Estimating long-term creep deformation and life of materials is an effective way to ensure the service safety and to reduce the cost of long-term integrity evaluation of high temperature structural materials.Since the...Estimating long-term creep deformation and life of materials is an effective way to ensure the service safety and to reduce the cost of long-term integrity evaluation of high temperature structural materials.Since the 1980 s, the θ projection model has been widely used for predicting creep lives due to its ability to capture the characteristic transitions observed in creep curves obtained under constant true stress conditions. However, the creep rupture behavior under constant load or engineering stress conditions cannot be simulated accurately using this model because of the different stress states. In this paper, creep curves obtained under constant load conditions were analyzed using a modified θ projection model by considering the increase in true stress with creep deformation during the creep tests. This model is expressed as ε = θ_1(1-e^(-θ_2t)) + θ3 e^(θ_4e^θ5^εt)-1, and was validated using the creep curves of K465 and DZ125 superalloys tested at a range of temperatures and engineering stresses. Moreover, it was shown that the predictive capability of the modified θ projection model was significantly improved over the original one, as it reduces the prediction uncertainty from a range of 10% to 20% to below 5%. Meanwhile,it was shown that the model can be reasonably used for predicting constant stress creep conditions, when appropriate parameters are used. The prediction performance of the modified model will be discussed in another paper. The results of this study show great potential for the evaluation and assessment of the service safety of structural materials used in applications where designs are limited by creep deformation.展开更多
To minimize the deviation of the predicted creep curves obtained under constant load conditions by the original θ projection model, a new modified version that can be expressed by ε = θ_1(1-e^(-θ2t)) +θ3 (e^(θ_...To minimize the deviation of the predicted creep curves obtained under constant load conditions by the original θ projection model, a new modified version that can be expressed by ε = θ_1(1-e^(-θ2t)) +θ3 (e^(θ_4e^θ5^εt)-1), was derived and experimentally validated in our last study. In the present study, the predictive capability of the modified θ projection model was investigated by comparing the simulated and experimentally determined creep curves of K465 and DZ125 superalloys over a range of temperatures and stresses. Furthermore, the linear relationship between creep temperature and initial stress was extended to the 5-parameter model. The results indicated that the modified model could be used as a creep life prediction method, as it described the creep curve shape and resulted in predictions that fall within a specified error interval. Meanwhile, this modified model provides a more accurate way of describing creep curves under constant load conditions. The limitations and future direction of the modified model were also discussed. In addition, this modified θ projection model shows great potential for the evaluation and assessment of the service safety of structural materials used in components governed by creep deformation.展开更多
During a hypothetical severe accident of light water reactors,the reactor pressure vessel(RPV) could fail due to its creep under the influence of high-temperature corium.Hence,modelling of creep behavior of the RPV is...During a hypothetical severe accident of light water reactors,the reactor pressure vessel(RPV) could fail due to its creep under the influence of high-temperature corium.Hence,modelling of creep behavior of the RPV is paramount to reactor safety analysis since it predicts the transition point of accident progression from in-vessel to ex-vessel phase.In the present study we proposed a new creep model for the classical French RPV steel 16 MND5,which is adapted from the "theta-projection model" and contains all three stages of a creep process.Creep curves are expressed as a function of time with five model parameters θ_i(i=1-4 and m).A model parameter dataset was constructed by fitting experimental creep curves into this function.To correlate the creep curves for different temperatures and stress loads,we directly interpolate the model’s parameters θ_i(i=1-4 and m) from this dataset,in contrast to the conventional "theta-projection model" which employs an extra single correlation for each θ_i(i=1-4 andm),to better accommodate all experimental curves over the wide ranges of temperature and stress loads.We also put a constraint on the trend of the creep strain that it would monotonically increase with temperature and stress load.A good agreement was achieved between each experimental creep curve and corresponding model’s prediction.The widely used time-hardening and strain-hardening models were performing reasonably well in the new method.展开更多
As a crucial human activity,dam construction can profoundly impact the surface hydrology patterns.The Three Gorges Reservoir(TGR),as one of the largest hydraulic engineering projects in the world,has gained continuous...As a crucial human activity,dam construction can profoundly impact the surface hydrology patterns.The Three Gorges Reservoir(TGR),as one of the largest hydraulic engineering projects in the world,has gained continuous attention for its eco-hydrological effects.However,further investigation is necessary to understand the runoff and social impacts of the TGR on the Upper Yangtze River.This study first employed a modified SWAT model to simulate runoff,compared scenarios with and without the TGR,and finally evaluated water supply and demand in the Upper Yangtze River.The results showed a significant increasing trend in the surface water area of the Upper Yangtze River from 2000-2020.The modified SWAT model performs well in simulating the runoff,with Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency and Percent Bias improved by 0.04-0.30 and 2-31.90,respectively.Scenario simulation results revealed that the TGR reduced seasonal differences in runoff.During the flood season,the runoff volume at the Yichang Station in the scenario with the TGR is lower than in the scenario without the TGR,peaking at 4500 m3/s.Conversely,in the dry season,the runoff volume of the scenario with TGR is higher,with a maximum increase of 1500 m3/s.The region exhibiting the greatest runoff variations is the Yangtze River's main stem in the Three Gorges Reservoir region.Besides,the TGR notably alleviated the water supply-demand imbalance in Chongqing during the winter and spring seasons,with a maximum increase of 0.16 in the supplydemand index.This study can contribute significantly to understanding the natural and social impacts of the TGR from the perspective of hydrological and scenario simulation.展开更多
To investigate the performance of utilizing the shape memory effect of SMA(Shape Memory Alloy)wire to generate recovery stress,this paper performed single heating recovery stress tests and reciprocating heating-coolin...To investigate the performance of utilizing the shape memory effect of SMA(Shape Memory Alloy)wire to generate recovery stress,this paper performed single heating recovery stress tests and reciprocating heating-cooling recovery stress tests on SMA wire under varying initial strain conditions.The effects of various strains and different energized heating methods on the recovery stress of SMA wires were explored in the single heating tests.The SMA wire was strained from 2%to 8%initially,and two distinct heating approaches were employed:one using a large current interval for rapid heating and one using a small current interval for slower heating.The experimental outcomes reveal that during a single heating cycle,the temperature-recovery stress relationship of SMA wire exhibits three distinct stages:the martensite phase stage,the transition stage from martensite to austenite phase,and the austenite phase stage.Notably,the choice of heating method does not influence the maximum recovery stress value,and the correlation between initial strain and maximum recovery stress is predominantly linear.Moreover,conducting the reciprocating temperature rise and fall performance test is important to better simulate the scenario in practical engineering where multiple recovery stress in SMA wires for structural repair.In this test,two temperature cycling methods were studied:interval rise and fall,as well as direct rise and fall.In the case of utilizing the interval temperature rise and fall method,it was observed that the recovery stress associated with cooling was significantly higher than that corresponding to heating at the same temperature.Furthermore,the recovery stress was lower upon subsequent heating than that measured during the previous heating cycle.Based on the experimental results,a prediction model for the temperature-recovery stress relationship has been proposed to simplify numerical calculations.It is hoped that an approximate temperaturerecovery stress curve can be obtained from the parameters of the SMA wire.The calculated values derived from this model show good alignment with the measured values,indicating its reliability.展开更多
Revealing regional climate changes is vital for policymaking activities related to climate change adaptation and mitigation.South China is a well-developed region with a dense population,but the level of uncertainty i...Revealing regional climate changes is vital for policymaking activities related to climate change adaptation and mitigation.South China is a well-developed region with a dense population,but the level of uncertainty in climate projections remains to be evaluated in detail.In this study,we comprehensively assessed the historical simulations and future projections of climate change in South China based on CMIP5/CMIP6 models.We show evidence that CMIP5/CMIP6 models can skillfully reproduce the observed distributions of annual/seasonal mean temperature but show much lower skill for precipitation.CMIP6 outperforms CMIP5 in the historical simulations,as evidenced by more models with lower bias magnitude and higher skill scores.During 2021–2100,the annual mean temperature over South China is projected to increase significantly at a rate of 0.53(0.42–0.63)and 0.59(0.52–0.66)℃(10 yr)^(-1),while precipitation is projected to increase slightly at a rate of 0.78(0.15–1.56)and 1.52(0.91–2.30)%(10 yr)^(-1),under the RCP8.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios,respectively.CMIP6 models project larger annual/seasonal mean temperature and precipitation trends than CMIP5 models under equivalent scenarios.The temperature in South China is projected to increase robustly by more than1.5℃during 2041–2060 under RCP4.5 and SSP2-4.5,but by 4.5℃during 2081–2100,under RCP8.5 and SSP5-8.5 with respect to 1850–1900.The uncertainty in temperature projections is mainly dominated by model uncertainty and scenario uncertainty,while internal uncertainty contributes some of the uncertainty during the near-term.The uncertainty in precipitation projection stems mainly from internal uncertainty and model uncertainty.For both the temperature and precipitation projection uncertainty,the relative sizes of contributions from the main contributors vary with time and show obvious seasonal differences.展开更多
Localized rock failures,like cracks or shear bands,demand specific attention in modeling for solids and structures.This is due to the uncertainty of conventional continuum-based mechanical models when localized inelas...Localized rock failures,like cracks or shear bands,demand specific attention in modeling for solids and structures.This is due to the uncertainty of conventional continuum-based mechanical models when localized inelastic deformation has emerged.In such scenarios,as macroscopic inelastic reactions are primarily influenced by deformation and microstructural alterations within the localized area,internal variables that signify these microstructural changes should be established within this zone.Thus,localized deformation characteristics of rocks are studied here by the preset angle shear experiment.A method based on shear displacement and shear stress differences is proposed to identify the compaction,yielding,and residual points for enhancing the model's effectiveness and minimizing subjective influences.Next,a mechanical model for the localized shear band is depicted as an elasto-plastic model outlining the stress-displacement relation across both sides of the shear band.Incorporating damage theory and an elasto-plastic model,a proposed damage model is introduced to replicate shear stressdisplacement responses and localized damage evolution in intact rocks experiencing shear failure.Subsequently,a novel nonlinear mathematical model based on modified logistic growth theory is proposed for depicting the shear band's damage evolution pattern.Thereafter,an innovative damage model is proposed to effectively encompass diverse rock material behaviors,including elasticity,plasticity,and softening behaviors.Ultimately,the effects of the preset angles,temperature,normal stresses and the residual shear strength are carefully discussed.This discovery enhances rock research in the proposed damage model,particularly regarding shear failure mode.展开更多
While numerous allometric models exist for estimating biomass in trees with single stems,models for multi-stemmed species are scarce.This study presents models for predicting aboveground biomass(AGB)in European hazel(...While numerous allometric models exist for estimating biomass in trees with single stems,models for multi-stemmed species are scarce.This study presents models for predicting aboveground biomass(AGB)in European hazel(Corylus avellana L.),growing in multi-stemmed shrub form.We measured the size and harvested the biomass of 30 European hazel shrubs,drying and weighing their woody parts and leaves separately.AGB(dry mass)and leaf area models were established using a range of predictors,such as the upper height of the shrub,number of shoots per shrub,canopy projection area,stem base diameter of the thickest stem,and the sum of cross-sectional areas of all stems at the stem base.The latter was the best predictor of AGB,but the most practically useful variables,defined as relatively easy to measure by terrestrial or aerial approaches,were the upper height of the shrub and the canopy projection area.The leaf biomass to AGB ratio decreased with the shrub's height.Specific leaf area of shaded leaves increases with shrub height,but that of leaves at the top of the canopy does not change significantly.Given that the upper shrub height and crown projection of European hazel can be estimated using remote sensing approaches,especially UAV and LIDAR,these two variables appear the most promising for effective measurement of AGB in hazel.展开更多
Through modifying the CPN model, a kind of multivariable fuzzy model is put forward, and the matching fuzzy multistep predictive control algorithm is deduced based on the model. The modified model works in a competiti...Through modifying the CPN model, a kind of multivariable fuzzy model is put forward, and the matching fuzzy multistep predictive control algorithm is deduced based on the model. The modified model works in a competitive output manner which results in its local representation property. While studying on line, only a few parameters need to be regulated. So the model has the merits of fast learning and on line self organizing modeling. The control algorithm is simple, adaptive and useful in multivariable and time delay systems. Applying the algorithm in a paper making system, simulation shows its good effect.展开更多
Compaction process simulation and residual stress prediction of green PM compact were carried out with elasto-plastic 3D FEA based on the modified Drueker-Prager Cap model in Abaqus. The model parameters of the invest...Compaction process simulation and residual stress prediction of green PM compact were carried out with elasto-plastic 3D FEA based on the modified Drueker-Prager Cap model in Abaqus. The model parameters of the investigated powder Distaloy AE were determined as functions of relative density through typical mechanical property tests of powder. The model was implemented as a user subroutine USDFLD. Single sided compaction of a d20 ram^5 mm disk green compact of Distaloy AE was simulated, and the residual stress of the disk after ejection was predicted with FEA. The FEA results of the compaction process and the residual stress of the disk show good agreement with compaction experiments and X-ray diffraction measurements, which validates the model and its parameters. The results indicate that the compressive residual stresses exist mainly in a thin layer on the side surface, but the residual stresses are very small on the top and bottom surfaces.展开更多
One of the difficulties frequently encountered in water quality assessment is that there are many factors and they cannot be assessed according to one factor, all the effect factors associated with water quality must ...One of the difficulties frequently encountered in water quality assessment is that there are many factors and they cannot be assessed according to one factor, all the effect factors associated with water quality must be used. In order to overcome this issues the projection pursuit principle is introduced into water quality assessment, and projection pursuit cluster(PPC) model is developed in this study. The PPC model makes the transition from high dimension to one-dimension. In other words, based on the PPC model, multifactor problem can be converted to one factor problem. The application of PPC model can be divided into four parts: (1) to estimate projection index function Q(); (2) to find the right projection direction ; (3) to calculate projection characteristic value of the i th sample z-i, and (4) to draw comprehensive analysis on the basis of z-i. On the other hand, the empirical formula of cutoff radius R is developed, which is benefit for the model to be used in practice. Finally, a case study of water quality assessment is proposed in this paper. The results showed that the PPC model is reasonable, and it is more objective and less subjective in water quality assessment. It is a new method for multivariate problem comprehensive analysis.展开更多
Potential changes in precipitation extremes in July–August over China in response to CO 2 doubling are analyzed based on the output of 24 coupled climate models from the Twentieth-Century Climate in Coupled Models （...Potential changes in precipitation extremes in July–August over China in response to CO 2 doubling are analyzed based on the output of 24 coupled climate models from the Twentieth-Century Climate in Coupled Models （20C3M） experiment and the 1% per year CO 2 increase experiment （to doubling） （1pctto2x） of phase 3 of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project （CMIP3）. Evaluation of the models’ performance in simulating the mean state shows that the majority of models fairly reproduce the broad spatial pattern of observed precipitation. However, all the models underestimate extreme precipitation by ～50%. The spread among the models over the Tibetan Plateau is ～2–3 times larger than that over the other areas. Models with higher resolution generally perform better than those with lower resolutions in terms of spatial pattern and precipitation amount. Under the 1pctto2x scenario, the ratio between the absolute value of MME extreme precipitation change and model spread is larger than that of total precipitation, indicating a relatively robust change of extremes. The change of extreme precipitation is more homogeneous than the total precipitation. Analysis on the output of Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory coupled climate model version 2.1 （GFDL-CM2.1） indicates that the spatially consistent increase of surface temperature and water vapor content contribute to the large increase of extreme precipitation over contiguous China, which follows the Clausius–Clapeyron relationship. Whereas, the meridionally tri-polar pattern of mean precipitation change over eastern China is dominated by the change of water vapor convergence, which is determined by the response of monsoon circulation to global warming.展开更多
Tensile tests at different strain rates(0.0002, 0.002, 0.02, 1000 and 3000 s^(-1)) were carried out for 7N01 aluminum alloy. Low strain rate experiments(0.0002, 0.002 and 0.02 s^(-1)) were conducted using an electroni...Tensile tests at different strain rates(0.0002, 0.002, 0.02, 1000 and 3000 s^(-1)) were carried out for 7N01 aluminum alloy. Low strain rate experiments(0.0002, 0.002 and 0.02 s^(-1)) were conducted using an electronic mechanical universal testing machine, while high strain rate experiments(1000, 3000 s^(-1)) were carried out through a split Hopkinson tensile bar. The experimental results showed that 7N01 aluminum alloy is strain rate sensitive. By introducing a correction scheme of the strain rate hardening coefficient, a modified Johnson–Cook model was proposed to describe the flow behaviors of 7N01 aluminum alloy. The proposed model fitted the experimental data better than the original Johnson–Cook model in plastic flow under dynamic condition. Numerical simulations of the dynamic tensile tests were performed using ABAQUS with the modified Johnson–Cook model. Digital image correlation was used together with high-speed photography to study the mechanical characters of specimen at high strain rate. Good correlations between the experiments results, numerical predictions and DIC results are achieved. High accuracy of the modified Johnson-Cook model was validated.展开更多
Considering the compressibility of the cavity in the cavitating flow, this paper presents a modified k-ω model for predicting the cavitating flow in a centrifugal pump, in which the modified k-ω model and Schnerr-Sa...Considering the compressibility of the cavity in the cavitating flow, this paper presents a modified k-ω model for predicting the cavitating flow in a centrifugal pump, in which the modified k-ω model and Schnerr-Sauer cavitation model were combined with ANSYS CFX. To evaluate the modified and standard k-co models, numerical simulations were performed with these two models, respectively, and the calculation results were compared with the experimental data. Numerical simulations were executed with three different values of the flow coefficient, and the simulation results of the modified k-ω model showed agreement with most of the experimental data. The cavitating flow in the centrifugal pump obtained by the modified k-ω model at the design flow coefficient of 0.102, was analyzed. When the cavitation number decreases, the cavity initially generates on the suction side of the blade near the leading edge and then expands to the outlet of the impeller, and the decrease of the total pressure coefficient mainly occurs upstream of the impeller passage, while the downstream remains almost unaffected by the development of cavitation.展开更多
The reproducibility and future changes of the onset of the Asian summer monsoon were analyzed based on the simulations and projections under the Representative Concentration Pathways （RCP） scenario in which anthropo...The reproducibility and future changes of the onset of the Asian summer monsoon were analyzed based on the simulations and projections under the Representative Concentration Pathways （RCP） scenario in which anthropogenic emissions continue to rise throughout the 21 st century （i.e. RCP8.5） by all realizations from four Chinese models that participated in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 （CMIP5）. Delayed onset of the monsoon over the Arabian Sea was evident in all simulations for present-day climate, which was associated with a too weak simulation of the low-level Somali jet in May. A consistent advanced onset of the monsoon was found only over the Arabian Sea in the projections, where the advanced onset of the monsoon was accompanied by an increase of rainfall and an anomalous anticyclone over the northern Indian Ocean. In all the models except FGOALS-g2, the enhanced low-level Somali jet transported more water vapor to the Arabian Sea, whereas in FGOALS-g2 the enhanced rainfall was determined more by the increased wind convergence. Furthermore, and again in all models except FGOALS-g2, the equatorial SST warming, with maximum increase over the eastern Pacific, enhanced convection in the central West Pacific and reduced convection over the eastern Indian Ocean and Maritime Continent region, which drove the anomalous anticyclonic circulation over the western Indian Ocean. In contrast, in FGOALS-g2, there was minimal （near-zero） warming of projected SST in the central equatorial Pacific, with decreased convection in the central West Pacific and enhanced convection over the Maritime Continent. The broader-scale differences among the models across the Pacific were related to both the differences in the projected SST pattern and in the present-day simulations.展开更多
This is the second part of the authors’ analysis on the output of 24 coupled climate models from the Twentieth-Century Climate in Coupled Models （20C3M） experiment and 1% per year CO 2 increase experiment （to doub...This is the second part of the authors’ analysis on the output of 24 coupled climate models from the Twentieth-Century Climate in Coupled Models （20C3M） experiment and 1% per year CO 2 increase experiment （to doubling） （1pctto2x） of phase 3 of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project （CMIP3）. The study focuses on the potential changes of July–August temperature extremes over China. The pattern correlation coefficients of the simulated temperature with the observations are 0.6–0.9, which are higher than the results for precipitation. However, most models have cold bias compared to observation, with a larger cold bias over western China （5°C） than over eastern China （2°C）. The multi-model ensemble （MME） exhibits a significant increase of temperature under the 1pctto2x scenario. The amplitude of the MME warming shows a northwest–southeast decreasing gradient. The warming spread among the models （～1°C– 2°C） is less than MME warming （～2°C–4°C）, indicating a relatively robust temperature change under CO 2 doubling. Further analysis of Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory coupled climate model version 2.1 （GFDL-CM2.1） simulations suggests that the warming pattern may be related to heat transport by summer monsoons. The contrast of cloud effects also has contributions. The different vertical structures of warming over northwestern China and southeastern China may be attributed to the different natures of vertical circulations. The deep, moist convection over southeastern China is an effective mechanism for ＂transporting＂ the warming upward, leading to more upper-level warming. In northwestern China, the warming is more surface-orientated, possibly due to the shallow, dry convection.展开更多
An unidirectional and bidirectional hybrid connective star network model with coupling time-delay is constructed in this paper. According to synchronization error systems, adaptive controllers for each node are struct...An unidirectional and bidirectional hybrid connective star network model with coupling time-delay is constructed in this paper. According to synchronization error systems, adaptive controllers for each node are structured by using the linear system stability method and the Lyapunov stability method. These adaptive controllers can realize the modified functional projective synchronization between each node of star network and an isolated node by argument and analysis. Finally, the corrective and effective of the adaptive controllers are illustrated by some numerical examples.展开更多
Muon tomography is a capable imaging technique to measure the geometry of high-Z objects. However,most existed algorithms used in muon tomography have obscured the effects of angular distribution and momentum spectra ...Muon tomography is a capable imaging technique to measure the geometry of high-Z objects. However,most existed algorithms used in muon tomography have obscured the effects of angular distribution and momentum spectra of cosmic ray muons and reduced the spatial resolution. We present a modified multi-group model that takes into account these effects and calibrates the model by the material of lead. Performance tests establish that the model is capable of measuring the thickness of a Pb slab and identifying the material of an unknown slab on a reasonable exposure timescale, in both cases of complete and incomplete angular data. Results show that the modified multi-group model is helpful for improvements in image resolution in real applications.展开更多
Considering the discontinuous characteristics of sea ice on various scales,a modified discrete element model（DEM） for sea ice dynamics is developed based on the granular material rheology.In this modified DEM,a soft...Considering the discontinuous characteristics of sea ice on various scales,a modified discrete element model（DEM） for sea ice dynamics is developed based on the granular material rheology.In this modified DEM,a soft sea ice particle element is introduced as a self-adjustive particle size function.Each ice particle can be treated as an assembly of ice floes,with its concentration and thickness changing to variable sizes under the conservation of mass.In this model,the contact forces among ice particles are calculated using a viscous-elastic-plastic model,while the maximum shear forces are described with the Mohr-Coulomb friction law.With this modified DEM,the ice flow dynamics is simulated under the drags of wind and current in a channel of various widths.The thicknesses,concentrations and velocities of ice particles are obtained,and then reasonable dynamic process is analyzed.The sea ice dynamic process is also simulated in a vortex wind field.Taking the influence of thermodynamics into account,this modified DEM will be improved in the future work.展开更多
基金the National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2017YFB0702902)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant Nos.51631008and 51771019)+1 种基金the National High Technology Research Program of China(Grant No.2012AA03A513)the 111 Project(No.B170003)
文摘Estimating long-term creep deformation and life of materials is an effective way to ensure the service safety and to reduce the cost of long-term integrity evaluation of high temperature structural materials.Since the 1980 s, the θ projection model has been widely used for predicting creep lives due to its ability to capture the characteristic transitions observed in creep curves obtained under constant true stress conditions. However, the creep rupture behavior under constant load or engineering stress conditions cannot be simulated accurately using this model because of the different stress states. In this paper, creep curves obtained under constant load conditions were analyzed using a modified θ projection model by considering the increase in true stress with creep deformation during the creep tests. This model is expressed as ε = θ_1(1-e^(-θ_2t)) + θ3 e^(θ_4e^θ5^εt)-1, and was validated using the creep curves of K465 and DZ125 superalloys tested at a range of temperatures and engineering stresses. Moreover, it was shown that the predictive capability of the modified θ projection model was significantly improved over the original one, as it reduces the prediction uncertainty from a range of 10% to 20% to below 5%. Meanwhile,it was shown that the model can be reasonably used for predicting constant stress creep conditions, when appropriate parameters are used. The prediction performance of the modified model will be discussed in another paper. The results of this study show great potential for the evaluation and assessment of the service safety of structural materials used in applications where designs are limited by creep deformation.
基金support provided by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (Grant No.2017YFB0702902)the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.51631008 and 51771019)the National High Technology Research Program of China (Grant No.2012AA03A513) as well as the 111 Project (No.B170003)
文摘To minimize the deviation of the predicted creep curves obtained under constant load conditions by the original θ projection model, a new modified version that can be expressed by ε = θ_1(1-e^(-θ2t)) +θ3 (e^(θ_4e^θ5^εt)-1), was derived and experimentally validated in our last study. In the present study, the predictive capability of the modified θ projection model was investigated by comparing the simulated and experimentally determined creep curves of K465 and DZ125 superalloys over a range of temperatures and stresses. Furthermore, the linear relationship between creep temperature and initial stress was extended to the 5-parameter model. The results indicated that the modified model could be used as a creep life prediction method, as it described the creep curve shape and resulted in predictions that fall within a specified error interval. Meanwhile, this modified model provides a more accurate way of describing creep curves under constant load conditions. The limitations and future direction of the modified model were also discussed. In addition, this modified θ projection model shows great potential for the evaluation and assessment of the service safety of structural materials used in components governed by creep deformation.
基金support from the research programs of APRI,ENSI and NKSsupport of the scholarship awarded by the China Scholarship Council(CSC)。
文摘During a hypothetical severe accident of light water reactors,the reactor pressure vessel(RPV) could fail due to its creep under the influence of high-temperature corium.Hence,modelling of creep behavior of the RPV is paramount to reactor safety analysis since it predicts the transition point of accident progression from in-vessel to ex-vessel phase.In the present study we proposed a new creep model for the classical French RPV steel 16 MND5,which is adapted from the "theta-projection model" and contains all three stages of a creep process.Creep curves are expressed as a function of time with five model parameters θ_i(i=1-4 and m).A model parameter dataset was constructed by fitting experimental creep curves into this function.To correlate the creep curves for different temperatures and stress loads,we directly interpolate the model’s parameters θ_i(i=1-4 and m) from this dataset,in contrast to the conventional "theta-projection model" which employs an extra single correlation for each θ_i(i=1-4 andm),to better accommodate all experimental curves over the wide ranges of temperature and stress loads.We also put a constraint on the trend of the creep strain that it would monotonically increase with temperature and stress load.A good agreement was achieved between each experimental creep curve and corresponding model’s prediction.The widely used time-hardening and strain-hardening models were performing reasonably well in the new method.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Nos.41975044,42371354,41801021,42101385)Open Fund of Hubei Luojia Laboratory(No.2201000043)the Fundamental Research Funds for National Universities,China University of Geosciences,Wuhan。
文摘As a crucial human activity,dam construction can profoundly impact the surface hydrology patterns.The Three Gorges Reservoir(TGR),as one of the largest hydraulic engineering projects in the world,has gained continuous attention for its eco-hydrological effects.However,further investigation is necessary to understand the runoff and social impacts of the TGR on the Upper Yangtze River.This study first employed a modified SWAT model to simulate runoff,compared scenarios with and without the TGR,and finally evaluated water supply and demand in the Upper Yangtze River.The results showed a significant increasing trend in the surface water area of the Upper Yangtze River from 2000-2020.The modified SWAT model performs well in simulating the runoff,with Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency and Percent Bias improved by 0.04-0.30 and 2-31.90,respectively.Scenario simulation results revealed that the TGR reduced seasonal differences in runoff.During the flood season,the runoff volume at the Yichang Station in the scenario with the TGR is lower than in the scenario without the TGR,peaking at 4500 m3/s.Conversely,in the dry season,the runoff volume of the scenario with TGR is higher,with a maximum increase of 1500 m3/s.The region exhibiting the greatest runoff variations is the Yangtze River's main stem in the Three Gorges Reservoir region.Besides,the TGR notably alleviated the water supply-demand imbalance in Chongqing during the winter and spring seasons,with a maximum increase of 0.16 in the supplydemand index.This study can contribute significantly to understanding the natural and social impacts of the TGR from the perspective of hydrological and scenario simulation.
基金financially supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China(Project No.51878156).
文摘To investigate the performance of utilizing the shape memory effect of SMA(Shape Memory Alloy)wire to generate recovery stress,this paper performed single heating recovery stress tests and reciprocating heating-cooling recovery stress tests on SMA wire under varying initial strain conditions.The effects of various strains and different energized heating methods on the recovery stress of SMA wires were explored in the single heating tests.The SMA wire was strained from 2%to 8%initially,and two distinct heating approaches were employed:one using a large current interval for rapid heating and one using a small current interval for slower heating.The experimental outcomes reveal that during a single heating cycle,the temperature-recovery stress relationship of SMA wire exhibits three distinct stages:the martensite phase stage,the transition stage from martensite to austenite phase,and the austenite phase stage.Notably,the choice of heating method does not influence the maximum recovery stress value,and the correlation between initial strain and maximum recovery stress is predominantly linear.Moreover,conducting the reciprocating temperature rise and fall performance test is important to better simulate the scenario in practical engineering where multiple recovery stress in SMA wires for structural repair.In this test,two temperature cycling methods were studied:interval rise and fall,as well as direct rise and fall.In the case of utilizing the interval temperature rise and fall method,it was observed that the recovery stress associated with cooling was significantly higher than that corresponding to heating at the same temperature.Furthermore,the recovery stress was lower upon subsequent heating than that measured during the previous heating cycle.Based on the experimental results,a prediction model for the temperature-recovery stress relationship has been proposed to simplify numerical calculations.It is hoped that an approximate temperaturerecovery stress curve can be obtained from the parameters of the SMA wire.The calculated values derived from this model show good alignment with the measured values,indicating its reliability.
基金jointly supported by the Joint Funds of the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.U2242203)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41905070)+4 种基金the Guangdong Basic and Applied Basic Research Foundation(Grant Nos.2021A1515011421,2023A1515240067,2023B1515020009)the National Key R&D Program of China(Grant No.2018YFC1505801)supported by the Guangdong Provincial Marine Meteorology Science Data Center(2024B1212070014)the China Meteorology Administration Key Innovation Team of Tropical Meteorology(Grant No.CMA2023ZD08)State Key Laboratory of Tropical Oceanography,South China Sea Institute of Oceanology,Chinese Academy of Sciences(Project No.LTO2311)。
文摘Revealing regional climate changes is vital for policymaking activities related to climate change adaptation and mitigation.South China is a well-developed region with a dense population,but the level of uncertainty in climate projections remains to be evaluated in detail.In this study,we comprehensively assessed the historical simulations and future projections of climate change in South China based on CMIP5/CMIP6 models.We show evidence that CMIP5/CMIP6 models can skillfully reproduce the observed distributions of annual/seasonal mean temperature but show much lower skill for precipitation.CMIP6 outperforms CMIP5 in the historical simulations,as evidenced by more models with lower bias magnitude and higher skill scores.During 2021–2100,the annual mean temperature over South China is projected to increase significantly at a rate of 0.53(0.42–0.63)and 0.59(0.52–0.66)℃(10 yr)^(-1),while precipitation is projected to increase slightly at a rate of 0.78(0.15–1.56)and 1.52(0.91–2.30)%(10 yr)^(-1),under the RCP8.5 and SSP5-8.5 scenarios,respectively.CMIP6 models project larger annual/seasonal mean temperature and precipitation trends than CMIP5 models under equivalent scenarios.The temperature in South China is projected to increase robustly by more than1.5℃during 2041–2060 under RCP4.5 and SSP2-4.5,but by 4.5℃during 2081–2100,under RCP8.5 and SSP5-8.5 with respect to 1850–1900.The uncertainty in temperature projections is mainly dominated by model uncertainty and scenario uncertainty,while internal uncertainty contributes some of the uncertainty during the near-term.The uncertainty in precipitation projection stems mainly from internal uncertainty and model uncertainty.For both the temperature and precipitation projection uncertainty,the relative sizes of contributions from the main contributors vary with time and show obvious seasonal differences.
基金supported by the China Scholarship Council Program(Grant No.202008320274)it is also supported by Technical University of Munich.
文摘Localized rock failures,like cracks or shear bands,demand specific attention in modeling for solids and structures.This is due to the uncertainty of conventional continuum-based mechanical models when localized inelastic deformation has emerged.In such scenarios,as macroscopic inelastic reactions are primarily influenced by deformation and microstructural alterations within the localized area,internal variables that signify these microstructural changes should be established within this zone.Thus,localized deformation characteristics of rocks are studied here by the preset angle shear experiment.A method based on shear displacement and shear stress differences is proposed to identify the compaction,yielding,and residual points for enhancing the model's effectiveness and minimizing subjective influences.Next,a mechanical model for the localized shear band is depicted as an elasto-plastic model outlining the stress-displacement relation across both sides of the shear band.Incorporating damage theory and an elasto-plastic model,a proposed damage model is introduced to replicate shear stressdisplacement responses and localized damage evolution in intact rocks experiencing shear failure.Subsequently,a novel nonlinear mathematical model based on modified logistic growth theory is proposed for depicting the shear band's damage evolution pattern.Thereafter,an innovative damage model is proposed to effectively encompass diverse rock material behaviors,including elasticity,plasticity,and softening behaviors.Ultimately,the effects of the preset angles,temperature,normal stresses and the residual shear strength are carefully discussed.This discovery enhances rock research in the proposed damage model,particularly regarding shear failure mode.
基金funded by grants EVA4.0 No.Z.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/16_019/0000803 and ITMS2014+313011W580s provided by EU OP RDEin CZ and SKprojects APVV-18-0086,APVV-19-0387,APVV-20-0168,APVV-20-0215 and APVV-22-0056 from the Slovak Research and Development Agencysupport from the European Research Executive Agency for ReForest,Grant Agreement Nr:101060635
文摘While numerous allometric models exist for estimating biomass in trees with single stems,models for multi-stemmed species are scarce.This study presents models for predicting aboveground biomass(AGB)in European hazel(Corylus avellana L.),growing in multi-stemmed shrub form.We measured the size and harvested the biomass of 30 European hazel shrubs,drying and weighing their woody parts and leaves separately.AGB(dry mass)and leaf area models were established using a range of predictors,such as the upper height of the shrub,number of shoots per shrub,canopy projection area,stem base diameter of the thickest stem,and the sum of cross-sectional areas of all stems at the stem base.The latter was the best predictor of AGB,but the most practically useful variables,defined as relatively easy to measure by terrestrial or aerial approaches,were the upper height of the shrub and the canopy projection area.The leaf biomass to AGB ratio decreased with the shrub's height.Specific leaf area of shaded leaves increases with shrub height,but that of leaves at the top of the canopy does not change significantly.Given that the upper shrub height and crown projection of European hazel can be estimated using remote sensing approaches,especially UAV and LIDAR,these two variables appear the most promising for effective measurement of AGB in hazel.
文摘Through modifying the CPN model, a kind of multivariable fuzzy model is put forward, and the matching fuzzy multistep predictive control algorithm is deduced based on the model. The modified model works in a competitive output manner which results in its local representation property. While studying on line, only a few parameters need to be regulated. So the model has the merits of fast learning and on line self organizing modeling. The control algorithm is simple, adaptive and useful in multivariable and time delay systems. Applying the algorithm in a paper making system, simulation shows its good effect.
基金Project(2009ZX04004-031-04) supported by the National Science and Technology Major Project of the Ministry of Science and Technology of China
文摘Compaction process simulation and residual stress prediction of green PM compact were carried out with elasto-plastic 3D FEA based on the modified Drueker-Prager Cap model in Abaqus. The model parameters of the investigated powder Distaloy AE were determined as functions of relative density through typical mechanical property tests of powder. The model was implemented as a user subroutine USDFLD. Single sided compaction of a d20 ram^5 mm disk green compact of Distaloy AE was simulated, and the residual stress of the disk after ejection was predicted with FEA. The FEA results of the compaction process and the residual stress of the disk show good agreement with compaction experiments and X-ray diffraction measurements, which validates the model and its parameters. The results indicate that the compressive residual stresses exist mainly in a thin layer on the side surface, but the residual stresses are very small on the top and bottom surfaces.
文摘One of the difficulties frequently encountered in water quality assessment is that there are many factors and they cannot be assessed according to one factor, all the effect factors associated with water quality must be used. In order to overcome this issues the projection pursuit principle is introduced into water quality assessment, and projection pursuit cluster(PPC) model is developed in this study. The PPC model makes the transition from high dimension to one-dimension. In other words, based on the PPC model, multifactor problem can be converted to one factor problem. The application of PPC model can be divided into four parts: (1) to estimate projection index function Q(); (2) to find the right projection direction ; (3) to calculate projection characteristic value of the i th sample z-i, and (4) to draw comprehensive analysis on the basis of z-i. On the other hand, the empirical formula of cutoff radius R is developed, which is benefit for the model to be used in practice. Finally, a case study of water quality assessment is proposed in this paper. The results showed that the PPC model is reasonable, and it is more objective and less subjective in water quality assessment. It is a new method for multivariate problem comprehensive analysis.
基金founded by National Key Technologies R&D Program under Grant No.2007BAC29B03R&D Special Fund for Public WelfareIndustry (meteorology) (GYHY200806010)China-UK-Swiss Adapting to Climate Change in China Project(ACCC)-Climate Science
文摘Potential changes in precipitation extremes in July–August over China in response to CO 2 doubling are analyzed based on the output of 24 coupled climate models from the Twentieth-Century Climate in Coupled Models （20C3M） experiment and the 1% per year CO 2 increase experiment （to doubling） （1pctto2x） of phase 3 of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project （CMIP3）. Evaluation of the models’ performance in simulating the mean state shows that the majority of models fairly reproduce the broad spatial pattern of observed precipitation. However, all the models underestimate extreme precipitation by ～50%. The spread among the models over the Tibetan Plateau is ～2–3 times larger than that over the other areas. Models with higher resolution generally perform better than those with lower resolutions in terms of spatial pattern and precipitation amount. Under the 1pctto2x scenario, the ratio between the absolute value of MME extreme precipitation change and model spread is larger than that of total precipitation, indicating a relatively robust change of extremes. The change of extreme precipitation is more homogeneous than the total precipitation. Analysis on the output of Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory coupled climate model version 2.1 （GFDL-CM2.1） indicates that the spatially consistent increase of surface temperature and water vapor content contribute to the large increase of extreme precipitation over contiguous China, which follows the Clausius–Clapeyron relationship. Whereas, the meridionally tri-polar pattern of mean precipitation change over eastern China is dominated by the change of water vapor convergence, which is determined by the response of monsoon circulation to global warming.
基金Projects(51275532,U1334208)supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of ChinaProject(2015BAG13B01)supported by National Science and Technology Support Program,China+2 种基金Project(2016YFB1200602-33)supported by the National Key R&D Program of ChinaProject(NCET-12-0549)supported by the New Century Excellent Talents in University,ChinaProject(CSUZC201527)supported by the Open-Fund for the Valuable and Precision Instruments of Central South University,China
文摘Tensile tests at different strain rates(0.0002, 0.002, 0.02, 1000 and 3000 s^(-1)) were carried out for 7N01 aluminum alloy. Low strain rate experiments(0.0002, 0.002 and 0.02 s^(-1)) were conducted using an electronic mechanical universal testing machine, while high strain rate experiments(1000, 3000 s^(-1)) were carried out through a split Hopkinson tensile bar. The experimental results showed that 7N01 aluminum alloy is strain rate sensitive. By introducing a correction scheme of the strain rate hardening coefficient, a modified Johnson–Cook model was proposed to describe the flow behaviors of 7N01 aluminum alloy. The proposed model fitted the experimental data better than the original Johnson–Cook model in plastic flow under dynamic condition. Numerical simulations of the dynamic tensile tests were performed using ABAQUS with the modified Johnson–Cook model. Digital image correlation was used together with high-speed photography to study the mechanical characters of specimen at high strain rate. Good correlations between the experiments results, numerical predictions and DIC results are achieved. High accuracy of the modified Johnson-Cook model was validated.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grants No. 51179075 and 51239005) A Project Funded by the Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions
文摘Considering the compressibility of the cavity in the cavitating flow, this paper presents a modified k-ω model for predicting the cavitating flow in a centrifugal pump, in which the modified k-ω model and Schnerr-Sauer cavitation model were combined with ANSYS CFX. To evaluate the modified and standard k-co models, numerical simulations were performed with these two models, respectively, and the calculation results were compared with the experimental data. Numerical simulations were executed with three different values of the flow coefficient, and the simulation results of the modified k-ω model showed agreement with most of the experimental data. The cavitating flow in the centrifugal pump obtained by the modified k-ω model at the design flow coefficient of 0.102, was analyzed. When the cavitation number decreases, the cavity initially generates on the suction side of the blade near the leading edge and then expands to the outlet of the impeller, and the decrease of the total pressure coefficient mainly occurs upstream of the impeller passage, while the downstream remains almost unaffected by the development of cavitation.
基金jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41330423, 41205080, and 41023002)the Carbon Budget and Related Issues project of the Chinese Academy of Sciences (Grant No. XDA05110301)the Joint Center for Global Change Studies (Project No. 105019), Beijing, China
文摘The reproducibility and future changes of the onset of the Asian summer monsoon were analyzed based on the simulations and projections under the Representative Concentration Pathways （RCP） scenario in which anthropogenic emissions continue to rise throughout the 21 st century （i.e. RCP8.5） by all realizations from four Chinese models that participated in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 （CMIP5）. Delayed onset of the monsoon over the Arabian Sea was evident in all simulations for present-day climate, which was associated with a too weak simulation of the low-level Somali jet in May. A consistent advanced onset of the monsoon was found only over the Arabian Sea in the projections, where the advanced onset of the monsoon was accompanied by an increase of rainfall and an anomalous anticyclone over the northern Indian Ocean. In all the models except FGOALS-g2, the enhanced low-level Somali jet transported more water vapor to the Arabian Sea, whereas in FGOALS-g2 the enhanced rainfall was determined more by the increased wind convergence. Furthermore, and again in all models except FGOALS-g2, the equatorial SST warming, with maximum increase over the eastern Pacific, enhanced convection in the central West Pacific and reduced convection over the eastern Indian Ocean and Maritime Continent region, which drove the anomalous anticyclonic circulation over the western Indian Ocean. In contrast, in FGOALS-g2, there was minimal （near-zero） warming of projected SST in the central equatorial Pacific, with decreased convection in the central West Pacific and enhanced convection over the Maritime Continent. The broader-scale differences among the models across the Pacific were related to both the differences in the projected SST pattern and in the present-day simulations.
基金supported by R&D Special Fund for Public Welfare Industry (meteorology) (GYHY200806010)China–UK–Swiss Adapting to Climate Change in China Project (ACCC)–Climate Sciencethe National Key Technologies R&D Program under Grant No. 2007BAC29B03
文摘This is the second part of the authors’ analysis on the output of 24 coupled climate models from the Twentieth-Century Climate in Coupled Models （20C3M） experiment and 1% per year CO 2 increase experiment （to doubling） （1pctto2x） of phase 3 of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project （CMIP3）. The study focuses on the potential changes of July–August temperature extremes over China. The pattern correlation coefficients of the simulated temperature with the observations are 0.6–0.9, which are higher than the results for precipitation. However, most models have cold bias compared to observation, with a larger cold bias over western China （5°C） than over eastern China （2°C）. The multi-model ensemble （MME） exhibits a significant increase of temperature under the 1pctto2x scenario. The amplitude of the MME warming shows a northwest–southeast decreasing gradient. The warming spread among the models （～1°C– 2°C） is less than MME warming （～2°C–4°C）, indicating a relatively robust temperature change under CO 2 doubling. Further analysis of Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory coupled climate model version 2.1 （GFDL-CM2.1） simulations suggests that the warming pattern may be related to heat transport by summer monsoons. The contrast of cloud effects also has contributions. The different vertical structures of warming over northwestern China and southeastern China may be attributed to the different natures of vertical circulations. The deep, moist convection over southeastern China is an effective mechanism for ＂transporting＂ the warming upward, leading to more upper-level warming. In northwestern China, the warming is more surface-orientated, possibly due to the shallow, dry convection.
基金Supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(11161027)Natural Science Foundation of Gansu Province(1610RJZA080)the Foundation of Gansu Education Bureau(2017A-155)
文摘An unidirectional and bidirectional hybrid connective star network model with coupling time-delay is constructed in this paper. According to synchronization error systems, adaptive controllers for each node are structured by using the linear system stability method and the Lyapunov stability method. These adaptive controllers can realize the modified functional projective synchronization between each node of star network and an isolated node by argument and analysis. Finally, the corrective and effective of the adaptive controllers are illustrated by some numerical examples.
基金supported by the Science and Technology Development Foundation of CAEP(No.2015B0103014)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(No.11605163)
文摘Muon tomography is a capable imaging technique to measure the geometry of high-Z objects. However,most existed algorithms used in muon tomography have obscured the effects of angular distribution and momentum spectra of cosmic ray muons and reduced the spatial resolution. We present a modified multi-group model that takes into account these effects and calibrates the model by the material of lead. Performance tests establish that the model is capable of measuring the thickness of a Pb slab and identifying the material of an unknown slab on a reasonable exposure timescale, in both cases of complete and incomplete angular data. Results show that the modified multi-group model is helpful for improvements in image resolution in real applications.
基金Special Fund of Marine Commonweal Industry under contact Nos 201105016 and 201205007supported by National Marine Environment Forecasting Centrethe National Natural Science Foundation of China under contact No.41176012
文摘Considering the discontinuous characteristics of sea ice on various scales,a modified discrete element model（DEM） for sea ice dynamics is developed based on the granular material rheology.In this modified DEM,a soft sea ice particle element is introduced as a self-adjustive particle size function.Each ice particle can be treated as an assembly of ice floes,with its concentration and thickness changing to variable sizes under the conservation of mass.In this model,the contact forces among ice particles are calculated using a viscous-elastic-plastic model,while the maximum shear forces are described with the Mohr-Coulomb friction law.With this modified DEM,the ice flow dynamics is simulated under the drags of wind and current in a channel of various widths.The thicknesses,concentrations and velocities of ice particles are obtained,and then reasonable dynamic process is analyzed.The sea ice dynamic process is also simulated in a vortex wind field.Taking the influence of thermodynamics into account,this modified DEM will be improved in the future work.
