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Analysis of Renewable Energy Absorption and Economic Feasibility in Multi-Energy Complementary Systems under Spot Market Conditions 被引量:1
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作者 Xiuyun Wang Zipeng Zhang +1 位作者 Chuang Liu Guoliang Bian 《Energy Engineering》 2025年第2期577-619,共43页
As the power system transitions to a new green and low-carbon paradigm,the penetration of renewable energy in China’s power system is gradually increasing.However,the variability and uncertainty of renewable energy o... As the power system transitions to a new green and low-carbon paradigm,the penetration of renewable energy in China’s power system is gradually increasing.However,the variability and uncertainty of renewable energy output limit its profitability in the electricity market and hinder its market-based integration.This paper first constructs a wind-solar-thermalmulti-energy complementary system,analyzes its external game relationships,and develops a bi-level market optimization model.Then,it considers the contribution levels of internal participants to establish a comprehensive internal distribution evaluation index system.Finally,simulation studies using the IEEE 30-bus system demonstrate that the multi-energy complementary system stabilizes nodal outputs,enhances the profitability of market participants,and promotes the market-based integration of renewable energy. 展开更多
关键词 multi-energy complementary systems spot market two-layer optimization new energy consumption
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Design of the Multi-Energy Complementary Distributed Energy System for Towns
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作者 Tieyin Zhang Weihan Song Song +2 位作者 Shubao Wang Yuegang Wang Yukun Chen 《Journal of Power and Energy Engineering》 2021年第4期53-60,共8页
The multi-energy complementary distributed energy system (MCDES) covers a variety of energy forms, involves complex operation modes, and contains a wealth of control equipment and coupling links. It can realize the co... The multi-energy complementary distributed energy system (MCDES) covers a variety of energy forms, involves complex operation modes, and contains a wealth of control equipment and coupling links. It can realize the complementary and efficient use of different types of energy, which is the basic component of the physical layer of the Energy Internet. In this paper, aiming at the demand of the energy application for towns, a distributed energy system based on multi-energy complementary is constructed. Firstly, the supply condition of the distributed energy for the demonstration project is analyzed, and the architecture of the multi-energy complementary distributed energy system is established. Then the regulation strategy of the multi-energy complementary distributed energy system is proposed. Finally, an overall system scheme for the multi-energy complementary distributed energy system suitable for towns is developed, which provides a solid foundation for the development and promotion of the multi-energy complementary distributed energy system. 展开更多
关键词 multi-energy complementary Distributed Energy System System Scheme
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The Study of Long-Term Trading Revenue Distribution Models in Wind-Photovoltaic-Thermal Complementary Systems Based on the Improved Shapley Value Method
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作者 Dongfeng Yang Ruirui Zhang +1 位作者 Chuang Liu Guoiang Bian 《Energy Engineering》 2025年第7期2673-2694,共22页
Under the current long-term electricity market mechanism,new energy and thermal power face issues such as deviation assessment and compression of generation space.The profitability of market players is limited.Simulta... Under the current long-term electricity market mechanism,new energy and thermal power face issues such as deviation assessment and compression of generation space.The profitability of market players is limited.Simultaneously,the cooperation model among various energy sources will have a direct impact on the alliance’s revenue and the equity of income distribution within the alliance.Therefore,integrating new energy with thermal power units into an integrated multi-energy complementary system to participate in the long-term electricity market holds significant potential.To simulate and evaluate the benefits and internal distribution methods of a multi-energy complementary system participating in long-term market transactions,this paper first constructs a multi-energy complementary system integrated with new energy and thermal power generation units at the same connection point,and participates in the annual bilateral game as a unified market entity to obtain the revenue value under the annual bilateral market.Secondly,based on the entropy weight method,improvements are made to the traditional Shapley value distribution model,and an internal distribution model for multi-energy complementary systems with multiple participants is constructed.Finally,a Markov Decision Process(MDP)evaluation system is constructed for practical case verification.The research results show that the improved Shapley value distribution model achieves higher satisfaction,providing a reasonable allocation scheme for multi-energy complementary cooperation models. 展开更多
关键词 multi-energy complementary system cooperative game enhancements to the Shapley value MDP indicators
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面向调峰需求的AI辅助光伏发电预测方法
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作者 杨小丫 陈香玉 +4 位作者 韩雷涛 王柯钦 仇晓龙 祝培旺 肖刚 《新疆石油天然气》 2025年第3期31-40,共10页
随着光伏发电在电力系统中渗透率的持续提升,其出力的随机性与不确定性对电网的灵活调峰能力提出了更高要求。为灵活调峰提供更加精准可靠的预测场景与支撑,提出一种融合模糊聚类、相似日提取与概率预测的智能预测方法。首先,基于皮尔... 随着光伏发电在电力系统中渗透率的持续提升,其出力的随机性与不确定性对电网的灵活调峰能力提出了更高要求。为灵活调峰提供更加精准可靠的预测场景与支撑,提出一种融合模糊聚类、相似日提取与概率预测的智能预测方法。首先,基于皮尔逊相关系数筛选与光伏出力密切相关的气象特征变量,包括温度、湿度、总水平辐照度和倾斜辐照度;随后,采用模糊C均值(FCM)算法对天气类型进行聚类并基于CRITIC方法确定气象变量权重,通过加权欧氏距离在同类天气中提取相似日,构建高质量训练样本;最终,利用结合分位数回归的长短期记忆神经网络(QRLSTM)实现光伏功率的短期概率预测。仿真实验结果表明,该方法在典型晴天、阴天、间歇性多云等多种天气条件下均实现了高精度的预测性能,预测区间置信覆盖率超过90%,平均区间宽度显著低于传统方法,展现出良好的稳定性和泛化能力。研究结论表明,该方法可有效提升光伏功率预测的可信度与鲁棒性,可为多能互补系统中的调度优化提供高质量的不确定性场景支撑。 展开更多
关键词 光伏发电预测 相似日提取 分位数回归 LSTM神经网络 概率区间预测 多能互补系统
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CVaR-based Reserve Optimization for Isolated Multi-energy Complementary Generation Systems in Mixed Time Scale
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作者 Wanxiao Jiang Jichun Liu +1 位作者 Jawad Shafqat Yi Lei 《CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems》 SCIE EI CSCD 2024年第6期2597-2609,共13页
With the rapid growth of photovoltaic integration,the volatility and uncertainty of intermittent photovoltaic injection will dramatically reduce system operation reliability from the generation side.The system operato... With the rapid growth of photovoltaic integration,the volatility and uncertainty of intermittent photovoltaic injection will dramatically reduce system operation reliability from the generation side.The system operator may face certain financial risks brought by unexpected power failure under low operation reliability.Therefore,maintaining sufficient power reserve to meet system operation reliability and reduce risk,especially in an isolated system,is essential.However,the traditional reserve preparation strategy fails to consider the uncertainties of the power generation under the high penetration levels of emerging renewable energy resources.A novel reserve preparation strategy for an isolated system is developed in this paper using a twostage model.In the first stage,the optimal hourly scheduling of an isolated system is determined.In the second stage,a minute level conditional value-at-risk(CVaR)based model is established where the uncertainty of the reserve requirement is introduced with the chance constraint.The proposed discretized step transformation(DST)and subtraction type convolution(STC)methods are utilized to convert the model into mixedinteger linear programming,and finally solved by applying the CPLEX solver.The IEEE 39-bus system is used as the test case to validate the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed two-stage model. 展开更多
关键词 Isolated multi-energy complementary generation system renewable energy RESERVE risk assessment
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Comprehensive evaluation of multi-energy complementary ecosystem based on improved multicriteria decision-making method
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作者 Huang Shuyi Zou Xuetong +1 位作者 Liang Huaguang Chen Jie 《Clean Energy》 EI CSCD 2024年第1期226-236,共11页
The multi-energy complementary ecosystem is an important form of the modern energy system.However,standardized evaluation criteria and the corresponding method framework have not yet been formed,resulting in unclear s... The multi-energy complementary ecosystem is an important form of the modern energy system.However,standardized evaluation criteria and the corresponding method framework have not yet been formed,resulting in unclear standards and irregular processes of its construction.To cope with this issue,a novel comprehensive evaluation framework for multi-energy complementary ecosystems is proposed in this study.First,a 5D comprehensive evaluation criteria system,including environment,economy,technology,safety and systematicness,is constructed.Then,a novel multicriteria decision-making model integrating an analytic network process,entropy and preference-ranking organization method for enrichment evaluation under an intuitional fuzzy environment is proposed.Finally,four practical cases are used for model testing and empirical analysis.The results of the research show that the unit cost of the energy supply and the internal rate of return indexes have the highest weights of 0.142 and 0.010,respectively.It means that they are the focus in the construction of a multi-energy complementary ecosystem.The net flows of four cases are 0.015,0.123,-0.132 and-0.005,indicating that cases with a variety of energy supply forms and using intelligent management and control platforms to achieve cold,heat and electrical coupling have more advantages. 展开更多
关键词 multi-energy complementary ECOSYSTEM comprehensive evaluation intuitionistic fuzzy multicriteria decision-making
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Development of a Capacity Allocation Model for the Multi-Energy Hybrid Power System
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作者 FU Jinming ZENG Guang +1 位作者 JI Yang ZHOU Anqi 《Journal of Thermal Science》 2025年第3期936-952,共17页
The application of multi-energy hybrid power systems is conducive to tackling global warming and the low-carbon transition of the power system.A capacity allocation model of a multi-energy hybrid power system includin... The application of multi-energy hybrid power systems is conducive to tackling global warming and the low-carbon transition of the power system.A capacity allocation model of a multi-energy hybrid power system including wind power,solar power,energy storage,and thermal power was developed in this study.The evaluation index was defined as the objective function,formulated by normalizing the output fluctuation,economic cost,and carbon dioxide emissions.Calculations under different initial conditions and output electric power scenarios were carried out with genetic algorithm.The capacity allocation model was validated with the literature results,with errors of less than 5%.Results indicate that the capacity allocation modes of the multi-energy hybrid power system can be divided into thermal power dominated mode,multi-energy complementary mode,and renewable power dominated mode.In addition,the division of capacity allocation modes is not affected by the weather conditions and energy storage ratio.The capacity factor decreases from 0.4 to 0.24 as the power system changes from the thermal power dominated mode to the renewable power dominated mode.When the output electric power is 240 MW,300 MW,and 340 MW,the optimal energy storage ratio is 10%,18%,and 16%,respectively.The model developed in this study not only enriches the theory of multi-energy complementary power generation but also guides the engineering design of the wind-photovoltaics-thermal-storage system targeting smart grid and be beneficial for the middle-long-term planning of the green and low-carbon transition of the power system. 展开更多
关键词 capacity allocation model multi-energy complementary hybrid energy power system planning scenario energy storage ratio
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Coordinative Optimization of Hydro-photovoltaic-wind-battery Complementary Power Stations 被引量:8
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作者 Yuan An Zehaohan Zhao +2 位作者 Songkai Wang Qiang Huang Xiaoping Xie 《CSEE Journal of Power and Energy Systems》 SCIE CSCD 2020年第2期410-418,共9页
The depletion of fossil energy and the deterioration of the ecological environment have severely restricted the development of the power industry.Therefore,it is extremely urgent to transform energy production methods... The depletion of fossil energy and the deterioration of the ecological environment have severely restricted the development of the power industry.Therefore,it is extremely urgent to transform energy production methods and vigorously develop renewable energy sources.It is therefore important to ensure the stability and operation of a large multi-energy complementary system,and provide theoretical support for the world’s largest single complementary demonstration project with hydro-wind-PV power-battery storage in Qinghai Province.Considering all the multiple power supply constraints,an optimization scheduling model is established with the objective of minimizing the volatility of output power.As particle swarm optimization(PSO)has a problem of premature convergence and slow convergence in the latter half,combined with niche technology in evolution,a niche particle swarm optimization(NPSO)is proposed to determine the optimal solution of the model.Finally,the multiple stations’coordinated operation is analyzed taking the example of 10 million kilowatt complementary power stations with hydropower,wind power,PV power,and battery storage in the Yellow River Company Hainan prefecture.The case verifies the rationality and feasibility of the model.It shows that complementary operations can improve the utilization rate of renewable energy and reduce the impact of wind and PV power’s volatility on the power grid. 展开更多
关键词 complementary system coordinative optimization multi-energy new energy power generation NPSO
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