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Non-negative least squares variance component estimation of mixed additive and multiplicative random error model
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作者 Hao Xiao Leyang Wang 《Geodesy and Geodynamics》 2025年第5期617-623,共7页
In the variance component estimation(VCE)of geodetic data,the problem of negative VCE is likely to occur.In the ordinary additive error model,there have been related studies to solve the problem of negative variance c... In the variance component estimation(VCE)of geodetic data,the problem of negative VCE is likely to occur.In the ordinary additive error model,there have been related studies to solve the problem of negative variance components.However,there is still no related research in the mixed additive and multiplicative random error model(MAMREM).Based on the MAMREM,this paper applies the nonnegative least squares variance component estimation(NNLS-VCE)algorithm to this model.The correlation formula and iterative algorithm of NNLS-VCE for MAMREM are derived.The problem of negative variance in VCE for MAMREM is solved.This paper uses the digital simulation example and the Digital Terrain Mode(DTM)to prove the proposed algorithm's validity.The experimental results demonstrated that the proposed algorithm can effectively correct the VCE in MAMREM when there is a negative VCE. 展开更多
关键词 Mixed additive and multiplicative random error model Stochastic model Non-negative least squares variance component estimation
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Research Progress on the Application of BOPPPS Teaching Model in Domestic Emergency Education
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作者 Lishuo Gao Sijia Chen +3 位作者 Yang Bai Juan Wang Qing Gao Tingting Liang 《Journal of Contemporary Educational Research》 2025年第1期32-38,共7页
The BOPPPS teaching model is a student-centered teaching model that has been widely applied in various teaching fields.This paper summarizes the overview of the BOPPPS teaching model,its application in emergency teach... The BOPPPS teaching model is a student-centered teaching model that has been widely applied in various teaching fields.This paper summarizes the overview of the BOPPPS teaching model,its application in emergency teaching and training,as well as its advantages and disadvantages,aiming to provide references for the further promotion and application of the BOPPPS teaching model in emergency education. 展开更多
关键词 BOPPPS teaching model EMERGENCY TEACHING TRAINING
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Causal Representation Enhances Cross-Domain Named Entity Recognition in Large Language Models
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作者 Jiahao Wu Jinzhong Xu +2 位作者 Xiaoming Liu Guan Yang Jie Liu 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2025年第5期2809-2828,共20页
Large language models cross-domain named entity recognition task in the face of the scarcity of large language labeled data in a specific domain,due to the entity bias arising from the variation of entity information ... Large language models cross-domain named entity recognition task in the face of the scarcity of large language labeled data in a specific domain,due to the entity bias arising from the variation of entity information between different domains,which makes large language models prone to spurious correlations problems when dealing with specific domains and entities.In order to solve this problem,this paper proposes a cross-domain named entity recognition method based on causal graph structure enhancement,which captures the cross-domain invariant causal structural representations between feature representations of text sequences and annotation sequences by establishing a causal learning and intervention module,so as to improve the utilization of causal structural features by the large languagemodels in the target domains,and thus effectively alleviate the false entity bias triggered by the false relevance problem;meanwhile,through the semantic feature fusion module,the semantic information of the source and target domains is effectively combined.The results show an improvement of 2.47%and 4.12%in the political and medical domains,respectively,compared with the benchmark model,and an excellent performance in small-sample scenarios,which proves the effectiveness of causal graph structural enhancement in improving the accuracy of cross-domain entity recognition and reducing false correlations. 展开更多
关键词 Large language model entity bias causal graph structure
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TIPS:Tailored Information Extraction in Public Security Using Domain-Enhanced Large Language Model
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作者 Yue Liu Qinglang Guo +1 位作者 Chunyao Yang Yong Liao 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2025年第5期2555-2572,共18页
Processing police incident data in public security involves complex natural language processing(NLP)tasks,including information extraction.This data contains extensive entity information—such as people,locations,and ... Processing police incident data in public security involves complex natural language processing(NLP)tasks,including information extraction.This data contains extensive entity information—such as people,locations,and events—while also involving reasoning tasks like personnel classification,relationship judgment,and implicit inference.Moreover,utilizing models for extracting information from police incident data poses a significant challenge—data scarcity,which limits the effectiveness of traditional rule-based and machine-learning methods.To address these,we propose TIPS.In collaboration with public security experts,we used de-identified police incident data to create templates that enable large language models(LLMs)to populate data slots and generate simulated data,enhancing data density and diversity.We then designed schemas to efficiently manage complex extraction and reasoning tasks,constructing a high-quality dataset and fine-tuning multiple open-source LLMs.Experiments showed that the fine-tuned ChatGLM-4-9B model achieved an F1 score of 87.14%,nearly 30%higher than the base model,significantly reducing error rates.Manual corrections further improved performance by 9.39%.This study demonstrates that combining largescale pre-trained models with limited high-quality domain-specific data can greatly enhance information extraction in low-resource environments,offering a new approach for intelligent public security applications. 展开更多
关键词 Public security information extraction large language model prompt engineering
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Random walk dispersion model for missile contrail particles in cross-airspace environments
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作者 Chenshuo Li Debin Fu Tianyu Wei 《Defence Technology(防务技术)》 2025年第7期307-320,共14页
Missiles provide long-range precision strike capabilities and have become a cornerstone of modern warfare.The contrail clouds formed by missile during their active flight phase present significant chal-lenges to high-... Missiles provide long-range precision strike capabilities and have become a cornerstone of modern warfare.The contrail clouds formed by missile during their active flight phase present significant chal-lenges to high-altitude environmental observation and target detection and tracking.Existing studies primarily focus on specific airspace regions,leaving critical gaps in understanding the effects of long dispersion times,wide altitude ranges,and variable atmospheric conditions on missile contrail clouds.To address these gaps,this article develops a numerical method based on the Lagrangian random walk model,which incorporates various velocity variation terms,including particle velocity caused by the difference of wind field,by the thermal motion of local gas molecules and by random collisions between contrail cloud particles to capture the influence of environmental wind fields,atmospheric conditions,and particle concentrations on the motion of contrail cloud particles.A general coordinate system aligned with the missile's flight trajectory is employed to represent particle distribution characteristics.The proposed method is in good agreement with the conducted experiments as well as with the available numerical simulations.The results demonstrate that the proposed model effectively simulates the dispersion state of contrail clouds,accurately reflecting the impact of large-scale wind field variations and altitude changes with high computational efficiency.Additionally,simulation results indicate that the increased distance between gas molecules in rarefied environments facilitates enhanced particle dispersion,while larger particles exhibit a faster dispersion rate due to their greater mass. 展开更多
关键词 Missile contrail Dispersion process Random walk model Concentration distribution Cross-airspace
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Blockchain-Based Trust Model for Inter-Domain Routing
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作者 Qiong Yang Li Ma +3 位作者 Sami Ullah Shanshan Tu Hisham Alasmary Muhammad Waqas 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2025年第3期4821-4839,共19页
Border Gateway Protocol(BGP),as the standard inter-domain routing protocol,is a distance-vector dynamic routing protocol used for exchanging routing information between distributed Autonomous Systems(AS).BGP nodes,com... Border Gateway Protocol(BGP),as the standard inter-domain routing protocol,is a distance-vector dynamic routing protocol used for exchanging routing information between distributed Autonomous Systems(AS).BGP nodes,communicating in a distributed dynamic environment,face several security challenges,with trust being one of the most important issues in inter-domain routing.Existing research,which performs trust evaluation when exchanging routing information to suppress malicious routing behavior,cannot meet the scalability requirements of BGP nodes.In this paper,we propose a blockchain-based trust model for inter-domain routing.Our model achieves scalability by allowing the master node of an AS alliance to transmit the trust evaluation data of its member nodes to the blockchain.The BGP nodes can expedite the trust evaluation process by accessing a global view of other BGP nodes through the master node of their respective alliance.We incorporate security service evaluation before direct evaluation and indirect recommendations to assess the security services that BGP nodes provide for themselves and prioritize to guarantee their security of routing service.We forward the trust evaluation for neighbor discovery and prioritize the nodes with high trust as neighbor nodes to reduce the malicious exchange routing behavior.We use simulation software to simulate a real BGP environments and employ a comparative experimental research approach to demonstrate the performance evaluation of our trust model.Compared with the classical trust model,our trust model not only saves more storage overhead,but also provides higher security,especially reducing the impact of collusion attacks. 展开更多
关键词 Inter-domain routing BGP security blockchain trust model trust mechanisms trust evaluation
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AI-Driven Malware Detection with VGG Feature Extraction and Artificial Rabbits Optimized Random Forest Model
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作者 Brij B.Gupta Akshat Gaurav +3 位作者 Wadee Alhalabi Varsha Arya Shavi Bansal Ching-Hsien Hsu 《Computers, Materials & Continua》 2025年第9期4755-4772,共18页
Detecting cyber attacks in networks connected to the Internet of Things(IoT)is of utmost importance because of the growing vulnerabilities in the smart environment.Conventional models,such as Naive Bayes and support v... Detecting cyber attacks in networks connected to the Internet of Things(IoT)is of utmost importance because of the growing vulnerabilities in the smart environment.Conventional models,such as Naive Bayes and support vector machine(SVM),as well as ensemble methods,such as Gradient Boosting and eXtreme gradient boosting(XGBoost),are often plagued by high computational costs,which makes it challenging for them to perform real-time detection.In this regard,we suggested an attack detection approach that integrates Visual Geometry Group 16(VGG16),Artificial Rabbits Optimizer(ARO),and Random Forest Model to increase detection accuracy and operational efficiency in Internet of Things(IoT)networks.In the suggested model,the extraction of features from malware pictures was accomplished with the help of VGG16.The prediction process is carried out by the random forest model using the extracted features from the VGG16.Additionally,ARO is used to improve the hyper-parameters of the random forest model of the random forest.With an accuracy of 96.36%,the suggested model outperforms the standard models in terms of accuracy,F1-score,precision,and recall.The comparative research highlights our strategy’s success,which improves performance while maintaining a lower computational cost.This method is ideal for real-time applications,but it is effective. 展开更多
关键词 Malware detection VGG feature extraction artificial rabbits OPTIMIZATION random forest model
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Advantages of the single-center model in domino transplant processes:Operational planning and management experience
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作者 Amil Huseynov Sevim Nuran KuşluÇicek Murat Tuncer 《World Journal of Clinical Cases》 2025年第16期9-17,共9页
BACKGROUND Kidney transplantation is one of the most effective treatments for patients with end-stage renal disease.However,many regions face low deceased donor rates and limited ABO-compatible transplant availability... BACKGROUND Kidney transplantation is one of the most effective treatments for patients with end-stage renal disease.However,many regions face low deceased donor rates and limited ABO-compatible transplant availability,which increases reliance on living donors.These regional challenges necessitate the implementation of kidney paired donation(KPD)programs to overcome incompatibilities such as ABO mismatch or positive cross-matching,even when suitable and willing donors are available.AIM To evaluate the effectiveness of a single-center domino KPD model in both operational planning and clinical management processes and to assess its impact on clinical outcomes.METHODS Between April 2020 and January 2024,we retrospectively evaluated patients enrolled in our center’s domino kidney transplantation program.Donor-recipient pairs unable to proceed due to ABO incompatibility or positive cross-matching with their own living donors were included.Donors and recipients were assessed based on blood group compatibility,HLA tissue typing,and negative cross-match results.A specialized computer algorithm grouped patients into three-way,fourway,and five-way chains.All surgical procedures were performed on the same day at a single center.RESULTS A total of 169 kidney transplants were performed,forming 52 domino chains.These domino KPD transplants accounted for a notable proportion of our center’s overall transplant activity,which included both living donor kidney transplants and deceased donor transplants.Among these chains,the primary reasons for participation were ABO incompatibility(74%),positive cross-matching(10%),and the desire to improve HLA mismatch(16%).Improved HLA mismatch profiles and high graft survival(96%at 1 year,92%at 3 years)and patient survival(98%at 1 year,94%at 3 years)rates were observed,as well as low acute rejection episodes.CONCLUSION The single-center domino KPD model enhanced transplant opportunities for incompatible donor-recipient pairs while maintaining excellent clinical outcomes.By providing a framework that addresses regional challenges,improves operational efficiency,and optimizes clinical management,this model offers actionable insights to reduce waiting lists and improve patient outcomes. 展开更多
关键词 Kidney paired donation domino transplantation Single-center model operational planning Altruistic donors
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Animal models for abdominal aortic aneurysms:Where we are and where we need to go
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作者 Kangli Tian Fizza Malik Sihai Zhao 《Animal Models and Experimental Medicine》 2025年第3期573-577,共5页
The mortality rate of patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm(AAA) after rupture is extremely high,and this disease has become an important disease endangering the health of the Chinese population.Methods used to mode... The mortality rate of patients with abdominal aortic aneurysm(AAA) after rupture is extremely high,and this disease has become an important disease endangering the health of the Chinese population.Methods used to model AAA include intraluminal pressurized elastase infusion,chronic infusion of angiotensin Ⅱ(Ang Ⅱ) via an osmotic pump,periarterial application of calcium chloride,vascular grafting,and gene modification.AAA models induced by elastase and Ang Ⅱ are the two most widely used animal models.In the elastase-induced model,because intraluminal infusion is transient,with the cessation of initial stimulation,the aneurysm lesion tends to be stable and rarely ruptures.The model induced by Ang Ⅱ infusion often presents with a typical aortic dissection with a false lumen,whereas clinical AAA patients do not necessarily have dissection.Currently,the treatment of AAA in clinical practice remains endovascular,and there is a lack of pharmacological therapy,which is also related to the fact that the pathogenic mechanism has not been fully elucidated.Smoking,old age,male sex,and hypertension are the main risk factors for AAA,but these risk factors have not been fully investigated in the current modeling methods,which may affect the clinical translational application of research results based on animal models.Therefore,this article reviews the most commonly used AAA modeling methods,comments on their applications and limitations,and provides a perspective on the development of novel animal models. 展开更多
关键词 abdominal aortic aneurysm angiotensin II animal model HYPERTENSION porcine pancreatic elastase SMOKING
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Ecological Dynamics of a Logistic Population Model with Impulsive Age-selective Harvesting
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作者 DAI Xiangjun JIAO Jianjun 《应用数学》 北大核心 2026年第1期72-79,共8页
In this paper,we establish and study a single-species logistic model with impulsive age-selective harvesting.First,we prove the ultimate boundedness of the solutions of the system.Then,we obtain conditions for the asy... In this paper,we establish and study a single-species logistic model with impulsive age-selective harvesting.First,we prove the ultimate boundedness of the solutions of the system.Then,we obtain conditions for the asymptotic stability of the trivial solution and the positive periodic solution.Finally,numerical simulations are presented to validate our results.Our results show that age-selective harvesting is more conducive to sustainable population survival than non-age-selective harvesting. 展开更多
关键词 The logistic population model Selective harvesting Asymptotic stability EXTINCTION
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A zenith wet delay improved model in China based on GPT3 and random forest
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作者 Shaoni Chen Chunhua Jiang +3 位作者 Xiang Gao Huizhong Zhu Shuaimin Wang Guangsheng Liu 《Geodesy and Geodynamics》 2025年第4期403-412,共10页
Zenith wet delay(ZWD)is a key parameter for the precise positioning of global navigation satellite systems(GNSS)and occupies a central role in meteorological research.Currently,most models only consider the periodic v... Zenith wet delay(ZWD)is a key parameter for the precise positioning of global navigation satellite systems(GNSS)and occupies a central role in meteorological research.Currently,most models only consider the periodic variability of the ZWD,neglecting the effect of nonlinear factors on the ZWD estimation.This oversight results in a limited capability to reflect the rapid fluctuations of the ZWD.To more accurately capture and predict complicated variations in ZWD,this paper developed the CRZWD model by a combination of the GPT3 model and random forests(RF)algorithm using 5-year atmospheric profiles from 70 radiosonde(RS)stations across China.Taking the external 25 test stations data as reference,the root mean square(RMS)of the CRZWD model is 29.95 mm.Compared with the GPT3 model and another model using backpropagation neural network(BPNN),the accuracy has improved by 24.7%and 15.9%,respectively.Notably,over 56%of the test stations exhibit an improvement of more than 20%in contrast to GPT3-ZWD.Further temporal and spatial characteristic analyses also demonstrate the significant accuracy and stability advantages of the CRZWD model,indicating the potential prospects for GNSS-based applications. 展开更多
关键词 Zenith wet delay CRZWD model GPT3 Random forest Back propagation neural network
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Large Language Models for Effective Detection of Algorithmically Generated Domains:A Comprehensive Review
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作者 Hamed Alqahtani Gulshan Kumar 《Computer Modeling in Engineering & Sciences》 2025年第8期1439-1479,共41页
Domain Generation Algorithms(DGAs)continue to pose a significant threat inmodernmalware infrastructures by enabling resilient and evasive communication with Command and Control(C&C)servers.Traditional detection me... Domain Generation Algorithms(DGAs)continue to pose a significant threat inmodernmalware infrastructures by enabling resilient and evasive communication with Command and Control(C&C)servers.Traditional detection methods-rooted in statistical heuristics,feature engineering,and shallow machine learning-struggle to adapt to the increasing sophistication,linguistic mimicry,and adversarial variability of DGA variants.The emergence of Large Language Models(LLMs)marks a transformative shift in this landscape.Leveraging deep contextual understanding,semantic generalization,and few-shot learning capabilities,LLMs such as BERT,GPT,and T5 have shown promising results in detecting both character-based and dictionary-based DGAs,including previously unseen(zeroday)variants.This paper provides a comprehensive and critical review of LLM-driven DGA detection,introducing a structured taxonomy of LLM architectures,evaluating the linguistic and behavioral properties of benchmark datasets,and comparing recent detection frameworks across accuracy,latency,robustness,and multilingual performance.We also highlight key limitations,including challenges in adversarial resilience,model interpretability,deployment scalability,and privacy risks.To address these gaps,we present a forward-looking research roadmap encompassing adversarial training,model compression,cross-lingual benchmarking,and real-time integration with SIEM/SOAR platforms.This survey aims to serve as a foundational resource for advancing the development of scalable,explainable,and operationally viable LLM-based DGA detection systems. 展开更多
关键词 Adversarial domains cyber threat detection domain generation algorithms large language models machine learning security
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Modeling of Precipitation over Africa:Progress,Challenges,and Prospects
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作者 A.A.AKINSANOLA C.N.WENHAJI +21 位作者 R.BARIMALALA P.-A.MONERIE R.D.DIXON A.T.TAMOFFO M.O.ADENIYI V.ONGOMA I.DIALLO M.GUDOSHAVA C.M.WAINWRIGHT R.JAMES K.C.SILVERIO A.FAYE S.S.NANGOMBE M.W.POKAM D.A.VONDOU N.C.G.HART I.PINTO M.KILAVI S.HAGOS E.N.RAJAGOPAL R.K.KOLLI S.JOSEPH 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2026年第1期59-86,共28页
In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and cha... In recent years,there has been an increasing need for climate information across diverse sectors of society.This demand has arisen from the necessity to adapt to and mitigate the impacts of climate variability and change.Likewise,this period has seen a significant increase in our understanding of the physical processes and mechanisms that drive precipitation and its variability across different regions of Africa.By leveraging a large volume of climate model outputs,numerous studies have investigated the model representation of African precipitation as well as underlying physical processes.These studies have assessed whether the physical processes are well depicted and whether the models are fit for informing mitigation and adaptation strategies.This paper provides a review of the progress in precipitation simulation overAfrica in state-of-the-science climate models and discusses the major issues and challenges that remain. 展开更多
关键词 RAINFALL MONSOON climate modeling CORDEX CMIP6 convection-permitting models
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Design optimization and FEA of B-6 and B-7 levels ballistics armor:A modelling approach
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作者 Muhammad Naveed CHU Jinkui +1 位作者 Atif Ur Rehman Arsalan Hyder 《大连理工大学学报》 北大核心 2026年第1期66-77,共12页
Utilizing finite element analysis,the ballistic protection provided by a combination of perforated D-shaped and base armor plates,collectively referred to as radiator armor,is evaluated.ANSYS Explicit Dynamics is empl... Utilizing finite element analysis,the ballistic protection provided by a combination of perforated D-shaped and base armor plates,collectively referred to as radiator armor,is evaluated.ANSYS Explicit Dynamics is employed to simulate the ballistic impact of 7.62 mm armor-piercing projectiles on Aluminum AA5083-H116 and Steel Secure 500 armors,focusing on the evaluation of material deformation and penetration resistance at varying impact points.While the D-shaped armor plate is penetrated by the armor-piercing projectiles,the combination of the perforated D-shaped and base armor plates successfully halts penetration.A numerical model based on the finite element method is developed using software such as SolidWorks and ANSYS to analyze the interaction between radiator armor and bullet.The perforated design of radiator armor is to maintain airflow for radiator function,with hole sizes smaller than the bullet core diameter to protect radiator assemblies.Predictions are made regarding the brittle fracture resulting from the projectile core′s bending due to asymmetric impact,and the resulting fragments failed to penetrate the perforated base armor plate.Craters are formed on the surface of the perforated D-shaped armor plate due to the impact of projectile fragments.The numerical model accurately predicts hole growth and projectile penetration upon impact with the armor,demonstrating effective protection of the radiator assemblies by the radiator armor. 展开更多
关键词 radiator armor ballistics simulation Johnson-Cook model armor-piercing projectile perforated D-shaped armor plate
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Do Higher Horizontal Resolution Models Perform Better?
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作者 Shoji KUSUNOKI 《Advances in Atmospheric Sciences》 2026年第1期259-262,共4页
Climate model prediction has been improved by enhancing model resolution as well as the implementation of sophisticated physical parameterization and refinement of data assimilation systems[section 6.1 in Wang et al.(... Climate model prediction has been improved by enhancing model resolution as well as the implementation of sophisticated physical parameterization and refinement of data assimilation systems[section 6.1 in Wang et al.(2025)].In relation to seasonal forecasting and climate projection in the East Asian summer monsoon season,proper simulation of the seasonal migration of rain bands by models is a challenging and limiting factor[section 7.1 in Wang et al.(2025)]. 展开更多
关键词 enhancing model resolution refinement data assimilation systems section climate model climate projection higher horizontal resolution seasonal forecasting simulation seasonal migration rain bands model resolution
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A Predictive Model for the Elastic Modulus of High-Strength Concrete Based on Coarse Aggregate Characteristics
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作者 LI Liangshun LI Huajian +2 位作者 HUANG Fali YANG Zhiqiang DONG Haoliang 《Journal of Wuhan University of Technology(Materials Science)》 2026年第1期121-137,共17页
To investigate the influence of coarse aggregate parent rock properties on the elastic modulus of concrete,the mineralogical properties and stress-strain curves of granite and dolomite parent rocks,as well as the stre... To investigate the influence of coarse aggregate parent rock properties on the elastic modulus of concrete,the mineralogical properties and stress-strain curves of granite and dolomite parent rocks,as well as the strength and elastic modulus of mortar and concrete prepared with mechanism aggregates of the corresponding lithology,and the stress-strain curves of concrete were investigated.In this paper,a coarse aggregate and mortar matrix bonding assumption is proposed,and a prediction model for the elastic modulus of mortar is established by considering the lithology of the mechanism sand and the slurry components.An equivalent coarse aggregate elastic modulus model was established by considering factors such as coarse aggregate particle size,volume fraction,and mortar thickness between coarse aggregates.Based on the elastic modulus of the equivalent coarse aggregate and the remaining mortar,a prediction model for the elastic modulus of the two and three components of concrete in series and then in parallel was established,and the predicted values differed from the measured values within 10%.It is proposed that the coarse aggregate elastic modulus in highstrength concrete is the most critical factor affecting the elastic modulus of concrete,and as the coarse aggregate elastic modulus increases by 27.7%,the concrete elastic modulus increases by 19.5%. 展开更多
关键词 elastic modulus prediction model MINERALOGICAL influence mechanism
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Global Stability of Traveling Wavefronts for a Belousov-Zhabotinsky Model with Mixed Nonlocal and Degenerate Diffusions
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作者 Yuting YANG Guobao ZHANG 《Journal of Mathematical Research with Applications》 2026年第1期87-102,共16页
In this paper,we are concerned with the stability of traveling wavefronts of a Belousov-Zhabotinsky model with mixed nonlocal and degenerate diffusions.Such a system can be used to study the competition among nonlocal... In this paper,we are concerned with the stability of traveling wavefronts of a Belousov-Zhabotinsky model with mixed nonlocal and degenerate diffusions.Such a system can be used to study the competition among nonlocally diffusive species and degenerately diffusive species.We prove that the traveling wavefronts are exponentially stable,when the initial perturbation around the traveling waves decays exponentially as x→-∞,but in other locations,the initial data can be arbitrarily large.The adopted methods are the weighted energy with the comparison principle and squeezing technique. 展开更多
关键词 Belousov-Zhabotinsky model nonlocal diffusion stability comparison principle weighted energy
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An effective deep-learning prediction of Arctic sea-ice concentration based on the U-Net model
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作者 Yifan Xie Ke Fan +2 位作者 Hongqing Yang Yi Fan Shengping He 《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》 2026年第1期34-40,共7页
Current shipping,tourism,and resource development requirements call for more accurate predictions of the Arctic sea-ice concentration(SIC).However,due to the complex physical processes involved,predicting the spatiote... Current shipping,tourism,and resource development requirements call for more accurate predictions of the Arctic sea-ice concentration(SIC).However,due to the complex physical processes involved,predicting the spatiotemporal distribution of Arctic SIC is more challenging than predicting its total extent.In this study,spatiotemporal prediction models for monthly Arctic SIC at 1-to 3-month leads are developed based on U-Net-an effective convolutional deep-learning approach.Based on explicit Arctic sea-ice-atmosphere interactions,11 variables associated with Arctic sea-ice variations are selected as predictors,including observed Arctic SIC,atmospheric,oceanic,and heat flux variables at 1-to 3-month leads.The prediction skills for the monthly Arctic SIC of the test set(from January 2018 to December 2022)are evaluated by examining the mean absolute error(MAE)and binary accuracy(BA).Results showed that the U-Net model had lower MAE and higher BA for Arctic SIC compared to two dynamic climate prediction systems(CFSv2 and NorCPM).By analyzing the relative importance of each predictor,the prediction accuracy relies more on the SIC at the 1-month lead,but on the surface net solar radiation flux at 2-to 3-month leads.However,dynamic models show limited prediction skills for surface net solar radiation flux and other physical processes,especially in autumn.Therefore,the U-Net model can be used to capture the connections among these key physical processes associated with Arctic sea ice and thus offers a significant advantage in predicting Arctic SIC. 展开更多
关键词 Arctic sea-ice concentration Deep-learning prediction U-Net model CFSv2 NorCPM
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SP-RF-ARIMA:A sparse random forest and ARIMA hybrid model for electric load forecasting
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作者 Kamran Hassanpouri Baesmat Farhad Shokoohi Zeinab Farrokhi 《Global Energy Interconnection》 2025年第3期486-496,共11页
Accurate Electric Load Forecasting(ELF)is crucial for optimizing production capacity,improving operational efficiency,and managing energy resources effectively.Moreover,precise ELF contributes to a smaller environment... Accurate Electric Load Forecasting(ELF)is crucial for optimizing production capacity,improving operational efficiency,and managing energy resources effectively.Moreover,precise ELF contributes to a smaller environmental footprint by reducing the risks of disruption,downtime,and waste.However,with increasingly complex energy consumption patterns driven by renewable energy integration and changing consumer behaviors,no single approach has emerged as universally effective.In response,this research presents a hybrid modeling framework that combines the strengths of Random Forest(RF)and Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average(ARIMA)models,enhanced with advanced feature selection—Minimum Redundancy Maximum Relevancy and Maximum Synergy(MRMRMS)method—to produce a sparse model.Additionally,the residual patterns are analyzed to enhance forecast accuracy.High-resolution weather data from Weather Underground and historical energy consumption data from PJM for Duke Energy Ohio and Kentucky(DEO&K)are used in this application.This methodology,termed SP-RF-ARIMA,is evaluated against existing approaches;it demonstrates more than 40%reduction in mean absolute error and root mean square error compared to the second-best method. 展开更多
关键词 optimizing production capacityimproving operational efficiencyand sparse random forest hybrid model electric load forecasting accurate electric load forecasting elf renewable energy integration ARIMA feature selection
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