Accurately simulating mesoscale convective systems(MCSs)is essential for predicting global precipitation patterns and extreme weather events.Despite the ability of advanced models to reproduce MCS climate statistics,c...Accurately simulating mesoscale convective systems(MCSs)is essential for predicting global precipitation patterns and extreme weather events.Despite the ability of advanced models to reproduce MCS climate statistics,capturing extreme storm cases over complex terrain remains challenging.This study utilizes the Global–Regional Integrated Forecast System(GRIST)with variable resolution to simulate an eastward-propagating MCS event.The impact of three microphysics schemes,including two single-moment schemes(WSM6,Lin)and one double-moment scheme(Morrison),on the model sensitivity of MCS precipitation simulations is investigated.The results demonstrate that while all the schemes capture the spatial distribution and temporal variation of MCS precipitation,the Morrison scheme alleviates overestimated precipitation compared to the Lin and WSM6 schemes.The ascending motion gradually becomes weaker in the Morrison scheme during the MCS movement process.Compared to the runs with convection parameterization,the explicit-convection setup at 3.5-km resolution reduces disparities in atmospheric dynamics due to microphysics sensitivity in terms of vertical motions and horizontal kinetic energy at the high-wavenumber regimes.The explicit-convection setup more accurately captures the propagation of both main and secondary precipitation centers during the MCS development,diminishing the differences in both precipitation intensity and propagation features between the Morrison and two single-moment schemes.These findings underscore the importance of microphysics schemes for global nonhydrostatic modeling at the kilometer scale.The role of explicit convection for reducing model uncertainty is also outlined.展开更多
Numerical models play an important role in convective-scale forecasting,and dual-polarization radar observations can provide detailed microphysical data.In this study,we implement a direct assimilation operator for du...Numerical models play an important role in convective-scale forecasting,and dual-polarization radar observations can provide detailed microphysical data.In this study,we implement a direct assimilation operator for dual-polarization radar data using the hydrometeor background error covariance(HBEC)in the China Meteorological Administration MESO-scale weather forecasting system(CMA-MESO,formerly GRAPES-MESO)and conducted assimilation and forecasting experiments with X-band and S-band dual-polarization radar data on two cases.The results indicate that the direct assimilation of dual-polarization radar data enhanced the microphysical fields and the thermodynamic structure of convective systems to some extent based on the HBEC,thereby improving precipitation forecasts.Among the sensitivity tests of microphysical parameterization schemes,including the LIUMA scheme,the THOMPSON scheme,and the WSM6scheme(WRF Single-Moment 6-class),we find that the greatest improvement in the equivalent potential temperature,relative humidity,wind,and accumulated precipitation forecasts occurred in the experiment using the WSM6 scheme,as the distribution of solid precipitation particles was closer to the hydrometeor classification algorithm from the dualpolarization radar observations in our cases.展开更多
A double-moment cloud microphysics scheme requires an assumption for cloud droplet size distributions(DSDs).However,since observations of cloud DSDs are limited,default values for shape parameters and cloud condensati...A double-moment cloud microphysics scheme requires an assumption for cloud droplet size distributions(DSDs).However,since observations of cloud DSDs are limited,default values for shape parameters and cloud condensation nuclei activation parameters are often used in numerical simulations.In this study,the effects of cloud DSDs on numerical simulations of warm stratiform precipitation around Tokyo are investigated using the Japan Meteorological Agency's non-hydrostatic model,which incorporates a double-moment cloud microphysics scheme.Simulations using the default cloud DSD showed higher cloud droplet number concentrations and lower radar reflectivity than observed data,suggesting that the default cloud DSD is too narrow.Simulations with a cloud DSD based on in situ cloud observations corrected these errors.In addition,observation-based cloud DSDs affected rainfall amounts through the autoconversion rate of cloud water and improved the threat scores.These results suggest that realistic cloud DSDs should be provided for double-moment cloud microphysics schemes in scientific studies.展开更多
There are more uncertainties with ice hydrometeor representations and related processes than liquid hydrometeors within microphysics parameterization(MP)schemes because of their complicated geometries and physical pro...There are more uncertainties with ice hydrometeor representations and related processes than liquid hydrometeors within microphysics parameterization(MP)schemes because of their complicated geometries and physical properties.Idealized supercell simulations are produced using the WRF model coupled with“full”Hebrew University spectral bin MP(HU-SBM),and NSSL and Thompson bulk MP(BMP)schemes.HU-SBM downdrafts are typically weaker than those of the NSSL and Thompson simulations,accompanied by less rain evaporation.HU-SBM produces more cloud ice(plates),graupel,and hail than the BMPs,yet precipitates less at the surface.The limiting mass bins(and subsequently,particle size)of rimed ice in HU-SBM and slower rimed ice fall speeds lead to smaller melting-level net rimed ice fluxes than those of the BMPs.Aggregation from plates in HU-SBM,together with snow–graupel collisions,leads to a greater snow contribution to rain than those of the BMPs.Replacing HU-SBM’s fall speeds using the formulations of the BMPs after aggregating the discrete bin values to mass mixing ratios and total number concentrations increases net rain and rimed ice fluxes.Still,they are smaller in magnitude than bulk rain,NSSL hail,and Thompson graupel net fluxes near the surface.Conversely,the melting-layer net rimed ice fluxes are reduced when the fall speeds for the NSSL and Thompson simulations are calculated using HU-SBM fall speed formulations after discretizing the bulk particle size distributions(PSDs)into spectral bins.The results highlight precipitation sensitivity to storm dynamics,fall speed,hydrometeor evolution governed by process rates,and MP PSD design.展开更多
A numerical simulation was performed using the Thompson microphysics scheme to preliminarily investigate the features of the microphysical processes involved in the record-breaking rainfall event that occurred in Hena...A numerical simulation was performed using the Thompson microphysics scheme to preliminarily investigate the features of the microphysical processes involved in the record-breaking rainfall event that occurred in Henan Province,China,on 20 July 2021.The simulation results showed that a strong meso-𝛾-scale vortical updraft was concurrent with the torrential rainfall.The main finding is that this event was characterized by typical midlatitude warm-rain processes.The simulation with the Thompson microphysics scheme further indicated that highly efficient collision-coalescence of cloud water to rainwater resulted in a considerably active rain droplet growth,leading to this record-breaking rainfall event.展开更多
Evaluating and understanding the accuracy of cloud microphysical(MP) schemes in numerical weather prediction(NWP) models is crucial for assimilating satellite radiance data under cloudy conditions. This study leverage...Evaluating and understanding the accuracy of cloud microphysical(MP) schemes in numerical weather prediction(NWP) models is crucial for assimilating satellite radiance data under cloudy conditions. This study leverages surface observations, radar reflectivity data, and Himawari-8 satellite radiance data from both water vapor and window channels to assess the performance of four prevalent cloud MP schemes: WSM6, WDM6, Thompson, and Morrison, as implemented in the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model. The assessment focuses on two typical heavy rain events in South China: a warm-sector torrential rainfall(WSTR) event and a squall line(SL) event. The findings reveal that the cloud MP schemes exhibit varying levels of accuracy across the two events. Notably, for the WSTR event, the WDM6scheme shows the closest alignment with observed rainfall in terms of precipitation forecast. In contrast, the Thompson scheme outperforms the others during the SL event. The simulation of infrared(IR) radiance data from cloud and rain areas remains a significant challenge, particularly for ice clouds, which exhibit greater forecast uncertainty compared to water clouds. Identifying the optimal scheme for describing the full cloud process during rainfall events remains challenging among the evaluated MP schemes. Specifically, the WDM6 scheme stands out in forecasting clear skies and water clouds,while the Morrison and Thompson schemes are found to be more adept at predicting ice clouds. The discrepancies observed between the accuracy of precipitation forecast and cloud prediction highlight the need for further research to identify an MP scheme that effectively balances precipitation forecast with accurate cloudy radiative transfer(RT) simulation for data assimilation(DA). This research offers valuable insights into the selection of cloud microphysics parameterization schemes for all-sky radiance assimilation, particularly under diverse rainfall processes.展开更多
Cloud microphysical processes occur at the smallest end of scales among cloud-related processes and thus must be parameterized not only in large-scale global circulation models(GCMs)but also in various higher-resoluti...Cloud microphysical processes occur at the smallest end of scales among cloud-related processes and thus must be parameterized not only in large-scale global circulation models(GCMs)but also in various higher-resolution limited-area models such as cloud-resolving models(CRMs)and large-eddy simulation(LES)models.Instead of giving a comprehensive review of existing microphysical parameterizations that have been developed over the years,this study concentrates purposely on several topics that we believe are understudied but hold great potential for further advancing bulk microphysics parameterizations:multi-moment bulk microphysics parameterizations and the role of the spectral shape of hydrometeor size distributions;discrete vs“continuous”representation of hydrometeor types;turbulence-microphysics interactions including turbulent entrainment-mixing processes and stochastic condensation;theoretical foundations for the mathematical expressions used to describe hydrometeor size distributions and hydrometeor morphology;and approaches for developing bulk microphysics parameterizations.Also presented are the spectral bin scheme and particle-based scheme(especially,super-droplet method)for representing explicit microphysics.Their advantages and disadvantages are elucidated for constructing cloud models with detailed microphysics that are essential to developing processes understanding and bulk microphysics parameterizations.Particle-resolved direct numerical simulation(DNS)models are described as an emerging technique to investigate turbulence-microphysics interactions at the most fundamental level by tracking individual particles and resolving the smallest turbulent eddies in turbulent clouds.Outstanding challenges and future research directions are explored as well.展开更多
The basic structure and cloud features of Typhoon Nida(2016) are simulated using a new microphysics scheme(Liuma) within the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model. Typhoon characteristics simulated with the Lium...The basic structure and cloud features of Typhoon Nida(2016) are simulated using a new microphysics scheme(Liuma) within the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model. Typhoon characteristics simulated with the Liuma microphysics scheme are compared with observations and those simulated with a commonly-used microphysics scheme(WSM6). Results show that using different microphysics schemes does not significantly alter the track of the typhoon but does significantly affect the intensity and the cloud structure of the typhoon. Results also show that the vertical distribution of cloud hydrometeors and the horizontal distribution of peripheral rainband are affected by the microphysics scheme. The mixing ratios of rain water and graupel correlate highly with the vertical velocity component and equivalent potential temperature at the typhoon eye-wall region. According to the simulation with WSM 6 scheme,it is likely that the very low typhoon central pressure results from the positive feedback between hydrometeors and typhoon intensity. As the ice-phase hydrometeors are mostly graupel in the Liuma microphysics scheme, further improvement in this aspect is required.展开更多
The effects of the initial cloud condensation nuclei （CCN） concentrations （100-3000 mg-1） on hail properties were investigated in an idealized non-severe hail storm experiment using the Weather Research and Foreca...The effects of the initial cloud condensation nuclei （CCN） concentrations （100-3000 mg-1） on hail properties were investigated in an idealized non-severe hail storm experiment using the Weather Research and Forecasting （WRF） model, with the National Severe Storms Laboratory 2-moment microphysics scheme. The initial CCN concentration （CCNC） had obvious non-monotonic effects on the mixing ratio, number concentrations, and radius of hail, both in clouds and at the surface, with a CCNC threshold between 300 and 500 mg-1. An increasing CCNC is conducive （suppressive） to the amount of surface hail precipitation below （above） the CCNC threshold. The non-monotonic effects were due to both the thermodynamics and microphysics. Below the CCNC threshold, the mixing ratios with the increasing CCNC, resulting in more latent heat released of cloud droplets and ice crystals increased dramatically from condensation and frozen between 4 and 8 km and intensified updraft volume. The extent of the riming process, which is the primary process for hail production, increased dramatically. Above the CCNC threshold, the mixing ratio of cloud droplets and ice crystals increased continuously, but the maximum updraft volume was weakened because of reduced frozen latent heating at low level. The smaller ice crystals reduced the formation of hail and smaller clouds, with decreased rain water reducing riming efficiency so that graupel and hail also decreased with increasing CCNC, which is unfavorable for hail growth.展开更多
The Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences （CAMS） two-moment bulk microphysics scheme was adopted in this study to investigate the representation of cloud and precipitation processes under different environmenta...The Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences （CAMS） two-moment bulk microphysics scheme was adopted in this study to investigate the representation of cloud and precipitation processes under different environmental conditions.The scheme predicts the mixing ratio of water vapor as well as the mixing ratios and number concentrations of cloud droplets,rain,ice,snow,and graupel.A new parameterization approach to simulate heterogeneous droplet activation was developed in this scheme.Furthermore,the improved CAMS scheme was coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting model （WRF v3.1）,which made it possible to simulate the microphysics of clouds and precipitation as well as the cloud-aerosol interactions in selected atmospheric condition.The rain event occurring on 27-28 December 2008 in eastern China was simulated using the CAMS scheme and three sophisticated microphysics schemes in the WRF model.Results showed that the simulated 36-h accumulated precipitations were generally agreed with observation data,and the CAMS scheme performed well in the southern area of the nested domain.The radar reflectivity,the averaged precipitation intensity,and the hydrometeor mixing ratios simulated by the CAMS scheme were generally consistent with those from other microphysics schemes.The hydrometeor number concentrations simulated by the CAMS scheme were also close to the experiential values in stratus clouds.The model results suggest that the CAMS scheme performs reasonably well in describing the microphysics of clouds and precipitation in the mesoscale WRF model.展开更多
The sensitivity of the simulation of tropical cyclone （TC） size to microphysics schemes is studied using the Advanced Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting Model （WRF）. Six TCs during the 2013 western North P...The sensitivity of the simulation of tropical cyclone （TC） size to microphysics schemes is studied using the Advanced Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting Model （WRF）. Six TCs during the 2013 western North Pacific typhoon season and three mainstream microphysics schemes-Ferrier （FER）, WRF Single-Moment 5-class （WSM5） and WRF Single-Moment 6-class （WSM6）-are investigated. The results consistently show that the simulated TC track is not sensitive to the choice of microphysics scheme in the early simulation, especially in the open ocean. However, the sensitivity is much greater for TC intensity and inner-core size. The TC intensity and size simulated using the WSM5 and WSM6 schemes are respectively higher and larger than those using the FER scheme in general, which likely results from more diabatic heating being generated outside the eyewall in rainbands. More diabatic heating in rainbands gives higher inflow in the lower troposphere and higher outflow in the upper troposphere, with higher upward motion outside the eyewall. The lower-tropospheric inflow would transport absolute angular momentum inward to spin up tangential wind predominantly near the eyewall, leading to the increment in TC intensity and size （the inner-core size, especially）. In addition, the inclusion of graupel microphysics processes （as in WSM6） may not have a significant impact on the simulation of TC track, intensity and size.展开更多
Hydrometeor variables （cloud water and cloud ice mixing ratios） are added into the WRF three-dimensional variational assimilation system as additional control variables to directly analyze hydrometeors by assimilati...Hydrometeor variables （cloud water and cloud ice mixing ratios） are added into the WRF three-dimensional variational assimilation system as additional control variables to directly analyze hydrometeors by assimilating cloud observations. In addition, the background error covariance matrix of hydrometeors is modeled through a control variable transform, and its characteristics discussed in detail. A suite of experiments using four microphysics schemes （LIN, SBU-YLIN, WDM6 and WSM6） are performed with and without assimilating satellite cloud liquid/ice water path. We find analysis of hydrometeors with cloud assimilation to be significantly improved, and the increment and distribution of hydrometeors are consistent with the characteristics of background error covariance. Diagnostic results suggest that the forecast with cloud assimilation represents a significant improvement, especially the ability to forecast precipitation in the first seven hours. It is also found that the largest improvement occurs in the experiment using the WDM6 scheme, since the assimilated cloud information can sustain for longer in this scheme. The least improvement, meanwhile, appears in the experiment using the SBU-YLIN scheme.展开更多
By use of a three-dimensional compressible non-hydrostatic convective cloud model with detailed microphysics featuring spectral bins of cloud condensation nuclei （CCN）, liquid droplets, ice crystals, snow and graupe...By use of a three-dimensional compressible non-hydrostatic convective cloud model with detailed microphysics featuring spectral bins of cloud condensation nuclei （CCN）, liquid droplets, ice crystals, snow and graupel particles, the spatial and temporal distributions of hydrometeors in a supercell observed by the （Severe Thunderstorm Electrification and Precipitation Study） STEPS triple-radar network are simulated and analyzed. The bin model is also employed to study the effect of CCN concentration on the evolution characteristics of the supercell. It is found that the CCN concentration not only affects the concentration and spectral distribution of water droplets, but also influences the characteristics of ice crystals and graupel particles. With a larger number of CCN, more water droplets and ice crystals are produced and the growth of graupel is restrained. With a small quantity of CCN the production of large size water droplets are promoted by initially small concentrations of water droplets and ice crystals, leading to earlier formation of small size graupel and restraining the recycling growth of graupel, and thus inhibiting the formation of large size graupel （or small size hail）. It can be concluded that both the macroscopic airflow and microphysical processes influence the formation and growth of large size graupel （or small size hail）. In regions with heavy pollution, a high concentration of CCN may restrain the formation of graupel and hail, and in extremely clean regions, excessively low concentrations of CCN may also limit the formation of large size graupel （hail）.展开更多
The impact of different cloud microphysics parameterization schemes on the intensity and structure of the Super-strong Typhoon Rammasun(1409)in 2014 is investigated using the Weather Research and Forecasting model ver...The impact of different cloud microphysics parameterization schemes on the intensity and structure of the Super-strong Typhoon Rammasun(1409)in 2014 is investigated using the Weather Research and Forecasting model version 3.4 with eight cloud microphysics parameterization schemes.Results indicate that the uncertainty of cloud microphysics schemes results in typhoon forecast uncertainties,which increase with forecast time.Typhoon forecast uncertainty primarily affects intensity predictions,with significant differences in predicted typhoon intensity using various cloud microphysics schemes.Typhoon forecast uncertainty also affects the predicted typhoon structure.Greater typhoon intensity is accompanied by smaller vortex width,tighter vortex structure,stronger wind in the middle and lower troposphere,greater height of the strong wind region,smaller thickness of the eyewall and the outward extension of the eyewall,and a warmer warm core at upper levels of the eye.The differences among the various cloud microphysics schemes lead to different amounts and distributions of water vapor and hydrometeors in clouds.Different hydrometeors have different vertical distributions.In the radial direction,the maxima for the various hydrometeors forecast by a single cloud microphysics scheme are collocated with each other and with the center of maximum precipitation.When the hydrometeor concentration is high and hydrometeors exist at lower altitudes,more precipitation often occurs.Both the vertical and horizontal winds are the strongest at the location of maximum precipitation.Results also indicate that typhoon intensities forecast by cloud microphysics schemes containing graupel processes are noticeably greater than those forecast by schemes without graupel processes.Among the eight cloud microphysics schemes investigated,typhoon intensity forecasts using the WRF Single-Moment 6-class and Thompson schemes are the most accurate.展开更多
Numerical simulation of meso-β-scale convective cloud systems associated with a PRE-STORM MCC case has been carried out using a 2-D version of the CSU Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (RAMS) nonhydrostatic model ...Numerical simulation of meso-β-scale convective cloud systems associated with a PRE-STORM MCC case has been carried out using a 2-D version of the CSU Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (RAMS) nonhydrostatic model with parameterized microphysics. It is found that the predicted meso-r-scale convective phenomena arc basically unsteady under the situation of strong shear at low-levels, while the meso-β-scale convective system is maintained up to 3 hours or more. The meso -β- scale cloud system exhibits characteristics of a multi-celled convective storm in which the meso-r-scale convective cells have lifetime of about 30 min. Pressure perturbation depicts a meso-low after a half hour in the low levels. As the cloud system evolves, the meso-low intensifies and extends to the upshear side and covers the entire domain in the mid-lower levels with the peak values of 5-8 hPa. Temperature perturbation depicts a warm region in the middle levels through the entire simulation period. The meso-r-scale warm cores with peak values of 4-8 ℃ are associated with strong convective cells. The cloud top evaporation causes a stronger cold layer around the cloud top levels.Simulation of microphysics exhibits that graupel is primarily concentrated in the strong convective cells forming the main source of convective rainfall after one hour of simulation time. Aggregates are mainly located in the stratiform region and decaying convective cells which produce the stratiform rainfall. Riming of the ice crystals is the predominant precipitation formation mechanism in the convection region, whereas aggregation of ice crystals is the predominant one in the stratiform region, which is consistent with observations. Sensitivity experiments of ice-phase mierophysical processes show that the microphysical structures of the convective cloud system can be simulated better with the diagnosed aggregation collection efficiencies.展开更多
A two-moment bulk stratiform microphysics scheme, including recently developed physically-based droplet activation/ice nucleation parameterizations has been implemented into the Grid-point Atmospheric Model of IAP LA...A two-moment bulk stratiform microphysics scheme, including recently developed physically-based droplet activation/ice nucleation parameterizations has been implemented into the Grid-point Atmospheric Model of IAP LASG （GAMIL） as an effort to enhance the model＇s capability to simulate aerosol indirect effects. Unlike the previous one-moment cloud microphysics scheme, the new scheme produces a reasonable rep- resentation of cloud particle size and number concentration. This scheme captures the observed spatial variations in cloud droplet number concentrations. Simulated ice crystal number concentrations in cirrus clouds qualitatively agree with in situ observations. The longwave and shortwave cloud forcings are in better agreement with observations. Sensitivity tests show that the column cloud droplet number concentrations calculated from two different droplet activation parameterizations are similar. However, ice crystal number concentration in mixed-phased clouds is sensitive to different heterogeneous ice nucleation formulations. The simulation with high ice crystal number concentration in mixed-phase clouds has less liquid water path and weaker cloud forcing. ~rthermore, ice crystal number concentration in cirrus clouds is sensitive to different ice nucleation parameterizations. Sensitivity tests also suggest that the impact of pre-existing ice crystals on homogeneous freezing in old clouds should be taken into account.展开更多
The UK Met Office Unified Model（UM） is employed by many weather forecasting agencies around the globe. This model is designed to run across spatial and time scales and known to produce skillful predictions for large...The UK Met Office Unified Model（UM） is employed by many weather forecasting agencies around the globe. This model is designed to run across spatial and time scales and known to produce skillful predictions for large-scale weather systems. However, the model has only recently begun running operationally at horizontal grid spacings of ～1.5 km [e.g.,at the UK Met Office and the Korea Meteorological Administration（KMA）]. As its microphysics scheme was originally designed and tuned for large-scale precipitation systems, we investigate the performance of UM microphysics to determine potential inherent biases or weaknesses. Two rainfall cases from the KMA forecasting system are considered in this study： a Changma（quasi-stationary） front, and Typhoon Sanba（2012）. The UM output is compared to polarimetric radar observations in terms of simulated polarimetric radar variables. Results show that the UM generally underpredicts median reflectivity in stratiform rain, producing high reflectivity cores and precipitation gaps between them. This is partially due to the diagnostic rain intercept parameter formulation used in the one-moment microphysics scheme. Model drop size is generally both underand overpredicted compared to observations. UM frozen hydrometeors favor generic ice（crystals and snow） rather than graupel, which is reasonable for Changma and typhoon cases. The model performed best with the typhoon case in terms of simulated precipitation coverage.展开更多
Representation of cloud microphysical processes is one of the key aspects of numerical models.An improved double-moment bulk cloud microphysics scheme(named IMY)was created based on the standard Milbrandt-Yau(MY)schem...Representation of cloud microphysical processes is one of the key aspects of numerical models.An improved double-moment bulk cloud microphysics scheme(named IMY)was created based on the standard Milbrandt-Yau(MY)scheme in the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model for the East Asian monsoon region(EAMR).In the IMY scheme,the shape parameters of raindrops,snow particles,and cloud droplet size distributions are variables instead of fixed constants.Specifically,the shape parameters of raindrop and snow size distributions are diagnosed from their respective shape-slope relationships.The shape parameter for the cloud droplet size distribution depends on the total cloud droplet number concentration.In addition,a series of minor improvements involving detailed cloud processes have also been incorporated.The improved scheme was coupled into the WRF model and tested on two heavy rainfall cases over the EAMR.The IMY scheme is shown to reproduce the overall spatial distribution of rainfall and its temporal evolution,evidenced by comparing the modeled results with surface gauge observations.The simulations also successfully capture the cloud features by using satellite and ground-based radar observations as a reference.The IMY has yielded simulation results on the case studies that were comparable,and in ways superior to MY,indicating that the improved scheme shows promise.Although the simulations demonstrated a positive performance evaluation for the IMY scheme,continued experiments are required to further validate the scheme with different weather events.展开更多
observation data obtained in a mesoscale convective system are compared to Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model simulations using four microphysics schemes(Morrison,WSM6,P3,SBM)with different complexities.The ma...observation data obtained in a mesoscale convective system are compared to Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model simulations using four microphysics schemes(Morrison,WSM6,P3,SBM)with different complexities.The main purpose of this paper is to assess the performance of the microphysics ensemble in terms of cloud microphysical properties.Results show that although the vertical distributions of liquid water content(LWC)and ice water content(IWC)simulated by the four members are quite different in the convective cloud region,they are relatively uniform in the stratiform cloud region.Overall,the results of the Morrison scheme are very similar to the ensemble average,and both of them are closer to the observations compared to the other schemes.Besides,the authors also note that all members still overpredict the LWC by a factor of 2–8 in some regions,resulting in large deviation between the observation and ensemble average.展开更多
This study examines the effects of cumulus parameterizations and microphysics schemes on the track forecast of typhoon Nabi using the Weather Research Forecast model. The study found that the effects of cumulus parame...This study examines the effects of cumulus parameterizations and microphysics schemes on the track forecast of typhoon Nabi using the Weather Research Forecast model. The study found that the effects of cumulus parameterizations on typhoon track forecast were comparatively strong and the typhoon track forecast of Kain-Fritsch (KF) was superior to that of Betts-Miller (BM). When KF was selected, the simulated results would be improved if microphysics schemes were selected than otherwise. The results from Ferrier, WSM6, and Lin were very close to those in the best track. KF performed well with the simulations of the western extension and eastern contraction changes of a North Pacific high as well as the distribution and strength of the typhoon wind field.展开更多
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42305169)the Basic Research Fund of CAMS(Grant No.2023Y001)the National Key Scientific and Technological Infrastructure project“Earth System Numerical Simulation Facility”(Earth Lab)。
文摘Accurately simulating mesoscale convective systems(MCSs)is essential for predicting global precipitation patterns and extreme weather events.Despite the ability of advanced models to reproduce MCS climate statistics,capturing extreme storm cases over complex terrain remains challenging.This study utilizes the Global–Regional Integrated Forecast System(GRIST)with variable resolution to simulate an eastward-propagating MCS event.The impact of three microphysics schemes,including two single-moment schemes(WSM6,Lin)and one double-moment scheme(Morrison),on the model sensitivity of MCS precipitation simulations is investigated.The results demonstrate that while all the schemes capture the spatial distribution and temporal variation of MCS precipitation,the Morrison scheme alleviates overestimated precipitation compared to the Lin and WSM6 schemes.The ascending motion gradually becomes weaker in the Morrison scheme during the MCS movement process.Compared to the runs with convection parameterization,the explicit-convection setup at 3.5-km resolution reduces disparities in atmospheric dynamics due to microphysics sensitivity in terms of vertical motions and horizontal kinetic energy at the high-wavenumber regimes.The explicit-convection setup more accurately captures the propagation of both main and secondary precipitation centers during the MCS development,diminishing the differences in both precipitation intensity and propagation features between the Morrison and two single-moment schemes.These findings underscore the importance of microphysics schemes for global nonhydrostatic modeling at the kilometer scale.The role of explicit convection for reducing model uncertainty is also outlined.
基金sponsored by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(U2442601 and U2442218)the High Performance Computing Platform of Nanjing University of Information Science&Technology(NUIST)for their support of this work。
文摘Numerical models play an important role in convective-scale forecasting,and dual-polarization radar observations can provide detailed microphysical data.In this study,we implement a direct assimilation operator for dual-polarization radar data using the hydrometeor background error covariance(HBEC)in the China Meteorological Administration MESO-scale weather forecasting system(CMA-MESO,formerly GRAPES-MESO)and conducted assimilation and forecasting experiments with X-band and S-band dual-polarization radar data on two cases.The results indicate that the direct assimilation of dual-polarization radar data enhanced the microphysical fields and the thermodynamic structure of convective systems to some extent based on the HBEC,thereby improving precipitation forecasts.Among the sensitivity tests of microphysical parameterization schemes,including the LIUMA scheme,the THOMPSON scheme,and the WSM6scheme(WRF Single-Moment 6-class),we find that the greatest improvement in the equivalent potential temperature,relative humidity,wind,and accumulated precipitation forecasts occurred in the experiment using the WSM6 scheme,as the distribution of solid precipitation particles was closer to the hydrometeor classification algorithm from the dualpolarization radar observations in our cases.
基金supported by Grants in Aid from the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science(JSPS)KAKENHI[grant numbers JP21H01163 and JP23H00149].
文摘A double-moment cloud microphysics scheme requires an assumption for cloud droplet size distributions(DSDs).However,since observations of cloud DSDs are limited,default values for shape parameters and cloud condensation nuclei activation parameters are often used in numerical simulations.In this study,the effects of cloud DSDs on numerical simulations of warm stratiform precipitation around Tokyo are investigated using the Japan Meteorological Agency's non-hydrostatic model,which incorporates a double-moment cloud microphysics scheme.Simulations using the default cloud DSD showed higher cloud droplet number concentrations and lower radar reflectivity than observed data,suggesting that the default cloud DSD is too narrow.Simulations with a cloud DSD based on in situ cloud observations corrected these errors.In addition,observation-based cloud DSDs affected rainfall amounts through the autoconversion rate of cloud water and improved the threat scores.These results suggest that realistic cloud DSDs should be provided for double-moment cloud microphysics schemes in scientific studies.
基金This research was primarily supported by a NOAA Warn-on-Forecast(WoF)grant(Grant No.NA16OAR4320115).
文摘There are more uncertainties with ice hydrometeor representations and related processes than liquid hydrometeors within microphysics parameterization(MP)schemes because of their complicated geometries and physical properties.Idealized supercell simulations are produced using the WRF model coupled with“full”Hebrew University spectral bin MP(HU-SBM),and NSSL and Thompson bulk MP(BMP)schemes.HU-SBM downdrafts are typically weaker than those of the NSSL and Thompson simulations,accompanied by less rain evaporation.HU-SBM produces more cloud ice(plates),graupel,and hail than the BMPs,yet precipitates less at the surface.The limiting mass bins(and subsequently,particle size)of rimed ice in HU-SBM and slower rimed ice fall speeds lead to smaller melting-level net rimed ice fluxes than those of the BMPs.Aggregation from plates in HU-SBM,together with snow–graupel collisions,leads to a greater snow contribution to rain than those of the BMPs.Replacing HU-SBM’s fall speeds using the formulations of the BMPs after aggregating the discrete bin values to mass mixing ratios and total number concentrations increases net rain and rimed ice fluxes.Still,they are smaller in magnitude than bulk rain,NSSL hail,and Thompson graupel net fluxes near the surface.Conversely,the melting-layer net rimed ice fluxes are reduced when the fall speeds for the NSSL and Thompson simulations are calculated using HU-SBM fall speed formulations after discretizing the bulk particle size distributions(PSDs)into spectral bins.The results highlight precipitation sensitivity to storm dynamics,fall speed,hydrometeor evolution governed by process rates,and MP PSD design.
基金jointly supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China[grant numbers U2342202 and 42175005]the Qing Lan Project[grant number R2023Q06]。
文摘A numerical simulation was performed using the Thompson microphysics scheme to preliminarily investigate the features of the microphysical processes involved in the record-breaking rainfall event that occurred in Henan Province,China,on 20 July 2021.The simulation results showed that a strong meso-𝛾-scale vortical updraft was concurrent with the torrential rainfall.The main finding is that this event was characterized by typical midlatitude warm-rain processes.The simulation with the Thompson microphysics scheme further indicated that highly efficient collision-coalescence of cloud water to rainwater resulted in a considerably active rain droplet growth,leading to this record-breaking rainfall event.
基金Guangdong Province Natural Science Foundation Youth Science Fund (2021A1515110944)。
文摘Evaluating and understanding the accuracy of cloud microphysical(MP) schemes in numerical weather prediction(NWP) models is crucial for assimilating satellite radiance data under cloudy conditions. This study leverages surface observations, radar reflectivity data, and Himawari-8 satellite radiance data from both water vapor and window channels to assess the performance of four prevalent cloud MP schemes: WSM6, WDM6, Thompson, and Morrison, as implemented in the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model. The assessment focuses on two typical heavy rain events in South China: a warm-sector torrential rainfall(WSTR) event and a squall line(SL) event. The findings reveal that the cloud MP schemes exhibit varying levels of accuracy across the two events. Notably, for the WSTR event, the WDM6scheme shows the closest alignment with observed rainfall in terms of precipitation forecast. In contrast, the Thompson scheme outperforms the others during the SL event. The simulation of infrared(IR) radiance data from cloud and rain areas remains a significant challenge, particularly for ice clouds, which exhibit greater forecast uncertainty compared to water clouds. Identifying the optimal scheme for describing the full cloud process during rainfall events remains challenging among the evaluated MP schemes. Specifically, the WDM6 scheme stands out in forecasting clear skies and water clouds,while the Morrison and Thompson schemes are found to be more adept at predicting ice clouds. The discrepancies observed between the accuracy of precipitation forecast and cloud prediction highlight the need for further research to identify an MP scheme that effectively balances precipitation forecast with accurate cloudy radiative transfer(RT) simulation for data assimilation(DA). This research offers valuable insights into the selection of cloud microphysics parameterization schemes for all-sky radiance assimilation, particularly under diverse rainfall processes.
基金supported by the US Department of Energy(DOE)’s Office of Science Atmospheric Systems Research(ASR)Programthe Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy(EERE)Solar Energy Technologies Office(SETO)award(33504)+3 种基金the Brookhaven National Laboratory(BNL)’s Laboratory Directed Research&Development Program(LDRD)(22-065)The Brookhaven National Laboratory is operated by the Brookhaven Science Associates,LLC(BSA),for the US Department of Energy under Contract No.DESC0012704supported by JSPS KAKENHI Grant No.26286089MEXT KAKENHI Grant No.18H04448。
文摘Cloud microphysical processes occur at the smallest end of scales among cloud-related processes and thus must be parameterized not only in large-scale global circulation models(GCMs)but also in various higher-resolution limited-area models such as cloud-resolving models(CRMs)and large-eddy simulation(LES)models.Instead of giving a comprehensive review of existing microphysical parameterizations that have been developed over the years,this study concentrates purposely on several topics that we believe are understudied but hold great potential for further advancing bulk microphysics parameterizations:multi-moment bulk microphysics parameterizations and the role of the spectral shape of hydrometeor size distributions;discrete vs“continuous”representation of hydrometeor types;turbulence-microphysics interactions including turbulent entrainment-mixing processes and stochastic condensation;theoretical foundations for the mathematical expressions used to describe hydrometeor size distributions and hydrometeor morphology;and approaches for developing bulk microphysics parameterizations.Also presented are the spectral bin scheme and particle-based scheme(especially,super-droplet method)for representing explicit microphysics.Their advantages and disadvantages are elucidated for constructing cloud models with detailed microphysics that are essential to developing processes understanding and bulk microphysics parameterizations.Particle-resolved direct numerical simulation(DNS)models are described as an emerging technique to investigate turbulence-microphysics interactions at the most fundamental level by tracking individual particles and resolving the smallest turbulent eddies in turbulent clouds.Outstanding challenges and future research directions are explored as well.
基金Ministry of Science and Technology of China(2017YFC1501406)National Key Research and Development Plan Program of China(2017YFA0604500)CMA Youth Founding Program(Q201706&NWPC-QNJJ-201702)
文摘The basic structure and cloud features of Typhoon Nida(2016) are simulated using a new microphysics scheme(Liuma) within the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF) model. Typhoon characteristics simulated with the Liuma microphysics scheme are compared with observations and those simulated with a commonly-used microphysics scheme(WSM6). Results show that using different microphysics schemes does not significantly alter the track of the typhoon but does significantly affect the intensity and the cloud structure of the typhoon. Results also show that the vertical distribution of cloud hydrometeors and the horizontal distribution of peripheral rainband are affected by the microphysics scheme. The mixing ratios of rain water and graupel correlate highly with the vertical velocity component and equivalent potential temperature at the typhoon eye-wall region. According to the simulation with WSM 6 scheme,it is likely that the very low typhoon central pressure results from the positive feedback between hydrometeors and typhoon intensity. As the ice-phase hydrometeors are mostly graupel in the Liuma microphysics scheme, further improvement in this aspect is required.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 41330421 and 41461164006)the Chinese 973 program (Grant No. 2013CB430104)
文摘The effects of the initial cloud condensation nuclei （CCN） concentrations （100-3000 mg-1） on hail properties were investigated in an idealized non-severe hail storm experiment using the Weather Research and Forecasting （WRF） model, with the National Severe Storms Laboratory 2-moment microphysics scheme. The initial CCN concentration （CCNC） had obvious non-monotonic effects on the mixing ratio, number concentrations, and radius of hail, both in clouds and at the surface, with a CCNC threshold between 300 and 500 mg-1. An increasing CCNC is conducive （suppressive） to the amount of surface hail precipitation below （above） the CCNC threshold. The non-monotonic effects were due to both the thermodynamics and microphysics. Below the CCNC threshold, the mixing ratios with the increasing CCNC, resulting in more latent heat released of cloud droplets and ice crystals increased dramatically from condensation and frozen between 4 and 8 km and intensified updraft volume. The extent of the riming process, which is the primary process for hail production, increased dramatically. Above the CCNC threshold, the mixing ratio of cloud droplets and ice crystals increased continuously, but the maximum updraft volume was weakened because of reduced frozen latent heating at low level. The smaller ice crystals reduced the formation of hail and smaller clouds, with decreased rain water reducing riming efficiency so that graupel and hail also decreased with increasing CCNC, which is unfavorable for hail growth.
基金supported by National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos. 40637035,41075019)
文摘The Chinese Academy of Meteorological Sciences （CAMS） two-moment bulk microphysics scheme was adopted in this study to investigate the representation of cloud and precipitation processes under different environmental conditions.The scheme predicts the mixing ratio of water vapor as well as the mixing ratios and number concentrations of cloud droplets,rain,ice,snow,and graupel.A new parameterization approach to simulate heterogeneous droplet activation was developed in this scheme.Furthermore,the improved CAMS scheme was coupled with the Weather Research and Forecasting model （WRF v3.1）,which made it possible to simulate the microphysics of clouds and precipitation as well as the cloud-aerosol interactions in selected atmospheric condition.The rain event occurring on 27-28 December 2008 in eastern China was simulated using the CAMS scheme and three sophisticated microphysics schemes in the WRF model.Results showed that the simulated 36-h accumulated precipitations were generally agreed with observation data,and the CAMS scheme performed well in the southern area of the nested domain.The radar reflectivity,the averaged precipitation intensity,and the hydrometeor mixing ratios simulated by the CAMS scheme were generally consistent with those from other microphysics schemes.The hydrometeor number concentrations simulated by the CAMS scheme were also close to the experiential values in stratus clouds.The model results suggest that the CAMS scheme performs reasonably well in describing the microphysics of clouds and precipitation in the mesoscale WRF model.
基金supported by the Hong Kong Research Grants Council (Grant City U 11300214)
文摘The sensitivity of the simulation of tropical cyclone （TC） size to microphysics schemes is studied using the Advanced Hurricane Weather Research and Forecasting Model （WRF）. Six TCs during the 2013 western North Pacific typhoon season and three mainstream microphysics schemes-Ferrier （FER）, WRF Single-Moment 5-class （WSM5） and WRF Single-Moment 6-class （WSM6）-are investigated. The results consistently show that the simulated TC track is not sensitive to the choice of microphysics scheme in the early simulation, especially in the open ocean. However, the sensitivity is much greater for TC intensity and inner-core size. The TC intensity and size simulated using the WSM5 and WSM6 schemes are respectively higher and larger than those using the FER scheme in general, which likely results from more diabatic heating being generated outside the eyewall in rainbands. More diabatic heating in rainbands gives higher inflow in the lower troposphere and higher outflow in the upper troposphere, with higher upward motion outside the eyewall. The lower-tropospheric inflow would transport absolute angular momentum inward to spin up tangential wind predominantly near the eyewall, leading to the increment in TC intensity and size （the inner-core size, especially）. In addition, the inclusion of graupel microphysics processes （as in WSM6） may not have a significant impact on the simulation of TC track, intensity and size.
基金jointly sponsored by the 973 Program(Grant No.2013CB430102)the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.41675102)+1 种基金the Open Project Program of the Key Laboratory of Meteorological Disaster of the Ministry of Education,NUIST(KLME 1311)the Priority Academic Program Development of Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions(PAPD)
文摘Hydrometeor variables （cloud water and cloud ice mixing ratios） are added into the WRF three-dimensional variational assimilation system as additional control variables to directly analyze hydrometeors by assimilating cloud observations. In addition, the background error covariance matrix of hydrometeors is modeled through a control variable transform, and its characteristics discussed in detail. A suite of experiments using four microphysics schemes （LIN, SBU-YLIN, WDM6 and WSM6） are performed with and without assimilating satellite cloud liquid/ice water path. We find analysis of hydrometeors with cloud assimilation to be significantly improved, and the increment and distribution of hydrometeors are consistent with the characteristics of background error covariance. Diagnostic results suggest that the forecast with cloud assimilation represents a significant improvement, especially the ability to forecast precipitation in the first seven hours. It is also found that the largest improvement occurs in the experiment using the WDM6 scheme, since the assimilated cloud information can sustain for longer in this scheme. The least improvement, meanwhile, appears in the experiment using the SBU-YLIN scheme.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China (Grant Nos.40537034, 40805057)Jiangsu Province Qinglan Project"cloud fog precipitation and aerosol research group", Foun-dation of Key Laboratory for Cloud Physics and Weather Modification of CMA (Grant No. 2009Z0036)Foun-dation of Nanjing University of Information Science &Technology
文摘By use of a three-dimensional compressible non-hydrostatic convective cloud model with detailed microphysics featuring spectral bins of cloud condensation nuclei （CCN）, liquid droplets, ice crystals, snow and graupel particles, the spatial and temporal distributions of hydrometeors in a supercell observed by the （Severe Thunderstorm Electrification and Precipitation Study） STEPS triple-radar network are simulated and analyzed. The bin model is also employed to study the effect of CCN concentration on the evolution characteristics of the supercell. It is found that the CCN concentration not only affects the concentration and spectral distribution of water droplets, but also influences the characteristics of ice crystals and graupel particles. With a larger number of CCN, more water droplets and ice crystals are produced and the growth of graupel is restrained. With a small quantity of CCN the production of large size water droplets are promoted by initially small concentrations of water droplets and ice crystals, leading to earlier formation of small size graupel and restraining the recycling growth of graupel, and thus inhibiting the formation of large size graupel （or small size hail）. It can be concluded that both the macroscopic airflow and microphysical processes influence the formation and growth of large size graupel （or small size hail）. In regions with heavy pollution, a high concentration of CCN may restrain the formation of graupel and hail, and in extremely clean regions, excessively low concentrations of CCN may also limit the formation of large size graupel （hail）.
基金National Natural Science Foundation of China(41575108,41475082,42075012)。
文摘The impact of different cloud microphysics parameterization schemes on the intensity and structure of the Super-strong Typhoon Rammasun(1409)in 2014 is investigated using the Weather Research and Forecasting model version 3.4 with eight cloud microphysics parameterization schemes.Results indicate that the uncertainty of cloud microphysics schemes results in typhoon forecast uncertainties,which increase with forecast time.Typhoon forecast uncertainty primarily affects intensity predictions,with significant differences in predicted typhoon intensity using various cloud microphysics schemes.Typhoon forecast uncertainty also affects the predicted typhoon structure.Greater typhoon intensity is accompanied by smaller vortex width,tighter vortex structure,stronger wind in the middle and lower troposphere,greater height of the strong wind region,smaller thickness of the eyewall and the outward extension of the eyewall,and a warmer warm core at upper levels of the eye.The differences among the various cloud microphysics schemes lead to different amounts and distributions of water vapor and hydrometeors in clouds.Different hydrometeors have different vertical distributions.In the radial direction,the maxima for the various hydrometeors forecast by a single cloud microphysics scheme are collocated with each other and with the center of maximum precipitation.When the hydrometeor concentration is high and hydrometeors exist at lower altitudes,more precipitation often occurs.Both the vertical and horizontal winds are the strongest at the location of maximum precipitation.Results also indicate that typhoon intensities forecast by cloud microphysics schemes containing graupel processes are noticeably greater than those forecast by schemes without graupel processes.Among the eight cloud microphysics schemes investigated,typhoon intensity forecasts using the WRF Single-Moment 6-class and Thompson schemes are the most accurate.
文摘Numerical simulation of meso-β-scale convective cloud systems associated with a PRE-STORM MCC case has been carried out using a 2-D version of the CSU Regional Atmospheric Modeling System (RAMS) nonhydrostatic model with parameterized microphysics. It is found that the predicted meso-r-scale convective phenomena arc basically unsteady under the situation of strong shear at low-levels, while the meso-β-scale convective system is maintained up to 3 hours or more. The meso -β- scale cloud system exhibits characteristics of a multi-celled convective storm in which the meso-r-scale convective cells have lifetime of about 30 min. Pressure perturbation depicts a meso-low after a half hour in the low levels. As the cloud system evolves, the meso-low intensifies and extends to the upshear side and covers the entire domain in the mid-lower levels with the peak values of 5-8 hPa. Temperature perturbation depicts a warm region in the middle levels through the entire simulation period. The meso-r-scale warm cores with peak values of 4-8 ℃ are associated with strong convective cells. The cloud top evaporation causes a stronger cold layer around the cloud top levels.Simulation of microphysics exhibits that graupel is primarily concentrated in the strong convective cells forming the main source of convective rainfall after one hour of simulation time. Aggregates are mainly located in the stratiform region and decaying convective cells which produce the stratiform rainfall. Riming of the ice crystals is the predominant precipitation formation mechanism in the convection region, whereas aggregation of ice crystals is the predominant one in the stratiform region, which is consistent with observations. Sensitivity experiments of ice-phase mierophysical processes show that the microphysical structures of the convective cloud system can be simulated better with the diagnosed aggregation collection efficiencies.
基金supported by the National Natural Science Funds of China(Grant No.41205071)the Ministry of Science and Technology of China for the National Basic Research Program of China(973 Program:Grant No.2011CB309704)the funding support from the U.S.Department of Energy(DOE),Office of Science,Earth System Modeling Program
文摘A two-moment bulk stratiform microphysics scheme, including recently developed physically-based droplet activation/ice nucleation parameterizations has been implemented into the Grid-point Atmospheric Model of IAP LASG （GAMIL） as an effort to enhance the model＇s capability to simulate aerosol indirect effects. Unlike the previous one-moment cloud microphysics scheme, the new scheme produces a reasonable rep- resentation of cloud particle size and number concentration. This scheme captures the observed spatial variations in cloud droplet number concentrations. Simulated ice crystal number concentrations in cirrus clouds qualitatively agree with in situ observations. The longwave and shortwave cloud forcings are in better agreement with observations. Sensitivity tests show that the column cloud droplet number concentrations calculated from two different droplet activation parameterizations are similar. However, ice crystal number concentration in mixed-phased clouds is sensitive to different heterogeneous ice nucleation formulations. The simulation with high ice crystal number concentration in mixed-phase clouds has less liquid water path and weaker cloud forcing. ~rthermore, ice crystal number concentration in cirrus clouds is sensitive to different ice nucleation parameterizations. Sensitivity tests also suggest that the impact of pre-existing ice crystals on homogeneous freezing in old clouds should be taken into account.
基金supported by a research grant of “Development of a Polarimetric Radar Data Simulator for Local Forecasting Model (Ⅱ)” by the KMAsupport was provided by a NOAA Warn-on-Forecast grant (Grant No. NA16OAR4320115)a National Science Foundation grant (Grant No. AGS-1261776)
文摘The UK Met Office Unified Model（UM） is employed by many weather forecasting agencies around the globe. This model is designed to run across spatial and time scales and known to produce skillful predictions for large-scale weather systems. However, the model has only recently begun running operationally at horizontal grid spacings of ～1.5 km [e.g.,at the UK Met Office and the Korea Meteorological Administration（KMA）]. As its microphysics scheme was originally designed and tuned for large-scale precipitation systems, we investigate the performance of UM microphysics to determine potential inherent biases or weaknesses. Two rainfall cases from the KMA forecasting system are considered in this study： a Changma（quasi-stationary） front, and Typhoon Sanba（2012）. The UM output is compared to polarimetric radar observations in terms of simulated polarimetric radar variables. Results show that the UM generally underpredicts median reflectivity in stratiform rain, producing high reflectivity cores and precipitation gaps between them. This is partially due to the diagnostic rain intercept parameter formulation used in the one-moment microphysics scheme. Model drop size is generally both underand overpredicted compared to observations. UM frozen hydrometeors favor generic ice（crystals and snow） rather than graupel, which is reasonable for Changma and typhoon cases. The model performed best with the typhoon case in terms of simulated precipitation coverage.
基金the National Natural Science Foundation of China(Grant No.42075083)National Key Research and Development Program of China(Grant No.2019YFC1510400)+1 种基金Guangdong Major Project of Basic and Applied Basic Research(Grant No.2020B0301030004)the Second Tibetan Plateau Scientific Expe-dition and Research(STEP)program(2019QZKK010402)。
文摘Representation of cloud microphysical processes is one of the key aspects of numerical models.An improved double-moment bulk cloud microphysics scheme(named IMY)was created based on the standard Milbrandt-Yau(MY)scheme in the Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model for the East Asian monsoon region(EAMR).In the IMY scheme,the shape parameters of raindrops,snow particles,and cloud droplet size distributions are variables instead of fixed constants.Specifically,the shape parameters of raindrop and snow size distributions are diagnosed from their respective shape-slope relationships.The shape parameter for the cloud droplet size distribution depends on the total cloud droplet number concentration.In addition,a series of minor improvements involving detailed cloud processes have also been incorporated.The improved scheme was coupled into the WRF model and tested on two heavy rainfall cases over the EAMR.The IMY scheme is shown to reproduce the overall spatial distribution of rainfall and its temporal evolution,evidenced by comparing the modeled results with surface gauge observations.The simulations also successfully capture the cloud features by using satellite and ground-based radar observations as a reference.The IMY has yielded simulation results on the case studies that were comparable,and in ways superior to MY,indicating that the improved scheme shows promise.Although the simulations demonstrated a positive performance evaluation for the IMY scheme,continued experiments are required to further validate the scheme with different weather events.
基金supported by the National Key R&D Program of Chinagrant number 2018YFC1507900the Demonstration Project of Artificial Precipitation Enhancement and Hail Suppression Operation Technology at the Eastern Side of the Taihang Mountains grant number hbrywcsy-2017-2sponsored by the National Natural Science Foundation of China grant numbers 41530427 and 41875172。
文摘observation data obtained in a mesoscale convective system are compared to Weather Research and Forecasting(WRF)model simulations using four microphysics schemes(Morrison,WSM6,P3,SBM)with different complexities.The main purpose of this paper is to assess the performance of the microphysics ensemble in terms of cloud microphysical properties.Results show that although the vertical distributions of liquid water content(LWC)and ice water content(IWC)simulated by the four members are quite different in the convective cloud region,they are relatively uniform in the stratiform cloud region.Overall,the results of the Morrison scheme are very similar to the ensemble average,and both of them are closer to the observations compared to the other schemes.Besides,the authors also note that all members still overpredict the LWC by a factor of 2–8 in some regions,resulting in large deviation between the observation and ensemble average.
基金National Basic Research Program of China (2009CB421502)National Natural Science Foundation of China (40475018)Research and Development Program of KMA of Korea (NIMR-2010-B-6)
文摘This study examines the effects of cumulus parameterizations and microphysics schemes on the track forecast of typhoon Nabi using the Weather Research Forecast model. The study found that the effects of cumulus parameterizations on typhoon track forecast were comparatively strong and the typhoon track forecast of Kain-Fritsch (KF) was superior to that of Betts-Miller (BM). When KF was selected, the simulated results would be improved if microphysics schemes were selected than otherwise. The results from Ferrier, WSM6, and Lin were very close to those in the best track. KF performed well with the simulations of the western extension and eastern contraction changes of a North Pacific high as well as the distribution and strength of the typhoon wind field.
