This paper introduces the space increased probability of strong earthquakes (SIP)-a new design based on the algorithm CN of time increased probability of strong earthquake (TIP). The authors have done a prediction res...This paper introduces the space increased probability of strong earthquakes (SIP)-a new design based on the algorithm CN of time increased probability of strong earthquake (TIP). The authors have done a prediction research passing in review of eight strong earthquakes with M>6 in the last 20 years in East China. The result shows that six of the eight strong earthquakes were in the space-time domain of the time and space probability of strong earthquake (TSIP) prediction. The prediction accuracy is 75%, the space-time domain rate of the TSIP precaution is 5%, the diagnosed value of R is 0. 70. So the TSIP as a method of medium-term earthquake prediction has good practicality, efficiency and prospects of applying.展开更多
文摘This paper introduces the space increased probability of strong earthquakes (SIP)-a new design based on the algorithm CN of time increased probability of strong earthquake (TIP). The authors have done a prediction research passing in review of eight strong earthquakes with M>6 in the last 20 years in East China. The result shows that six of the eight strong earthquakes were in the space-time domain of the time and space probability of strong earthquake (TSIP) prediction. The prediction accuracy is 75%, the space-time domain rate of the TSIP precaution is 5%, the diagnosed value of R is 0. 70. So the TSIP as a method of medium-term earthquake prediction has good practicality, efficiency and prospects of applying.
