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PM_(2.5) concentration prediction system combining fuzzy information granulation and multi-model ensemble learning
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作者 Yamei Chen Jianzhou Wang +1 位作者 Runze Li Jialu Gao 《Journal of Environmental Sciences》 2025年第10期332-345,共14页
With the rapid development of economy,air pollution caused by industrial expansion has caused serious harm to human health and social development.Therefore,establishing an effective air pollution concentration predict... With the rapid development of economy,air pollution caused by industrial expansion has caused serious harm to human health and social development.Therefore,establishing an effective air pollution concentration prediction system is of great scientific and practical significance for accurate and reliable predictions.This paper proposes a combination of pointinterval prediction system for pollutant concentration prediction by leveraging neural network,meta-heuristic optimization algorithm,and fuzzy theory.Fuzzy information granulation technology is used in data preprocessing to transform numerical sequences into fuzzy particles for comprehensive feature extraction.The golden Jackal optimization algorithm is employed in the optimization stage to fine-tune model hyperparameters.In the prediction stage,an ensemble learning method combines training results frommultiplemodels to obtain final point predictions while also utilizing quantile regression and kernel density estimation methods for interval predictions on the test set.Experimental results demonstrate that the combined model achieves a high goodness of fit coefficient of determination(R^(2))at 99.3% and a maximum difference between prediction accuracy mean absolute percentage error(MAPE)and benchmark model at 12.6%.This suggests that the integrated learning system proposed in this paper can provide more accurate deterministic predictions as well as reliable uncertainty analysis compared to traditionalmodels,offering practical reference for air quality early warning. 展开更多
关键词 Air pollution prediction Fuzzy information granulation Meta-heuristic optimization algorithm ensemble learning model Point interval prediction
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Multi-Model Ensemble Deep Learning Method to Diagnose COVID-19 Using Chest Computed Tomography Images 被引量:1
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作者 WANG Zhiming DONG Jingjing ZHANG Junpeng 《Journal of Shanghai Jiaotong university(Science)》 EI 2022年第1期70-80,共11页
Deep learning based analyses of computed tomography(CT)images contribute to automated diagnosis of COVID-19,and ensemble learning may commonly provide a better solution.Here,we proposed an ensemble learning method tha... Deep learning based analyses of computed tomography(CT)images contribute to automated diagnosis of COVID-19,and ensemble learning may commonly provide a better solution.Here,we proposed an ensemble learning method that integrates several component neural networks to jointly diagnose COVID-19.Two ensemble strategies are considered:the output scores of all component models that are combined with the weights adjusted adaptively by cost function back propagation;voting strategy.A database containing 8347 CT slices of COVID-19,common pneumonia and normal subjects was used as training and testing sets.Results show that the novel method can reach a high accuracy of 99.37%(recall:0.9981;precision:0.9893),with an increase of about 7% in comparison to single-component models.And the average test accuracy is 95.62%(recall:0.9587;precision:0.9559),with a corresponding increase of 5.2%.Compared with several latest deep learning models on the identical test set,our method made an accuracy improvement up to 10.88%.The proposed method may be a promising solution for the diagnosis of COVID-19. 展开更多
关键词 COVID-19 deep learning computed tomography(CT)images ensemble model convolutional neural network
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Machine learning model comparison and ensemble for predicting different morphological fractions of heavy metal elements in tailings and mine waste
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作者 FENG Yu-xin HU Tao +4 位作者 ZHOU Na-na ZHOU Min BARKHORDARI Mohammad Sadegh LI Ke-chao QI Chong-chong 《Journal of Central South University》 2025年第9期3557-3573,共17页
Driven by rapid technological advancements and economic growth,mineral extraction and metal refining have increased dramatically,generating huge volumes of tailings and mine waste(TMWs).Investigating the morphological... Driven by rapid technological advancements and economic growth,mineral extraction and metal refining have increased dramatically,generating huge volumes of tailings and mine waste(TMWs).Investigating the morphological fractions of heavy metals and metalloids(HMMs)in TMWs is key to evaluating their leaching potential into the environment;however,traditional experiments are time-consuming and labor-intensive.In this study,10 machine learning(ML)algorithms were used and compared for rapidly predicting the morphological fractions of HMMs in TMWs.A dataset comprising 2376 data points was used,with mineral composition,elemental properties,and total concentration used as inputs and concentration of morphological fraction used as output.After grid search optimization,the extra tree model performed the best,achieving coefficient of determination(R2)of 0.946 and 0.942 on the validation and test sets,respectively.Electronegativity was found to have the greatest impact on the morphological fraction.The models’performance was enhanced by applying an ensemble method to the top three optimal ML models,including gradient boosting decision tree,extra trees and categorical boosting.Overall,the proposed framework can accurately predict the concentrations of different morphological fractions of HMMs in TMWs.This approach can minimize detection time,aid in the safe management and recovery of TMWs. 展开更多
关键词 tailings and mine waste morphological fractions model comparison machine learning model ensemble
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Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using RBFN-Based Ensemble Machine Learning Models 被引量:1
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作者 Duc-Dam Nguyen Nguyen Viet Tiep +5 位作者 Quynh-Anh Thi Bui Hiep Van Le Indra Prakash Romulus Costache Manish Pandey Binh Thai Pham 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2025年第1期467-500,共34页
This study was aimed to prepare landslide susceptibility maps for the Pithoragarh district in Uttarakhand,India,using advanced ensemble models that combined Radial Basis Function Networks(RBFN)with three ensemble lear... This study was aimed to prepare landslide susceptibility maps for the Pithoragarh district in Uttarakhand,India,using advanced ensemble models that combined Radial Basis Function Networks(RBFN)with three ensemble learning techniques:DAGGING(DG),MULTIBOOST(MB),and ADABOOST(AB).This combination resulted in three distinct ensemble models:DG-RBFN,MB-RBFN,and AB-RBFN.Additionally,a traditional weighted method,Information Value(IV),and a benchmark machine learning(ML)model,Multilayer Perceptron Neural Network(MLP),were employed for comparison and validation.The models were developed using ten landslide conditioning factors,which included slope,aspect,elevation,curvature,land cover,geomorphology,overburden depth,lithology,distance to rivers and distance to roads.These factors were instrumental in predicting the output variable,which was the probability of landslide occurrence.Statistical analysis of the models’performance indicated that the DG-RBFN model,with an Area Under ROC Curve(AUC)of 0.931,outperformed the other models.The AB-RBFN model achieved an AUC of 0.929,the MB-RBFN model had an AUC of 0.913,and the MLP model recorded an AUC of 0.926.These results suggest that the advanced ensemble ML model DG-RBFN was more accurate than traditional statistical model,single MLP model,and other ensemble models in preparing trustworthy landslide susceptibility maps,thereby enhancing land use planning and decision-making. 展开更多
关键词 Landslide susceptibility map spatial analysis ensemble modelling information values(IV)
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Machine learning-driven optimization of mRNA-lipid nanoparticle vaccine quality with XGBoost/Bayesian method and ensemble model approaches
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作者 Ravi Maharjan Ki Hyun Kim +2 位作者 Kyeong Lee Hyo-Kyung Han Seong Hoon Jeong 《Journal of Pharmaceutical Analysis》 CSCD 2024年第11期1645-1660,共16页
To enhance the efficiency of vaccine manufacturing,this study focuses on optimizing the microfluidic conditions and lipid mix ratios of messenger RNA-lipid nanoparticles(mRNA-LNP).Different mRNA-LNP formulations(n=24)... To enhance the efficiency of vaccine manufacturing,this study focuses on optimizing the microfluidic conditions and lipid mix ratios of messenger RNA-lipid nanoparticles(mRNA-LNP).Different mRNA-LNP formulations(n=24)were developed using an I-optimal design,where machine learning tools(XGBoost/Bayesian optimization and self-validated ensemble(SVEM))were used to optimize the process and predict lipid mix ratio.The investigation included material attributes,their respective ratios,and process attributes.The critical responses like particle size(PS),polydispersity index(PDI),Zeta potential,pKa,heat trend cycle,encapsulation efficiency(EE),recovery ratio,and encapsulated mRNA were evaluated.Overall prediction of SVEM(>97%)was comparably better than that of XGBoost/Bayesian optimization(>94%).Moreover,in actual experimental outcomes,SVEM prediction is close to the actual data as confirmed by the experimental PS(94-96 nm)is close to the predicted one(95-97 nm).The other parameters including PDI and EE were also close to the actual experimental data. 展开更多
关键词 Vaccine manufacturing Microfluidic device XGBoost Bayesian optimization Self-validated ensemble model
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Classification of Conversational Sentences Using an Ensemble Pre-Trained Language Model with the Fine-Tuned Parameter
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作者 R.Sujatha K.Nimala 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2024年第2期1669-1686,共18页
Sentence classification is the process of categorizing a sentence based on the context of the sentence.Sentence categorization requires more semantic highlights than other tasks,such as dependence parsing,which requir... Sentence classification is the process of categorizing a sentence based on the context of the sentence.Sentence categorization requires more semantic highlights than other tasks,such as dependence parsing,which requires more syntactic elements.Most existing strategies focus on the general semantics of a conversation without involving the context of the sentence,recognizing the progress and comparing impacts.An ensemble pre-trained language model was taken up here to classify the conversation sentences from the conversation corpus.The conversational sentences are classified into four categories:information,question,directive,and commission.These classification label sequences are for analyzing the conversation progress and predicting the pecking order of the conversation.Ensemble of Bidirectional Encoder for Representation of Transformer(BERT),Robustly Optimized BERT pretraining Approach(RoBERTa),Generative Pre-Trained Transformer(GPT),DistilBERT and Generalized Autoregressive Pretraining for Language Understanding(XLNet)models are trained on conversation corpus with hyperparameters.Hyperparameter tuning approach is carried out for better performance on sentence classification.This Ensemble of Pre-trained Language Models with a Hyperparameter Tuning(EPLM-HT)system is trained on an annotated conversation dataset.The proposed approach outperformed compared to the base BERT,GPT,DistilBERT and XLNet transformer models.The proposed ensemble model with the fine-tuned parameters achieved an F1_score of 0.88. 展开更多
关键词 Bidirectional encoder for representation of transformer conversation ensemble model fine-tuning generalized autoregressive pretraining for language understanding generative pre-trained transformer hyperparameter tuning natural language processing robustly optimized BERT pretraining approach sentence classification transformer models
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Ensemble Modeling for the Classification of Birth Data
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作者 Fiaz Majeed Abdul Razzaq Ahmad Shakir +6 位作者 Maqbool Ahmad Shahzada Khurram Muhammad Qaiser Saleem Muhammad Shafiq Jin-Ghoo Choi Habib Hamam Osama E.Sheta 《Intelligent Automation & Soft Computing》 2024年第4期765-781,共17页
Machine learning(ML)and data mining are used in various fields such as data analysis,prediction,image processing and especially in healthcare.Researchers in the past decade have focused on applying ML and data mining ... Machine learning(ML)and data mining are used in various fields such as data analysis,prediction,image processing and especially in healthcare.Researchers in the past decade have focused on applying ML and data mining to generate conclusions from historical data in order to improve healthcare systems by making predictions about the results.Using ML algorithms,researchers have developed applications for decision support,analyzed clinical aspects,extracted informative information from historical data,predicted the outcomes and categorized diseases which help physicians make better decisions.It is observed that there is a huge difference between women depending on the region and their social lives.Due to these differences,scholars have been encouraged to conduct studies at a local level in order to better understand those factors that affect maternal health and the expected child.In this study,the ensemble modeling technique is applied to classify birth outcomes based on either cesarean section(C-Section)or normal delivery.A voting ensemble model for the classification of a birth dataset was made by using a Random Forest(RF),Gradient Boosting Classifier,Extra Trees Classifier and Bagging Classifier as base learners.It is observed that the voting ensemble modal of proposed classifiers provides the best accuracy,i.e.,94.78%,as compared to the individual classifiers.ML algorithms are more accurate due to ensemble models,which reduce variance and classification errors.It is reported that when a suitable classification model has been developed for birth classification,decision support systems can be created to enable clinicians to gain in-depth insights into the patterns in the datasets.Developing such a system will not only allow health organizations to improve maternal health assessment processes,but also open doors for interdisciplinary research in two different fields in the region. 展开更多
关键词 Birth data classification ensemble model machine learning
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Steel Surface Defect Recognition in Smart Manufacturing Using Deep Ensemble Transfer Learning-Based Techniques
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作者 Tajmal Hussain Jongwon Seok 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2025年第1期231-250,共20页
Smart manufacturing and Industry 4.0 are transforming traditional manufacturing processes by utilizing innovative technologies such as the artificial intelligence(AI)and internet of things(IoT)to enhance efficiency,re... Smart manufacturing and Industry 4.0 are transforming traditional manufacturing processes by utilizing innovative technologies such as the artificial intelligence(AI)and internet of things(IoT)to enhance efficiency,reduce costs,and ensure product quality.In light of the recent advancement of Industry 4.0,identifying defects has become important for ensuring the quality of products during the manufacturing process.In this research,we present an ensemble methodology for accurately classifying hot rolled steel surface defects by combining the strengths of four pre-trained convolutional neural network(CNN)architectures:VGG16,VGG19,Xception,and Mobile-Net V2,compensating for their individual weaknesses.We evaluated our methodology on the Xsteel surface defect dataset(XSDD),which comprises seven different classes.The ensemble methodology integrated the predictions of individual models through two methods:model averaging and weighted averaging.Our evaluation showed that the model averaging ensemble achieved an accuracy of 98.89%,a recall of 98.92%,a precision of 99.05%,and an F1-score of 98.97%,while the weighted averaging ensemble reached an accuracy of 99.72%,a recall of 99.74%,a precision of 99.67%,and an F1-score of 99.70%.The proposed weighted averaging ensemble model outperformed the model averaging method and the individual models in detecting defects in terms of accuracy,recall,precision,and F1-score.Comparative analysis with recent studies also showed the superior performance of our methodology. 展开更多
关键词 Smart manufacturing CNN steel defects ensemble models
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Predicting Short-Term Wind Power Generation at Musalpetti Wind Farm: Model Development and Analysis
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作者 Namal Rathnayake Jeevani Jayasinghe +1 位作者 Rashmi Semasinghe Upaka Rathnayake 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 2025年第5期2287-2305,共19页
In this study,a machine learning-based predictive model was developed for the Musa petti Wind Farm in Sri Lanka to address the need for localized forecasting solutions.Using data on wind speed,air temperature,nacelle ... In this study,a machine learning-based predictive model was developed for the Musa petti Wind Farm in Sri Lanka to address the need for localized forecasting solutions.Using data on wind speed,air temperature,nacelle position,and actual power,lagged features were generated to capture temporal dependencies.Among 24 evaluated models,the ensemble bagging approach achieved the best performance,with R^(2) values of 0.89 at 0 min and 0.75 at 60 min.Shapley Additive exPlanations(SHAP)analysis revealed that while wind speed is the primary driver for short-term predictions,air temperature and nacelle position become more influential at longer forecasting horizons.These findings underscore the reliability of short-term predictions and the potential benefits of integrating hybrid AI and probabilistic models for extended forecasts.Our work contributes a robust and explainable framework to support Sri Lanka’s renewable energy transition,and future research will focus on real-time deployment and uncertainty quantification. 展开更多
关键词 ensemble bagging model machine learning SHAP explainability short-term prediction wind power forecasting
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Selective Ensemble Extreme Learning Machine Modeling of Effluent Quality in Wastewater Treatment Plants 被引量:9
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作者 Li-Jie Zhao 1,2 Tian-You Chai 2 De-Cheng Yuan 1 1 College of Information Engineering,Shenyang University of Chemical Technology,Shenyang 110042,China 2 State Key Laboratory of Synthetical Automation for Process Industries,Northeastern University,Shenyang 110189,China 《International Journal of Automation and computing》 EI 2012年第6期627-633,共7页
Real-time and reliable measurements of the effluent quality are essential to improve operating efficiency and reduce energy consumption for the wastewater treatment process.Due to the low accuracy and unstable perform... Real-time and reliable measurements of the effluent quality are essential to improve operating efficiency and reduce energy consumption for the wastewater treatment process.Due to the low accuracy and unstable performance of the traditional effluent quality measurements,we propose a selective ensemble extreme learning machine modeling method to enhance the effluent quality predictions.Extreme learning machine algorithm is inserted into a selective ensemble frame as the component model since it runs much faster and provides better generalization performance than other popular learning algorithms.Ensemble extreme learning machine models overcome variations in different trials of simulations for single model.Selective ensemble based on genetic algorithm is used to further exclude some bad components from all the available ensembles in order to reduce the computation complexity and improve the generalization performance.The proposed method is verified with the data from an industrial wastewater treatment plant,located in Shenyang,China.Experimental results show that the proposed method has relatively stronger generalization and higher accuracy than partial least square,neural network partial least square,single extreme learning machine and ensemble extreme learning machine model. 展开更多
关键词 Wastewater treatment process effluent quality prediction extreme learning machine selective ensemble model genetic algorithm.
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An Optimized Ensemble Model for Prediction the Bandwidth of Metamaterial Antenna 被引量:6
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作者 Abdelhameed Ibrahim Hattan F.Abutarboush +2 位作者 Ali Wagdy Mohamed Mohamad Fouad El-Sayed M.El-kenawy 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2022年第4期199-213,共15页
Metamaterial Antenna is a special class of antennas that uses metamaterial to enhance their performance.Antenna size affects the quality factor and the radiation loss of the antenna.Metamaterial antennas can overcome ... Metamaterial Antenna is a special class of antennas that uses metamaterial to enhance their performance.Antenna size affects the quality factor and the radiation loss of the antenna.Metamaterial antennas can overcome the limitation of bandwidth for small antennas.Machine learning(ML)model is recently applied to predict antenna parameters.ML can be used as an alternative approach to the trial-and-error process of finding proper parameters of the simulated antenna.The accuracy of the prediction depends mainly on the selected model.Ensemble models combine two or more base models to produce a better-enhanced model.In this paper,a weighted average ensemble model is proposed to predict the bandwidth of the Metamaterial Antenna.Two base models are used namely:Multilayer Perceptron(MLP)and Support Vector Machines(SVM).To calculate the weights for each model,an optimization algorithm is used to find the optimal weights of the ensemble.Dynamic Group-Based Cooperative Optimizer(DGCO)is employed to search for optimal weight for the base models.The proposed model is compared with three based models and the average ensemble model.The results show that the proposed model is better than other models and can predict antenna bandwidth efficiently. 展开更多
关键词 Metamaterial antenna machine learning ensemble model multilayer perceptron support vector machines
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Predictive analytics with ensemble modeling in laparoscopic surgery:A technical note 被引量:3
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作者 Zhongheng Zhang Lin Chen +1 位作者 Ping Xu Yucai Hong 《Laparoscopic, Endoscopic and Robotic Surgery》 2022年第1期25-34,共10页
Predictive analytics have been widely used in the literature with respect to laparoscopic surgery and risk stratification.However,most predictive analytics in this field exploit generalized linearmodels for predictive... Predictive analytics have been widely used in the literature with respect to laparoscopic surgery and risk stratification.However,most predictive analytics in this field exploit generalized linearmodels for predictive purposes,which are limited by model assumptionsdincluding linearity between response variables and additive interactions between variables.In many instances,such assumptions may not hold true,and the complex relationship between predictors and response variables is usually unknown.To address this limitation,machine-learning algorithms can be employed to model the underlying data.The advantage of machine learning algorithms is that they usually do not require strict assumptions regarding data structure,and they are able to learn complex functional forms using a nonparametric approach.Furthermore,two or more machine learning algorithms can be synthesized to further improve predictive accuracy.Such a process is referred to as ensemble modeling,and it has been used broadly in various industries.However,this approach has not been widely reported in the laparoscopic surgical literature due to its complexity in both model training and interpretation.With this technical note,we provide a comprehensive overview of the ensemble-modeling technique and a step-by-step tutorial on how to implement ensemble modeling. 展开更多
关键词 ensemble modeling Laparoscopic surgery Machine learning
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Optimized Two-Level Ensemble Model for Predicting the Parameters of Metamaterial Antenna 被引量:2
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作者 Abdelaziz A.Abdelhamid Sultan R.Alotaibi 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2022年第10期917-933,共17页
Employing machine learning techniques in predicting the parameters of metamaterial antennas has a significant impact on the reduction of the time needed to design an antenna with optimal parameters using simulation to... Employing machine learning techniques in predicting the parameters of metamaterial antennas has a significant impact on the reduction of the time needed to design an antenna with optimal parameters using simulation tools.In this paper,we propose a new approach for predicting the bandwidth of metamaterial antenna using a novel ensemble model.The proposed ensemble model is composed of two levels of regression models.The first level consists of three strong models namely,random forest,support vector regression,and light gradient boosting machine.Whereas the second level is based on the ElasticNet regression model,which receives the prediction results from the models in the first level for refinement and producing the final optimal result.To achieve the best performance of these regression models,the advanced squirrel search optimization algorithm(ASSOA)is utilized to search for the optimal set of hyper-parameters of each model.Experimental results show that the proposed two-level ensemble model could achieve a robust prediction of the bandwidth of metamaterial antenna when compared with the recently published ensemble models based on the same publicly available benchmark dataset.The findings indicate that the proposed approach results in root mean square error(RMSE)of(0.013),mean absolute error(MAE)of(0.004),and mean bias error(MBE)of(0.0017).These results are superior to the other competing ensemble models and can predict the antenna bandwidth more accurately. 展开更多
关键词 ensemble model parameter prediction metamaterial antenna machine learning model optimization
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Sequential ensemble optimization based on general surrogate model prediction variance and its application on engine acceleration schedule design 被引量:4
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作者 Yifan YE Zhanxue WANG Xiaobo ZHANG 《Chinese Journal of Aeronautics》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2021年第8期16-33,共18页
The Efficient Global Optimization(EGO)algorithm has been widely used in the numerical design optimization of engineering systems.However,the need for an uncertainty estimator limits the selection of a surrogate model.... The Efficient Global Optimization(EGO)algorithm has been widely used in the numerical design optimization of engineering systems.However,the need for an uncertainty estimator limits the selection of a surrogate model.In this paper,a Sequential Ensemble Optimization(SEO)algorithm based on the ensemble model is proposed.In the proposed algorithm,there is no limitation on the selection of an individual surrogate model.Specifically,the SEO is built based on the EGO by extending the EGO algorithm so that it can be used in combination with the ensemble model.Also,a new uncertainty estimator for any surrogate model named the General Uncertainty Estimator(GUE)is proposed.The performance of the proposed SEO algorithm is verified by the simulations using ten well-known mathematical functions with varying dimensions.The results show that the proposed SEO algorithm performs better than the traditional EGO algorithm in terms of both the final optimization results and the convergence rate.Further,the proposed algorithm is applied to the global optimization control for turbo-fan engine acceleration schedule design. 展开更多
关键词 Cross-validation Efficient global optimization Engine acceleration schedule design ensemble of surrogate models Gas turbine engine Optimization methods Surrogate-based optimization
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Ensemble Based Temporal Weighting and Pareto Ranking (ETP) Model for Effective Root Cause Analysis 被引量:1
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作者 Naveen Kumar Seerangan S.Vijayaragavan Shanmugam 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2021年第10期819-830,共12页
Root-cause identification plays a vital role in business decision making by providing effective future directions for the organizations.Aspect extraction and sentiment extraction plays a vital role in identifying the ... Root-cause identification plays a vital role in business decision making by providing effective future directions for the organizations.Aspect extraction and sentiment extraction plays a vital role in identifying the rootcauses.This paper proposes the Ensemble based temporal weighting and pareto ranking(ETP)model for Root-cause identification.Aspect extraction is performed based on rules and is followed by opinion identification using the proposed boosted ensemble model.The obtained aspects are validated and ranked using the proposed aspect weighing scheme.Pareto-rule based aspect selection is performed as the final selection mechanism and the results are presented for business decision making.Experiments were performed with the standard five product benchmark dataset.Performances on all five product reviews indicate the effective performance of the proposed model.Comparisons are performed using three standard state-of-the-art models and effectiveness is measured in terms of F-Measure and Detection rates.The results indicate improved performances exhibited by the proposed model with an increase in F-Measure levels at 1%–15%and detection rates at 4%–24%compared to the state-of-the-art models. 展开更多
关键词 Root cause analysis sentiment analysis aspect extraction ensemble modelling temporal weighting pareto ranking
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Adaptive Error Curve Learning Ensemble Model for Improving Energy Consumption Forecasting 被引量:1
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作者 Prince Waqas Khan Yung-Cheol Byun 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 SCIE EI 2021年第11期1893-1913,共21页
Despite the advancement within the last decades in the field of smart grids,energy consumption forecasting utilizing the metrological features is still challenging.This paper proposes a genetic algorithm-based adaptiv... Despite the advancement within the last decades in the field of smart grids,energy consumption forecasting utilizing the metrological features is still challenging.This paper proposes a genetic algorithm-based adaptive error curve learning ensemble(GA-ECLE)model.The proposed technique copes with the stochastic variations of improving energy consumption forecasting using a machine learning-based ensembled approach.A modified ensemble model based on a utilizing error of model as a feature is used to improve the forecast accuracy.This approach combines three models,namely CatBoost(CB),Gradient Boost(GB),and Multilayer Perceptron(MLP).The ensembled CB-GB-MLP model’s inner mechanism consists of generating a meta-data from Gradient Boosting and CatBoost models to compute the final predictions using the Multilayer Perceptron network.A genetic algorithm is used to obtain the optimal features to be used for the model.To prove the proposed model’s effectiveness,we have used a four-phase technique using Jeju island’s real energy consumption data.In the first phase,we have obtained the results by applying the CB-GB-MLP model.In the second phase,we have utilized a GA-ensembled model with optimal features.The third phase is for the comparison of the energy forecasting result with the proposed ECL-based model.The fourth stage is the final stage,where we have applied the GA-ECLE model.We obtained a mean absolute error of 3.05,and a root mean square error of 5.05.Extensive experimental results are provided,demonstrating the superiority of the proposed GA-ECLE model over traditional ensemble models. 展开更多
关键词 Energy consumption meteorological features error curve learning ensemble model energy forecasting gradient boost catboost multilayer perceptron genetic algorithm
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Climate change in the Tianshan and northern Kunlun Mountains based on GCM simulation ensemble with Bayesian model averaging 被引量:3
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作者 YANG Jing FANG Gonghuan +1 位作者 CHEN Yaning Philippe DE-MAEYER 《Journal of Arid Land》 SCIE CSCD 2017年第4期622-634,共13页
Climate change in mountainous regions has significant impacts on hydrological and ecological systems. This research studied the future temperature, precipitation and snowfall in the 21^(st) century for the Tianshan ... Climate change in mountainous regions has significant impacts on hydrological and ecological systems. This research studied the future temperature, precipitation and snowfall in the 21^(st) century for the Tianshan and northern Kunlun Mountains(TKM) based on the general circulation model(GCM) simulation ensemble from the coupled model intercomparison project phase 5(CMIP5) under the representative concentration pathway(RCP) lower emission scenario RCP4.5 and higher emission scenario RCP8.5 using the Bayesian model averaging(BMA) technique. Results show that(1) BMA significantly outperformed the simple ensemble analysis and BMA mean matches all the three observed climate variables;(2) at the end of the 21^(st) century(2070–2099) under RCP8.5, compared to the control period(1976–2005), annual mean temperature and mean annual precipitation will rise considerably by 4.8°C and 5.2%, respectively, while mean annual snowfall will dramatically decrease by 26.5%;(3) precipitation will increase in the northern Tianshan region while decrease in the Amu Darya Basin. Snowfall will significantly decrease in the western TKM. Mean annual snowfall fraction will also decrease from 0.56 of 1976–2005 to 0.42 of 2070–2099 under RCP8.5; and(4) snowfall shows a high sensitivity to temperature in autumn and spring while a low sensitivity in winter, with the highest sensitivity values occurring at the edge areas of TKM. The projections mean that flood risk will increase and solid water storage will decrease. 展开更多
关键词 climate change GCM ensemble Bayesian model averaging Tianshan and northern Kunlun Mountains
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Selective ensemble modeling based on nonlinear frequency spectral feature extraction for predicting load parameter in ball mills 被引量:3
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作者 汤健 柴天佑 +1 位作者 刘卓 余文 《Chinese Journal of Chemical Engineering》 SCIE EI CAS CSCD 2015年第12期2020-2028,共9页
Strong mechanical vibration and acoustical signals of grinding process contain useful information related to load parameters in ball mills. It is a challenge to extract latent features and construct soft sensor model ... Strong mechanical vibration and acoustical signals of grinding process contain useful information related to load parameters in ball mills. It is a challenge to extract latent features and construct soft sensor model with high dimensional frequency spectra of these signals. This paper aims to develop a selective ensemble modeling approach based on nonlinear latent frequency spectral feature extraction for accurate measurement of material to ball volume ratio. Latent features are first extracted from different vibrations and acoustic spectral segments by kernel partial least squares. Algorithms of bootstrap and least squares support vector machines are employed to produce candidate sub-models using these latent features as inputs. Ensemble sub-models are selected based on genetic algorithm optimization toolbox. Partial least squares regression is used to combine these sub-models to eliminate collinearity among their prediction outputs. Results indicate that the proposed modeling approach has better prediction performance than previous ones. 展开更多
关键词 Nonlinear latent feature extraction Kernel partial least squares Selective ensemble modeling Least squares support vector machines Material to ball volume ratio
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Ensemble habitat suitability modeling of stomatopods with Oratosquilla oratoria as an example
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作者 Lisha Guan Xianshi Jin +1 位作者 Tao Yang Xiujuan Shan 《Acta Oceanologica Sinica》 SCIE CAS CSCD 2023年第4期93-102,共10页
Stomatopods are better known as mantis shrimp with considerable ecological importance in wide coastal waters globally. Some stomatopod species are exploited commercially, including Oratosquilla oratoria in the Northwe... Stomatopods are better known as mantis shrimp with considerable ecological importance in wide coastal waters globally. Some stomatopod species are exploited commercially, including Oratosquilla oratoria in the Northwest Pacific. Yet, few studies have published to promote accurate habitat identification of stomatopods, obstructing scientific management and conservation of these valuable organisms. This study provides an ensemble modeling framework for habitat suitability modeling of stomatopods, utilizing the O. oratoria stock in the Bohai Sea as an example. Two modeling techniques(i.e., generalized additive model(GAM) and geographical weighted regression(GWR)) were applied to select environmental predictors(especially the selection between two types of sediment metrics) that better characterize O. oratoria distribution and build separate habitat suitability models(HSM). The performance of the individual HSMs were compared on interpolation accuracy and transferability.Then, they were integrated to check whether the ensemble model outperforms either individual model, according to fishers’ knowledge and scientific survey data. As a result, grain-size metrics of sediment outperformed sediment content metrics in modeling O. oratoria habitat, possibly because grain-size metrics not only reflect the effect of substrates on burrow development, but also link to sediment heat capacity which influences individual thermoregulation. Moreover, the GWR-based HSM outperformed the GAM-based HSM in interpolation accuracy,while the latter one displayed better transferability. On balance, the ensemble HSM appeared to improve the predictive performance overall, as it could avoid dependence on a single model type and successfully identified fisher-recognized and survey-indicated suitable habitats in either sparsely sampled or well investigated areas. 展开更多
关键词 habitat suitability STOMATOPOD coastal fisheries predictor selection ensemble model
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Ensemble Model for Spindle Thermal Displacement Prediction of Machine Tools
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作者 Ping-Huan Kuo Ssu-Chi Chen +2 位作者 Chia-Ho Lee Po-Chien Luan Her-Terng Yau 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 SCIE EI 2023年第10期319-343,共25页
Numerous factors affect the increased temperature of a machine tool, including prolonged and high-intensity usage,tool-workpiece interaction, mechanical friction, and elevated ambient temperatures, among others. Conse... Numerous factors affect the increased temperature of a machine tool, including prolonged and high-intensity usage,tool-workpiece interaction, mechanical friction, and elevated ambient temperatures, among others. Consequently,spindle thermal displacement occurs, and machining precision suffers. To prevent the errors caused by thetemperature rise of the Spindle fromaffecting the accuracy during themachining process, typically, the factory willwarm up themachine before themanufacturing process.However, if there is noway to understand the tool spindle’sthermal deformation, the machining quality will be greatly affected. In order to solve the above problem, thisstudy aims to predict the thermal displacement of the machine tool by using intelligent algorithms. In the practicalapplication, only a few temperature sensors are used to input the information into the prediction model for realtimethermal displacement prediction. This approach has greatly improved the quality of tool processing.However,each algorithm has different performances in different environments. In this study, an ensemble model is used tointegrate Long Short-TermMemory (LSTM) with Support VectorMachine (SVM). The experimental results showthat the prediction performance of LSTM-SVM is higher than that of other machine learning algorithms. 展开更多
关键词 Thermal displacement ensemble model LSTM milling machine spindle
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