized linear model(GLM).The influence of oceanic modes on SEPP was finally investigated via numerical simulations.The results revealed that the climatological SEPP(≥14 days)mainly appears across the Tibetan Plateau,Yunnan–Guizhou Plateau,and South China coast.The first EOF mode for all three indices showed strong signals over the Yangtze River.Further analysis via the GLM suggested that the positive phases of the tropical North Atlantic(TNA)in autumn,ENSO in winter,the Indian Ocean Basin(IOB)in spring,and the western North Pacific(WNP)in summer emerged as the most effective precursory factors of SEPP,which could serve as preceding signals for future predictions,contributing 30.2%,36.4%,38.0%,and 55.6%,respectively,to the GLM.Sensitivity experiments revealed that SST forcing in all four seasons contributes to SEPP over China,whereas the winter and summer SST warming over the Pacific and Indian Ocean(IO)contributes the most.Diagnosis of the hydrological cycle suggested that water vapor advection predominantly originates from the western Pacific and IO in summer,driven by the strengthened subtropical high and Asian summer monsoon(ASM).The enhanced vertical water vapor transport is attributed to stronger upward motion across all four seasons.These findings are helpful for better understanding SEPP variabilities and their prediction under SST warming. 展开更多
关键词 extreme precipitation Asian summer monsoon consecutive wet days oceanic modes generalized linear model ENSO
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