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FACILITATING REGIONAL SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT THROUGH INTEGRATED MULTI-OBJECTIVE UTILIZATION, MANAGEMENT OF WATER RESOURCES IN THE LANCANG-MEKONG RIVER BASIN 被引量:3
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作者 He Daming Centre for Environmental Evolution and Sustainable Development, Yunnan Institute of Geography, Kunming, China 650223 Hsiang te Kung Memphis University, TN 38152, USA 《Journal of Geographical Sciences》 SCIE CSCD 1997年第4期9-21,共13页
The Lancnag Mekong River is the most important international river across China and Southeast Asia, If it is developed according to 'Great Mekong Subregional Cooperation Plan' [9] prepared by ADB, the area di... The Lancnag Mekong River is the most important international river across China and Southeast Asia, If it is developed according to 'Great Mekong Subregional Cooperation Plan' [9] prepared by ADB, the area directly affected will be up to over 2.32 million km 2, the population over 220 million, and the natural environment, and socio-economic conditions within a large area will be greatly changed. 'Agreement on Cooperation for Sustainable Development of Mekong Basin' signed by the four riparian countries along the lower Mekong River on April 5, 1995 provides a new opportunity for sustainable development of the Basin. According to preliminary analysis, if the multipurpose utilization of the water resources is the target for carrying out integrated planning and management, and the efforts are made 1) to focus on energy exploitation on the Lancang River Mainstream and the tributaries of the lower Mekong River; 2) to build gated weirs at Tonle Sam; 3) to construct spillways at the Mekong Delta; 4) to facilitate flood dykes in big cities and on both banks of the mainstream which are concentrated with population and farmland and liable to be flooded, and 5) to strengthen networks for forecasting hydrological and meteorological conditions, then all problems such as power demand, irrigation, flood, salt water intrusion as well as acid water erosion to soil could be solved without constructing large cascaded stations and dams on the lower Mekong Mainstream. This will not only avoid input of great number of fund, large scale resettlement and land inundation, but also prevent aquatic organisms living in Mekong River from being injured due to dam construction, and promote the sustainable development of the Basin. 展开更多
关键词 Lancang-Mekong River multi purpose planning water resources sustainable development drainage basin.
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Influence of Multi-hole Arrangement on Cooling Film Development 被引量:14
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作者 YANG Chengfeng ZHANG Jingzhou 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2012年第2期182-188,共7页
A series of computations is conducted for many multi-hole arrangements at several blowing ratios to further investigate the evolution of the film from multi-holes. The influence of multi-hole arrangement on effusion f... A series of computations is conducted for many multi-hole arrangements at several blowing ratios to further investigate the evolution of the film from multi-holes. The influence of multi-hole arrangement on effusion film cooling is analyzed and a preliminary relationship evaluating the film development from developing state to developed state is brought forward. Results show that the coolant jets from front rows of multi-holes merge rapidly and the strength of the kidney vortices due to mainstream-coolant jet interaction in the downstream region are mitigated under super-long-diamond arrangement where the streamwise hole-to-hole pitch is bigger than spanwise hole-to-hole pitch. The holes array arranged in super-long-diamond mode is not only in favor of obtaining developed film layer, but also improving averaged adiabatic film cooling effectiveness. 展开更多
关键词 effusion cooling multi-hole arrangement cooling effectiveness film development numerical simulation
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APPLICATION OF NEURAL NETWORK WITH MULTI-HIERARCHIC STRUCTURE TO EVALUATE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF THE COAL MINES
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作者 李新春 陶学禹 《Journal of Coal Science & Engineering(China)》 2000年第2期92-96,共5页
The neural network with multi hierarchic structure is provided in this paper to evaluate sustainable development of the coal mines based on analyzing its effect factors. The whole evaluating system is composed of 5 ne... The neural network with multi hierarchic structure is provided in this paper to evaluate sustainable development of the coal mines based on analyzing its effect factors. The whole evaluating system is composed of 5 neural networks.The feasibility of this method has been proved by case study. This study will provide a scientfic and theoretic foundation for evaluating the sustainable development of coal mines. 展开更多
关键词 neural network multi hierarchic structure sustainable development coal mines
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Information Flow Scheduling in Concurrent Multi-Product Development Based on DSM 被引量:1
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作者 Qing-Chao Sun Wei-Qiang Huang +1 位作者 Ying-Jie Jiang Wei Sun 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2017年第5期1101-1111,共11页
Multi-product collaborative development is adopted widely in manufacturing enterprise, while the present multi-project planning models don't take techni- cal/data interactions of multiple products into account. To de... Multi-product collaborative development is adopted widely in manufacturing enterprise, while the present multi-project planning models don't take techni- cal/data interactions of multiple products into account. To decrease the influence of technical/data interactions on project progresses, the information flow scheduling models based on the extended DSM is presented. Firstly, infor- mation dependencies are divided into four types: series, parallel, coupling and similar. Secondly, different types of dependencies are expressed as DSM units, and the exten- ded DSM model is brought forward, described as a block matrix. Furthermore, the information flow scheduling methods is proposed, which involves four types of opera- tions, where partitioning and clustering algorithm are modified from DSM for ensuring progress of high-priority project, merging and converting is the specific computation of the extended DSM. Finally, the information flow scheduling of two machine tools development is analyzed with example, and different project priorities correspond to different task sequences and total coordination cost. The proposed methodology provides a detailed instruction for information flow scheduling in multi-product development, with specially concerning technical/data interactions. 展开更多
关键词 Concurrent multi-product development Information flow planning Extended DSM Projectpriority
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Development of a Multi KD~* P Controller
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作者 Y.D.Park 1, U.W.Nam 1, Y. J.Moon 1, H.Y.Kim 2 1 (Korea Astronomy Observatory, Taejon 305 348, KOREA) 2 (Department of Space Science in Kyunghee University, Seoul 449 701, KOREA) 《天文研究与技术》 CSCD 1999年第S1期109-113,共5页
We have developed a new multi KD *P controller which enables us to control the high voltage input and three KD *Ps power supply simultanenously for the Solar Flare Telescope (SOFT) in Bohyunsan Optical Astronomy Obser... We have developed a new multi KD *P controller which enables us to control the high voltage input and three KD *Ps power supply simultanenously for the Solar Flare Telescope (SOFT) in Bohyunsan Optical Astronomy Observatory (BOAO). The new KD *P controller permits a very short switching time as well as a stable of electric power supply, making it possible to obtain multiple frames in a single phase of high voltage. Here we have used a 80C196KC microprocessor and three high voltage modules. The rising and falling time of output pulses generated from the new controller is found to be less than 10 -3 sec and the power supply stability is maintained within accuracy of less than 0 1%. The period of a single phase voltage is controlled by user in the range of 0 03sec to 3 seconds. The number of integrated image frames is also set by user up to 256 frames. The present system can be readily utilized to control a wider range of high voltage power by simply modifying software. 展开更多
关键词 development of a multi KD P Controller
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Multi-Objective Optimization of Low Impact Development Designs in an Urbanizing Watershed 被引量:1
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作者 Guoshun Zhang James M. Hamlett +1 位作者 Patrick Reed Yong Tang 《Open Journal of Optimization》 2013年第4期95-108,共14页
Multi-objective optimization linked with an urban stormwater model is used in this study to identify cost-effective low impact development (LID) implementation designs for small urbanizing watersheds. The epsilon-Non-... Multi-objective optimization linked with an urban stormwater model is used in this study to identify cost-effective low impact development (LID) implementation designs for small urbanizing watersheds. The epsilon-Non-Dominated Sorting Genetic Algorithm II (ε-NSGAII) has been coupled with the US Environmental Protection Agency’s Stormwater Management Model (SWMM) to balance the costs and the hydrologic benefits of candidate LID solutions. Our objective in this study is to identify the near-optimal tradeoff between the total LID costs and the total watershed runoff volume constrained by pre-development peak flow rates. This study contributes a detailed analysis of the costs and benefits associated with the use of green roofs, porous pavement, and bioretention basins within a small urbanizing watershed inState College,Pennsylvania. Beyond multi-objective analysis, this paper also contributes improved SWMM representations of LID alternatives and demonstrates their usefulness for screening alternative site layouts for LID technologies. 展开更多
关键词 multi-OBJECTIVE Optimization ε-NSGAII Low Impact development SWMM STORMWATER
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Multi-scale Approaches toward Sustainable Development 被引量:1
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作者 毕晓涛 金涌 《过程工程学报》 CAS CSCD 北大核心 2005年第4期464-472,共9页
Approaches toward the sustainable development need integrated considerations of technical, economical, environmental/ecological and social issues. Current approaches from different disciplines can be grouped into at l... Approaches toward the sustainable development need integrated considerations of technical, economical, environmental/ecological and social issues. Current approaches from different disciplines can be grouped into at least three levels: micro-scale, meso-scale and macro-scale. At the micro-scale, green chemistry carries out chemical activities such as chemical design and synthesis so that environmentally benign chemicals can be synthesized without using and generating hazardous substances. Green engineering, at the meso-scale, develops green industrial processes or clean technologies via pollution prevention and cleaner production, which will cause minimal damages or dangers to the environment and ecosystems when the product is manufactured and used. Industrial ecology at the industrial complex or community level seeks to optimize energy and materials use and minimize waste generation in industrial systems or communities by promoting planned materials and energy exchanges. Incorporation of ecological principles with the life cycle thinking in the chemical pathway synthesis, product design, process development, and industrial system and community planning appears to be the most promising engineering approach in achieving sustainable industrial development. 展开更多
关键词 多尺度方法 可持续发展 污染防治 清洁生产工艺 复合系统 发展经济学
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A Risk-Based Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Approach to Evaluating Transboundary Water Development—The Case of Lower Mekong River Basin
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作者 Nguyen Phuong Lan 《Journal of Environmental Protection》 2021年第5期345-370,共26页
The Lower Mekong River basin (LMB) covers the lower part of the Mekong river basin, including Laos, Thailand, Cambodia and Vietnam. Due to numerous pressures from high population growth and intensive hydropower develo... The Lower Mekong River basin (LMB) covers the lower part of the Mekong river basin, including Laos, Thailand, Cambodia and Vietnam. Due to numerous pressures from high population growth and intensive hydropower development, the LMB has been facing significant challenges concerning its biodiversity and ecosystem. In 2017, Mekong River Commission (MRC), an intergovernmental organisation founded in 1995 among LMB countries, established the Council Study, which analysed the impacts of water development scenarios concerning the environmental, socioeconomic aspects of the LMB. This paper explores the nature of risks to the LMB water development and subsequently evaluates LMB’s water development scenarios described in the Council Study by using a multi-criteria decision analysis (MCDA) method. MCDA method has been widely applied in the field of water resource management in order to assist the decision-making process by systematically evaluating a certain number of alternatives against well-selected criteria through a preference rating scheme. By implementing a risk-based comprehensive assessment of the LMB transboundary water, this study provides insights into the impacts of the increasing risks to the ecosystem and human beings on the water development of the basin over time, which assists to change the awareness and the perspective toward humans’ risks and transboundary river ecosystem of decision-makers. This paper provides valuable recommendations for MRC to improve their policy concerning benefit-sharing scheme, water planning and risk mitigation strategies. 展开更多
关键词 Lower Mekong Basin multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Transboundary River Basin Water development Scenario Ecosystem Risk
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Optimal Groundwater Development in Coastal Aquifers Near Beihai, China 被引量:2
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作者 Zhou Xun Chen Mingyou Wan Li Department of Water Resources and Environmental Engineering, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, China Wang Juping Ning Xuesheng Beihai Institute of Hydrogeology, Engineering Geology and Mineral Resour 《Journal of Earth Science》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2000年第3期140-146,共7页
Groundwater resources occur in a multi aquifer system in the alluvial coastal plain near Beihai, China. The aquifers receive recharge from precipitation, canal and reservoir infiltration, and discharge through subter... Groundwater resources occur in a multi aquifer system in the alluvial coastal plain near Beihai, China. The aquifers receive recharge from precipitation, canal and reservoir infiltration, and discharge through subterranean drainage into the sea and through artificial pumping. A quasi three dimensional finite element model has been used to simulate the spatial and temporal distribution of groundwater levels in the aquifers. Various input parameters were considered in the simulation model. A linear optimization model has been developed for groundwater development within the coastal aquifers. The objective function of the model is to maximize the total groundwater pumpage from the confined aquifer. The control of sea water intrusion is examined by the restriction of the water levels at points along the coast and of the pumping rates in coastal management cells. The response matrix used in the optimization model was generated from the simulation model by forecasting drawdown produced by pumping at a unit impulse discharge. Groundwater development can be primarily optimized by the alteration of the pumping rates of the existing wells. 展开更多
关键词 coastal aquifers multi aquifer system sea water intrusion numerical modeling groundwater development optimization model.
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Resource allocation optimization of equipment development task based on MOPSO algorithm 被引量:9
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作者 ZHANG Xilin TAN Yuejin and YANG Zhiwei 《Journal of Systems Engineering and Electronics》 SCIE EI CSCD 2019年第6期1132-1143,共12页
Resource allocation for an equipment development task is a complex process owing to the inherent characteristics,such as large amounts of input resources,numerous sub-tasks,complex network structures,and high degrees ... Resource allocation for an equipment development task is a complex process owing to the inherent characteristics,such as large amounts of input resources,numerous sub-tasks,complex network structures,and high degrees of uncertainty.This paper presents an investigation into the influence of resource allocation on the duration and cost of sub-tasks.Mathematical models are constructed for the relationships of the resource allocation quantity with the duration and cost of the sub-tasks.By considering the uncertainties,such as fluctuations in the sub-task duration and cost,rework iterations,and random overlaps,the tasks are simulated for various resource allocation schemes.The shortest duration and the minimum cost of the development task are first formulated as the objective function.Based on a multi-objective particle swarm optimization(MOPSO)algorithm,a multi-objective evolutionary algorithm is constructed to optimize the resource allocation scheme for the development task.Finally,an uninhabited aerial vehicle(UAV)is considered as an example of a development task to test the algorithm,and the optimization results of this method are compared with those based on non-dominated sorting genetic algorithm-II(NSGA-II),non-dominated sorting differential evolution(NSDE)and strength pareto evolutionary algorithm-II(SPEA-II).The proposed method is verified for its scientific approach and effectiveness.The case study shows that the optimization of the resource allocation can greatly aid in shortening the duration of the development task and reducing its cost effectively. 展开更多
关键词 resource allocation equipment development task multi-objective particle swarm optimization(MOPSO) develop ment task simulation.
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Value and Development Countermeasures for Modern Agriculture in Suzhou 被引量:1
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作者 Weidong JIN 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2013年第5期12-17,共6页
With advance of urbanization and industrialization, modern agricultural development in Chinas economic developed areas (CEDAs) is greatly restricted by traditional concept. To speed up the development of modern agricu... With advance of urbanization and industrialization, modern agricultural development in Chinas economic developed areas (CEDAs) is greatly restricted by traditional concept. To speed up the development of modern agriculture in CEDAs, this paper takes Suzhou City as an example from theories supporting modern agricultural development. It demonstrates agriculture in CEDAs plays an important role in adjusting supply of agricultural and sideline products, reserving rural labor employment, protecting ecological environment, increasing farmers income, and passing on agricultural culture. It contends that CEDAs should take reserving basic farmland as prerequisite; take adequate supply of primary agricultural products, protection of living environment, maintenance of agricultural landscape, and inheritance of farming culture as objectives; establish perfect modern agricultural system through firmly setting up modern agricultural value concept; increase local public finance input; increase agricultural functional value from technical and management levels, to realize increase of farmers income, promote sustainable development of agriculture, promote integrated urban and rural development, as well as harmonious development of human and nature. 展开更多
关键词 CHINAS ECONOMIC developED areas (CEDAs) MODERN AGR
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MODEL-BASED DEVELOPMENT OF REAL-TIME SOFTWARE SYSTEM FOR ELECTRONIC UNIT PUMP SYSTEM 被引量:1
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作者 YU Shitao YANG Shiwei YANG Lin GONG Yuanming ZHUO Bin 《Chinese Journal of Mechanical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2007年第1期25-30,共6页
A real-time operating system (RTOS), also named OS, is designed based on the hardware platform of MC68376, and is implemented in the electronic control system for unit pump in diesel engine. A parallel and time-base... A real-time operating system (RTOS), also named OS, is designed based on the hardware platform of MC68376, and is implemented in the electronic control system for unit pump in diesel engine. A parallel and time-based task division method is introduced and the multi-task software architecture is built in the software system for electronic unit pump (EUP) system. The V-model software development process is used to control algorithm of each task. The simulation results of the hardware-in-the-loop simulation system (HILSS) and the engine experimental results show that the OS is an efficient real-time kernel, and can meet the real-time demands of EUP system; The built multi-task software system is real-time, determinate and reliable. V-model development is a good development process of control algorithms for EUP system, the control precision of control system can be ensured, and the development cycle and cost are also decreased. 展开更多
关键词 Real-time operating system (RTOS) multi-task V-model development Hardware-in-the-loop simulation system(HILSS) Electronic unit pump (EUP)
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Hot Issues and Trends of Global Forestry Development
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作者 Bin XU Decheng ZHANG +2 位作者 Yanjie HU Shuirong WU Yong CHEN 《Asian Agricultural Research》 2013年第10期100-105,共6页
With acceleration of economic globalization,ecological problem becomes increasingly prominent,and forestry and forest issues become world concerns.Since 1992 United Nations Conference on Environment and Development,su... With acceleration of economic globalization,ecological problem becomes increasingly prominent,and forestry and forest issues become world concerns.Since 1992 United Nations Conference on Environment and Development,sustainable forest management(SFM)becomes a subject of times,and hot issues,such as climate change,assessment of forest resource,biomass energy of forestry,combating illegal timber and relevant international forest product trade,gradually become world concerns.This paper sum up these hot issues,analyzes background and current situations of forestry development,and discusses the development trends of global forestry. 展开更多
关键词 GLOBAL FORESTRY HOT ISSUES Sustainable FOREST mana
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Dominance-Based Rough Set Approach in Selection of Portfolio of Sustainable Development Projects
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作者 Kazimierz Zaras Jean-Charles Marin Bryan Boudreau-Trude 《American Journal of Operations Research》 2012年第4期502-508,共7页
In our study, the Dominance-based Rough Set Approach (DRSA) has been proposed to assist the Board of Directors of the Community Futures Development Corporations (CFDC), the sub-region of Abitibi-West (Quebec). The CFD... In our study, the Dominance-based Rough Set Approach (DRSA) has been proposed to assist the Board of Directors of the Community Futures Development Corporations (CFDC), the sub-region of Abitibi-West (Quebec). The CFDC needs a tool for decision support to select the projects that are proposed by the contractors and partners of its territory. In decision making, a balanced set of 22 indicators is considered. These indicators derive from five perspectives: economic, social, demographic, health and wellness. The DRSA proposal is suitable for the data processing with multiple indicators providing on many examples to infer decision rules related to the preference model. In this paper we show that decision rules developed with the use of rough set theory allow us to simplify the process of selecting a portfolio for sustainable development by reducing a number of redundant indicators and identifying the critical values of selected indicators. 展开更多
关键词 ROUGH SET Theory Dominance-Based ROUGH SET Approach SELECTION of PORTFOLIO Projects multi-CRITERIA Analysis SUSTAINABLE development
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厚层非均质气藏控水开发研究方法及发展方向 被引量:1
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作者 汪周华 吴金川 +4 位作者 涂汉敏 任俊杰 赵春兰 廖浩奇 张鑫桐 《天然气勘探与开发》 2026年第1期51-62,共12页
为了实现厚层非均质气藏高效开发、均衡动用和水侵控制的协同调控,采用文献调查法对厚层非均质气藏的干扰渗流规律、水侵模式、控水开发相关方向的研究方法进行了系统梳理并预测分析了其发展方向。研究结果表明:(1)在传统物理模拟尺度,... 为了实现厚层非均质气藏高效开发、均衡动用和水侵控制的协同调控,采用文献调查法对厚层非均质气藏的干扰渗流规律、水侵模式、控水开发相关方向的研究方法进行了系统梳理并预测分析了其发展方向。研究结果表明:(1)在传统物理模拟尺度,非均质性受限、物理场表征精度不足,难以反映厚层气藏开发中物理场的空间分布特征及干扰渗流特性;(2)厚层气藏中流体运移受非均质、多渗流效应的综合影响,传统理论未耦合多向非均质与非线性渗流的协同效应,表征失真;(3)厚层气藏储量动用与稳定控水互相制约、互相耦合,单目标数值模拟优化技术难以量化二者之间的作用机制,无法科学合理确定实现两者最优的平衡点;(4)高相似度大尺度物理模型及其物理场可视化精细表征、双向非均质—多场耦合—多相渗流协同数学模型、融合物理约束与深度学习的智能数值模拟平台、“均衡开发—水侵调控”协同决策系统是未来厚层非均质气藏控水开发的技术发展趋势。结论认为:厚层非均质气藏储量动用与稳定控水互相制约、互相耦合,量化二者之间的协同机制,构建多维协同优化方法是该类气藏在合理控制压力下均衡控水开发的攻关研究方向。 展开更多
关键词 厚层非均质气藏 控水开发 干扰渗流 水侵特征 高精度物理模拟 多场耦合模型 多目标智能优化
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多种政策组合下中国林业高质量发展的系统动力学仿真研究
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作者 谢煜 张雨桐 张智光 《南京林业大学学报(自然科学版)》 北大核心 2026年第1期263-273,共11页
【目的】林业高质量发展系统内部机理复杂,需通过不同政策组合的优化配置,加强林业高质量发展的政策体系建设,以满足林业高质量发展对于经济、生态和社会多重目标的协调要求。【方法】基于新发展理念,从科技创新、产业协调、民生福祉、... 【目的】林业高质量发展系统内部机理复杂,需通过不同政策组合的优化配置,加强林业高质量发展的政策体系建设,以满足林业高质量发展对于经济、生态和社会多重目标的协调要求。【方法】基于新发展理念,从科技创新、产业协调、民生福祉、绿色发展4个维度构建林业高质量发展系统仿真模型,对4种政策导向下不同政策组合情景的2021—2035年中国林业高质量发展水平进行仿真模拟。【结果】①2035年中国林业高质量发展将达到中高水平,且在一定的政策组合下可达到高水平;②单一政策模式下科技创新投入政策的治理效果最优;③政策组合模式的发展潜力优于单一政策模式;④随着政策数量的叠加,边际效果也有所降低。【结论】根据优先级排序,科技创新和绿色发展应作为当下政策实施的重点,产业结构调整和民生福祉改善则作为长期目标进行推进;推行多部门参与的组合政策,提升林业高质量发展水平;政策制定者需在宏观层面进行统筹,避免多个政策的重复或冲突。 展开更多
关键词 林业高质量发展 系统动力学 多情景模拟 政策仿真
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重大国家战略区域建设的共同富裕效应
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作者 刘耀彬 陈利鹏 程时雄 《财经研究》 北大核心 2026年第1期19-35,共17页
以高水平区域协调发展推动共同富裕,是迈向中国式现代化的关键环节和内在要求。文章基于2008—2022年中国280个地级及以上城市的面板数据,构建多期双重差分模型,系统考察了重大国家战略区域建设对共同富裕的影响及其机制。研究发现,重... 以高水平区域协调发展推动共同富裕,是迈向中国式现代化的关键环节和内在要求。文章基于2008—2022年中国280个地级及以上城市的面板数据,构建多期双重差分模型,系统考察了重大国家战略区域建设对共同富裕的影响及其机制。研究发现,重大国家战略区域建设显著促进了共同富裕,该结论在考虑内生性问题并经过一系列稳健性检验后依然成立。机制检验表明,重大国家战略区域建设通过促进区域间劳动、资本与技术要素流动,激发区域内结构效应、规模效应和技术效应,加快形成优势互补、高质量发展的区域经济布局,从而有效推动共同富裕。异质性分析显示,在行政级别、城镇化水平以及市场化程度较高的地区,上述促进作用更加显著。分区域分析发现,京津冀协同发展、长江经济带发展和长三角一体化战略的共同富裕效应尤为突出。文章不仅丰富了区域协调发展与共同富裕关系的理论研究,也印证了重大国家战略区域建设在推进中国式现代化、实现全体人民共同富裕中的关键作用,为相关政策优化提供了实践支撑与决策参考。 展开更多
关键词 重大国家战略区域 区域协调发展 共同富裕 多期双重差分模型
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气藏提高采收率理念、技术划代及现场实践
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作者 位云生 闫海军 +7 位作者 郭建林 王军磊 唐海发 郭智 齐亚东 朱汉卿 王忠楠 高艳玲 《石油勘探与开发》 北大核心 2026年第2期408-419,共12页
从第一性原理出发,系统梳理气藏开发机制,提出气藏“全生命周期提高采收率”开发理念,在此基础上遵循科学性、实用性及可对比性原则,构建气藏提高采收率技术划代体系。研究表明:①天然气的性质决定了气藏以“压力衰竭发挥气体弹性能量... 从第一性原理出发,系统梳理气藏开发机制,提出气藏“全生命周期提高采收率”开发理念,在此基础上遵循科学性、实用性及可对比性原则,构建气藏提高采收率技术划代体系。研究表明:①天然气的性质决定了气藏以“压力衰竭发挥气体弹性能量”为主的开发机制与“一次衰竭开发为主、后期有限调整为辅”的开发模式,开发早期以优化部署与风险预控为核心,开发后期则以局部针对性调整与整体协同调控为核心。②一次采气依靠天然能量衰竭开发,采出程度可达25%~55%;二次采气通过排堵注采主动调控气藏压力场开发,采出程度可提高10~15个百分点;三次采气通过多机理协同改变气藏物理化学场开发,采出程度可再提高5~10个百分点。③目前一次采气技术成熟配套,“井网+缝网”协同优化可实现气驱气藏储量有效动用,开发技术政策优化可实现水驱气藏储量有序动用;二次采气技术处于矿场试验阶段,通过主动强排水、堵阻水与注气等压力场调控手段,可有效遏制水侵,释放水封气;三次采气尚处于室内实验或先导试验阶段。④未来应积极发展“一二结合”、“一三结合”跨代技术,实现气藏全生命周期采收率的持续提升。 展开更多
关键词 天然气藏 提高采收率 技术划代 衰竭开发 压力场调控 物理化学场调控 多机理协同
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何以实现生成式人工智能技术的安全治理?——基于信息生态系统的博弈分析
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作者 马晓飞 王佳 《技术经济》 北大核心 2026年第3期81-97,共17页
生成式人工智能的飞速发展在加快形成新质生产力等方面成效显著,但其面临的数据、信息、内容等方面的治理挑战亟待解决,急需在技术发展与安全之间寻找平衡点。基于信息生态系统理论,构建生成式人工智能服务管理者、提供者、使用者三方... 生成式人工智能的飞速发展在加快形成新质生产力等方面成效显著,但其面临的数据、信息、内容等方面的治理挑战亟待解决,急需在技术发展与安全之间寻找平衡点。基于信息生态系统理论,构建生成式人工智能服务管理者、提供者、使用者三方主体协同治理博弈模型,进行数值仿真分析发现:①生成式人工智能安全治理是一个多主体协同参与的过程,该过程受生态因素影响,加大各主体的共治收益及负面治理行为带来的损失都有利于促进信息生态系统稳定于{严格监管,积极治理,合规使用}的理想状态。②形象因素方面,提高生成式人工智能服务管理者的监管形象收益和提供者的声誉形象收益都可促进信息生态系统向理想状态进化。③奖惩因素方面,提高管理者对提供者的奖励及提供者对使用者的奖励虽然会使实施奖励一方自身利益稍有损失,但可促进整个信息生态系统向理想状态进化,其中管理者给予的奖励存在有效阈值;加大管理者和提供者实施惩罚的力度可促进三方协同共治。④超额收益因素方面,压缩提供者及使用者的超额收益空间可促进三方协同共治。研究结论为制定生成式人工智能技术安全治理策略提供了理论支撑,进而推动形成健康有序的网络生态。 展开更多
关键词 发展与安全 生成式人工智能 多主体协同治理 信息生态系统 演化博弈
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海洋石油新质生产力和未来发展战略研究
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作者 李建波 《中外能源》 2026年第3期8-14,共7页
在全球能源转型加速、中国统筹能源安全与“双碳”目标的背景下,海洋石油产业正面临资源劣质化、环保约束强化以及传统模式效益下降等多重挑战。为了有效应对这些系统性挑战,未来发展需遵循“绿色化奠定可持续发展基础、智能化提供核心... 在全球能源转型加速、中国统筹能源安全与“双碳”目标的背景下,海洋石油产业正面临资源劣质化、环保约束强化以及传统模式效益下降等多重挑战。为了有效应对这些系统性挑战,未来发展需遵循“绿色化奠定可持续发展基础、智能化提供核心驱动力、融合化拓展多元价值空间”的内在逻辑,推动产业系统性革命,培育新质生产力。未来海洋石油企业的发展定位要从“油气生产商”转向“海洋能源资源经营商”,按照稳油增气、减碳赋能、融链升维三位一体战略部署,实施三大路径:绿色化路径聚焦全链条减排与资源劣质化破解;智能化路径旨在构建全场景无人智能运营体系;融合化路径着力打造海上多能互补综合体和新型海洋空间服务体系。为确保战略路径有效落地实施,需规划清晰的重点投资方向,部署具有牵引性的重大工程,并构建强有力的配套保障体系。 展开更多
关键词 海洋石油 新质生产力 绿色化 智能化 融合化 多能互补
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