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Uncertainty and sensibility analysis of loss-of-forced-cooling accidents for 150-MWt molten salt reactors
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作者 Kai Wang Chao-Qun Wang +2 位作者 Qun Yang Zhao-Zhong He Na-Xiu Wang 《Nuclear Science and Techniques》 2025年第6期228-239,共12页
Molten salt reactors(MSRs)are a promising candidate for Generation IV reactor technologies,and the small modular molten salt reactor(SM-MSR),which utilizes low-enriched uranium and thorium fuels,is regarded as a wise ... Molten salt reactors(MSRs)are a promising candidate for Generation IV reactor technologies,and the small modular molten salt reactor(SM-MSR),which utilizes low-enriched uranium and thorium fuels,is regarded as a wise development path to accelerate deployment time.Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses of accidents guide nuclear reactor design and safety analyses.Uncertainty analysis can ascertain the safety margin,and sensitivity analysis can reveal the correlation between accident consequences and input parameters.Loss of forced cooling(LOFC)represents an accident scenario of the SM-MSR,and the study of LOFC could offer useful information to improve physical thermohydraulic and structural designs.Therefore,this study investigates the uncertainty of LOFC consequences and the sensitivity of related parameters.The uncertainty of the LOFC consequences was analyzed using the Monte Carlo method,and multiple linear regression was employed to analyze the sensitivity of the input parameters.The uncertainty and sensitivity analyses showed that the maximum reactor outlet fuel salt temperature was 725.5℃,which is lower than the acceptable criterion,and five important parameters influencing LOFC consequences were identified. 展开更多
关键词 Molten salt reactor LOFC Uncertainty analysis sensibility analysis
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Multi-factor analysis of initial poor graft function after orthotopic liver transplantation 被引量:12
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作者 Chen, Hao Peng, Cheng-Hong +5 位作者 Shen, Bai-Yong Deng, Xia-Xing Shen, Chuan Xie, Jun-Jie Dong, Wei Li, Hong-Wei 《Hepatobiliary & Pancreatic Diseases International》 SCIE CAS 2007年第2期141-146,共6页
BACKGROUND: In the early period of orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT), initial poor graft function (IPGF) is one of the complications which leads to primary graft non-function (PGNF) in serious cases. This study s... BACKGROUND: In the early period of orthotopic liver transplantation (OLT), initial poor graft function (IPGF) is one of the complications which leads to primary graft non-function (PGNF) in serious cases. This study set out to establish the clinical risk factors resulting in IPGF after OLT. METHODS: Eighty cases of OLT were analyzed. The IPGF group consisted of patients with alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and/or aspartate aminotransferase (AST) above 1500 IU/L within 72 hours after OLT, while those in the non-IPGF group had values below 1500 IU/L. Recipient-associated factors before OLT analyzed were age, sex, primary liver disease and Child-Pugh classification; factors analyzed within the peri-operative period were non-heart beating time (NHBT), cold ischemia time (CIT), rewarming ischemic time (RWIT), liver biopsy at the end of cold ischemia; and factors analyzed within 72 hours after OLT were ALT and/or AST values. A logistic regression model was applied to filter the possible factors resulting in IPGF. RESULTS: Donor NHBT, CIT and RWIT were significantly longer in the IPGF group than in the non-IPGF group; in the logistic regression model, NHBT was the risk factor leading to IPGF (P < 0.05), while CIT and RWIT were possible risk factors. In one case in the IPGF group, PGNF appeared with moderate hepatic steatosis. CONCLUSIONS: Longer NHBT is an important risk factor leading to IPGF, while serious steatosis in the donor liver, CIT and RWIT are potential risk factors. 展开更多
关键词 orthotopic liver transplantation poor liver function multi-factor analysis
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A Hybrid Neural Network Model for Marine Dissolved Oxygen Concentrations Time-Series Forecasting Based on Multi-Factor Analysis and a Multi-Model Ensemble 被引量:4
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作者 Hui Liu Rui Yang +1 位作者 Zhu Duan Haiping Wu 《Engineering》 SCIE EI 2021年第12期1751-1765,共15页
Dissolved oxygen(DO)is an important indicator of aquaculture,and its accurate forecasting can effectively improve the quality of aquatic products.In this paper,a new DO hybrid forecasting model is proposed that includ... Dissolved oxygen(DO)is an important indicator of aquaculture,and its accurate forecasting can effectively improve the quality of aquatic products.In this paper,a new DO hybrid forecasting model is proposed that includes three stages:multi-factor analysis,adaptive decomposition,and an optimizationbased ensemble.First,considering the complex factors affecting DO,the grey relational(GR)degree method is used to screen out the environmental factors most closely related to DO.The consideration of multiple factors makes model fusion more effective.Second,the series of DO,water temperature,salinity,and oxygen saturation are decomposed adaptively into sub-series by means of the empirical wavelet transform(EWT)method.Then,five benchmark models are utilized to forecast the sub-series of EWT decomposition.The ensemble weights of these five sub-forecasting models are calculated by particle swarm optimization and gravitational search algorithm(PSOGSA).Finally,a multi-factor ensemble model for DO is obtained by weighted allocation.The performance of the proposed model is verified by timeseries data collected by the pacific islands ocean observing system(PacIOOS)from the WQB04 station at Hilo.The evaluation indicators involved in the experiment include the Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency(NSE),Kling–Gupta efficiency(KGE),mean absolute percent error(MAPE),standard deviation of error(SDE),and coefficient of determination(R^(2)).Example analysis demonstrates that:①The proposed model can obtain excellent DO forecasting results;②the proposed model is superior to other comparison models;and③the forecasting model can be used to analyze the trend of DO and enable managers to make better management decisions. 展开更多
关键词 Dissolved oxygen concentrations forecasting Time-series multi-step forecasting multi-factor analysis Empirical wavelet transform decomposition Multi-model optimization ensemble
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Multi-factor sensitivity analysis of shallow unsaturated clay slope stability 被引量:1
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作者 ZhuoyingTan MeifengCai 《Journal of University of Science and Technology Beijing》 CSCD 2005年第3期193-202,共10页
An unsaturated clay slope, with various sloping angles and a thickness of 14 m, consists of backfill, slope soil and residual soil. Slide interfaces were determined by geophysical approaches and the original slope was... An unsaturated clay slope, with various sloping angles and a thickness of 14 m, consists of backfill, slope soil and residual soil. Slide interfaces were determined by geophysical approaches and the original slope was reconstructed. Sub-slope masses were classified based on the varieties of sloping angle. A force recursive principle was proposed to calculate the stability coefficient of the sub-slope masses. The influencing factors such as sloping angle, water content, hydrostatic pressure, seismic force as well as train load were analyzed. The range and correlation of the above-mentioned factors were discussed and coupled wave equations were established to reflect the relationships between unit weight, cohesion, internal frictional angle, and water content, as well as between internal frictional angle and cohesion. The sensitivity analysis of slope stability was carried out and susceptive factors were determined when the factors were taken as independent and dependent variables respectively. The results show that sloping angle, water content and earthquake are the principal susceptive factors influencing slope stability. The impact of hydrostatic pressure on slope stability is similar to the seismic force in quantity. Train load plays a small role in slope stability and its influencing only reaches the roadbed and its neighboring slope segment. If the factors are taken as independent variables, the influencing extent of water content and cohesion on slope stability can be weakened and train load can be magnified. 展开更多
关键词 unsaturated clay slope stability multi-factor sensitivity analysis
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Logistic Regression Analysis of Influencing Factors on Serum ALT and HCV RNA Changes in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C
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作者 Cheng-bao Wang Jian-jie Chen +3 位作者 Hong-ming Nie Feng Gao Hua Lv Hong-ding Li 《国际感染病学(电子版)》 CAS 2012年第2期80-83,共4页
Objective This study was undertaken to investigate the influencing factors on serum ALT level and hepatitis C virus(HCV)RNA titer in chronic hepatitis C(CHC)patients.Methods All patients enrolled into this study were ... Objective This study was undertaken to investigate the influencing factors on serum ALT level and hepatitis C virus(HCV)RNA titer in chronic hepatitis C(CHC)patients.Methods All patients enrolled into this study were anti-HCV positive.Retrospective tracing method was applied to detect serum ALT level and HCV RNA titer and to collect general information of the patients such as genders,age groups,interferon medication history,infection pathways,height and weight.Then the multi-factor analysis was adopted with the application of binominal logistic regression mode.Results The abnormal rate of ALT level was positively correlated to HCV RNA and gender while negatively correlated to interferon medication history and age group,with Wald value of the 4 factors as 39.604,11.823,18.991 and 7.389,respectively.The positive rate of HCV RNA was negatively correlated to interferon medication history and gender while positively correlated to ALT level,with corresponding Wald value of the 3 factors as81.394,7.618 and 27.562,respectively.Conclusions The normal ALT level in HCV infected patients was associated with viral load,age,gender and interferon medication history,while the normal rate of HCV RNA titer was closely associated with gender,interferon medication history and ALT level. 展开更多
关键词 multi-factor logistic regression analysis Hepatitis C virus Chronic Hepatitis C Serum ALT level HCV RNA
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General Economic Analysis about the Wind Farms Repowering in Spain
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作者 Laura Castro-Santos Almudena Filgueira Vizoso +1 位作者 Eugenio Munoz Camacho Luigi Piegiari 《Journal of Energy and Power Engineering》 2012年第7期1158-1162,共5页
Environmental pollution and emissions from greenhouse gases caused by fossil fuel use are a threat to sustainable development. With renewable energy sources, no polluting emissions are released into the atmosphere. Th... Environmental pollution and emissions from greenhouse gases caused by fossil fuel use are a threat to sustainable development. With renewable energy sources, no polluting emissions are released into the atmosphere. Therefore, using these sources on a large-scale is a key to reducing emissions and meeting the commitments established by Kyoto Protocol. Moreover, EU wants that the 20% of energy consumption is renewable in 2020. This study describes economic aspects, such as net present value and internal profitability rate, of the repowering process for the wind farms. Repowering can generate considerably more power with fewer facilities. This process was the result of a growing demand for renewable energies, facilitated by the great potential of wind energy in the north of Spain. The wind farms studied in this work were set up before 1998 and they had obsolete machinery with low power. There are strong indications that repowering is a profitable endeavour. 展开更多
关键词 Repowering viability study wind farms sensibility analysis energy.
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暖湿化背景下西藏地表感热通量时空变化特征及归因分析
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作者 杜军 扎西顿珠 +1 位作者 次旺 平措桑旦 《高原山地气象研究》 2025年第3期24-35,共12页
基于CHEN-WENG感热系数方案,利用1981-2023年西藏38个气象站点观测资料,采用线性方程、R/S分析和逐步回归方法,分析近43 a西藏地表感热通量(Sensible Heat Flux,SH)的时空变化特征及影响因子。结果表明:(1)在空间分布上,西藏各地春、夏... 基于CHEN-WENG感热系数方案,利用1981-2023年西藏38个气象站点观测资料,采用线性方程、R/S分析和逐步回归方法,分析近43 a西藏地表感热通量(Sensible Heat Flux,SH)的时空变化特征及影响因子。结果表明:(1)在空间分布上,西藏各地春、夏两季和全年平均SH呈经向型,秋、冬两季SH为纬向型。近43 a大部分站点春、秋、冬3季和年SH均呈增强趋势,夏季SH趋于减弱。(2)在时间尺度上,西藏平均SH月变化呈5月最大、12月最小的单峰型;季变化为春季最大、夏季次之、冬季最小。近43 a年SH呈“V”型变化,1981-1996年显著减弱(−3.33 W·m^(−2)·(10 a)^(−1)),1997-2023年显著增强(1.70 W·m^(−2)·(10 a)^(−1)),总体上呈弱的增强趋势(0.43 W·m^(−2)·(10 a)^(−1))。夏季SH趋于减弱,其他3季SH倾向于增强,以冬季最显著。夏季平均SH在1980s最强,2000s最弱;其他3季和年平均SH均在1990s最弱,2010s最强。未来西藏夏季SH减弱趋势将持续,其他3季和年SH仍将保持增强趋势。(3)近43 a影响西藏年、季SH的主导气象因子均是地气温差,贡献率为68.6%~89.9%,以春季最小、冬季最大。转折前后对西藏年、季SH变化起主导作用的同样是地气温差,转折后地气温差的贡献率明显增大。气温升温率快于地温造成的地气温差减小是夏季SH减弱的主因;而气温升温率慢于地温引起的地气温差加大是春、秋、冬3季和年SH增强的主导因素。 展开更多
关键词 感热通量 地气温差 风速 时空变化 变化趋势 年代际变化 归因分析
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基于高温显热蓄热的二氧化碳卡诺电池系统设计与热经济性分析
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作者 王文瑞 郝佳豪 +3 位作者 郑平洋 越云凯 杨俊玲 张振涛 《储能科学与技术》 北大核心 2025年第7期2714-2728,共15页
卡诺电池是一种基于卡诺循环的以热能((火用))形式存储电能的热机械式储能技术,具有结构简单、环境友好、经济性高、灵活性强等优势。本文设计了分别基于布雷顿循环和跨临界朗肯循环的10 MW级高温CO_(2)卡诺电池系统,建立了系统与各部... 卡诺电池是一种基于卡诺循环的以热能((火用))形式存储电能的热机械式储能技术,具有结构简单、环境友好、经济性高、灵活性强等优势。本文设计了分别基于布雷顿循环和跨临界朗肯循环的10 MW级高温CO_(2)卡诺电池系统,建立了系统与各部件的数学模型,讨论了不同显热蓄热方式对系统热力学性能的影响规律并进行了热经济性分析。研究发现,在400℃左右的蓄热温度下,本文所提出的布雷顿循环CO_(2)卡诺电池系统往返效率可达66.6%,跨临界朗肯循环CO_(2)卡诺电池系统往返效率可达60.4%。本文还分析了工质流量、高温压缩机入口压力及高温膨胀机入口压力等参数变化对系统性能的影响,针对不同循环过程及组成部件进行了(火用)分析和经济性分析,给出了系统优化建议。综合热力学性能以及经济性评价,采用固体蓄热的跨临界朗肯循环CO_(2)卡诺电池为最优选择。本文研究结果为CO_(2)卡诺电池系统的设计优化与应用提供了一定的参考。 展开更多
关键词 卡诺电池 二氧化碳 高温显热蓄热 (火用)分析 经济性分析
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Carbon Capture,Utilization,and Storage—Review Investigating the Synergistic Impact of CCUS-EOR
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作者 Zhenhua Rui Tingting Liu +3 位作者 Xin Wen Siwei Meng Yang Li Birol Dindoruk 《Engineering》 2025年第5期16-40,共25页
Carbon capture,utilization,and storage(CCUS)represents a critical technological pathway for global car-bon emission reduction.CCUS-enhanced oil recovery(EOR)technology is the most feasible CCUS technol-ogy demonstrati... Carbon capture,utilization,and storage(CCUS)represents a critical technological pathway for global car-bon emission reduction.CCUS-enhanced oil recovery(EOR)technology is the most feasible CCUS technol-ogy demonstrating dual benefits of enhanced energy production and carbon reduction.This study comprehensively described the key influencing factors governing CO_(2)-EOR and geological storage and systematically analyzed reservoir properties,fluid characteristics,and operational parameters.The mech-anisms of these parameters on EOR versus CO_(2) storage performance were investigated throughout CCUS-EOR processes.This paper proposes a coupled two-stage CCUS-EOR process:CO_(2)-EOR storage stage and long-term CO_(2) storage stage after the CO_(2) injection phase is completed.In each stage,the main control factors impacting the CO_(2)-EOR and storage stages are screened and coupled with rigorous technical anal-ysis.The key factors here are reservoir properties,fluid characteristics,and operational parameter.A novel CCUS-EOR synergistic method was proposed to optimize the lifecycle performance of dual objective of EOR and storage.Furthermore,based on multi-objective optimization,considering the lifecycle,a multi-scale techno-economic evaluation method was proposed to fully assess the CCUS-EOR project per-formance.Finally,a set of recommendations for advancing CCUS-EOR technologies by deploying multi-factor/multi-field coupling methodologies,novel green intelligent injection materials,and artificial intel-ligence/machine learning technologies were visited. 展开更多
关键词 Carbon capture utilization and storage(CCUS) CCUS-enhanced oil recovery(EOR) CO_(2)-EOR Synergistic mechanisms multi-factor coupling analysis
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相变储热对多能互补系统性能影响的模拟研究
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作者 王翠苹 田浩宇 +4 位作者 唐晓东 汤瑾 朱晓敏 杨美玲 张雨生 《热科学与技术》 北大核心 2025年第5期470-477,共8页
基于我国的“双碳”目标,为满足北方低碳供暖需求,利用TRNSYS软件设计了含相变储热技术的多能互补系统,采用课题组前期开发的污泥水热解残渣负载三水乙酸钠的复合相变材料的储热物性参数,进行多能互补系统的性能模拟,实现能源系统的稳... 基于我国的“双碳”目标,为满足北方低碳供暖需求,利用TRNSYS软件设计了含相变储热技术的多能互补系统,采用课题组前期开发的污泥水热解残渣负载三水乙酸钠的复合相变材料的储热物性参数,进行多能互补系统的性能模拟,实现能源系统的稳定供热。为获得不同工况下复合相变储热模块的经济效益及节能效果,与以水为介质的显热储热系统进行对比,并在6个典型城市气候条件下,对两种储热方式的多能互补系统进行性能参数的优化。因为复合相变材料使得热泵回水温度稳定,则6个城市内热泵本体性能系数(coefficient of performance, COP)分别提升了20.50%、16.30%、6.20%、0.00%、0.00%和21.90%,相变储热辅助的系统COP数值较显热储热辅助的系统COP数值分别提升了6.90%、-20.30%、-33.90%、48.90%、34.30%和19.30%。结果证明相变材料的应用可以有效改善热泵的运行效率,可以显著提升严寒地区的系统COP数值。由于所用的复合相变材料部分为污泥处理副产物,享受污泥处理补贴,并且多次循环失效后可以重新回收作为污泥处理碳源,因此大大降低了相变储热多能互补系统的全生命周期成本。 展开更多
关键词 空气源热泵 相变储热 多能互补供热 显热蓄热 经济性分析
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Connections between Surface Sensible Heat Net Flux and Regional Summer Precipitation over China 被引量:4
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作者 汤燕冰 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2004年第6期897-908,共12页
Using the observed monthly precipitation and NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) reanalysis surface ?ux data from 1951–2000, the connections between the seasonal SSHNF (Surface Sensible Heat Net Fl... Using the observed monthly precipitation and NCEP (National Centers for Environmental Prediction) reanalysis surface ?ux data from 1951–2000, the connections between the seasonal SSHNF (Surface Sensible Heat Net Flux) over the Asian continent and the regional summer precipitation of China were examined. The patterns of collective and individual correlations were identi?ed. The results indicate that the response of the regional summer precipitation of China to the seasonal SSHNF over the study area varies according to region and season. The interannual variability of summer precipitation anomalies over Xinjiang, the northernmost Northeast China, and the North China Plain are most sensitive to the anomaly of the seasonal SSHNF. There are signi?cant collective correlations between the interannual anomalies of the seasonal SSHNF and summer precipitation over these regions. In contrast, the Southeast Tibetan Plateau, Huaihe River Valley, and surrounding areas exhibit the least signi?cant correlation. Signi?cant individual correlations exist between the summer precipitation over the southernmost Northeast China, East Inner Mongolia, South of the Yangtze River and South China and the seasonal SSHNF in certain seasons over the following areas: near Lake Baikal and Lake Balkhash, near Da Hinggan Mountains and Xiao Hinggan Mountains, as well as the Tibetan Plateau. 展开更多
关键词 surface sensible heat flux summer precipitation correlation analysis
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150 MWt熔盐堆(SM-MSR)反应性引入事故后果的不确定性及参数敏感性分析
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作者 王凯 王超群 +2 位作者 杨群 何兆忠 王纳秀 《核技术》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2024年第11期119-128,共10页
熔盐反应堆是第四代核反应堆的6种候选堆型之一,具有良好的安全特性。反应性引入事故是熔盐堆重要的设计基准事故之一,通过对150 MWt模块化熔盐堆(Small Modular Molten Salt Reactors,SM-MSR)反应性引入事故的分析和研究有利于深入了... 熔盐反应堆是第四代核反应堆的6种候选堆型之一,具有良好的安全特性。反应性引入事故是熔盐堆重要的设计基准事故之一,通过对150 MWt模块化熔盐堆(Small Modular Molten Salt Reactors,SM-MSR)反应性引入事故的分析和研究有利于深入了解熔盐堆的安全特性。研究150 MWt熔盐堆反应性引入事故分析结果的不确定性和参数的敏感性,为熔盐堆设计和安全分析提供重要的支持。采用RELAP5-TMSR程序建立瞬态分析模型,并采用基于蒙特卡罗方法的输入不确定性传递方法研究反应性引入事故的不确定性,通过多元线性回归法分析参数的敏感性。分析结果表明:反应性引入事故堆芯出口温度最高值为727.4℃,低于安全限值(800℃),燃料盐出口最高温度分布符合正态分布。熔盐堆具有良好的固有安全特性,在反应性引入事故下,影响反应堆安全最敏感的5个因素分别为燃料盐密度、堆芯阻力系数、堆芯功率、一回路阻力系数、停堆深度。 展开更多
关键词 熔盐堆 反应性引入事故 安全分析 不确定性分析 敏感性分析
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A Dynamic Model of Sensibility Analysis in Project Evaluation 被引量:2
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作者 YE Minqiang(Dept. of I.B.M., Huaqiao University, Quanzhou, Fujian 362011, China) 《Systems Science and Systems Engineering》 CSCD 1994年第2期125-133,共9页
The study on multi-faCtor Sensibility analysis problem in project evaluation, [1]-I4] gave the static models respectively. In order to raise the practicality and reliability of sensibility analysis,we propoes a dyna... The study on multi-faCtor Sensibility analysis problem in project evaluation, [1]-I4] gave the static models respectively. In order to raise the practicality and reliability of sensibility analysis,we propoes a dynamic model in this paper. Comparing with the above, our model has four special features. First, it is suitable for us to optimize and control the Proceeding Project and evaluate the completed Project as well. Second, it offers quantitative measures of sensitivity formulas. Third,it can evaluate project dynamically so that it can obtain much higher precision and reliability . Fourth,it can deal with Problem which involved in cost of capital fluctuation. 展开更多
关键词 multi-factor sensibility analysis NPV IRR PI sensitiveness orderinng critical point dynamic fluctuation precision reliability.
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青海省多年地表感热通量的时空变化特征 被引量:5
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作者 孙宽 孙雪岩 +5 位作者 唐艳 张亚玲 刘富刚 范克胜 杨子琼 屈志强 《干旱区研究》 CSCD 北大核心 2024年第1期36-49,共14页
选取青海省35个气象站观测数据,基于CHEN-WENG感热系数方案,计算了1980—2017年青海省地表感热通量。利用小波分析、Mann-Kendall突变检验和经验正交函数法(Empirical Orthogonal Function,EOF),对感热通量的时空变化特征及其影响因子... 选取青海省35个气象站观测数据,基于CHEN-WENG感热系数方案,计算了1980—2017年青海省地表感热通量。利用小波分析、Mann-Kendall突变检验和经验正交函数法(Empirical Orthogonal Function,EOF),对感热通量的时空变化特征及其影响因子进行分析。结果表明:(1)1980年以来,青海省全年和各季节感热通量总体上均呈上升趋势,并具有28 a的主周期和约18 a的副周期,冬季的周期变化较为复杂;(2)全年和各季节感热通量与地气温差存在显著相关性,2004—2017年受地气温差增大的影响上升;(3)全年、春季和秋季感热通量与风速存在显著相关性,1980—2004年受风速减小的影响感热通量下降;(4)夏季降水与感热通量呈显著负相关;(5)从空间上看,全年以及春季感热通量呈现出显著的东西分异,秋、冬季表现出一定程度的南北分异。 展开更多
关键词 感热通量 EOF分析 M-K检验 小波分析 青海省
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2000—2018年龙门山生态系统服务价值对土地利用程度的响应 被引量:1
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作者 王飞 董廷旭 张雪茂 《地理空间信息》 2024年第7期108-113,共6页
为揭示土地利用程度对龙门山生态系统服务价值(ESV)的影响,利用GIS空间分析技术定量分析了2000—2018年ESV和土地利用程度的时空演变规律,并利用空间自相关模型探讨了二者的相关性。结果表明,18年间研究区土地利用程度逐渐提高,增长率为... 为揭示土地利用程度对龙门山生态系统服务价值(ESV)的影响,利用GIS空间分析技术定量分析了2000—2018年ESV和土地利用程度的时空演变规律,并利用空间自相关模型探讨了二者的相关性。结果表明,18年间研究区土地利用程度逐渐提高,增长率为0.36%,ESV总量约减少1.2亿元,各地类的ESV敏感性指数均小于1,ESV核算结果可信;该区域ESV空间正向自相关性显著:ESV高—高值区域位于汶川、北川一带,ESV低—低值区域则集中于邛崃、崇州和都江堰等地;该区域土地利用程度对ESV均为明显的负效应,即土地利用程度越高,ESV越低,土地利用方式和程度对ESV具有重要影响。 展开更多
关键词 土地利用程度 ESV 敏感性分析 空间自相关 龙门山地区
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巷道锚杆索支护参数敏感性正交数值模拟研究
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作者 王宇鑫 汪海波 +2 位作者 马守龙 王梦想 吕闹 《佳木斯大学学报(自然科学版)》 CAS 2024年第4期108-113,共6页
巷道锚杆(索)支护参数的确定多借助于经验,为使巷道支护参数设计更具科学性,采用正交数值模拟试验方法研究了不同锚索支护参数对巷道支护效果的影响。选取锚索长度、直径与间排距三个因子,以巷道顶板中心下沉量、两帮中心移进量和塑性... 巷道锚杆(索)支护参数的确定多借助于经验,为使巷道支护参数设计更具科学性,采用正交数值模拟试验方法研究了不同锚索支护参数对巷道支护效果的影响。选取锚索长度、直径与间排距三个因子,以巷道顶板中心下沉量、两帮中心移进量和塑性屈服单元面积为评价指标,确定了巷道锚索支护参数敏感性正交试验方案;根据依托巷道的综合地层柱状图和煤岩体物理力学参数,建立三维数值计算模型、开展不同工况FLAC3D数值模拟计算,得到不同支护参数时巷道围岩的位移云图和塑性区分布特征。对数值模拟结果进行单独极差分析和综合平衡分析,得到各项指标的最优水平以及整体最优因子水平组合,并应用于现场工业性实验,监测结果显示围岩控制效果较好。 展开更多
关键词 巷道支护 正交试验 敏感性 极差分析 数值模拟
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城市快速路出入口间距设计研究——以北京西三环某出入口改造工程为例 被引量:1
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作者 李尚 《城市道桥与防洪》 2024年第6期56-60,共5页
以北京西三环内环丰益桥至丽泽桥段出入口改造为背景,对先入后出的出入口间距进行了分析探讨。分析比较了第7版美国Highway Capacity Manual(2022年版)(以下简称HCM2022)和周荣贵《公路通行能力手册》对交织区通行能力、运行速度、服务... 以北京西三环内环丰益桥至丽泽桥段出入口改造为背景,对先入后出的出入口间距进行了分析探讨。分析比较了第7版美国Highway Capacity Manual(2022年版)(以下简称HCM2022)和周荣贵《公路通行能力手册》对交织区通行能力、运行速度、服务水平的计算结果,对先入后出的出入口间距设计提出了一些建议。基于案例背景,选择流量比、交织区长度为影响因子,分别采用周荣贵的分析方法和HCM2022的分析方法对通行能力、运行速度的敏感性进行对比,分析了两种方法的差异。 展开更多
关键词 出入口间距 交织区长度 交织区 通行能力 敏感性分析
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EXPERIMENTAL ANALYSIS OF THE TURBULENT TRANSFER COEFFICIENT FOR SENSIBLE HEAT IN THE SURFACE LAYER OVER THE QINGHAI-XIZANG PLATEAU
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作者 陈万隆 Anders P.Daniels 《Acta meteorologica Sinica》 SCIE 1989年第1期34-42,共9页
This study deals with the turbulent structure in the surface layer over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau.Using gradient transfer and heat balance methods we have determined the nondimensional coefficient 1/(?)_m(?)h in the ... This study deals with the turbulent structure in the surface layer over the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau.Using gradient transfer and heat balance methods we have determined the nondimensional coefficient 1/(?)_m(?)h in the expression of turbulent transfer coefficient for sensible heat (K_h).It is found that the results are in good agreement with the 1/(?)_m(?)_h obtained by Pruitt,et al.The K_h at a height of 1m under cloudy and cloudless conditions is calculated.Finally,the ratio of K_h to momentum turbulent coefficient over the plateau is compared with those over plains. 展开更多
关键词 OVER EXPERIMENTAL analysis OF THE TURBULENT TRANSFER COEFFICIENT FOR SENSIBLE HEAT IN THE SURFACE LAYER OVER THE QINGHAI-XIZANG PLATEAU
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醒脑静注射液联合纳洛酮治疗急性酒精中毒的经济学分析 被引量:26
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作者 罗骞 涂星 +1 位作者 熊芬 苏芬丽 《西北药学杂志》 CAS 2015年第6期747-750,共4页
目的评价醒脑静和纳洛酮联用及单用纳洛酮治疗急性酒精中毒的成本效果,构建临床决策模型,为其临床安全合理用药提供参考。方法效果指标采用文献分析法计算总有效率,通过对已有研究的间接分析获得;成本指标包括直接医疗成本和非直接医疗... 目的评价醒脑静和纳洛酮联用及单用纳洛酮治疗急性酒精中毒的成本效果,构建临床决策模型,为其临床安全合理用药提供参考。方法效果指标采用文献分析法计算总有效率,通过对已有研究的间接分析获得;成本指标包括直接医疗成本和非直接医疗成本,通过广州市某三甲中医院治疗和收费标准统计获得。并以药价下调10%和护理费用上调10%进行敏感性分析。结果醒脑静和纳洛酮联用及单用纳洛酮的总有效率分别为92.99%和78.10%,期望总成本分别为1 036.46和880.01元,成本、效果值分别为11.27和11.14;成本效果增量比较显示,纳洛酮联合醒脑静组每提高一个疗效百分点需花费约10.51元。敏感性分析结果显示,纳洛酮治疗急性酒精中毒的成本、效果比为11.37,而纳洛酮联合醒脑静治疗急性酒精中毒的成本、效果比为10.98,其比值低于纳洛酮组。结论从临床经济学和社会效益角度出发,建议在针对急性酒精中毒患者的急救治疗时采用纳洛酮联合醒脑静方案。 展开更多
关键词 醒脑静注射液 纳洛酮 急性酒精中毒 成本-效果分析 敏感性分析
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井内温度影响因素的敏感性分析 被引量:17
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作者 钟兵 方铎 施太和 《天然气工业》 EI CAS CSCD 北大核心 2000年第2期57-60,共4页
利用由作者提出的井内流动和传热的三维数值模型计算所得的大量数据 ,文章对影响井内温度的诸多因素进行了较系统的敏感性分析 ,研究表明 :钻井液和地层等的热物理参数以及钻井液的入口温度、循环排量等对井内温度有较大影响 ,因此 ,准... 利用由作者提出的井内流动和传热的三维数值模型计算所得的大量数据 ,文章对影响井内温度的诸多因素进行了较系统的敏感性分析 ,研究表明 :钻井液和地层等的热物理参数以及钻井液的入口温度、循环排量等对井内温度有较大影响 ,因此 ,准确掌握所钻地区地层和井内钻井液的热物理参数值 ,考虑温度压力对热物理参数的影响 ,准确测量钻井液的入口温度、排量等参数值 ,对于井内温度的准确模拟至关重要。 展开更多
关键词 钻井 敏感性分析 井内温度 钻井过程 模拟
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